Trump Media & Technology (DJT)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $11.52 | Market Cap: $3.2 BilSector: Communication Services | Industry: Interactive Media & Services
Trump Media & Technology (DJT)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $11.52Market Cap: $3.2 BilSector: Communication ServicesIndustry: Interactive Media & Services
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Social Media & Creator Economy. Themes include Social Media Platforms. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -85%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -126% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -170 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -4619% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 1241x | ||
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -3.8% | ||
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -155%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -171% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -7.3% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Social Media & Creator Economy. Themes include Social Media Platforms. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -85%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -126% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -170 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -4619% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 1241x |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -3.8% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -155%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -171% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -7.3% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
DJT Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
The Trump Media & Technology Group (DJT) stock experienced a decline of approximately 34.3% in the period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025, driven by several key factors:
1. Poor Financial Performance and Revenue Struggles. Trump Media & Technology Group continued to face challenges in generating substantial revenue from its core social media business. The company's net sales for the third quarter of 2025 were reported at less than $1 million, while operating costs more than doubled year over year. Earlier in the year, for the first quarter of fiscal 2025, the company reported a net loss of $31.7 million.
2. Significant Shareholder Dilution Concerns. Aggressive capital raising efforts by DJT have led to worries about shareholder dilution. The company's share count increased considerably, from just under 201 million to approximately 278 million shares outstanding. Furthermore, as of April 2025, there were concerns about the potential sale of nearly 8.4 million shares by warrant holders and up to 134 million shares by insiders, including those held by the Donald J. Trump Revocable Trust.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| DJT Return | - | - | -71% | 17% | 95% | -67% | -78% |
| Peers Return | 43% | 24% | -25% | 25% | 3% | 7% | 83% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| DJT Win Rate | - | 67% | 33% | 33% | 42% | 10% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 27% | 35% | 18% | 35% | 27% | 65% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| DJT Max Drawdown | - | - | -71% | -17% | -31% | -70% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -13% | -12% | -28% | -8% | -17% | -19% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: Z, ZIP, STUB, WSHP, GOOGL.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | DJT | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -87.2% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 682.8% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
Compare to Z, ZIP, STUB, WSHP, GOOGL
In The Past
Trump Media & Technology's stock fell -87.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/4/2022. A -87.2% loss requires a 682.8% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to DJT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | PINS | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.9% | 2.9% | 0.0% | |
| 11212025 | TMUS | T-Mobile US | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.8% | 0.8% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | Z | Zillow | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | IRDM | Iridium Communications | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -0.5% | -0.5% | -5.6% |
| 10032025 | TTD | Trade Desk | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -22.5% | -22.5% | -25.6% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | PINS | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.9% | 2.9% | 0.0% | |
| 11212025 | TMUS | T-Mobile US | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.8% | 0.8% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | Z | Zillow | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | IRDM | Iridium Communications | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -0.5% | -0.5% | -5.6% |
| 10032025 | TTD | Trade Desk | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -22.5% | -22.5% | -25.6% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Trump Media & Technology
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 43.76 |
| Mkt Cap | 10.8 |
| Rev LTM | 1,466 |
| Op Inc LTM | -59 |
| FCF LTM | 78 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 122 |
| CFO LTM | 217 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 226 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 11.3% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 7.0% |
| Rev Chg Q | 7.1% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.7% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -4.9% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -2.5% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.5% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 10.2% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 14.4% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 3.9% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 9.0% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 10.8 |
| P/S | 7.6 |
| P/EBIT | -40.9 |
| P/E | -20.1 |
| P/CFO | 21.3 |
| Total Yield | -1.7% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 2.3% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | -0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 1.8% |
| 3M Rtn | -2.1% |
| 6M Rtn | -4.0% |
| 12M Rtn | -22.9% |
| 3Y Rtn | 23.5% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 1.8% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -7.8% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -18.7% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -38.2% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -41.5% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11072025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8012025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5092025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2142025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11052024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8092024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5202024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312022 | 2162024 | 424B4 12/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 5162022 | S-4 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |