Sigma Lithium (SGML)
Market Price (11/17/2025): $8.005 | Market Cap: $890.8 MilSector: Materials | Industry: Diversified Metals & Mining
Sigma Lithium (SGML)
Market Price (11/17/2025): $8.005Market Cap: $890.8 MilSector: MaterialsIndustry: Diversified Metals & Mining
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -54% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -125%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -162% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -26 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -21% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Battery Technology & Metals, Renewable Energy Transition, and Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving. Themes include Advanced Battery Components, Show more. | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -43%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -63% | |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -11% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -54% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Battery Technology & Metals, Renewable Energy Transition, and Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving. Themes include Advanced Battery Components, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -125%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -162% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -26 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -21% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -43%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -63% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -11% |
Market Valuation & Key Metrics
SGML Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
The 16.8% movement in Sigma Lithium (SGML) stock from July 31, 2025, to November 15, 2025, can be attributed to several key positive developments:
1. Strong Rebound in Q3 2025 Financial Performance: Sigma Lithium reported significantly increased net revenues of US$28.5 million for the third quarter ended September 30, 2025, marking a 69% quarter-over-quarter and 36% year-over-year increase. This demonstrated the effectiveness of its commercial strategy in navigating lithium price fluctuations and capitalizing on provisional pricing.
2. Enhanced Liquidity and Debt Reduction: The company substantially improved its liquidity by converting trade receivables into US$21 million in cash by November 13, 2025, contributing to a total of approximately US$29 million in cash and equivalents. Additionally, Sigma Lithium significantly deleveraged by reducing its short-term trade finance debt by 38% by September 30, 2025.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| SGML Return | -7% | 760% | 171% | 12% | -64% | -46% | 366% |
| Peers Return | 34% | 3% | 14% | -7% | -11% | 36% | 78% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| SGML Win Rate | 8% | 33% | 67% | 67% | 42% | 40% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 33% | 27% | 32% | 32% | 28% | 76% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| SGML Max Drawdown | -7% | 0% | -16% | -23% | -72% | -62% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -32% | -10% | -9% | -15% | -17% | -21% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: VALE, WRN, XPL, ALM, CRML.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/14/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | SGML | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -48.7% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 94.8% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -21.4% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 27.3% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 539 days | 148 days |
Compare to VALE, WRN, XPL, ALM, CRML
In The Past
Sigma Lithium's stock fell -48.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 5/17/2023. A -48.7% loss requires a 94.8% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| Can Sigma Lithium Stock Recover If Markets Fall? | Return | ||
| Day 6 of Loss Streak for Sigma Lithium Stock with -30% Return (vs. -55% YTD) [8/1/2025] | Notification | ||
| Day 5 of Loss Streak for Sigma Lithium Stock with -28% Return (vs. -54% YTD) [7/31/2025] | Notification | ||
| SGML Dip Buy Analysis | |||
| Day 5 of Gains Streak for Sigma Lithium Stock with 24% Return (vs. -65% YTD) [8/21/2024] | Notification | ||
| Fundamental Metrics: ... | |||
| ARTICLES | |||
| SGML Stock Down -30% after 6-Day Loss Streak | August 2nd, 2025 | ||
| SGML Stock Down -28% after 5-Day Loss Streak | August 1st, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to SGML. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | ATR | AptarGroup | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.2% | 2.2% | -2.5% |
| 10312025 | SLGN | Silgan | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -1.6% | -1.6% | -1.6% |
| 10242025 | TGLS | Tecnoglass | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -25.1% | -25.1% | -25.2% |
| 10242025 | NEM | Newmont | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 5.3% | 5.3% | -5.7% |
| 10242025 | RGLD | Royal Gold | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 1.8% | 1.8% | -7.3% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | ATR | AptarGroup | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.2% | 2.2% | -2.5% |
| 10312025 | SLGN | Silgan | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -1.6% | -1.6% | -1.6% |
| 10242025 | TGLS | Tecnoglass | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -25.1% | -25.1% | -25.2% |
| 10242025 | NEM | Newmont | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 5.3% | 5.3% | -5.7% |
| 10242025 | RGLD | Royal Gold | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 1.8% | 1.8% | -7.3% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Sigma Lithium
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 6.32 |
| Mkt Cap | 0.7 |
| Rev LTM | 30 |
| Op Inc LTM | -8 |
| FCF LTM | -14 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -13 |
| CFO LTM | -4 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | -4 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -8.6% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 1.0% |
| Rev Chg Q | 9.1% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.4% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -20.9% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -2.6% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 1.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 3.7% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -1.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -110.6% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -75.1% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 0.7 |
| P/S | 5.3 |
| P/EBIT | -18.5 |
| P/E | -15.0 |
| P/CFO | -66.7 |
| Total Yield | -4.6% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -8.0% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -9.0% |
| 3M Rtn | 35.5% |
| 6M Rtn | 29.8% |
| 12M Rtn | 36.0% |
| 3Y Rtn | 3.8% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -18.3% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 28.7% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 16.8% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 21.2% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -70.3% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 6302025 | 8152025 | 6-K 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5152025 | 6-K 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3312025 | 40-F 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11152024 | 6-K 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8162024 | 6-K 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5162024 | 6-K 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 5012024 | 40-F 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11152023 | 6-K 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 9012023 | 6-K 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 8112023 | 6-K 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 6132023 | 40-F 12/31/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8172022 | 6-K 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5162022 | 6-K 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 4042022 | 40-F 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |