Citi Trends (CTRN)


Market Price (10/9/2026): $50.6 | Market Cap: $414.1 MilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Apparel Retail

Citi Trends (CTRN)


Market Price (10/9/2026): $50.6
Market Cap: $414.1 Mil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Apparel Retail

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Affordable Retail & Value Consumption. Themes include Discount Fashion Retail.

Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 11%

Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 53x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 57x

Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.5%

Key risks
CTRN key risks include [1] the heightened economic sensitivity of its core low-income customer base, Show more.

0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Affordable Retail & Value Consumption. Themes include Discount Fashion Retail.
2 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 11%
3 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 53x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 57x
4 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.5%
5 Key risks
CTRN key risks include [1] the heightened economic sensitivity of its core low-income customer base, Show more.

CTRN in ETFs

Weight = CTRN's share of each fund

VTI0.00%
IWM0.01%
IWN0.28%
IWO0.02%
AVUV0.02%
VTWO0.01%
DFAS0.01%
DFAC0.00%

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 10/1/2026

Citi Trends (CTRN) stock has lost about 10% since 6/30/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Dilution concerns arose from the filing of a $100 million shelf registration, overshadowing strong fiscal Q2 2026 results. Despite reporting robust fiscal Q2 2026 earnings on August 25, 2026, with total sales increasing 10.9% to $211.6 million and comparable store sales growing 10.5% for the eighth consecutive quarter, Citi Trends' stock gapped down 12% and closed 8.5% lower on the news. The primary catalyst for this negative market reaction was the simultaneous filing of a $100 million shelf registration, which immediately sparked fears of potential stock dilution among investors.

2. Elevated valuation levels prompted analyst caution despite raised fiscal year 2026 guidance. Even as Citi Trends raised its fiscal year 2026 outlook on August 25, 2026, projecting comparable store sales growth of 9% to 11% (up from 8% to 10%) and adjusted EBITDA between $38 million and $42 million (up from $35 million to $40 million), some analysts maintained a "Hold" rating. This was largely attributed to the stock's valuation, which had surged to approximately 33 times guided earnings, indicating that future growth was perceived as a necessity rather than offering significant upside.

Show more
Updated on 10/1/2026

Citi Trends (CTRN) stock has lost about 10% since 6/30/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Dilution concerns arose from the filing of a $100 million shelf registration, overshadowing strong fiscal Q2 2026 results. Despite reporting robust fiscal Q2 2026 earnings on August 25, 2026, with total sales increasing 10.9% to $211.6 million and comparable store sales growing 10.5% for the eighth consecutive quarter, Citi Trends' stock gapped down 12% and closed 8.5% lower on the news. The primary catalyst for this negative market reaction was the simultaneous filing of a $100 million shelf registration, which immediately sparked fears of potential stock dilution among investors.

2. Elevated valuation levels prompted analyst caution despite raised fiscal year 2026 guidance. Even as Citi Trends raised its fiscal year 2026 outlook on August 25, 2026, projecting comparable store sales growth of 9% to 11% (up from 8% to 10%) and adjusted EBITDA between $38 million and $42 million (up from $35 million to $40 million), some analysts maintained a "Hold" rating. This was largely attributed to the stock's valuation, which had surged to approximately 33 times guided earnings, indicating that future growth was perceived as a necessity rather than offering significant upside.

3. Investor uncertainty followed the announcement of a key finance leadership departure. On September 11, 2026, Citi Trends announced that Heather Plutino, Executive Vice President and Chief Accounting Officer, would be stepping down for personal reasons. This change in senior finance leadership, a company-specific event, likely introduced a degree of uncertainty for investors in the period following the announcement.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -12.2% change in CTRN stock from 6/30/2026 to 10/8/2026 was primarily driven by a -40.7% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)630202610082026Change
Stock Price ($)57.8450.81-12.2%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)8498702.5%
Net Income Margin (%)1.4%0.8%-40.7%
P/E Multiple38.956.645.7%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)88-0.7%
Cumulative Contribution-12.2%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/30/2026 to 10/8/2026
ReturnCorrelation
CTRN-12.2% 
Market (SPY)3.6%22.3%
Sector (XLY)-4.7%28.2%

Fundamental Drivers

The 17.3% change in CTRN stock from 3/31/2026 to 10/8/2026 was primarily driven by a 9.7% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)331202610082026Change
Stock Price ($)43.3250.8117.3%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)8018708.6%
P/S Multiple0.40.59.7%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)88-1.6%
Cumulative Contribution17.3%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

3/31/2026 to 10/8/2026
ReturnCorrelation
CTRN17.3% 
Market (SPY)19.3%27.6%
Sector (XLY)2.7%36.4%

Fundamental Drivers

The 63.7% change in CTRN stock from 9/30/2025 to 10/8/2026 was primarily driven by a 50.1% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)930202510082026Change
Stock Price ($)31.0350.8163.7%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)78387011.1%
P/S Multiple0.30.550.1%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)88-1.8%
Cumulative Contribution63.7%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

9/30/2025 to 10/8/2026
ReturnCorrelation
CTRN63.7% 
Market (SPY)17.1%30.8%
Sector (XLY)-6.2%36.1%

Fundamental Drivers

The 128.7% change in CTRN stock from 9/30/2023 to 10/8/2026 was primarily driven by a 506.2% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)930202310082026Change
Stock Price ($)22.2250.81128.7%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)75587015.2%
Net Income Margin (%)2.6%0.8%-67.4%
P/E Multiple9.356.6506.2%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)880.5%
Cumulative Contribution128.7%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

9/30/2023 to 10/8/2026
ReturnCorrelation
CTRN128.7% 
Market (SPY)87.3%37.7%
Sector (XLY)42.0%39.3%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
CTRN Return91%-72%7%-7%58%21%1%
Peers Return32%-23%-3%-1%-6%-13%-21%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
CTRN Win Rate75%33%58%50%50%60% 
Peers Win Rate55%38%53%50%58%46% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%50% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
CTRN Max Drawdown-38%-84%-58%-57%-37%-37% 
Peers Max Drawdown-24%-48%-36%-37%-33%-36% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: ROST, TJX, BURL, CATO, PLCE. See CTRN Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 10/8/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventCTRNS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-34.3%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven52.1%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven37 days79 days
2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind
  % Loss-16.8%-7.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven20.2%8.5%
  Time to Breakeven52 days18 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-51.2%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven104.7%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven274 days31 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-68.9%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven221.6%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven158 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-32.7%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven48.6%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven651 days105 days
2016-2017 Trump Reflation Bond Selloff
  % Loss-18.8%-3.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven23.2%3.9%
  Time to Breakeven121 days6 days

Compare to ROST, TJX, BURL, CATO, PLCE

In The Past

Citi Trends's stock fell -34.3% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 52.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventCTRNS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-34.3%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven52.1%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven37 days79 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-51.2%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven104.7%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven274 days31 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-68.9%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven221.6%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven158 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-32.7%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven48.6%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven651 days105 days
2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare
  % Loss-28.0%-12.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven39.0%13.9%
  Time to Breakeven535 days62 days
2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse
  % Loss-30.0%-6.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven42.8%7.3%
  Time to Breakeven651 days15 days
2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion
  % Loss-27.8%-17.9%
  % Gain to Breakeven38.4%21.8%
  Time to Breakeven250 days123 days
2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis
  % Loss-55.0%-53.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven122.3%114.4%
  Time to Breakeven125 days1085 days
Summer 2007 Credit Crunch
  % Loss-45.5%-8.6%
  % Gain to Breakeven83.4%9.5%
  Time to Breakeven4843 days47 days

Compare to ROST, TJX, BURL, CATO, PLCE

In The Past

Citi Trends's stock fell -34.3% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 52.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Citi Trends (CTRN)

Citi Trends, Inc. is a value retailer specializing in fashion apparel, accessories, and home goods. The company operates a chain of discount stores across the United States, providing affordable, trend-right products primarily to budget-conscious consumers.

Its extensive product catalog includes a wide range of apparel for men, women, and children, encompassing fashion sportswear, footwear, sleepwear, lingerie, and uniforms. Beyond clothing, Citi Trends also offers various accessories such as handbags, jewelry, hats, and watches, alongside beauty products. The company further diversifies its offerings with home and lifestyle items, including products for the bedroom, bathroom, kitchen, decorative accessories, and other general merchandise like food, tech, and seasonal goods.

Citi Trends strategically targets African American and Latinx families in the United States. As of early 2022, the company operated 609 stores situated in both urban and rural markets across 33 states, emphasizing accessibility and relevance to its core customer demographic.

AI Analysis | Feedback

A discount retailer for fashion apparel, accessories, and home goods, much like a neighborhood Ross Stores or Burlington.

An off-price fashion and home store, akin to a more community-focused TJ Maxx or Marshalls.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Citi Trends' major products are:

  • Apparel: The company offers a wide range of fashion sportswear, footwear, sleepwear, lingerie, scrubs, and uniforms for men, ladies, and children.
  • Accessories & Beauty Products: This category includes items such as handbags, luggage, hats, belts, sunglasses, jewelry, watches, undergarments, and various beauty products.
  • Home & Lifestyle Products: Citi Trends provides a selection of home goods for various rooms, decorative accessories, along with food, tech, team sports, health products, seasonal items, books, and toys.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Citi Trends (CTRN) sells primarily to individuals.

The company serves the following categories of customers:

  • African American Families: Citi Trends explicitly targets and provides products to African American families across the United States.
  • Latinx Families: Another key demographic for Citi Trends, the company primarily serves Latinx families in its urban and rural markets.
  • Value-Conscious Shoppers: As a "value retailer," Citi Trends appeals to customers seeking affordable fashion apparel, accessories, and home goods for themselves and their families. This broad category encompasses the economic motivations of its primary demographic targets.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

Kenneth D. Seipel, Chief Executive Officer

Kenneth Seipel was appointed Chief Executive Officer of Citi Trends in November 2024, after serving as interim CEO since June 2024. He is a seasoned retail executive with experience leading both public and private equity-backed companies, as well as Fortune 500 retailers. From 2018 to 2021, Mr. Seipel was the CEO and co-owner of West Marine, where he successfully led a company turnaround, achieving record profits and a six-time return on investment for shareholders. Before that, from 2013 to 2017, he served as CEO of Gabe's, a privately held off-price retailer. During his tenure at Gabe's, he guided the business to record-level profits, resulting in a three-time investment exit transaction for its majority private equity owner. His prior experience also includes roles as President and COO of Wet Seal Inc. and Executive Vice President of Operations for North America at the Old Navy division of Gap, Inc. He began his career at JCPenney. Mr. Seipel has been a member of Citi Trends' board of directors since 2019.

Heather L. Plutino, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Heather Plutino was appointed Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of Citi Trends, Inc. in June 2022. Prior to joining Citi Trends, she served as Senior Vice President of Enterprise Financial Planning & Analysis and Commercial Finance at Bed Bath & Beyond. Her extensive finance career also includes positions as Group Vice President of Finance and Treasury at Sally Beauty Holdings, Vice President and Treasurer at Ascena Retail Group, and various finance roles at Target Corporation.

Lisa A. Powell, Executive Vice President and Chief Merchandising Officer

Lisa A. Powell serves as the Executive Vice President and Chief Merchandising Officer for Citi Trends, Inc.

Katrina George, Vice President of Human Resources

Katrina George holds the position of Vice President of Human Resources at Citi Trends.

Kyle Koenig, Vice President of Stores & Real Estate

Kyle Koenig is the Vice President of Stores & Real Estate for Citi Trends, Inc.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Citi Trends, Inc. (CTRN) faces several key risks to its business operations and financial performance:

  1. Intense Market Competition: Citi Trends operates within a highly competitive retail landscape, facing pressure from national chains, mass merchandisers, and other off-price retailers such as TJX Companies (including TJ Maxx, Marshalls, and HomeGoods), Ross Stores, and Burlington. The company also contends with competition from aggressive online retailers and fast-fashion giants. This intense rivalry necessitates a strong value proposition and constant adaptation to pricing tactics and evolving consumer preferences to maintain its customer base and market share.
  2. Macroeconomic Vulnerability: As a value retailer primarily serving budget-conscious African American and Latinx families, Citi Trends is particularly susceptible to economic fluctuations. Factors such as inflation, unemployment, and shifts in discretionary spending can significantly impact the purchasing power and confidence of its core demographic, directly affecting sales and profitability. The company's core customer base is especially vulnerable to inflationary pressures.
  3. Supply Chain Vulnerabilities: Citi Trends is exposed to risks related to its supply chain, including potential changes in trade policies, such as increased tariffs, and broader macroeconomic uncertainties. Disruptions in the supply chain can lead to increased business costs, inventory shortages or excesses, and delays in product distribution, all of which can negatively impact sales and profitability. The company has experienced past distribution center delays that affected inventory turnover.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The clear emerging threat to Citi Trends is the rapid rise and increasing market penetration of ultra-low-cost, fast-fashion e-commerce platforms such as Shein and Temu. These online retailers offer an immense selection of apparel, accessories, and home goods at extremely competitive price points, often undercutting traditional brick-and-mortar value retailers. Their business model, which leverages direct-from-manufacturer sourcing, rapid trend replication, and aggressive online marketing, allows them to appeal directly to price-sensitive and fashion-conscious consumers, including demographics targeted by Citi Trends. This shift represents a fundamental change in how a significant portion of the value retail market accesses products, challenging the traditional store-based model and potentially eroding market share for companies like Citi Trends by offering greater convenience, selection, and often lower prices through a purely digital channel.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Citi Trends (CTRN) operates within several significant addressable markets in the United States, offering a range of fashion apparel, accessories, and home goods. The estimated market sizes for their main product categories in the U.S. are detailed below.

Addressable Markets for Citi Trends' Main Products in the U.S.

  • Apparel: The United States apparel market is estimated at $365.70 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach $471.82 billion by 2032.
  • Footwear: The U.S. shoe and footwear market was valued at $95.1 billion in 2024 and is expected to grow to $125.7 billion by 2032. In 2023, the U.S. footwear market size was approximately $88.5 billion.
  • Fashion Accessories: The U.S. fashion accessories market generated a revenue of approximately $222.07 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach approximately $342.99 billion by 2030.
  • Beauty Products: The U.S. beauty and personal care products market was valued at $92.0 billion in 2023. Another estimate indicates the U.S. beauty and personal care products market size was approximately $109.56 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach $196.33 billion by 2033.
  • Home Goods: The U.S. home decor market generated approximately $237.87 billion in revenue in 2024 and is expected to reach approximately $392.56 billion by 2030.
  • Food: Null
  • Tech (Consumer Electronics): The U.S. consumer electronics market generated approximately $241.24 billion in revenue in 2025.
  • Team Sports (Sporting Goods): The U.S. sporting goods industry reached $121.66 billion in 2023.
  • Health Products (Health and Wellness Products): While the broader North America health and wellness market (including products and services) accounted for 34.22% of the global market, which was $6.8 trillion in 2024, no specific U.S. market size for only "health products" was readily available.
  • Seasonal Items (Seasonal Decor): The U.S. Christmas decorative products market size was valued at $3.12 billion in 2025.
  • Books: The revenue from book sales in the U.S. is expected to reach $23.9 billion in 2023. Another source indicates that the number of bookstores in the U.S. is growing, with $23.4 billion in projected revenue for 2024.
  • Toys: Null

AI Analysis | Feedback

Citi Trends (CTRN) anticipates several key drivers for future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years:
  • New Store Expansion: The company has concrete plans for expanding its store footprint. Citi Trends aims to open approximately 25 new stores in fiscal year 2026, followed by at least 40 new stores annually starting in 2027, with a target of reaching around 650 stores by the end of 2027. This expansion strategy focuses on backfilling existing markets with proven brand awareness and performance, while also selectively entering new markets that align with their demographic base.
  • Existing Store Remodels and Optimizations: Investments in improving the existing store base are expected to boost sales. Citi Trends reported that remodeled stores continue to register a mid to high single-digit sales lift. The company plans to remodel approximately 40 stores in fiscal 2024 and up to 50 existing locations in fiscal 2025 as part of its ongoing fleet optimization efforts, which include streamlining store layouts and enhancing the overall in-store experience to drive foot traffic and conversion rates.
  • Assortment Optimization and Enhanced Value Proposition: Citi Trends is focused on refining its product assortment and offering compelling value. This includes providing value-driven trends, off-price deals, and more branded "extreme value" products that resonate strongly with its core African American and Latinx customer base. This strategy is designed to drive traffic and increase customer engagement through better merchandise and improved store experiences.
  • Leveraging Technology and Operational Efficiencies: The company is making strategic investments in technology and operational improvements. This includes utilizing ERP-driven analytics, AI-based allocation, and supply chain enhancements. These efforts are expected to lead to better inventory management, faster supply chain speeds, and an improved overall customer experience, all of which support sustained comparable store sales growth. Furthermore, these improvements are anticipated to contribute to gross margin expansion and operational expense leverage.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Share Repurchases

  • Citi Trends returned $3.8 million to shareholders through share repurchases in fiscal 2024.
  • As of the end of the first quarter of fiscal 2025, $40.0 million remained available under the company's share repurchase program.
  • A stock repurchase authorization was previously announced on November 30, 2021.

Capital Expenditures

  • Capital expenditures in fiscal 2024 were $12.1 million.
  • Citi Trends anticipates capital expenditures for fiscal 2025 to be in the range of $18 million to $22 million, primarily for opening up to 5 new stores, remodeling approximately 50 stores, and investing in systems and distribution centers.
  • Later updates for fiscal 2025 indicated anticipated capital expenditures of approximately $23 million, mainly to open three new stores, close four locations, remodel 62 stores, and for ongoing investments in systems.

Better Bets vs. Citi Trends (CTRN)

Peer Outperformance in Apparel Retail

CTRN has outperformed 56% of its 25 Apparel Retail peers over 5Y. Among the peers that beat it are ROST and VSXY. Apparel Retail ranks 12th of 23 industries in Consumer Discretionary by median 5Y return. The sector’s gains have largely come from elsewhere.
Share of Apparel Retail constituents that CTRN has outperformed, by holding period. Peers without a full price history over a given window are excluded from that window.
1Y
74%
of 27 industry peers · 40.8% return
3Y
78%
of 27 industry peers · 122.2% return
5Y
56%
of 25 industry peers · -31.5% return
Apparel Retail peers with revenue growth within 4pp of CTRN's that beat it on at least 2 of 3 windows, and by at least 20pp over 5Y. Growth is matched by construction, so the gap is largely a re-rating gap. The multiple column is the context for it.
Ticker Name Rev Growth 3Y Avg P/E 1Y3Y5Y 5Y Gap
CTRN Citi Trends 4.9% 56.6x 40.8%122.2%-31.5% —
ROST Ross Stores 8.6% 26.9x 49.4%105.1%120.5% +152pp
VSXY Victoria's Secret 3.9% 18.3x 186.6%457.3%66.2% +98pp
Price returns, excluding dividends. P/E shown for context only and not used for matching.
Median price return by industry across the Consumer Discretionary sector, ranked by 5Y. Apparel Retail is CTRN's own industry. Use this to see which corners of the sector have carried the returns.
Industry Names 1Y med3Y med5Y med Top 3 by 5Y
Education Services 14 -11.0%80.0%82.8% CVSA 245% · LINC 236% · PRDO 218%
Homebuilding 18 -8.5%31.8%48.5% GRBK 197% · TOL 152% · PHM 151%
Specialty Stores 7 3.0%39.3%12.8% ASO 36% · SIG 32% · DKS 31%
Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines 21 7.3%36.0%11.4% RCL 232% · MAR 140% · LIND 134%
Home Improvement Retail 5 -20.8%-0.1%0.3% HVT 13% · LOW 1% · HD 0%
Automotive Retail 18 -13.7%0.9%-5.1% MUSA 214% · PAG 115% · ORLY 111%
Footwear 9 62.5%47.1%-10.4% WEYS 206% · DECK 38% · SHOO 19%
Restaurants 36 -9.1%-8.2%-13.7% EAT 286% · CAKE 164% · BH 119%
Specialized Consumer Services 10 -18.5%15.9%-16.4% HRB 107% · FTDR 88% · SCI 33%
Home Furnishings 4 -5.2%26.6%-17.0% SGI 46% · LZB -1% · MHK -33%
Distributors 4 -11.6%-27.5%-17.1% ARMK 122% · GPC 18% · LKQ -52%
Apparel Retail ← 26 7.2%16.8%-37.7% ANF 260% · URBN 173% · TJX 130%
Household Appliances 18 12.7%-3.2%-39.7% FLXS 218% · HBB 165% · KEQU 160%
Leisure Products 13 -22.5%-21.1%-40.8% GOLF 76% · HAS 26% · MAT -13%
Computer & Electronics Retail 3 3.6%45.6%-41.4% BBY 4% · GME -41% · UPBD -61%
Automotive Parts & Equipment 38 -12.0%-12.8%-41.5% MOD 1459% · GTX 263% · MLR 69%
Leisure Facilities 12 5.5%-6.6%-45.0% JAKK 153% · LTH 134% · OSW 124%
Casinos & Gaming 20 -14.3%-28.0%-47.4% MCRI 91% · RRR 18% · BYD 14%
Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods 29 -3.5%13.8%-49.6% RL 258% · TPR 252% · ELA 194%
Broadline Retail 14 -7.3%23.2%-50.9% EBAY 63% · AMZN 55% · OLLI 42%
Consumer Electronics 11 -25.6%-25.5%-74.4% AXIL 3081% · GRMN 91% · SONO -44%
Other Specialty Retail 17 -35.8%-41.3%-77.2% TLF 98% · BBW 90% · WINA 65%
Automobile Manufacturers 8 -75.5%-52.5%-77.9% GM 47% · TSLA 43% · F 10%
Median of constituents with a full price history over each window. Top names are unfiltered by size in this render.

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

CTRNROSTTJXBURLCATOPLCEMedian
NameCiti Tre.Ross Sto.TJX Comp.Burlingt.Cato Children. 
Mkt Price50.60226.00138.21274.252.371.9194.41
Mkt Cap0.471.8152.617.20.0-17.2
Rev LTM87024,51262,36312,217644-12,217
Op Inc LTM53,3707,915988-15-988
FCF LTM62,7905,8763902-390
FCF 3Y Avg-32,0324,790145-13-145
CFO LTM353,6618,0341,4155-1,415
CFO 3Y Avg152,8316,7691,089-7-1,089

Growth & Margins

CTRNROSTTJXBURLCATOPLCEMedian
NameCiti Tre.Ross Sto.TJX Comp.Burlingt.Cato Children. 
Rev Chg LTM11.1%14.0%7.7%10.9%-1.1%-10.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg4.9%8.6%6.8%10.3%-4.1%-6.8%
Rev Chg Q10.9%13.3%5.4%11.0%-6.2%-10.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.5%3.1%1.3%2.5%-1.7%-2.5%
Op Inc Chg LTM139.6%30.6%22.2%29.2%40.3%-30.6%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg-39.8%19.3%15.7%30.0%-39.5%-15.7%
Op Mgn LTM0.6%13.7%12.7%8.1%-2.3%-8.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-1.7%12.6%11.6%7.1%-3.0%-7.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.6%1.5%0.4%0.8%-1.0%-0.6%
CFO/Rev LTM4.0%14.9%12.9%11.6%0.8%-11.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg1.7%12.5%11.5%9.7%-1.0%-9.7%
FCF/Rev LTM0.7%11.4%9.4%3.2%0.3%-3.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-0.5%9.0%8.1%1.3%-1.9%-1.3%

Valuation

CTRNROSTTJXBURLCATOPLCEMedian
NameCiti Tre.Ross Sto.TJX Comp.Burlingt.Cato Children. 
Mkt Cap0.471.8152.617.20.0-17.2
P/S0.52.92.41.40.1-1.4
P/Op Inc80.621.319.317.5-3.1-19.3
P/EBIT52.820.318.817.0-5.7-18.8
P/E56.427.025.124.1-8.1-25.1
P/CFO11.919.619.012.28.3-12.2
Total Yield1.8%4.5%5.2%4.1%-12.4%-4.1%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.8%1.3%0.0%0.0%-0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-2.3%3.9%3.3%0.8%-13.9%-0.8%
D/E0.50.10.10.33.1-0.3
Net D/E0.40.00.10.31.0-0.3

Returns

CTRNROSTTJXBURLCATOPLCEMedian
NameCiti Tre.Ross Sto.TJX Comp.Burlingt.Cato Children. 
1M Rtn-28.2%-1.4%7.2%7.4%-6.7%-31.5%-4.1%
3M Rtn-12.3%2.6%-8.1%-14.7%-29.7%-37.0%-13.5%
6M Rtn11.7%0.9%-15.7%-19.0%-22.3%-46.9%-17.3%
12M Rtn40.2%49.9%-0.6%1.8%-45.3%-73.2%0.6%
3Y Rtn121.3%105.8%62.0%126.0%-63.4%-92.4%83.9%
1M Excs Rtn-25.3%-1.4%7.9%13.0%-6.1%-26.5%-3.7%
3M Excs Rtn-14.8%-0.9%-10.9%-18.8%-34.2%-38.6%-16.8%
6M Excs Rtn-2.0%-13.0%-29.4%-32.6%-36.0%-60.7%-31.0%
12M Excs Rtn45.7%35.9%-17.5%-10.0%-60.6%-90.1%-13.8%
3Y Excs Rtn50.6%24.1%-19.7%29.9%-147.5%-175.3%2.2%

Comparison Analyses

null

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20262025202420232022
Women's221203202207258
Children's189173172183218
Men's139128127135178
Accessories & Beauty131128127143178
Home & Lifestyle8275676489
Footwear5745526469
Total820753748795992


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$50.81 
Market Cap ($ Bil)0.4 
First Trading Date05/18/2005 
Distance from 52W High-33.3% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$63.52$52.12
DMA Trendupdown
Distance from DMA-20.0%-2.5%
 3M1YR
Volatility45.4%55.8%
Downside Capture128.78108.03
Upside Capture41.26129.35
Correlation (SPY)23.9%31.1%
CTRN Betas & Captures as of 9/30/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta0.491.141.041.381.391.37
Up Beta2.183.261.222.041.511.15
Down Beta0.071.450.341.051.381.35
Up Capture-87%-38%80%122%197%408%
Bmk +ve Days6162766132424
Stock +ve Days7163065131379
Down Capture311%200%155%118%108%109%
Bmk -ve Days16263760120328
Stock -ve Days15263360119366

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with CTRN
CTRN62.2%57.7%1.05-
Sector ETF (XLY)-4.7%19.4%-0.3736.7%
Equity (SPY)16.7%13.0%0.9130.9%
Gold (GLD)3.4%29.6%0.1113.4%
Commodities (DBC)45.0%20.9%1.67-12.5%
Real Estate (VNQ)2.8%13.7%-0.0522.7%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-31.7%44.2%-0.7312.7%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with CTRN
CTRN-6.4%61.7%0.14-
Sector ETF (XLY)5.3%24.1%0.1845.6%
Equity (SPY)14.0%17.1%0.6342.3%
Gold (GLD)18.2%18.9%0.787.4%
Commodities (DBC)10.3%19.6%0.404.6%
Real Estate (VNQ)1.3%18.8%-0.0433.5%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)13.7%52.2%0.4321.5%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with CTRN
CTRN10.9%58.2%0.42-
Sector ETF (XLY)12.0%22.2%0.4947.2%
Equity (SPY)15.4%17.9%0.7345.1%
Gold (GLD)11.6%16.4%0.584.3%
Commodities (DBC)8.3%18.1%0.3712.7%
Real Estate (VNQ)4.2%20.7%0.1639.6%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)63.6%66.2%1.0315.2%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date9152026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity0.9 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 83120263.3%
Average Daily Volume0.1 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest6.2 days
Basic Shares Quantity8.2 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares11.2%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 9/27/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
8/25/2026-6.2%-8.5%-32.0%
6/2/20264.1%-1.5%27.2%
3/17/202617.0%3.8%7.0%
12/2/2025-1.4%4.1%-5.8%
8/26/2025-0.2%2.9%-7.8%
6/3/202521.7%25.7%22.7%
3/18/20252.9%3.7%-9.1%
12/3/202414.6%17.3%25.1%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive12129
# Negative121215
Median Positive7.4%9.5%12.7%
Median Negative-6.8%-11.1%-7.8%
Max Positive27.5%29.9%27.2%
Max Negative-18.8%-33.0%-44.2%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
8/25/2026-6.2%-8.5%-32.0%
6/2/20264.1%-1.5%27.2%
3/17/202617.0%3.8%7.0%
12/2/2025-1.4%4.1%-5.8%
8/26/2025-0.2%2.9%-7.8%
6/3/202521.7%25.7%22.7%
3/18/20252.9%3.7%-9.1%
12/3/202414.6%17.3%25.1%
8/27/2024-7.2%-15.8%11.9%
6/4/2024-0.5%-9.4%-21.8%
3/19/2024-6.3%-12.5%-27.1%
11/28/2023-12.1%-9.8%0.6%
8/22/20235.1%4.4%-3.4%
5/23/2023-5.8%-15.9%-2.1%
3/21/2023-10.0%-23.9%-17.6%
11/29/202227.5%29.9%12.7%
8/24/2022-18.8%-33.0%-41.4%
5/24/20229.5%16.1%-6.6%
3/15/20226.3%10.9%-1.0%
1/10/2022-16.3%-29.3%-44.2%
8/24/20216.4%8.1%-6.2%
5/25/2021-7.3%-8.8%-7.0%
3/16/20210.3%-0.9%2.3%
1/12/20218.4%13.0%18.0%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive12129
# Negative121215
Median Positive7.4%9.5%12.7%
Median Negative-6.8%-11.1%-7.8%
Max Positive27.5%29.9%27.2%
Max Negative-18.8%-33.0%-44.2%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
07/31/202609/09/202610-Q
04/30/202606/10/202610-Q
01/31/202604/15/202610-K
10/31/202512/10/202510-Q
07/31/202509/10/202510-Q
04/30/202506/11/202510-Q
01/31/202504/16/202510-K
10/31/202412/11/202410-Q
07/31/202409/11/202410-Q
04/30/202406/12/202410-Q
01/31/202404/18/202410-K
10/31/202312/06/202310-Q
07/31/202309/06/202310-Q
04/30/202306/07/202310-Q
01/31/202304/13/202310-K
10/31/202212/08/202210-Q
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
07/31/202609/09/202610-Q
04/30/202606/10/202610-Q
01/31/202604/15/202610-K
10/31/202512/10/202510-Q
07/31/202509/10/202510-Q
04/30/202506/11/202510-Q
01/31/202504/16/202510-K
10/31/202412/11/202410-Q
07/31/202409/11/202410-Q
04/30/202406/12/202410-Q
01/31/202404/18/202410-K
10/31/202312/06/202310-Q
07/31/202309/06/202310-Q
04/30/202306/07/202310-Q
01/31/202304/13/202310-K
10/31/202212/08/202210-Q
07/31/202209/08/202210-Q
04/30/202206/09/202210-Q
01/31/202204/14/202210-K
10/31/202112/08/202110-Q
07/31/202109/08/202110-Q
04/30/202106/09/202110-Q
01/31/202104/14/202110-K
10/31/202012/08/202010-Q
07/31/202009/08/202010-Q
04/30/202006/11/202010-Q
01/31/202005/14/202010-K
10/31/201912/06/201910-Q

Recent Forward Guidance

Updated 10/4/2026

Latest: Q2 2026 Earnings Reported 8/25/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Comparable store sales growthReported9.0%10.0%11.0% 1.0%RaisedGuidance: 9.0% for 2026
2026 New store countReported 20    
2026 RemodelsReported6062.565   
2026 Total sales growthReported10.0%11.0%12.0% 1.0%RaisedGuidance: 10.0% for 2026
2026 Gross margin expansionReported0.5%0.6%0.7%   
2026 Adjusted SG&A leverageReported0.020.020.02   
2026 Adjusted EBITDAReported38.00 Mil40.00 Mil42.00 Mil6.7% RaisedGuidance: 37.50 Mil for 2026
2026 Adjusted EBITDA margin expansionReported 2.3%    
2026 Capital expendituresReported35.00 Mil37.50 Mil40.00 Mil0 AffirmedGuidance: 37.50 Mil for 2026


Prior: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 6/2/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Comparable store sales growthReported8.0%9.0%10.0% 3.0%RaisedGuidance: 6.0% for 2026
2026 Total sales growthReported9.0%10.0%11.0% 3.0%RaisedGuidance: 7.0% for 2026
2026 Adjusted EBITDAReported35.00 Mil37.50 Mil40.00 Mil4.2% RaisedGuidance: 36.00 Mil for 2026
2026 Capital expendituresReported35.00 Mil37.50 Mil40.00 Mil0 AffirmedGuidance: 37.50 Mil for 2026

Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 3/17/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Comparable Store Sales GrowthReported5.0%6.0%7.0%-14.3%-1.0%Lower NewActual: 7.0% for 2025
2026 Equity-based compensation expenseReported5.50 Mil5.75 Mil6.00 Mil   
2026 Total Sales GrowthReported6.0%7.0%8.0%   
2026 Adjusted EBITDAReported34.00 Mil36.00 Mil38.00 Mil227.3% Higher NewActual: 11.00 Mil for 2025
2026 Capital ExpendituresReported35.00 Mil37.50 Mil40.00 Mil   

Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 12/2/2025

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q4 2025 Comparable Store Sales GrowthReported 7.0%    
Q4 2025 Gross MarginReported40.0%40.5%41.0%   
Q4 2025 SG&AReported 82.00 Mil    
Q4 2025 EBITDAReported10.00 Mil11.00 Mil12.00 Mil   
2025 Comparable Store Sales GrowthReported 7.0% 00AffirmedGuidance: 7.0% for 2025
2025 Gross Margin ExpansionReported 2.3%  0.1%RaisedGuidance: 2.2% for 2025
2025 SG&A LeverageReported 0.01  0.2%RaisedGuidance: 0.01 for 2025
2025 EBITDAReported10.00 Mil11.00 Mil12.00 Mil22.2% RaisedGuidance: 9.00 Mil for 2025
2027 EBITDAReported 45.00 Mil    

Insider Activity

Updated 9/8/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Powell, Lisa AEVP and Chief Merch OfficerDirectSell908202670.1010,000701,000979,297Form
2George, KatrinaVP of Human ResourcesDirectSell717202656.421267,109322,327Form
3Fund, 1 Investments, LlcSee FootnoteSell624202656.50750,00042,375,000103,026,959Form
4Jenkins, Margaret LDirectSell407202645.912,00091,820650,223Form
5Heath, David ADirectBuy326202644.501,00044,500391,066Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Powell, Lisa AEVP and Chief Merch OfficerDirectSell908202670.1010,000701,000979,297Form
2George, KatrinaVP of Human ResourcesDirectSell717202656.421267,109322,327Form
3Fund, 1 Investments, LlcSee FootnoteSell624202656.50750,00042,375,000103,026,959Form
4Jenkins, Margaret LDirectSell407202645.912,00091,820650,223Form
5Heath, David ADirectBuy326202644.501,00044,500391,066Form
6George, KatrinaVP of Human ResourcesDirectSell106202645.2245020,349243,464Form
7George, KatrinaVP of Human ResourcesDirectSell905202536.1531611,423210,899Form
8Jenkins, Margaret LDirectSell905202536.211,00036,210585,262Form

Investor Activity (13F)

Updated Oct 9, 2026
13F holdings as of Mar 31, 2026 (Q1 2026)

Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.

Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Fund 1 Investments, LLC$111.5 Mil14.5%62Hold13F
Bayberry Capital Partners LP$7.4 Mil2.4%28New13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Bayberry Capital Partners LP$7.4 Mil2.4%28New13F
Active Manager
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Fund 1 Investments, LLC$111.5 Mil14.5%62Hold13F
Bayberry Capital Partners LP$7.4 Mil2.4%28New13F
Core Cache Last Updated: 10/8/2026