Transcat (TRNS)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $59.64 | Market Cap: $555.9 MilSector: Industrials | Industry: Diversified Support Services
Transcat (TRNS)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $59.64Market Cap: $555.9 MilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Diversified Support Services
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -84%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -91% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 37x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 60x |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 49% | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.5% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Automation & Robotics, Advanced Aviation & Space, and Hydrogen Economy. Themes include Factory Automation, Show more. | Key risksTRNS key risks include [1] high debt and integration challenges stemming from its aggressive acquisition strategy. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 49% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Automation & Robotics, Advanced Aviation & Space, and Hydrogen Economy. Themes include Factory Automation, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -84%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -91% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 37x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 60x |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.5% |
| Key risksTRNS key risks include [1] high debt and integration challenges stemming from its aggressive acquisition strategy. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
TRNS Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
For the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025, Transcat (TRNS) stock experienced an approximate decline of 29.1%, moving from around $73 in late August 2025 to a 52-week low of $51.78 by December 8, 2025. Several key factors contributed to this movement.
1. Q2 Fiscal Year 2026 Earnings Miss: Transcat reported its second-quarter fiscal year 2026 financial results on November 3, 2025, with earnings per share of $0.44, which missed analysts' consensus estimates of $0.46. This announcement led to a 2.79% drop in the stock on the day of the report.
2. Attainment of a New 52-Week Low: On December 8, 2025, Transcat shares reached a new 52-week low, trading as low as $51.78 during the day. This indicated a persistent downward trend and significant selling pressure on the stock during the period.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| TRNS Return | 9% | 167% | -23% | 54% | -3% | -43% | 89% |
| Peers Return | 29% | 23% | -17% | 18% | 11% | 15% | 99% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| TRNS Win Rate | 58% | 92% | 50% | 58% | 50% | 42% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 57% | 67% | 38% | 62% | 53% | 57% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| TRNS Max Drawdown | -36% | -3% | -44% | 0% | -13% | -51% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -36% | -5% | -37% | -12% | -11% | -24% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: FTV, KEYS, AME, MKSI, BMI.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | TRNS | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -47.9% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 91.8% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 404 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -38.5% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 62.5% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 264 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -26.7% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 36.4% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 122 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -53.3% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 114.3% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 672 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to TRI, CBZ, CTAS, CPRT, LDOS
In The Past
Transcat's stock fell -47.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/12/2021. A -47.9% loss requires a 91.8% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| Transcat Earnings Notes | |||
| Can Transcat Stock Recover If Markets Fall? | Return | ||
| Day 7 of Gains Streak for Transcat Stock with 12% Return (vs. -14% YTD) [8/25/2025] | Notification | ||
| Day 6 of Gains Streak for Transcat Stock with 11% Return (vs. -14% YTD) [8/22/2025] | Notification | ||
| Why Transcat Stock Moved: TRNS Stock Has Lost 45% Since 2023 Fiscal End, Primarily Due To Unfavorable Change In Price To Sales Multiple (P/S) | |||
| TRNS Dip Buy Analysis | |||
| Should You Buy Transcat Stock? | Buy or Fear | ||
| Transcat (TRNS) Valuation Ratios Comparison | Financials | ||
| Transcat (TRNS) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | ||
| Transcat (TRNS) Net Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| ARTICLES | |||
| Stocks Trading At 52-Week Low | November 5th, 2025 | ||
| Market Movers | Winners: SATS, UP, DOMO | Losers: AGL, TRNS, VTLE | August 26th, 2025 | ||
| TRNS Stock Up 12% after 7-Day Win Streak | August 25th, 2025 | ||
| TRNS Stock Up 11% after 6-Day Win Streak | August 22nd, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to TRNS. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 16.3% | 16.3% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.2% | 3.2% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 5.6% | 5.6% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | -0.4% | -0.4% | -0.4% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 16.3% | 16.3% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.2% | 3.2% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 5.6% | 5.6% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | -0.4% | -0.4% | -0.4% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Transcat
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 164.78 |
| Mkt Cap | 14.1 |
| Rev LTM | 4,537 |
| Op Inc LTM | 721 |
| FCF LTM | 809 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 786 |
| CFO LTM | 949 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 929 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 10.0% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 7.9% |
| Rev Chg Q | 10.9% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.6% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 17.1% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 18.1% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 18.9% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 19.7% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 16.7% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 18.1% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 14.1 |
| P/S | 3.8 |
| P/EBIT | 24.6 |
| P/E | 33.9 |
| P/CFO | 17.7 |
| Total Yield | 3.7% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.6% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 4.2% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 7.2% |
| 3M Rtn | 11.2% |
| 6M Rtn | 8.2% |
| 12M Rtn | 1.7% |
| 3Y Rtn | 31.7% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 6.5% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 7.7% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -4.2% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -10.3% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -42.2% |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/3/2025 | -11.7% | -16.8% | -24.3% |
| 8/7/2025 | 2.7% | 10.2% | 0.3% |
| 5/20/2025 | 16.2% | 13.4% | -0.1% |
| 1/28/2025 | -12.7% | -22.1% | -16.2% |
| 10/29/2024 | -16.8% | -17.2% | -11.6% |
| 7/30/2024 | -13.5% | -19.9% | -7.4% |
| 5/21/2024 | 14.3% | 7.8% | -2.7% |
| 1/30/2024 | 6.7% | 6.7% | 1.6% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 15 | 13 | 12 |
| # Negative | 8 | 10 | 11 |
| Median Positive | 5.8% | 10.2% | 12.3% |
| Median Negative | -12.8% | -13.4% | -7.4% |
| Max Positive | 17.9% | 18.1% | 21.1% |
| Max Negative | -16.8% | -22.6% | -24.3% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11052025 | 10-Q 9/27/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8062025 | 10-Q 6/28/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5272025 | 10-K 3/29/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2052025 | 10-Q 12/28/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11062024 | 10-Q 9/28/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8072024 | 10-Q 6/29/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5282024 | 10-K 3/30/2024 |
| 12312023 | 1312024 | 10-Q 12/23/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11012023 | 10-Q 9/23/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8022023 | 10-Q 6/24/2023 |
| 3312023 | 6062023 | 10-K 3/25/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2012023 | 10-Q 12/24/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11022022 | 10-Q 9/24/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8032022 | 10-Q 6/25/2022 |
| 3312022 | 6092022 | 10-K 3/26/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2022022 | 10-Q 12/25/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |