Rumble (RUM)
Market Price (2/5/2026): $5.76 | Market Cap: $1.5 BilSector: Communication Services | Industry: Interactive Media & Services
Rumble (RUM)
Market Price (2/5/2026): $5.76Market Cap: $1.5 BilSector: Communication ServicesIndustry: Interactive Media & Services
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -18% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -59%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -114% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -113 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -109% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 21% | Meaningful short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 10.8 | Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 14x |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital Content & Streaming, and Social Media & Creator Economy. Themes include Video Streaming, Social Media Platforms, Show more. | Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -1.2% | |
| Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 25% | ||
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -51%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -55% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -23% | ||
| Key risksRUM key risks include [1] an uncertain path to sustained profitability, Show more. |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -18% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 21% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital Content & Streaming, and Social Media & Creator Economy. Themes include Video Streaming, Social Media Platforms, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -59%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -114% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 10.8 |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -113 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -109% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 14x |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -1.2% |
| Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 25% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -51%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -55% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -23% |
| Key risksRUM key risks include [1] an uncertain path to sustained profitability, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
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Rumble (RUM) stock has lost about 15% since 10/31/2025 because of the following key factors:
1. Rumble's Q3 2025 Earnings Missed Expectations. On November 10, 2025, Rumble reported its Q3 2025 earnings per share (EPS) of -$0.08, which fell short of the consensus estimate of -$0.07. Additionally, quarterly revenue decreased by 1.2% year-over-year to $24.76 million, missing the analyst consensus of $26.86 million.
2. Persistent Net Losses and Unproven Monetization Model. Rumble continued to experience net losses throughout the period, with analysts noting ongoing concerns regarding user growth and the effectiveness of its monetization strategies. As of October 2025, the company's profitability metrics showed negative EBIT and EBITDA margins, indicating challenges in managing operational costs relative to its revenues.
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1. Rumble's Q3 2025 Earnings Missed Expectations. On November 10, 2025, Rumble reported its Q3 2025 earnings per share (EPS) of -$0.08, which fell short of the consensus estimate of -$0.07. Additionally, quarterly revenue decreased by 1.2% year-over-year to $24.76 million, missing the analyst consensus of $26.86 million.
2. Persistent Net Losses and Unproven Monetization Model. Rumble continued to experience net losses throughout the period, with analysts noting ongoing concerns regarding user growth and the effectiveness of its monetization strategies. As of October 2025, the company's profitability metrics showed negative EBIT and EBITDA margins, indicating challenges in managing operational costs relative to its revenues.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -16.6% change in RUM stock from 10/31/2025 to 2/4/2026 was primarily driven by a -16.3% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 10312025 | 2042026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 6.86 | 5.72 | -16.6% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 104 | 104 | -0.3% |
| P/S Multiple | 17.2 | 14.4 | -16.3% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 260 | 261 | -0.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -16.6% |
Market Drivers
10/31/2025 to 2/4/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| RUM | -16.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | 0.6% | 54.3% |
| Sector (XLC) | 1.7% | 39.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -32.2% change in RUM stock from 7/31/2025 to 2/4/2026 was primarily driven by a -27.2% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 7312025 | 2042026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 8.44 | 5.72 | -32.2% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 101 | 104 | 2.3% |
| P/S Multiple | 19.7 | 14.4 | -27.2% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 237 | 261 | -9.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -32.2% |
Market Drivers
7/31/2025 to 2/4/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| RUM | -32.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 8.9% | 46.7% |
| Sector (XLC) | 9.1% | 37.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -53.8% change in RUM stock from 1/31/2025 to 2/4/2026 was primarily driven by a -51.5% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 1312025 | 2042026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 12.38 | 5.72 | -53.8% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 86 | 104 | 21.2% |
| P/S Multiple | 29.6 | 14.4 | -51.5% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 205 | 261 | -21.3% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -53.8% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2025 to 2/4/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| RUM | -53.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 15.0% | 54.2% |
| Sector (XLC) | 15.1% | 49.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -43.1% change in RUM stock from 1/31/2023 to 2/4/2026 was primarily driven by a -82.0% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 1312023 | 2042026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 10.05 | 5.72 | -43.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 22 | 104 | 364.0% |
| P/S Multiple | 79.8 | 14.4 | -82.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 178 | 261 | -31.8% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -43.1% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2023 to 2/4/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| RUM | -43.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 75.1% | 31.1% |
| Sector (XLC) | 118.3% | 24.4% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| RUM Return | 11% | -45% | -25% | 190% | -51% | -10% | -42% |
| Peers Return | 22% | -53% | 103% | 28% | 29% | -2% | 91% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 1% | 84% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| RUM Win Rate | 44% | 50% | 33% | 50% | 17% | 0% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 65% | 27% | 73% | 63% | 55% | 40% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| RUM Max Drawdown | -1% | -45% | -26% | -24% | -60% | -13% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -13% | -57% | -2% | -12% | -21% | -8% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -1% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: GOOGL, AMZN, MSFT, META, ROKU.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 2/4/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | RUM | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -73.6% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 279.5% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
Compare to GOOGL, AMZN, MSFT, META, ROKU
In The Past
Rumble's stock fell -73.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 9/19/2022. A -73.6% loss requires a 279.5% gain to breakeven.
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About Rumble (RUM)
Rumble Inc. operates video sharing platforms in the United States, Canada, and internationally. The company operates rumble.com, a platform where users can subscribe to channels to stay in touch with creators, and access video on-demand (VOD) and live content streamed by creators. It also operates locals.com, a subscription platform for creators and subscribers to engage through VOD, podcasts, live chat, polls, and community discussions; and Rumble Advertising Center (RAC), an online advertising management exchange. The company was founded in 2013 and is headquartered in Longboat Key, Florida.
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- YouTube for free speech.
- An alternative video platform similar to YouTube.
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- Video Hosting & Streaming Platform: A digital platform where users and creators can upload, watch, and share videos, including live streams.
- Rumble Cloud Services: A cloud infrastructure offering storage, processing, and delivery solutions, primarily supporting video content and creator needs.
- Creator Monetization & Support Tools: A suite of services enabling creators to earn revenue from their content through various mechanisms and manage their channels.
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Rumble (symbol: RUM) primarily sells its services to other companies, particularly through its advertising platform and cloud services. Its major customers include:
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Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. (NASDAQ: DJT): A significant customer for Rumble Cloud, which provides the infrastructure to host the Truth Social social media platform. According to Rumble's SEC filings, revenue derived from Truth Social accounted for approximately 6.7% of Rumble's total revenue in 2023.
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Advertisers: A diverse array of companies that purchase advertising space on the Rumble video platform. These customers range from small businesses to larger corporations and advertising agencies seeking to reach Rumble's audience. Rumble's SEC filings indicate that no single advertiser accounts for a material portion of its revenue, highlighting a broad customer base in this segment.
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Chris Pavlovski, Chief Executive Officer
Chris Pavlovski is the Founder and Chief Executive Officer of Rumble. He is a three-time successful entrepreneur with over 20 years of experience in online marketing and advertising. Mr. Pavlovski founded Jolted Media Group (later Jolt Media Group) and served as its Chief Executive Officer. He also co-founded Cosmic Development, an IT and software services firm. Additionally, he served as the director of marketing for NASA's Next Giant Leap. He was a finalist for the Ernst & Young Entrepreneur of the Year in 2010.
Brandon Alexandroff, Chief Financial Officer
Brandon Alexandroff serves as the Chief Financial Officer, Corporate Secretary, and Principal Accounting Officer for Rumble. He has held the position of CFO since September 2022.
Tyler Hughes, Chief Operating Officer
Tyler Hughes is the Chief Operating Officer at Rumble.
Wojciech Hlibowicki, Chief Technology Officer
Wojciech Hlibowicki holds the position of Chief Technology Officer at Rumble.
Claudio Ramolo, Chief Content Officer
Claudio Ramolo is the Chief Content Officer for Rumble.
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The key risks to Rumble's (RUM) business include:
- Uncertainty Regarding Profitability and Financial Sustainability: Rumble has consistently reported net losses, characterized by high operating costs, particularly for content and infrastructure, with an unclear path to achieving sustained profitability. Some analyses indicate a higher-than-average probability of financial distress within the next two years.
- Intense Competition and Challenges in Advertiser Monetization: Rumble operates in a highly competitive digital media landscape dominated by well-established platforms such as YouTube and Meta. The company faces significant hurdles in attracting and retaining top-tier advertisers, partly due to concerns regarding its content moderation policies and its appeal to a niche demographic, which limits its revenue growth and monetization potential.
- Regulatory, Legal, and Content Moderation Risks: As a platform that hosts user-generated content, Rumble is exposed to potential regulatory scrutiny and legal challenges. These include liabilities related to content moderation, allegations of copyright infringement, and data privacy concerns, which can lead to substantial costs and operational restrictions.
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The increasing competition from X (formerly Twitter) in the video and creator monetization space, particularly for content creators and viewers seeking platforms that emphasize free speech or offer alternatives to mainstream platforms. X has significantly ramped up its video capabilities, introduced creator ad revenue sharing, and explicitly positioned itself as a major competitor in the video market, attracting a similar demographic of creators and audiences that Rumble targets.AI Analysis | Feedback
Rumble (RUM) operates in several addressable markets, primarily through its video platform and cloud services. The estimated market sizes for these main products and services are as follows:
Video Platform (including Live Streaming, Video-on-Demand, and Ad-Supported Video-on-Demand)
- The global live streaming market was valued at approximately USD 143.89 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 1,049.87 billion by 2032, exhibiting a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 28.20% during the forecast period. Other estimates place the global live streaming market at USD 87.8 billion in 2024, with a projection to reach USD 605.2 billion by 2033 at a CAGR of 23.93% from 2025 to 2033.
- The global advertising-based video on demand (AVOD) market size was estimated at USD 49.04 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 226.57 billion by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 29.2% from 2025 to 2030. Another report valued the global ad-supported video on demand market at US$ 40.12 billion for 2024, projected to grow to US$ 150.8 billion by the end of 2034, with a CAGR of 14.2%.
Cloud Services (Rumble Cloud)
- The global cloud computing market size was estimated at USD 752.44 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 2,390.18 billion by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 20.4% from 2025 to 2030. North America accounted for a significant revenue share of around 39.0% in the global cloud computing market in 2024. Another estimate indicates the global cloud services market size was USD 618.04 billion in 2024 and is expected to exceed USD 2,726.94 billion by 2034, growing at a CAGR of 16.00% from 2025 to 2034.
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Rumble (NASDAQ: RUM) is poised for future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years, driven by several strategic initiatives and market opportunities.
Here are 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth:
- Enhanced Audience Monetization through Advertising and Subscriptions: Rumble is actively increasing its revenue from its user base through various monetization strategies. The company has seen growth in audience monetization, including advertising and subscription revenue, with a notable increase in Q3 2024. The introduction of mid-roll advertisements in September 2024 has contributed to revenue growth and boosted the traction of its Rumble Premium service. Furthermore, Rumble has demonstrated an improved Average Revenue Per User (ARPU), which rose to $0.45 in Q3 2025 from $0.33 in Q3 2024, indicating more effective monetization efforts despite a decline in monthly active users. The company is also making progress in securing partnerships with new brands for advertising.
- Expansion of Rumble Cloud Services and AI/HPC Infrastructure: Rumble is significantly expanding its cloud services, including a push into AI and high-performance computing (HPC) infrastructure. Rumble Cloud is gaining traction with large enterprise clients, including a collaboration with the Miami Dolphins and discussions with government entities. A major driver is the acquisition of Northern Data AG in November 2025, which is expected to accelerate international expansion, provide substantial revenue growth opportunities, and advance Rumble's AI roadmap. This acquisition includes Taiga Cloud, which provides GPU services to customers.
- Strategic Partnerships and Content Diversification: Rumble is forging strategic alliances to expand its reach and content offerings. The company secured its first major brand advertising partnership in December 2024, opening doors for more such collaborations. Partnerships with entities like Cumulus Media and Perplexity AI are aimed at broadening content distribution and improving discoverability. The integration of Perplexity's AI search tool into Rumble's platforms, potentially bundled into subscription packages, could also drive new revenue streams. Additionally, the expansion of video distribution to platforms like Xbox in Q3 2024 signifies growth in both partnerships and user engagement.
- International Market Expansion: A key element of Rumble's growth strategy is its focus on expanding into international markets. The acquisition of Northern Data AG is specifically highlighted as a move that will accelerate Rumble's international expansion efforts. The company has also explicitly stated its exploration of international expansion as a part of its future growth strategy.
- Launch of Rumble Wallet and Cryptocurrency Integration: Rumble plans to roll out its crypto-enabled "Rumble Wallet" in Q3 2025 in collaboration with MoonPay. This initiative is anticipated to drive improved creator monetization and facilitate international user acquisition, acting as a significant catalyst for revenue growth. The strategic investment from Tether also supports the development and integration of the Rumble Wallet, further underscoring its potential as a revenue driver.
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Share Repurchases
- In December 2024, Rumble announced plans to buy back $525 million in stock from other large shareholders, funded by a $775 million stock sale to Tether.
Share Issuance
- Rumble completed its SPAC merger and became a public company in September 2022, resulting in the issuance of shares to former CF Acquisition Corp. VI shareholders and PIPE investors.
- The SPAC merger generated approximately $400 million in gross proceeds for Rumble through share issuance.
- In December 2024, Rumble issued $775 million worth of new stock to Tether at a price of $7.50 per share.
- A proposed business combination agreement in November 2025 with Northern Data involves tendering each Northern Data share for 2.0281 newly issued Rumble Class A shares.
Inbound Investments
- In September 2022, Rumble received approximately $400 million in gross proceeds from its SPAC merger, which included $85 million from a PIPE financing.
- Tether made a $775 million investment in Rumble in December 2024 by purchasing new stock.
- As part of the Northern Data acquisition in November 2025, Tether committed significant commercial support, including converting half of Northern Data's approximately €610 million ($705 million) shareholder loan into Rumble shares.
Outbound Investments
- Rumble announced its intention to use the approximately $400 million cash injection from its 2022 SPAC merger to fund acquisitions, among other strategic initiatives.
- In November 2025, Rumble signed a business combination agreement to acquire Northern Data, an AI and HPC infrastructure firm, in a deal potentially valued between $767 million and $967 million.
- This acquisition aims to expand Rumble's cloud and AI capabilities significantly by adding approximately 22,400 Nvidia units and a network of data center sites.
Capital Expenditures
- Rumble reported capital expenditures of approximately $6.6 million for the twelve months ending March 2023 and about $7.17 million for December 2024.
- The company plans significant capital expenditures, with projections of $17 million for 2025, rising to $88 million by 2029.
- The primary focus of these capital expenditures is to build out Rumble's independent infrastructure and expand its cloud and AI ambitions.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Rumble Earnings Notes | 12/16/2025 | |
| With Rumble Stock Sliding, Have You Assessed The Risk? | 10/17/2025 | |
| Rumble (RUM) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | 08/08/2025 | |
| Rumble (RUM) EBITDA Comparison | 08/08/2025 | |
| Rumble (RUM) Revenue Comparison | 08/08/2025 | |
| Rumble (RUM) Debt Comparison | 08/08/2025 | |
| Rumble (RUM) Net Income Comparison | 08/08/2025 | |
| Rumble (RUM) Tax Expense Comparison | 08/08/2025 | |
| Rumble (RUM) Operating Income Comparison | 08/08/2025 | |
| Why Rumble Stock Moved: RUM Stock Has Gained 54% Since 2023 Fiscal End, Primarily Due To Favorable Change In Price To Sales Multiple (P/S) | 08/08/2025 | |
| ARTICLES | ||
| What’s Happening With Rumble Stock? | 12/24/2024 |
Research & Analysis
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Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 283.01 |
| Mkt Cap | 2,087.7 |
| Rev LTM | 253,209 |
| Op Inc LTM | 79,738 |
| FCF LTM | 28,334 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 35,780 |
| CFO LTM | 123,246 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 98,882 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 16.6% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 13.9% |
| Rev Chg Q | 15.0% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 3.6% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 21.6% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 19.2% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 29.1% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 26.0% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 14.5% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 13.1% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 2,087.7 |
| P/S | 9.2 |
| P/EBIT | 20.0 |
| P/E | 26.9 |
| P/CFO | 19.1 |
| Total Yield | 3.2% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.1% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 2.0% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | -0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -5.4% |
| 3M Rtn | -7.2% |
| 6M Rtn | -4.2% |
| 12M Rtn | -1.3% |
| 3Y Rtn | 94.8% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -5.1% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -8.6% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -10.9% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -15.0% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 31.9% |
Price Behavior
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $5.72 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 1.5 | |
| First Trading Date | 04/14/2021 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -56.4% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $6.53 | $7.67 |
| DMA Trend | down | down |
| Distance from DMA | -12.4% | -25.4% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 69.9% | 67.3% |
| Downside Capture | 294.33 | 245.35 |
| Upside Capture | 229.41 | 127.95 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 57.5% | 54.1% |
RUM Betas & Captures as of 1/31/2026
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 3.09 | 3.18 | 3.69 | 2.79 | 1.90 | 1.87 |
| Up Beta | 9.56 | 7.33 | 9.78 | 5.44 | 2.19 | 1.74 |
| Down Beta | 2.20 | 2.07 | 2.16 | 2.64 | 1.36 | 1.33 |
| Up Capture | 66% | 185% | 219% | 123% | 181% | 940% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 11 | 22 | 34 | 71 | 142 | 430 |
| Stock +ve Days | 9 | 21 | 28 | 52 | 103 | 326 |
| Down Capture | 360% | 378% | 284% | 230% | 156% | 113% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 9 | 19 | 27 | 54 | 109 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 10 | 19 | 31 | 70 | 142 | 411 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with RUM | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RUM | -49.8% | 67.2% | -0.76 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLC) | 14.9% | 18.7% | 0.61 | 49.1% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.9% | 19.2% | 0.64 | 54.0% |
| Gold (GLD) | 76.1% | 24.5% | 2.27 | 6.6% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 9.3% | 16.5% | 0.36 | 21.1% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 4.6% | 16.5% | 0.10 | 33.3% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -24.7% | 40.5% | -0.60 | 43.4% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with RUM | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RUM | -8.4% | 87.3% | 0.24 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLC) | 12.4% | 20.8% | 0.50 | 18.2% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.2% | 17.0% | 0.66 | 26.2% |
| Gold (GLD) | 21.5% | 16.8% | 1.04 | 4.2% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 12.1% | 18.9% | 0.52 | 7.8% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.0% | 18.8% | 0.17 | 21.6% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 18.0% | 57.4% | 0.52 | 16.4% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with RUM | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RUM | -4.3% | 87.3% | 0.24 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLC) | 9.6% | 22.5% | 0.52 | 18.2% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.7% | 17.9% | 0.75 | 26.2% |
| Gold (GLD) | 15.6% | 15.5% | 0.84 | 4.2% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.3% | 17.6% | 0.39 | 7.8% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.9% | 20.8% | 0.25 | 21.6% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 69.3% | 66.5% | 1.09 | 16.4% |
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Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/10/2025 | 11.4% | -4.2% | 22.9% |
| 8/11/2025 | 3.0% | 0.3% | -4.7% |
| 3/25/2025 | 0.2% | -11.7% | -1.0% |
| 11/12/2024 | -10.0% | -16.8% | 19.6% |
| 8/12/2024 | 5.4% | 11.5% | -9.7% |
| 3/27/2024 | -4.9% | -21.5% | -23.2% |
| 11/13/2023 | 5.3% | 13.3% | 5.1% |
| 8/14/2023 | -14.0% | -15.4% | -14.9% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 6 | 3 | 3 |
| # Negative | 4 | 7 | 7 |
| Median Positive | 5.4% | 11.5% | 19.6% |
| Median Negative | -9.6% | -11.7% | -11.1% |
| Max Positive | 11.4% | 13.3% | 22.9% |
| Max Negative | -14.0% | -21.5% | -45.1% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 09/30/2025 | 11/10/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/11/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/08/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 03/25/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/12/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/12/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/14/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 03/27/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/13/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/14/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/15/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/30/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/14/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 08/12/2022 | 424B3 |
| 09/30/2021 | 02/14/2022 | S-4 |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tether, Holdings, Sa De Cv | Tether Investments, S.A. de C.V. | Buy | 11212025 | 5.45 | 353,192 | 1,925,991 | 565,412,989 | Form | |
| 2 | Tether, Holdings, Sa De Cv | Tether Investments, S.A. de C.V. | Buy | 11212025 | 5.38 | 440,000 | 2,369,268 | 560,690,099 | Form | |
| 3 | Tether, Holdings, Sa De Cv | Tether Investments, S.A. de C.V. | Buy | 11212025 | 5.46 | 270,478 | 1,477,107 | 570,122,473 | Form | |
| 4 | Pavlovski, Christopher | Chief Executive Officer | See footnote | Sell | 2112025 | 7.50 | 9,636,434 | Form | ||
| 5 | Pavlovski, Christopher | Chief Executive Officer | Direct | Sell | 2112025 | 7.50 | 354,849 | 2,661,368 | 3,921,952 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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