Ovintiv (OVV)
Market Price (5/11/2026): $58.5 | Market Cap: $14.8 BilSector: Energy | Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
Ovintiv (OVV)
Market Price (5/11/2026): $58.5Market Cap: $14.8 BilSector: EnergyIndustry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11%, Dividend Yield is 2.1%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 6.8%, FCF Yield is 10% Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 41%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%, CFO LTM is 3.7 Bil Stock buyback supportStock Buyback 3Y Total is 1.3 Bil Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 36% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include US Energy Independence. Themes include US LNG, and US Oilfield Technologies. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -26% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.7%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -10%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -1.9% Key risksOVV key risks include [1] its significant net debt of approximately $5.2 billion and [2] execution challenges related to the integration of acquired assets, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11%, Dividend Yield is 2.1%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 6.8%, FCF Yield is 10% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 41%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%, CFO LTM is 3.7 Bil |
| Stock buyback supportStock Buyback 3Y Total is 1.3 Bil |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 36% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include US Energy Independence. Themes include US LNG, and US Oilfield Technologies. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -26% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.7%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -10%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -1.9% |
| Key risksOVV key risks include [1] its significant net debt of approximately $5.2 billion and [2] execution challenges related to the integration of acquired assets, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
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1. Commitment to Enhanced Shareholder Returns and Strong Financial Performance.
Ovintiv announced a new capital allocation framework, committing to return at least 75% of its 2026 Non-GAAP Free Cash Flow to shareholders, a material increase from the approximately $612 million returned in 2025. This commitment is supported by a new $3.0 billion share repurchase program that began immediately after its announcement on February 24, 2026. The company's financial strength was further highlighted by its fourth quarter 2025 earnings, reporting $1.39 earnings per share (EPS), significantly surpassing analysts' consensus estimates of $0.98 by $0.41.
2. Strategic Portfolio Optimization.
Ovintiv completed a multi-year strategic portfolio transformation, focusing its operations on high-quality assets in the Montney and Permian basins. Key to this transformation was the approximately $2.7 billion acquisition of NuVista Energy, which closed on February 3, 2026, adding substantial production and acreage in the Montney basin. Additionally, the company closed the sale of its Anadarko assets for $3.0 billion on April 9, 2026, with proceeds earmarked to achieve debt targets and optimize its capital structure.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 33.8% change in OVV stock from 1/31/2026 to 5/10/2026 was primarily driven by a 428.7% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 1312026 | 5102026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 43.23 | 57.83 | 33.8% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 8,949 | 8,908 | -0.5% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 2.6% | 13.9% | 428.7% |
| P/E Multiple | 46.9 | 11.8 | -74.9% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 256 | 253 | 1.3% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 33.8% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2026 to 5/10/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| OVV | 33.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 3.6% | -24.1% |
| Sector (XLE) | 9.8% | 87.4% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 56.2% change in OVV stock from 10/31/2025 to 5/10/2026 was primarily driven by a 115.7% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 10312025 | 5102026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 37.03 | 57.83 | 56.2% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 9,207 | 8,908 | -3.2% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 6.5% | 13.9% | 115.7% |
| P/E Multiple | 16.1 | 11.8 | -26.9% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 259 | 253 | 2.4% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 56.2% |
Market Drivers
10/31/2025 to 5/10/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| OVV | 56.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 5.5% | -14.7% |
| Sector (XLE) | 28.3% | 81.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 77.0% change in OVV stock from 4/30/2025 to 5/10/2026 was primarily driven by a 55.8% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 4302025 | 5102026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 32.67 | 57.83 | 77.0% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 9,152 | 8,908 | -2.7% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 12.3% | 13.9% | 13.4% |
| P/E Multiple | 7.6 | 11.8 | 55.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 260 | 253 | 2.9% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 77.0% |
Market Drivers
4/30/2025 to 5/10/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| OVV | 77.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 30.4% | 7.1% |
| Sector (XLE) | 42.8% | 81.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 74.3% change in OVV stock from 4/30/2023 to 5/10/2026 was primarily driven by a 422.3% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 4302023 | 5102026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 33.17 | 57.83 | 74.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 12,464 | 8,908 | -28.5% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 29.2% | 13.9% | -52.2% |
| P/E Multiple | 2.3 | 11.8 | 422.3% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 247 | 253 | -2.3% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 74.3% |
Market Drivers
4/30/2023 to 5/10/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| OVV | 74.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 78.7% | 40.3% |
| Sector (XLE) | 44.3% | 85.2% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| OVV Return | 138% | 53% | -11% | -5% | -0% | 50% | 360% |
| Peers Return | 131% | 59% | 3% | 62% | 5% | -5% | 517% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 7% | 95% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| OVV Win Rate | 75% | 67% | 42% | 42% | 58% | 80% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 72% | 61% | 47% | 64% | 38% | 48% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 60% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| OVV Max Drawdown | 0% | 0% | -36% | -14% | -22% | -6% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -0% | -4% | -19% | -12% | -8% | -21% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -7% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: TRGP, EQT, AR, FTW, GLND.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 5/8/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | OVV | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -30.8% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 44.5% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 301 days | 79 days |
| 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind | ||
| % Loss | -15.7% | -7.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 18.6% | 8.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 548 days | 18 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -33.2% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 49.8% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 79 days | 31 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -86.3% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 630.6% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 277 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -62.0% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 163.0% | 23.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1261 days | 105 days |
| 2016-2017 Trump Reflation Bond Selloff | ||
| % Loss | -13.8% | -3.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 16.0% | 3.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 23 days | 6 days |
In The Past
Ovintiv's stock fell -30.8% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 44.5% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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| Event | OVV | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -30.8% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 44.5% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 301 days | 79 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -33.2% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 49.8% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 79 days | 31 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -86.3% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 630.6% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 277 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -62.0% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 163.0% | 23.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1261 days | 105 days |
| 2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -55.0% | -12.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 122.2% | 13.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 49 days | 62 days |
| 2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -49.6% | -53.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 98.5% | 114.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 851 days | 1085 days |
In The Past
Ovintiv's stock fell -30.8% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 44.5% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Ovintiv (OVV)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Ovintiv (OVV):
- Ovintiv is like a ConocoPhillips, intensely focused on developing oil and gas in major North American basins.
- Imagine an EOG Resources, but with equally significant oil and gas operations in both the U.S. and Canada.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Natural Gas: A fossil fuel extracted from underground reservoirs, primarily used for heating, electricity generation, and as an industrial feedstock.
- Oil (Crude Oil): A naturally occurring liquid hydrocarbon extracted from the earth, which is refined into products like gasoline, diesel fuel, and lubricants.
- Natural Gas Liquids (NGLs): Hydrocarbons like ethane, propane, butane, and natural gasoline that are separated from natural gas and used as fuel or raw materials for the petrochemical industry.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Ovintiv (OVV) sells primarily to other companies rather than individuals. Given the nature of its business as an exploration, development, and production company of natural gas, oil, and natural gas liquids, its products are commodities that are sold into various commercial markets.
Based on the company's public filings, no single customer accounts for 10 percent or more of Ovintiv's total revenue. Therefore, Ovintiv does not disclose specific major customer companies by name or symbol.
Instead, Ovintiv's customer base consists of a diverse range of companies within the energy industry, which typically include:
- Refineries: For the purchase of crude oil and natural gas liquids, which they process into various refined products like gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel.
- Midstream Companies and Processors: These companies gather, process, and transport natural gas and natural gas liquids, often acting as intermediaries before the commodities reach end-users.
- Utilities and Industrial Users (often via Marketing Companies): Utilities purchase natural gas for power generation and distribution, while industrial users utilize it as fuel or feedstock. These sales are often facilitated through energy marketing and trading companies.
- Energy Marketing and Trading Companies: These entities purchase Ovintiv's oil, natural gas, and NGL production and then resell them to a broader market of end-users or other market participants.
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Brendan McCracken, President & Chief Executive Officer
Brendan McCracken joined a predecessor company of Ovintiv in 1997 and has held numerous senior operational, financial, and strategic roles throughout his tenure. He was appointed President in December 2020 and became Chief Executive Officer in August 2021. Mr. McCracken holds a Bachelor of Science degree in Mechanical Engineering from Queen's University and a Master of Business Administration from the University of Oxford. He is a Professional Engineer in Alberta.
Corey Code, Executive Vice President & Chief Financial Officer
Corey Code joined an Ovintiv predecessor company in 1999 and has served in various leadership capacities, including Vice President of Investor Relations and Strategy, and Treasurer and Vice President, Portfolio Management, before being appointed Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer in 2019. He is responsible for leading Ovintiv's financial operations, capital allocation, and shareholder returns. Mr. Code received a Bachelor of Commerce from the University of Saskatchewan and a Master of Business Administration from Queen's University. He is also a Chartered Accountant. He previously held the position of Treasurer for Athlon Energy, Inc., and currently serves as Treasurer for Athlon Holdings LP and Athlon Finance Corp., which are subsidiaries of Ovintiv.
Meghan Eilers, Executive Vice President, Midstream & Marketing & General Counsel
Meghan Eilers joined Ovintiv in 2019 through the Newfield merger, where she previously served as Newfield's Associate General Counsel. Her role expanded in April 2024 to include Midstream & Marketing. She is accountable for overseeing Ovintiv's legal, compliance, and U.S. government relations functions, as well as marketing and commercial midstream negotiations.
Greg Givens, Executive Vice President & Chief Operating Officer
Greg Givens was appointed Chief Operating Officer in September 2019, overseeing operational excellence across Ovintiv's North American assets. He possesses over two decades of leadership and operating experience in the oil and gas industry. Mr. Givens was a founding officer of EP Energy, where he served as Vice President of the Eagle Ford division. His career began at Sonat Exploration, which later merged with El Paso Production Company. He holds a petroleum engineering degree from Texas A&M University and an MBA from Rice University.
Rachel M. Moore, Executive Vice President, Corporate Services
Prior to joining Ovintiv, Rachel M. Moore held several senior leadership positions, including Executive Vice President, Human Resources at Savanna Energy Services Corporation, and Vice President, Human Resources at Enerflex Systems Ltd. She currently serves as a director for STEP Energy Services and is on the Board of Directors for the Wilder Institute (Calgary Zoo).
AI Analysis | Feedback
The key risks to Ovintiv Inc.'s business are primarily tied to the volatile nature of the energy sector, its financial structure, and the inherent challenges of exploration and production.
- Commodity Price Volatility: As an exploration and production company, Ovintiv's financial performance is highly susceptible to fluctuations in the prices of oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids (NGLs). Factors such as geopolitical instability, shifts in global supply and demand, and foreign currency exchange rates can significantly affect commodity prices, thereby impacting the company's revenues and profitability.
- High Leverage and Debt: Ovintiv faces a key risk due to its elevated total debt, which has been cited as being above its long-term targets. This high leverage can constrain the company's financial flexibility, particularly during periods of commodity price downturns, and may limit its ability to allocate capital, fund strategic initiatives, or return capital to shareholders.
- Operational Risks and High Capital Requirements: The company's core operations are subject to a range of risks, including unforeseen interruptions, substantial costs, and liabilities associated with oil and natural gas exploration and production activities. Maintaining and increasing production in its key basins, such as the Permian and Montney, requires significant capital investment, exposing Ovintiv to risks like cost inflation, changes in drilling rig prices, and service bottlenecks. These factors could adversely affect production momentum and free cash flow generation.
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- Accelerated global adoption of electric vehicles (EVs) and advancements in alternative transportation fuels, which directly threaten the long-term demand for crude oil and refined petroleum products, a significant part of Ovintiv's output.
- Rapid deployment and increasing cost-effectiveness of renewable energy sources (solar, wind) coupled with advanced battery storage, which are becoming increasingly competitive with natural gas for electricity generation, posing an emerging threat to demand for Ovintiv's natural gas products.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Ovintiv (OVV) operates in the exploration, development, production, and marketing of natural gas, oil, and natural gas liquids in the USA and Canada. The addressable markets for these products in these regions are substantial.
Natural Gas Market:
- In the U.S., the natural gas market is projected to reach approximately US$601.8 billion by 2032.
- For Canada, the natural gas distribution market is estimated at US$17.1 billion in 2025.
Oil Market:
- The U.S. oil and gas market, which includes oil, is projected to reach around US$2.24 trillion by 2034.
- The Canada oil and gas market, which includes oil, is projected to reach US$46.24 billion by 2031.
Natural Gas Liquids (NGLs) Market:
- The U.S. natural gas liquids market size was approximately US$5.54 billion in 2024.
- The Canada natural gas liquids market was approximately US$0.84 billion in 2024, with a projection to reach US$1.4 billion by 2030.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Ovintiv Inc. (OVV) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next two to three years through several key strategies:- Increased Oil and Condensate Production Volumes: Ovintiv has demonstrated a commitment to increasing its high-value oil and condensate volumes. The company's 2024 program aimed to deliver essentially flat total production volumes compared to 2023, but with an emphasis on higher oil and condensate volumes, driven by faster drilling and completions and strong well results from Permian assets. For 2026, Ovintiv plans capital investments targeting increased total production volumes, including a significant contribution from oil and condensate. Analysts also point to robust production performance and increased full-year equivalent production guidance as a positive outlook for the company.
- Enhanced Capital Efficiency and Operational Improvements in Core Basins: The company is focused on maximizing returns on invested capital by improving efficiency in its operations, particularly within its primary assets like the Permian (Midland) and Montney basins. Ovintiv's 2024 oil and condensate capital efficiency reflected an 18% gain over its prior year guidance. Continued advancements in drilling speeds and completion techniques contribute to higher production with less capital, which in turn supports revenue growth. Analysts highlight that positive movements in capital efficiency within these key assets bolster the company's operational expansion and performance.
- Strategic Portfolio Optimization and Acquisitions: Ovintiv has been actively reshaping its asset portfolio to enhance its strategic focus. This includes significant transactions like the divestiture of Anadarko oil and gas assets and strategic acquisitions such as the Montney oil acquisition and NuVista acquisition. The integration of these new acquisitions is expected to unlock cost synergies and operational improvements, thereby contributing to future revenue streams.
- Margin Improvement Through Lower Operating Costs: The company anticipates improved margins in 2026, driven by reductions in lease operating expenses (LOE), taxes, and interest expenses. The introduction of new assets is also leading to a favorable shift in cash costs, lowering expectations for unit operating costs. These cost efficiencies directly contribute to a stronger bottom line and can support revenue growth by allowing for more competitive operations and reinvestment.
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Share Repurchases
- In February 2026, Ovintiv announced a new shareholder return framework for 2026, targeting at least 75% of full-year Non-GAAP Free Cash Flow to be returned to shareholders through dividends and share buybacks, backed by a newly authorized $3.0 billion share repurchase program.
- Ovintiv returned over $600 million to shareholders in 2025 through base dividend payments and approximately $304 million in share buybacks.
- For the full year 2024, Ovintiv returned more than $900 million to shareholders via base dividends and share buybacks. In Q2 2024, the company repurchased approximately 3.6 million shares for about $182 million.
Share Issuance
- In April 2023, Ovintiv acquired core Midland Basin assets in a cash and stock transaction valued at approximately $4.275 billion.
Outbound Investments
- Ovintiv completed the acquisition of NuVista Energy Ltd. for approximately $2.7 billion in February 2026, adding approximately 100 MBOE/d of production and 140,000 net acres of land.
- In February 2026, Ovintiv also reached an agreement to sell its Anadarko assets for $3.0 billion in cash proceeds, which are intended to reduce net debt.
- In 2023, Ovintiv closed the sale of its Bakken assets for approximately $825 million, marking its exit from the play.
Capital Expenditures
- Ovintiv's capital program for 2026 is projected to be approximately $2.25 billion to $2.35 billion, with a primary focus on the Permian Basin ($1.325 billion to $1.375 billion) and Montney formation ($875 million to $925 million).
- Full-year capital investment was $2.147 billion in 2025 and $2.303 billion in 2024.
- In 2023, capital investment totaled $2.744 billion, exceeding the high end of production guidance on every product and focusing on enhancing margins and capital efficiency.
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| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04172026 | VAL | Valaris | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 15.2% | 15.2% | -0.9% |
| 03312026 | KGS | Kodiak Gas Services | Insider | Insider Buys 45DStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with multiple insider buys in the last 45 days | 16.3% | 16.3% | -0.7% |
| 03312026 | KOS | Kosmos Energy | Insider | Insider Buys 45DStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with multiple insider buys in the last 45 days | 10.8% | 10.8% | -10.8% |
| 12262025 | TPL | Texas Pacific Land | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 54.5% | 54.5% | -2.1% |
| 12122025 | NOV | NOV | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 25.4% | 25.4% | -6.5% |
| 10172025 | OVV | Ovintiv | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 48.7% | 73.3% | 0.0% |
| 04302023 | OVV | Ovintiv | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 34.4% | 52.4% | -11.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 45.95 |
| Mkt Cap | 24.8 |
| Rev LTM | 8,908 |
| Op Inc LTM | 2,064 |
| FCF LTM | 1,505 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 1,288 |
| CFO LTM | 3,652 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 3,648 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 12.1% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -5.8% |
| Rev Chg Q | 15.9% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 4.5% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | 120.1% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 59.2% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 22.6% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 19.3% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 3.4% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 39.0% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 33.8% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 23.5% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 19.3% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 24.8 |
| P/S | 2.6 |
| P/Op Inc | 9.1 |
| P/EBIT | 10.3 |
| P/E | 11.7 |
| P/CFO | 5.4 |
| Total Yield | 9.6% |
| Dividend Yield | 1.4% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 7.8% |
| D/E | 0.4 |
| Net D/E | 0.4 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -0.9% |
| 3M Rtn | 5.4% |
| 6M Rtn | 6.5% |
| 12M Rtn | 4.0% |
| 3Y Rtn | 77.4% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -10.3% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -1.3% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -1.0% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -25.8% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -0.4% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $57.83 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 14.6 | |
| First Trading Date | 04/08/2002 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -8.3% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $56.76 | $44.37 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | 1.9% | 30.3% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 38.8% | 35.8% |
| Downside Capture | -0.64 | -0.21 |
| Upside Capture | 3.27 | 30.28 |
| Correlation (SPY) | -21.9% | 5.5% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | -2.33 | -1.02 | -0.62 | -0.38 | 0.20 | 1.00 |
| Up Beta | -2.39 | -2.54 | -1.90 | -1.29 | 0.18 | 1.09 |
| Down Beta | -4.40 | 0.31 | 1.14 | 0.51 | 0.80 | 1.68 |
| Up Capture | -74% | -18% | 7% | 23% | 25% | 32% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 15 | 22 | 31 | 66 | 141 | 428 |
| Stock +ve Days | 14 | 26 | 38 | 70 | 132 | 399 |
| Down Capture | -408% | -136% | -165% | -128% | -57% | 78% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 4 | 18 | 30 | 56 | 108 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 8 | 17 | 25 | 53 | 118 | 346 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with OVV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OVV | 76.0% | 36.2% | 1.62 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLE) | 42.9% | 20.1% | 1.67 | 81.6% |
| Equity (SPY) | 29.0% | 12.5% | 1.83 | 5.8% |
| Gold (GLD) | 39.8% | 27.0% | 1.22 | -1.1% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 50.6% | 18.0% | 2.21 | 56.3% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 13.0% | 13.5% | 0.66 | 0.0% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -17.4% | 42.1% | -0.34 | 12.0% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with OVV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OVV | 21.2% | 46.2% | 0.57 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLE) | 21.5% | 26.1% | 0.74 | 84.8% |
| Equity (SPY) | 12.8% | 17.1% | 0.59 | 42.7% |
| Gold (GLD) | 20.9% | 17.9% | 0.95 | 11.7% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 13.8% | 19.1% | 0.59 | 62.7% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.4% | 18.8% | 0.08 | 31.0% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 7.0% | 56.0% | 0.34 | 16.4% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with OVV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OVV | 6.5% | 60.4% | 0.41 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLE) | 9.5% | 29.5% | 0.36 | 78.7% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.1% | 17.9% | 0.72 | 45.4% |
| Gold (GLD) | 13.4% | 15.9% | 0.69 | 2.5% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 9.3% | 17.8% | 0.44 | 59.2% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.8% | 20.7% | 0.24 | 32.9% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 67.8% | 66.9% | 1.07 | 11.7% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 2/23/2026 | -1.5% | 2.6% | 16.7% |
| 11/4/2025 | -1.7% | 5.7% | 13.4% |
| 7/24/2025 | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.4% |
| 2/26/2025 | 3.0% | -8.8% | 4.2% |
| 11/7/2024 | 3.9% | 7.6% | -0.5% |
| 7/30/2024 | 1.0% | -11.3% | -6.1% |
| 5/7/2024 | -3.0% | -5.2% | -7.9% |
| 2/27/2024 | 3.9% | 5.8% | 12.2% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 12 | 13 | 14 |
| # Negative | 10 | 9 | 8 |
| Median Positive | 4.3% | 7.6% | 12.8% |
| Median Negative | -2.4% | -5.2% | -7.7% |
| Max Positive | 10.7% | 17.5% | 123.3% |
| Max Negative | -8.6% | -11.3% | -23.6% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2025 | 02/23/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/04/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 07/24/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/26/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 07/30/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/27/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/07/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 07/27/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/27/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/09/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/04/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/10/2022 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]
Latest: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/23/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Total Production | 0.62 Mil | 0.63 Mil | 0.65 Mil | 2.8% | Raised | Guidance: 0.61 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2026 Capital Investment | 2.25 Bil | 2.30 Bil | 2.35 Bil | 7.0% | Raised | Guidance: 2.15 Bil for 2025 | |
| 2026 Oil & Condensate Production | 0.20 Mil | 0.21 Mil | 0.21 Mil | ||||
| 2026 Permian Oil and Condensate Production | 0.12 Mil | 0.12 Mil | 0.12 Mil | ||||
| 2026 Montney Oil and Condensate Production | 80,000 | 82,000 | 84,000 | ||||
Prior: Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 11/4/2025
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q4 2025 Total Production | 0.61 Mil | 0.62 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 0.62 Mil for Q3 2025 | ||
| Q4 2025 Capital Investment | 440.00 Mil | 465.00 Mil | -15.4% | Lowered | Guidance: 550.00 Mil for Q3 2025 | ||
| 2025 Total Production | 0.61 Mil | 0.61 Mil | 0.8% | Raised | Guidance: 0.61 Mil for 2025 | ||
| 2025 Capital Investment | 2.12 Bil | 2.15 Bil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 2.15 Bil for 2025 | ||
| 2025 Current Tax Expense | 70.00 Mil | 77.50 Mil | |||||
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eilers, Meghan Nicole | EVP, M&M & GC | Direct | Sell | 3172026 | 54.78 | 11,582 | 634,462 | 2,963,160 | Form |
| 2 | Mayson, Howard John | Direct | Sell | 3052026 | 52.39 | 5,000 | 261,950 | 2,398,414 | Form | |
| 3 | Givens, Gregory Dean | EVP & COO | Direct | Sell | 12152025 | 40.33 | 50,000 | 2,016,500 | 4,269,616 | Form |
| 4 | Nance, Steven W | S&E Nance Trust | Sell | 12092025 | 41.99 | 5,000 | 209,950 | 164,979 | Form | |
| 5 | Givens, Gregory Dean | EVP & COO | Direct | Sell | 12082025 | 42.50 | 50,000 | 2,125,000 | 6,624,348 | Form |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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