Krispy Kreme (DNUT)


Market Price (9/26/2026): $2.94 | Market Cap: $507.4 MilSector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Consumer Staples Merchandise Retail

Krispy Kreme (DNUT)


Market Price (9/26/2026): $2.94
Market Cap: $507.4 Mil
Sector: Consumer Staples
Industry: Consumer Staples Merchandise Retail

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 7.5%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Direct-to-Consumer Brands, Experiential Retail, Show more.

Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -111%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -153%

Meaningful short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 10.34, Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 11%

Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -5.1 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -0.3%

Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 249%

Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.8%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -2.7%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -13%

Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -22%

Key risks
DNUT key risks include [1] a precarious financial position due to net losses and significant debt, Show more.

0 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 7.5%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Direct-to-Consumer Brands, Experiential Retail, Show more.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -111%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -153%
3 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 10.34, Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 11%
4 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -5.1 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -0.3%
5 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 249%
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.8%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -2.7%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -13%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -22%
8 Key risks
DNUT key risks include [1] a precarious financial position due to net losses and significant debt, Show more.

DNUT in ETFs

Weight = DNUT's share of each fund

VTI0.00%
ITOT0.00%
IWM0.01%
VTWO0.01%
SCHA0.01%
DFAS0.00%
IWN0.00%
DFAC0.00%
+2 more covered ETFs

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

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Updated on 9/25/2026

Krispy Kreme (DNUT) stock has lost about 20% since 5/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Decline in Net Revenue Driven by Strategic Adjustments and Partnership Conclusion.

In fiscal Q2 2026, which ended June 28, 2026, Krispy Kreme reported a 12.8% year-over-year decline in net revenue, reaching $331.0 million. This decrease was primarily attributed to the company's refranchising efforts and the strategic closure of underperforming locations. Notably, the termination of the McDonald's USA partnership, completed in fiscal Q3 2025, led to a 13.5% reduction in global points of access. Despite exceeding analysts' revenue estimates for the quarter, the significant top-line contraction contributed to negative investor sentiment.

2. Negative Analyst Sentiment and Rating Downgrades.

During the period, Krispy Kreme experienced several analyst downgrades, reflecting a cautious to negative outlook on its performance. Zacks Research, for example, downgraded the stock from a "hold" rating to a "strong sell" on August 6, 2026. Similarly, Wall Street Zen reduced its rating from "hold" to "sell" on August 8, 2026, and Weiss Ratings downgraded shares from "sell (d-)" to "sell (e+)" on September 11, 2026. The company currently holds a consensus "Reduce" rating from analysts, with an average 12-month price target of $4.33.

Show more
Updated on 9/25/2026

Krispy Kreme (DNUT) stock has lost about 20% since 5/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Decline in Net Revenue Driven by Strategic Adjustments and Partnership Conclusion.

In fiscal Q2 2026, which ended June 28, 2026, Krispy Kreme reported a 12.8% year-over-year decline in net revenue, reaching $331.0 million. This decrease was primarily attributed to the company's refranchising efforts and the strategic closure of underperforming locations. Notably, the termination of the McDonald's USA partnership, completed in fiscal Q3 2025, led to a 13.5% reduction in global points of access. Despite exceeding analysts' revenue estimates for the quarter, the significant top-line contraction contributed to negative investor sentiment.

2. Negative Analyst Sentiment and Rating Downgrades.

During the period, Krispy Kreme experienced several analyst downgrades, reflecting a cautious to negative outlook on its performance. Zacks Research, for example, downgraded the stock from a "hold" rating to a "strong sell" on August 6, 2026. Similarly, Wall Street Zen reduced its rating from "hold" to "sell" on August 8, 2026, and Weiss Ratings downgraded shares from "sell (d-)" to "sell (e+)" on September 11, 2026. The company currently holds a consensus "Reduce" rating from analysts, with an average 12-month price target of $4.33.

3. Announcement of Legal Investigation Related to McDonald's Partnership Disclosures.

On September 25, 2026, a legal investigation was announced by Kahn Swick & Foti, LLC, targeting Krispy Kreme's officers and directors. The investigation centers on alleged failures to disclose material information concerning the McDonald's partnership. Specifically, it scrutinizes the company's May 2025 disclosure of pausing the national rollout of the McDonald's partnership, after previously assuring investors that the expansion was on track to reach approximately 6,000 restaurants by year-end 2025. This new legal development likely intensified negative investor sentiment towards the stock.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -17.9% change in DNUT stock from 5/31/2026 to 9/25/2026 was primarily driven by a -14.9% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)53120269252026Change
Stock Price ($)3.522.89-17.9%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1,5141,466-3.2%
P/S Multiple0.40.3-14.9%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)172173-0.3%
Cumulative Contribution-17.9%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

5/31/2026 to 9/25/2026
ReturnCorrelation
DNUT-17.9% 
Market (SPY)2.2%-10.6%
Sector (XLP)-0.3%33.2%

Fundamental Drivers

The -22.9% change in DNUT stock from 2/28/2026 to 9/25/2026 was primarily driven by a -18.7% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)22820269252026Change
Stock Price ($)3.752.89-22.9%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1,5341,466-4.5%
P/S Multiple0.40.3-18.7%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)171173-0.8%
Cumulative Contribution-22.9%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

2/28/2026 to 9/25/2026
ReturnCorrelation
DNUT-22.9% 
Market (SPY)13.0%5.9%
Sector (XLP)-7.7%18.8%

Fundamental Drivers

The -18.6% change in DNUT stock from 8/31/2025 to 9/25/2026 was primarily driven by a -13.6% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)83120259252026Change
Stock Price ($)3.552.89-18.6%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1,5391,466-4.8%
P/S Multiple0.40.3-13.6%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)171173-1.0%
Cumulative Contribution-18.6%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

8/31/2025 to 9/25/2026
ReturnCorrelation
DNUT-18.6% 
Market (SPY)20.9%11.3%
Sector (XLP)4.4%15.0%

Fundamental Drivers

The -77.8% change in DNUT stock from 8/31/2023 to 9/25/2026 was primarily driven by a -75.0% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)83120239252026Change
Stock Price ($)13.042.89-77.8%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1,6101,466-9.0%
P/S Multiple1.40.3-75.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)168173-2.5%
Cumulative Contribution-77.8%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

8/31/2023 to 9/25/2026
ReturnCorrelation
DNUT-77.8% 
Market (SPY)77.8%20.5%
Sector (XLP)22.4%18.1%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
DNUT Return-10%-45%48%-33%-59%-26%-85%
Peers Return21%8%-9%-8%-11%1%-0%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%13%105%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
DNUT Win Rate50%33%58%33%33%44% 
Peers Win Rate63%53%40%45%38%53% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%56% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
DNUT Max Drawdown--45%-26%-47%-74%-34% 
Peers Max Drawdown-11%-20%-27%-20%-28%-25% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: SBUX, SJM, FLO, MDLZ, HSY.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 9/25/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventDNUTS&P 500
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-25.0%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven33.3%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven165 days24 days

Compare to SBUX, SJM, FLO, MDLZ, HSY

In The Past

Krispy Kreme's stock fell -5.5% during the 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind. Such a loss loss requires a 5.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventDNUTS&P 500
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-25.0%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven33.3%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven165 days24 days

Compare to SBUX, SJM, FLO, MDLZ, HSY

In The Past

Krispy Kreme's stock fell -5.5% during the 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind. Such a loss loss requires a 5.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Krispy Kreme (DNUT)

Krispy Kreme, Inc. (DNUT) is a global omni-channel sweet treats company primarily known for its doughnuts. The company focuses on providing distinctive doughnut experiences and producing a wide range of doughnuts, making its products accessible to a broad customer base worldwide.

While Krispy Kreme is most famous for its iconic doughnuts, its product offerings extend to include other sweet treats such as cookies, brownies, cookie cakes, ice cream, and specialty cold milk beverages. The company also supplies doughnut mixes and doughnut-making equipment, supporting its extensive network. Krispy Kreme operates a significant global footprint with over 1,800 branded shops, including Krispy Kreme and Insomnia Cookies locations, spanning approximately 30 countries and comprising both company-owned and franchised establishments.

Krispy Kreme serves its primary customers – individual consumers and broader markets – through a diverse distribution model. This includes traditional doughnut shops, daily fresh deliveries to various retail outlets, and a growing e-commerce and direct delivery business. Its operations are segmented across the U.S. and Canada, International markets, and Market Development, ensuring a wide reach and catering to consumers in numerous local and international regions.

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It's like the Starbucks of doughnuts and sweet treats.

Think of it as the McDonald's of doughnuts and quick-serve desserts.

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  • Doughnuts: Their signature baked goods, offered through various channels like shops, delivery, and e-commerce.
  • Other Baked Goods: Includes products such as cookies, brownies, and cookie cakes.
  • Desserts and Beverages: Features items like ice cream, cookie-wiches, and cold milk.
  • Doughnut Production Supplies: Comprises doughnut mixes, other ingredients, and doughnut-making equipment.
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AI Analysis | Feedback

Krispy Kreme (symbol: DNUT) primarily sells to individuals. The company serves the following categories of customers:
  • Walk-in and Shop Customers: Individuals who purchase doughnuts, cookies, and other beverages directly from Krispy Kreme and Insomnia Cookies-branded retail shops for immediate consumption or to take home.
  • Online and Delivery Customers: Individuals who order Krispy Kreme products through the company's e-commerce platforms (website or app) or via third-party delivery services for convenient home or office delivery.
  • Customers of Retail Partners: Individuals who purchase Krispy Kreme products from grocery stores, convenience stores, and other "delivered fresh daily" outlets where Krispy Kreme supplies its products.

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Josh Charlesworth, President and Chief Executive Officer

Josh Charlesworth became the President and CEO of Krispy Kreme, Inc. effective January 1, 2024. He previously served as Global President (2022–2023), Chief Operating Officer (2019–2023), Chief Financial Officer (2017–2023), and Corporate Secretary (2018–2020) at the company. Charlesworth joined Krispy Kreme in 2017. Prior to his time at Krispy Kreme, he worked for Mars and Wrigley. He holds a B.Sc. in Economics from the London School of Economics.

Raphael Duvivier, Chief Financial Officer

Raphael Duvivier was appointed Chief Financial Officer, effective July 11, 2025. Before this role, he served as President of International, a position he assumed on January 9, 2025. He was also previously the Chief Development Officer for the brand.

Nicola Steele, Chief Operating Officer

Nicola Steele has been named the incoming Chief Operating Officer, a role she will assume on March 3, 2025. She is responsible for global operations excellence, including modernizing doughnut production and maximizing hub-and-spoke efficiency. Before this appointment, Steele was the President of Krispy Kreme Australia & New Zealand and brings over 15 years of experience with Krispy Kreme.

Dave Skena, Chief Growth Officer

Dave Skena was named Chief Growth Officer, effective January 6, 2025. In this role, he is responsible for omni-channel growth across retail shops, delivered fresh daily (DFD), and digital sales channels worldwide, as well as managing global marketing efforts. Skena previously served as Chief Marketing Officer and Global Director of Brand at Krispy Kreme, joining the company in November 2018. His career background includes working at Kraft Foods and PepsiCo, where he led brands such as Lay's, Ruffles, SunChips, Tostitos, and Lay's Dips. He also held the position of Chief Marketing Officer at Ruby Tuesdays, where he assisted in their transition from public to private ownership.

Alison Holder, Chief Product Officer

Alison Holder was named Chief Product Officer, effective January 6, 2025. She is responsible for bringing innovative, fresh doughnuts to Krispy Kreme fans globally and for global quality and sourcing. Holder has 25 years of experience at Krispy Kreme, having previously served as VP of innovation and insights.

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Key Risks to Krispy Kreme (DNUT)

  1. Structural Weakness in Business Model and Execution Risk of Turnaround

    Krispy Kreme's business model, characterized by a significant number of company-owned stores, production hubs, and an extensive delivery network, is capital-intensive and has historically faced challenges in delivering sustainable operating profits and a strong return on invested capital, unlike more asset-light competitors. The company is currently undergoing a strategic pivot to address this, including refranchising efforts and optimizing its "hub-and-spoke" distribution model. However, this turnaround strategy inherently carries significant execution risks, which have been underscored by recent non-cash impairment charges linked to underperforming assets and the termination of partnerships, such as the one with McDonald's USA.

  2. Intense Competition and Evolving Consumer Preferences

    Krispy Kreme operates in a highly competitive global food service industry with relatively low barriers to entry. The company faces formidable competition from a wide array of players, including large quick-service restaurant chains, specialized coffee shops, grocery store bakeries, and numerous local independent establishments. Furthermore, there is an ongoing risk that shifting consumer preferences toward healthier food options could limit the long-term growth in demand for indulgent products like doughnuts, thereby impacting Krispy Kreme's market share and revenue potential.

  3. Supply Chain Vulnerabilities and Commodity Price Volatility

    Krispy Kreme's operations are exposed to supply chain risks due to its reliance on a limited number of vendors for essential ingredients, including a single supplier for its proprietary glaze flavoring and restricted vendors for other critical components. Any disruption in the supply or distribution of these key materials could negatively impact the company's production and operational continuity. Additionally, Krispy Kreme's profitability is sensitive to fluctuations in the cost of raw materials and other commodities, and the company may not always be able to fully offset these inflationary pressures through price increases, which could adversely affect its financial performance.

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The proliferation of agile, low-overhead virtual dessert brands and ghost kitchens represents an emerging threat. These entities leverage technology and a direct-to-consumer model via delivery platforms, allowing them to compete directly with Krispy Kreme's e-commerce and delivery business segments without the significant capital investment and operational overhead of traditional brick-and-mortar shops. This enables rapid product innovation, niche targeting, and potentially more competitive pricing in the delivered treat market, analogous to how Uber challenged traditional taxi services by offering a different operational model.

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Krispy Kreme (DNUT) operates in several addressable markets related to its main products, primarily doughnuts, cookies, and ice cream.

Doughnuts

  • The global doughnuts market was valued at approximately $13.7 billion in 2023. It is projected to reach $18.8 billion by 2033. Another estimate places the global doughnut market at $11.22 billion in 2024, with an anticipated rise to $15.12 billion by 2032.
  • In the U.S. alone, the doughnut market was valued at approximately $9.5 billion in 2022. The market size for Doughnut Stores in the U.S. was $9.6 billion in 2025.

Cookies

  • The global cookies market was valued at $26.90 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach $43.49 billion by 2032. Another source estimated the global cookies market size at $40.25 billion in 2024, with a projection to reach $65.95 billion by 2033.
  • The U.S. cookies market size was estimated at $10.17 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach $17.90 billion by 2035. The North America cookies market, which includes the U.S., was valued at $12.6 billion and is projected to reach $20.23 billion by the end of 2030.

Ice Cream

  • The global ice cream market size was estimated at $80.9 billion in 2024. Another estimate valued it at $82.70 billion in 2025, with a projection to grow to $151.96 billion by 2034.
  • The U.S. ice cream market size was estimated at approximately $22 billion in 2024. It was also reported to be $21.64 billion in 2025, with an expectation to reach $29.99 billion by 2033.

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Here are the key expected drivers of future revenue growth for Krispy Kreme (DNUT) over the next 2-3 years:

1. U.S. Expansion through Strategic Partnerships and Increased Points of Access: Krispy Kreme is significantly expanding its presence across the U.S., notably through a nationwide partnership with McDonald's, aiming for full rollout by the end of 2026. This initiative, along with partnerships with other major retailers like Target, is projected to substantially increase the number of "Delivered Fresh Daily" (DFD) doors where its doughnuts are sold. The company's strategy involves leveraging its existing production hubs to serve a greater number of these retail locations, aiming for over 100 points of access per hub by 2026, up from approximately 50.

2. Capital-Light International Franchise Growth and New Market Entry: A core component of Krispy Kreme's growth strategy is the expansion of its international footprint through a capital-light franchise model. The company plans to open at least 100 new shops globally in 2026 and targets entering 3 to 5 new international franchise markets per year. This includes strategic refranchising deals, such as the agreement for Japan, and anticipated expansion into new territories like Spain, Germany, and Brazil.

3. Growth in Digital Sales and Loyalty Program Engagement: Krispy Kreme has seen robust growth in its digital sales, with a 15% year-over-year increase in 2025 and digital sales representing 22.5% of U.S. retail sales in Q4 2025. The company's loyalty platform has also surpassed 17 million members in the U.S., indicating a strong and growing direct-to-consumer channel that contributes to organic revenue growth. Continued investment in e-commerce and loyalty programs is expected to drive further sales.

4. Enhanced Operational Efficiency Supporting Profitable Growth: While not a direct revenue driver, improvements in operational efficiency, such as the optimization of the "hub-and-spoke" network and the outsourcing of logistics, are critical for enabling sustainable and profitable revenue growth. By reducing capital expenditures and improving profitability per door, Krispy Kreme can more effectively fund and execute its expansion plans in both domestic and international markets. The company expects to achieve stronger free cash flow in 2026 due to these efficiencies.

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Share Repurchases

  • Krispy Kreme's 1-Year Share Buyback Ratio was -0.90% as of September 2025, suggesting no significant share repurchases or potential issuance during that period.

Share Issuance

  • Krispy Kreme completed an Initial Public Offering (IPO) in 2021, raising $500 million.

Outbound Investments

  • In the second quarter of 2025, Krispy Kreme sold its remaining ownership stake in Insomnia Cookies for $75 million, with the proceeds used to reduce debt.
  • The company agreed to sell its operations in Japan to Unison Capital, Inc. for an estimated $65 million, with the transaction expected to close in the first quarter of 2026 and proceeds directed toward debt reduction.
  • Krispy Kreme expanded into Brazil in March 2025 through a minority interest joint venture with Ipiranga's AmPm.

Capital Expenditures

  • Krispy Kreme is significantly reducing its capital expenditures; full-year 2025 CapEx dropped 19% from 2024, and 2026 CapEx is projected to be nearly half of 2025's level.
  • Expected capital expenditures for 2026 are guided to be between $50 million and $60 million.
  • The company's capital expenditure strategy focuses on reducing capital intensity by utilizing existing assets and prioritizing franchise development, as part of a shift towards a more capital-light business model.

Better Bets vs. Krispy Kreme (DNUT)

Peer Outperformance in Consumer Staples Merchandise Retail

DNUT has trailed 100% of its 11 Consumer Staples Merchandise Retail peers over 5Y. Among the peers that beat it is TGT. Consumer Staples Merchandise Retail ranks 1st of 12 industries in Consumer Staples by median 5Y return. That makes it one of the strongest corners of the sector.
Share of Consumer Staples Merchandise Retail constituents that DNUT has outperformed, by holding period. Peers without a full price history over a given window are excluded from that window.
1Y
17%
of 12 industry peers · -11.3% return
3Y
0%
of 11 industry peers · -76.3% return
5Y
0%
of 11 industry peers · -79.1% return
Consumer Staples Merchandise Retail peers with revenue growth within 4pp of DNUT's that beat it on at least 2 of 3 windows, and by at least 20pp over 5Y. Growth is matched by construction, so the gap is largely a re-rating gap. The multiple column is the context for it.
Ticker Name Rev Growth 3Y Avg P/E 1Y3Y5Y 5Y Gap
DNUT Krispy Kreme -2.7% -5.5x -11.3%-76.3%-79.1% —
TGT Target -0.1% 16.3x 88.0%60.5%-23.3% +56pp
Price returns, excluding dividends. P/E shown for context only and not used for matching.
Median price return by industry across the Consumer Staples sector, ranked by 5Y. Consumer Staples Merchandise Retail is DNUT's own industry. Use this to see which corners of the sector have carried the returns.
Industry Names 1Y med3Y med5Y med Top 3 by 5Y
Consumer Staples Merchandise Retail ← 12 5.7%44.6%55.7% NGVC 229% · VLGEA 145% · WMT 141%
Food Distributors 8 3.5%37.1%52.1% CHEF 243% · USFD 163% · ANDE 142%
Food Retail 6 -8.3%44.5%43.8% CASY 225% · SFM 179% · KR 64%
Tobacco 6 -38.4%9.3%32.5% PM 136% · MO 109% · TPB 44%
Soft Drinks & Non-alcoholic Beverages 12 -7.3%-16.9%2.8% COKE 411% · BRFH 125% · CCHGY 115%
Brewers 3 -15.4%-36.5%-8.8% BUD 44% · TAP -9% · SAM -68%
Household Products 19 1.8%-8.4%-15.0% ACU 104% · IPAR 87% · CL 27%
Agricultural Products & Services 12 7.9%2.2%-16.4% BG 58% · ADM 56% · INGR 26%
Personal Care Products 4 -1.1%-8.9%-25.5% ELF 241% · PG 16% · COTY -67%
Packaged Foods & Meats 47 -27.2%-35.5%-42.7% MAMA 456% · SENEA 283% · LWAY 276%
Distillers & Vintners 5 -43.8%-59.3%-79.2% STZ -41% · BF-B -57% · SNDL -79%
Drug Retail 3 -42.3%-85.6%-93.6% HITI -57% · PETS -94% · SCNX -99%
Median of constituents with a full price history over each window. Top names are unfiltered by size in this render.

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

DNUTSBUXSJMFLOMDLZHSYMedian
NameKrispy K.StarbucksJM Smuck.Flowers .Mondelez.Hershey  
Mkt Price2.8994.86121.005.7460.25166.3777.56
Mkt Cap0.5108.112.91.2232.133.623.3
Rev LTM1,46638,3389,1575,22439,67512,16410,660
Op Inc LTM-53,8731,8042874,5832,1731,988
FCF LTM373,6421,5883063,0852,2281,908
FCF 3Y Avg-713,2419623193,1831,7301,346
CFO LTM974,9861,9104214,4362,6572,283
CFO 3Y Avg305,4641,3744404,4962,3231,849

Growth & Margins

DNUTSBUXSJMFLOMDLZHSYMedian
NameKrispy K.StarbucksJM Smuck.Flowers .Mondelez.Hershey  
Rev Chg LTM-4.8%4.5%5.1%2.5%6.9%7.7%4.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-2.7%3.1%2.7%1.5%5.2%3.9%2.9%
Rev Chg Q-12.8%-1.4%5.0%-4.0%4.1%6.6%1.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-3.2%-0.3%1.2%-0.9%0.9%1.4%0.3%
Op Inc Chg LTM92.4%1.0%33.6%-16.3%-6.0%0.8%0.9%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg-45.3%-6.9%12.9%4.8%2.6%-3.5%-0.4%
Op Mgn LTM-0.3%10.1%19.7%5.5%11.6%17.9%10.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-0.8%11.9%17.6%5.4%14.0%20.0%12.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM1.3%0.8%4.9%-0.5%1.9%3.5%1.6%
CFO/Rev LTM6.6%13.0%20.9%8.1%11.2%21.8%12.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg2.0%14.7%15.5%8.6%12.0%20.2%13.4%
FCF/Rev LTM2.5%9.5%17.3%5.9%7.8%18.3%8.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-4.3%8.7%10.8%6.2%8.5%15.0%8.6%

Valuation

DNUTSBUXSJMFLOMDLZHSYMedian
NameKrispy K.StarbucksJM Smuck.Flowers .Mondelez.Hershey  
Mkt Cap0.5108.112.91.2232.133.623.3
P/S0.32.81.40.25.82.82.1
P/Op Inc-97.627.97.24.250.615.511.3
P/EBIT-17.729.816.57.647.515.616.1
P/E-5.554.556.322.166.022.638.6
P/CFO5.121.76.82.952.312.79.7
Total Yield-18.1%4.4%5.4%19.8%2.6%7.7%4.9%
Dividend Yield0.0%2.6%3.6%15.2%1.1%3.3%3.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-9.2%3.2%8.3%11.8%2.9%4.9%4.1%
D/E2.50.20.51.60.10.20.4
Net D/E2.50.20.51.60.10.20.4

Returns

DNUTSBUXSJMFLOMDLZHSYMedian
NameKrispy K.StarbucksJM Smuck.Flowers .Mondelez.Hershey  
1M Rtn-16.0%-12.6%-7.6%-18.3%-4.4%-10.2%-11.4%
3M Rtn-18.4%-8.8%5.6%-26.5%-0.1%-6.4%-7.6%
6M Rtn-10.5%10.5%29.7%-29.1%5.2%-20.9%-2.7%
12M Rtn-11.3%16.0%16.8%-50.9%-0.3%-7.5%-3.9%
3Y Rtn-76.3%11.2%5.9%-69.5%-6.9%-11.9%-9.4%
1M Excs Rtn-16.9%-13.4%-8.4%-19.2%-5.3%-11.1%-12.3%
3M Excs Rtn-23.7%-14.1%0.3%-31.8%-5.4%-11.7%-12.9%
6M Excs Rtn-35.0%-14.3%10.3%-48.3%-13.1%-39.3%-24.7%
12M Excs Rtn-29.3%-1.2%-2.5%-68.7%-19.8%-26.9%-23.4%
3Y Excs Rtn-153.2%-68.4%-69.9%-146.3%-84.2%-90.3%-87.3%

Comparison Analyses

null

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil2025202420232022
US9131,0591,010923
International535519436333
Market Development748884128
Total1,5231,6651,5301,384


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$2.89 
Market Cap ($ Bil)0.5 
First Trading Date07/01/2021 
Distance from 52W High-38.5% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$3.24$3.52
DMA Trenddowndown
Distance from DMA-10.9%-17.9%
 3M1YR
Volatility43.9%62.7%
Downside Capture139.6167.65
Upside Capture4.1440.60
Correlation (SPY)0.2%11.3%
DNUT Betas & Captures as of 8/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta-0.120.05-0.480.250.630.87
Up Beta-2.19-1.97-1.090.020.691.05
Down Beta-2.06-0.31-1.26-0.240.780.82
Up Capture157%51%-2%29%37%15%
Bmk +ve Days10213268138427
Stock +ve Days12192964118341
Down Capture69%148%13%73%73%103%
Bmk -ve Days11213259113324
Stock -ve Days9233563133401

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with DNUT
DNUT-12.7%62.6%0.02-
Sector ETF (XLP)6.7%14.4%0.2216.0%
Equity (SPY)17.7%13.0%0.9811.1%
Gold (GLD)14.7%29.3%0.46-5.6%
Commodities (DBC)46.8%20.7%1.75-10.3%
Real Estate (VNQ)4.5%13.6%0.0721.0%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-25.5%44.8%-0.538.8%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with DNUT
DNUT-26.2%56.9%-0.32-
Sector ETF (XLP)5.6%13.7%0.1921.0%
Equity (SPY)13.3%17.2%0.5925.9%
Gold (GLD)19.2%18.8%0.831.4%
Commodities (DBC)11.2%19.5%0.451.2%
Real Estate (VNQ)0.9%18.9%-0.0624.8%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)12.3%52.6%0.4112.2%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with DNUT
DNUT-16.8%57.6%-0.40-
Sector ETF (XLP)7.3%14.9%0.3521.2%
Equity (SPY)15.5%17.9%0.7325.5%
Gold (GLD)12.1%16.4%0.611.3%
Commodities (DBC)8.7%18.1%0.392.2%
Real Estate (VNQ)4.8%20.7%0.1924.0%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)63.9%66.2%1.0412.6%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date9152026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity19.4 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 83120264.6%
Average Daily Volume1.9 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest10.3 days
Basic Shares Quantity172.6 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares11.2%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 8/6/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
5/7/2026-1.1%-10.1%-4.6%
2/26/202627.8%23.7%14.4%
11/6/20253.7%6.9%15.1%
8/7/2025-7.0%-0.6%-1.2%
5/8/2025-24.7%-29.1%-32.6%
2/25/2025-21.9%-33.1%-40.6%
11/7/2024-4.5%-12.4%-17.6%
8/8/202413.5%12.2%25.3%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive101010
# Negative101010
Median Positive3.7%11.1%14.6%
Median Negative-7.0%-9.0%-14.4%
Max Positive27.8%23.7%25.3%
Max Negative-24.7%-33.1%-40.6%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
5/7/2026-1.1%-10.1%-4.6%
2/26/202627.8%23.7%14.4%
11/6/20253.7%6.9%15.1%
8/7/2025-7.0%-0.6%-1.2%
5/8/2025-24.7%-29.1%-32.6%
2/25/2025-21.9%-33.1%-40.6%
11/7/2024-4.5%-12.4%-17.6%
8/8/202413.5%12.2%25.3%
5/9/20241.8%-7.0%-16.4%
2/13/2024-4.8%-4.7%-13.4%
11/9/2023-6.5%-0.7%-2.6%
8/10/2023-13.7%-8.0%-8.9%
5/11/20231.0%1.2%0.7%
2/15/20236.8%9.5%16.9%
11/15/20222.3%10.2%2.6%
8/17/2022-12.1%-16.5%-15.4%
5/11/20223.8%18.7%11.9%
2/22/20228.4%8.5%5.5%
11/9/20213.0%12.0%14.8%
8/17/2021-6.9%20.8%16.7%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive101010
# Negative101010
Median Positive3.7%11.1%14.6%
Median Negative-7.0%-9.0%-14.4%
Max Positive27.8%23.7%25.3%
Max Negative-24.7%-33.1%-40.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202608/06/202610-Q
03/31/202605/08/202610-Q
12/31/202503/06/202610-K
09/30/202511/06/202510-Q
06/30/202508/08/202510-Q
03/31/202505/08/202510-Q
12/31/202402/27/202510-K
09/30/202411/08/202410-Q
06/30/202408/08/202410-Q
03/31/202405/09/202410-Q
12/31/202302/27/202410-K
09/30/202311/13/202310-Q
06/30/202308/10/202310-Q
03/31/202305/11/202310-Q
12/31/202203/02/202310-K
09/30/202211/15/202210-Q
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202608/06/202610-Q
03/31/202605/08/202610-Q
12/31/202503/06/202610-K
09/30/202511/06/202510-Q
06/30/202508/08/202510-Q
03/31/202505/08/202510-Q
12/31/202402/27/202510-K
09/30/202411/08/202410-Q
06/30/202408/08/202410-Q
03/31/202405/09/202410-Q
12/31/202302/27/202410-K
09/30/202311/13/202310-Q
06/30/202308/10/202310-Q
03/31/202305/11/202310-Q
12/31/202203/02/202310-K
09/30/202211/15/202210-Q
06/30/202208/17/202210-Q
03/31/202205/11/202210-Q
12/31/202103/11/202210-K
09/30/202111/10/202110-Q
06/30/202108/18/202110-Q
03/31/202107/02/2021424B4

Recent Forward Guidance

Updated 7/27/2026

Latest: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 5/7/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Net RevenueReported1.25 Bil1.30 Bil1.35 Bil   
2026 Systemwide Sales GrowthReported2.0%3.0%4.0% 0.0%AffirmedGuidance: 3.0% for 2026
2026 Adjusted EBITDAReported140.00 Mil145.00 Mil150.00 Mil   
2026 Capital ExpendituresReported50.00 Mil55.00 Mil60.00 Mil0.0% AffirmedGuidance: 55.00 Mil for 2026
2026 Free Cash FlowReported 15.00 Mil    


Prior: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/26/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q1 2026 Japan Refranchising ProceedsReported 65.00 Mil    
2026 New Shop OpeningsReported 100    
2026 Net Leverage RatioReported 5.5    
2026 Systemwide Sales GrowthReported2.0%3.0%4.0%   
2026 Capital ExpendituresReported50.00 Mil55.00 Mil60.00 Mil   

Insider Activity

Updated 7/1/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Hees, Bernardo Held by BHBK LLCBuy60820263.4925,00287,1675,489,807Form
2Hees, Bernardo Held by BHBK LLCBuy60420263.29150,000493,4405,097,673Form
3Hees, Bernardo Held by BHBK LLCBuy60420263.35170,596570,6444,681,772Form
4Hees, Bernardo Held by BHBK LLCBuy60420263.39235,875799,6164,166,435Form
5Hees, Bernardo Held by BHBK LLCBuy60420263.4473,640253,0273,412,505Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Hees, Bernardo Held by BHBK LLCBuy60820263.4925,00287,1675,489,807Form
2Hees, Bernardo Held by BHBK LLCBuy60420263.29150,000493,4405,097,673Form
3Hees, Bernardo Held by BHBK LLCBuy60420263.35170,596570,6444,681,772Form
4Hees, Bernardo Held by BHBK LLCBuy60420263.39235,875799,6164,166,435Form
5Hees, Bernardo Held by BHBK LLCBuy60420263.4473,640253,0273,412,505Form
6Hees, Bernardo Held by BHBK LLCBuy52820263.42200,989687,5033,145,317Form
7Hees, Bernardo Held by BHBK LLCBuy52820263.3822,11474,7012,427,204Form
8Hees, Bernardo Held by BHBK LLCBuy52820263.301,9746,5142,298,183Form
9Esposito, Joseph JChief Accounting OfficerDirectSell111220254.282,64111,294458,257Form

Investor Activity (13F)

Updated Sep 26, 2026
13F holdings as of Mar 31, 2026 (Q1 2026)

Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.

Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Trustees of the University of Pennsylvania$6.8 Mil2.3%4Hold13F
Active Manager
Active Manager
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Trustees of the University of Pennsylvania$6.8 Mil2.3%4Hold13F
Core Cache Last Updated: 9/25/2026