Chime Financial (CHYM)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $24.69 | Market Cap: $9.2 BilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Application Software
Chime Financial (CHYM)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $24.69Market Cap: $9.2 BilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Application Software
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -10% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -1.0 Bil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -49% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Digital Payments, and Online Banking & Lending. | Expensive valuation multiplesP/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 239x |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -15% | |
| Key risksCHYM key risks include [1] a substantial reliance on regulated interchange fees as its primary revenue stream, Show more. |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -10% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Digital Payments, and Online Banking & Lending. |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -1.0 Bil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -49% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 239x |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -15% |
| Key risksCHYM key risks include [1] a substantial reliance on regulated interchange fees as its primary revenue stream, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
CHYM Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Chime Financial (CHYM) experienced a stock price decline of approximately 11.49% from August 31, 2025, to December 17, 2025. On August 31, 2025, the stock was estimated to be around $27.93 per share, and by December 17, 2025, it closed at $24.72.
Here are five key points contributing to the stock's movement during this period:
1. Negative Analyst Sentiment and Price Target Reductions: Several financial institutions adjusted their outlook on CHYM, contributing to downward pressure. UBS Group, for instance, lowered its price target from $37.00 to $24.00 and set a "neutral" rating on November 6, 2025. Jefferies Financial Group initiated coverage with a "hold" rating and a $17.00 price objective on November 3, 2025. While some analysts, like Goldman Sachs, upgraded Chime to a "buy" rating with a $27.00 price target on December 1, 2025, and B.Riley initiated coverage with a "Buy" rating and a $35 price target, these positive revisions were offset by the more cautious stances from others.
2. Deceleration of Growth and Competitive Landscape Concerns: Analysts noted that Chime faces strong competition, and its growth rates, particularly in purchase volume, showed signs of deceleration through the first three quarters of 2025. Comparisons with competitors also suggested that Chime's stock was more richly valued, and its business model relied heavily on consumer spending, which could be a vulnerability.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| CHYM Return | � | � | � | � | � | � | � |
| Peers Return | � | � | -54% | 50% | 66% | 66% | � |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| CHYM Win Rate | � | � | � | � | � | 33% | |
| Peers Win Rate | � | 47% | 37% | 55% | 58% | 63% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| CHYM Max Drawdown | � | � | � | � | � | � | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | � | � | -57% | -10% | -15% | -22% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: SOFI, PYPL, ALLY, COF, HOOD.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
CHYM has limited trading history. Below is the Information Technology sector ETF (XLK) in its place.
| Event | XLK | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -34.0% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 51.6% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 278 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -31.5% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 46.0% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 79 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -24.1% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 31.8% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 105 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -53.6% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 115.3% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1183 days | 1480 days |
Compare to
In The Past
SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -34.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/27/2021. A -34.0% loss requires a 51.6% gain to breakeven.
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| Chime Financial Earnings Notes | |||
| Would You Still Hold Chime Financial Stock If It Fell 30%? | Return | ||
| ARTICLES | |||
| What’s Happening With Chime Stock? | July 2nd, 2025 | ||
| Why Chime Stock Is Back To Its IPO Price | June 25th, 2025 | ||
| Strong Growth, Improving Earnings Make Chime Stock A Buy? | June 18th, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to CHYM. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.4% | 10.4% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.7% | 10.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 12.2% | 12.2% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.2% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 13.6% | 13.6% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.4% | 10.4% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.7% | 10.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 12.2% | 12.2% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.2% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 13.6% | 13.6% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Chime Financial
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 52.41 |
| Mkt Cap | 43.4 |
| Rev LTM | 6,426 |
| Op Inc LTM | 2,004 |
| FCF LTM | 570 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 1,219 |
| CFO LTM | 2,608 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 4,449 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 25.4% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 13.4% |
| Rev Chg Q | 33.7% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 7.5% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 19.2% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 13.9% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 1.3% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 23.8% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 47.4% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 9.0% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 16.8% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 43.4 |
| P/S | 3.6 |
| P/EBIT | 9.8 |
| P/E | 33.8 |
| P/CFO | 8.0 |
| Total Yield | 2.0% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 7.5% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | -0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 9.1% |
| 3M Rtn | -0.0% |
| 6M Rtn | 22.7% |
| 12M Rtn | 33.9% |
| 3Y Rtn | 180.0% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 8.4% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -3.0% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 10.3% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 20.4% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 90.3% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11102025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8112025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 12312024 | 6122025 | 424B4 12/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 1292025 | DRS/A 12/31/2023 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |