Tearsheet

Valvoline (VVV)


Market Price (6/17/2026): $37.76 | Market Cap: $4.8 BilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Automotive Retail

Valvoline (VVV)


Market Price (6/17/2026): $37.76
Market Cap: $4.8 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Automotive Retail

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%

Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20%

Stock buyback support
Stock Buyback 3Y Total is 1.6 Bil

Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 31%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Advanced Materials, Electrification of Everything, and Sustainable Consumption. Themes include Specialty Chemicals for Performance, Show more.

Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -47%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -73%

Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 13%

Expensive valuation multiples
P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 52x

Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.2%

Key risks
VVV key risks include [1] the long-term threat of electric vehicle adoption reducing demand for its core lubricant products and [2] material weaknesses in internal financial controls resulting from a new ERP system implementation.

0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20%
2 Stock buyback support
Stock Buyback 3Y Total is 1.6 Bil
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 31%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Advanced Materials, Electrification of Everything, and Sustainable Consumption. Themes include Specialty Chemicals for Performance, Show more.
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -47%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -73%
6 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 13%
7 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 52x
8 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.2%
9 Key risks
VVV key risks include [1] the long-term threat of electric vehicle adoption reducing demand for its core lubricant products and [2] material weaknesses in internal financial controls resulting from a new ERP system implementation.

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 6/11/2026

Valvoline (VVV) stock has remained largely at the same level since 2/28/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Strong Fiscal Q2 2026 Earnings Performance Balanced by Anticipated Guidance.

Valvoline reported robust financial results for its fiscal second quarter ended March 31, 2026, with earnings per share (EPS) of $0.41, exceeding analyst estimates of $0.35. Net sales climbed 25% year-over-year to $503.8 million, also surpassing expectations, and system-wide same-store sales grew 8.2%. Despite these positive operational metrics and a 28% increase in EBITDA, the company reiterated its full fiscal year 2026 EPS guidance of $1.65 to $1.75 and revenue guidance of $2.0 billion to $2.1 billion, suggesting that the strong performance was largely in line with expectations and did not introduce new catalysts for significant upward stock movement.

2. Mixed Analyst Sentiment and Valuation Concerns Amidst Positive Operational News.

The stock maintained a consensus "Moderate Buy" rating among analysts, with an average 12-month price target of approximately $40.93. However, this positive sentiment was tempered by some analyst concerns. JPMorgan upgraded Valvoline to a Neutral rating in late May 2026, citing valuation after a stock pullback, but also indicated that raw material inflation from rising oil prices could lead to a de-rating in the coming year. Additionally, Barclays noted that decelerating volume growth and the potential for large shareholders to wind down their stakes could exert pressure, offsetting the impact of strong operational execution and network expansion.

Show more
Updated on 6/11/2026

Valvoline (VVV) stock has remained largely at the same level since 2/28/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Strong Fiscal Q2 2026 Earnings Performance Balanced by Anticipated Guidance.

Valvoline reported robust financial results for its fiscal second quarter ended March 31, 2026, with earnings per share (EPS) of $0.41, exceeding analyst estimates of $0.35. Net sales climbed 25% year-over-year to $503.8 million, also surpassing expectations, and system-wide same-store sales grew 8.2%. Despite these positive operational metrics and a 28% increase in EBITDA, the company reiterated its full fiscal year 2026 EPS guidance of $1.65 to $1.75 and revenue guidance of $2.0 billion to $2.1 billion, suggesting that the strong performance was largely in line with expectations and did not introduce new catalysts for significant upward stock movement.

2. Mixed Analyst Sentiment and Valuation Concerns Amidst Positive Operational News.

The stock maintained a consensus "Moderate Buy" rating among analysts, with an average 12-month price target of approximately $40.93. However, this positive sentiment was tempered by some analyst concerns. JPMorgan upgraded Valvoline to a Neutral rating in late May 2026, citing valuation after a stock pullback, but also indicated that raw material inflation from rising oil prices could lead to a de-rating in the coming year. Additionally, Barclays noted that decelerating volume growth and the potential for large shareholders to wind down their stakes could exert pressure, offsetting the impact of strong operational execution and network expansion.

3. Consistent Operational Growth without Major New Catalysts.

Valvoline continued to demonstrate consistent growth in its quick-lube service center network, including the acquisition of 204 Breeze Auto Care stores and a net addition of 331 stores system-wide in fiscal Q2 2026. The company also received recognition as the #1 Automotive Franchise and a 12-time winner of the ATD BEST Award in May and June 2026, respectively. While these achievements underscore solid business fundamentals and brand strength, they represent ongoing operational successes rather than new, significant catalysts that would drive the stock beyond its relatively stable trading range during the specified period.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -0.1% change in VVV stock from 2/28/2026 to 6/16/2026 was primarily driven by a -7.8% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)22820266162026Change
Stock Price ($)37.8037.75-0.1%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1,7581,8585.7%
Net Income Margin (%)4.9%5.0%2.5%
P/E Multiple55.951.6-7.8%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)128128-0.1%
Cumulative Contribution-0.1%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

2/28/2026 to 6/16/2026
ReturnCorrelation
VVV-0.1% 
Market (SPY)9.7%44.4%
Sector (XLY)1.6%58.6%

Fundamental Drivers

The 20.6% change in VVV stock from 11/30/2025 to 6/16/2026 was primarily driven by a 172.1% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)113020256162026Change
Stock Price ($)31.3137.7520.6%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1,7101,8588.7%
Net Income Margin (%)12.3%5.0%-59.2%
P/E Multiple19.051.6172.1%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)128128-0.2%
Cumulative Contribution20.6%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

11/30/2025 to 6/16/2026
ReturnCorrelation
VVV20.6% 
Market (SPY)10.4%34.6%
Sector (XLY)0.6%48.3%

Fundamental Drivers

The 9.1% change in VVV stock from 5/31/2025 to 6/16/2026 was primarily driven by a 212.6% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)53120256162026Change
Stock Price ($)34.5937.759.1%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1,6741,85811.0%
Net Income Margin (%)16.0%5.0%-68.5%
P/E Multiple16.551.6212.6%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)128128-0.2%
Cumulative Contribution9.1%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

5/31/2025 to 6/16/2026
ReturnCorrelation
VVV9.1% 
Market (SPY)28.8%31.1%
Sector (XLY)11.7%44.2%

Fundamental Drivers

The -1.9% change in VVV stock from 5/31/2023 to 6/16/2026 was primarily driven by a -95.7% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)53120236162026Change
Stock Price ($)38.5037.75-1.9%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1,3301,85839.7%
Net Income Margin (%)117.7%5.0%-95.7%
P/E Multiple4.251.61121.7%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)17212834.4%
Cumulative Contribution-1.9%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

5/31/2023 to 6/16/2026
ReturnCorrelation
VVV-1.9% 
Market (SPY)86.6%40.2%
Sector (XLY)60.1%44.9%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
VVV Return64%-11%15%-4%-20%31%70%
Peers Return46%60%11%4%16%26%296%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%10%101%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
VVV Win Rate75%33%42%33%33%67% 
Peers Win Rate65%65%52%57%68%60% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%50% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
VVV Max Drawdown-14%-32%-26%-24%-29%-18% 
Peers Max Drawdown-19%-26%-18%-24%-21%-16% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: XOM, CVX, PSX, MPC, ORLY. See VVV Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 6/16/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventVVVS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-17.2%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven20.7%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven80 days79 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-25.6%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven34.5%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven102 days24 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-31.8%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven46.6%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven111 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-58.5%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven140.8%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven135 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-10.9%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven12.3%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven27 days105 days
2016-2017 Trump Reflation Bond Selloff
  % Loss-20.8%-3.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven26.2%3.9%
  Time to Breakeven94 days6 days

Compare to XOM, CVX, PSX, MPC, ORLY

In The Past

Valvoline's stock fell -17.2% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 20.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventVVVS&P 500
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-25.6%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven34.5%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven102 days24 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-31.8%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven46.6%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven111 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-58.5%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven140.8%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven135 days140 days
2016-2017 Trump Reflation Bond Selloff
  % Loss-20.8%-3.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven26.2%3.9%
  Time to Breakeven94 days6 days

Compare to XOM, CVX, PSX, MPC, ORLY

In The Past

Valvoline's stock fell -17.2% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 20.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Valvoline (VVV)

Valvoline Inc. (VVV) is a global leader in providing engine and automotive maintenance products and services. The company primarily operates through two distinct segments: Retail Services, which offers quick-lube services directly to consumers, and Global Products, which manufactures and supplies a broad range of automotive maintenance products to various channels worldwide.

Through its Retail Services segment, Valvoline operates and franchises a significant network of Valvoline Instant Oil Change and Great Canadian Oil Change quick-lube locations. As of late 2021, this network comprised nearly 1,600 service centers across the United States and Canada, specializing in fast and convenient oil changes and related vehicle maintenance for everyday consumers.

The Global Products segment encompasses Valvoline's manufacturing and distribution of essential automotive maintenance items. This includes a comprehensive portfolio of lubricants for passenger cars and heavy-duty vehicles, antifreeze/coolants, functional and maintenance chemicals like brake and power steering fluids, and various parts such as oil and air filters, batteries, and windshield wiper blades. These products are supplied to a diverse customer base, including car dealerships, general repair shops, third-party quick lube locations, and through distributors and licensees across North America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Asia Pacific, and Latin America.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Valvoline (VVV):

  • Like Jiffy Lube, but they also make the oil they sell.
  • A Firestone or Bridgestone, but for car fluids and maintenance rather than tires.

AI Analysis | Feedback

```html
  • Lubricants: Valvoline manufactures and supplies lubricants for passenger cars, light-duty, and heavy-duty vehicles.
  • Antifreeze/Coolants: The company provides antifreeze/coolants, primarily for original equipment manufacturers.
  • Automotive Chemicals: Valvoline offers functional and maintenance chemicals such as brake fluids and power steering fluids.
  • Specialty Coatings: It manufactures specialty coatings for both automotive and industrial applications.
  • Automotive Maintenance Parts: The company supplies various automotive components including oil and air filters, batteries, windshield wiper blades, light bulbs, serpentine belts, and drain plugs.
  • Quick-Lube Services: Valvoline operates and franchises Valvoline Instant Oil Change and Great Canadian Oil Change service centers, providing rapid vehicle maintenance services.
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AI Analysis | Feedback

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Valvoline (symbol: VVV) serves a diverse customer base, encompassing both direct consumers and various businesses within the automotive industry. Given the significant direct-to-consumer operations through its Valvoline Instant Oil Change and Great Canadian Oil Change service centers, and the difficulty in identifying specific named public companies among its business customers from the provided text, the company primarily serves individuals and other businesses which in turn often serve individuals. Therefore, its major customers can be categorized as follows:

  1. Vehicle Owners Utilizing Valvoline's Quick-Lube Service Centers: These are individual consumers who directly visit Valvoline Instant Oil Change and Great Canadian Oil Change locations for automotive maintenance services such as oil changes, fluid checks, and other vehicle care.
  2. Vehicle Owners Receiving Services from Third-Party Automotive Businesses: These individuals are the end-users of Valvoline's products (e.g., lubricants, coolants, fluids, filters) when their vehicles are serviced by car dealers, general repair shops, and other third-party quick-lube locations that purchase Valvoline products.
  3. Individuals Purchasing Valvoline Brand Products for Personal Use: This category includes consumers who purchase Valvoline's engine and automotive maintenance products (e.g., motor oil, antifreeze/coolants, brake fluids) for their own vehicle maintenance or DIY projects, typically acquired through retail channels supplied by Valvoline's distributors.
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AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

Lori Flees, Chief Executive Officer and Director
Lori Flees was appointed Chief Executive Officer of Valvoline in October 2023, having previously served as President of Retail Services since April 2022. She brings over 35 years of expertise in retail, mergers and acquisitions, and corporate strategy. Prior to joining Valvoline, Ms. Flees spent nearly a decade at Walmart, where she oversaw the health and wellness business across more than 4,800 locations. Her roles at Walmart also included Head of Corporate Strategy and M&A, Senior Vice President of Next Generation Retail, and Principal of Store No8. Before her tenure at Walmart, Ms. Flees was a partner at Bain & Company Inc. for 17 years, consulting for clients in various industries including consumer goods and services, industrial manufacturing, and oil and gas. Her early career included positions at Intel and General Motors. She also serves on the Board of Directors of Harley-Davidson Inc.

Kevin Willis, Chief Financial Officer
Kevin Willis became Valvoline's Chief Financial Officer effective May 19, 2025, taking over from Mary Meixelsperger. In this role, he is responsible for aligning the company's financial strategy with its vision and overseeing all financial operations, including accounting, reporting, treasury, financial planning and analysis, risk management, and investor relations. Mr. Willis joined Valvoline in 2025 after a 37-year career at Ashland Inc., where he served as Chief Financial Officer since 2013. He held various leadership positions at Ashland, including Vice President, Finance – Ashland Specialty Ingredients, and Vice President, Finance/Treasurer – Ashland Corporate. Mr. Willis was instrumental in Ashland's transformation and led the separation of Valvoline Inc.

Linne Fulcher, Senior Vice President and Chief Operating Officer
Linne Fulcher serves as the Senior Vice President and Chief Operating Officer of Valvoline Inc., where he is responsible for ensuring centralized end-to-end support for the company's more than 2,000 service centers across North America. His leadership focuses on delivering tools, processes, and technology that enhance the efficiency and service quality of Valvoline's service center teams. His areas of responsibility include operations experience, efficiency tools, labor management, supply and inventory management, new store onboarding, product support, and all store support functions.

Julie O'Daniel, Chief Legal Officer, Senior Vice President and Corporate Secretary
Julie O'Daniel holds the position of Chief Legal Officer, Senior Vice President, and Corporate Secretary at Valvoline Inc. She leads the company's legal and corporate governance matters, as well as overseeing security, office and building services, and environmental, social, and governance (ESG) initiatives. Ms. O'Daniel has provided legal expertise to the organization for over 15 years, initially joining Ashland Inc., Valvoline's former parent company, as Senior Counsel in 2007. She became a part of Valvoline's leadership team and served as the Lead Commercial Counsel for Valvoline starting in 2012.

Hitesh Patel, Senior Vice President, Chief Technology and Cybersecurity Officer
Hitesh Patel is the Senior Vice President, Chief Technology and Cybersecurity Officer for Valvoline Inc. In this role, he is responsible for leading the strategic convergence of technology, cybersecurity, and digital innovation to drive enterprise growth and customer impact. His responsibilities include shaping digital strategy, strengthening cyber defense, and aligning infrastructure with the company's business transformation goals. Before joining Valvoline, Mr. Patel was the Senior Vice President and Chief Information Officer for Sleep Number, where he managed all enterprise technology capabilities and initiatives aimed at generating incremental revenue and improving cost efficiencies.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The key risks to Valvoline's business are primarily driven by shifts in the automotive industry, intense market competition, and financial considerations related to its growth strategy.

  1. Shift to Electric Vehicles (EVs): The most significant long-term threat to Valvoline's core quick-lube business is the accelerated adoption of electric vehicles. EVs require far less traditional lubricant service, such as oil changes, which forms the foundation of Valvoline's revenue. While Valvoline is actively developing EV-specific fluids and services, a rapid shift to an electrified vehicle fleet could substantially diminish the market for its conventional products and services.

  2. Intense Competition and Market Fragmentation: Valvoline operates within a highly competitive and fragmented quick-lube market. This environment includes major players like Jiffy Lube and numerous independent repair centers, which constantly exert pressure on service prices and, consequently, on Valvoline's margins. Maintaining market share and profitability in such a landscape requires continuous operational efficiency and strategic pricing.

  3. Debt and Acquisition Risk: Valvoline's strategy of growth, including recent significant, debt-funded acquisitions like Breeze Autocare, introduces financial risks. These acquisitions can increase the company's leverage ratio, raising "near-term balance sheet questions" and substantial financial obligations. There is also the inherent complexity and risk associated with successfully integrating many new locations into its existing operational framework.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The widespread adoption of Electric Vehicles (EVs) represents a clear emerging threat to Valvoline's core business model. EVs do not require engine oil, oil filters, spark plugs, or traditional engine coolant flushes, significantly reducing the demand for many of Valvoline's primary product offerings (lubricants, antifreeze/coolants for ICE, filters, etc.). Furthermore, the operational model of Valvoline's quick-lube service centers (Valvoline Instant Oil Change, Great Canadian Oil Change) is predicated on frequent maintenance needs of internal combustion engine (ICE) vehicles, particularly oil changes. As the vehicle fleet transitions to EVs, the fundamental service offerings that drive these centers will diminish substantially, challenging the viability and revenue streams of this segment.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Valvoline Inc. operates in significant addressable markets for its core products and services, primarily automotive lubricants and quick-lube services.

Retail Services (Quick-Lube)

  • U.S. Oil Change Service Market: This market was estimated at approximately $8.11 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to $14.8 billion by 2034. Other estimates indicate the U.S. oil change service market size at $12.9 billion in 2024 and $13.2 billion in 2025. Sales from oil change and lubrication shops in the U.S. reached $8 billion in 2023 and are forecast to increase to $10.4 billion by 2027.
  • Canada Quick Lube Service Market: The total Canadian auto service market is valued at $18.8 billion. Quick lube locations account for approximately 11% of all auto service and repair visits in Canada, indicating an addressable market of roughly $2.07 billion for quick lube services in Canada.

Global Products (Automotive Lubricants)

  • Global Automotive Lubricants Market: The global automotive lubricants market size was valued at $77.8 billion in 2022 and is projected to reach $116.1 billion by 2032, growing at a CAGR of 4.1%. Other estimates for the global market size include $73.07 billion in 2025, with a projection to reach $87.40 billion by 2035.
  • North America Automotive Lubricants Market: This market was valued at $43.66 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach $50.29 billion by 2030. The U.S. portion of the lubricants market is projected to reach $12.81 billion by 2032.
  • Canada Automotive Lubricants Market: This market generated a revenue of $1,018.4 million in 2022 and is expected to reach $1,295.5 million by 2030.

Broader Automotive Aftermarket

Valvoline's wider range of products, including antifreeze/coolants, filters, and chemicals, falls under the broader automotive aftermarket.

  • U.S. Automotive Aftermarket: The entire U.S. automotive aftermarket, which includes parts, accessories, and services for light, medium, and heavy-duty vehicles, is projected at nearly $535 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach approximately $574 billion in 2026. Another estimate places the U.S. automotive aftermarket size at $260 billion in 2024, projected to reach $348 billion in 2032.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Expected Drivers of Future Revenue Growth for Valvoline (VVV)

  • Accelerated Network Growth (New Store Additions and Acquisitions): Valvoline is aggressively expanding its retail service center footprint through both organic new store builds and strategic acquisitions. The company aims to grow its network from approximately 2,180 locations in fiscal year 2025 to a target of 3,500+ stores across the U.S. and Canada. Recent examples include the planned acquisition and integration of Breeze Autocare, which is expected to add 162 stores and contribute significantly to future revenue. This expansion is a primary engine for revenue growth.
  • System-Wide Same-Store Sales (SSS) Growth: Valvoline has a strong track record of consistent system-wide same-store sales growth, achieving its 19th consecutive year of SSS growth in fiscal 2025, with a 6.1% increase. The company targets 4-6% same-store sales growth from 2026 to 2028. This growth is driven by a combination of increased customer traffic and higher average ticket sizes.
  • Expansion of Premium and Non-Oil Change Service Offerings (Service Mix/Premiumization): Valvoline is focused on enhancing its service mix by expanding non-oil change offerings. This strategy aims to increase the average ticket size per customer visit through the premiumization of services, such as tire rotations and other essential maintenance, beyond basic oil changes. This initiative is designed to meet the needs of an evolving customer base and car parc.
  • Effective Pricing Actions: Management has indicated that Valvoline maintains pricing power, with pricing actions contributing to revenue growth. These strategic price adjustments help drive increases in average ticket size without significantly deterring customer traffic, further bolstering revenue.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Share Repurchases

  • Valvoline's board authorized a $1.6 billion share repurchase program on November 10, 2022.
  • In fiscal year 2023, the company executed approximately $1.525 billion in share buybacks, including a $1.0 billion "Dutch auction" tender offer.
  • On July 30, 2024, the board approved a new $400 million share repurchase authorization.

Inbound Investments

  • Valvoline completed the sale of its Global Products business to Aramco for $2.65 billion in cash on March 1, 2023.
  • The net cash proceeds from the sale, estimated at approximately $2.25 billion (or $2.38 billion), were intended to accelerate capital returns to shareholders, reduce debt, and invest in the Retail Services business.

Outbound Investments

  • On December 1, 2025, Valvoline acquired OC IntermediateCo, which includes the Breeze Autocare business and Oil Changers quick lube stores, for a net purchase price of $593 million.
  • This acquisition resulted in a net addition of 162 stores after divesting 45 locations as required by the Federal Trade Commission.
  • The acquisition was financed by a newly issued $740 million Term Loan B.

Capital Expenditures

  • Valvoline's capital expenditures were $144 million in fiscal year 2021, $132 million in fiscal year 2022, and $180.5 million in fiscal year 2023.
  • Projected capital expenditures are $224.4 million for fiscal year 2024 and $259.2 million for fiscal year 2025.
  • For fiscal year 2026, the company expects capital expenditures to be between $250 million and $280 million, primarily focused on accelerating network growth and innovating within its Retail Services business.

Better Bets vs. Valvoline (VVV)

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

VVVXOMCVXPSXMPCORLYMedian
NameValvolineExxon Mo.Chevron Phillips.Marathon.O'Reilly. 
Mkt Price37.75141.86180.11172.00250.4790.68156.93
Mkt Cap4.8596.1356.669.273.976.075.0
Rev LTM1,858326,008185,887134,486135,38218,206134,934
Op Inc LTM29029,43915,5993,8906,4503,5615,170
FCF LTM10018,79213,7811195,7021,9133,808
FCF 3Y Avg-4326,36115,2332,0896,5781,9824,334
CFO LTM36947,72231,2642,5119,4383,0406,239
CFO 3Y Avg19151,57532,1164,2409,3663,0556,803

Growth & Margins

VVVXOMCVXPSXMPCORLYMedian
NameValvolineExxon Mo.Chevron Phillips.Marathon.O'Reilly. 
Rev Chg LTM11.0%-4.1%-3.7%-2.4%-1.7%7.9%-2.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg11.8%-5.8%-6.9%-7.1%-7.9%7.1%-6.4%
Rev Chg Q25.0%2.6%3.2%6.9%8.5%10.2%7.7%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM5.7%0.6%0.8%1.6%2.0%2.4%1.8%
Op Inc Chg LTM-34.0%-25.6%-9.6%544.0%49.2%9.9%0.1%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg9.3%-23.8%-26.2%136.8%-20.3%5.9%-7.2%
Op Mgn LTM15.6%9.0%8.4%2.9%4.8%19.6%8.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg20.5%10.9%10.0%2.6%4.9%19.6%10.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.2%-1.4%-0.6%0.3%0.4%0.1%0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM19.9%14.6%16.8%1.9%7.0%16.7%15.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg10.5%15.5%16.8%3.0%6.7%18.0%13.0%
FCF/Rev LTM5.4%5.8%7.4%0.1%4.2%10.5%5.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-3.2%7.9%8.0%1.5%4.7%11.7%6.3%

Valuation

VVVXOMCVXPSXMPCORLYMedian
NameValvolineExxon Mo.Chevron Phillips.Marathon.O'Reilly. 
Mkt Cap4.8596.1356.669.273.976.075.0
P/S2.61.81.90.50.54.21.9
P/Op Inc16.620.222.917.811.521.419.0
P/EBIT16.916.018.311.28.121.316.4
P/E51.623.532.416.816.029.226.4
P/CFO13.112.511.427.57.825.012.8
Total Yield1.9%7.1%6.8%8.8%7.8%3.4%7.0%
Dividend Yield0.0%2.9%3.7%2.8%1.6%0.0%2.2%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-0.5%5.0%4.8%3.5%10.3%2.6%4.1%
D/E0.40.10.10.40.50.10.3
Net D/E0.40.10.10.30.40.10.2

Returns

VVVXOMCVXPSXMPCORLYMedian
NameValvolineExxon Mo.Chevron Phillips.Marathon.O'Reilly. 
1M Rtn16.5%-10.2%-4.9%-1.7%-1.4%2.5%-1.5%
3M Rtn10.9%-10.1%-8.2%0.3%7.8%1.4%0.9%
6M Rtn22.7%25.4%25.1%32.5%42.9%-2.4%25.2%
12M Rtn3.7%30.1%28.5%43.9%53.1%2.9%29.3%
3Y Rtn3.6%49.2%30.0%96.3%135.1%48.0%48.6%
1M Excs Rtn15.2%-11.6%-6.3%-3.1%-2.8%1.1%-2.9%
3M Excs Rtn-0.9%-21.9%-20.0%-11.5%-4.1%-10.4%-11.0%
6M Excs Rtn11.6%11.0%12.3%13.5%26.0%-13.7%12.0%
12M Excs Rtn-19.0%4.9%2.9%20.0%28.0%-24.8%3.9%
3Y Excs Rtn-73.1%-28.7%-46.1%18.3%61.0%-24.8%-26.7%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Single segment1,7101,619  1,037
Franchise fees and other  7274 
Non-oil changes and related fees  298248 
Oil changes and related fees  1,074913 
Total1,7101,6191,4441,2361,037


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20212020201920182017
Retail Services382247   
Global Products327309   
Net legacy and separation-related income (expenses)2430   
Business interruption recovery (expenses)32   
LIFO (charge) credit-4115   
Corporate-75-61   
Depreciation and amortization-92-66   
Acquisition and divestiture-related (costs) income -2   
Compensated absences benefits change 11   
Core North America  152172199
International  858476
Quick Lubes  178153130
Unallocated and other  -17-14127
Total528485398395532


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$37.75 
Market Cap ($ Bil)4.8 
First Trading Date09/23/2016 
Distance from 52W High-7.2% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$34.09$34.11
DMA Trenddownindeterminate
Distance from DMA10.7%10.7%
 3M1YR
Volatility36.0%31.1%
Downside Capture80.8758.49
Upside Capture84.5346.73
Correlation (SPY)42.0%30.1%
VVV Betas & Captures as of 5/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta1.501.631.220.960.840.77
Up Beta5.402.621.631.391.510.93
Down Beta1.521.241.180.860.790.62
Up Capture26%45%56%78%38%30%
Bmk +ve Days13283667141432
Stock +ve Days10172560109350
Down Capture21%195%153%87%79%95%
Bmk -ve Days7132757109318
Stock -ve Days10243864139391

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with VVV
VVV6.3%31.3%0.22-
Sector ETF (XLY)12.8%18.3%0.5245.2%
Equity (SPY)27.2%12.4%1.6630.4%
Gold (GLD)25.8%27.4%0.8213.3%
Commodities (DBC)23.3%18.9%0.98-24.9%
Real Estate (VNQ)13.6%13.5%0.6935.4%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-37.7%42.4%-1.004.5%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with VVV
VVV2.4%29.5%0.10-
Sector ETF (XLY)7.6%23.8%0.2746.8%
Equity (SPY)13.8%17.1%0.6347.5%
Gold (GLD)17.6%18.2%0.789.4%
Commodities (DBC)7.8%19.4%0.305.2%
Real Estate (VNQ)2.5%18.8%0.0446.5%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)12.1%54.2%0.4216.3%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with VVV
VVV6.1%32.9%0.26-
Sector ETF (XLY)12.7%22.1%0.5348.2%
Equity (SPY)15.4%18.0%0.7350.4%
Gold (GLD)12.8%16.1%0.667.7%
Commodities (DBC)6.2%18.0%0.2715.2%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.6%20.7%0.2349.9%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)60.7%66.8%1.0011.3%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date5292026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity16.0 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 5152026-1.6%
Average Daily Volume1.8 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest9.1 days
Basic Shares Quantity127.8 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares12.5%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 6/10/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
5/7/20265.0%-6.1%4.6%
2/4/20266.9%14.1%8.3%
11/19/2025-2.5%0.6%-6.0%
8/6/20254.6%6.8%7.5%
5/8/2025-1.9%1.0%6.0%
2/6/20257.4%7.6%-4.6%
11/19/2024-8.7%-6.7%-13.1%
8/7/2024-10.1%-7.7%-6.9%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive121512
# Negative12912
Median Positive5.2%6.8%10.3%
Median Negative-3.7%-4.1%-5.2%
Max Positive12.2%16.1%23.4%
Max Negative-10.1%-7.7%-13.1%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
5/7/20265.0%-6.1%4.6%
2/4/20266.9%14.1%8.3%
11/19/2025-2.5%0.6%-6.0%
8/6/20254.6%6.8%7.5%
5/8/2025-1.9%1.0%6.0%
2/6/20257.4%7.6%-4.6%
11/19/2024-8.7%-6.7%-13.1%
8/7/2024-10.1%-7.7%-6.9%
5/8/2024-4.6%-5.3%-5.9%
2/6/20242.9%9.2%20.0%
11/9/20235.4%16.1%16.8%
8/9/2023-3.0%-4.1%-6.4%
5/10/202312.2%11.7%12.3%
2/7/2023-3.4%-3.1%-1.8%
11/15/20224.3%1.8%-0.9%
8/3/2022-6.2%-3.6%-4.4%
5/9/2022-6.1%1.9%17.4%
2/8/20223.4%0.3%-9.6%
11/3/2021-2.6%-1.5%-2.7%
8/4/20211.4%1.4%0.0%
4/28/20217.3%10.1%13.4%
2/3/2021-4.0%-2.0%2.5%
10/28/20206.9%13.0%23.4%
8/3/2020-0.8%2.8%-3.1%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive121512
# Negative12912
Median Positive5.2%6.8%10.3%
Median Negative-3.7%-4.1%-5.2%
Max Positive12.2%16.1%23.4%
Max Negative-10.1%-7.7%-13.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
03/31/202605/07/202610-Q
12/31/202502/04/202610-Q
09/30/202511/21/202510-K
06/30/202508/06/202510-Q
03/31/202505/08/202510-Q
12/31/202402/06/202510-Q
09/30/202411/22/202410-K
06/30/202408/07/202410-Q
03/31/202405/10/202410-Q
12/31/202302/06/202410-Q
09/30/202311/20/202310-K
06/30/202308/09/202310-Q
03/31/202305/10/202310-Q
12/31/202202/07/202310-Q
09/30/202211/23/202210-K
06/30/202208/04/202210-Q
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
03/31/202605/07/202610-Q
12/31/202502/04/202610-Q
09/30/202511/21/202510-K
06/30/202508/06/202510-Q
03/31/202505/08/202510-Q
12/31/202402/06/202510-Q
09/30/202411/22/202410-K
06/30/202408/07/202410-Q
03/31/202405/10/202410-Q
12/31/202302/06/202410-Q
09/30/202311/20/202310-K
06/30/202308/09/202310-Q
03/31/202305/10/202310-Q
12/31/202202/07/202310-Q
09/30/202211/23/202210-K
06/30/202208/04/202210-Q
03/31/202205/10/202210-Q
12/31/202102/09/202210-Q
09/30/202111/19/202110-K
06/30/202108/05/202110-Q
03/31/202104/29/202110-Q
12/31/202002/04/202110-Q
09/30/202011/24/202010-K
06/30/202008/04/202010-Q
03/31/202005/07/202010-Q
12/31/201902/04/202010-Q
09/30/201911/22/201910-K
06/30/201908/01/201910-Q

Insider Activity

Updated 6/12/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Slater, Jennifer Lynn DirectBuy518202632.531,00032,53032,530Form
2Willis, J KevinChief Financial OfficerDirectBuy515202631.8010,000318,0001,040,655Form
3Freeland, Richard Joseph DirectBuy515202632.373,100100,347521,545Form
4Caldwell, Jonathan LChief People OfficerDirectSell304202637.542,679100,570892,288Form
5Caldwell, Jonathan LChief People OfficerDirectSell304202638.0098337,3541,005,024Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Slater, Jennifer Lynn DirectBuy518202632.531,00032,53032,530Form
2Willis, J KevinChief Financial OfficerDirectBuy515202631.8010,000318,0001,040,655Form
3Freeland, Richard Joseph DirectBuy515202632.373,100100,347521,545Form
4Caldwell, Jonathan LChief People OfficerDirectSell304202637.542,679100,570892,288Form
5Caldwell, Jonathan LChief People OfficerDirectSell304202638.0098337,3541,005,024Form
6O'Daniel, Julie MarieChief Legal OfficerDirectSell223202638.554,312166,228693,090Form
7O'Daniel, Julie MarieChief Legal OfficerDirectSell1128202531.883,200102,016549,962Form
8Flees, Lori AnnPresident & CEODirectBuy1125202530.824,500138,6902,134,809Form
9Willis, J KevinChief Financial OfficerDirectBuy1124202531.4110,000314,100713,792Form
10Willis, J KevinChief Financial OfficerDirectBuy815202539.4112,725501,506501,506Form
Core Cache Last Updated: 6/16/2026