Driven Brands (DRVN)
Market Price (4/15/2026): $13.34 | Market Cap: $2.2 BilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Automotive Retail
Driven Brands (DRVN)
Market Price (4/15/2026): $13.34Market Cap: $2.2 BilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Automotive Retail
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19% Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11% Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 46% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Evolving Consumer Services, Digital Transformation in Services, and Future of Automotive Aftermarket. Themes include Convenient Automotive Aftermarket Services, Show more. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -46%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -124% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 119% Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -13% Key risksDRVN key risks include [1] securities fraud lawsuits concerning alleged misrepresentations of its business integration and car wash segment performance, Show more. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 46% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Evolving Consumer Services, Digital Transformation in Services, and Future of Automotive Aftermarket. Themes include Convenient Automotive Aftermarket Services, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -46%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -124% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 119% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -13% |
| Key risksDRVN key risks include [1] securities fraud lawsuits concerning alleged misrepresentations of its business integration and car wash segment performance, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
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Driven Brands (DRVN) stock has lost about 10% since 12/31/2025 because of the following key factors:
1. Disclosure of Material Accounting Errors and Financial Restatement. Driven Brands announced material errors in its financial statements for fiscal years 2023 and 2024, as well as quarterly reports through September 2025. These errors, including issues with lease recording, expense misclassification, and cash account discrepancies, necessitated a restatement of financials and delayed the filing of its Q4 2025 results and 2025 annual report. This revelation caused a significant stock decline of approximately 30-40% on February 25, 2026, with the stock falling from a close of $16.61 per share on February 24, 2026, to $11.60 per share on February 25, 2026.
2. Identified Material Weaknesses in Internal Controls. Concurrently with the accounting errors, Driven Brands also disclosed material weaknesses in its internal controls over financial reporting and disclosure controls and procedures as of December 27, 2025. This indicated systemic issues in the company's financial oversight, further eroding investor confidence.
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1. Disclosure of Material Accounting Errors and Financial Restatement. Driven Brands announced material errors in its financial statements for fiscal years 2023 and 2024, as well as quarterly reports through September 2025. These errors, including issues with lease recording, expense misclassification, and cash account discrepancies, necessitated a restatement of financials and delayed the filing of its Q4 2025 results and 2025 annual report. This revelation caused a significant stock decline of approximately 30-40% on February 25, 2026, with the stock falling from a close of $16.61 per share on February 24, 2026, to $11.60 per share on February 25, 2026.
2. Identified Material Weaknesses in Internal Controls. Concurrently with the accounting errors, Driven Brands also disclosed material weaknesses in its internal controls over financial reporting and disclosure controls and procedures as of December 27, 2025. This indicated systemic issues in the company's financial oversight, further eroding investor confidence.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -10.1% change in DRVN stock from 12/31/2025 to 4/14/2026 was primarily driven by a -10.1% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 12312025 | 4142026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 14.82 | 13.33 | -10.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 2,439 | 2,439 | 0.0% |
| P/S Multiple | 1.0 | 0.9 | -10.1% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 164 | 164 | 0.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -10.1% |
Market Drivers
12/31/2025 to 4/14/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| DRVN | -10.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | -5.4% | 2.4% |
| Sector (XLY) | -2.5% | 25.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -17.3% change in DRVN stock from 9/30/2025 to 4/14/2026 was primarily driven by a -17.9% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 9302025 | 4142026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 16.11 | 13.33 | -17.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 2,406 | 2,439 | 1.4% |
| P/S Multiple | 1.1 | 0.9 | -17.9% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 163 | 164 | -0.7% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -17.3% |
Market Drivers
9/30/2025 to 4/14/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| DRVN | -17.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | -2.9% | 5.5% |
| Sector (XLY) | -2.6% | 22.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -22.2% change in DRVN stock from 3/31/2025 to 4/14/2026 was primarily driven by a -24.6% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 3312025 | 4142026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 17.14 | 13.33 | -22.2% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 2,340 | 2,439 | 4.3% |
| P/S Multiple | 1.2 | 0.9 | -24.6% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 162 | 164 | -1.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -22.2% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2025 to 4/14/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| DRVN | -22.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 16.3% | 25.8% |
| Sector (XLY) | 18.6% | 34.8% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -56.0% change in DRVN stock from 3/31/2023 to 4/14/2026 was primarily driven by a -63.1% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 3312023 | 4142026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 30.31 | 13.33 | -56.0% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 2,033 | 2,439 | 20.0% |
| P/S Multiple | 2.4 | 0.9 | -63.1% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 163 | 164 | -0.7% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -56.0% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2023 to 4/14/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| DRVN | -56.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 63.3% | 26.5% |
| Sector (XLY) | 59.3% | 31.0% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| DRVN Return | 26% | -19% | -48% | 13% | -8% | -17% | -54% |
| Peers Return | 40% | -9% | -1% | 3% | -7% | 6% | 27% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | -0% | 81% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| DRVN Win Rate | 67% | 50% | 50% | 58% | 50% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 67% | 40% | 45% | 53% | 47% | 60% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| DRVN Max Drawdown | -15% | -25% | -60% | -25% | -16% | -30% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -7% | -31% | -23% | -14% | -21% | -7% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -7% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: VVV, MCW, MNRO, ORLY, AZO.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 4/14/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | DRVN | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -68.3% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 215.6% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
Compare to VVV, MCW, MNRO, ORLY, AZO
In The Past
Driven Brands's stock fell -68.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/12/2021. A -68.3% loss requires a 215.6% gain to breakeven.
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About Driven Brands (DRVN)
Driven Brands Holdings Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides automotive services to retail and commercial customers in the United States, Canada, and internationally. The company offers various services, such as paint, collision, glass, vehicle repair, car wash, oil change, and maintenance services. It also distributes automotive parts, including radiators, air conditioning components, and exhaust products to automotive repair shops, auto parts stores, body shops, and other auto repair outlets; windshields and glass accessories through a network of distribution centers; and consumable products, such as oil filters and wiper blades, as well as provides training services to repair and maintenance, and paint and collision shops. The company sells its products and services under the Take 5 Oil Change, IMO, CARSTAR, ABRA, Fix Auto, Maaco, Meineke, Uniban, 1-800-Radiator & A/C, PH Vitres D'Autos, Spire Supply, and Automotive Training Institute names. As of December 25, 2021, it operated 4,412 company-operated, franchised, and independently-operated stores. Driven Brands Holdings Inc. was founded in 1972 and is headquartered in Charlotte, North Carolina.
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Driven Brands is like:
- Yum! Brands for automotive services – it owns a portfolio of popular, often franchised, car service chains like Take 5 Oil Change, Maaco, and Meineke, similar to how Yum! Brands owns restaurant chains like KFC and Taco Bell.
- The Procter & Gamble of car maintenance – it manages a broad portfolio of well-known brands covering various aspects of car care, from oil changes and collision repair to car washes and parts distribution.
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- Automotive Maintenance Services: Provides routine vehicle care including oil changes, car washes, and general maintenance services.
- Automotive Repair Services: Offers various mechanical and system repairs for vehicles.
- Automotive Collision & Paint Services: Specializes in vehicle body repair, paintwork, and collision restoration.
- Automotive Glass Services: Delivers repair and replacement solutions for vehicle windshields and other glass components.
- Automotive Parts Distribution: Distributes a variety of automotive components such as radiators, air conditioning parts, exhaust products, and glass accessories to other businesses.
- Automotive Training Services: Provides training programs for repair and maintenance, and paint and collision shops.
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Driven Brands (DRVN) primarily serves individual customers through its extensive network of automotive service centers. The company operates and franchises a variety of well-known brands that cater directly to individual vehicle owners for their maintenance, repair, and cosmetic needs.
Based on the services and brands described, the major categories of individual customers that Driven Brands serves include:
- Everyday Vehicle Owners: These customers seek routine maintenance services such as oil changes, tire services, brake inspections, and general preventative care. Brands like Take 5 Oil Change and Meineke largely cater to this segment, ensuring vehicles remain in good operating condition.
- Vehicle Owners Requiring Collision or Paint Repair: This category includes individuals whose vehicles have sustained damage from accidents or require cosmetic enhancements like full paint jobs or bodywork. Brands such as Maaco, CARSTAR, ABRA, and Fix Auto are dedicated to providing these services.
- Vehicle Owners Needing Specialized or Emergency Repairs: These customers require specific services beyond routine maintenance or collision repair, such as windshield and glass replacement, air conditioning service, or other specialized mechanical diagnostics and repairs. Brands like Uniban (for glass) and specific services offered across the Meineke network address these needs.
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Daniel Rivera President & Chief Executive Officer Daniel Rivera was appointed President and Chief Executive Officer of Driven Brands, effective May 9, 2025. He joined Driven Brands in November 2012 as Chief Information Officer, later serving as Meineke Brand President in 2014, and in 2020, was named Group President of the Maintenance segment and President of Take 5 Oil Change. Prior to his appointment as CEO, Rivera served as Chief Operating Officer from February 2023 to May 2025. His previous experience includes leadership roles at AutoNation, Burger King Corporation, and General Electric (GE). He holds a Bachelor of Science degree in computer engineering and a Juris Doctorate from Florida International University. Mike Diamond Executive Vice President & Chief Financial Officer Mike Diamond was appointed Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of Driven Brands, effective August 9, 2024. In this role, he is responsible for finance and accounting, tax, treasury, internal audit, and investor relations. Before joining Driven Brands, Diamond served as Executive Vice President and CFO of The Michaels Companies from August 2020 through July 2024. He also spent six years at Yum! Brands, holding positions such as CFO of Pizza Hut U.S. and Chief Growth Officer for Pizza Hut U.K. and Europe. Diamond began his career in private equity and worked for four years at the Boston Consulting Group. He holds a Bachelor of Science in Business Administration from Notre Dame University and a Master of Business in Finance and Strategy from Harvard Business School. Mo Khalid Executive Vice President & Chief Operating Officer Mo Khalid serves as the Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer for Driven Brands. Prior to this role, he was President of Take 5 and previously Group President of the Maintenance Segment, which includes Take 5 Oil Change and Meineke. Before joining Driven Brands, Khalid was the Senior Vice President of Field Operations at Great Wolf Lodge, where he oversaw operational aspects including regional Vice Presidents, resorts, rooms, engineering, capital investment and management, guest experience, labor management, and aquatics. Scott O'Melia Executive Vice President, Chief Legal Officer Scott O'Melia joined Driven Brands in May 2020 as Executive Vice President, Chief Legal Officer, overseeing all legal functions for the company. Before his tenure at Driven Brands, O'Melia was General Counsel and Vice President of Corporate Development for Caraustar Industries, where he led legal, corporate development, risk, safety, environmental, and real estate functions. Tim Austin Executive Vice President & President of Take 5 Oil Change Tim Austin holds the position of Executive Vice President & President of Take 5 Oil Change for Driven Brands.AI Analysis | Feedback
The key risks to Driven Brands' business are:- Material Weaknesses in Internal Control Over Financial Reporting and Financial Statement Restatements: Driven Brands has identified material weaknesses in its internal control over financial reporting and has concluded that its internal controls and disclosure controls were not effective as of December 27, 2025. This has led the company to determine that previously issued consolidated financial statements for fiscal years ended December 28, 2024, and December 30, 2023, as well as unaudited quarterly financial statements for periods within fiscal year 2024 and quarters ended March 29, June 28, and September 27, 2025, should no longer be relied upon due to material errors requiring restatement. The identified errors include issues with lease accounting, unreconciled cash account differences, misclassification of certain expenses, income tax provisions, supply and other revenue, fixed assets, cloud computing, and revenue recognition in its Automotive Training Institute (ATI) business. These disclosures have resulted in a significant drop in the company's stock price and have led to securities fraud class-action lawsuits. The company has also delayed the filing of its 2025 Form 10-K.
- High Leverage and Financial Strain: The company's financial health metrics reflect challenges, including a high debt-to-equity ratio of 3.47 and a current ratio of 0.9. Its Altman Z-Score of 0.43 places the company in a distress zone, indicating a potential risk of bankruptcy within the next two years. These financial strains could be exacerbated by the uncertainties and potential financial impacts of the ongoing restatement process.
- Cyclical Nature of the Automotive Industry: Driven Brands operates within the automotive industry, which is inherently cyclical. This cyclical nature can lead to fluctuations in demand for its automotive services, impacting revenue and profitability, particularly during economic downturns.
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The accelerating global shift from internal combustion engine (ICE) vehicles to electric vehicles (EVs) poses a significant emerging threat to Driven Brands. This transition directly impacts several core aspects of their business:
- Reduced Maintenance Needs: EVs require significantly less routine maintenance compared to ICE vehicles. Services such as oil changes, exhaust system repairs, spark plug replacements, and many engine-related diagnostics become obsolete. This directly threatens the business models of brands like Take 5 Oil Change and Meineke.
- Altered Parts Demand: The distribution of ICE-specific automotive parts (e.g., radiators, air conditioning components, exhaust products, oil filters) will see a structural decline over time. Brands such as 1-800-Radiator & A/C, PH Vitres D'Autos, and Spire Supply will face diminishing demand for their traditional product lines.
- Specialized Repair Requirements: While collision and glass services will still be necessary for EVs, the repair processes are different due to battery packs, high-voltage systems, and unique structural components. This requires specialized training, equipment, and certifications, which could create a barrier for traditional shops (e.g., Maaco, CARSTAR, ABRA, Fix Auto) that are not quick to adapt, or necessitate substantial re-investment and re-training efforts.
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Driven Brands operates in several large addressable markets within the automotive services industry. The primary markets for its main products and services are in the United States, with some figures available for North America. Here are the addressable market sizes for Driven Brands' key services:- Automotive Collision Repair (Paint, Collision): The U.S. automotive collision repair market was valued at approximately USD 38 billion. In 2023, the North American automotive collision repair market was around USD 53.1 billion.
- Automotive Glass Repair and Replacement: The U.S. auto windshield repair services market size is projected to reach USD 8.9 billion in 2026. For the broader automotive aftermarket glass market, globally it stood at USD 20.21 billion in 2025. In 2023, the U.S. alone saw 15 million auto glass replacements.
- Oil Change Services: The U.S. oil change market is valued at USD 8.3 billion. Another estimate places the U.S. oil change service market size at USD 8.2 billion in 2024.
- Automotive Maintenance and Repair (General Vehicle Repair, excluding collision and specific glass repair): The U.S. automotive repair and maintenance service market size was valued at USD 183.4 billion in 2023. The U.S. Auto Mechanics industry is projected to reach USD 89.6 billion in 2026.
- Car Wash Services: The U.S. car wash service market size was estimated at approximately USD 14.6 billion in 2023 and around USD 14.7 billion in 2023. It was also valued at US$ 14.90 billion in 2021.
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Expected Drivers of Future Revenue Growth for Driven Brands (DRVN)
Over the next two to three years, Driven Brands (DRVN) is expected to drive future revenue growth through several key initiatives, primarily focusing on expansion, service diversification, and strategic portfolio management. 1. **Net New Store Growth, Led by Take 5 Oil Change Expansion:** A significant driver of revenue growth for Driven Brands is the aggressive expansion of its service center network, particularly its flagship Take 5 Oil Change brand. The company plans to open over 150 new Take 5 Oil Change locations annually, encompassing both franchise-owned and company-operated sites. For fiscal year 2025, Driven Brands projects a net increase of approximately 175 to 200 new locations across its portfolio, excluding the recently divested U.S. car wash business. This consistent unit growth directly contributes to an expanded customer base and increased system-wide sales. 2. **Sustained Same-Store Sales Growth, Driven by the Maintenance Segment:** Driven Brands has demonstrated a strong track record of same-store sales (SSS) growth, with Take 5 Oil Change notably achieving multiple consecutive quarters of positive SSS growth. This indicates an ability to increase sales at existing locations, driven by factors such as customer traffic, service volume, and pricing strategies. The Maintenance segment, spearheaded by Take 5 Oil Change, is expected to continue leading this organic growth. 3. **Expansion of Non-Oil Change Services at Take 5 Oil Change:** Beyond traditional oil changes, Driven Brands is focused on increasing the attachment rate of additional maintenance services at its Take 5 Oil Change locations. The company has completed the rollout of services like differential fluid changes across the Take 5 system, with non-oil change revenue now accounting for over 25% of Take 5's total system-wide sales. This strategy aims to capture a larger share of wallet from existing customers and enhance profitability per visit. 4. **Strategic Portfolio Management and Focus on High-Margin Businesses:** Driven Brands is actively managing its brand portfolio to optimize for growth and profitability. The strategic divestiture of its U.S. car wash business in early 2025, generating $385 million, is a clear example of focusing on core, higher-margin segments. This allows the company to reallocate capital and management attention to its most promising growth engines, such as Take 5 Oil Change and other strong franchise brands like Meineke, Maaco, and CARSTAR, which have reported positive revenue and double-digit EBITDA growth. This streamlined approach is anticipated to lead to more efficient revenue generation and improved financial performance.AI Analysis | Feedback
Capital Allocation Decisions for Driven Brands (DRVN) over the Last 3-5 Years
Share Repurchases
- Driven Brands' Board of Directors authorized the repurchase of up to $50 million of its common shares outstanding through March 31, 2025. This authorization was announced on August 22, 2023, and was intended to be funded through cash on hand, cash flow from operations, and the company's revolving line of credit.
Share Issuance
- In January 2021, Driven Brands completed its initial public offering (IPO), pricing 31,818,182 shares of its common stock at $22.00 per share. The company also granted underwriters an option to purchase up to an additional 4,772,727 shares.
- As of February 26, 2024, there were 163,971,601 shares of Common Stock of the registrant outstanding.
Outbound Investments
- Driven Brands acquired Auto Glass Now in 2021 as part of its expansion strategy.
- In January 2026, the company completed the sale of its international car wash business, IMO, to Franchise Equity Partners for approximately €411 million (around $475 million USD). The proceeds from this divestiture are primarily intended for debt reduction.
- Driven Brands also divested its underperforming U.S. car wash segment in early 2025 to focus on core North American businesses and reduce leverage.
Capital Expenditures
- For the full fiscal year 2024, net capital expenditures were $237.1 million.
- Net capital expenditures for fiscal year 2025 are projected to be between 6.5% and 7.5% of revenue, with a primary focus on investing in high-return company-operated Take 5 Oil Change locations.
- Capital spending in Q3 2025 was approximately $39.8 million, indicating a lower capital expenditure pace compared to prior years.
Latest Trefis Analyses
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| 03272026 | OLLI | Ollie's Bargain Outlet | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.1% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| 03272026 | PATK | Patrick Industries | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.4% | 3.4% | -1.6% |
| 05312023 | DRVN | Driven Brands | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | -46.3% | -53.8% | -57.0% |
Research & Analysis
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 24.98 |
| Mkt Cap | 3.3 |
| Rev LTM | 2,099 |
| Op Inc LTM | 243 |
| FCF LTM | 54 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 30 |
| CFO LTM | 303 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 247 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 5.8% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 6.8% |
| Rev Chg Q | 7.2% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.5% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 16.7% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 19.6% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.3% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 15.5% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 14.0% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 3.8% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 2.4% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 3.3 |
| P/S | 2.3 |
| P/EBIT | 16.1 |
| P/E | 23.0 |
| P/CFO | 10.7 |
| Total Yield | 2.6% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 1.2% |
| D/E | 0.6 |
| Net D/E | 0.6 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 1.4% |
| 3M Rtn | -0.5% |
| 6M Rtn | -8.0% |
| 12M Rtn | -3.6% |
| 3Y Rtn | -11.3% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -3.7% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -1.2% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -9.9% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -33.1% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -78.4% |
Price Behavior
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $13.33 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 2.2 | |
| First Trading Date | 01/15/2021 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -30.6% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $13.23 | $15.36 |
| DMA Trend | down | down |
| Distance from DMA | 0.7% | -13.2% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 72.7% | 46.5% |
| Downside Capture | 0.03 | 0.22 |
| Upside Capture | -105.44 | 7.18 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 0.1% | 14.7% |
DRVN Betas & Captures as of 3/31/2026
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.00 | -0.26 | 0.15 | 0.25 | 0.64 | 0.84 |
| Up Beta | 1.59 | -0.74 | 0.31 | 1.19 | 0.99 | 0.96 |
| Down Beta | 0.44 | 0.73 | 0.63 | 0.16 | 0.47 | 0.69 |
| Up Capture | 357% | -142% | -61% | -23% | 9% | 27% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 7 | 16 | 27 | 65 | 139 | 424 |
| Stock +ve Days | 11 | 21 | 29 | 53 | 109 | 352 |
| Down Capture | -15% | -7% | 9% | 30% | 66% | 103% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 12 | 23 | 33 | 58 | 110 | 323 |
| Stock -ve Days | 11 | 21 | 34 | 73 | 141 | 386 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with DRVN | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DRVN | -16.3% | 46.4% | -0.22 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 24.8% | 19.4% | 1.02 | 27.3% |
| Equity (SPY) | 24.2% | 12.9% | 1.49 | 15.0% |
| Gold (GLD) | 53.4% | 27.6% | 1.55 | -2.9% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 26.8% | 16.2% | 1.47 | -5.3% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 18.7% | 13.8% | 1.00 | 24.0% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -6.8% | 42.9% | -0.05 | 1.4% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with DRVN | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DRVN | -12.0% | 43.4% | -0.14 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 6.9% | 23.7% | 0.25 | 42.2% |
| Equity (SPY) | 11.1% | 17.0% | 0.50 | 39.2% |
| Gold (GLD) | 22.5% | 17.8% | 1.03 | 5.1% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 11.7% | 18.8% | 0.51 | 8.9% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.9% | 18.8% | 0.11 | 35.3% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 5.8% | 56.5% | 0.32 | 13.7% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with DRVN | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DRVN | -6.6% | 44.0% | -0.14 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 12.7% | 22.0% | 0.53 | 41.8% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.0% | 17.9% | 0.67 | 38.8% |
| Gold (GLD) | 14.3% | 15.9% | 0.75 | 6.0% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.8% | 17.6% | 0.42 | 9.0% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.4% | 20.7% | 0.23 | 34.8% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 67.7% | 66.9% | 1.07 | 13.3% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/4/2025 | 5.3% | -3.3% | 7.6% |
| 8/5/2025 | 2.0% | -2.6% | 12.3% |
| 5/6/2025 | 6.6% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| 2/25/2025 | 2.1% | 12.3% | 12.3% |
| 10/31/2024 | 4.7% | 14.3% | 18.7% |
| 8/1/2024 | 8.0% | -3.7% | 6.0% |
| 5/2/2024 | -20.3% | -23.4% | -21.6% |
| 2/22/2024 | -11.1% | -6.9% | 5.2% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 10 | 9 | 11 |
| # Negative | 9 | 10 | 8 |
| Median Positive | 3.7% | 5.3% | 7.6% |
| Median Negative | -5.9% | -7.9% | -8.8% |
| Max Positive | 8.0% | 14.3% | 18.7% |
| Max Negative | -41.2% | -42.5% | -41.7% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 09/30/2025 | 11/05/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/07/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/08/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/26/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/28/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/01/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/04/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/05/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/06/2022 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2021 | 03/18/2022 | 10-K |
Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]
Latest: Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 11/4/2025
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2025 Revenue | 2.10 Bil | 2.11 Bil | 2.12 Bil | 0.5% | Raised | Guidance: 2.10 Bil for 2025 | |
| 2025 Adjusted EBITDA | 525.00 Mil | 530.00 Mil | 535.00 Mil | -0.9% | Lowered | Guidance: 535.00 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2025 Adjusted Diluted EPS | 1.23 | 1.25 | 1.28 | 4.6% | Raised | Guidance: 1.2 for 2025 | |
| 2025 Same Store Sales Growth | 1.0% | -50.0% | -1.0% | Lowered | Guidance: 2.0% for 2025 | ||
| 2025 Net Store Growth | 17500.0% | 18750.0% | 20000.0% | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 18750.0% for 2025 | |
Prior: Q2 2025 Earnings Reported 8/5/2025
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2025 Revenue | 2.05 Bil | 2.10 Bil | 2.15 Bil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 2.10 Bil for 2025 | |
| 2025 Adjusted EBITDA | 520.00 Mil | 535.00 Mil | 550.00 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 535.00 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2025 Adjusted Diluted EPS | 1.15 | 1.2 | 1.25 | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 1.2 for 2025 | |
| 2025 Same store sales growth | 1.0% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 0 | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 2.0% for 2025 |
| 2025 Net store growth | 17500.0% | 18750.0% | 20000.0% | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 18750.0% for 2025 | |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fitzpatrick, Jonathan G | Direct | Sell | 9162025 | 18.27 | 75,000 | 1,370,250 | 43,655,306 | Form | |
| 2 | Fitzpatrick, Jonathan G | Direct | Sell | 9162025 | 18.05 | 110,000 | 1,985,500 | 41,144,127 | Form | |
| 3 | Halligan, Catherine Ann | Direct | Sell | 3032025 | 17.42 | 4,242 | 73,896 | 309,919 | Form | |
| 4 | O'Melia, Scott L | Chief Legal Officer | Direct | Sell | 1232026 | 16.00 | 46,875 | 750,000 | 5,231,104 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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