Tearsheet

Castle Biosciences (CSTL)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $39.415 | Market Cap: $1.1 Bil
Sector: Health Care | Industry: Life Sciences Tools & Services

Castle Biosciences (CSTL)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $39.415
Market Cap: $1.1 Bil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Life Sciences Tools & Services

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -38%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -1.4%, Dist 3Y High is -1.4%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -35 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -10%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%
  Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 132%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Advanced Diagnostics, and Personalized Diagnostics.
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -3.2%
3   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -6.0%
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -38%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Advanced Diagnostics, and Personalized Diagnostics.
3 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -1.4%, Dist 3Y High is -1.4%
4 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -35 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -10%
5 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 132%
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -3.2%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -6.0%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

CSTL Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points for Castle Biosciences' stock movement from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:

1. Strong Q2 and Q3 2025 Financial Performance and Upgraded Revenue Guidance: Castle Biosciences reported robust second-quarter 2025 results in early August, exceeding revenue expectations and increasing its full-year 2025 revenue guidance. This positive trend continued with impressive third-quarter 2025 results released on November 3, 2025, where the company again surpassed revenue forecasts and significantly narrowed its earnings per share loss compared to estimates. As a result, Castle Biosciences further raised its full-year 2025 revenue guidance to a range of $327-335 million.

2. Commercial Launch of AdvanceAD-Tx Test: In November 2025, Castle Biosciences commercially launched its AdvanceAD-Tx test, a new gene expression profile test designed to guide systemic treatment selection for patients with moderate-to-severe atopic dermatitis. This new test targets a substantial addressable market, estimated at $33 billion in the U.S. alone, signaling significant potential for future revenue growth.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
CSTL Return95%-36%-45%-8%23%47%14%
Peers Return39%160%39%-7%-19%6%301%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
CSTL Win Rate58%42%42%50%50%50% 
Peers Win Rate19%15%27%19%23%50% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
CSTL Max Drawdown-33%-42%-63%-50%-19%-45% 
Peers Max Drawdown-14%-1%-23%-23%-24%-14% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: CYH, SURG, AVRT, BLLN, BNBX. See CSTL Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventCSTLS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-88.0%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven734.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-35.0%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven53.9%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven57 days148 days

Compare to CYH, SURG, AVRT, BLLN, BNBX


In The Past

Castle Biosciences's stock fell -88.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/9/2021. A -88.0% loss requires a 734.7% gain to breakeven.

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Asset Allocation

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About Castle Biosciences (CSTL)

Better Bets than Castle Biosciences (CSTL)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to CSTL. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.1%4.1%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-9.8%-9.8%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.0%6.0%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
9.7%9.7%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.2%6.2%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.1%4.1%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-9.8%-9.8%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.0%6.0%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
9.7%9.7%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.2%6.2%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Castle Biosciences

Peers to compare with:

Financials

CSTLCYHSURGAVRTBLLNBNBXMedian
NameCastle B.Communit.SurgepaysAvertix .BillionT.BNB Plus  
Mkt Price39.413.571.75-102.763.113.57
Mkt Cap1.10.50.0---0.5
Rev LTM34412,64436--4190
Op Inc LTM-351,082-47---13-24
FCF LTM25143-34---146
FCF 3Y Avg6-74-7---10-8
CFO LTM62493-34---1324
CFO 3Y Avg30325-7---1012

Growth & Margins

CSTLCYHSURGAVRTBLLNBNBXMedian
NameCastle B.Communit.SurgepaysAvertix .BillionT.BNB Plus  
Rev Chg LTM10.1%0.7%-67.7%---51.0%-25.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg42.6%0.9%-1.7%---12.6%-0.4%
Rev Chg Q-3.2%-0.1%-23.6%--34.3%-1.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-0.8%-0.0%-8.9%--7.5%-0.4%
Op Mgn LTM-10.2%8.6%-129.0%---306.1%-69.6%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-18.3%7.3%-40.2%---170.3%-29.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-3.5%1.6%-1.3%--42.9%0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM18.0%3.9%-94.1%---301.5%-45.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg7.1%2.6%-27.4%---141.9%-12.4%
FCF/Rev LTM7.4%1.1%-94.1%---313.1%-46.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-1.1%-0.6%-27.6%---147.0%-14.4%

Valuation

CSTLCYHSURGAVRTBLLNBNBXMedian
NameCastle B.Communit.SurgepaysAvertix .BillionT.BNB Plus  
Mkt Cap1.10.50.0---0.5
P/S1.90.01.7---1.7
P/EBIT-35.30.3-1.3----1.3
P/E-54.11.3-1.3----1.3
P/CFO10.70.9-1.8---0.9
Total Yield-1.8%76.6%-78.9%----1.8%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%---0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-0.3%-20.8%-12.0%----12.0%
D/E0.126.20.2---0.2
Net D/E-0.425.90.1---0.1

Returns

CSTLCYHSURGAVRTBLLNBNBXMedian
NameCastle B.Communit.SurgepaysAvertix .BillionT.BNB Plus  
1M Rtn51.6%-7.3%-32.2%---8.5%-7.9%
3M Rtn69.9%27.5%-37.5%---27.5%
6M Rtn131.6%-6.8%-40.7%----6.8%
12M Rtn28.0%5.0%-4.9%---5.0%
3Y Rtn53.3%3.5%-76.6%---3.5%
1M Excs Rtn51.7%-7.2%-32.1%---8.5%-7.9%
3M Excs Rtn65.3%20.4%-40.8%---20.4%
6M Excs Rtn116.8%-21.5%-55.4%----21.5%
12M Excs Rtn16.6%-9.8%-25.2%----9.8%
3Y Excs Rtn18.4%-56.1%-144.6%----56.1%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
The delivery of test reports for our molecular diagnostic tests220   52
Dermatologic 1258658 
Non-Dermatologic 1285 
Total220137946352


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
The delivery of test reports for our molecular diagnostic tests-57    
Total-57    


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1,641,694
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120256.1%
Average Daily Volume673,049
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.44
Basic Shares Quantity29,073,000
Short % of Basic Shares5.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251103202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025804202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025505202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024227202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241104202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024805202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024502202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023228202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231102202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023802202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023503202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022228202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221102202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022808202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022509202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021228202210-K 12/31/2021