Tearsheet

Driven Brands (DRVN)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $15.11 | Market Cap: $2.5 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Automotive Retail

Driven Brands (DRVN)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $15.11
Market Cap: $2.5 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Automotive Retail

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -37%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -122%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 98%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%
  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -12%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 35%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Evolving Consumer Services, Digital Transformation in Services, and Future of Automotive Aftermarket. Themes include Convenient Automotive Aftermarket Services, Show more.
  
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 35%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Evolving Consumer Services, Digital Transformation in Services, and Future of Automotive Aftermarket. Themes include Convenient Automotive Aftermarket Services, Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -37%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -122%
5 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 98%
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -12%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

DRVN Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Missed Q1 2024 Profit Expectations

Driven Brands reported a first-quarter profit of $4.3 million in May 2024, which was significantly below analysts' expectations of $28.5 million. This substantial miss on profit expectations contributed to investor concern. 2. Weakness in U.S. Car Wash Business

The company's U.S. car wash business experienced lower revenue during Q1 2024 due to factors such as weak consumer demand, adverse weather conditions, and strong market competition. As a result, Driven Brands announced it would not be adding new car-wash units in the U.S.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
DRVN Return---19%-48%13%-12%-58%
Peers Return22%43%6%35%23%-1%204%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
DRVN Win Rate-64%50%50%58%40% 
Peers Win Rate50%46%42%46%44%53% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
DRVN Max Drawdown---25%-60%-25%-16% 
Peers Max Drawdown-38%-3%-15%-4%-6%-12% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: AN, MUSA, GPI, BGSI, HIFI.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventDRVNS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-68.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven215.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days

Compare to AN, MUSA, GPI, BGSI, HIFI


In The Past

Driven Brands's stock fell -68.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/12/2021. A -68.3% loss requires a 215.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Driven Brands (DRVN)

Better Bets than Driven Brands (DRVN)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to DRVN. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
6.8%6.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.5%0.5%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.6%-2.6%-2.6%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.3%1.3%-1.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
6.8%6.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.5%0.5%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.6%-2.6%-2.6%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.3%1.3%-1.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Driven Brands

Peers to compare with:

Financials

DRVNANMUSAGPIBGSIHIFIMedian
NameDriven B.AutoNati.Murphy U.Group 1 .Boyd Ser.Hillhous. 
Mkt Price15.10214.34390.41410.38168.91-214.34
Mkt Cap2.58.17.65.2--6.4
Rev LTM2,43927,91519,47922,5383,0631111,271
Op Inc LTM2031,2847409831021471
FCF LTM31-1783654932521142
FCF 3Y Avg-15757444236264-236
CFO LTM2681118347783221295
CFO 3Y Avg247408831465327-408

Growth & Margins

DRVNANMUSAGPIBGSIHIFIMedian
NameDriven B.AutoNati.Murphy U.Group 1 .Boyd Ser.Hillhous. 
Rev Chg LTM18.6%6.1%-8.0%19.4%0.7%-6.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg10.0%1.3%-2.7%13.0%12.5%-10.0%
Rev Chg Q6.6%6.9%-8.2%10.7%0.2%-6.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.4%1.6%-2.2%2.6%0.0%-1.4%
Op Mgn LTM8.3%4.6%3.8%4.4%3.3%7.1%4.5%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg11.4%5.2%3.8%5.1%4.5%-5.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.4%-0.0%0.1%-0.1%-0.0%--0.0%
CFO/Rev LTM11.0%0.4%4.3%3.5%10.5%7.3%5.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg10.9%1.5%4.0%2.3%11.1%-4.0%
FCF/Rev LTM1.3%-0.6%1.9%2.2%8.2%7.3%2.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-7.1%0.2%2.1%1.1%9.0%-1.1%

Valuation

DRVNANMUSAGPIBGSIHIFIMedian
NameDriven B.AutoNati.Murphy U.Group 1 .Boyd Ser.Hillhous. 
Mkt Cap2.58.17.65.2--6.4
P/S1.10.30.40.2--0.4
P/EBIT-14.06.110.97.1--6.6
P/E-13.312.416.214.8--13.6
P/CFO9.974.09.57.2--9.7
Total Yield-7.5%8.1%6.7%7.2%--6.9%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.5%0.5%--0.2%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-7.6%1.1%5.6%5.0%--3.1%
D/E1.01.20.31.0--1.0
Net D/E1.01.20.31.0--1.0

Returns

DRVNANMUSAGPIBGSIHIFIMedian
NameDriven B.AutoNati.Murphy U.Group 1 .Boyd Ser.Hillhous. 
1M Rtn5.9%8.1%6.1%4.4%--6.0%
3M Rtn-20.9%-2.7%5.3%-12.6%---7.7%
6M Rtn-13.9%17.0%-7.3%-2.5%---4.9%
12M Rtn-10.5%18.8%-27.5%-4.6%---7.5%
3Y Rtn-51.3%77.1%37.4%117.3%--57.2%
1M Excs Rtn6.0%8.1%6.1%4.4%--6.0%
3M Excs Rtn-26.8%-10.4%-0.7%-19.7%---15.1%
6M Excs Rtn-28.6%2.2%-22.0%-17.2%---19.6%
12M Excs Rtn-24.0%6.3%-41.9%-16.6%---20.3%
3Y Excs Rtn-121.9%6.8%-39.7%48.6%---16.5%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Maintenance960800577417356
Car Wash598593487150 
Paint, Collision & Glass500411204165133
Platform Services21619616213961
Corporate and Other Revenue3034373350
Total2,3042,0331,467904600


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity7,661,719
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120251.6%
Average Daily Volume1,481,780
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.17
Basic Shares Quantity163,900,000
Short % of Basic Shares4.7%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251105202510-Q 9/27/2025
6302025807202510-Q 6/28/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/29/2025
12312024226202510-K 12/28/2024
93020241107202410-Q 9/28/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/29/2024
3312024508202410-Q 3/30/2024
12312023228202410-K 12/30/2023
93020231109202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023809202310-Q 7/1/2023
3312023509202310-Q 4/1/2023
12312022301202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221104202210-Q 9/24/2022
6302022805202210-Q 6/25/2022
3312022506202210-Q 3/26/2022
12312021318202210-K 12/25/2021