Tearsheet

Valvoline (VVV)


Market Price (2/2/2026): $32.725 | Market Cap: $4.2 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Automotive Retail

Valvoline (VVV)


Market Price (2/2/2026): $32.725
Market Cap: $4.2 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Automotive Retail

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.0%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -52%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -79%
Key risks
VVV key risks include [1] the long-term threat of electric vehicle adoption reducing demand for its core lubricant products and [2] material weaknesses in internal financial controls resulting from a new ERP system implementation.
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 23%
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 11%
 
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%
  
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 31%
  
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Advanced Materials, Electrification of Everything, and Sustainable Consumption. Themes include Specialty Chemicals for Performance, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.0%
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 23%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 31%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Advanced Materials, Electrification of Everything, and Sustainable Consumption. Themes include Specialty Chemicals for Performance, Show more.
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -52%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -79%
6 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 11%
7 Key risks
VVV key risks include [1] the long-term threat of electric vehicle adoption reducing demand for its core lubricant products and [2] material weaknesses in internal financial controls resulting from a new ERP system implementation.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

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Valvoline (VVV) stock has remained largely at the same level since 10/31/2025 because of the following key factors:

1. Mixed Q4 2025 Earnings Performance.

Valvoline reported its Q4 2025 earnings on November 19, 2025, with both earnings per share (EPS) of $0.45 and quarterly revenue of $453.80 million falling slightly below analyst consensus estimates of $0.47 and $455.70 million, respectively. This slight miss initially led to a pre-market stock decline of 2.93%. However, the report also highlighted a 4% year-over-year revenue growth (10% when adjusted for refranchising) and an expansion of 170 new stores, bringing the total to 2,180 locations. The company's CEO emphasized the non-discretionary nature of automotive maintenance, suggesting underlying business resilience. This combination of a slight earnings miss tempered by positive underlying growth and a stable market outlook likely contributed to the stock remaining largely range-bound.

2. Strategic Breeze AutoCare Acquisition and Future Projections.

The Federal Trade Commission (FTC) approved Valvoline's acquisition of Breeze AutoCare, with the transaction expected to close around December 1, 2025. This acquisition was a significant strategic move, adding 162 net stores to Valvoline's network and was positioned as a driver for future growth. For fiscal year 2026, the company projected robust growth, including 4-6% same-store sales growth, 330-360 new stores, a 20% increase in sales, and a 15% increase in EBITDA, with adjusted EPS forecasted between $1.60 and $1.70. While promising, the acquisition was also noted to increase the company's leverage ratio to approximately 4.2 times, with a plan to return to target leverage in 18 to 24 months, which likely created a balanced investor sentiment of optimism for growth alongside caution regarding increased debt.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -0.9% change in VVV stock from 10/31/2025 to 2/1/2026 was primarily driven by a -25.0% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)103120252012026Change
Stock Price ($)33.0132.72-0.9%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1,6921,7101.1%
Net Income Margin (%)16.4%12.3%-25.0%
P/E Multiple15.219.830.8%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1281280.0%
Cumulative Contribution-0.9%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

10/31/2025 to 2/1/2026
ReturnCorrelation
VVV-0.9% 
Market (SPY)1.5%27.5%
Sector (XLY)1.0%42.2%

Fundamental Drivers

The -7.2% change in VVV stock from 7/31/2025 to 2/1/2026 was primarily driven by a -22.9% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)73120252012026Change
Stock Price ($)35.2532.72-7.2%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1,6741,7102.1%
Net Income Margin (%)16.0%12.3%-22.9%
P/E Multiple16.819.817.8%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1281280.0%
Cumulative Contribution-7.2%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2025 to 2/1/2026
ReturnCorrelation
VVV-7.2% 
Market (SPY)9.8%30.4%
Sector (XLY)9.6%45.7%

Fundamental Drivers

The -11.8% change in VVV stock from 1/31/2025 to 2/1/2026 was primarily driven by a -12.8% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)13120252012026Change
Stock Price ($)37.1132.72-11.8%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1,6191,7105.6%
Net Income Margin (%)13.1%12.3%-5.7%
P/E Multiple22.719.8-12.8%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1301281.5%
Cumulative Contribution-11.8%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

1/31/2025 to 2/1/2026
ReturnCorrelation
VVV-11.8% 
Market (SPY)16.0%40.8%
Sector (XLY)5.1%49.1%

Fundamental Drivers

The -10.7% change in VVV stock from 1/31/2023 to 2/1/2026 was primarily driven by a -64.1% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)13120232012026Change
Stock Price ($)36.6632.72-10.7%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1,2361,71038.4%
Net Income Margin (%)34.3%12.3%-64.1%
P/E Multiple15.319.829.1%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)17812839.2%
Cumulative Contribution-10.7%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

1/31/2023 to 2/1/2026
ReturnCorrelation
VVV-10.7% 
Market (SPY)76.6%41.4%
Sector (XLY)66.9%43.4%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
VVV Return64%-11%15%-4%-20%12%45%
Peers Return46%60%11%4%16%11%250%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%2%86%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
VVV Win Rate75%33%42%33%33%100% 
Peers Win Rate65%65%52%57%68%100% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%100% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
VVV Max Drawdown-2%-32%-10%-8%-20%-1% 
Peers Max Drawdown-2%-4%-11%-7%-9%-0% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-1%-25%-1%-2%-15%-1% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: XOM, CVX, PSX, MPC, ORLY. See VVV Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 1/30/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventVVVS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-33.0%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven49.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven210 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-60.6%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven153.8%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven246 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-32.2%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven47.5%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven669 days120 days

Compare to XOM, CVX, PSX, MPC, ORLY

In The Past

Valvoline's stock fell -33.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/29/2021. A -33.0% loss requires a 49.3% gain to breakeven.

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About Valvoline (VVV)

Valvoline Inc. manufactures, markets, and supplies, engine and automotive maintenance products and services. It operates through two segments, Retail Services and Global Products. The company offers lubricants for passenger car, light duty, and heavy duty; antifreeze/coolants for original equipment manufacturers; functional and maintenance chemicals, such as brake fluids and power steering fluids, as well as specialty coatings for automotive and industrial applications; and oil and air filters for light-duty vehicles. It also provides batteries, windshield wiper blades, light bulbs, serpentine belts, and drain plugs. In addition, the company operates Valvoline instant oil change service centers. As of September 30, 2021, it operated and franchised approximately 1,594 quick-lube locations under the Valvoline Instant Oil Change brand in the United States and the Great Canadian Oil Change brand in Canada. The company also serves car dealers, general repair shops, and third-party quick lube locations, as well as through distributors and licensees. It has operations in North America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia Pacific, and Latin America. The company was founded in 1866 and is headquartered in Lexington, Kentucky.

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  • The Starbucks of car maintenance.
  • The McDonald's of oil changes.

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  • Automotive Lubricants: High-performance motor oils, transmission fluids, and other automotive fluids designed for vehicle maintenance and performance.
  • Car Care Products and Chemicals: A range of additives, cleaners, and other chemicals for vehicle upkeep and enhancement.
  • Valvoline Instant Oil Change (VIOC) Service: A network of service centers providing quick oil changes and essential preventive maintenance services for vehicles.
```

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Valvoline (symbol: VVV) primarily sells its services directly to individuals through its extensive network of Valvoline Instant Oil Change (VIOC) service centers. In February 2023, Valvoline completed the sale of its Global Products business (which manufactured and sold lubricants to retailers and distributors) to Aramco. This strategic divestiture significantly shifted Valvoline's focus to its quick-lube service business.

Given that Valvoline now primarily sells automotive maintenance services to individuals, its major customer categories are:

  • Individual Vehicle Owners: This represents the largest customer segment, comprising everyday drivers and private vehicle owners who bring their cars, SUVs, and light trucks to Valvoline Instant Oil Change locations for routine maintenance. These customers prioritize convenience, speed, and reliable service for essential automotive care such as oil changes, tire rotations, and other preventative services.
  • Small Commercial Fleet Operators: Local businesses and small fleet owners (e.g., delivery services, contractors, small rental fleets, or businesses with a few company vehicles) frequently utilize Valvoline Instant Oil Change services for the maintenance of their commercial vehicles. These customers value efficient service to minimize vehicle downtime and manage operational costs for their business-critical vehicles.

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Lori Flees Chief Executive Officer, President & Director

Lori Flees was appointed Chief Executive Officer of Valvoline in October 2023. She joined the company in April 2022 as President of Retail Services. Prior to Valvoline, Flees spent nearly a decade at Walmart, where she oversaw Walmart's Health & Wellness business across over 4,800 locations. Her roles at Walmart also included Head of Corporate Strategy, encompassing global Mergers & Acquisitions, and Senior Vice President, Next Generation Retail & Principal, Store No 8., where she led the incubation of new retail capabilities. Before her tenure at Walmart, Flees was a partner at Bain & Company Inc. for 17 years, focusing on strategic and operational performance improvement for clients across various industries. Earlier in her career, she held positions at Intel and General Motors. She brings extensive experience in mergers and acquisitions, corporate strategy, and developing growth strategies for retailers with both company-owned and franchised stores.

Kevin J. Willis Chief Financial Officer

Kevin J. Willis was appointed Chief Financial Officer of Valvoline, effective May 19, 2025. He joined Valvoline after a 37-year career at Ashland Inc., Valvoline's former parent company. At Ashland, he served as Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer since 2013. Willis played a crucial role in Ashland's transformation and led the separation of Valvoline Inc. during its initial public offering in 2016. His previous positions at Ashland included Vice President, Finance – Ashland Specialty Ingredients; and Vice President, Finance/Treasurer – Ashland Corporate. In his current role, he is responsible for aligning financial strategy with the company's vision and oversees all financial operations, including accounting and reporting, treasury, financial planning and analysis, risk management, credit, mergers and acquisitions, investor relations, tax, and internal audit.

Linne Fulcher Senior Vice President & Chief Operating Officer

Linne Fulcher was appointed Senior Vice President and Chief Operating Officer of Valvoline in 2023. He joined the company in 2022 as Retail Services Vice President of Central Operations and Customer Experience Optimization. Before his time at Valvoline, Fulcher spent more than 30 years at Walmart, where his final role was Vice President, Customer Strategy, Science and Journeys, focusing on ensuring an exceptional end-to-end customer experience.

Julie O'Daniel Senior Vice President, Chief Legal Officer & Corporate Secretary

Julie O'Daniel is Valvoline's Chief Legal Officer, Senior Vice President, and Corporate Secretary. She is responsible for the company's legal and corporate governance matters, as well as security, office and building services, and ESG. O'Daniel has over 15 years of legal expertise with Valvoline and its former parent company, Ashland Inc., which she joined in 2007 as Senior Counsel. She has been a part of Valvoline's leadership team and served as Lead Commercial Counsel for Valvoline since 2012. O'Daniel guided the company through its initial public offering in 2016 and its separation from Valvoline Global Products in 2023.

Jon Caldwell Senior Vice President & Chief People Officer

Jon Caldwell serves as Valvoline's Senior Vice President and Chief People Officer. In this role, he is responsible for the strategic direction of all aspects of the company's people strategy, corporate communications, and project management. His efforts ensure that Valvoline has the organizational culture and talent management programs necessary to attract, develop, and retain a corporate and retail workforce of over 10,000 people. Caldwell has extensive experience in setting strategy, advising leadership, strengthening culture, and developing teams. He previously held positions as Senior Director, Human Resources and Senior Director, Global Talent Management at Valvoline.

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Valvoline (VVV) faces several key risks to its business operations and financial performance.

Key Risks:

  1. Technological Advancements and Dependence on the Automotive Industry: Valvoline's business is heavily reliant on the traditional automotive industry, making it vulnerable to fluctuations in vehicle sales and maintenance demand. The increasing prevalence of electric vehicles (EVs) poses a significant long-term threat, as EVs typically require less traditional maintenance and lubricants compared to internal combustion engine vehicles, potentially reducing demand for Valvoline's core products and services.
  2. Intense Competition, Raw Material Price Volatility, and Supply Chain Disruptions: The company operates in a highly competitive market, facing pressure on pricing and market share from numerous domestic and international competitors, including private-label brands. Furthermore, Valvoline is exposed to rising and volatile raw material prices, particularly for base oil and lubricant additives, which can significantly impact its costs. Supply chain disruptions can also affect the company's ability to meet customer demand and manage operational expenses, with the ability to pass on increased costs dependent on market conditions.
  3. Information Technology System Weaknesses and Cybersecurity Threats: Valvoline has recently identified material weaknesses in internal controls over financial reporting due to the implementation of a new enterprise resource planning (ERP) system. This situation can disrupt business processes, including invoice and billing processing, and exposes the company to risks such as cybersecurity threats, service outages, and data breaches.

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The electrification of vehicles (EVs) poses a clear emerging threat. As the automotive industry transitions towards electric vehicles, the fundamental need for traditional internal combustion engine (ICE) maintenance services, such as oil changes, will diminish significantly. EVs do not require engine oil, spark plugs, or many of the fluid changes that form the core of Valvoline's quick-lube business model. While ICE vehicles will remain on the road for many years, the accelerating adoption rate of EVs and commitments from major automakers and governments to phase out ICE production means a shrinking addressable market for Valvoline's primary services in the long term.

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Valvoline (NYSE: VVV) operates primarily in two main market segments: the production and distribution of lubricants and automotive chemicals (Global Products), and quick oil change and preventive maintenance services (Retail Services).

Addressable Markets:

  • Global Lubricants Market (for Global Products Segment):
    • The global lubricants market was valued at approximately USD 144.4 billion in 2024 and is estimated to reach USD 180.2 billion by 2030, growing at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 3.8% from 2025 to 2030.
    • Within this, the global automotive engine oil market was estimated at USD 39.79 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 47.70 billion by 2030, with a CAGR of 3.1% from 2025 to 2030.
  • U.S. Automotive Aftermarket and Oil Change Services (for Retail Services Segment):
    • The U.S. automotive aftermarket, which includes parts, accessories, and services, reached an estimated USD 228.19 billion in 2024 and is projected to exceed USD 350.64 billion by 2034, growing at a CAGR of 4.39% from 2025 to 2034.
    • More specifically, the U.S. Oil Change Service Market is expected to be worth around USD 8.2 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 14.8 billion by 2034, demonstrating a CAGR of 6.1% during the forecast period from 2025 to 2034.

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Valvoline (VVV) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through a combination of strategic initiatives focused on expanding its service network, enhancing existing customer value, and increasing service offerings.

The key drivers include:

  • Accelerating Network Growth through New Store Openings and Refranchising: Valvoline is actively expanding its footprint by adding new service centers, both company-operated and franchised, with a target of 160 to 185 new stores in fiscal year 2025. This aggressive network expansion aims to boost geographic reach and increase exposure to the aging vehicle fleet. Refranchising, where company-operated locations are converted to franchises, is also a strategy to accelerate new location growth by leveraging franchisee investments.
  • Same-Store Sales (SSS) Growth through Increased Average Ticket: The company anticipates continued system-wide same-store sales growth, driven by an increase in the average transaction ticket. This is achieved through various means, including strategic pricing adjustments, premiumization of products and services, and higher penetration of non-oil change services.
  • Expansion of Non-Oil Change Revenue (NOCR) Services: Valvoline is focused on growing its revenue from services beyond traditional oil changes. Increasing the penetration of non-oil change revenue services significantly contributes to the growth in average ticket size and overall revenue. The company is exploring additional services, such as battery offerings, to meet evolving customer and car park needs.
  • Growth in Customer Transactions/Traffic: A fundamental driver of revenue growth for Valvoline is increasing the number of customer visits and overall transaction volume across its network. The company has seen consistent transaction growth, contributing to its same-store sales performance.

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Share Repurchases

  • Valvoline announced a $1.6 billion share repurchase authorization following the sale of its Global Products business in March 2023, with an expectation to complete these buybacks within 18 months.
  • On July 30, 2024, the board of directors authorized a new share repurchase program of up to $400 million, which has no expiration date.
  • The company executed share repurchases totaling $1.525 billion in 2023 and $226.8 million in 2024.

Outbound Investments

  • Valvoline signed a definitive agreement to acquire Breeze Autocare for approximately $625 million in cash, which is expected to close in fiscal Q3 2025 and will add nearly 200 stores.
  • In December 2020, Valvoline completed the acquisition of 27 Mister Oil Change Express locations from Car Wash Partners, Inc. for $0.06 million.
  • During Q3 2025, Valvoline purchased 6 stores from a franchisee in the Louisiana market.

Capital Expenditures

  • Capital expenditures for the three months ended June 2025 were -$54.90 million, while Q2 2025 saw capital expenditures of $51.8 million.
  • For fiscal year 2025, Valvoline plans to add 160 to 185 new store locations, indicating a primary focus on network growth and expansion.
  • Investments in technology infrastructure accounted for approximately one-third of the year-over-year increase in Selling, General, and Administrative (SG&A) expenses.

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Peer Comparisons

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Financials

VVVXOMCVXPSXMPCORLYMedian
NameValvolineExxon Mo.Chevron Phillips.Marathon.O'Reilly. 
Mkt Price32.72141.40176.90143.56176.1998.41142.48
Mkt Cap4.2605.9343.058.153.483.570.8
Rev LTM1,710324,924186,979131,953133,26217,463132,608
Op Inc LTM39135,70815,0671,7184,7343,3714,052
FCF LTM3823,77515,4241,3514,2761,5632,919
FCF 3Y Avg-4831,46218,1854,0698,2981,9686,184
CFO LTM29751,52031,8453,4087,3912,7535,400
CFO 3Y Avg17455,76834,2506,06010,7833,0028,421

Growth & Margins

VVVXOMCVXPSXMPCORLYMedian
NameValvolineExxon Mo.Chevron Phillips.Marathon.O'Reilly. 
Rev Chg LTM5.6%-4.4%-3.6%-10.7%-6.1%6.2%-4.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg11.5%-5.6%-6.2%-6.6%-8.3%7.5%-5.9%
Rev Chg Q4.2%-5.1%-1.5%-2.9%-0.8%7.8%-1.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.1%-1.4%-0.4%-0.8%-0.2%2.0%-0.3%
Op Mgn LTM22.9%11.0%8.1%1.3%3.6%19.3%9.5%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg21.6%12.7%11.2%3.1%6.0%19.7%12.0%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-3.2%-0.4%-0.3%0.7%0.4%0.1%-0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM17.4%15.9%17.0%2.6%5.5%15.8%15.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg10.3%16.5%17.6%4.2%7.4%18.3%13.4%
FCF/Rev LTM2.2%7.3%8.2%1.0%3.2%8.9%5.3%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-3.5%9.3%9.3%2.8%5.7%12.0%7.5%

Valuation

VVVXOMCVXPSXMPCORLYMedian
NameValvolineExxon Mo.Chevron Phillips.Marathon.O'Reilly. 
Mkt Cap4.2605.9343.058.153.483.570.8
P/S2.41.91.80.40.44.81.8
P/EBIT10.713.815.419.67.724.714.6
P/E19.820.226.938.618.533.623.5
P/CFO14.011.810.817.07.230.312.9
Total Yield5.0%7.8%7.3%5.9%7.5%3.0%6.6%
Dividend Yield0.0%2.8%3.6%3.3%2.1%0.0%2.5%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-0.8%6.9%6.6%7.4%15.5%3.0%6.8%
D/E0.30.10.10.40.60.10.2
Net D/E0.30.00.10.30.60.10.2

Returns

VVVXOMCVXPSXMPCORLYMedian
NameValvolineExxon Mo.Chevron Phillips.Marathon.O'Reilly. 
1M Rtn13.3%15.3%13.5%9.9%6.7%8.9%11.6%
3M Rtn-0.9%24.7%13.4%6.3%-9.1%4.2%5.3%
6M Rtn-6.6%31.3%19.5%22.2%7.6%-0.7%13.5%
12M Rtn-11.8%37.2%24.1%26.4%23.6%14.0%23.8%
3Y Rtn-10.3%41.0%18.7%61.7%56.9%83.2%49.0%
1M Excs Rtn10.5%16.2%15.5%10.2%6.9%7.0%10.3%
3M Excs Rtn-0.7%21.8%14.6%4.2%-10.2%3.4%3.8%
6M Excs Rtn-16.6%19.5%9.8%8.9%-4.8%-9.4%2.0%
12M Excs Rtn-27.5%20.0%4.0%7.0%4.1%-0.3%4.0%
3Y Excs Rtn-79.4%-34.3%-60.7%-25.8%-27.9%11.6%-31.1%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Single segment1,619  1,037 
Franchise fees and other 7274  
Non-oil changes and related fees 298248  
Oil changes and related fees 1,074913  
Global Products    1,470
Retail Services    883
Total1,6191,4441,2361,0372,353


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$32.72 
Market Cap ($ Bil)4.2 
First Trading Date09/23/2016 
Distance from 52W High-19.5% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$30.99$34.78
DMA Trenddowndown
Distance from DMA5.6%-5.9%
 3M1YR
Volatility29.4%31.6%
Downside Capture99.8178.08
Upside Capture86.1953.03
Correlation (SPY)27.4%40.8%
VVV Betas & Captures as of 1/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta1.441.230.740.790.670.76
Up Beta4.673.881.161.800.810.84
Down Beta0.450.140.070.450.470.61
Up Capture257%172%85%38%40%36%
Bmk +ve Days11223471142430
Stock +ve Days11212852107356
Down Capture23%105%100%86%85%97%
Bmk -ve Days9192754109321
Stock -ve Days9203372142385

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with VVV
VVV-12.9%31.5%-0.42-
Sector ETF (XLY)5.7%24.2%0.1749.3%
Equity (SPY)16.1%19.2%0.6541.0%
Gold (GLD)76.5%23.4%2.38-1.0%
Commodities (DBC)11.1%15.9%0.4811.6%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.3%16.5%0.1440.0%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-18.9%39.9%-0.4320.4%

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Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with VVV
VVV6.2%28.8%0.24-
Sector ETF (XLY)8.1%23.8%0.3045.7%
Equity (SPY)14.0%17.1%0.6547.9%
Gold (GLD)20.8%16.5%1.036.0%
Commodities (DBC)12.2%18.8%0.5311.2%
Real Estate (VNQ)4.8%18.8%0.1646.8%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)21.1%57.5%0.5617.7%

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Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with VVV
VVV4.6%32.8%0.23-
Sector ETF (XLY)13.9%21.9%0.5848.4%
Equity (SPY)15.6%17.9%0.7551.0%
Gold (GLD)15.6%15.3%0.856.0%
Commodities (DBC)8.5%17.6%0.4018.7%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.9%20.8%0.2550.3%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)71.5%66.4%1.1111.8%

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Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date1152026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity13.6 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 123120251.6%
Average Daily Volume1.8 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest7.6 days
Basic Shares Quantity127.6 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares10.6%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/19/2025-2.5%0.6%-6.0%
8/6/20254.6%6.8%7.5%
5/8/2025-1.9%1.0%6.0%
2/6/20257.4%7.6%-4.6%
11/19/2024-8.7%-6.7%-13.1%
8/7/2024-10.1%-7.7%-6.9%
5/8/2024-4.6%-5.3%-5.9%
2/6/20242.9%9.2%20.0%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive121611
# Negative12813
Median Positive5.0%6.0%13.4%
Median Negative-3.2%-4.7%-6.0%
Max Positive12.2%31.1%31.7%
Max Negative-10.1%-11.0%-13.1%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
09/30/202511/21/202510-K
06/30/202508/06/202510-Q
03/31/202505/08/202510-Q
12/31/202402/06/202510-Q
09/30/202411/22/202410-K
06/30/202408/07/202410-Q
03/31/202405/10/202410-Q
12/31/202302/06/202410-Q
09/30/202311/20/202310-K
06/30/202308/09/202310-Q
03/31/202305/10/202310-Q
12/31/202202/07/202310-Q
09/30/202211/23/202210-K
06/30/202208/04/202210-Q
03/31/202205/10/202210-Q
12/31/202102/09/202210-Q

Insider Activity

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#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1O'Daniel, Julie MarieChief Legal OfficerDirectSell1128202531.883,200102,016549,962Form
2Flees, Lori AnnPresident & CEODirectBuy1125202530.824,500138,6902,134,809Form
3Willis, J KevinChief Financial OfficerDirectBuy1124202531.4110,000314,100713,792Form
4Willis, J KevinChief Financial OfficerDirectBuy815202539.4112,725501,506501,506Form
5Flees, Lori AnnPresident & CEODirectBuy527202533.783,000101,3531,574,817Form