MSC Industrial Direct (MSM)
Market Price (2/10/2026): $94.25 | Market Cap: $5.3 BilSector: Industrials | Industry: Trading Companies & Distributors
MSC Industrial Direct (MSM)
Market Price (2/10/2026): $94.25Market Cap: $5.3 BilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Trading Companies & Distributors
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 28% | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -1.4%, Dist 3Y High is -1.4% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is 0.1% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Automation & Robotics, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Factory Automation, Process / Warehouse Automation, Show more. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -38%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -49% | Key risksMSM key risks include [1] soft demand in its key manufacturing markets leading to declines in net sales and [2] operational inefficiencies and challenges executing strategic initiatives, Show more. |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 28% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Automation & Robotics, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Factory Automation, Process / Warehouse Automation, Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -1.4%, Dist 3Y High is -1.4% |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -38%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -49% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is 0.1% |
| Key risksMSM key risks include [1] soft demand in its key manufacturing markets leading to declines in net sales and [2] operational inefficiencies and challenges executing strategic initiatives, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
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MSC Industrial Direct (MSM) stock has gained about 15% since 10/31/2025 because of the following key factors:
1. Exceeded Fiscal Q4 2025 Earnings Expectations.MSC Industrial Direct reported strong financial results for its fiscal fourth quarter of 2025, which were announced on October 23, 2025. The company posted an earnings per share (EPS) of $1.09, surpassing analysts' forecasts of $1.01. Revenue also slightly exceeded expectations at $978.2 million, compared to an anticipated $963.02 million. Following this announcement, the stock saw a pre-market increase of 3.98%, reflecting positive investor confidence. Key operational highlights included a 4.1% year-over-year increase in daily sales to core customers and a 10% year-over-year expansion in its solutions footprint, particularly in vending installations.
2. Strong Fiscal Q1 2026 Performance.The positive momentum continued with the announcement of fiscal first-quarter 2026 results on January 7, 2026. MSC Industrial Direct once again surpassed analyst consensus estimates, reporting an EPS of $0.99 against a forecast of $0.95. Quarterly revenue grew 4.0% year-over-year to $965.7 million, also exceeding analyst predictions of $962.52 million. The company's adjusted diluted EPS demonstrated a substantial 15.1% year-over-year growth.
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1. Exceeded Fiscal Q4 2025 Earnings Expectations.MSC Industrial Direct reported strong financial results for its fiscal fourth quarter of 2025, which were announced on October 23, 2025. The company posted an earnings per share (EPS) of $1.09, surpassing analysts' forecasts of $1.01. Revenue also slightly exceeded expectations at $978.2 million, compared to an anticipated $963.02 million. Following this announcement, the stock saw a pre-market increase of 3.98%, reflecting positive investor confidence. Key operational highlights included a 4.1% year-over-year increase in daily sales to core customers and a 10% year-over-year expansion in its solutions footprint, particularly in vending installations.
2. Strong Fiscal Q1 2026 Performance.The positive momentum continued with the announcement of fiscal first-quarter 2026 results on January 7, 2026. MSC Industrial Direct once again surpassed analyst consensus estimates, reporting an EPS of $0.99 against a forecast of $0.95. Quarterly revenue grew 4.0% year-over-year to $965.7 million, also exceeding analyst predictions of $962.52 million. The company's adjusted diluted EPS demonstrated a substantial 15.1% year-over-year growth.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 13.2% change in MSM stock from 10/31/2025 to 2/9/2026 was primarily driven by a 10.4% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 10312025 | 2092026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 83.21 | 94.18 | 13.2% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 3,770 | 3,807 | 1.0% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 5.3% | 5.4% | 1.6% |
| P/E Multiple | 23.3 | 25.7 | 10.4% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 56 | 56 | -0.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 13.2% |
Market Drivers
10/31/2025 to 2/9/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MSM | 13.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 1.7% | 14.5% |
| Sector (XLI) | 12.0% | 43.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 10.9% change in MSM stock from 7/31/2025 to 2/9/2026 was primarily driven by a 7.9% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 7312025 | 2092026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 84.89 | 94.18 | 10.9% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 3,744 | 3,807 | 1.7% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 5.3% | 5.4% | 1.3% |
| P/E Multiple | 23.8 | 25.7 | 7.9% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 56 | 56 | -0.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 10.9% |
Market Drivers
7/31/2025 to 2/9/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MSM | 10.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 10.1% | 24.2% |
| Sector (XLI) | 14.7% | 52.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 22.1% change in MSM stock from 1/31/2025 to 2/9/2026 was primarily driven by a 40.6% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 1312025 | 2092026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 77.12 | 94.18 | 22.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 3,795 | 3,807 | 0.3% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 6.2% | 5.4% | -13.6% |
| P/E Multiple | 18.3 | 25.7 | 40.6% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 56 | 56 | 0.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 22.1% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2025 to 2/9/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MSM | 22.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 16.3% | 52.9% |
| Sector (XLI) | 26.8% | 66.1% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 27.9% change in MSM stock from 1/31/2023 to 2/9/2026 was primarily driven by a 121.7% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 1312023 | 2092026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 73.64 | 94.18 | 27.9% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 3,801 | 3,807 | 0.1% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 9.3% | 5.4% | -42.5% |
| P/E Multiple | 11.6 | 25.7 | 121.7% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 56 | 56 | 0.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 27.9% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2023 to 2/9/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MSM | 27.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 77.1% | 49.0% |
| Sector (XLI) | 78.0% | 65.4% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| MSM Return | 3% | 1% | 29% | -23% | 17% | 15% | 38% |
| Peers Return | 26% | -5% | 44% | 38% | 15% | 20% | 231% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 1% | 85% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| MSM Win Rate | 58% | 42% | 67% | 33% | 58% | 100% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 62% | 43% | 60% | 63% | 53% | 100% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| MSM Max Drawdown | -7% | -12% | -6% | -25% | -5% | -3% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -8% | -23% | -6% | -11% | -11% | -1% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -1% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: GWW, FAST, AIT, DXPE, GIC. See MSM Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 2/9/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | MSM | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -24.7% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 32.8% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 255 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -40.7% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 68.7% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 232 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -37.8% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 60.8% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -52.2% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 109.0% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 397 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to GWW, FAST, AIT, DXPE, GIC
In The Past
MSC Industrial Direct's stock fell -24.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 5/14/2021. A -24.7% loss requires a 32.8% gain to breakeven.
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About MSC Industrial Direct (MSM)
MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc., together with its subsidiaries, distributes metalworking and maintenance, repair, and operations (MRO) products and services in the United States, Canada, Mexico, and the United Kingdom. Its MRO products include cutting tools, measuring instruments, tooling components, metalworking products, fasteners, flat stock products, raw materials, abrasives, machinery hand and power tools, safety and janitorial supplies, plumbing supplies, materials handling products, power transmission components, and electrical supplies. The company offers approximately 1.9 million stock-keeping units through its catalogs and brochures; e-commerce channels, including its Website, mscdirect.com; inventory management solutions; and call-centers and branches. It operates through a distribution network of 28 branch offices, 11 customer fulfilment centers, and seven regional inventory centers. The company serves individual machine shops, Fortune 1000 manufacturing companies, and government agencies, as well as manufacturers of various sizes. MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc. was founded in 1941 and is headquartered in Melville, New York.
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Here are 1-3 brief analogies for MSC Industrial Direct (MSM):
- Amazon for industrial supplies and maintenance, repair, and operations (MRO) products.
- A B2B version of Home Depot or Lowe's, but for factories, manufacturers, and other businesses.
- Grainger, but for a broad range of industrial and manufacturing MRO needs.
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- Metalworking and MRO Products: A comprehensive catalog of industrial supplies including cutting tools, abrasives, measuring instruments, safety products, and janitorial supplies.
- Inventory Management Solutions: Services like vending machines, crib management, and customer-specific stocking programs designed to optimize MRO inventory and reduce costs.
- Technical Consulting and Support: Expert advice and assistance on product selection, application optimization, and process improvement for industrial operations.
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MSC Industrial Direct (MSM) primarily sells to other companies and institutions, operating as a business-to-business (B2B) distributor.
Due to the nature of its business as a broad distributor of Maintenance, Repair, and Operations (MRO) products and services, MSC serves hundreds of thousands of customers across diverse sectors. As such, it does not typically disclose specific "major customer companies" by name, as no single customer or small group of customers accounts for a material portion of its revenue. Instead, its customer base is highly fragmented and categorized by industry or type.
The major categories of customers that MSC Industrial Direct serves include:
Manufacturing Companies: This extensive category includes discrete manufacturers (e.g., aerospace, automotive, heavy equipment, machinery) and process manufacturers that rely on MSC for a wide array of MRO supplies, metalworking tools, and industrial equipment to maintain their operations.
Government Entities: Federal, state, and local government agencies, including military bases and defense contractors, are significant customers for industrial supplies and services to maintain facilities and equipment.
Other Industrial Businesses and Institutions: This broad category encompasses a variety of other industrial operations, contractors, utilities, educational institutions, and service providers that require MRO products to keep their facilities and operations running efficiently.
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Erik Gershwind, Chief Executive Officer
Erik Gershwind has served as Chief Executive Officer of MSC Industrial Supply Co. since 2013 and is also a member of MSC's Board of Directors. He is the grandson of MSC's founder, Sidney Jacobson. During his more than 25-year tenure with MSC, he has held various leadership roles, including Sales, Product Management, Marketing, eCommerce, and Strategy, and was appointed Chief Operating Officer in 2009 and President in 2011. Under his leadership, MSC's revenue grew approximately 70% to $3.4 billion, and he has led the company's transformation from a spot-buy supplier to a trusted advisor. He graduated summa cum laude from the Wharton School of Business at the University of Pennsylvania with a bachelor's degree in economics and magna cum laude from Harvard Law School.
Martina McIsaac, President and Chief Operating Officer, Incoming Chief Executive Officer
Martina McIsaac is set to succeed Erik Gershwind as Chief Executive Officer, effective January 1, 2026, while also retaining her role as President and joining the Board of Directors. She joined MSC in 2022 and became President and Chief Operating Officer in 2024. Her responsibilities have included Sales, Field Service, Category Management, Procurement, Pricing, Supply Chain, Sustainability, and IT.
Greg Clark, Interim Chief Financial Officer
Greg Clark is the Interim Chief Financial Officer and Vice President of Finance and Corporate Controller for MSC Industrial Direct Co. Inc. He assumed the interim CFO position following the resignation of Kristen Actis-Grande, effective August 8, 2025. Clark has been with MSC for 22 years and previously served as interim CFO in 2020. He reports directly to the Chief Executive Officer.
Mitchell Jacobson, Chairman of the Board
Mitchell Jacobson serves as the non-executive Chairman of the Board for MSC Industrial Direct. He is the son of the company's founder, Sidney Jacobson, and Erik Gershwind's uncle. He was instrumental in growing the family business to a national platform.
Gregory Polli, Senior Vice President, Product Management
Gregory Polli has been the Senior Vice President of Product Management at MSC Industrial Direct Co. Inc. since July 2015. He has held various positions of increasing responsibility in product management and merchandising since joining the company in 1988, including Vice President, Product Management, Vice President, Metalworking, and Vice President, Product. He graduated from Hofstra University with a bachelor's degree in marketing.
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Key Risks to MSC Industrial Direct (MSM)
- Macroeconomic Softness and Demand Uncertainty: MSC Industrial Direct faces significant risk from a challenging macroeconomic environment, particularly sustained soft demand in key manufacturing sectors. Industrial Production (IP) readings have shown contraction, directly impacting the company's performance. Factors such as tariff uncertainty, potential inflation, and elevated interest rates contribute to hesitancy among customers and overall demand volatility in industrial end markets, including automotive, heavy truck, and general manufacturing. This macroeconomic pressure has led to declines in net sales and adjusted diluted earnings per share for the company.
- Highly Competitive Landscape: The industrial distribution sector in which MSC Industrial Direct operates is intensely competitive. The company faces numerous rivals offering similar metalworking and maintenance, repair, and operations (MRO) products. Maintaining market share, pricing power, and service levels is crucial amidst this competition, which can also involve aggressive pricing strategies. Continuous innovation and differentiation of its offerings are essential for MSC Industrial Direct to sustain its market position and avoid losing share to competitors.
- Operational Inefficiencies and Execution of Strategic Initiatives: MSC Industrial Direct is susceptible to risks related to operational inefficiencies and the successful execution of its strategic initiatives. The company has experienced rising operating expenses and decreased gross profit margins, influenced by increased material costs and shifts in customer mix towards lower-margin sales. The successful implementation and realization of benefits from ongoing strategic initiatives, such as digital enhancements, sales optimization, and network rationalization, are critical. Delays or underperformance in these areas could hinder the company's ability to offset macroeconomic headwinds and improve its bottom line.
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MSC Industrial Direct (symbol: MSM) operates within the vast industrial distribution market, offering a comprehensive range of metalworking and maintenance, repair, and operations (MRO) products and services. The company's main product and service categories include cutting tools, industrial fasteners, safety and janitorial supplies (including Personal Protective Equipment), and industrial vending solutions for MRO supplies. The addressable markets for these offerings are substantial, primarily within North America and specifically the United States.
Addressable Markets for MSC Industrial Direct's Main Products and Services:
- Industrial Distribution Market (U.S. & North America):
- The U.S. industrial distribution market was estimated at approximately USD 2.902 trillion in 2024 and is projected to reach around USD 4.758 trillion by 2034, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 5.06% from 2025 to 2034.
- Another estimate placed the USA Industrial Distribution Market at USD 2.84 trillion.
- The North America MRO (Maintenance, Repair, and Operations) market size was valued at USD 25.77 billion in 2024 and is anticipated to reach USD 35.23 billion by 2033, growing at a CAGR of 3.28% from 2025 to 2033. The U.S. alone accounted for 87.3% of the North American MRO distribution market share in 2024.
- The United States Maintenance, Repair, and Operations (MRO) market is valued at approximately USD 91 billion.
- Industrial Fasteners Market (U.S.):
- The U.S. industrial fasteners market size was estimated at USD 16.75 billion in 2022 and is projected to grow at a CAGR of 2.9% from 2023 to 2030.
- It was valued at USD 17.20 billion in 2023 and is expected to reach USD 22.89 billion by 2033, with a CAGR of 2.9% from 2023 to 2033.
- Projections also indicate the U.S. industrial fasteners market will reach US$ 26.5 billion in 2025 with a CAGR of 4.9%.
- Cutting Tools Market (U.S. & North America):
- The U.S. cutting tools market has a total available market of approximately $5 billion.
- The North America cutting tools market was valued at USD 2.6 billion in 2024.
- The metal cutting tools market in the U.S. is projected to grow significantly, reaching an estimated value of USD 35.42 billion by 2032.
- Industrial Safety Products Market (U.S. & North America):
- The U.S. functional safety products market size is projected to reach USD 7 billion in 2025.
- The global industrial safety market size was valued at USD 6.74 billion in 2023 and is expected to reach USD 12.39 billion by 2032, growing at a CAGR of 7% over the forecast period 2024-2032. North America held the highest market share in industrial safety, accounting for 34% of total revenue in 2023.
- The industrial safety market in North America is expected to achieve a market value of $1,869.4 million by 2028.
- Industrial Vending Machine Market (North America):
- The North American industrial vending machine market size is estimated at US$ 992.7 million for 2024.
- North America holds approximately 45% of the global industrial vending machine market share.
- The global industrial vending machine market size was estimated at USD 3.282 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 5.767 billion by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 9.9% from 2025 to 2030. North America held the largest revenue share of 34.9% in 2024.
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Here are 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth for MSC Industrial Direct (MSM) over the next 2-3 years:
- Re-energizing Core Customers and Driving Daily Sales Growth: MSC Industrial Direct is focused on returning to consistent daily sales growth, particularly within its core customer segments. The company reported a return to daily sales growth for both its core customer segment and the total company in the fiscal fourth quarter of 2025. This momentum is expected to continue, with guidance for the first quarter of fiscal year 2026 projecting an increase of 3.5% to 4.5% year-over-year in average daily sales. Management has also expressed an ambition to outgrow the industrial production index by at least 400 basis points.
- Expansion of High-Touch and Digital Solutions: The company is leveraging its "high-touch" solutions, such as vending and in-plant programs, which contribute to consistent, recurring revenue streams by enhancing customer relationships and ensuring automated replenishment. For example, Q3 fiscal year 2024 saw a 2% year-over-year improvement in vending average daily sales and approximately 4% growth in sales through in-plant programs. Concurrently, MSC is driving revenue growth through its digital transformation, with digital sales accounting for a significant portion of revenue (63.64% in Q2 fiscal year 2025). This involves continuous website enhancements and targeted marketing campaigns to deepen customer engagement and reduce reliance on one-time purchases.
- Strategic Market Expansion and Product Innovation: MSC Industrial Direct aims to expand its presence in key markets, both geographically and within existing customer segments. The company continually introduces new products and services to meet the evolving needs of its diverse customer base, ranging from small machine shops to large manufacturing companies. These strategic initiatives and product innovations are considered pivotal in driving future growth.
- Leveraging Sector Tailwinds from Reshoring and Potential Lower Interest Rates: The industrial sector, in which MSC operates, is anticipated to benefit from significant tailwinds. Reshoring efforts in manufacturing, accelerated by government initiatives, are expected to drive increased demand for domestic manufacturing and infrastructure projects, thereby increasing capital expenditures and demand for MRO products that MSC supplies. Additionally, expected lower interest rates in 2025 could further incentivize manufacturers to upgrade equipment and expand operations, directly benefiting MSC's core customer base.
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Share Repurchases
- MSC Industrial Direct returned approximately $229 million to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases in fiscal 2025, including the repurchase of approximately 496,000 shares.
- For the 26-week period ending March 1, 2025, the company repurchased $30.5 million of Class A Common Stock. This figure was lower than the $148.7 million in the prior fiscal year's comparable period, which included repurchases to offset dilution from a common stock reclassification.
- Between March 2, 2025, and May 31, 2025, MSC Industrial Direct repurchased 115,781 shares totaling $8.46 million, completing a previous authorization of 3,586,577 shares.
Share Issuance
- No significant share issuances for capital raising purposes were identified. Small amounts of treasury stock were reissued to fund the Associate Stock Purchase Plan.
Inbound Investments
- No information was found regarding large inbound investments made in the company by third-parties.
Outbound Investments
- Net sales from recent acquisitions contributed $21.0 million to MSC Industrial Direct's revenue in fiscal 2025.
- The company's capital allocation strategy prioritizes pursuing strategic bolt-on mergers and acquisitions.
- MSC Industrial Direct intends to selectively pursue strategic acquisitions to expand or complement its business in new and existing markets.
Capital Expenditures
- MSC Industrial Direct projects capital expenditures to be between $100 million and $110 million for fiscal year 2026.
- The primary focus for these capital expenditures is on investments in digital infrastructure, vending expansion, and initiatives to improve supply-chain productivity.
- For the 39 weeks ending May 31, 2025, capital expenditures amounted to $71.1 million.
Latest Trefis Analyses
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|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 122.92 |
| Mkt Cap | 7.9 |
| Rev LTM | 4,280 |
| Op Inc LTM | 418 |
| FCF LTM | 313 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 396 |
| CFO LTM | 375 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 456 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 5.5% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 5.1% |
| Rev Chg Q | 7.3% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.7% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 9.8% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 10.5% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 8.6% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 10.8% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 6.1% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 9.0% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 7.9 |
| P/S | 1.8 |
| P/EBIT | 18.8 |
| P/E | 26.8 |
| P/CFO | 24.3 |
| Total Yield | 4.0% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.4% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 5.7% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 11.5% |
| 3M Rtn | 17.0% |
| 6M Rtn | 10.6% |
| 12M Rtn | 25.5% |
| 3Y Rtn | 89.2% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 11.4% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 13.7% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 0.7% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 10.0% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 14.6% |
Comparison Analyses
Price Behavior
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $94.18 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 5.3 | |
| First Trading Date | 12/15/1995 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -1.4% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $85.71 | $84.44 |
| DMA Trend | up | indeterminate |
| Distance from DMA | 9.9% | 11.5% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 29.7% | 28.6% |
| Downside Capture | 45.93 | 72.11 |
| Upside Capture | 88.49 | 81.26 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 17.1% | 53.0% |
MSM Betas & Captures as of 1/31/2026
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.05 | 0.40 | 0.52 | 0.65 | 0.80 | 0.84 |
| Up Beta | 1.89 | 1.87 | 0.72 | 0.84 | 0.92 | 0.98 |
| Down Beta | -0.23 | -0.24 | -0.35 | 0.22 | 0.61 | 0.70 |
| Up Capture | -0% | 38% | 88% | 63% | 72% | 48% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 11 | 22 | 34 | 71 | 142 | 430 |
| Stock +ve Days | 12 | 23 | 33 | 65 | 129 | 390 |
| Down Capture | -37% | 62% | 89% | 91% | 90% | 97% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 9 | 19 | 27 | 54 | 109 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 8 | 18 | 28 | 60 | 122 | 360 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with MSM | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSM | 21.7% | 28.5% | 0.68 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLI) | 27.5% | 19.2% | 1.14 | 66.1% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.5% | 19.4% | 0.62 | 52.8% |
| Gold (GLD) | 78.8% | 24.9% | 2.30 | 0.3% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 9.9% | 16.6% | 0.40 | 16.6% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 4.8% | 16.5% | 0.11 | 50.6% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -27.0% | 44.8% | -0.57 | 13.9% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with MSM | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSM | 7.1% | 24.6% | 0.26 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLI) | 16.4% | 17.2% | 0.77 | 67.8% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.2% | 17.0% | 0.67 | 53.2% |
| Gold (GLD) | 22.3% | 16.9% | 1.07 | 5.7% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 11.6% | 18.9% | 0.49 | 14.5% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.0% | 18.8% | 0.17 | 49.0% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 14.7% | 58.0% | 0.47 | 14.9% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with MSM | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSM | 8.5% | 26.4% | 0.34 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLI) | 15.3% | 19.8% | 0.68 | 65.2% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.5% | 17.9% | 0.74 | 54.1% |
| Gold (GLD) | 15.8% | 15.5% | 0.85 | -0.6% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.3% | 17.6% | 0.39 | 20.9% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 6.0% | 20.7% | 0.25 | 44.1% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 69.0% | 66.8% | 1.08 | 6.0% |
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Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 1/7/2026 | -3.5% | 0.1% | |
| 10/23/2025 | 3.1% | -3.3% | -3.1% |
| 7/1/2025 | 6.2% | 7.7% | 2.8% |
| 4/3/2025 | -5.2% | -4.0% | -0.9% |
| 1/8/2025 | 3.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% |
| 10/24/2024 | -3.8% | 1.5% | 5.1% |
| 7/2/2024 | 2.3% | -2.1% | 14.9% |
| 3/28/2024 | -2.5% | -4.0% | -5.5% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 11 | 14 | 18 |
| # Negative | 13 | 10 | 5 |
| Median Positive | 2.4% | 1.8% | 4.1% |
| Median Negative | -3.1% | -3.1% | -4.7% |
| Max Positive | 6.2% | 10.9% | 33.1% |
| Max Negative | -7.5% | -10.2% | -5.7% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 11/30/2025 | 01/07/2026 | 10-Q |
| 08/31/2025 | 10/23/2025 | 10-K |
| 05/31/2025 | 07/01/2025 | 10-Q |
| 02/28/2025 | 04/03/2025 | 10-Q |
| 11/30/2024 | 01/08/2025 | 10-Q |
| 08/31/2024 | 10/24/2024 | 10-K |
| 05/31/2024 | 07/02/2024 | 10-Q |
| 02/29/2024 | 03/28/2024 | 10-Q |
| 11/30/2023 | 01/09/2024 | 10-Q |
| 08/31/2023 | 10/25/2023 | 10-K |
| 05/31/2023 | 06/29/2023 | 10-Q |
| 02/28/2023 | 04/04/2023 | 10-Q |
| 11/30/2022 | 01/05/2023 | 10-Q |
| 08/31/2022 | 10/20/2022 | 10-K |
| 05/31/2022 | 06/29/2022 | 10-Q |
| 02/28/2022 | 03/30/2022 | 10-Q |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Peller, Philip | Direct | Buy | 11172025 | 90.14 | 6,666 | 600,873 | 859,665 | Form | |
| 2 | Jacobson, Mitchell | Direct | Buy | 11032025 | 84.92 | 95,779 | 8,133,974 | 188,472,296 | Form | |
| 3 | Jacobson, Mitchell | Direct | Buy | 11032025 | 84.76 | 34,073 | 2,888,167 | 191,004,710 | Form | |
| 4 | Jacobson, Mitchell | Direct | Buy | 11032025 | 84.43 | 51,954 | 4,386,290 | 194,630,093 | Form | |
| 5 | Shacklett, Kimberly | SVP, Sales & Customer Success | Direct | Sell | 7112025 | 92.00 | 2,130 | 195,960 | 1,348,444 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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