Centuri (CTRI)
Market Price (7/28/2026): $27.33 | Market Cap: $2.8 BilSector: Utilities | Industry: Gas Utilities
Centuri (CTRI)
Market Price (7/28/2026): $27.33Market Cap: $2.8 BilSector: UtilitiesIndustry: Gas Utilities
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19% Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 45% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Smart Grids & Grid Modernization, and Renewable Energy Transition. Themes include Grid Automation, Distributed Energy Resources, Show more. | Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -45% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 27x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 104x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 89x Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.8% Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.2% Key risksCTRI key risks include [1] high financial leverage with a constrained ability to service debt, Show more. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 45% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Smart Grids & Grid Modernization, and Renewable Energy Transition. Themes include Grid Automation, Distributed Energy Resources, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -45% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 27x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 104x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 89x |
| Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.8% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.2% |
| Key risksCTRI key risks include [1] high financial leverage with a constrained ability to service debt, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
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Centuri (CTRI) stock has lost about 5% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Market Disappointment in Q1 2026 Guidance Despite Earnings Beat.
Centuri reported its fiscal Q1 2026 results on May 6, 2026, where it surpassed analyst expectations with an adjusted net loss of $0.02 per share, beating the consensus estimate of a $0.07 loss, and revenue of $723.2 million, a 31% increase year-over-year, exceeding analyst forecasts. However, the stock experienced a significant negative reaction, with a reported intraday drop of approximately 19.62% following the earnings release. This decline was largely attributed to the company's decision to reiterate its full-year 2026 guidance for revenue, Adjusted EBITDA, and Adjusted Net Income, rather than raising it, which likely disappointed investors anticipating an upward revision given the strong Q1 performance. Analyst commentary indicated concerns about potential short-term margin pressures in Q1 due to winter weather and initial contract ramp-up.
2. Mixed Analyst Sentiment and Price Target Revisions.
Following the Q1 2026 earnings report, analyst sentiment, while generally leaning towards "Moderate Buy" or "Buy" with an average price target significantly above the current stock price, showed some areas of concern. Some analysts reiterated "Hold" or "Sell" ratings and adjusted their price targets, such as UBS maintaining a "Hold" with a target adjustment from $33 to $36, and J.P. Morgan reiterating a "Sell" with a target adjustment from $26 to $29 in early May 2026. Furthermore, Centuri's consensus rating score of 2.00 is lower than the average consensus rating score of 2.34 for its "utilities" sector peers, suggesting that analysts, on average, view Centuri less favorably than its industry counterparts.
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Centuri (CTRI) stock has lost about 5% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Market Disappointment in Q1 2026 Guidance Despite Earnings Beat.
Centuri reported its fiscal Q1 2026 results on May 6, 2026, where it surpassed analyst expectations with an adjusted net loss of $0.02 per share, beating the consensus estimate of a $0.07 loss, and revenue of $723.2 million, a 31% increase year-over-year, exceeding analyst forecasts. However, the stock experienced a significant negative reaction, with a reported intraday drop of approximately 19.62% following the earnings release. This decline was largely attributed to the company's decision to reiterate its full-year 2026 guidance for revenue, Adjusted EBITDA, and Adjusted Net Income, rather than raising it, which likely disappointed investors anticipating an upward revision given the strong Q1 performance. Analyst commentary indicated concerns about potential short-term margin pressures in Q1 due to winter weather and initial contract ramp-up.
2. Mixed Analyst Sentiment and Price Target Revisions.
Following the Q1 2026 earnings report, analyst sentiment, while generally leaning towards "Moderate Buy" or "Buy" with an average price target significantly above the current stock price, showed some areas of concern. Some analysts reiterated "Hold" or "Sell" ratings and adjusted their price targets, such as UBS maintaining a "Hold" with a target adjustment from $33 to $36, and J.P. Morgan reiterating a "Sell" with a target adjustment from $26 to $29 in early May 2026. Furthermore, Centuri's consensus rating score of 2.00 is lower than the average consensus rating score of 2.34 for its "utilities" sector peers, suggesting that analysts, on average, view Centuri less favorably than its industry counterparts.
3. Broader Macroeconomic and Industry Headwinds.
Despite long-term tailwinds for the utility infrastructure sector driven by aging infrastructure, electrification, and data center demand, broader macroeconomic factors and industry-specific challenges likely contributed to investor caution. The U.S. experienced an inflation rate of 3.8% in April 2026, the highest since March 2023, partly due to rising energy costs. The power and utilities sector also faced challenges such as "dispatchable supply scarcity" and "labor/materials shortages, rising costs," which could impact the profitability and operational efficiency of infrastructure service providers like Centuri. These industry-wide concerns may have dampened investor enthusiasm for the sector, even for companies with strong project backlogs.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -6.5% change in CTRI stock from 3/31/2026 to 7/27/2026 was primarily driven by a -27.3% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 3312026 | 7272026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 29.21 | 27.32 | -6.5% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 2,983 | 3,156 | 5.8% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 0.8% | 1.0% | 30.0% |
| P/E Multiple | 122.9 | 89.4 | -27.3% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 94 | 101 | -6.5% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -6.5% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2026 to 7/27/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CTRI | -6.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 13.6% | 46.3% |
| Sector (XLU) | -0.5% | 22.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 8.2% change in CTRI stock from 12/31/2025 to 7/27/2026 was primarily driven by a 1003.2% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 12312025 | 7272026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 25.25 | 27.32 | 8.2% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 2,841 | 3,156 | 11.1% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 0.1% | 1.0% | 1003.2% |
| P/E Multiple | 890.4 | 89.4 | -90.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 89 | 101 | -12.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 8.2% |
Market Drivers
12/31/2025 to 7/27/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CTRI | 8.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 8.7% | 45.9% |
| Sector (XLU) | 7.8% | 23.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 21.7% change in CTRI stock from 6/30/2025 to 7/27/2026 was primarily driven by a 6438.5% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 6302025 | 7272026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 22.44 | 27.32 | 21.7% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 2,659 | 3,156 | 18.7% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 0.0% | 1.0% | 6438.5% |
| P/E Multiple | 5,003.4 | 89.4 | -98.2% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 89 | 101 | -12.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 21.7% |
Market Drivers
6/30/2025 to 7/27/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CTRI | 21.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 20.6% | 46.0% |
| Sector (XLU) | 14.3% | 21.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
6/30/2023 to 7/27/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CTRI | ||
| Market (SPY) | 72.6% | 42.2% |
| Sector (XLU) | 51.8% | 24.3% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| CTRI Return | - | - | - | -17% | 31% | 10% | 20% |
| Peers Return | 27% | -1% | -8% | 20% | 28% | 7% | 91% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 8% | 97% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| CTRI Win Rate | - | - | - | 56% | 50% | 43% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 62% | 50% | 45% | 57% | 67% | 57% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 43% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| CTRI Max Drawdown | - | - | - | - | -38% | -39% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -15% | -24% | -26% | -12% | -12% | -16% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: UGI, SR, ATO, NFG, SWX.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 7/27/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | CTRI | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -22.9% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 29.8% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 29 days | 79 days |
| 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind | ||
| % Loss | -21.0% | -7.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 26.5% | 8.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 87 days | 18 days |
In The Past
Centuri's stock fell -22.9% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 29.8% gain to breakeven.
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| Event | CTRI | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -22.9% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 29.8% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 29 days | 79 days |
| 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind | ||
| % Loss | -21.0% | -7.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 26.5% | 8.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 87 days | 18 days |
In The Past
Centuri's stock fell -22.9% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 29.8% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Centuri (CTRI)
Centuri (CTRI) is a leading pure-play North American utility infrastructure services company with over a century of operating history. It partners with regulated utilities to maintain, upgrade, and expand the critical energy networks that power millions of homes and businesses. Centuri's core operations are focused on the modernization, maintenance, retrofitting, and installation of electric and natural gas distribution networks, ensuring safe, reliable, and environmentally sustainable grid operations. The company is also instrumental in preparing existing systems for the transition to clean energy sources, aligning its services with broader Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) objectives.
Centuri's service offerings include building infrastructure to connect renewable energy to existing distribution systems, expanding electric grid capacity, and modernizing infrastructure to support future demands like electric vehicle (EV) charging stations and battery storage facilities. Additionally, it serves complementary and growing end markets such as renewable natural gas transport and 5G datacom. Centuri's extensive customer base includes over 400 leading electric, gas, and combination utility companies across North America, such as American Electric Power, National Grid, and Southern Company, with its top customers predominantly investment-grade utilities. It also contracts with large-scale 5G datacom providers for network expansion.
Operating across 87 locations in 43 U.S. states and two Canadian provinces, Centuri maintains a broad geographic footprint and significant scale. The majority of its customer relationships are governed by long-term master services agreements (MSAs), which accounted for approximately 82% of its total revenue in fiscal 2023, providing a highly visible demand outlook. The company primarily performs smaller, lower-risk distribution projects and utilizes a favorable contract mix, with 77% of its fiscal 2023 revenue derived from variable-priced contracts (unit-priced and time and materials), which helps minimize execution risk across its operations.
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Centuri is an infrastructure services provider similar to Quanta Services (PWR), focused on building, maintaining, and upgrading North America's electric, gas, and 5G utility networks.
Centuri is like AECOM or Jacobs, but specializing in the maintenance, upgrade, and expansion of electric, gas, and 5G utility distribution infrastructure.
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- Utility Infrastructure Modernization and Maintenance: Centuri provides comprehensive services for the maintenance, retrofitting, installation, and modernization of electric and natural gas distribution networks for utilities.
- Clean Energy Transition Infrastructure: The company develops and upgrades infrastructure to support the transition to clean energy, including grid connectivity for renewables, renewable natural gas transport, and electric vehicle (EV) charging facilities.
- 5G Datacom Infrastructure Services: Centuri offers infrastructure services for 5G datacom providers, supporting network expansion and increased utilization, including C-band and small cell additions.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Centuri (CTRI) primarily sells its services to other companies, specifically regulated utilities and large-scale 5G datacom providers.
Its major identified customers include leading electric, gas, and combination utility companies:
- American Electric Power (AEP)
- Enbridge (ENB)
- Entergy (ETR)
- Exelon (EXC)
- NiSource (NI)
- National Grid (NGG)
- Sempra Energy (SRE)
- Southern Company (SO)
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Christian Brown, President and Chief Executive Officer
Christian Brown is the President and CEO of Centuri Holdings, Inc., where he is responsible for setting the strategic vision and leading day-to-day operations. He assumed this role effective December 3, 2024. Prior to joining Centuri, Brown served as Chief Executive Officer of EnerMech, a global energy and infrastructure services company, from 2020 to 2024, where he led significant operational changes and diversified the business into new high-growth markets. From 2011 to 2015, he was the Chief Executive Officer and Executive Director of Kentz Engineers & Constructors, a FTSE 250 listed company, which he led to nearly a sixfold increase in revenue over five years and successfully guided its sale to SNC-Lavalin (now AtkinsRéalis). Brown's career spans over 30 years in the energy and infrastructure sectors, including senior roles at Foster Wheeler Corporation and KBR.
Gregory A. Izenstark, Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer
Gregory A. Izenstark is the Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer for Centuri, overseeing all financial activities, including strategy, management, reporting, and capital allocations. Before becoming CFO, Izenstark served as Senior Vice President and Chief Accounting Officer for Centuri, responsible for corporate FP&A, accounting, tax, reporting, and integration activities. He joined Centuri as Controller in 2014 and played a key role in managing the complexities of the company's initial and subsequent acquisitions, and the organizational changes required to establish Centuri as a corporate holding company. His background includes extensive experience in accounting, public company financial reporting, mergers and acquisitions (M&A), and internal controls, having held financial auditor positions with Arthur Andersen and KPMG. Izenstark has also worked for CF Industries, Brunswick Corporation, and Swift Transportation.
Jason S. Wilcock, Executive Vice President, Chief Legal and Administrative Officer & Corporate Secretary
Jason S. Wilcock serves as the Executive Vice President, Chief Legal and Administrative Officer & Corporate Secretary for Centuri Holdings, Inc. He is a key member of the executive management team.
Catherine M. Berry, Chief Human Resources Officer
Catherine M. Berry is the Chief Human Resources Officer at Centuri Holdings, Inc. Her expertise includes a deep lean culture background, which she applies to talent life cycle development and optimization. She holds a M.A. in Organizational Learning and a PhD in Business Organizational Management IT, along with certifications as an MHS Emotional Intelligence (EQ)® Leadership and Team Assessment Coach and Six Sigma certification.
Kendra L. Chilton, Senior Vice President, Chief Accounting Officer
Kendra L. Chilton is the Senior Vice President, Chief Accounting Officer for Centuri. In this role, she oversees Centuri's external reporting, internal accounting, tax, and internal controls functions. Chilton joined Centuri as Vice President, Corporate Controller in 2022 and was instrumental in the company's Initial Public Offering (IPO) in 2024, managing the complexities of the IPO process and ensuring robust financial governance. Before joining Centuri, she spent twelve years at PricewaterhouseCoopers (PwC), specializing in audits of public and private companies.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Centuri (CTRI) faces several key risks to its business operations:
-
Significant Customer Concentration: A substantial portion of Centuri's revenue is derived from a limited number of top customers. In fiscal year 2023, the top 10 customers accounted for 49% of revenues, and the top 20 customers represented 71% of revenues. This concentration makes Centuri vulnerable to a reduction in demand or loss of business from these key utility partners.
-
Highly Fragmented and Competitive Industry: The utility services industry is highly fragmented, with numerous providers ranging from small regional companies to larger scaled firms like Centuri, as well as work self-performed by utilities. The top five largest utility service providers, including Centuri, collectively generated only 18% of the industry's revenues in 2022, indicating intense competition for contracts and market share against a wide array of competitors.
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Centuri (CTRI) anticipates several key drivers for its future revenue growth over the next two to three years:
- Conversion of Robust Backlog and Opportunity Pipeline: Centuri possesses a substantial year-end 2025 backlog of approximately $5.9 billion and a broad opportunity pipeline totaling $13 billion, with roughly $2.8 billion in near-term opportunities. This significant backlog is projected to cover over 85% of the company's 2026 base revenue guidance, providing strong revenue visibility.
- Ongoing Modernization and Expansion of Utility Infrastructure: The company's core business of maintaining, upgrading, and expanding electric and natural gas distribution networks continues to be a primary growth engine. This is driven by the aging infrastructure across North America and increased regulatory stringency aimed at enhancing safety, reliability, and environmental sustainability.
- Expansion into Attractive End Markets, particularly Data Centers: Beyond its traditional utility services, Centuri is actively pursuing and securing opportunities in complementary and growing end markets. Notably, the company has identified a significant opportunity in the data center market, with an active pipeline of $1.4 billion and an additional $2.0 billion identified as potential early-stage projects. Additionally, the company is positioned to support the transition to clean energy sources, including infrastructure for renewable energy and electric vehicle (EV) charging stations.
- Strategic Acquisitions and Geographic Growth: Centuri's growth strategy includes targeted acquisitions to expand its footprint and service capabilities. The recent acquisition of Connect Atlantic Utility Services, for example, has broadened the company's electric services in its Canadian operations and enhanced its geographic reach.
- Securing New Master Services Agreements (MSAs) and Bid Contract Awards: Centuri relies heavily on long-term MSAs with its diverse utility customer base, which provide a stable and recurring revenue stream. The company's strong commercial momentum is demonstrated by its 2025 annual bookings of $4.5 billion, achieving a 1.5x book-to-bill ratio, and securing new MSAs across various states.
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Why Centuri Stock Moved: CTRI Stock Has Gained 35% Since 2024 Fiscal End, Primarily Due To Favorable Change In Price To Sales Multiple (P/S) | 08/08/2025 | |
| CTRI Dip Buy Analysis | 07/10/2025 | |
| Centuri (CTRI) Valuation Ratios Comparison | 05/15/2025 | |
| Centuri (CTRI) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | 02/17/2025 | |
| Centuri (CTRI) Net Income Comparison | 02/15/2025 | |
| Centuri (CTRI) Operating Income Comparison | 02/14/2025 | |
| Centuri (CTRI) Revenue Comparison | 02/13/2025 | |
| ARTICLES | ||
| Small Cap Stocks Trading At 52-Week High | 05/01/2026 |
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 81.59 |
| Mkt Cap | 7.2 |
| Rev LTM | 2,847 |
| Op Inc LTM | 789 |
| FCF LTM | -139 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 64 |
| CFO LTM | 862 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,020 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 8.3% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -1.8% |
| Rev Chg Q | 2.6% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.0% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | 12.6% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 9.0% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 21.1% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 18.1% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 1.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 20.7% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 32.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -5.3% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 2.4% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $27.32 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 2.8 | |
| First Trading Date | 04/18/2024 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -34.6% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $29.12 | $27.94 |
| DMA Trend | up | down |
| Distance from DMA | -6.2% | -2.2% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 59.6% | 45.4% |
| Downside Capture | 380.49 | 197.01 |
| Upside Capture | 201.44 | 190.20 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 44.9% | 45.8% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.85 | 2.28 | 2.13 | 1.66 | 1.68 | 0.10 |
| Up Beta | 1.48 | 1.42 | 1.59 | 1.66 | 1.31 | 0.44 |
| Down Beta | 2.88 | 0.77 | 1.31 | 1.10 | 1.37 | -0.35 |
| Up Capture | 168% | 216% | 235% | 240% | 301% | 83% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 11 | 24 | 40 | 67 | 140 | 429 |
| Stock +ve Days | 9 | 21 | 36 | 67 | 128 | 283 |
| Down Capture | 154% | 358% | 311% | 162% | 153% | 101% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 10 | 17 | 23 | 58 | 112 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 12 | 20 | 27 | 58 | 122 | 263 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with CTRI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CTRI | 30.5% | 45.3% | 0.72 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLU) | 10.7% | 15.0% | 0.47 | 22.0% |
| Equity (SPY) | 17.6% | 12.7% | 1.00 | 45.7% |
| Gold (GLD) | 20.8% | 28.1% | 0.66 | 20.5% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 29.6% | 19.5% | 1.21 | -9.7% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 13.9% | 14.1% | 0.69 | 22.5% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -46.0% | 43.0% | -1.31 | 26.7% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with CTRI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CTRI | 3.7% | 52.1% | 0.34 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLU) | 10.1% | 17.3% | 0.43 | 24.3% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.2% | 17.1% | 0.59 | 42.1% |
| Gold (GLD) | 17.2% | 18.4% | 0.75 | 16.1% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 9.7% | 19.5% | 0.38 | 5.6% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.3% | 18.9% | 0.07 | 26.9% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 15.8% | 53.5% | 0.47 | 22.1% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with CTRI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CTRI | 1.9% | 52.1% | 0.34 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLU) | 9.1% | 19.3% | 0.40 | 24.3% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.9% | 17.9% | 0.71 | 42.1% |
| Gold (GLD) | 11.4% | 16.1% | 0.58 | 16.1% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 6.9% | 18.0% | 0.30 | 5.6% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.2% | 20.7% | 0.21 | 26.9% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 58.0% | 66.2% | 0.98 | 22.1% |
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Earnings Returns History
Updated 6/9/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 5/6/2026 | -19.6% | -23.3% | -28.6% |
| 2/25/2026 | -0.9% | -3.5% | -1.6% |
| 11/5/2025 | 11.3% | 12.0% | 29.9% |
| 8/6/2025 | -2.2% | -5.3% | -2.0% |
| 5/12/2025 | -8.5% | -8.4% | 6.9% |
| 2/26/2025 | -7.0% | -12.7% | -11.8% |
| 11/6/2024 | -2.0% | 6.3% | 11.8% |
| 7/29/2024 | -22.4% | -19.7% | -14.4% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| # Negative | 8 | 7 | 5 |
| Median Positive | 11.3% | 9.2% | 9.4% |
| Median Negative | -4.6% | -8.4% | -11.8% |
| Max Positive | 11.3% | 12.0% | 29.9% |
| Max Negative | -22.4% | -23.3% | -28.6% |
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 5/6/2026 | -19.6% | -23.3% | -28.6% |
| 2/25/2026 | -0.9% | -3.5% | -1.6% |
| 11/5/2025 | 11.3% | 12.0% | 29.9% |
| 8/6/2025 | -2.2% | -5.3% | -2.0% |
| 5/12/2025 | -8.5% | -8.4% | 6.9% |
| 2/26/2025 | -7.0% | -12.7% | -11.8% |
| 11/6/2024 | -2.0% | 6.3% | 11.8% |
| 7/29/2024 | -22.4% | -19.7% | -14.4% |
| 5/8/2024 | -0.2% | -0.8% | 4.0% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| # Negative | 8 | 7 | 5 |
| Median Positive | 11.3% | 9.2% | 9.4% |
| Median Negative | -4.6% | -8.4% | -11.8% |
| Max Positive | 11.3% | 12.0% | 29.9% |
| Max Negative | -22.4% | -23.3% | -28.6% |
Recent Forward Guidance
Updated 7/27/2026Latest: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 5/6/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Base Revenue | 3.15 Bil | 3.30 Bil | 3.45 Bil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 3.30 Bil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Base Gross Profit | 255.00 Mil | 270.00 Mil | 285.00 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 270.00 Mil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Revenue | 3.24 Bil | 3.39 Bil | 3.54 Bil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 3.39 Bil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Adjusted EBITDA | 280.00 Mil | 295.00 Mil | 310.00 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 295.00 Mil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Adjusted Net Income | 55.00 Mil | 65.00 Mil | 75.00 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 65.00 Mil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Net Capital Expenditures | 75.00 Mil | 82.50 Mil | 90.00 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 82.50 Mil for 2026 | |
Prior: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/25/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Book-to-bill ratio | 1.1 | 1.15 | 1.2 | ||||
| 2026 Base Revenue | 3.15 Bil | 3.30 Bil | 3.45 Bil | ||||
| 2026 Base Gross Profit | 255.00 Mil | 270.00 Mil | 285.00 Mil | ||||
| 2026 Revenue | 3.24 Bil | 3.39 Bil | 3.54 Bil | 18.9% | Higher New | Guidance: 2.85 Bil for 2025 | |
| 2026 Adjusted EBITDA | 280.00 Mil | 295.00 Mil | 310.00 Mil | 20.4% | Higher New | Guidance: 245.00 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2026 Adjusted Net Income | 55.00 Mil | 65.00 Mil | 75.00 Mil | ||||
| 2026 Net Capital Expenditures | 75.00 Mil | 82.50 Mil | 90.00 Mil | 0 | Same New | Guidance: 82.50 Mil for 2025 | |
Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 11/5/2025
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2025 Revenue | 2.80 Bil | 2.85 Bil | 2.90 Bil | 2.7% | Raised | Guidance: 2.77 Bil for 2025 | |
| 2025 Adjusted EBITDA | 240.00 Mil | 245.00 Mil | 250.00 Mil | -5.8% | Lowered | Guidance: 260.00 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2025 Net Capital Expenditures | 75.00 Mil | 82.50 Mil | 90.00 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 82.50 Mil for 2025 | |
Insider Activity
Updated 5/20/2026| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brown, Christian | Chief Executive Officer | Direct | Sell | 12082025 | 24.51 | 7,108 | 174,217 | 541,401 | Form |
| 2 | Icahn, Carl C | Please see footnotes | Buy | 11142025 | 21.50 | 3,488,372 | 74,999,998 | 308,224,946 | Form | |
| 3 | Southwest, Gas Holdings, Inc | Direct | Sell | 9052025 | 19.60 | 27,362,210 | Form | |||
| 4 | Southwest, Gas Holdings, Inc | Direct | Sell | 8122025 | 19.50 | 18,823,500 | 367,058,250 | 533,563,095 | Form | |
| 5 | Southwest, Gas Holdings, Inc | Direct | Sell | 7082025 | 20.75 | 1,060,240 | 21,999,980 | 958,353,482 | Form |
| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brown, Christian | Chief Executive Officer | Direct | Sell | 12082025 | 24.51 | 7,108 | 174,217 | 541,401 | Form |
| 2 | Icahn, Carl C | Please see footnotes | Buy | 11142025 | 21.50 | 3,488,372 | 74,999,998 | 308,224,946 | Form | |
| 3 | Southwest, Gas Holdings, Inc | Direct | Sell | 9052025 | 19.60 | 27,362,210 | Form | |||
| 4 | Southwest, Gas Holdings, Inc | Direct | Sell | 8122025 | 19.50 | 18,823,500 | 367,058,250 | 533,563,095 | Form | |
| 5 | Southwest, Gas Holdings, Inc | Direct | Sell | 7082025 | 20.75 | 1,060,240 | 21,999,980 | 958,353,482 | Form | |
| 6 | Southwest, Gas Holdings, Inc | Direct | Sell | 6182025 | 20.75 | 11,212,500 | 232,659,375 | 980,353,462 | Form | |
| 7 | Southwest, Gas Holdings, Inc | Direct | Sell | 5232025 | 17.50 | 13,207,142 | 231,124,985 | 1,023,022,875 | Form |
Investor Activity (13F)
Updated Jul 28, 2026Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.
| Active Manager | Value | % of Portfolio | Total Positions | QoQ | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goodlander Investment Management, LLC | $31.8 Mil | 11.0% | 12 | ADD +98.2% | 13F |
| Bornite Capital Management LP | $61.6 Mil | 10.4% | 17 | New | 13F |
| Carronade Capital Management, LP | $133.3 Mil | 9.7% | 25 | ADD +14.4% | 13F |
| Verbena Value LP | $51.7 Mil | 8.5% | 26 | ADD +31.3% | 13F |
| Tensile Capital Management LP | $46.5 Mil | 6.7% | 25 | TRIM -14.7% | 13F |
| Northern Right Capital Management, L.P. | $16.3 Mil | 5.8% | 25 | Hold | 13F |
| Icahn Carl C | $418.8 Mil | 4.9% | 18 | Hold | 13F |
| Hill City Capital, LP | $117.7 Mil | 4.2% | 23 | Hold | 13F |
| Conversant Capital LLC | $25.0 Mil | 3.4% | 16 | TRIM -38.9% | 13F |
| Luxor Capital Group, LP | $17.4 Mil | 2.8% | 38 | TRIM -17.6% | 13F |
| Irenic Capital Management LP | $10.4 Mil | 0.9% | 42 | ADD +97.1% | 13F |
| Active Manager | Value | % of Portfolio | Total Positions | QoQ | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bornite Capital Management LP | $61.6 Mil | 10.4% | 17 | New | 13F |
| Goodlander Investment Management, LLC | $31.8 Mil | 11.0% | 12 | ADD +98.2% | 13F |
| Irenic Capital Management LP | $10.4 Mil | 0.9% | 42 | ADD +97.1% | 13F |
| Verbena Value LP | $51.7 Mil | 8.5% | 26 | ADD +31.3% | 13F |
| Carronade Capital Management, LP | $133.3 Mil | 9.7% | 25 | ADD +14.4% | 13F |
| Active Manager | Value | % of Portfolio | Total Positions | QoQ | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Icahn Carl C | $418.8 Mil | 4.9% | 18 | Hold | 13F |
| Carronade Capital Management, LP | $133.3 Mil | 9.7% | 25 | ADD +14.4% | 13F |
| Hill City Capital, LP | $117.7 Mil | 4.2% | 23 | Hold | 13F |
| Bornite Capital Management LP | $61.6 Mil | 10.4% | 17 | New | 13F |
| Verbena Value LP | $51.7 Mil | 8.5% | 26 | ADD +31.3% | 13F |
| Tensile Capital Management LP | $46.5 Mil | 6.7% | 25 | TRIM -14.7% | 13F |
| Goodlander Investment Management, LLC | $31.8 Mil | 11.0% | 12 | ADD +98.2% | 13F |
| Conversant Capital LLC | $25.0 Mil | 3.4% | 16 | TRIM -38.9% | 13F |
| Luxor Capital Group, LP | $17.4 Mil | 2.8% | 38 | TRIM -17.6% | 13F |
| Northern Right Capital Management, L.P. | $16.3 Mil | 5.8% | 25 | Hold | 13F |
| Irenic Capital Management LP | $10.4 Mil | 0.9% | 42 | ADD +97.1% | 13F |
Industry Resources
| Utilities Resources |
| Data.gov Energy Infrastructure |
| Data.gov Energy Resources |
| Utility Dive |
| Gas Utilities Resources |
| American Gas Association (AGA) |
| Natural Gas Intelligence (NGI) |
| Pipeline & Gas Journal |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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