Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -12%
Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -23%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 109x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 25x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 89x
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20%
  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.0%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Advanced Diagnostics, Show more.
  Key risks
VCYT key risks include [1] the ability to successfully commercialize and achieve widespread market acceptance for its diagnostic tests, Show more.
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -12%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, Precision Medicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Advanced Diagnostics, Show more.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -23%
4 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 109x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 25x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 89x
5 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.0%
6 Key risks
VCYT key risks include [1] the ability to successfully commercialize and achieve widespread market acceptance for its diagnostic tests, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

VCYT Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results and Upgraded Outlook. Veracyte reported robust financial results for the third quarter of 2025, including a 14% increase in total revenue to $131.9 million and a 17% rise in testing revenue, driven by strong performance from its Decipher Prostate and Afirma tests. The company also significantly raised its full-year 2025 revenue guidance to $506-$510 million and increased its adjusted EBITDA margin guidance to approximately 22.5%. This positive financial performance and optimistic outlook led to an 18.0% surge in the stock price following the announcement.

2. Positive Clinical Data for Decipher Prostate Genomic Classifier. In August 2025, data published in "Cell" demonstrated that Veracyte's Decipher Prostate Genomic Classifier accurately predicts which metastatic prostate cancer patients would benefit from docetaxel chemotherapy. Further validation data, presented at ASTRO 2025 in September 2025, reinforced the biomarker's ability to predict hormone therapy benefit in men with recurrent prostate cancer, thereby strengthening the clinical evidence and market confidence in Veracyte's offerings.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
VCYT Return75%-16%-42%16%44%9%55%
Peers Return28%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
VCYT Win Rate42%50%33%50%50%58% 
Peers Win Rate51%55% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
VCYT Max Drawdown-42%-33%-63%-17%-31%-42% 
Peers Max Drawdown-25% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: BTSG, BDSX, CVS, CI, LH. See VCYT Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventVCYTS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-81.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven431.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-46.5%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven87.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven119 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-42.7%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven74.6%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven79 days120 days

Compare to BTSG, BDSX, CVS, CI, LH


In The Past

Veracyte's stock fell -81.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/9/2021. A -81.2% loss requires a 431.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

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Asset Allocation

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About Veracyte (VCYT)

Better Bets than Veracyte (VCYT)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to VCYT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.8%16.8%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-6.4%-6.4%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
5.2%5.2%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.4%3.4%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.4%14.4%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.8%16.8%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-6.4%-6.4%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
5.2%5.2%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.4%3.4%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.4%14.4%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Veracyte

Peers to compare with:

Financials

VCYTBTSGBDSXCVSCILHMedian
NameVeracyte BrightSp.Biodesix CVS Heal.Cigna Labcorp  
Mkt Price42.2135.587.5477.88273.84255.8160.05
Mkt Cap3.37.20.198.872.921.314.2
Rev LTM49513,30180394,084261,22013,76513,533
Op Inc LTM45341-3210,751-1,365341
FCF LTM98276-296,2933,9441,381828
FCF 3Y Avg6155-456,4277,7731,080571
CFO LTM108349-289,1095,2921,8041,076
CFO 3Y Avg71132-369,2779,1971,531832

Growth & Margins

VCYTBTSGBDSXCVSCILHMedian
NameVeracyte BrightSp.Biodesix CVS Heal.Cigna Labcorp  
Rev Chg LTM16.4%37.1%22.3%6.8%20.9%8.3%18.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg20.5%24.3%31.4%7.7%13.6%8.6%17.0%
Rev Chg Q13.8%28.2%19.9%7.8%11.2%8.6%12.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM3.3%5.8%4.7%1.9%2.7%2.1%3.0%
Op Mgn LTM9.0%2.6%-40.3%2.7%-9.9%2.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg2.0%1.8%-67.6%3.3%-9.6%2.0%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM1.9%0.3%3.9%0.1%-0.8%0.8%
CFO/Rev LTM21.9%2.6%-35.1%2.3%2.0%13.1%2.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg16.2%1.0%-57.7%2.5%4.4%11.9%3.5%
FCF/Rev LTM19.8%2.1%-36.6%1.6%1.5%10.0%1.8%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg13.9%0.3%-77.7%1.8%3.8%8.4%2.8%

Valuation

VCYTBTSGBDSXCVSCILHMedian
NameVeracyte BrightSp.Biodesix CVS Heal.Cigna Labcorp  
Mkt Cap3.37.20.198.872.921.314.2
P/S5.50.50.70.20.31.70.6
P/EBIT109.217.6-1.816.09.217.916.8
P/E89.146.4-1.4204.015.327.937.2
P/CFO25.017.2-2.010.514.513.213.9
Total Yield1.1%2.2%-69.8%4.0%8.6%4.6%3.1%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%3.5%2.1%1.0%0.5%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg2.5%--403.0%7.1%9.0%5.4%5.4%
D/E0.00.41.30.90.40.30.4
Net D/E-0.10.41.00.70.30.20.4

Returns

VCYTBTSGBDSXCVSCILHMedian
NameVeracyte BrightSp.Biodesix CVS Heal.Cigna Labcorp  
1M Rtn7.5%13.5%-4.8%-0.7%1.5%-1.9%0.4%
3M Rtn32.6%29.9%21.4%6.1%-7.2%-7.1%13.8%
6M Rtn57.4%59.0%36.5%18.8%-12.0%-1.6%27.6%
12M Rtn-0.1%92.7%-72.9%84.4%5.2%12.0%8.6%
3Y Rtn54.0%--77.8%-8.5%-11.6%15.1%-8.5%
1M Excs Rtn6.7%12.7%-5.5%-1.4%0.8%-2.6%-0.3%
3M Excs Rtn25.7%29.2%10.7%4.2%-7.6%-8.8%7.4%
6M Excs Rtn45.0%46.6%24.1%6.4%-24.4%-14.0%15.2%
12M Excs Rtn-13.4%80.6%-82.9%53.4%-11.9%0.4%-5.8%
3Y Excs Rtn-23.3%--143.6%-84.3%-83.2%-53.7%-83.2%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Testing revenue327251188102107
Biopharmaceutical and other revenue19332068
Product revenue161311101
Collaboration revenue    4
Total361297220117120


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity5,707,781
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520254.7%
Average Daily Volume1,087,253
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.25
Basic Shares Quantity78,725,139
Short % of Basic Shares7.3%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/4/202527.5%18.1%23.5%
8/6/202515.5%28.0%35.3%
5/7/20251.2%-7.6%-11.0%
2/24/2025-15.0%-14.7%-14.4%
11/6/20242.0%8.0%20.6%
8/6/202424.0%49.2%36.4%
5/7/2024-4.3%9.5%1.8%
2/22/2024-8.9%-3.2%-13.4%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive151412
# Negative8911
Median Positive7.4%13.8%21.1%
Median Negative-7.1%-7.6%-13.4%
Max Positive27.5%49.2%57.4%
Max Negative-15.0%-14.7%-35.2%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251105202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024228202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241107202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024807202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024508202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023229202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231108202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023809202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023505202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022301202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022803202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022504202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021228202210-K 12/31/2021