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Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -12%
Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -14%
Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.0%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20%
  
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Advanced Diagnostics, Show more.
  
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -12%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Advanced Diagnostics, Show more.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -14%
4 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.0%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

VCYT Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points for Veracyte's (VCYT) stock movement from approximately August 31, 2025, to today:

1. Strong Financial Performance and Raised Outlook: Veracyte announced robust second quarter 2025 financial results on August 6, 2025, showcasing testing growth that exceeded expectations, particularly for its Decipher product. The company subsequently raised its full-year 2025 testing revenue guidance to between $477 million and $483 million and its total revenue guidance to between $496 million and $504 million. This positive trend continued with the release of third quarter 2025 results on November 4, 2025, where Veracyte reported another "outstanding quarter" of testing revenue growth and adjusted EBITDA margin expansion, further raising its full-year revenue guidance to US$506–510 million.

2. Advancement of Afirma GRID Platform: Around November 3, 2025, Veracyte announced the first publications utilizing its Afirma GRID research tool, which suggested the platform could "transform pre-surgical thyroid cancer risk assessment." This highlighted the company's ongoing clinical innovation and the depth of its genomic data capabilities.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
VCYT Return75%-16%-42%16%44%7%51%
Peers Return10%30%3%-8%0%24%68%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%111%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
VCYT Win Rate42%50%33%50%50%58% 
Peers Win Rate53%60%52%40%52%63% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
VCYT Max Drawdown-42%-33%-63%-17%-31%-42% 
Peers Max Drawdown-37%-9%-21%-23%-17%-9% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ADUS, CVS, CI, LH, DGX. See VCYT Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/12/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventVCYTS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-81.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven431.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-46.5%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven87.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven119 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-42.7%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven74.6%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven79 days120 days

Compare to ADUS, CVS, CI, LH, DGX


In The Past

Veracyte's stock fell -81.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/9/2021. A -81.2% loss requires a 431.5% gain to breakeven.

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Asset Allocation

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About Veracyte (VCYT)

Better Bets than Veracyte (VCYT)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to VCYT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.0%15.0%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-5.1%-5.1%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
9.0%9.0%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
2.3%2.3%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.0%16.0%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.0%15.0%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-5.1%-5.1%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
9.0%9.0%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
2.3%2.3%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.0%16.0%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Veracyte

Peers to compare with:

Financials

VCYTADUSCVSCILHDGXMedian
NameVeracyte Addus Ho.CVS Heal.Cigna Labcorp Quest Di. 
Mkt Price42.84114.5979.42274.70264.18182.56148.57
Mkt Cap3.42.1100.873.122.020.421.2
Rev LTM4951,347394,084261,22013,76510,85012,308
Op Inc LTM4512310,751-1,3651,5311,365
FCF LTM98966,2933,9441,3811,3931,387
FCF 3Y Avg611076,4277,7731,0801,0041,042
CFO LTM1081039,1095,2921,8041,8851,844
CFO 3Y Avg711159,2779,1971,5311,4541,492

Growth & Margins

VCYTADUSCVSCILHDGXMedian
NameVeracyte Addus Ho.CVS Heal.Cigna Labcorp Quest Di. 
Rev Chg LTM16.4%18.8%6.8%20.9%8.3%13.7%15.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg20.5%13.3%7.7%13.6%8.6%2.2%10.9%
Rev Chg Q13.8%25.0%7.8%11.2%8.6%13.2%12.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM3.3%5.7%1.9%2.7%2.1%3.1%2.9%
Op Mgn LTM9.0%9.2%2.7%-9.9%14.1%9.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg2.0%8.8%3.3%-9.6%13.1%8.8%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM1.9%0.0%0.1%-0.8%0.1%0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM21.9%7.7%2.3%2.0%13.1%17.4%10.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg16.2%10.0%2.5%4.4%11.9%14.5%10.9%
FCF/Rev LTM19.8%7.2%1.6%1.5%10.0%12.8%8.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg13.9%9.2%1.8%3.8%8.4%10.0%8.8%

Valuation

VCYTADUSCVSCILHDGXMedian
NameVeracyte Addus Ho.CVS Heal.Cigna Labcorp Quest Di. 
Mkt Cap3.42.1100.873.122.020.421.2
P/S5.51.60.20.31.72.01.7
P/EBIT109.216.816.09.217.913.616.4
P/E89.124.9204.015.327.922.026.4
P/CFO25.020.710.514.513.211.313.9
Total Yield1.1%4.0%4.0%8.6%4.6%6.2%4.3%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%3.5%2.1%1.0%1.6%1.3%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg2.5%5.6%7.1%9.0%5.4%5.6%5.6%
D/E0.00.10.90.40.30.30.3
Net D/E-0.10.00.70.30.20.30.3

Returns

VCYTADUSCVSCILHDGXMedian
NameVeracyte Addus Ho.CVS Heal.Cigna Labcorp Quest Di. 
1M Rtn7.4%3.4%0.2%2.0%-1.1%-2.7%1.1%
3M Rtn38.7%3.9%6.8%-8.8%-4.7%0.3%2.1%
6M Rtn62.0%1.6%20.0%-12.5%1.7%2.2%2.0%
12M Rtn-0.9%-8.3%67.7%-0.5%15.1%20.0%7.3%
3Y Rtn47.1%7.9%-11.5%-13.3%17.0%28.3%12.4%
1M Excs Rtn1.6%1.1%-0.7%2.4%-0.1%-2.0%0.5%
3M Excs Rtn31.2%1.7%5.8%-10.2%-7.0%-1.7%-0.0%
6M Excs Rtn47.8%-12.6%5.8%-26.8%-12.5%-12.0%-12.3%
12M Excs Rtn-13.5%-19.9%37.0%-23.1%0.8%4.3%-6.4%
3Y Excs Rtn-13.9%-65.5%-86.5%-86.2%-58.1%-43.4%-61.8%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Testing revenue327251188102107
Biopharmaceutical and other revenue19332068
Product revenue161311101
Collaboration revenue    4
Total361297220117120


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity5,707,781
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520254.7%
Average Daily Volume1,087,253
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.25
Basic Shares Quantity78,725,139
Short % of Basic Shares7.3%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/4/202527.5%18.1%23.5%
8/6/202515.5%28.0%35.3%
5/7/20251.2%-7.6%-11.0%
2/24/2025-15.0%-14.7%-14.4%
11/6/20242.0%8.0%20.6%
8/6/202424.0%49.2%36.4%
5/7/2024-4.3%9.5%1.8%
2/22/2024-8.9%-3.2%-13.4%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive151412
# Negative8911
Median Positive7.4%13.8%21.1%
Median Negative-7.1%-7.6%-13.4%
Max Positive27.5%49.2%57.4%
Max Negative-15.0%-14.7%-35.2%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251105202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024228202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241107202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024807202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024508202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023229202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231108202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023809202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023505202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022301202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022803202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022504202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021228202210-K 12/31/2021