Tearsheet

Citi Trends (CTRN)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $42.83 | Market Cap: $344.8 Mil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Apparel Retail

Citi Trends (CTRN)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $42.83
Market Cap: $344.8 Mil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Apparel Retail

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Affordable Retail & Value Consumption. Themes include Discount Fashion Retail.
Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -27%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -12 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -1.5%
1   Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.8%
2   Key risks
CTRN key risks include [1] the heightened economic sensitivity of its core low-income customer base, Show more.
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Affordable Retail & Value Consumption. Themes include Discount Fashion Retail.
1 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -27%
2 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -12 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -1.5%
3 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.8%
4 Key risks
CTRN key risks include [1] the heightened economic sensitivity of its core low-income customer base, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

CTRN Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

null

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
CTRN Return116%91%-72%7%-7%63%86%
Peers Return-6%32%-23%-3%-1%-1%-10%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
CTRN Win Rate75%75%33%58%50%50% 
Peers Win Rate52%55%38%53%50%58% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
CTRN Max Drawdown-69%-5%-84%-45%-51%-30% 
Peers Max Drawdown-55%-8%-47%-29%-30%-31% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ROST, TJX, BURL, CATO, PLCE. See CTRN Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventCTRNS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-86.5%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven641.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-70.9%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven243.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven164 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-59.2%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven145.2%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven546 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-83.8%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven517.8%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven4,414 days1,480 days

Compare to TJX, ROST, ANF, BURL, GAP


In The Past

Citi Trends's stock fell -86.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/23/2021. A -86.5% loss requires a 641.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Citi Trends (CTRN)

Better Bets than Citi Trends (CTRN)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to CTRN. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
12.8%12.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.4%5.4%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.5%15.5%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.3%15.3%-1.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
12.8%12.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.4%5.4%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.5%15.5%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.3%15.3%-1.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Citi Trends

Peers to compare with:

Financials

CTRNROSTTJXBURLCATOPLCEMedian
NameCiti Tre.Ross Sto.TJX Comp.Burlingt.Cato Children. 
Mkt Price42.91182.74155.66268.183.164.6499.28
Mkt Cap0.249.0160.716.90.10.18.6
Rev LTM80122,02758,97911,1976601,2886,242
Op Inc LTM-122,6246,671786-16-10388
FCF LTM121,9634,418-384-74026
FCF 3Y Avg-91,8854,47676-17-5234
CFO LTM302,7886,421837-354446
CFO 3Y Avg62,6646,305871-7-28438

Growth & Margins

CTRNROSTTJXBURLCATOPLCEMedian
NameCiti Tre.Ross Sto.TJX Comp.Burlingt.Cato Children. 
Rev Chg LTM5.8%3.7%4.5%6.8%-1.0%-10.1%4.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-0.8%6.0%6.2%9.4%-4.4%-9.9%2.6%
Rev Chg Q10.1%10.4%7.5%7.1%6.3%-13.0%7.3%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.3%2.5%1.8%1.6%1.4%-3.8%1.7%
Op Mgn LTM-1.5%11.9%11.3%7.0%-2.4%-0.7%3.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-2.7%11.7%10.9%6.3%-2.5%-2.5%1.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.2%-0.1%0.1%0.1%1.4%-1.9%0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM3.7%12.7%10.9%7.5%-0.5%4.2%5.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg0.7%12.8%11.3%8.5%-1.1%-1.7%4.6%
FCF/Rev LTM1.5%8.9%7.5%-3.4%-1.1%3.1%2.3%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-1.2%9.0%8.0%1.0%-2.5%-3.3%-0.1%

Valuation

CTRNROSTTJXBURLCATOPLCEMedian
NameCiti Tre.Ross Sto.TJX Comp.Burlingt.Cato Children. 
Mkt Cap0.249.0160.716.90.10.18.6
P/S0.32.22.71.50.10.10.9
P/EBIT---20.7-15.6-10.8-10.8
P/E-15.223.531.430.1-6.5-2.010.7
P/CFO8.317.625.020.2-18.41.912.9
Total Yield-6.6%5.3%4.3%3.3%-15.3%-50.3%-1.6%
Dividend Yield0.0%1.1%1.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg---1.2%-16.8%-18.2%-16.8%
D/E---0.42.75.62.7
Net D/E---0.31.45.51.4

Returns

CTRNROSTTJXBURLCATOPLCEMedian
NameCiti Tre.Ross Sto.TJX Comp.Burlingt.Cato Children. 
1M Rtn11.8%14.9%7.2%-2.2%-5.7%-39.6%2.5%
3M Rtn30.1%24.9%11.5%2.0%-31.9%-38.6%6.7%
6M Rtn46.8%43.4%27.8%18.0%10.1%24.1%25.9%
12M Rtn64.1%22.5%28.1%-7.9%-17.1%-58.8%7.3%
3Y Rtn55.8%65.7%109.0%44.3%-54.8%-87.0%50.1%
1M Excs Rtn11.1%14.2%6.5%-3.0%-6.4%-40.3%1.8%
3M Excs Rtn25.0%24.0%10.2%-0.1%-31.1%-34.5%5.1%
6M Excs Rtn34.4%31.0%15.4%5.6%-2.3%11.7%13.5%
12M Excs Rtn62.1%9.3%15.1%-18.6%-16.7%-68.2%-3.7%
3Y Excs Rtn-26.9%-6.2%37.6%-31.3%-126.7%-155.5%-29.1%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Womens202207258204203
Kids172183218180180
Accessories & Beauty127143178125133
Mens127135178141125
Home & Lifestyle6764897055
Footwear5264696386
Total748795992783782


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity405,503
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520252.4%
Average Daily Volume81,660
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.97
Basic Shares Quantity8,050,000
Short % of Basic Shares5.0%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
12/2/2025-1.4%4.1% 
8/26/2025-0.2%2.9%-7.8%
6/3/202521.7%25.7%22.7%
3/18/20252.9%3.7%-9.1%
11/19/20249.0%19.8%49.5%
8/27/2024-7.2%-15.8%11.9%
5/31/20241.2%-4.7%-18.6%
3/19/2024-6.3%-12.5%-27.1%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive151410
# Negative8913
Median Positive6.3%9.5%17.7%
Median Negative-7.2%-12.5%-8.4%
Max Positive29.3%29.9%49.5%
Max Negative-18.8%-33.0%-41.4%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
103120251210202510-Q 11/1/2025
7312025910202510-Q 8/2/2025
4302025611202510-Q 5/3/2025
1312025416202510-K 2/1/2025
103120241211202410-Q 11/2/2024
7312024911202410-Q 8/3/2024
4302024612202410-Q 5/4/2024
1312024418202410-K 2/3/2024
103120231206202310-Q 10/28/2023
7312023906202310-Q 7/29/2023
4302023607202310-Q 4/29/2023
1312023413202310-K 1/28/2023
103120221208202210-Q 10/29/2022
7312022908202210-Q 7/30/2022
4302022609202210-Q 4/30/2022
1312022414202210-K 1/29/2022