Tearsheet

Krispy Kreme (DNUT)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $4.455 | Market Cap: $762.5 Mil
Sector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Consumer Staples Merchandise Retail

Krispy Kreme (DNUT)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $4.455
Market Cap: $762.5 Mil
Sector: Consumer Staples
Industry: Consumer Staples Merchandise Retail

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Dividend Yield is 2.7%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -110%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -137%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -58 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -3.8%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Direct-to-Consumer Brands, Experiential Retail, Show more.
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 16%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 212%
2   Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 42x
3   Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -10%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -1.2%
4   Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -6.4%
5   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -79%
6   Key risks
DNUT key risks include [1] a precarious financial position due to net losses and significant debt, Show more.
0 Attractive yield
Dividend Yield is 2.7%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Direct-to-Consumer Brands, Experiential Retail, Show more.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -110%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -137%
3 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 16%
4 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -58 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -3.8%
5 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 212%
6 Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 42x
7 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -10%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -1.2%
8 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -6.4%
9 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -79%
10 Key risks
DNUT key risks include [1] a precarious financial position due to net losses and significant debt, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

DNUT Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Krispy Kreme's Q3 2025 Earnings Significantly Surpassed Expectations on Profitability.

On November 6, 2025, Krispy Kreme (DNUT) reported an adjusted Earnings Per Share (EPS) of $0.01 for its third quarter, which considerably exceeded analysts' consensus estimates of a $0.05 loss per share. This positive earnings surprise led to a substantial increase in the stock price, with shares surging over 7% in pre-market trading and 10.08% in regular trading following the announcement. 2. The Company Demonstrated Significant Improvement in Adjusted EBITDA.

Krispy Kreme's adjusted EBITDA increased by 17% year-over-year, reaching $40.6 million in Q3 2025. The adjusted EBITDA margin also expanded by 170 basis points to 10.8%, signaling enhanced operational efficiency and effective cost management, which positively impacted investor confidence.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
DNUT Return-45%48%-33%-55%
Peers Return12%21%8%-9%-8%-9%12%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
DNUT Win Rate60%33%58%33%42% 
Peers Win Rate55%63%53%40%45%40% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
DNUT Max Drawdown-45%0%-39%-74% 
Peers Max Drawdown-22%-6%-15%-19%-13%-19% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: SBUX, SJM, FLO, MDLZ, HSY.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventDNUTS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-50.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven103.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days

Compare to WMT, DG, WMK, IMKTA, COST


In The Past

Krispy Kreme's stock fell -50.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 7/1/2021. A -50.9% loss requires a 103.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Krispy Kreme (DNUT)

Better Bets than Krispy Kreme (DNUT)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to DNUT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BF-B_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025BF-BBrown-FormanDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.8%5.8%0.0%
CPB_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025CPBCampbell'sDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-5.9%-5.9%-7.5%
ENR_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025ENREnergizerDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
15.4%15.4%-5.3%
FLO_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FLOFlowers FoodsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.7%6.7%-1.6%
CLX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CLXCloroxDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-3.7%-3.7%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BF-B_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025BF-BBrown-FormanDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.8%5.8%0.0%
CPB_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025CPBCampbell'sDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-5.9%-5.9%-7.5%
ENR_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025ENREnergizerDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
15.4%15.4%-5.3%
FLO_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FLOFlowers FoodsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.7%6.7%-1.6%
CLX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CLXCloroxDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-3.7%-3.7%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Krispy Kreme

Peers to compare with:

Financials

DNUTSBUXSJMFLOMDLZHSYMedian
NameKrispy K.StarbucksJM Smuck.Flowers .Mondelez.Hershey  
Mkt Price4.4685.21100.3911.1053.82188.9469.52
Mkt Cap0.896.211.62.369.638.325.0
Rev LTM1,53437,1848,7735,13537,64511,29510,034
Op Inc LTM-583,5811,3323204,3342,1551,744
FCF LTM-992,4426363252,2901,5791,107
FCF 3Y Avg-703,1457952573,1561,5391,167
CFO LTM164,7489694513,5762,1461,557
CFO 3Y Avg505,6171,2683844,3782,1931,730

Growth & Margins

DNUTSBUXSJMFLOMDLZHSYMedian
NameKrispy K.StarbucksJM Smuck.Flowers .Mondelez.Hershey  
Rev Chg LTM-10.4%2.8%-0.7%0.3%4.1%2.5%1.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg1.2%5.0%2.5%3.0%7.5%5.2%4.0%
Rev Chg Q-1.2%5.5%2.6%3.0%5.9%26.0%4.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-0.3%1.3%0.7%0.7%1.5%5.0%1.0%
Op Mgn LTM-3.8%9.6%15.2%6.2%11.5%19.1%10.6%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-0.7%13.0%16.6%5.7%14.5%21.6%13.8%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.9%-0.8%-0.3%-0.5%-1.6%-1.9%-0.7%
CFO/Rev LTM1.0%12.8%11.0%8.8%9.5%19.0%10.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg3.0%15.4%14.8%7.5%12.1%19.8%13.4%
FCF/Rev LTM-6.4%6.6%7.2%6.3%6.1%14.0%6.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-4.3%8.7%9.3%5.0%8.7%13.9%8.7%

Valuation

DNUTSBUXSJMFLOMDLZHSYMedian
NameKrispy K.StarbucksJM Smuck.Flowers .Mondelez.Hershey  
Mkt Cap0.896.211.62.369.638.325.0
P/S0.42.61.30.52.13.41.7
P/EBIT-1.4--8.518.919.913.7
P/E-1.351.8-9.714.222.924.818.5
P/CFO41.520.312.06.122.617.719.0
Total Yield-74.4%4.8%-6.3%14.6%7.4%6.9%5.8%
Dividend Yield2.7%2.9%4.0%7.5%3.1%2.9%3.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-7.0%--7.0%3.4%3.9%3.7%
D/E2.2--0.80.30.20.5
Net D/E2.1--0.80.30.10.5

Returns

DNUTSBUXSJMFLOMDLZHSYMedian
NameKrispy K.StarbucksJM Smuck.Flowers .Mondelez.Hershey  
1M Rtn12.9%1.8%-5.8%2.6%-3.1%5.6%2.2%
3M Rtn41.6%3.1%-3.6%-15.0%-13.7%-0.4%-2.0%
6M Rtn67.0%-6.4%6.7%-27.3%-17.7%13.0%0.2%
12M Rtn-53.6%-5.0%-8.8%-43.2%-9.6%9.9%-9.2%
3Y Rtn-60.7%-7.3%-28.1%-55.2%-12.1%-13.4%-20.7%
1M Excs Rtn12.2%1.1%-6.5%1.9%-3.9%4.8%1.5%
3M Excs Rtn21.2%1.5%-6.3%-15.9%-15.6%-0.7%-3.5%
6M Excs Rtn54.7%-18.8%-5.7%-39.7%-30.0%0.7%-12.2%
12M Excs Rtn-65.4%-21.3%-19.1%-55.1%-21.5%-4.5%-21.4%
3Y Excs Rtn-137.3%-79.2%-96.8%-124.2%-82.1%-83.3%-90.1%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil2024202320222021
US1,1051,010  
International490366333230
Market Development92154123109
U.S. and Canada  928783
Total1,6861,5301,3841,122


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity26,632,006
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-0.6%
Average Daily Volume3,522,039
Days-to-Cover Short Interest7.56
Basic Shares Quantity171,164,000
Short % of Basic Shares15.6%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/6/20253.7%6.9%15.1%
8/7/2025-7.0%-0.6%-1.2%
5/8/2025-24.7%-29.1%-32.6%
2/25/2025-21.9%-33.1%-40.6%
11/7/2024-4.5%-12.4%-17.6%
8/8/202413.5%12.2%25.3%
5/9/20241.8%-7.0%-16.4%
2/13/2024-4.8%-4.7%-13.4%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive999
# Negative999
Median Positive3.7%10.2%14.8%
Median Negative-7.0%-8.0%-15.4%
Max Positive13.5%20.8%25.3%
Max Negative-24.7%-33.1%-40.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/28/2025
6302025808202510-Q 6/29/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/30/2025
12312024227202510-K 12/29/2024
93020241108202410-Q 9/29/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023227202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231113202310-Q 10/1/2023
6302023810202310-Q 7/2/2023
3312023511202310-Q 4/2/2023
12312022302202310-K 1/1/2023
93020221115202210-Q 10/2/2022
6302022817202210-Q 7/3/2022
3312022511202210-Q 4/3/2022
12312021311202210-K 1/2/2022