Tearsheet

Sigma Lithium (SGML)


Market Price (12/28/2025): $14.48 | Market Cap: $1.6 Bil
Sector: Materials | Industry: Diversified Metals & Mining

Sigma Lithium (SGML)


Market Price (12/28/2025): $14.48
Market Cap: $1.6 Bil
Sector: Materials
Industry: Diversified Metals & Mining

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Battery Technology & Metals, Renewable Energy Transition, and Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving. Themes include Advanced Battery Components, Show more.
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -12 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -8.9%
1  Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -102%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -133%
Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 214%
2   Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -7.2%
3   Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -15%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -29%
4   Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 204%
5   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -6.1%
6   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 101%
7   Key risks
SGML key risks include [1] significant financial and liquidity strain, Show more.
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Battery Technology & Metals, Renewable Energy Transition, and Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving. Themes include Advanced Battery Components, Show more.
1 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -102%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -133%
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -12 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -8.9%
4 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 214%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -7.2%
6 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -15%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -29%
7 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 204%
8 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -6.1%
9 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 101%
10 Key risks
SGML key risks include [1] significant financial and liquidity strain, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

SGML Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points highlighting the reasons for Sigma Lithium's (SGML) stock movement from August 31, 2025, to December 28, 2025:

<br><br>

<b>1. Significant Production Capacity Expansion on Track:</b> Sigma Lithium made substantial progress on its expansion plan to double its lithium concentrate production capacity, with commissioning of a new plant expected to begin in Q4 2025. This expansion is projected to increase annual production from 270,000 tonnes to 520,000 tonnes by 2026, with an interim boost to 300,000 tonnes in 2025. The company secured a USD $100 million credit line from BNDES to fully fund this construction, ensuring the project's advancement.

<br><br>

<b>2. Robust Q3 2025 Financial Performance:</b> The company reported a significant increase in net revenue for Q3 2025, rising by 69% quarter-over-quarter and 36% year-over-year. This was primarily attributed to strategic partnerships and effective management of lithium price fluctuations, with the average net realized price per tonne increasing by 40% quarter-over-quarter. Sigma Lithium also improved its cash position and significantly reduced its short-term trade finance debt by 48% throughout the year.

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<b>3. Favorable Lithium Market Outlook and Demand Surge:</b> Positive forecasts for the global lithium market contributed to investor confidence. The chairman of Ganfeng Lithium Group projected a 30%-40% increase in global lithium demand for 2026, suggesting lithium carbonate prices could more than double. Additionally, new demand for lithium-based energy storage systems emerged from the artificial intelligence (AI) and data center sectors.

<br><br>

<b>4. Enhanced Operational Efficiencies and Cost Reductions:</b> Sigma Lithium implemented mining operations upgrades in Q3 2025 aimed at improving ore delivery cadence and reducing plant gate costs by approximately 20%. The company also exceeded its Q2 2025 production targets, with lithium oxide concentrate output rising 38% year-on-year, while effectively keeping all-in sustaining cash costs down. Mining operations were set to restart by the end of November 2025, with a full ramp-up by Q1 2026.

<br><br>

<b>5. Strong Analyst Endorsement and Strategic Recognition:</b> Analysts maintained a "Strong Buy" or "Moderate Buy" consensus rating for Sigma Lithium stock, with some increasing price targets. The company's inclusion in the Morgan Stanley National Security Index on October 17, 2025, and its recognition for sustainability excellence further bolstered investor sentiment.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 106.3% change in SGML stock from 9/27/2025 to 12/27/2025 was primarily driven by a 94.6% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
927202512272025Change
Stock Price ($)7.0314.50106.26%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)126.89134.546.03%
P/S Multiple6.1712.0094.57%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)111.28111.31-0.02%
Cumulative Contribution106.26%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

9/27/2025 to 12/27/2025
ReturnCorrelation
SGML106.3% 
Market (SPY)4.3%22.7%
Sector (XLB)3.8%8.4%

Fundamental Drivers

The 213.9% change in SGML stock from 6/28/2025 to 12/27/2025 was primarily driven by a 263.8% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
628202512272025Change
Stock Price ($)4.6214.50213.85%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)155.92134.54-13.71%
P/S Multiple3.3012.00263.82%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)111.28111.31-0.03%
Cumulative Contribution213.85%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/28/2025 to 12/27/2025
ReturnCorrelation
SGML213.9% 
Market (SPY)12.6%14.6%
Sector (XLB)5.4%8.2%

Fundamental Drivers

The 29.1% change in SGML stock from 12/27/2024 to 12/27/2025 was primarily driven by a 39.8% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
1227202412272025Change
Stock Price ($)11.2314.5029.12%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)145.05134.54-7.24%
P/S Multiple8.5812.0039.81%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)110.82111.31-0.44%
Cumulative Contribution29.12%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/27/2024 to 12/27/2025
ReturnCorrelation
SGML29.1% 
Market (SPY)17.0%31.4%
Sector (XLB)10.2%27.2%

Fundamental Drivers

The -47.1% change in SGML stock from 12/28/2022 to 12/27/2025 was primarily driven by a null change in the company's P/S Multiple.
1228202212272025Change
Stock Price ($)27.4214.50-47.12%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)0.00134.54∞%
P/S Multiple∞12.00-100.00%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)100.66111.31-10.58%
Cumulative Contribution�

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/28/2023 to 12/27/2025
ReturnCorrelation
SGML-54.4% 
Market (SPY)48.0%31.1%
Sector (XLB)10.9%32.1%

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
SGML Return-7%760%171%12%-64%20%939%
Peers Return16%38%-12%21%26%16%150%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%18%114%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
SGML Win Rate8%33%67%67%42%50% 
Peers Win Rate52%65%42%68%57%52% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
SGML Max Drawdown-7%0%-16%-23%-72%-62% 
Peers Max Drawdown-34%-5%-26%-7%-9%-23% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: HPQ, HPE, IBM, CSCO, AAPL.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/26/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventSGMLS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-48.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven94.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-21.4%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven27.3%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven539 days148 days

Compare to HPQ, HPE, IBM, CSCO, AAPL

In The Past

Sigma Lithium's stock fell -48.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 5/17/2023. A -48.7% loss requires a 94.8% gain to breakeven.

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About Sigma Lithium (SGML)

Sigma Lithium Corporation engages in the exploration and development of lithium deposits in Brazil. It holds 100% interest in the Grota do Cirilo, Genipapo, Santa Clara, and São José properties comprising 27 mineral rights covering an area of approximately 191 square kilometers located in the Araçuaí and Itinga regions of the state of Minas Gerais, Brazil. The company was formerly known as Sigma Lithium Resources Corporation and changed its name to Sigma Lithium Corporation in July 2021. Sigma Lithium Corporation is headquartered in São Paulo, Brazil.

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  • The Intel of green lithium.
  • The green Barrick Gold of lithium.

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  • Battery-grade Lithium Concentrate (Spodumene): A high-purity lithium ore concentrate used as a key raw material for producing lithium chemicals essential for electric vehicle batteries.

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Sigma Lithium (SGML) sells primarily to other companies (business-to-business or B2B) rather than directly to individuals. Its product, lithium concentrate, is an industrial raw material used primarily in the manufacturing of batteries for electric vehicles and other applications.

The major customer companies for Sigma Lithium include:

  • Glencore plc (LSE: GLEN): A global diversified natural resource company and one of the world's largest producers and marketers of commodities. Glencore has been involved in purchasing initial commercial shipments of Sigma Lithium's concentrate.
  • LG Energy Solution, Ltd. (KRX: 373220): A leading global manufacturer of lithium-ion batteries for electric vehicles and energy storage systems. Sigma Lithium has a binding off-take agreement with LG Energy Solution for a portion of its future production.

While Sigma Lithium also sells a portion of its production on the spot market to various other industrial buyers, Glencore and LG Energy Solution represent its most significant named customers and strategic partners.

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  • Metso (MEO1V.HE)

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Ana Cabral-Gardner Co-Chairperson and Chief Executive Officer

Ana Cabral-Gardner co-chaired Sigma Lithium since its inception in 2012. She is a co-founder and Managing Partner at A10 Investimentos, a private equity boutique focused on sustainable investments, which became the controlling shareholder of Sigma Lithium. She has over 30 years of experience as a senior banker at global investment banks, including Goldman Sachs, Barclays, and Merrill Lynch, where she was former Head of Latin American Capital Markets and a Managing Director at Goldman Sachs. She has been involved in over 150 capital markets and M&A transactions, totaling more than $120 billion, including the privatization of Vale in 1996 and the Brazilian government partial divestiture of Petrobras in 2000.

Felipe Peres Chief Financial Officer

Felipe Peres was appointed sole Chief Financial Officer in August 2025, having previously served as CFO from 2020 to January 2023. He joined Sigma Lithium in 2020 and led its Nasdaq listing in 2021. He has over 30 years of experience as an executive in large multinational companies within the natural resource sectors, with global responsibilities. Prior to Sigma Lithium, he worked at Vale International, where he was involved in Global Treasury, Corporate Finance Reporting, and IFRS Consolidation. He also held positions at Shell and CSN.

Anna Hartley Head of Investor and Global Banking Relations

Anna Hartley is a partner at A10 Invest, the private equity firm that is the largest shareholder of Sigma Lithium. She previously served on the Board of Sigma Lithium and led the company's Investor Relations until 2022. She has over 30 years of experience in equity asset management, equity analysis, and investor relations at prominent financial institutions in London and New York.

Daniel Abdo Director of International Relations and Business Development

Daniel Abdo has over two decades of experience in investment banking and consulting. He previously served as a Senior Advisor in the Turnaround & Transformation and Corporate Finance & Strategy practice areas at Boston Consulting Group, and was formerly a Head of Investments.

Alexandre Matos VP of Health, Safety, Environment, and Community Relations

Alexandre Matos brings over 18 years of experience in the mining and engineering sectors, having held leadership roles at multinational companies across Brazil and internationally. He holds a degree in Environmental Engineering, an MBA in Business Administration, and a Master's degree in Territorial Planning and Environmental Management.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key risks to Sigma Lithium's business:
  1. Lithium Price Volatility: Sigma Lithium's profitability is highly sensitive to the fluctuating market prices of spodumene concentrate. Significant drops in lithium prices could lead to the company burning cash, making it challenging to fund capital expenditures and expansion plans. The company's stock performance over the last year has also reflected this extreme volatility in the lithium market.
  2. Financial Health and Liquidity Strain: Sigma Lithium faces substantial financial risks, including a high debt-to-equity ratio and a current ratio below 1.0, indicating that short-term assets may not fully cover short-term liabilities. The company has reported EBITDA and net losses, and there have been concerns regarding delays in securing new financing and prepayment deals, which can exacerbate liquidity challenges.
  3. Operational Execution and Production Delays: The company faces uncertainties related to production, including increased risks following a decision to switch mining contractors. There are also potential delays in the execution of key expansion projects, such as Plant 2, which are critical for future revenue growth and the company's long-term solvency story.

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1. The accelerating commercialization and widespread adoption of Sodium-ion (Na-ion) battery technology by major battery manufacturers. Na-ion batteries offer a viable, lower-cost alternative to lithium-ion batteries for specific applications, such as grid storage and certain segments of the electric vehicle market, potentially reducing future demand growth for lithium and impacting pricing for lithium producers.

2. Significant advancements and commercial scalability in Direct Lithium Extraction (DLE) technologies. DLE methods promise more efficient, potentially lower-cost, and environmentally friendlier extraction of lithium from unconventional sources like brines and geothermal fluids compared to traditional hard-rock mining methods like those employed by Sigma Lithium. Widespread adoption of DLE could significantly increase global lithium supply at reduced production costs, altering market dynamics and potentially eroding the competitive advantage of current hard-rock operations.

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Sigma Lithium's main product is high-purity battery-grade lithium concentrate, often referred to as "Green Lithium," which is a crucial component for lithium-ion batteries used predominantly in electric vehicles and energy storage systems.

The addressable markets for Sigma Lithium's products are substantial and global in scope:

  • Global Lithium Market: The global lithium market was valued at approximately USD 37.43 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 164.77 billion by 2033, growing at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 17.9% from 2025 to 2033. Another estimate places the global lithium market size at USD 28.08 billion in 2024, with a projection to reach USD 74.81 billion by 2030, at a CAGR of 18.2% from 2025 to 2030. The market is also estimated to grow from USD 22.48 billion in 2025 to USD 155.7 billion by 2035.

  • Global Lithium-ion Battery Market: The global lithium-ion battery market was valued at an estimated USD 83.6 billion in 2024 and is expected to grow to USD 448.8 billion by 2034, at a CAGR of 18.3%. Other projections indicate the market size was USD 194.66 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 426.37 billion by 2033, with a CAGR of 10.3%. Furthermore, the market was valued at USD 53.96 billion in 2024 and is estimated to reach USD 140.51 billion by 2033, exhibiting a CAGR of 11.14% from 2025 to 2033.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are the expected drivers of future revenue growth for Sigma Lithium (SGML) over the next 2-3 years:
  1. Increased Production Volume and Capacity Expansion: Sigma Lithium is strategically expanding its production capabilities. The company anticipates adding two new production lines between 2025 and 2026, targeting a total of 890,000 tonnes of lithium concentrate. After producing 240,000 tonnes in 2024, an additional 250,000 tonnes are expected to be commissioned in 2025, followed by another 400,000 tonnes in 2026 with Phase 3 of the project. This expansion aims to double the company's capacity by 2026. The construction of Plant 2 is also underway, projected to double the nameplate capacity to 520,000 tonnes per year.
  2. Stabilizing and Recovering Lithium Prices: Experts predict a long-term uptrend in lithium prices, which are currently stabilizing. Sigma Lithium's management has demonstrated the ability to secure higher prices, contributing to stable revenues. Analysts forecast lithium price recoveries, potentially reaching approximately $1,600 per tonne by the end of 2024 and $2,000 by mid-2025. The company also employs a disciplined commercial strategy, at times withholding product during periods of high price volatility to preserve pricing power and long-term margins.
  3. Continued Cost Reductions and Operational Efficiency: Sigma Lithium has consistently maintained some of the lowest cash unit operating costs in the global lithium industry. Significant cost savings led to a 22% reduction in CIF cash costs between Q4 2023 and Q3 2024. Planned operational upgrades are expected to further reduce plant gate costs by 20%. The company's operating cash costs, such as the CIF China cash operating costs, remained below target in Q2 2025 at an average of $442 per tonne.
  4. High Demand for "Triple Zero Green Lithium": Sigma Lithium's production of eco-friendly "Triple Zero Green Lithium" positions it uniquely in the market, making it highly attractive to electric vehicle manufacturers. The company has noted "spectacular demand" for its Triple Zero Green By-product due to its purity, with demand currently exceeding supply.
  5. Expansion of Mineral Resources: Sigma Lithium has announced a potential increase in its mineral resource estimate to over 110 million tonnes, positioning it among the largest globally. The company anticipates its total mineral resource, encompassing Phases 1 through 5, to reach 130 million tonnes, ensuring a robust and long-term supply for future production increases.

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Inbound Investments

  • Sigma Lithium received a binding commitment for a development loan of approximately $92 million (487 million Brazilian real) from the Brazilian development bank BNDES in August/September 2024.
  • This 16-year loan is intended to fully finance the construction of the company’s second carbon-neutral Greentech lithium plant in Brazil.
  • The BNDES loan covers nearly 99% of the capital expenditure budget for the new plant and has an annual interest rate of 7.45%, secured by a letter of credit from a BNDES-accredited financial institution.

Capital Expenditures

  • Capital expenditures for the Grota do Cirilo project were $1.06 million in 2020, $14 million in 2021, $84 million in 2022, and $52 million in 2023.
  • A Final Investment Decision (FID) was made on April 1, 2024, to construct a second production line (Phase 2 Industrial Greentech Plant) with an initial targeted capital expenditure of $100 million (FEL3). Recent reports, as of January 2025, indicate the capital expenditure for the second line is expected to be $136 million (FEL3).
  • The Phase 2 expansion aims to add 250,000 tonnes per annum of 5.5% Green Lithium production capacity, increasing the total annual capacity at Grota do Cirilo to 520,000 tonnes. Commissioning of Phase 2's crushing circuit is targeted for late Q2 2025, with commercial production commencing in Q3 2025.

Trade Ideas

Select ideas related to SGML. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
7.6%7.6%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-1.4%-1.4%-3.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
51.0%51.0%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
30.6%30.6%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
6.2%6.2%-2.5%

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Sigma Lithium

Peers to compare with:

Financials

SGMLHPQHPEIBMCSCOAAPLMedian
NameSigma Li.HP Hewlett .Internat.Cisco Sy.Apple  
Mkt Price14.5023.2624.49305.0978.16273.4051.32
Mkt Cap1.621.932.6284.9309.24,074.4158.8
Rev LTM13555,29534,29665,40257,696408,62556,496
Op Inc LTM-123,6241,64411,54412,991130,2147,584
FCF LTM-382,80062711,85412,73396,1847,327
FCF 3Y Avg-502,9781,40011,75313,879100,5037,366
CFO LTM-203,6972,91913,48313,744108,5658,590
CFO 3Y Avg-143,6723,89613,49814,736111,5598,697

Growth & Margins

SGMLHPQHPEIBMCSCOAAPLMedian
NameSigma Li.HP Hewlett .Internat.Cisco Sy.Apple  
Rev Chg LTM-7.2%3.2%13.8%4.5%8.9%6.0%5.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg--3.9%6.5%2.6%3.7%1.8%2.6%
Rev Chg Q36.6%4.2%14.4%9.1%7.5%9.6%9.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM6.0%1.1%3.7%2.1%1.8%2.1%2.1%
Op Mgn LTM-8.9%6.6%4.8%17.7%22.5%31.9%12.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-32.3%7.4%7.2%16.4%24.2%30.8%11.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM5.7%-0.2%-1.4%0.6%0.4%0.1%0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM-15.0%6.7%8.5%20.6%23.8%26.6%14.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-15.6%6.8%12.7%21.4%26.1%28.4%17.1%
FCF/Rev LTM-28.6%5.1%1.8%18.1%22.1%23.5%11.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-50.5%5.5%4.6%18.6%24.6%25.6%12.1%

Valuation

SGMLHPQHPEIBMCSCOAAPLMedian
NameSigma Li.HP Hewlett .Internat.Cisco Sy.Apple  
Mkt Cap1.621.932.6284.9309.24,074.4158.8
P/S12.00.41.04.45.410.04.9
P/EBIT-93.16.819.925.122.531.321.2
P/E-51.18.6572.736.029.941.033.0
P/CFO-79.95.911.221.122.537.516.2
Total Yield-2.0%14.1%2.3%5.0%5.4%2.8%3.9%
Dividend Yield0.0%2.5%2.1%2.2%2.1%0.4%2.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-2.6%10.6%5.5%6.4%6.0%3.1%5.7%
D/E0.10.50.70.20.10.00.2
Net D/E0.10.30.60.20.00.00.1

Returns

SGMLHPQHPEIBMCSCOAAPLMedian
NameSigma Li.HP Hewlett .Internat.Cisco Sy.Apple  
1M Rtn36.7%-1.8%14.4%0.6%2.7%-1.5%1.7%
3M Rtn106.3%-11.9%2.7%7.9%17.0%7.1%7.5%
6M Rtn213.9%-4.0%34.5%6.6%15.2%36.3%24.9%
12M Rtn29.1%-27.0%16.2%40.5%34.5%7.5%22.6%
3Y Rtn-47.1%-1.9%71.1%143.1%81.3%120.2%76.2%
1M Excs Rtn44.9%-5.6%12.9%-2.2%-0.0%-3.7%-1.1%
3M Excs Rtn102.0%-16.2%-1.7%3.6%12.7%2.8%3.2%
6M Excs Rtn201.6%-16.3%22.3%-5.7%3.0%24.0%12.6%
12M Excs Rtn13.8%-42.9%-0.7%25.0%19.9%-8.4%6.5%
3Y Excs Rtn-133.0%-83.5%-11.2%59.6%-1.2%28.4%-6.2%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment137    
Total137    


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
High grade lithium concentrate 2281522616
Total 2281522616


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$14.50 
Market Cap ($ Bil)1.6 
First Trading Date07/18/2019 
Distance from 52W High0.0% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$8.69$7.31
DMA Trenddownup
Distance from DMA66.8%98.4%
 3M1YR
Volatility144.4%101.7%
Downside Capture-76.1698.88
Upside Capture289.23108.88
Correlation (SPY)22.4%31.4%
SGML Betas & Captures as of 11/30/2025

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta2.872.892.471.581.611.53
Up Beta3.633.384.471.451.671.27
Down Beta6.534.214.263.032.311.89
Up Capture897%574%300%272%83%150%
Bmk +ve Days13263974142427
Stock +ve Days12233261109335
Down Capture-51%86%15%-3%114%110%
Bmk -ve Days7162452107323
Stock -ve Days8193060133404

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
 Comparison of SGML With Other Asset Classes (Last 1Y)
 SGMLSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return31.7%9.9%17.8%72.1%8.6%4.4%-8.2%
Annualized Volatility100.9%19.9%19.4%19.3%15.2%17.0%35.0%
Sharpe Ratio0.710.360.722.700.340.09-0.08
Correlation With Other Assets 27.2%31.3%7.1%16.8%14.8%19.4%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLB, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
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Based On 5-Year Data
 Comparison of SGML With Other Asset Classes (Last 5Y)
 SGMLSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return78.8%7.2%14.7%18.7%11.5%4.6%30.8%
Annualized Volatility285.5%18.9%17.1%15.5%18.7%18.9%48.6%
Sharpe Ratio0.600.290.700.970.500.160.57
Correlation With Other Assets 9.0%9.1%4.3%7.6%7.3%3.0%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLB, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
 Comparison of SGML With Other Asset Classes (Last 10Y)
 SGMLSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return45.8%10.1%14.8%15.3%7.0%5.3%69.2%
Annualized Volatility282.0%20.7%18.0%14.7%17.6%20.8%55.8%
Sharpe Ratio0.590.440.710.860.320.220.90
Correlation With Other Assets 9.3%9.3%3.9%7.6%7.8%2.8%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLB, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date12152025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity8,259,609
Short Interest: % Change Since 11302025-8.6%
Average Daily Volume4,098,257
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.02
Basic Shares Quantity111,307,968
Short % of Basic Shares7.4%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
9302025111420256-K 9/30/2025
630202581520256-K 6/30/2025
331202551520256-K 3/31/2025
12312024331202540-F 12/31/2024
9302024111520246-K 9/30/2024
630202481620246-K 6/30/2024
331202451620246-K 3/31/2024
12312023501202440-F 12/31/2023
9302023111520236-K 9/30/2023
630202390120236-K 6/30/2023
331202381120236-K 3/31/2023
12312022613202340-F 12/31/2022
630202281720226-K 6/30/2022
331202251620226-K 3/31/2022
12312021404202240-F 12/31/2021