Direct Digital (DRCT)


Market Price (9/21/2026): $1.64 | Market Cap: $1.2 MilSector: Communication Services | Industry: Advertising

Direct Digital (DRCT)


Market Price (9/21/2026): $1.64
Market Cap: $1.2 Mil
Sector: Communication Services
Industry: Advertising

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital Advertising, and Social Media & Creator Economy. Themes include Ad-Tech Platforms.

Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -136%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -171%

Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -15 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -47%

Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 1521%

Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -15%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -21%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -23%

Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -18%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -18%

Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 168%

Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -1981%

High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 158%

Key risks
DRCT key risks include [1] potential Nasdaq delisting due to non-compliance and severe financial pressure from a highly leveraged balance sheet and minimal cash reserves, Show more.

0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital Advertising, and Social Media & Creator Economy. Themes include Ad-Tech Platforms.
1 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -136%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -171%
2 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -15 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -47%
3 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 1521%
4 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -15%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -21%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -23%
5 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -18%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -18%
6 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 168%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -1981%
8 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 158%
9 Key risks
DRCT key risks include [1] potential Nasdaq delisting due to non-compliance and severe financial pressure from a highly leveraged balance sheet and minimal cash reserves, Show more.

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 9/16/2026

Direct Digital (DRCT) stock has lost about 40% since 5/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Significant Revenue Miss and Decline in Fiscal Q2 2026, driven by a drop in demand-side platform (DSP) customer spending.

Direct Digital Holdings reported fiscal Q2 2026 (ended June 30, 2026) revenue of $7.83 million on August 12, 2026, which fell below analysts' consensus estimates of $8.84 million. This represented a 23% decrease compared to the same period in 2025. The primary driver for this decline was a $4.5 million decrease in spending from DSP customers during the first six months of 2026, indicating a persistent challenge in this segment.

2. Breach of Financial Covenants and Deteriorating Liquidity as of the end of fiscal Q2 2026.

As of June 30, 2026, Direct Digital Holdings was not in compliance with certain financial covenants under its credit facility and was actively seeking a waiver from its lender. This raised significant concerns about the company's financial stability. Concurrently, the company's cash and cash equivalents further dwindled to $0.5 million by June 30, 2026, down from $0.7 million at the end of fiscal year 2025, highlighting a worsening liquidity position.

Show more
Updated on 9/16/2026

Direct Digital (DRCT) stock has lost about 40% since 5/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Significant Revenue Miss and Decline in Fiscal Q2 2026, driven by a drop in demand-side platform (DSP) customer spending.

Direct Digital Holdings reported fiscal Q2 2026 (ended June 30, 2026) revenue of $7.83 million on August 12, 2026, which fell below analysts' consensus estimates of $8.84 million. This represented a 23% decrease compared to the same period in 2025. The primary driver for this decline was a $4.5 million decrease in spending from DSP customers during the first six months of 2026, indicating a persistent challenge in this segment.

2. Breach of Financial Covenants and Deteriorating Liquidity as of the end of fiscal Q2 2026.

As of June 30, 2026, Direct Digital Holdings was not in compliance with certain financial covenants under its credit facility and was actively seeking a waiver from its lender. This raised significant concerns about the company's financial stability. Concurrently, the company's cash and cash equivalents further dwindled to $0.5 million by June 30, 2026, down from $0.7 million at the end of fiscal year 2025, highlighting a worsening liquidity position.

3. Nasdaq Listing Risk.

In August 2026, Direct Digital Holdings received a waiver regarding its Nasdaq listing status, indicating that the company was at risk of delisting. This event likely contributed to negative investor sentiment and uncertainty surrounding the company's future on a major exchange.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -42.0% change in DRCT stock from 5/31/2026 to 9/20/2026 was primarily driven by a -79.7% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).
(LTM values as of)53120269202026Change
Stock Price ($)2.831.64-42.0%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)3331-7.0%
P/S Multiple0.00.0207.2%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)01-79.7%
Cumulative Contribution-42.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

5/31/2026 to 9/20/2026
ReturnCorrelation
DRCT-42.0% 
Market (SPY)0.9%24.8%
Sector (XLC)-4.2%15.7%

Fundamental Drivers

The -62.4% change in DRCT stock from 2/28/2026 to 9/20/2026 was primarily driven by a -91.8% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).
(LTM values as of)22820269202026Change
Stock Price ($)4.361.64-62.4%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)3531-12.6%
P/S Multiple0.00.0421.9%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)01-91.8%
Cumulative Contribution-62.4%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

2/28/2026 to 9/20/2026
ReturnCorrelation
DRCT-62.4% 
Market (SPY)11.6%20.0%
Sector (XLC)-5.8%15.9%

Fundamental Drivers

The -98.4% change in DRCT stock from 8/31/2025 to 9/20/2026 was primarily driven by a -93.7% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).
(LTM values as of)83120259202026Change
Stock Price ($)101.201.64-98.4%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)3631-15.2%
P/S Multiple0.10.0-69.9%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)01-93.7%
Cumulative Contribution-98.4%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

8/31/2025 to 9/20/2026
ReturnCorrelation
DRCT-98.4% 
Market (SPY)19.4%6.8%
Sector (XLC)0.5%10.2%

Fundamental Drivers

The -99.7% change in DRCT stock from 8/31/2023 to 9/20/2026 was primarily driven by a -98.1% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).
(LTM values as of)83120239202026Change
Stock Price ($)585.201.64-99.7%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)11331-72.7%
P/S Multiple0.10.0-45.1%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)01-98.1%
Cumulative Contribution-99.7%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

8/31/2023 to 9/20/2026
ReturnCorrelation
DRCT-99.7% 
Market (SPY)75.6%5.8%
Sector (XLC)68.8%5.0%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
DRCT Return--19%514%-89%-96%-88%-100%
Peers Return6%-40%81%160%-0%-8%177%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%12%103%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
DRCT Win Rate-36%33%42%25%0% 
Peers Win Rate49%35%65%62%48%47% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%44% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
DRCT Max Drawdown---64%-98%-97%-90% 
Peers Max Drawdown-46%-58%-36%-30%-53%-40% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: DV, APP, OMC, TTD, MGNI.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 9/18/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventDRCTS&P 500
2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind
  % Loss-20.1%-7.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven25.1%8.5%
  Time to Breakeven138 days18 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-21.2%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven26.9%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven6 days24 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-54.9%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven121.9%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven215 days31 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-60.0%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven150.0%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven22 days427 days

Compare to DV, APP, OMC, TTD, MGNI

In The Past

Direct Digital's stock fell -20.1% during the 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind. Such a loss loss requires a 25.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventDRCTS&P 500
2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind
  % Loss-20.1%-7.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven25.1%8.5%
  Time to Breakeven138 days18 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-21.2%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven26.9%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven6 days24 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-54.9%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven121.9%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven215 days31 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-60.0%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven150.0%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven22 days427 days

Compare to DV, APP, OMC, TTD, MGNI

In The Past

Direct Digital's stock fell -20.1% during the 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind. Such a loss loss requires a 25.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Direct Digital (DRCT)

Direct Digital Holdings, Inc. (DRCT) operates as an end-to-end programmatic advertising platform. The company provides the technology and services necessary to automate and optimize the buying and selling of digital advertising space. Essentially, DRCT helps businesses efficiently execute their digital ad campaigns by leveraging sophisticated algorithms and data analytics to reach target audiences across various online channels.

The company's main offerings include advertising technology (AdTech) solutions and data-driven campaign optimization. DRCT serves both advertisers (the "buy-side") looking to place ads and publishers (the "sell-side") seeking to monetize their digital inventory. A key aspect of its strategy is to focus on markets that are typically underserved and less efficient, making advanced programmatic advertising capabilities accessible to a broader range of enterprises.

Direct Digital primarily caters to small and mid-sized businesses (SMBs) across a diverse set of industry verticals. These include sectors such as travel, healthcare, education, financial services, and consumer products. By concentrating on these segments, DRCT aims to empower SMBs with the tools and insights needed to effectively compete in the digital advertising landscape, thereby bridging the gap between sophisticated ad tech and businesses that might otherwise lack access.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The Trade Desk for Main Street.

A full-service programmatic advertising platform, like a specialized Google Ads or Meta Ads for small and mid-sized businesses.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Programmatic Advertising Platform: An end-to-end platform enabling businesses to manage and optimize digital ad campaigns efficiently.
  • Advertising Technology (AdTech): The underlying technological infrastructure and tools that facilitate the execution and management of digital advertising campaigns.
  • Data-Driven Campaign Optimization: Services that utilize data analytics to improve the performance, targeting, and efficiency of advertising campaigns.

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Direct Digital (DRCT) primarily sells its programmatic advertising platform and solutions to other companies (B2B) rather than individuals. Based on the company's public filings, no single customer accounted for more than 10% of its total revenue for the years ended December 31, 2023, 2022, and 2021. Therefore, Direct Digital does not have individual "major customers" that are publicly disclosed. However, the company focuses on serving specific categories of businesses:
  • Small- and mid-sized businesses (SMBs) seeking to leverage programmatic advertising technology and data-driven campaign optimization.
  • Companies across a wide range of industry verticals, including travel, healthcare, education, financial services, and consumer products.
  • Businesses operating on both the buy-side (advertisers) and sell-side (publishers and media owners) of the digital advertising ecosystem, especially those in underserved and less efficient markets.

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Mark D. Walker, Co-Founder, Chief Executive Officer, and Chairman

Mr. Walker co-founded Direct Digital Holdings in 2018 and became Chairman and CEO on August 23, 2021. Before founding Direct Digital Holdings, he served as Chief Operating Officer at CVG Group, LLC, a private equity firm, from October 2016 to May 2019, where he was responsible for the operations of their portfolio companies. In this role, he was also the Acting COO for Ebony Media Operations, overseeing its digital transformation. Prior to CVG Group and Ebony Media, Mr. Walker worked at NRG Energy, a retail electricity provider, from 2005 to 2016, building multiple revenue streams. He also has experience in business development and marketing with Deloitte and various startup organizations.

Diana P. Diaz, Chief Financial Officer

Ms. Diaz is the Chief Financial Officer of Direct Digital Holdings. She joined the company after Susan Echard's departure in June 2023. Ms. Diaz began her career at Deloitte & Touche LLP, where she served as Audit Senior Manager from July 1985 to June 1998. She holds a BBA in Accounting from The University of Texas at Austin and an MBA from Rice University's Jesse H. Jones Graduate School of Management.

Keith Smith, Co-Founder, President and Director

Mr. Smith is a co-founder of Direct Digital Holdings and became its President on August 23, 2021. From 2018 until the completion of the Organizational Transactions, he served as Managing Partner of the company. Before co-founding Direct Digital Holdings, Mr. Smith was a Managing Partner at Parkview Advisors, LLC, and President and CEO of Parkview Capital Credit, Inc., from November 2014 to April 2020, where he managed investments with small and mid-sized businesses for acquisition and growth capital. He holds a B.A. in Economics from The University of Texas at Austin, a J.D. from Southern Methodist University, and an M.B.A. from The Olin School of Business at Washington University in St. Louis.

Anu Pillai, Chief Technology Officer

Anu Pillai was appointed Chief Technology Officer of Direct Digital Holdings in March 2021. She leads the company's technology initiatives.

Maria Vilchez Lowrey, Chief Growth Officer

Ms. Vilchez Lowrey serves as the Chief Growth Officer for Direct Digital Holdings. Prior to joining Direct Digital Holdings, she was the Senior Vice President of Direct Sales and Partnerships for Just Energy, Amigo Energy, Tara Energy, and Terrapass, where she was responsible for diversifying direct sales channels, including launching a national retail partnership. Before Just Energy, she held various management positions in sales leadership, business development, operations, and project management at NRG Energy, Inc., where she focused on building new go-to-market sales channels and developing strategic partnerships. Her career began in the steel industry as a global supply chain transportation and procurement manager. Ms. Vilchez Lowrey holds a B.S. in Management Information Systems from Texas A&M University.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The key risks to Direct Digital Holdings, Inc. (DRCT) are primarily related to its financial viability, compliance with exchange listing rules, and the highly competitive nature of its industry.

  1. Substantial Doubt About Going Concern and Severe Financial Deterioration: Direct Digital Holdings faces significant financial challenges, leading to substantial doubt about its ability to continue as a going concern. The company has reported insufficient cash reserves, an accumulated deficit, and negative profitability. A major contributing factor was a significant decline in sell-side advertising revenue, largely attributed to an "unexpected business disruption linked to a negative publicity incident" caused by a market-discredited blog post, which severely impacted financial performance. The company has undertaken measures such as cost management, exploring additional financing, and debt restructuring, including amending credit facility covenants and making equity sales to address liquidity issues.
  2. Nasdaq Listing Non-Compliance and Potential Delisting: Direct Digital Holdings has repeatedly faced challenges in maintaining compliance with Nasdaq's listing requirements. This has included receiving notices for not meeting minimum bid price requirements and for delays in filing financial reports. Although the company has taken steps, such as a reverse stock split, to regain compliance on certain fronts, it remains under a Panel Monitor period, meaning any new deficiency could trigger delisting. Potential delisting would significantly impact the company's ability to raise capital and investor confidence.
  3. Intense Competition and Rapid Technological Change in the Digital Advertising Industry: The digital advertising sector in which Direct Digital operates is highly competitive and characterized by rapid technological advancements. The company relies heavily on the sustained performance of its platform and third-party technologies. This environment means Direct Digital must continuously innovate to maintain its market position, and any operational issues, cyberattacks, or failure to adapt to technological changes could adversely affect its business and financial results.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The clear emerging threat for Direct Digital is the ongoing industry-wide shift towards enhanced data privacy, most notably the deprecation of third-party cookies across major web browsers (like Google Chrome) and stricter app tracking policies (like Apple's App Tracking Transparency). Direct Digital's business relies on "data-driven campaign optimization" within the programmatic advertising ecosystem. As the availability of traditional identifiers diminishes, the effectiveness of existing targeting, measurement, and attribution methods will be fundamentally challenged. This necessitates significant adaptation in ad tech platforms to find privacy-preserving alternatives (e.g., first-party data strategies, contextual advertising, Google's Privacy Sandbox initiatives). Companies that fail to effectively pivot and provide robust solutions in this evolving privacy-centric landscape risk undermining their core value proposition and competitive advantage, particularly for their small- and mid-sized business clients who may have less access to proprietary first-party data.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The primary addressable market for Direct Digital Holdings, Inc. (DRCT), an end-to-end full-service programmatic advertising platform focusing on underserved small- and mid-sized businesses, is the broader programmatic advertising market.

Global Programmatic Advertising Market

The global programmatic advertising market was valued at approximately USD 681.25 billion in 2024. It is projected to expand at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 23.30% to reach USD 2,951.55 billion by 2031. Other estimates for the global market in 2024 range from USD 595.4 billion to USD 833.16 billion.

U.S. Programmatic Advertising Market

The U.S. programmatic advertising market represents a significant portion of the global market. In 2024, the U.S. market size was estimated to be around USD 197.22 billion to USD 215.00 billion. The U.S. market is projected to grow at a CAGR of 21.6% from 2024 to 2030, reaching an estimated USD 609.1 billion by 2030. Direct Digital Holdings attributes all of its revenues to the United States.

Focus on Small and Mid-Sized Businesses (SMBs)

Direct Digital Holdings specifically targets small and mid-sized businesses (SMBs). This segment is a growing component of the overall programmatic advertising market. Programmatic advertising is gaining popularity among SMBs due to its targeted approach, affordability, and scalability, enabling them to execute sophisticated advertising campaigns without large marketing teams or significant budgets. Spending by SMBs in programmatic advertising is forecast to increase, with one source projecting a CAGR of 14.66% through 2031.

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Direct Digital Holdings, Inc. (DRCT) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key strategies:

  1. Strategic Shift to Direct Client Deals and Enhanced Technology Platform: The company anticipates significant revenue growth in 2024, partly due to a strategic pivot towards direct deals with clients, which is projected to improve profitability. Furthermore, the full operationalization of Direct Digital's new technology platform is expected to lead to better fill rates and margin advantages, offering substantial growth potential.
  2. Growth in Customer and Advertiser Base, and Increased Returning Revenue per Customer: Direct Digital Holdings is strategically positioned to grow within the programmatic advertising landscape through notable increases in both its customer and advertiser counts, alongside a rise in returning revenue per customer.
  3. Expansion into New and Regulated Industry Verticals: The company is actively expanding into new verticals and highly regulated markets. Its Orange 142 division has launched a high-compliance practice specifically targeting regulated industries such as the energy and political sectors, aiming to capture greater market share. Customer expansion into these new verticals is already contributing to growth.
  4. Rebuilding and Scaling the Sell-Side Business through Direct Connections: A significant focus for Direct Digital is the rebuilding and growth of its sell-side business, with a particular emphasis on establishing "direct connections" and leveraging the Colossus Connection initiative. Management expects these efforts, including the operationalization of new direct sell-side partners, to drive substantial gains in the latter half of 2025 and be a key factor in returning the business to its historical revenue levels.

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Share Issuance

  • In October 2025, stockholders approved an increase in authorized Class A common shares from 160,000,000 to 760,000,000 and the issuance of up to 50,000,000 shares under an equity line.
  • Direct Digital Holdings sold 11.3 million shares for $8.9 million since the inception of its equity line, including 3.7 million shares for $1.3 million in the quarter ended September 30, 2025.
  • In August 2025, the company raised $25 million through the issuance of Series A Convertible Preferred Stock by converting a portion of its existing debt. This was part of total debt-for-preferred exchanges amounting to $35.0 million by October 2025.

Inbound Investments

  • In August 2025, Direct Digital Holdings secured a $25 million investment through the issuance of Series A Convertible Preferred Stock, achieved by converting existing debt into preferred equity.
  • By October 2025, the company completed debt-for-preferred exchanges totaling $35.0 million by converting term loans into newly authorized Series A Preferred Stock.
  • The company maintains an Equity Reserve Facility with New Circle Principal Investments, which allows it to sell up to $100 million of Class A common stock to New Circle, with proceeds intended for debt reduction and general corporate purposes.

Better Bets vs. Direct Digital (DRCT)

Peer Outperformance in Advertising

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Share of Advertising constituents that DRCT has outperformed, by holding period. Peers without a full price history over a given window are excluded from that window.
1Y
0%
of 20 industry peers · -98.0% return
3Y
0%
of 19 industry peers · -99.7% return
5Y
insufficient peer history
null
Median price return by industry across the Communication Services sector, ranked by 5Y. Advertising is DRCT's own industry. Use this to see which corners of the sector have carried the returns.
Industry Names 1Y med3Y med5Y med Top 3 by 5Y
Wireless Telecommunication Services 3 -15.1%26.4%41.6% ECHO 262% · TMUS 42% · SHEN -60%
Publishing 5 21.6%20.2%18.4% NYT 49% · NWSA 40% · SCHL 18%
Integrated Telecommunication Services 21 -16.1%3.2%-25.7% IQST 1481% · GSAT 229% · AD 154%
Movies & Entertainment 24 -1.1%72.3%-34.3% IMAX 221% · MSGS 128% · BATRA 116%
Alternative Carriers 4 29.6%15.9%-42.7% IRDM 14% · UNIT -41% · LUMN -45%
Advertising ← 19 -18.5%-10.1%-61.8% APP 316% · EVC 50% · OMC 29%
Broadcasting 15 -13.8%-21.2%-68.8% FOXA 85% · NXST 26% · WBD 11%
Interactive Media & Services 30 -38.1%-35.1%-71.0% GOOGL 154% · META 88% · EVER 13%
Interactive Home Entertainment 8 -51.8%-55.1%-87.6% TTWO 41% · RBLX -39% · PINS -65%
Median of constituents with a full price history over each window. Top names are unfiltered by size in this render.

Latest Trefis Analyses

TitleDate
0DASHBOARDS 
1Direct Digital Earnings Notes12/16/2025
Title
0ARTICLES

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

DRCTDVAPPOMCTTDMGNIMedian
NameDirect D.DoubleVe.AppLovin Omnicom Trade De.Magnite  
Mkt Price1.6413.46308.0676.5713.9225.1519.54
Mkt Cap0.02.1103.421.46.53.65.1
Rev LTM317696,82922,3712,9907421,879
Op Inc LTM-15985,2881,181586116351
FCF LTM-51614,5282,389849200524
FCF 3Y Avg-71482,9151,834692176434
CFO LTM-52044,5282,5821,082281681
CFO 3Y Avg-71802,9251,982853236545

Growth & Margins

DRCTDVAPPOMCTTDMGNIMedian
NameDirect D.DoubleVe.AppLovin Omnicom Trade De.Magnite  
Rev Chg LTM-15.2%7.6%60.6%40.6%11.6%8.3%10.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-20.8%15.4%44.4%17.0%20.1%7.1%16.2%
Rev Chg Q-22.8%2.5%52.8%63.4%3.0%11.2%7.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-7.0%0.6%10.8%12.8%0.7%2.7%1.7%
Op Inc Chg LTM0.9%15.1%78.6%-46.9%23.4%52.9%19.2%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg-100.6%10.4%233.5%-13.4%62.1%214.0%36.3%
Op Mgn LTM-47.2%12.7%77.4%5.3%19.6%15.6%14.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-31.3%12.2%69.3%11.3%17.1%9.6%11.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-4.8%1.2%0.4%1.8%-0.7%0.9%0.6%
CFO/Rev LTM-17.6%26.6%66.3%11.5%36.2%37.9%31.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-11.9%25.7%66.1%11.1%32.0%34.0%28.9%
FCF/Rev LTM-17.8%20.9%66.3%10.7%28.4%27.0%23.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-12.0%21.2%65.7%10.2%26.1%25.4%23.3%

Valuation

DRCTDVAPPOMCTTDMGNIMedian
NameDirect D.DoubleVe.AppLovin Omnicom Trade De.Magnite  
Mkt Cap0.02.1103.421.46.53.65.1
P/S0.02.715.11.02.24.82.4
P/Op Inc-0.121.219.618.111.131.018.9
P/EBIT-0.121.619.117.210.931.118.2
P/E-0.135.223.554.916.021.622.5
P/CFO-0.210.122.88.36.012.89.2
Total Yield-1,976.9%2.8%4.3%5.3%6.2%4.6%4.5%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%3.5%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-142.8%6.6%3.3%10.7%4.4%6.9%5.5%
D/E15.70.10.00.50.10.10.1
Net D/E15.2-0.00.00.4-0.20.00.0

Returns

DRCTDVAPPOMCTTDMGNIMedian
NameDirect D.DoubleVe.AppLovin Omnicom Trade De.Magnite  
1M Rtn-33.3%1.1%0.7%-11.6%5.6%7.0%0.9%
3M Rtn-42.5%30.3%-34.4%8.4%-24.8%40.6%-8.2%
6M Rtn-49.9%33.9%-30.4%4.2%-42.3%103.2%-13.1%
12M Rtn-98.0%5.7%-52.6%6.3%-68.7%-3.0%-27.8%
3Y Rtn-99.7%-50.9%701.4%14.0%-81.6%242.2%-18.5%
1M Excs Rtn-36.7%2.0%-0.1%-10.8%3.6%6.2%0.9%
3M Excs Rtn-44.5%28.3%-36.4%6.4%-26.8%38.6%-10.2%
6M Excs Rtn-68.9%18.3%-45.8%-12.7%-56.6%85.6%-29.2%
12M Excs Rtn-114.1%-12.1%-65.1%-11.8%-85.2%-10.5%-38.6%
3Y Excs Rtn-170.9%-124.2%583.6%-60.8%-154.9%136.2%-92.5%

Comparison Analyses

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Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Buy-side advertising2927352926
Sell-side advertising5361226012
Total35621578938


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Buy-side advertising54876
Sell-side advertising-4-1581
Corporate office expenses  -15-7-3
Total13-284


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Buy-side advertising1719232626
Sell-side advertising2434268
Corporate office241272
Total2026695836


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$1.64 
Market Cap ($ Bil)0.0 
First Trading Date02/11/2022 
Distance from 52W High-98.0% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$2.37$5.37
DMA Trenddowndown
Distance from DMA-30.9%-69.5%
 3M1YR
Volatility75.2%159.2%
Downside Capture308.13361.07
Upside Capture-16.02-156.70
Correlation (SPY)17.6%6.5%
DRCT Betas & Captures as of 8/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta1.231.561.341.620.772.05
Up Beta1.601.800.310.791.811.70
Down Beta1.431.822.090.47-0.451.52
Up Capture-5%36%85%137%-57%1%
Bmk +ve Days10213268138427
Stock +ve Days715254888298
Down Capture303%259%187%234%183%113%
Bmk -ve Days11213259113324
Stock -ve Days12253674157438

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with DRCT
DRCT-98.2%158.3%-1.81-
Sector ETF (XLC)-5.8%15.4%-0.5910.4%
Equity (SPY)16.9%12.9%0.946.7%
Gold (GLD)19.1%29.3%0.607.4%
Commodities (DBC)46.3%20.6%1.733.4%
Real Estate (VNQ)4.9%13.6%0.10-5.8%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-30.6%44.3%-0.7010.1%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with DRCT
DRCT-69.9%448.7%0.27-
Sector ETF (XLC)6.7%21.0%0.235.8%
Equity (SPY)12.9%17.2%0.576.5%
Gold (GLD)19.1%18.8%0.83-0.7%
Commodities (DBC)11.2%19.5%0.45-11.2%
Real Estate (VNQ)1.1%18.8%-0.053.1%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)12.5%52.5%0.421.6%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with DRCT
DRCT-45.1%448.7%0.27-
Sector ETF (XLC)9.1%22.1%0.465.8%
Equity (SPY)15.1%18.0%0.726.5%
Gold (GLD)12.1%16.4%0.61-0.7%
Commodities (DBC)8.3%18.1%0.37-11.2%
Real Estate (VNQ)4.4%20.7%0.183.1%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)62.6%66.2%1.021.6%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date8312026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity0.0 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 8152026-29.0%
Average Daily Volume0.0 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.1 days
Basic Shares Quantity0.7 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares1.2%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 9/15/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
8/12/2026-0.7%-5.4%-38.3%
5/11/2026-7.9%-2.0%-28.5%
11/14/2025-14.5%-29.5%-63.8%
8/5/2025-18.6%-31.6%-24.8%
5/6/2025-21.6%-30.7%-39.5%
11/12/2024-29.2%-46.2%-70.3%
3/26/2024-39.5%-49.5%-76.9%
11/9/202354.8%104.6%317.6%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive344
# Negative111010
Median Positive21.3%22.5%22.7%
Median Negative-18.4%-30.4%-38.9%
Max Positive54.8%104.6%317.6%
Max Negative-39.5%-49.5%-76.9%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
8/12/2026-0.7%-5.4%-38.3%
5/11/2026-7.9%-2.0%-28.5%
11/14/2025-14.5%-29.5%-63.8%
8/5/2025-18.6%-31.6%-24.8%
5/6/2025-21.6%-30.7%-39.5%
11/12/2024-29.2%-46.2%-70.3%
3/26/2024-39.5%-49.5%-76.9%
11/9/202354.8%104.6%317.6%
8/10/2023-7.7%-9.2%-15.7%
5/11/2023-5.0%23.8%14.9%
3/23/2023-18.6%-30.2%-26.7%
11/10/202221.3%21.3%12.4%
8/11/202217.6%11.4%30.6%
5/12/2022-18.4%-31.0%-40.4%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive344
# Negative111010
Median Positive21.3%22.5%22.7%
Median Negative-18.4%-30.4%-38.9%
Max Positive54.8%104.6%317.6%
Max Negative-39.5%-49.5%-76.9%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202608/14/202610-Q
03/31/202605/15/202610-Q
12/31/202503/31/202610-K
09/30/202511/12/202510-Q
06/30/202508/06/202510-Q
03/31/202505/07/202510-Q
12/31/202403/28/202510-K
09/30/202411/13/202410-Q
06/30/202410/15/202410-Q
03/31/202410/15/202410-Q
12/31/202310/15/202410-K
09/30/202311/09/202310-Q
06/30/202308/11/202310-Q
03/31/202305/15/202310-Q
12/31/202204/17/202310-K
09/30/202211/14/202210-Q
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202608/14/202610-Q
03/31/202605/15/202610-Q
12/31/202503/31/202610-K
09/30/202511/12/202510-Q
06/30/202508/06/202510-Q
03/31/202505/07/202510-Q
12/31/202403/28/202510-K
09/30/202411/13/202410-Q
06/30/202410/15/202410-Q
03/31/202410/15/202410-Q
12/31/202310/15/202410-K
09/30/202311/09/202310-Q
06/30/202308/11/202310-Q
03/31/202305/15/202310-Q
12/31/202204/17/202310-K
09/30/202211/14/202210-Q
06/30/202208/15/202210-Q
03/31/202205/16/202210-Q
12/31/202103/31/202210-K
09/30/202102/14/2022424B4

Insider Activity

Updated 9/3/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Walker, Mark DChairman and CEOAJN Energy & Transport Ventures, LLCSell90320261.9050095014,942Form
2Walker, Mark DChairman and CEOAJN Energy & Transport Ventures, LLCSell90320262.061,6363,36617,206Form
3Leatherberry, Antoinette Renee DirectSell62920262.9123671,545Form
4Cohen, Richard DirectSell62920262.9125731,458Form
5Walker, Mark DChairman and CEOAJN Energy & Transport Ventures, LLCSell62920262.801,363  Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Walker, Mark DChairman and CEOAJN Energy & Transport Ventures, LLCSell90320261.9050095014,942Form
2Walker, Mark DChairman and CEOAJN Energy & Transport Ventures, LLCSell90320262.061,6363,36617,206Form
3Leatherberry, Antoinette Renee DirectSell62920262.9123671,545Form
4Cohen, Richard DirectSell62920262.9125731,458Form
5Walker, Mark DChairman and CEOAJN Energy & Transport Ventures, LLCSell62920262.801,363  Form
6Locke, Mistelle DirectSell62920262.9125731,074Form
7Leatherberry, Antoinette Renee DirectSell62920262.96671981,530Form
8Cohen, Richard DirectSell62920262.96762251,447Form
9Locke, Mistelle DirectSell62920262.96762251,057Form
10Locke, Mistelle DirectSell62920266.51312021,198Form
11Walker, Mark DChairman and CEOAJN Energy & Transport Ventures, LLCSell111720250.21245,008  Form
12Smith, W KeithPresidentSKW Financial LLCSell111720250.21100,00021,00095,982Form
13Walker, Mark DChairman and CEOAJN Energy & Transport Ventures, LLCSell111720250.3727,49210,17290,653Form
14Smith, W KeithPresidentSKW Financial LLCSell111720250.3771,24226,360206,111Form
Core Cache Last Updated: 9/20/2026