Tearsheet

Krispy Kreme (DNUT)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $4.31 | Market Cap: $737.7 Mil
Sector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Consumer Staples Merchandise Retail

Krispy Kreme (DNUT)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $4.31
Market Cap: $737.7 Mil
Sector: Consumer Staples
Industry: Consumer Staples Merchandise Retail

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Dividend Yield is 2.7%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -116%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -144%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -58 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -3.8%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Direct-to-Consumer Brands, Experiential Retail, Show more.
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 16%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 212%
2   Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 42x
3   Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -10%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -1.2%
4   Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -6.4%
5   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -79%
0 Attractive yield
Dividend Yield is 2.7%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Direct-to-Consumer Brands, Experiential Retail, Show more.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -116%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -144%
3 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 16%
4 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -58 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -3.8%
5 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 212%
6 Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 42x
7 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -10%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -1.2%
8 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -6.4%
9 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -79%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

DNUT Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Following an approximate 22.3% movement in Krispy Kreme (DNUT) stock between August 31, 2025, and December 4, 2025, several key factors contributed to this performance: 1. Krispy Kreme reported better-than-expected Q3 2025 earnings per share (EPS). The company announced an unexpected adjusted EPS of $0.01 for the third quarter of 2025, exceeding analyst forecasts which had projected a loss. This positive surprise led to a significant surge in shares, with reports indicating a rise of over 7% in pre-market trading and more than 10% in regular trading following the announcement in early November 2025. 2. The company's turnaround plan demonstrated early progress. Krispy Kreme's strategic turnaround initiatives showed tangible results, including improved profitability, an increase in adjusted EBITDA, and the generation of positive free cash flow. This operational discipline also contributed to an improved net leverage ratio.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
DNUT Return---45%48%-33%-59%-78%
Peers Return21%43%5%-3%11%19%133%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
DNUT Win Rate-60%33%58%33%30% 
Peers Win Rate62%67%53%55%47%56% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
DNUT Max Drawdown---45%0%-39%-74% 
Peers Max Drawdown-16%-10%-17%-23%-17%-7% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: WMT, DG, WMK, IMKTA, COST.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventDNUTS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-50.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven103.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days

Compare to WMT, DG, WMK, IMKTA, COST


In The Past

Krispy Kreme's stock fell -50.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 7/1/2021. A -50.9% loss requires a 103.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Krispy Kreme (DNUT)

Better Bets than Krispy Kreme (DNUT)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to DNUT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BF-B_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025BF-BBrown-FormanDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
3.1%3.1%0.0%
CPB_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025CPBCampbell'sDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.9%-1.9%-1.9%
ENR_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025ENREnergizerDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
-5.3%-5.3%-5.3%
FLO_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FLOFlowers FoodsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.5%3.5%-1.6%
CLX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CLXCloroxDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.1%2.1%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BF-B_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025BF-BBrown-FormanDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
3.1%3.1%0.0%
CPB_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025CPBCampbell'sDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.9%-1.9%-1.9%
ENR_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025ENREnergizerDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
-5.3%-5.3%-5.3%
FLO_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FLOFlowers FoodsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.5%3.5%-1.6%
CLX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CLXCloroxDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.1%2.1%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Krispy Kreme

Peers to compare with:

Financials

DNUTWMTDGWMKIMKTACOSTMedian
NameKrispy K.Walmart Dollar G.Weis Mar.Ingles M.Costco W. 
Mkt Price4.34114.41109.8967.2777.63922.2693.76
Mkt Cap0.7912.824.21.71.5409.512.9
Rev LTM1,534693,15341,6524,8955,363275,23523,507
Op Inc LTM-5828,9881,7901208210,383955
FCF LTM-9913,7531,850-387,837929
FCF 3Y Avg-7014,9861,21141607,070635
CFO LTM1638,4383,15820816713,3351,683
CFO 3Y Avg5036,7072,74619523411,9141,490

Growth & Margins

DNUTWMTDGWMKIMKTACOSTMedian
NameKrispy K.Walmart Dollar G.Weis Mar.Ingles M.Costco W. 
Rev Chg LTM-10.4%4.2%5.0%2.2%-8.0%8.2%3.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg1.2%5.7%5.7%2.9%-1.1%6.6%4.3%
Rev Chg Q-1.2%4.8%5.1%4.4%-3.4%8.1%4.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-0.3%1.2%1.3%1.1%-0.9%2.4%1.1%
Op Mgn LTM-3.8%4.2%4.3%2.4%1.5%3.8%3.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-0.7%4.0%5.9%2.6%3.5%3.6%3.6%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.9%-0.1%0.1%-0.2%-0.1%0.0%-0.0%
CFO/Rev LTM1.0%5.5%7.6%4.2%3.1%4.8%4.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg3.0%5.5%6.8%4.0%4.1%4.6%4.4%
FCF/Rev LTM-6.4%2.0%4.4%-0.1%0.2%2.8%1.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-4.3%2.3%3.0%0.9%1.0%2.7%1.7%

Valuation

DNUTWMTDGWMKIMKTACOSTMedian
NameKrispy K.Walmart Dollar G.Weis Mar.Ingles M.Costco W. 
Mkt Cap0.7912.824.21.71.5409.512.9
P/S0.41.10.60.40.21.50.5
P/EBIT-1.425.114.114.912.837.514.5
P/E-1.336.521.117.821.350.721.2
P/CFO41.520.38.08.67.230.814.4
Total Yield-74.4%3.6%5.8%7.6%5.7%2.2%4.7%
Dividend Yield2.7%0.9%1.0%2.0%1.0%0.3%1.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-7.0%2.8%4.5%2.2%4.3%2.1%2.5%
D/E2.20.10.70.10.50.00.3
Net D/E2.10.10.6-0.00.2-0.00.1

Returns

DNUTWMTDGWMKIMKTACOSTMedian
NameKrispy K.Walmart Dollar G.Weis Mar.Ingles M.Costco W. 
1M Rtn17.9%12.6%10.8%5.5%8.5%-0.6%9.6%
3M Rtn31.1%15.1%0.8%-6.4%11.7%-2.8%6.3%
6M Rtn46.1%15.4%-0.6%-8.1%28.7%-12.1%7.4%
12M Rtn-59.7%23.5%42.6%-4.4%8.2%-5.6%1.9%
3Y Rtn-71.6%132.8%-52.2%-18.6%-20.9%94.3%-19.7%
1M Excs Rtn18.0%12.7%10.8%5.5%8.5%-0.6%9.7%
3M Excs Rtn22.3%8.0%-3.4%-11.7%5.0%-8.7%0.8%
6M Excs Rtn31.4%0.7%-15.3%-22.9%14.0%-26.8%-7.3%
12M Excs Rtn-73.7%11.3%32.3%-19.4%-7.5%-18.2%-12.8%
3Y Excs Rtn-143.6%59.5%-126.7%-89.7%-93.0%8.2%-91.4%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity26,806,389
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-6.9%
Average Daily Volume6,698,377
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4
Basic Shares Quantity171,164,000
Short % of Basic Shares15.7%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/28/2025
6302025808202510-Q 6/29/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/30/2025
12312024227202510-K 12/29/2024
93020241108202410-Q 9/29/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023227202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231113202310-Q 10/1/2023
6302023810202310-Q 7/2/2023
3312023511202310-Q 4/2/2023
12312022302202310-K 1/1/2023
93020221115202210-Q 10/2/2022
6302022817202210-Q 7/3/2022
3312022511202210-Q 4/3/2022
12312021311202210-K 1/2/2022