Tearsheet

Direct Digital (DRCT)


Market Price (12/5/2025): $0.1007 | Market Cap: $1.0 Mil
Sector: Communication Services | Industry: Advertising

Direct Digital (DRCT)


Market Price (12/5/2025): $0.1007
Market Cap: $1.0 Mil
Sector: Communication Services
Industry: Advertising

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital Advertising, and Social Media & Creator Economy. Themes include Ad-Tech Platforms.
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -149%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -169%
Penny stock
Mkt Price is 0.1
1   Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -15 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -40%
2   Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 666%
3   Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -75%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -54%
4   Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -11%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -11%
5   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -173%
6   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 916%
7   Significant short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 43%
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital Advertising, and Social Media & Creator Economy. Themes include Ad-Tech Platforms.
1 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -149%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -169%
2 Penny stock
Mkt Price is 0.1
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -15 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -40%
4 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 666%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -75%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -54%
6 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -11%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -11%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -173%
8 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 916%
9 Significant short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 43%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

DRCT Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are key points explaining the approximate -78.7% stock movement for Direct Digital (DRCT) from August 31, 2025, to December 5, 2025:

1. Significant Decline in Sell-Side Revenue and Overall Revenue: Direct Digital reported a substantial year-over-year consolidated revenue decrease in both Q2 2025 (reported August 5, 2025) and Q3 2025 (reported November 6, 2025). The Q2 2025 consolidated revenue was $10.1 million, down from $21.9 million in Q2 2024, with sell-side revenue dropping sharply from $14.3 million to $2.5 million due to decreased impression inventory. This trend continued into Q3 2025, with consolidated revenue decreasing 12% to $8.0 million from $9.1 million in Q3 2024, and sell-side advertising revenue falling further to $0.6 million from $2.2 million.

2. Increased Net Losses and Adjusted EBITDA Losses: The company reported increased net losses and adjusted EBITDA losses in its financial results. The net loss in Q2 2025 was $4.2 million, up from $3.1 million in Q2 2024, and the adjusted EBITDA loss was $1.5 million compared to $1.3 million in the prior year. For Q3 2025, the adjusted EBITDA loss was $3.0 million, compared to a loss of $2.9 million in Q3 2024.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
DRCT Return---514%-89%-94%-96%
Peers Return94%12%-23%25%16%-29%71%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%17%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
DRCT Win Rate--40%33%42%30% 
Peers Win Rate50%51%40%58%55%50% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
DRCT Max Drawdown----14%-96%-91% 
Peers Max Drawdown-36%-18%-43%-14%-19%-39% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: DV, TTD, OMC, IPG, MGNI.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/4/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventDRCTS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-72.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven260.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven211 days464 days

Compare to DV, TTD, OMC, IPG, MGNI


In The Past

Direct Digital's stock fell -72.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/31/2022. A -72.2% loss requires a 260.3% gain to breakeven.

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Asset Allocation

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About Direct Digital (DRCT)

Better Bets than Direct Digital (DRCT)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to DRCT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PINS_11302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11302025PINSPinterestMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.9%4.9%0.0%
TMUS_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025TMUST-Mobile USMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.0%0.0%-1.2%
Z_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ZZillowMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
6.8%6.8%0.0%
IRDM_11072025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11072025IRDMIridium CommunicationsDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
2.1%2.1%-5.6%
TTD_10032025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10032025TTDTrade DeskDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-25.1%-25.1%-25.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PINS_11302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11302025PINSPinterestMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.9%4.9%0.0%
TMUS_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025TMUST-Mobile USMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.0%0.0%-1.2%
Z_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ZZillowMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
6.8%6.8%0.0%
IRDM_11072025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11072025IRDMIridium CommunicationsDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
2.1%2.1%-5.6%
TTD_10032025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10032025TTDTrade DeskDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-25.1%-25.1%-25.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Direct Digital

Peers to compare with:

Financials

DRCTDVTTDOMCIPGMGNIMedian
NameDirect D.DoubleVe.Trade De.Omnicom Interpub.Magnite  
Mkt Price0.1010.8239.3570.17-14.3814.38
Mkt Cap0.01.819.213.69.02.15.5
Rev LTM367332,79116,06510,3457031,762
Op Inc LTM-15805282,1411,45086307
FCF LTM-41416781,668840161420
FCF 3Y Avg-31236001,297790164382
CFO LTM-41768811,826959222551
CFO 3Y Avg-31517311,411948215473

Growth & Margins

DRCTDVTTDOMCIPGMGNIMedian
NameDirect D.DoubleVe.Trade De.Omnicom Interpub.Magnite  
Rev Chg LTM-74.8%14.9%20.8%4.1%-5.2%6.3%5.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg21.0%20.1%23.5%4.0%-1.3%7.7%13.9%
Rev Chg Q-53.6%11.2%17.7%4.0%-6.4%10.8%7.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-24.3%2.7%4.2%1.0%-1.6%2.6%1.8%
Op Mgn LTM-40.4%10.9%18.9%13.3%14.0%12.2%12.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-13.7%12.7%14.6%14.1%13.5%-5.2%13.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-10.6%-0.9%1.2%-0.6%0.6%1.1%0.0%
CFO/Rev LTM-10.8%24.0%31.6%11.4%9.3%31.7%17.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-4.6%23.6%32.0%9.1%8.9%32.8%16.3%
FCF/Rev LTM-10.9%19.2%24.3%10.4%8.1%22.9%14.8%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-4.7%19.2%26.6%8.4%7.4%25.0%13.8%

Valuation

DRCTDVTTDOMCIPGMGNIMedian
NameDirect D.DoubleVe.Trade De.Omnicom Interpub.Magnite  
Mkt Cap0.01.819.213.69.02.15.5
P/S0.22.68.61.00.94.41.8
P/EBIT-0.523.045.37.29.736.716.4
P/E-0.643.454.511.820.453.731.9
P/CFO-1.411.027.18.79.414.010.2
Total Yield-168.8%2.3%1.8%11.9%10.4%1.9%2.1%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%3.5%5.5%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-27.8%4.7%1.8%7.6%7.3%10.0%6.0%
D/E6.90.10.00.40.50.20.3
Net D/E6.7-0.1-0.00.20.30.00.1

Returns

DRCTDVTTDOMCIPGMGNIMedian
NameDirect D.DoubleVe.Trade De.Omnicom Interpub.Magnite  
1M Rtn-70.3%-3.0%-16.7%-4.6%--14.0%-14.0%
3M Rtn-78.1%-29.0%-24.2%-10.7%--42.1%-29.0%
6M Rtn-81.5%-28.0%-44.7%1.8%--17.6%-28.0%
12M Rtn-89.2%-48.6%-71.8%-29.6%--18.0%-48.6%
3Y Rtn-96.8%-59.0%-22.6%0.3%-21.6%-22.6%
1M Excs Rtn-71.5%-4.2%-18.0%-5.8%--15.3%-15.3%
3M Excs Rtn-83.3%-33.7%-30.2%-17.5%--47.9%-33.7%
6M Excs Rtn-97.0%-43.5%-60.1%-13.6%--33.1%-43.5%
12M Excs Rtn-105.0%-61.2%-84.3%-44.2%--29.7%-61.2%
3Y Excs Rtn-169.4%-129.8%-92.4%-74.9%--31.2%-92.4%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity4,263,543
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025182.1%
Average Daily Volume14,015,412
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1
Basic Shares Quantity9,937,000
Short % of Basic Shares42.9%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025806202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025507202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024328202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241113202410-Q 9/30/2024
63020241015202410-Q 6/30/2024
33120241015202410-Q 3/31/2024
123120231015202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231109202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023811202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023515202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022417202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221114202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022815202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022516202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021331202210-K 12/31/2021
123120202142022424B4 12/31/2020