Distribution Solutions (DSGR)
Market Price (1/19/2026): $30.025 | Market Cap: $1.4 BilSector: Industrials | Industry: Trading Companies & Distributors
Distribution Solutions (DSGR)
Market Price (1/19/2026): $30.025Market Cap: $1.4 BilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Trading Companies & Distributors
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -48%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -14% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 54% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 5.4% | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -5.0% | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 36% | Key risksDSGR key risks include [1] challenges successfully integrating its numerous strategic acquisitions, Show more. | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Automation & Robotics, E-commerce & DTC Adoption, and Future of Freight. Themes include Process / Warehouse Automation, Show more. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 5.4% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 36% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Automation & Robotics, E-commerce & DTC Adoption, and Future of Freight. Themes include Process / Warehouse Automation, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -48%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -14% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 54% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -5.0% |
| Key risksDSGR key risks include [1] challenges successfully integrating its numerous strategic acquisitions, Show more. |
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
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1. Distribution Solutions Group announced stronger than expected third-quarter 2025 earnings on October 30, 2025, with a 10.7% growth in total sales to $518 million. Organic sales grew 6% and 3.1% sequentially over Q2 2025, with all segments showing growth, led by Gexpro Services. The company reported a Consolidated Adjusted EBITDA of $48.5 million and a margin of 9.4% of sales.
2. In November 2025, Distribution Solutions Group announced a $30 million increase to its share repurchase program, supplementing an existing $2.9 million available. This move, occurring as the stock had declined 23.8% year-to-date and 30.3% over the past year (as of November 17, 2025), indicated management's confidence in the company's prospects and ability to generate strong free cash flow to enhance long-term shareholder value.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 9.9% change in DSGR stock from 10/31/2025 to 1/18/2026 was primarily driven by a 9.9% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| 10312025 | 1182026 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 27.34 | 30.06 | 9.95% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1978.89 | 1978.89 | 0.00% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.64 | 0.70 | 9.95% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 46.28 | 46.28 | 0.00% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 9.95% |
Market Drivers
10/31/2025 to 1/18/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| DSGR | 9.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 1.4% | 39.5% |
| Sector (XLI) | 7.6% | 39.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 0.3% change in DSGR stock from 7/31/2025 to 1/18/2026 was primarily driven by a 2.6% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| 7312025 | 1182026 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 29.97 | 30.06 | 0.30% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1928.95 | 1978.89 | 2.59% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.72 | 0.70 | -2.44% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 46.38 | 46.28 | 0.22% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.30% |
Market Drivers
7/31/2025 to 1/18/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| DSGR | 0.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 9.7% | 42.5% |
| Sector (XLI) | 10.2% | 49.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -6.8% change in DSGR stock from 1/31/2025 to 1/18/2026 was primarily driven by a -19.5% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| 1312025 | 1182026 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 32.25 | 30.06 | -6.79% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1728.88 | 1978.89 | 14.46% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.87 | 0.70 | -19.47% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 46.80 | 46.28 | 1.11% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -6.80% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2025 to 1/18/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| DSGR | -6.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 15.9% | 52.3% |
| Sector (XLI) | 21.9% | 56.7% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 46.4% change in DSGR stock from 1/31/2023 to 1/18/2026 was primarily driven by a 107.9% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| 1312023 | 1182026 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 20.53 | 30.06 | 46.45% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 951.79 | 1978.89 | 107.91% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.84 | 0.70 | -16.15% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 38.88 | 46.28 | -19.04% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 41.14% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2023 to 1/18/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| DSGR | 46.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 76.5% | 40.9% |
| Sector (XLI) | 71.0% | 49.7% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| DSGR Return | 8% | -33% | 72% | 9% | -20% | 10% | 19% |
| Peers Return | 53% | -3% | 43% | 11% | -2% | 8% | 149% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 1% | 85% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| DSGR Win Rate | 50% | 42% | 75% | 58% | 42% | 100% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 70% | 45% | 65% | 58% | 50% | 100% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 100% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| DSGR Max Drawdown | -8% | -52% | -1% | -10% | -30% | 0% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -8% | -23% | -4% | -10% | -17% | -1% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | 0% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: GWW, FAST, MSM, AIT, TRNS.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 1/16/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | DSGR | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -58.0% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 138.2% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 357 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -57.1% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 133.3% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 344 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -32.3% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 47.6% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 297 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -78.8% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 371.4% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 3,845 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to GWW, FAST, MSM, AIT, TRNS
In The Past
Distribution Solutions's stock fell -58.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 5/24/2021. A -58.0% loss requires a 138.2% gain to breakeven.
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AI Analysis | Feedback
- Like Grainger, but with a primary focus on packaging, facility solutions, and print products for businesses.
- Uline, but expanded to offer comprehensive facility supplies and print products for companies.
- Amazon Business, but specialized in distribution of packaging, facility, and print products for companies.
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- Parking Management Services: Provides comprehensive management, operation, and technology solutions for parking facilities across various sectors, including commercial, healthcare, and aviation.
- Ground Transportation Services: Offers shuttle bus services, valet parking, and other mobility solutions, often integrated with parking operations for clients like airports and hospitals.
AI Analysis | Feedback
For Distribution Solutions Group (symbol: DSGR), the company primarily sells to other companies (B2B model), providing products and services to the electronic, electrical, and test and measurement markets.
DSGR emphasizes that it serves a highly diverse customer base. As a result, its public financial filings (such as the 10-K report) do not disclose any single customer as accounting for 10% or more of its annual revenue. Therefore, there are no specific "major customer" companies identified by name in its financial reports.
However, based on its business description, DSGR's customer base generally includes the following categories of organizations:
- Large multinational manufacturers
- Government agencies
- Universities
- Small- and medium-sized businesses
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J. Bryan King, Chairman & Chief Executive Officer Mr. King was appointed President and Chief Executive Officer of Distribution Solutions Group effective May 1, 2022, in addition to his role as Chairman of the Board. He has served as an investment manager for lower middle-market investments in public and private companies since 1994, overseeing private capital-focused partnerships that manage over $2 billion in flexible capital. Mr. King founded LKCM Headwater, the private equity arm of LKCM, a $24 billion investment firm, and possesses nearly three decades of hands-on industrial distribution operating experience. He has personally invested over $60 million in DSGR and receives no compensation from the holding company, aligning his returns with the company's stock performance. DSGR was formed through the strategic combination of Lawson Products, Gexpro Services, and TestEquity, with Gexpro Services and TestEquity previously owned by Luther King Capital Management (LKCM). Ronald J. Knutson, Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer Mr. Knutson is the Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer, and Treasurer of Distribution Solutions Group, also serving as the Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of Lawson Products, a subsidiary of DSGR. He joined Lawson Products in 2009 and has extensive financial expertise across public and private companies within the distribution, transportation, and retail sectors. He directs all financial aspects of Distribution Solutions Group. Cesar Lanuza, President & Chief Executive Officer, Lawson Products Mr. Lanuza joined Lawson Products in 2022 as President & Chief Executive Officer. He brings 30 years of global experience and previously served as Chief Executive Officer and Director at Jon-Don, LLC. Robert H. Connors, Chief Executive Officer, Gexpro Services Mr. Connors serves as President & Chief Executive Officer of Gexpro Services, a role he has held since 2004. He leads a global supply chain services and C-Parts business, providing comprehensive end-to-end supply chain management solutions for Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEMs), aftermarket, and field installations. Barry Litwin, Chief Executive Officer, Test Equity Mr. Litwin is the Chief Executive Officer of Test Equity. He brings 30 years of transformational leadership experience in scaling omni-channel businesses across industrial distribution and consumer retail markets. Prior to joining Test Equity, he served as CEO of Global Industrial Company, a $1.4 billion value-added distributor, where he was responsible for driving revenue growth, operational excellence, and digital transformation.AI Analysis | Feedback
The key risks to Distribution Solutions (symbol: DSGR) are primarily associated with its growth strategy and market conditions.
- Acquisition Integration Risk: Distribution Solutions Group has expanded significantly through strategic acquisitions, including TestEquity, Gexpro Services, Hisco, Source Atlantic, and ConRes. The company faces a material risk that delays or challenges in successfully integrating these acquired businesses could slow or reduce anticipated margin improvements and overall profitability. Difficulties in capturing expected cost savings and operational challenges from integrating new businesses could keep expenses elevated and affect net earnings growth.
- Economic Fluctuations and Market Volatility: DSGR's performance is closely tied to the health of the manufacturing sector and the broader economy. Economic downturns, geopolitical uncertainty, and volatility in technology markets can lead to reduced demand for DSGR's products and services, project deferrals, and customers reducing their inventory levels. For instance, volatility in the technology market has delayed customer projects into 2024, impacting the company's EBITDA.
- Customer Concentration: Within its Gexpro Services segment, Distribution Solutions Group faces a notable risk from customer concentration. In 2022, one customer accounted for approximately 19% of Gexpro's total revenue, and the top 20 customers represented about 63% of Gexpro Services' total revenue. This concentration gives large customers significant negotiating power, which can lead to lower gross margins for the segment. A reduction in business from these key customers could materially impact the segment's revenue and profitability.
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Autonomous Trucks: The rapid development and testing of autonomous vehicle technology in the trucking sector poses a significant emerging threat. While specialized and open-deck transportation, Daseke's core business, presents unique challenges for full autonomy, the continuous advancements in perception, planning, and control systems by companies like Waymo Via and Aurora indicate a future where autonomous trucks could handle an increasing array of long-haul and potentially more complex specialized routes over time. Should autonomous technology mature and become economically viable for portions of the specialized freight market, it could drastically alter operational costs by reducing reliance on human drivers, a major expense for Daseke. This shift could lead to new competitors with significantly lower operating expenses or force existing carriers to make substantial investments in new technology and fleet transformation, potentially eroding market share and profitability if not adapted to proactively.
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Distribution Solutions Group (DSGR) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next two to three years through several key initiatives:- Strategic Acquisitions: DSGR has a history of strategic acquisitions, such as Source Atlantic in 2024 and Tech Component Resources in Southeast Asia in 2025, which have significantly contributed to revenue growth. The company is positioned for continued accretive acquisitions in fragmented markets.
- Organic Growth Initiatives: The company is focused on internal strategies including sales force transformation, expanded CRM adoption, and the growth of its 24/7 web platform. Additionally, targeted investments in digital and e-commerce capabilities are anticipated to boost sales productivity and unlock growth. Cross-selling synergies across its businesses are also expected to contribute to revenue expansion.
- Expansion in Key End Markets and Geographies: DSGR's Gexpro Services segment is experiencing strong growth in end markets such as renewable energy, aerospace and defense, industrial power, and technology. The company is also focusing on diversifying across multiple verticals and expanding its investments in personnel and locations, particularly in Europe and Southeast Asia. Customer interest in domestic manufacturing capabilities to mitigate tariff impacts also supports growth in these areas.
- Realization of Operational Synergies: While primarily impacting profitability, the successful execution of operational synergies, including facility consolidations and improved sourcing, is expected to lead to margin expansion. This enhanced profitability can then enable further investment in growth-driving initiatives, indirectly supporting revenue growth.
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Share Repurchases
- In December 2023, the Board of Directors authorized an additional $25 million for common share repurchases, with approximately $4 million remaining under previous authorizations.
- Distribution Solutions Group repurchased approximately $3.6 million of its common stock during fiscal year 2023.
- During the first nine months of 2025, the company repurchased approximately $20 million in shares, with about $6 million still available under the authorized program.
Share Issuance
- In May 2023, the company completed a rights offering that raised approximately $100 million in gross proceeds through the issuance of 2,222,222 shares of common stock at a subscription price of $45.00 per share.
- As part of the TestEquity merger in April 2022, Distribution Solutions Group issued 3,300,000 shares of common stock to TestEquity equity holders.
Outbound Investments
- In June 2023, Distribution Solutions Group acquired HIS Company, Inc. (Hisco) for a total purchase consideration of $267.3 million, net of cash acquired. This acquisition was partly funded by proceeds from a rights offering.
- The company deployed approximately $216.0 million to complete five strategic acquisitions during 2024, expanding its scale, customer base, and product offerings.
- Since its formation in April 2022 through the strategic combination of Lawson Products, Gexpro Services, and TestEquity, the company has invested nearly $450 million in cash and debt across nine acquired businesses.
Capital Expenditures
- Net capital expenditures for 2024 were $14.4 million.
- The expected net capital expenditures for 2025 are in the range of $22 million to $25 million.
- Capital expenditures are primarily focused on strategic growth initiatives, efficiency improvements, digital transformation, and logistics infrastructure.
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Peer Comparisons for Distribution Solutions
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 73.94 |
| Mkt Cap | 7.7 |
| Rev LTM | 4,235 |
| Op Inc LTM | 417 |
| FCF LTM | 311 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 389 |
| CFO LTM | 373 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 450 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 5.9% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 5.9% |
| Rev Chg Q | 9.9% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.4% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 9.7% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 10.5% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 11.0% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 12.0% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 7.6% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 8.9% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $30.06 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 1.4 | |
| First Trading Date | 12/29/2006 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -13.6% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $28.03 | $28.55 |
| DMA Trend | indeterminate | indeterminate |
| Distance from DMA | 7.3% | 5.3% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 30.0% | 36.0% |
| Downside Capture | 138.43 | 117.04 |
| Upside Capture | 142.32 | 85.04 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 42.2% | 51.7% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.52 | 0.95 | 0.96 | 1.24 | 0.97 | 1.08 |
| Up Beta | 1.67 | 1.13 | 1.18 | 1.92 | 0.99 | 1.18 |
| Down Beta | 1.30 | -0.32 | 0.51 | 0.68 | 0.86 | 0.96 |
| Up Capture | 148% | 138% | 75% | 104% | 73% | 100% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 11 | 23 | 37 | 72 | 143 | 431 |
| Stock +ve Days | 11 | 21 | 30 | 56 | 114 | 368 |
| Down Capture | 165% | 131% | 134% | 142% | 113% | 103% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 11 | 18 | 27 | 55 | 108 | 320 |
| Stock -ve Days | 11 | 20 | 34 | 70 | 136 | 378 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| DSGR vs. Other Asset Classes (Last 1Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DSGR | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | -11.2% | 25.4% | 19.8% | 70.5% | 3.8% | 10.2% | -1.0% |
| Annualized Volatility | 35.8% | 18.9% | 19.3% | 20.0% | 15.3% | 16.7% | 34.5% |
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.27 | 1.06 | 0.81 | 2.56 | 0.04 | 0.41 | 0.07 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 56.8% | 51.8% | -0.5% | 12.4% | 37.1% | 23.8% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLI, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, Bitcoin = BTCUSD
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Based On 5-Year Data
| DSGR vs. Other Asset Classes (Last 5Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DSGR | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | 4.2% | 14.9% | 14.1% | 19.4% | 11.1% | 6.1% | 20.0% |
| Annualized Volatility | 41.2% | 17.2% | 17.1% | 15.6% | 18.7% | 18.8% | 48.1% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.22 | 0.70 | 0.66 | 1.00 | 0.47 | 0.23 | 0.45 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 42.2% | 36.3% | 5.5% | 9.6% | 30.3% | 15.0% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLI, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| DSGR vs. Other Asset Classes (Last 10Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DSGR | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | 10.8% | 14.9% | 15.5% | 14.8% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 70.8% |
| Annualized Volatility | 43.4% | 19.9% | 18.0% | 14.8% | 17.6% | 20.8% | 55.7% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.39 | 0.66 | 0.75 | 0.83 | 0.35 | 0.25 | 0.91 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 46.5% | 41.7% | -1.2% | 17.0% | 36.7% | 11.4% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLI, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 09/30/2025 | 10/30/2025 | 10-Q (09/30/2025) |
| 06/30/2025 | 07/31/2025 | 10-Q (06/30/2025) |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/01/2025 | 10-Q (03/31/2025) |
| 12/31/2024 | 03/06/2025 | 10-K (12/31/2024) |
| 09/30/2024 | 10/31/2024 | 10-Q (09/30/2024) |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/01/2024 | 10-Q (06/30/2024) |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/02/2024 | 10-Q (03/31/2024) |
| 12/31/2023 | 03/07/2024 | 10-K (12/31/2023) |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/02/2023 | 10-Q (09/30/2023) |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/03/2023 | 10-Q (06/30/2023) |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/10/2023 | 10-Q (03/31/2023) |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/14/2023 | 10-K (12/31/2022) |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/03/2022 | 10-Q (09/30/2022) |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/09/2022 | 10-Q (06/30/2022) |
| 03/31/2022 | 04/28/2022 | 10-Q (03/31/2022) |
| 12/31/2021 | 02/24/2022 | 10-K (12/31/2021) |
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