Tearsheet

Ovintiv (OVV)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $38.83 | Market Cap: $9.9 Bil
Sector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production

Ovintiv (OVV)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $38.83
Market Cap: $9.9 Bil
Sector: Energy
Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.3%, Dividend Yield is 3.0%, FCF Yield is 14%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -44%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -81%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 62%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 42%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%, CFO LTM is 3.7 Bil
  Expensive valuation multiples
P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 44x
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 45%
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -12%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -11%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -11%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include US Energy Independence. Themes include US LNG, and US Oilfield Technologies.
  Key risks
OVV key risks include [1] its significant net debt of approximately $5.2 billion and [2] execution challenges related to the integration of acquired assets, Show more.
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.3%, Dividend Yield is 3.0%, FCF Yield is 14%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 42%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%, CFO LTM is 3.7 Bil
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 45%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include US Energy Independence. Themes include US LNG, and US Oilfield Technologies.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -44%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -81%
5 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 62%
6 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 44x
7 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -12%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -11%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -11%
8 Key risks
OVV key risks include [1] its significant net debt of approximately $5.2 billion and [2] execution challenges related to the integration of acquired assets, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

OVV Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

For Ovintiv (OVV), the stock moved by approximately -6.5% in the five days leading up to December 16, 2025. Several factors likely contributed to this decline: 1. Lower realized commodity prices. Ovintiv reported in its fourth-quarter 2024 results that adjusted earnings per share decreased from the prior year due to lower realized commodity prices for oil and natural gas. 2. Decreased total revenues and earnings. In 2024, Ovintiv's revenue decreased by 16.11% to $8.94 billion compared to the previous year, and earnings decreased by 46.04% to $1.13 billion. 3.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
OVV Return-35%138%53%-11%-5%-5%90%
Peers Return-1%109%67%4%35%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
OVV Win Rate67%75%67%42%42%58% 
Peers Win Rate48%67%63%52%55%50% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
OVV Max Drawdown-91%0%0%-36%-14%-22% 
Peers Max Drawdown-70%-0%-3%-18%-11%-12% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: TRGP, EQT, AR, BSM, COP.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventOVVS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-48.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven93.1%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-90.9%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1003.6%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven357 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-72.9%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven269.1%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-64.6%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven182.4%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days1,480 days

Compare to TRGP, EQT, AR, BSM, COP


In The Past

Ovintiv's stock fell -48.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/7/2022. A -48.2% loss requires a 93.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Ovintiv (OVV)

Better Bets than Ovintiv (OVV)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to OVV. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WHD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025WHDCactusDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
6.8%6.8%0.0%
OVV_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025OVVOvintivDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.4%4.4%0.0%
COP_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025COPConocoPhillipsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.5%4.5%-2.3%
HAL_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025HALHalliburtonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
24.5%24.5%-0.7%
OXY_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025OXYOccidental PetroleumDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.1%-7.1%-7.1%
OVV_4302023_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield04302023OVVOvintivDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
34.4%52.4%-11.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WHD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025WHDCactusDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
6.8%6.8%0.0%
OVV_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025OVVOvintivDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.4%4.4%0.0%
COP_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025COPConocoPhillipsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.5%4.5%-2.3%
HAL_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025HALHalliburtonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
24.5%24.5%-0.7%
OXY_10102025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10102025OXYOccidental PetroleumDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.1%-7.1%-7.1%
OVV_4302023_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield04302023OVVOvintivDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
34.4%52.4%-11.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Ovintiv

Peers to compare with:

Financials

OVVTRGPEQTARBSMCOPMedian
NameOvintiv Targa Re.EQT Antero R.Black St.ConocoPh. 
Mkt Price38.82182.3754.3634.31-94.9654.36
Mkt Cap9.939.233.910.6-118.233.9
Rev LTM8,94917,3787,8884,88043159,7888,418
Op Inc LTM2,0713,1142,92273327812,5492,497
FCF LTM1,4846432,4901,1802247,0881,332
FCF 3Y Avg1,4585241,5909813718,9101,220
CFO LTM3,7183,7404,7571,53833619,9353,729
CFO 3Y Avg3,8203,2703,6901,19343720,7203,480

Growth & Margins

OVVTRGPEQTARBSMCOPMedian
NameOvintiv Targa Re.EQT Antero R.Black St.ConocoPh. 
Rev Chg LTM-11.7%7.2%64.8%19.7%-8.5%8.2%7.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-10.7%-6.2%-2.8%-13.0%-16.4%-6.6%-8.7%
Rev Chg Q-11.1%7.8%49.8%15.2%1.9%15.3%11.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-2.8%1.8%8.3%3.2%0.5%3.4%2.5%
Op Mgn LTM23.1%17.9%37.0%15.0%64.3%21.0%22.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg25.7%16.6%20.2%12.2%66.2%24.1%22.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.6%0.3%7.8%2.4%1.0%-1.0%0.6%
CFO/Rev LTM41.5%21.5%60.3%31.5%77.9%33.3%37.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg38.4%19.6%58.1%25.5%88.7%35.6%37.0%
FCF/Rev LTM16.6%3.7%31.6%24.2%52.0%11.9%20.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg14.7%3.1%23.5%21.0%73.9%15.3%18.2%

Valuation

OVVTRGPEQTARBSMCOPMedian
NameOvintiv Targa Re.EQT Antero R.Black St.ConocoPh. 
Mkt Cap9.939.233.910.6-118.233.9
P/S1.22.14.32.1-2.02.1
P/EBIT15.111.510.913.6-8.111.5
P/E43.820.919.117.6-13.319.1
P/CFO2.89.67.16.7-5.96.7
Total Yield5.3%6.5%6.4%5.7%-10.8%6.4%
Dividend Yield3.0%1.7%1.1%0.0%-3.3%1.7%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg13.4%2.0%7.1%11.0%-6.9%7.1%
D/E0.60.50.20.3-0.20.3
Net D/E0.60.50.20.3-0.10.3

Returns

OVVTRGPEQTARBSMCOPMedian
NameOvintiv Targa Re.EQT Antero R.Black St.ConocoPh. 
1M Rtn2.4%8.3%-7.9%2.0%-7.0%2.4%
3M Rtn-6.8%10.2%9.1%6.4%-2.2%6.4%
6M Rtn-4.4%9.1%-7.9%-20.3%-3.0%-4.4%
12M Rtn2.6%2.9%24.5%8.6%--0.0%2.9%
3Y Rtn-15.7%178.4%52.9%1.1%--4.4%1.1%
1M Excs Rtn1.6%7.6%-8.7%1.3%-6.3%1.6%
3M Excs Rtn-8.2%6.6%9.0%6.2%-1.2%6.2%
6M Excs Rtn-16.8%-3.3%-20.3%-32.6%--9.4%-16.8%
12M Excs Rtn-12.3%-10.1%9.6%-5.1%--13.8%-10.1%
3Y Excs Rtn-81.3%108.7%-14.2%-64.8%--74.0%-64.8%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
United States of America (USA) Operations16,03311,04310,34510,64616,613
Canadian Operations2,4042,0751,9322,0312,122
Corporate & Other1,3181,4921,4781,5592,499
Market Optimization232446300233253
Total19,98715,05614,05514,46921,487


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity10,417,891
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520253.8%
Average Daily Volume2,932,139
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.55
Basic Shares Quantity256,200,000
Short % of Basic Shares4.1%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/4/2025-1.7%5.7%13.4%
7/24/20253.6%3.0%2.4%
2/26/20253.0%-8.8%4.2%
11/7/20243.9%7.6%-0.5%
7/30/20241.0%-11.3%-6.1%
5/7/2024-3.0%-5.2%-7.9%
2/27/20243.9%5.8%12.2%
11/7/2023-1.5%-1.6%-9.6%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive121213
# Negative10109
Median Positive4.3%8.4%12.2%
Median Negative-3.2%-5.4%-7.9%
Max Positive10.7%17.5%123.3%
Max Negative-8.6%-11.3%-28.2%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251104202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025724202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025506202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024226202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241107202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024730202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024507202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023227202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231107202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023727202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023509202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022227202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221109202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022510202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021225202210-K 12/31/2021