Tearsheet

Rumble (RUM)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $6.52 | Market Cap: $1.7 Bil
Sector: Communication Services | Industry: Interactive Media & Services

Rumble (RUM)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $6.52
Market Cap: $1.7 Bil
Sector: Communication Services
Industry: Interactive Media & Services

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 21%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -6.6%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -88%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -113 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -109%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital Content & Streaming, and Social Media & Creator Economy. Themes include Video Streaming, Social Media Platforms, Show more.
  Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 18x
2   Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -1.2%
3   Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -51%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -55%
4   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 113%
5   Key risks
RUM key risks include [1] an uncertain path to sustained profitability, Show more.
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 21%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital Content & Streaming, and Social Media & Creator Economy. Themes include Video Streaming, Social Media Platforms, Show more.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -6.6%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -88%
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -113 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -109%
4 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 18x
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -1.2%
6 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -51%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -55%
7 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 113%
8 Key risks
RUM key risks include [1] an uncertain path to sustained profitability, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

RUM Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Declining Monthly Active Users (MAUs) and Flat Revenue

Rumble experienced a decrease in Monthly Active Users (MAUs) to 47 million in the third quarter of 2025, down from 51 million in the previous quarter. This decline was attributed to a slowdown in news and political commentary outside of the U.S. election cycle and seasonal content creator trends. Concurrently, the company reported flat revenue of $24.8 million for Q3 2025, which was slightly below analyst expectations and represented a 1% decrease from the same period last year. 2. Concerns Over Valuation and Path to Profitability

Despite narrowing its net losses to $16.3 million in Q3 2025, concerns persisted regarding Rumble's high market valuation when compared to its relatively flat revenue and the ongoing challenge of achieving consistent profitability. Analysts highlighted that the stock's valuation remains unattractive against peers, particularly given its distance from delivering positive earnings. 3. Continued Cash Burn

Rumble continued to burn through its cash reserves during Q3 2025, although at a slower rate than in previous quarters. While the company maintained a healthy balance sheet with approximately $269.8 million in cash as of September 30, 2025, the ongoing capital expenditure for growth initiatives and operations without achieving profitability raised investor apprehension about long-term financial sustainability. 4. Regulatory and Legal Pressures

The company faced ongoing regulatory and legal challenges. In November 2024, Rumble filed a lawsuit against California laws concerning content moderation and AI-generated "deepfakes," which could create operational uncertainty and potential legal costs. Additionally, a federal judge sided with Google in May 2025 in an antitrust dispute filed by Rumble, which may have removed a potential positive catalyst for the stock. 5. Broader Monetization Challenges

Beyond the specific Q3 2025 figures, general skepticism regarding Rumble's ability to effectively scale its monetization efforts and attract a broader advertiser base continued to weigh on the stock. While average revenue per user (ARPU) increased in Q3 2025, the overall flat revenue and declining user base suggested that monetization strategies might not be fully offsetting other challenges, contributing to a period where the stock was down by 15.49% over ten days leading up to December 17, 2025.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
RUM Return-45%-25%190%-49%
Peers Return66%22%-53%103%28%28%221%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
RUM Win Rate38%50%33%50%17% 
Peers Win Rate63%65%27%73%63%55% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
RUM Max Drawdown-45%-26%-24%-60% 
Peers Max Drawdown-25%-13%-57%-2%-12%-21% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: GOOGL, AMZN, MSFT, META, ROKU.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventRUMS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-73.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven279.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days

Compare to Z, ZIP, CHAI, WSHP, GOOGL


In The Past

Rumble's stock fell -73.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 9/19/2022. A -73.6% loss requires a 279.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Rumble (RUM)

Better Bets than Rumble (RUM)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to RUM. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PINS_11302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11302025PINSPinterestMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.9%-0.9%-1.4%
TMUS_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025TMUST-Mobile USMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-4.3%-4.3%-6.4%
Z_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ZZillowMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-3.4%-3.4%-3.9%
IRDM_11072025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11072025IRDMIridium CommunicationsDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-0.3%-0.3%-5.6%
TTD_10032025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10032025TTDTrade DeskDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-27.9%-27.9%-29.8%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PINS_11302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11302025PINSPinterestMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.9%-0.9%-1.4%
TMUS_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025TMUST-Mobile USMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-4.3%-4.3%-6.4%
Z_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ZZillowMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-3.4%-3.4%-3.9%
IRDM_11072025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11072025IRDMIridium CommunicationsDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-0.3%-0.3%-5.6%
TTD_10032025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10032025TTDTrade DeskDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-27.9%-27.9%-29.8%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Rumble

Peers to compare with:

Financials

RUMGOOGLAMZNMSFTMETAROKUMedian
NameRumble Alphabet Amazon.c.MicrosoftMeta Pla.Roku  
Mkt Price6.44296.72221.27476.12649.50107.69259.00
Mkt Cap1.93,586.22,353.63,539.01,634.815.91,994.2
Rev LTM104385,477670,038293,812189,4574,543241,634
Op Inc LTM-113124,07776,190135,93781,895-11179,042
FCF LTM-5773,55213,48178,01744,84144929,161
FCF 3Y Avg-8968,99821,67771,30245,04423333,360
CFO LTM-53151,424121,137147,039107,574455114,356
CFO 3Y Avg-79120,99096,977121,38485,51328691,245

Growth & Margins

RUMGOOGLAMZNMSFTMETAROKUMedian
NameRumble Alphabet Amazon.c.MicrosoftMeta Pla.Roku  
Rev Chg LTM21.2%13.4%10.9%15.6%21.3%16.6%16.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg95.9%11.0%11.3%13.2%17.3%13.4%13.3%
Rev Chg Q-1.2%15.9%13.3%18.4%26.2%14.0%15.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-0.3%3.8%3.0%4.3%6.0%3.4%3.6%
Op Mgn LTM-108.6%32.2%11.4%46.3%43.2%-2.4%21.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-140.7%29.9%7.9%44.6%37.4%-12.5%18.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM7.8%-0.5%0.3%0.6%-0.8%1.1%0.5%
CFO/Rev LTM-51.4%39.3%18.1%50.0%56.8%10.0%28.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-90.0%35.3%15.8%47.2%54.0%7.1%25.6%
FCF/Rev LTM-55.1%19.1%2.0%26.6%23.7%9.9%14.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-102.5%20.5%3.5%28.0%29.0%5.6%13.1%

Valuation

RUMGOOGLAMZNMSFTMETAROKUMedian
NameRumble Alphabet Amazon.c.MicrosoftMeta Pla.Roku  
Mkt Cap1.93,586.22,353.63,539.01,634.815.91,994.2
P/S18.27.63.513.19.83.28.7
P/EBIT-19.327.429.621.7-673.521.7
P/E-6.623.633.136.731.6-533.827.6
P/CFO-35.319.419.326.217.232.419.3
Total Yield-15.2%4.6%3.0%3.4%3.5%-0.2%3.2%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.3%0.0%0.6%0.3%0.0%0.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-3.3%1.1%2.3%3.6%1.8%2.3%
D/E-0.00.10.00.00.00.0
Net D/E--0.00.0-0.00.0-0.1-0.0

Returns

RUMGOOGLAMZNMSFTMETAROKUMedian
NameRumble Alphabet Amazon.c.MicrosoftMeta Pla.Roku  
1M Rtn22.7%4.2%-5.0%-6.2%8.0%11.1%6.1%
3M Rtn-14.4%19.0%-4.5%-6.5%-16.1%9.5%-5.5%
6M Rtn-27.2%71.5%4.1%-0.5%-6.5%32.2%1.8%
12M Rtn-20.4%52.4%-4.3%5.5%5.2%29.1%5.4%
3Y Rtn-17.2%231.2%151.8%99.2%447.6%134.9%143.4%
1M Excs Rtn21.9%3.4%-5.7%-6.9%7.2%10.4%5.3%
3M Excs Rtn-18.3%16.5%-5.7%-7.5%-18.0%7.3%-6.6%
6M Excs Rtn-39.6%59.1%-8.3%-12.9%-18.9%19.9%-10.6%
12M Excs Rtn-33.5%45.9%-13.8%-3.8%-6.0%18.7%-4.9%
3Y Excs Rtn-87.6%152.0%75.9%24.6%401.7%40.5%58.2%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil202420232022
Single Segment81  
Audience Monetization 317
Other Initiatives 83
Total81399


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil202420232022
Single Segment-136  
Total-136  


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil202420232022
Single Segment-116  
Total-116  


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity24,500,660
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-4.0%
Average Daily Volume4,162,936
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.89
Basic Shares Quantity260,529,688
Short % of Basic Shares9.4%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/10/202511.4%-4.2%22.9%
8/11/20253.0%0.3%-4.7%
3/25/20250.2%-11.7%-1.0%
11/12/2024-10.0%-16.8%19.6%
8/12/20245.4%11.5%-9.7%
3/27/2024-4.9%-21.5%-23.2%
11/13/20235.3%13.3%5.1%
8/14/2023-14.0%-15.4%-14.9%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive633
# Negative477
Median Positive5.4%11.5%19.6%
Median Negative-9.6%-11.7%-11.1%
Max Positive11.4%13.3%22.9%
Max Negative-14.0%-21.5%-45.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251110202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025811202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024325202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241112202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024812202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024514202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023327202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231113202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023814202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023515202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022330202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221114202210-Q 9/30/2022
123120218122022424B3 12/31/2021
123120202142022S-4 12/31/2020