CVR Energy (CVI)
Market Price (11/16/2025): $36.985 | Market Cap: $3.7 BilSector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
CVR Energy (CVI)
Market Price (11/16/2025): $36.985Market Cap: $3.7 BilSector: EnergyIndustry: Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 47% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -23%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -51% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 15x |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Energy Transition & Decarbonization, and Advanced Materials. Themes include Renewable Fuel Production, and Specialty Chemicals for Performance. | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -7.2%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -11% | |
| Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.0% | ||
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 90% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 47% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Energy Transition & Decarbonization, and Advanced Materials. Themes include Renewable Fuel Production, and Specialty Chemicals for Performance. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -23%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -51% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 15x |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -7.2%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -11% |
| Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.0% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 90% |
Market Valuation & Key Metrics
CVI Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
I cannot provide an analysis of CVR Energy's (CVI) stock movement for the period of 7/31/2025 to November 15, 2025, as this time frame is in the future. Therefore, no historical data or news events are available to explain a hypothetical 38.6% stock movement.
Show moreStock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| CVI Return | -61% | 41% | 141% | 11% | -35% | 98% | 89% |
| Peers Return | -36% | 46% | 65% | -5% | 54% | 9% | 143% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| CVI Win Rate | 25% | 67% | 58% | 50% | 33% | 60% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 38% | 55% | 55% | 42% | 43% | 46% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| CVI Max Drawdown | -74% | -4% | 0% | -25% | -45% | -14% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -69% | -5% | -16% | -30% | -18% | -40% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: PBF, WTTR, NESR, RES, NOA. See CVI Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/14/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | CVI | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -56.0% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 127.2% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 228 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -75.3% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 305.1% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 587 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -34.0% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 51.5% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 143 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -92.4% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 1213.3% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1212 days | 1480 days |
Compare to PBF, WTTR, NESR, RES, NOA
In The Past
CVR Energy's stock fell -56.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/11/2021. A -56.0% loss requires a 127.2% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| CVR Energy Earnings Notes | |||
| Is CVR Energy Stock Built to Withstand a Pullback? | Return | ||
| null | |||
| CVR Energy (CVI) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | ||
| CVR Energy (CVI) Net Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| CVR Energy (CVI) Operating Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| CVR Energy (CVI) EBITDA Comparison | Financials | ||
| CVR Energy (CVI) Tax Expense Comparison | Financials | ||
| CVR Energy (CVI) Revenue Comparison | Financials | ||
| CVR Energy (CVI) Debt Comparison | Financials | ||
| ARTICLES | |||
| CVI Stock Down -14% after 8-Day Loss Streak | July 23rd, 2025 | ||
| CVI Stock Down -13% after 7-Day Loss Streak | July 22nd, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to CVI. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10172025 | OVV | Ovintiv | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 8.8% | 8.8% | 0.0% |
| 10102025 | COP | ConocoPhillips | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.3% | 4.3% | -2.3% |
| 10102025 | HAL | Halliburton | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 24.3% | 24.3% | -0.7% |
| 10102025 | OXY | Occidental Petroleum | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 1.4% | 1.4% | -5.7% |
| 10102025 | SLB | SLB | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 16.5% | 16.5% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10172025 | OVV | Ovintiv | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 8.8% | 8.8% | 0.0% |
| 10102025 | COP | ConocoPhillips | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.3% | 4.3% | -2.3% |
| 10102025 | HAL | Halliburton | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 24.3% | 24.3% | -0.7% |
| 10102025 | OXY | Occidental Petroleum | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 1.4% | 1.4% | -5.7% |
| 10102025 | SLB | SLB | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 16.5% | 16.5% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for CVR Energy
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 13.82 |
| Mkt Cap | 1.2 |
| Rev LTM | 1,473 |
| Op Inc LTM | 95 |
| FCF LTM | -54 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 159 |
| CFO LTM | 235 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 348 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -0.2% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 4.7% |
| Rev Chg Q | 3.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.9% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 4.1% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 5.6% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.5% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 15.3% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 15.7% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -2.9% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 2.3% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 1.2 |
| P/S | 0.6 |
| P/EBIT | 10.9 |
| P/E | 20.3 |
| P/CFO | 4.8 |
| Total Yield | 5.4% |
| Dividend Yield | 2.2% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 5.9% |
| D/E | 0.4 |
| Net D/E | 0.3 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 18.6% |
| 3M Rtn | 32.0% |
| 6M Rtn | 36.7% |
| 12M Rtn | 14.9% |
| 3Y Rtn | 12.1% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 17.0% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 25.6% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 23.7% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 2.2% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -60.3% |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/29/2025 | -5.3% | -7.6% | |
| 7/30/2025 | -5.3% | -5.5% | 4.9% |
| 2/18/2025 | 7.4% | 11.1% | 18.1% |
| 10/28/2024 | -24.2% | -31.0% | -19.6% |
| 7/29/2024 | 6.7% | -7.8% | -7.7% |
| 2/20/2024 | -3.0% | -2.6% | 8.3% |
| 10/30/2023 | 4.2% | 3.7% | 7.8% |
| 7/31/2023 | -1.7% | 0.6% | -8.1% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 7 | 5 | 11 |
| # Negative | 13 | 15 | 9 |
| Median Positive | 5.0% | 3.8% | 8.3% |
| Median Negative | -3.0% | -7.1% | -15.9% |
| Max Positive | 9.7% | 21.9% | 36.0% |
| Max Negative | -24.2% | -31.0% | -40.4% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10302025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7312025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 4292025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2192025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10292024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7302024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 4302024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2212024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10312023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8012023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5022023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2222023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11012022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8022022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5032022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2232022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| Owner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | TransactedValue | Value ofHeld Shares | Form | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | ICAHN CARL C | 5012025 | Buy | 18.21 | 7,907 | 143,986 | 1,282,320,357 | Form | |
| 1 | ICAHN CARL C | 4282025 | Buy | 18.20 | 30,183 | 549,331 | 1,280,723,699 | Form | |
| 2 | ICAHN CARL C | 4232025 | Buy | 18.21 | 29,972 | 545,790 | 1,279,077,247 | Form | |
| 3 | ICAHN CARL C | 4182025 | Buy | 18.03 | 70,331 | 1,268,068 | 1,265,630,508 | Form | |
| 4 | ICAHN CARL C | 4152025 | Buy | 17.31 | 192,676 | 3,335,222 | 1,211,099,395 | Form |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |