Cannae (CNNE)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $16.77 | Market Cap: $1.0 BilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Restaurants
Cannae (CNNE)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $16.77Market Cap: $1.0 BilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Restaurants
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldDividend Yield is 2.4% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -54%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -93% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -122 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -28% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 32% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -11%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -15%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -6.6% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, Digital & Alternative Assets, and AI in Financial Services. Themes include Digital Payments, Show more. | Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -13%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -15% | |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -34% |
| Attractive yieldDividend Yield is 2.4% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 32% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, Digital & Alternative Assets, and AI in Financial Services. Themes include Digital Payments, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -54%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -93% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -122 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -28% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -11%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -15%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -6.6% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -13%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -15% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -34% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
CNNE Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are key points explaining the approximate -9.6% movement in Cannae (CNNE) stock between August 31, 2025, and December 4, 2025:
1. Cannae Holdings reported a significantly wider-than-expected loss for its third quarter of 2025. The company posted an earnings per share (EPS) of -$1.25, which was substantially below the forecasted -$0.29, marking a 331.03% negative surprise. This poor performance contributed to the stock's decline.
2. Revenue in Q3 2025 also fell short of expectations. Cannae reported revenues of $106.9 million, slightly under the anticipated $107.55 million.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| CNNE Return | 19% | -21% | -41% | -6% | 4% | -16% | -54% |
| Peers Return | 45% | 15% | -17% | 2% | 16% | -3% | 59% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| CNNE Win Rate | 50% | 33% | 33% | 50% | 58% | 40% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 63% | 52% | 43% | 53% | 52% | 42% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| CNNE Max Drawdown | -37% | -34% | -51% | -22% | -12% | -22% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -46% | -13% | -34% | -18% | -10% | -32% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: CMG, NNI, FHI, WEN, GDOT. See CNNE Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | CNNE | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -64.7% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 183.2% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -45.7% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 84.3% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 271 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -26.4% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 35.8% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 50 days | 120 days |
Compare to CMG, NNI, FHI, WEN, GDOT
In The Past
Cannae's stock fell -64.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/8/2021. A -64.7% loss requires a 183.2% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to CNNE. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.8% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.6% | -2.6% | -2.6% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.7% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 1.3% | 1.3% | -1.6% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.8% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.6% | -2.6% | -2.6% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.7% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 1.3% | 1.3% | -1.6% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Cannae
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 25.35 |
| Mkt Cap | 2.7 |
| Rev LTM | 1,835 |
| Op Inc LTM | 381 |
| FCF LTM | 248 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 280 |
| CFO LTM | 303 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 330 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 8.1% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 5.4% |
| Rev Chg Q | 11.2% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.7% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 16.9% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 17.0% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 15.3% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 17.3% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 12.1% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 12.4% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 2.7 |
| P/S | 2.6 |
| P/EBIT | 7.2 |
| P/E | 9.7 |
| P/CFO | 7.4 |
| Total Yield | 6.7% |
| Dividend Yield | 1.6% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 9.1% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 3.5% |
| 3M Rtn | -6.8% |
| 6M Rtn | 3.0% |
| 12M Rtn | 2.0% |
| 3Y Rtn | -9.7% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 3.5% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -12.2% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -11.8% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -12.9% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -77.2% |
Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restaurant Group | 536 | 631 | 705 | 560 | 1,043 |
| Corporate and Other | 34 | 32 | 38 | 26 | 27 |
| Affiliate Elimination | -3,720 | -1,955 | |||
| Alight | 1,554 | ||||
| Dun & Bradstreet | 2,166 | 1,739 | 1,414 | ||
| AmeriLife | 171 | ||||
| Optimal Blue | 45 | ||||
| Dun & Bradstreet & Optimal Blue Elimination | -1,414 | ||||
| Total | 570 | 662 | 742 | 586 | 1,070 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dun & Bradstreet | -17 | -9 | -66 | -112 | -426 |
| Restaurant Group | -26 | -18 | -19 | -94 | -81 |
| Alight | -35 | -2 | -48 | ||
| Black Knight Football (BKFC) | -52 | ||||
| Corporate and Other | -194 | -402 | -292 | 1,914 | 296 |
| Affiliate Elimination | 139 | 108 | |||
| AmeriLife | -10 | ||||
| Optimal Blue | -46 | ||||
| Dun & Bradstreet & Optimal Blue Elimination | 309 | ||||
| Total | -324 | -430 | -286 | 1,760 | 99 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corporate and Other | 949 | 1,398 | 3,494 | 4,092 | 1,519 |
| Dun & Bradstreet | 828 | 857 | 9,997 | 9,220 | 9,113 |
| Alight | 507 | 532 | 10,988 | ||
| Restaurant Group | 290 | 338 | 396 | 521 | 573 |
| Black Knight Football (BKFC) | 112 | ||||
| Affiliate Elimination | -20,985 | -12,685 | |||
| AmeriLife | 1,495 | ||||
| Optimal Blue | 1,969 | ||||
| Dun & Bradstreet & Optimal Blue Elimination | -9,113 | ||||
| Total | 2,687 | 3,126 | 3,890 | 4,613 | 2,092 |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 6302025 | 8112025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5122025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2272025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11122024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8082024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5092024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2292024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11072023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8092023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5092023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3012023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11092022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8082022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5092022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2252022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
| 9302021 | 11092021 | 10-Q 9/30/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |