Trump Media & Technology (DJT)
Market Price (5/4/2026): $9.37 | Market Cap: $2.6 BilSector: Communication Services | Industry: Interactive Media & Services
Trump Media & Technology (DJT)
Market Price (5/4/2026): $9.37Market Cap: $2.6 BilSector: Communication ServicesIndustry: Interactive Media & Services
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 401%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 385% Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -43% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Social Media & Creator Economy. Themes include Social Media Platforms. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -119%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -106% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -170 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -4611% Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 710x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 177x Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 1607% Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -31% Key risksDJT key risks include [1] significant financial instability and weak internal controls, Show more. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 401%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 385% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -43% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Social Media & Creator Economy. Themes include Social Media Platforms. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -119%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -106% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -170 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -4611% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 710x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 177x |
| Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 1607% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -31% |
| Key risksDJT key risks include [1] significant financial instability and weak internal controls, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
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1. Weak Financial Performance and Significant Losses. Trump Media & Technology Group (DJT) reported a GAAP earnings per share of -$2.8 and only $3.6826 million in revenue for Q1 2026, as disclosed on April 20, 2026. This weak performance was attributed to elevated operating expenses related to platform security, content moderation, and user acquisition efforts. Furthermore, the company's financial profile for FY2025 showed an operating margin of -15560.8% and a net profit margin of -60262.9% in Q4 2025, underscoring substantial unprofitability.
2. Declining and Limited User Engagement on Truth Social. Truth Social experienced a significant decline in its user base, with daily active users dropping by 39% year-over-year to just over 350,000 in early 2026. Despite having an estimated 6.3 million active users as of April 2026, this number remains considerably small when compared to major social media platforms, hindering its ability to generate substantial revenue. The platform's perception as a "political tool" has been cited as a reason for its constrained growth and difficulty in attracting a broader audience.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -26.5% change in DJT stock from 1/31/2026 to 5/3/2026 was primarily driven by a -67.8% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 1312026 | 5032026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 12.78 | 9.39 | -26.5% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 4 | 4 | 12.3% |
| P/S Multiple | 965.6 | 310.7 | -67.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 278 | 137 | 103.3% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -26.5% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2026 to 5/3/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| DJT | -26.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 3.6% | 59.8% |
| Sector (XLC) | -2.5% | 40.7% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -38.7% change in DJT stock from 10/31/2025 to 5/3/2026 was primarily driven by a -68.7% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 10312025 | 5032026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 15.32 | 9.39 | -38.7% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 4 | 4 | 11.2% |
| P/S Multiple | 991.9 | 310.7 | -68.7% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 241 | 137 | 75.9% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -38.7% |
Market Drivers
10/31/2025 to 5/3/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| DJT | -38.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 5.5% | 38.5% |
| Sector (XLC) | 2.3% | 28.1% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -61.7% change in DJT stock from 4/30/2025 to 5/3/2026 was primarily driven by a -79.1% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 4302025 | 5032026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 24.54 | 9.39 | -61.7% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 4 | 4 | 14.2% |
| P/S Multiple | 1,489.8 | 310.7 | -79.1% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 220 | 137 | 60.7% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -61.7% |
Market Drivers
4/30/2025 to 5/3/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| DJT | -61.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 30.4% | 36.1% |
| Sector (XLC) | 23.8% | 25.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
nullnull
Market Drivers
4/30/2023 to 5/3/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| DJT | -28.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 78.7% | 20.0% |
| Sector (XLC) | 101.4% | 12.4% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| DJT Return | 417% | -71% | 17% | 95% | -61% | -31% | -8% |
| Peers Return | 9% | -42% | 40% | 67% | 9% | 3% | 65% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 5% | 92% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| DJT Win Rate | 50% | 33% | 33% | 42% | 17% | 0% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 51% | 38% | 53% | 63% | 55% | 45% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| DJT Max Drawdown | -0% | -71% | -17% | -31% | -70% | -36% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -10% | -51% | -9% | -16% | -22% | -22% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -7% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: RUM, FOXA, NWSA, NFLX, ROKU.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 5/1/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | DJT | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind | ||
| % Loss | -22.8% | -7.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 29.5% | 8.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 56 days | 18 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -14.7% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 17.3% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 7 days | 24 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -15.9% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 18.9% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 12 days | 31 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -69.1% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 223.9% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 531 days | 427 days |
In The Past
Trump Media & Technology's stock fell -22.8% during the 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind. Such a loss loss requires a 29.5% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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| Event | DJT | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind | ||
| % Loss | -22.8% | -7.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 29.5% | 8.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 56 days | 18 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -69.1% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 223.9% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 531 days | 427 days |
In The Past
Trump Media & Technology's stock fell -22.8% during the 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind. Such a loss loss requires a 29.5% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Trump Media & Technology (DJT)
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Based on the background information provided for Trump Media & Technology (DJT), the company is described as Digital World Acquisition Corp., which "does not have significant operations."
Therefore, as described in the background, the company does not have major customers at this time.
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- Rumble Inc. (RUM)
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```htmlDevin Nunes, Chief Executive Officer, President, and Chairman
Devin Nunes has served as the Chief Executive Officer of Trump Media & Technology Group (TMTG) since January 2022, also holding the titles of President and Chairman. Prior to joining TMTG, Nunes had a distinguished career in politics, serving as a U.S. Representative for California's 21st and 22nd congressional districts from 2003 to 2022. He chaired the House Intelligence Committee from 2015 to 2019. His business background before TMTG was primarily rooted in his family's dairy farm, and he holds a master's degree in agriculture. Nunes was appointed Chair of the President's Intelligence Advisory Board in January 2025.
Phillip Juhan, Chief Financial Officer
Phillip Juhan is the Chief Financial Officer of Trump Media & Technology Group. He is also listed as a "Significant Company Holder" and is subject to a Non-Compete and Non-Solicitation Agreement with TMTG.
Eric Swider, Director
Eric Swider is a Director at Trump Media & Technology Group, having joined the board of Digital World Acquisition Corp. (DWAC) in 2021 and later becoming its CEO in March 2023. DWAC subsequently merged with Trump Media, bringing it public. Swider is also the CEO of Rubidex, a data security startup, and was the founder of Renatus Advisors LLC. His company, Renatus LLC, provided $12 million in convertible notes to DWAC prior to the merger. He currently serves as CEO and Director of Renatus Tactical Acquisition Corp. I. Swider studied Mechanics Engineering and Nuclear Science.
Donald Trump Jr., Board Member
Donald Trump Jr. serves as a Board Member for Trump Media & Technology Group. He is an Executive Vice President at The Trump Organization, where he has been involved since 2001 in expanding the company's real estate, retail, commercial, hotel, and golf interests, including leading international developments. He earned a Bachelor's degree in Finance and Real Estate from the Wharton School of Finance at the University of Pennsylvania. Following his father's assumption of the presidency in 2017, he and his brother Eric took control of The Trump Organization to mitigate potential conflicts of interest. More recently, he has joined numerous corporate boards and advisory committees, including as a partner in the venture capital firm 1789 Capital, which focuses on conservative companies.
Andrew Northwall, Chief Operating Officer
Andrew Northwall holds the position of Chief Operating Officer (COO) for Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. In this role, he is responsible for overseeing the company's day-to-day administrative and operational functions, with a focus on operational efficiency and the execution of strategic initiatives. Northwall is identified as a "Significant Company Holder" and is bound by a Non-Compete and Non-Solicitation Agreement with TMTG.
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Here are the key risks to Trump Media & Technology (DJT):
- Financial Instability, Limited Revenue, and High Valuation: Trump Media & Technology Group consistently reports low revenues, with Q4 revenues barely exceeding $1 million, and has incurred significant operating and GAAP losses, particularly from poorly timed cryptocurrency holdings. The company is unprofitable with a negative return on equity and increasing losses. Despite this, it trades at a high price-to-book ratio compared to its peers and the industry, and its current share price significantly exceeds its estimated future cash flow value. Furthermore, the company has adopted a high-risk financial strategy, including issuing $1 billion in convertible notes and making substantial investments in volatile cryptocurrencies, which have seen declines.
- Heavy Dependence on Donald Trump and Brand Risk: The company's valuation and potential for user growth are largely contingent upon the brand and continued active presence of Donald Trump. He holds significant influence over key decision-making due to his substantial voting stock. There is uncertainty regarding the company's ability to attract and retain a significant following for its platforms, such as Truth Social, without Trump's direct involvement. Any decline in his public influence, absence from the platform, or damage to his brand could severely impact the company, as its stock price is primarily supported by the Donald Trump brand rather than fundamental financial performance. Political events related to Donald Trump can also introduce significant market volatility.
- Lack of User Growth and Competitive Challenges for Truth Social: Truth Social, Trump Media & Technology's core social media platform, has struggled to gain significant user traction in a highly competitive media landscape. The platform faces challenges in drawing users away from more established social media sites like Facebook and X, especially after changes in the competitive landscape, such as Elon Musk's acquisition of Twitter (now X) and its shift towards free speech. The company's financial performance is directly tied to the growth and engagement of Truth Social's user base; a continued failure to attract and retain users will negatively impact its financial outlook and ability to generate sustainable revenue.
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The emergence of a more technologically advanced, user-friendly, or broadly appealing social media platform specifically designed to cater to the conservative and "free speech" demographic. Such a platform could offer superior features, faster performance, more effective community engagement tools, or a more robust monetization model, attracting users and content creators away from Truth Social.
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Trump Media & Technology (symbol: DJT) primarily operates Truth Social, a social media platform. The addressable markets for its main product can be sized as follows:The global social media digital media market was valued at US$ 238,563.2 million in 2024. This market is projected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 13.1% from 2024 to 2030, reaching an estimated US$ 499,037.7 million by 2030.
In the United States, the social networking market size was approximately USD 138.9 billion in 2024. It is anticipated to expand to USD 304.5 billion by 2032, with a CAGR of 10.5% during the period of 2025–2032. Another estimate places the U.S. social networking market at $134.2 billion in 2024 and $146.7 billion in 2025.
Truth Social caters to a user base that largely identifies as conservative and pro-Trump. While a specific market size for "conservative social media" is not readily available, data suggests a significant audience for right-leaning online media content. As of March 2025, right-leaning online shows across various platforms, including social media, commanded at least 480.6 million total followers and subscribers, considerably outpacing left-leaning counterparts. Additionally, about one in five Americans regularly get their news from social media influencers, with a slightly higher proportion of these influencers identifying as conservative or Republican (27%) compared to liberal or Democratic (21%).
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Expected Drivers of Future Revenue Growth for Trump Media & Technology (DJT)
- Expansion of Truth Social and Truth+ Platforms: Trump Media & Technology Group (TMTG) aims to grow its flagship social media platform, Truth Social, and its streaming service, Truth+. This includes increasing user engagement and expanding the platforms, which can lead to higher advertising revenue, potential subscription growth, and increased market presence.
- Growth of Truth.Fi Financial Services: TMTG is actively launching and growing its financial services and FinTech brand, Truth.Fi. This initiative includes new products such as exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and separately managed accounts (SMAs), representing a diversification into new revenue streams.
- Strategic Mergers and Acquisitions (M&A): The company explicitly states its intention to continue implementing a mergers and acquisitions strategy to drive growth and diversification. A notable example is the planned merger with TAE Technologies, a fusion energy company, although the revenue impact from this venture is anticipated to be several years away. TMTG's strong financial assets are expected to support its M&A strategy.
- Integration and Monetization of Cryptocurrency Strategy: TMTG is integrating a cryptocurrency strategy into its operations and financial planning. This includes a bitcoin strategy that has generated cash proceeds from hedging activities, and a planned digital token initiative for shareholders, suggesting potential for future revenue or value creation through digital assets.
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Capital Allocation Decisions for Trump Media & Technology (DJT)
Share Repurchases
- On June 23, 2025, Trump Media's Board of Directors authorized the repurchase of up to $400 million of the company's common stock, including either stocks or warrants, through open market transactions.
- In fiscal year 2025, Trump Media & Technology spent $53.6 million on share buybacks, marking a significant increase of 1743.0% from the previous year.
- The annual share buybacks for DJT stock in 2024 amounted to $2.909 million.
Share Issuance
- Trump Media & Technology Group went public on March 26, 2024, following its merger with Digital World Acquisition Corp. (DWAC).
- Initially, former President Trump held approximately 58% of the newly merged company, equivalent to 78.8 million shares.
- In April 2024, Donald Trump received an additional 36 million shares as a bonus, increasing his total stake to 115 million shares, after the stock maintained a certain trading level for a specified period.
- Common equity issuance in the fourth quarter of 2024 generated approximately $110.4 million, enhancing the company's short-term liquidity.
Inbound Investments
- Digital World Acquisition Corp. (DWAC) initially secured $1 billion in a private investment in public equity (PIPE) offering in 2022 to support the merger with Trump Media & Technology Group.
- However, the original $1 billion PIPE investments were terminated by January 17, 2024, due to unfulfilled closing conditions, resulting in the cancellation of the remaining $530.5 million.
- In February 2024, Digital World Acquisition Corp. secured an additional $50 million through a PIPE consisting of convertible notes.
- By the end of 2025, Trump Media & Technology Group's financial assets, including cash, restricted cash, and investments, reached approximately $2.5 billion, a substantial increase from $776.8 million at the end of 2024.
Outbound Investments
- On December 18, 2025, Trump Media & Technology Group announced a definitive merger agreement to combine with TAE Technologies, a fusion power developer, in an all-stock transaction valued at over $6 billion.
- As part of the TAE Technologies merger agreement, Trump Media agreed to provide up to $200 million in cash at signing and an additional $100 million upon the initial filing of the merger's registration statement.
- Trump Media has also diversified its strategy by rolling out "America-first" investment funds and entering into a deal to raise $2.5 billion for Bitcoin purchases, establishing a cryptocurrency reserve.
Capital Expenditures
- Trump Media & Technology invested $574,000 in capital expenditures during fiscal year 2025, representing an 88.6% decrease from the previous year.
- The combined entity of Trump Media & Technology Group and TAE Technologies plans to commence the siting and construction of the world's first utility-scale fusion power plant (50 MWe) in 2026.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select ideas related to DJT.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04242026 | CMCSA | Comcast | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -1.9% | -1.9% | -2.9% |
| 04022026 | TTD | Trade Desk | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 7.0% | 7.0% | -8.9% |
| 03272026 | META | Meta Platforms | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 16.4% | 16.4% | 0.0% |
| 03062026 | CARG | CarGurus | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 8.3% | 8.3% | -8.3% |
| 02132026 | YELP | Yelp | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 31.6% | 31.6% | -5.7% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 44.80 |
| Mkt Cap | 16.5 |
| Rev LTM | 6,795 |
| Op Inc LTM | 554 |
| FCF LTM | 562 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 475 |
| CFO LTM | 780 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 686 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 7.3% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 13.7% |
| Rev Chg Q | 3.8% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.0% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | 11.3% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 11.8% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 6.9% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 1.9% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.3% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 14.1% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 10.8% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 12.4% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 8.1% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 16.5 |
| P/S | 6.0 |
| P/Op Inc | 11.7 |
| P/EBIT | 12.0 |
| P/E | 13.6 |
| P/CFO | 22.6 |
| Total Yield | 2.3% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.0% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | -0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 7.8% |
| 3M Rtn | 3.9% |
| 6M Rtn | -1.0% |
| 12M Rtn | -6.5% |
| 3Y Rtn | 85.9% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -2.7% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -0.3% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -2.0% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -33.5% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 3.7% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $9.39 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 2.6 | |
| First Trading Date | 09/30/2021 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -64.3% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $9.70 | $13.57 |
| DMA Trend | down | down |
| Distance from DMA | -3.2% | -30.8% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 63.1% | 67.6% |
| Downside Capture | 2.10 | 1.81 |
| Upside Capture | 153.82 | 122.49 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 56.6% | 35.4% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 2.42 | 2.35 | 2.42 | 2.46 | 1.94 | 1.47 |
| Up Beta | 2.02 | 1.64 | 2.32 | 2.95 | 1.53 | 1.39 |
| Down Beta | 8.76 | 2.59 | 2.78 | 1.54 | 1.81 | 1.84 |
| Up Capture | 147% | 222% | 164% | 206% | 128% | 104% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 15 | 22 | 31 | 66 | 141 | 428 |
| Stock +ve Days | 12 | 20 | 28 | 54 | 110 | 330 |
| Down Capture | 469% | 277% | 261% | 225% | 189% | 110% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 4 | 18 | 30 | 56 | 108 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 10 | 22 | 35 | 69 | 139 | 415 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with DJT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DJT | -63.0% | 67.5% | -1.23 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLC) | 23.9% | 13.2% | 1.36 | 26.4% |
| Equity (SPY) | 30.6% | 12.5% | 1.88 | 36.6% |
| Gold (GLD) | 39.5% | 27.2% | 1.20 | 15.3% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 51.5% | 17.9% | 2.20 | -0.2% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 13.1% | 13.5% | 0.67 | 6.6% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -17.1% | 42.2% | -0.33 | 34.8% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with DJT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DJT | -1.7% | 206.7% | 0.50 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLC) | 9.9% | 20.7% | 0.39 | 7.4% |
| Equity (SPY) | 12.8% | 17.1% | 0.59 | 11.3% |
| Gold (GLD) | 20.5% | 17.9% | 0.94 | 2.0% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 14.3% | 19.1% | 0.61 | 0.1% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.5% | 18.8% | 0.09 | 7.8% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 7.7% | 56.2% | 0.35 | 4.1% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with DJT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DJT | -0.9% | 206.7% | 0.50 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLC) | 9.7% | 22.3% | 0.51 | 7.4% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.9% | 17.9% | 0.71 | 11.3% |
| Gold (GLD) | 13.6% | 15.9% | 0.71 | 2.0% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 9.7% | 17.7% | 0.46 | 0.1% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.7% | 20.7% | 0.24 | 7.8% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 67.7% | 66.9% | 1.07 | 4.1% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 2/27/2026 | 3.5% | -4.9% | -18.6% |
| 11/7/2025 | -1.7% | -9.8% | -15.2% |
| 8/1/2025 | -0.2% | 0.4% | 0.9% |
| 5/9/2025 | 3.1% | 3.0% | -16.0% |
| 2/14/2025 | -3.8% | -15.3% | -33.9% |
| 11/5/2024 | 5.9% | -10.2% | -0.6% |
| 5/20/2024 | -8.7% | 3.2% | -44.7% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 3 | 3 | 1 |
| # Negative | 4 | 4 | 6 |
| Median Positive | 3.5% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Median Negative | -2.8% | -10.0% | -17.3% |
| Max Positive | 5.9% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Max Negative | -8.7% | -15.3% | -44.7% |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Glabe, Scott | General Counsel and Secretary | Direct | Buy | 11192025 | 10.46 | 1,000 | 10,465 | 3,414,060 | Form |
| 2 | Swider, Eric | Direct | Sell | 11172025 | 10.59 | 5,200 | 55,083 | 199,581 | Form | |
| 3 | Glabe, Scott | General Counsel and Secretary | Direct | Sell | 9112025 | 16.98 | 30,016 | 509,645 | 5,751,365 | Form |
| 4 | Swider, Eric | Direct | Sell | 8292025 | 17.61 | 5,000 | 88,074 | 423,475 | Form | |
| 5 | Swider, Eric | Direct | Sell | 6102025 | 21.41 | 8,500 | 181,999 | 374,469 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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