Tearsheet

Trump Media & Technology (DJT)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $11.52 | Market Cap: $3.2 Bil
Sector: Communication Services | Industry: Interactive Media & Services

Trump Media & Technology (DJT)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $11.52
Market Cap: $3.2 Bil
Sector: Communication Services
Industry: Interactive Media & Services

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Social Media & Creator Economy. Themes include Social Media Platforms.
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -85%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -126%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -170 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -4619%
1   Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 1241x
2   Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -3.8%
3   Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -155%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -171%
4   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -7.3%
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Social Media & Creator Economy. Themes include Social Media Platforms.
1 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -85%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -126%
2 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -170 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -4619%
3 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 1241x
4 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -3.8%
5 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -155%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -171%
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -7.3%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

DJT Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The Trump Media & Technology Group (DJT) stock experienced a decline of approximately 34.3% in the period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025, driven by several key factors:



1. Poor Financial Performance and Revenue Struggles. Trump Media & Technology Group continued to face challenges in generating substantial revenue from its core social media business. The company's net sales for the third quarter of 2025 were reported at less than $1 million, while operating costs more than doubled year over year. Earlier in the year, for the first quarter of fiscal 2025, the company reported a net loss of $31.7 million.

2. Significant Shareholder Dilution Concerns. Aggressive capital raising efforts by DJT have led to worries about shareholder dilution. The company's share count increased considerably, from just under 201 million to approximately 278 million shares outstanding. Furthermore, as of April 2025, there were concerns about the potential sale of nearly 8.4 million shares by warrant holders and up to 134 million shares by insiders, including those held by the Donald J. Trump Revocable Trust.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
DJT Return---71%17%95%-67%-78%
Peers Return43%24%-25%25%3%7%83%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
DJT Win Rate-67%33%33%42%10% 
Peers Win Rate27%35%18%35%27%65% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
DJT Max Drawdown---71%-17%-31%-70% 
Peers Max Drawdown-13%-12%-28%-8%-17%-19% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: Z, ZIP, STUB, WSHP, GOOGL.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventDJTS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-87.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven682.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days

Compare to Z, ZIP, STUB, WSHP, GOOGL


In The Past

Trump Media & Technology's stock fell -87.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/4/2022. A -87.2% loss requires a 682.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Trump Media & Technology (DJT)

Better Bets than Trump Media & Technology (DJT)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to DJT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PINS_11302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11302025PINSPinterestMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.9%2.9%0.0%
TMUS_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025TMUST-Mobile USMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.8%0.8%-1.2%
Z_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ZZillowMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.3%1.3%0.0%
IRDM_11072025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11072025IRDMIridium CommunicationsDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-0.5%-0.5%-5.6%
TTD_10032025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10032025TTDTrade DeskDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-22.5%-22.5%-25.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PINS_11302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11302025PINSPinterestMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.9%2.9%0.0%
TMUS_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025TMUST-Mobile USMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.8%0.8%-1.2%
Z_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ZZillowMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.3%1.3%0.0%
IRDM_11072025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11072025IRDMIridium CommunicationsDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-0.5%-0.5%-5.6%
TTD_10032025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10032025TTDTrade DeskDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-22.5%-22.5%-25.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Trump Media & Technology

Peers to compare with:

Financials

DJTZZIPSTUBWSHPGOOGLMedian
NameTrump Me.Zillow ZipRecru.Stubhub WeShop Alphabet  
Mkt Price11.5176.015.4010.78145.00319.6343.76
Mkt Cap3.218.40.5--3,863.010.8
Rev LTM42,483448--385,4771,466
Op Inc LTM-170-90-27--124,077-59
FCF LTM-61498--73,55278
FCF 3Y Avg-2818756--68,998122
CFO LTM-641816--151,424217
CFO 3Y Avg-2438766--120,990226

Growth & Margins

DJTZZIPSTUBWSHPGOOGLMedian
NameTrump Me.Zillow ZipRecru.Stubhub WeShop Alphabet  
Rev Chg LTM9.1%15.2%-10.1%--13.4%11.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-7.0%-20.7%--11.0%7.0%
Rev Chg Q-3.8%16.4%-1.8%--15.9%7.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-1.0%4.0%-0.5%--3.8%1.7%
Op Mgn LTM-4,618.7%-3.6%-6.1%--32.2%-4.9%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-3,088.8%-8.5%3.6%--29.9%-2.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-526.2%1.9%-0.4%---0.5%-0.5%
CFO/Rev LTM-155.1%16.8%3.5%--39.3%10.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-670.2%17.8%10.9%--35.3%14.4%
FCF/Rev LTM-170.6%6.0%1.8%--19.1%3.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-773.2%8.8%9.2%--20.5%9.0%

Valuation

DJTZZIPSTUBWSHPGOOGLMedian
NameTrump Me.Zillow ZipRecru.Stubhub WeShop Alphabet  
Mkt Cap3.218.40.5--3,863.010.8
P/S1,240.67.50.8--7.67.6
P/EBIT-35.7-2,333.9-46.1--19.3-40.9
P/E-31.6-583.5-8.5--23.6-20.1
P/CFO-799.944.723.1--19.421.3
Total Yield-3.2%-0.2%-11.8%--4.6%-1.7%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%--0.3%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-0.9%1.4%5.6%--3.3%2.3%
D/E0.20.01.5--0.00.1
Net D/E-0.1-0.10.4---0.0-0.0

Returns

DJTZZIPSTUBWSHPGOOGLMedian
NameTrump Me.Zillow ZipRecru.Stubhub WeShop Alphabet  
1M Rtn-20.7%1.8%29.8%-39.8%-12.7%1.8%
3M Rtn-32.2%-9.0%4.9%--38.7%-2.1%
6M Rtn-47.4%8.3%-16.3%--90.6%-4.0%
12M Rtn-65.8%-9.5%-36.2%--87.4%-22.9%
3Y Rtn-49.6%96.5%-67.2%--220.4%23.5%
1M Excs Rtn-20.7%1.8%29.8%-39.8%-12.7%1.8%
3M Excs Rtn-36.7%-14.5%-1.1%--32.4%-7.8%
6M Excs Rtn-62.1%-6.5%-31.0%--75.9%-18.7%
12M Excs Rtn-77.1%-23.8%-52.6%--76.5%-38.2%
3Y Excs Rtn-125.5%42.6%-141.4%--162.3%-41.5%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity13,885,761
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120250.6%
Average Daily Volume6,484,711
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.14
Basic Shares Quantity277,876,654
Short % of Basic Shares5.0%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251107202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025801202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025509202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024214202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241105202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024809202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024520202410-Q 3/31/2024
123120222162024424B4 12/31/2022
123120215162022S-4 12/31/2021