Tearsheet

CVR Energy (CVI)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $29.445 | Market Cap: $3.0 Bil
Sector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing

CVR Energy (CVI)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $29.445
Market Cap: $3.0 Bil
Sector: Energy
Industry: Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 47%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -41%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -51%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 15x
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Energy Transition & Decarbonization, and Advanced Materials. Themes include Renewable Fuel Production, and Specialty Chemicals for Performance.
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -7.2%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -11%
2   Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.0%
3   Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 90%
4   Key risks
CVI key risks include [1] significant financial pressures from costly Renewable Fuel Standard (RFS) obligations and [2] reduced throughput and negative margins resulting from unplanned refinery downtime.
0 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 47%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Energy Transition & Decarbonization, and Advanced Materials. Themes include Renewable Fuel Production, and Specialty Chemicals for Performance.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -41%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -51%
3 Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 15x
4 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -7.2%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -11%
5 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.0%
6 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 90%
7 Key risks
CVI key risks include [1] significant financial pressures from costly Renewable Fuel Standard (RFS) obligations and [2] reduced throughput and negative margins resulting from unplanned refinery downtime.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

CVI Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points explaining the approximate -3.4% stock movement for CVR Energy (CVI) from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025: 1. Negative Analyst Sentiment and Downgrades

During the specified period, CVR Energy faced considerable negative sentiment from financial analysts. Mizuho downgraded CVI from "Hold" to "Sell" on September 15, 2025, and Goldman Sachs maintained a "Strong Sell" rating on October 22, 2025, with a price target of $25.00, suggesting a significant downside. Scotiabank also maintained a "Sell" rating, contributing to a consensus "Strong Sell" among analysts.

2. Underperformance of the Renewables Segment

Despite strong overall third-quarter 2025 earnings driven by the Petroleum and Nitrogen Fertilizer segments, the Renewables segment reported a net loss of $51 million and an EBITDA loss of $15 million. This represented a decline compared to the Renewables segment's performance in the prior year, potentially offsetting some of the positive investor sentiment from other segments.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
CVI Return-61%41%141%11%-35%59%52%
Peers Return-44%44%98%18%-18%27%95%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
CVI Win Rate25%67%58%50%33%50% 
Peers Win Rate33%58%75%53%38%67% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
CVI Max Drawdown-74%-4%0%-25%-45%-14% 
Peers Max Drawdown-70%-3%-2%-17%-22%-23% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: VLO, MPC, PSX, DINO, PBF. See CVI Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventCVIS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-56.0%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven127.2%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven228 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-75.3%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven305.1%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven587 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-34.0%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven51.5%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven143 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-92.4%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1213.3%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,212 days1,480 days

Compare to PBF, NESR, RES, WTTR, NOA


In The Past

CVR Energy's stock fell -56.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/11/2021. A -56.0% loss requires a 127.2% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About CVR Energy (CVI)

Better Bets than CVR Energy (CVI)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to CVI. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WHD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025WHDCactusDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
6.8%6.8%0.0%
OVV_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025OVVOvintivDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.4%4.4%0.0%
COP_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025COPConocoPhillipsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.5%4.5%-2.3%
HAL_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025HALHalliburtonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
24.5%24.5%-0.7%
OXY_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025OXYOccidental PetroleumDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.1%-7.1%-7.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WHD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025WHDCactusDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
6.8%6.8%0.0%
OVV_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025OVVOvintivDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.4%4.4%0.0%
COP_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025COPConocoPhillipsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.5%4.5%-2.3%
HAL_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025HALHalliburtonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
24.5%24.5%-0.7%
OXY_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025OXYOccidental PetroleumDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.1%-7.1%-7.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for CVR Energy

Peers to compare with:

Financials

CVIVLOMPCPSXDINOPBFMedian
NameCVR Ener.Valero E.Marathon.Phillips.HF Sincl.PBF Ener. 
Mkt Price29.45162.91174.50131.9947.4426.6189.72
Mkt Cap3.050.352.953.48.83.029.6
Rev LTM7,298123,071133,262131,95326,90530,27576,673
Op Inc LTM3023,0854,7341,718711-1,3721,214
FCF LTM-1463,9604,2761,351676-1,3331,014
FCF 3Y Avg2406,9898,2984,0691,4505632,760
CFO LTM2424,8397,3913,4081,167-8682,288
CFO 3Y Avg5327,92610,7836,0601,8761,1383,968

Growth & Margins

CVIVLOMPCPSXDINOPBFMedian
NameCVR Ener.Valero E.Marathon.Phillips.HF Sincl.PBF Ener. 
Rev Chg LTM-7.2%-8.5%-6.1%-10.7%-9.5%-18.7%-9.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-10.7%-10.3%-8.3%-6.6%-8.2%-7.1%-8.3%
Rev Chg Q6.1%-2.2%-0.8%-2.9%0.6%-14.4%-1.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.5%-0.6%-0.2%-0.8%0.2%-4.0%-0.4%
Op Mgn LTM4.1%2.5%3.6%1.3%2.6%-4.5%2.6%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg6.3%5.3%6.0%3.1%4.5%2.1%4.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM8.7%0.8%0.4%0.7%2.5%-0.4%0.8%
CFO/Rev LTM3.3%3.9%5.5%2.6%4.3%-2.9%3.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg6.0%5.7%7.4%4.2%6.1%2.6%5.8%
FCF/Rev LTM-2.0%3.2%3.2%1.0%2.5%-4.4%1.8%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg2.3%5.0%5.7%2.8%4.6%1.0%3.7%

Valuation

CVIVLOMPCPSXDINOPBFMedian
NameCVR Ener.Valero E.Marathon.Phillips.HF Sincl.PBF Ener. 
Mkt Cap3.050.352.953.48.83.029.6
P/S0.50.40.40.40.40.10.4
P/EBIT11.022.38.518.613.3-2.912.2
P/E22.135.220.336.624.8-3.523.5
P/CFO15.110.97.916.18.4-4.09.6
Total Yield4.5%5.5%6.9%6.2%7.9%-25.0%5.9%
Dividend Yield0.0%2.7%1.9%3.5%3.9%3.6%3.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg7.3%14.6%14.3%7.5%14.7%5.8%10.9%
D/E0.50.20.60.40.30.90.5
Net D/E0.30.10.50.40.20.80.3

Returns

CVIVLOMPCPSXDINOPBFMedian
NameCVR Ener.Valero E.Marathon.Phillips.HF Sincl.PBF Ener. 
1M Rtn-18.8%-8.7%-11.0%-3.4%-13.7%-29.8%-12.3%
3M Rtn-11.0%0.2%-5.0%-0.0%-9.1%-12.1%-7.0%
6M Rtn7.4%18.5%5.3%7.7%16.7%17.1%12.2%
12M Rtn59.2%34.6%29.3%18.2%39.4%-0.4%31.9%
3Y Rtn20.5%49.7%69.7%46.2%6.0%-20.4%33.3%
1M Excs Rtn-19.6%-9.4%-11.7%-4.1%-14.4%-30.5%-13.1%
3M Excs Rtn-14.4%-1.3%-6.6%-0.0%-11.2%-13.9%-8.9%
6M Excs Rtn-4.9%6.2%-7.0%-4.7%4.4%4.7%-0.2%
12M Excs Rtn44.7%19.0%11.5%0.5%22.0%-16.0%15.3%
3Y Excs Rtn-50.7%-20.4%-0.9%-24.3%-62.6%-87.0%-37.5%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Petroleum Segment2,9784,3543,3682,9913,187
Nitrogen Fertilizer Segment9751,1001,1271,0331,138
Other / Eliminations754-1,335-589-46 
Other, including inter-segment eliminations    -420
Total4,7074,1193,9063,9783,905


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity5,670,357
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520255.2%
Average Daily Volume678,292
Days-to-Cover Short Interest8.36
Basic Shares Quantity100,500,000
Short % of Basic Shares5.6%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/29/2025-5.3%-7.6%-10.5%
7/30/2025-5.3%-5.5%4.9%
2/18/20257.4%11.1%18.1%
10/28/2024-24.2%-31.0%-19.6%
7/29/20246.7%-7.8%-7.7%
2/20/2024-3.0%-2.6%8.3%
10/30/20234.2%3.7%7.8%
7/31/2023-1.7%0.6%-8.1%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive7511
# Negative13159
Median Positive5.0%3.8%8.3%
Median Negative-3.0%-7.1%-14.0%
Max Positive9.7%21.9%36.0%
Max Negative-24.2%-31.0%-40.4%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251030202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025731202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025429202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024219202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241029202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024730202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024430202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023221202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231031202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023801202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023502202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022222202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221101202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022802202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022503202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021223202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

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 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0ICAHN CARL C 5012025Buy18.217,907143,9861,282,320,357Form
1ICAHN CARL C 4282025Buy18.2030,183549,3311,280,723,699Form
2ICAHN CARL C 4232025Buy18.2129,972545,7901,279,077,247Form
3ICAHN CARL C 4182025Buy18.0370,3311,268,0681,265,630,508Form
4ICAHN CARL C 4152025Buy17.31192,6763,335,2221,211,099,395Form