Tearsheet

Sigma Lithium (SGML)


Market Price (11/17/2025): $8.005 | Market Cap: $890.8 Mil
Sector: Materials | Industry: Diversified Metals & Mining

Sigma Lithium (SGML)


Market Price (11/17/2025): $8.005
Market Cap: $890.8 Mil
Sector: Materials
Industry: Diversified Metals & Mining

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -54%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -125%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -162%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -26 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -21%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Battery Technology & Metals, Renewable Energy Transition, and Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving. Themes include Advanced Battery Components, Show more.
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -43%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -63%
2   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -11%
0 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -54%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Battery Technology & Metals, Renewable Energy Transition, and Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving. Themes include Advanced Battery Components, Show more.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -125%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -162%
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -26 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -21%
4 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -43%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -63%
5 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -11%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

SGML Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The 16.8% movement in Sigma Lithium (SGML) stock from July 31, 2025, to November 15, 2025, can be attributed to several key positive developments:

1. Strong Rebound in Q3 2025 Financial Performance: Sigma Lithium reported significantly increased net revenues of US$28.5 million for the third quarter ended September 30, 2025, marking a 69% quarter-over-quarter and 36% year-over-year increase. This demonstrated the effectiveness of its commercial strategy in navigating lithium price fluctuations and capitalizing on provisional pricing.

2. Enhanced Liquidity and Debt Reduction: The company substantially improved its liquidity by converting trade receivables into US$21 million in cash by November 13, 2025, contributing to a total of approximately US$29 million in cash and equivalents. Additionally, Sigma Lithium significantly deleveraged by reducing its short-term trade finance debt by 38% by September 30, 2025.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
SGML Return-7%760%171%12%-64%-46%366%
Peers Return34%3%14%-7%-11%36%78%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
SGML Win Rate8%33%67%67%42%40% 
Peers Win Rate33%27%32%32%28%76% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
SGML Max Drawdown-7%0%-16%-23%-72%-62% 
Peers Max Drawdown-32%-10%-9%-15%-17%-21% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: VALE, WRN, XPL, ALM, CRML.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/14/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventSGMLS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-48.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven94.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-21.4%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven27.3%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven539 days148 days

Compare to VALE, WRN, XPL, ALM, CRML


In The Past

Sigma Lithium's stock fell -48.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 5/17/2023. A -48.7% loss requires a 94.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Sigma Lithium (SGML)

Better Bets than Sigma Lithium (SGML)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to SGML. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
2.2%2.2%-2.5%
SLGN_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025SLGNSilganDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.6%-1.6%-1.6%
TGLS_10242025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10242025TGLSTecnoglassDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-25.1%-25.1%-25.2%
NEM_10242025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%10242025NEMNewmontQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
5.3%5.3%-5.7%
RGLD_10242025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%10242025RGLDRoyal GoldQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
1.8%1.8%-7.3%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
2.2%2.2%-2.5%
SLGN_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025SLGNSilganDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.6%-1.6%-1.6%
TGLS_10242025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10242025TGLSTecnoglassDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-25.1%-25.1%-25.2%
NEM_10242025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%10242025NEMNewmontQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
5.3%5.3%-5.7%
RGLD_10242025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%10242025RGLDRoyal GoldQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
1.8%1.8%-7.3%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Sigma Lithium

Financials

SGMLVALEWRNXPLALMCRMLMedian
NameSigma Li.Vale Western .Solitari.Almonty .Critical. 
Mkt Price6.0612.302.090.596.599.106.32
Mkt Cap0.752.50.40.11.4-0.7
Rev LTM12637,4670030-30
Op Inc LTM-2610,908-8-5-21--8
FCF LTM-2,871-24-5-69--14
FCF 3Y Avg-4,191-22-4-45--13
CFO LTM-9,014-3-5-5--4
CFO 3Y Avg-10,182-4-4-8--4

Growth & Margins

SGMLVALEWRNXPLALMCRMLMedian
NameSigma Li.Vale Western .Solitari.Almonty .Critical. 
Rev Chg LTM-42.6%-8.6%--7.5%--8.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg--5.8%--7.9%-1.0%
Rev Chg Q-63.2%9.1%--28.0%-9.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-18.7%2.4%--6.7%-2.4%
Op Mgn LTM-20.9%29.1%---70.2%--20.9%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-33.3%---38.4%--2.6%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-20.5%1.0%--1.2%-1.0%
CFO/Rev LTM-24.1%---16.7%-3.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-25.6%---28.5%--1.5%
FCF/Rev LTM-7.7%---228.9%--110.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-10.5%---160.7%--75.1%

Valuation

SGMLVALEWRNXPLALMCRMLMedian
NameSigma Li.Vale Western .Solitari.Almonty .Critical. 
Mkt Cap0.752.50.40.11.4-0.7
P/S5.31.4--47.3-5.3
P/EBIT-18.57.2-51.2-9.8-23.5--18.5
P/E-15.09.5-112.3-10.8-21.9--15.0
P/CFO-5.8-122.4-11.1-282.5--66.7
Total Yield-6.7%10.5%-0.9%-9.2%-4.6%--4.6%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%-0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-8.1%-8.0%-8.1%---8.0%
D/E0.20.40.00.00.1-0.1
Net D/E0.20.3-0.1-0.20.1-0.1

Returns

SGMLVALEWRNXPLALMCRMLMedian
NameSigma Li.Vale Western .Solitari.Almonty .Critical. 
1M Rtn-2.4%10.8%-3.2%-14.7%-19.8%-56.4%-9.0%
3M Rtn-5.3%24.0%54.8%-20.2%47.1%55.8%35.5%
6M Rtn-7.9%29.8%102.9%1.3%-545.4%29.8%
12M Rtn-53.2%36.0%62.0%4.0%-54.2%36.0%
3Y Rtn-79.1%2.6%27.4%4.9%--3.8%
1M Excs Rtn-12.2%9.1%-17.0%-19.6%-24.1%-54.7%-18.3%
3M Excs Rtn-10.5%21.0%60.1%-27.2%36.4%43.8%28.7%
6M Excs Rtn-20.9%16.8%89.9%-11.7%-532.4%16.8%
12M Excs Rtn-67.9%21.2%69.2%-13.3%-28.1%21.2%
3Y Excs Rtn-162.2%-67.9%-32.5%-72.8%---70.3%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment137    
Total137    


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
High grade lithium concentrate 2281532616
Total 2281532616


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10312025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity10,606,747
Short Interest: % Change Since 101520255.9%
Average Daily Volume4,655,148
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.28
Basic Shares Quantity111,280,000
Short % of Basic Shares9.5%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
630202581520256-K 6/30/2025
331202551520256-K 3/31/2025
12312024331202540-F 12/31/2024
9302024111520246-K 9/30/2024
630202481620246-K 6/30/2024
331202451620246-K 3/31/2024
12312023501202440-F 12/31/2023
9302023111520236-K 9/30/2023
630202390120236-K 6/30/2023
331202381120236-K 3/31/2023
12312022613202340-F 12/31/2022
630202281720226-K 6/30/2022
331202251620226-K 3/31/2022
12312021404202240-F 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

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