Cannae (CNNE)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $16.0 | Market Cap: $875.2 MilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Restaurants
Cannae (CNNE)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $16.0Market Cap: $875.2 MilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Restaurants
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldDividend Yield is 3.5% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -56%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -90% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -117 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -27% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 33% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -6.9%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -14%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -6.1% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, Digital & Alternative Assets, and AI in Financial Services. Themes include Digital Payments, Show more. | Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -11%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -13% | |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -54% | ||
| Key risksCNNE key risks include [1] significant activist shareholder dissent and governance challenges, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldDividend Yield is 3.5% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 33% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, Digital & Alternative Assets, and AI in Financial Services. Themes include Digital Payments, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -56%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -90% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -117 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -27% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -6.9%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -14%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -6.1% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -11%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -13% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -54% |
| Key risksCNNE key risks include [1] significant activist shareholder dissent and governance challenges, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
CNNE Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points explaining the approximate -13.1% stock movement for Cannae (CNNE) from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025:
1. Q3 2025 Earnings Miss and Widening Loss. Cannae Holdings reported its third-quarter 2025 financial results on November 10, 2025, announcing a loss of $1.25 per diluted share. This significantly widened from a loss of $0.22 in the prior year and missed analysts' consensus estimates of a $0.31 loss. The company's revenue for the quarter also decreased to $106.9 million from $113.9 million a year earlier.
2. Negative Analyst Sentiment and Price Target Reductions. Following the disappointing Q3 earnings, analysts adjusted their outlook for CNNE. Royal Bank of Canada, for instance, decreased its price target from $22.00 to $19.00 on November 12, 2025. Additionally, TipRanks' AI Analyst rated CNNE as "Underperform," highlighting declining revenues, negative profit margins, and bearish market momentum, with a price target of $16.50.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| CNNE Return | 19% | -21% | -41% | -6% | 4% | -16% | -54% |
| Peers Return | 19% | 35% | -9% | 21% | 28% | -5% | 116% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| CNNE Win Rate | 50% | 33% | 33% | 50% | 58% | 42% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 70% | 62% | 42% | 58% | 67% | 48% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| CNNE Max Drawdown | -37% | -34% | -51% | -22% | -12% | -22% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -44% | -7% | -25% | -4% | -5% | -14% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: DRI, ADP, PAYX, MCO, TXRH. See CNNE Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | CNNE | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -64.7% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 183.2% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -45.7% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 84.3% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 271 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -26.4% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 35.8% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 50 days | 120 days |
Compare to CMG, NNI, FHI, WEN, GDOT
In The Past
Cannae's stock fell -64.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/8/2021. A -64.7% loss requires a 183.2% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Cannae Earnings Notes | ||
| With Cannae Stock Surging, Have You Considered The Downside? | Return | |
| Cannae (CNNE) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | |
| Cannae (CNNE) Revenue Comparison | Financials | |
| Cannae (CNNE) Debt Comparison | Financials | |
| Cannae (CNNE) Net Income Comparison | Financials | |
| Cannae (CNNE) EBITDA Comparison | Financials | |
| Cannae (CNNE) Tax Expense Comparison | Financials | |
| Cannae (CNNE) Operating Income Comparison | Financials | |
| CNNE Dip Buy Analysis |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to CNNE. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 12.8% | 12.8% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.4% | 5.4% | -0.1% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.2% | 3.2% | -4.4% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 15.5% | 15.5% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 15.3% | 15.3% | -1.6% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 12.8% | 12.8% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.4% | 5.4% | -0.1% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.2% | 3.2% | -4.4% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 15.5% | 15.5% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 15.3% | 15.3% | -1.6% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Cannae
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 180.52 |
| Mkt Cap | 32.1 |
| Rev LTM | 6,667 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1,838 |
| FCF LTM | 1,388 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 1,306 |
| CFO LTM | 1,834 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,713 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 7.7% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 7.8% |
| Rev Chg Q | 10.3% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.4% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 19.0% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 18.8% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 18.5% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 18.1% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 14.4% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 13.9% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 32.1 |
| P/S | 3.9 |
| P/EBIT | 20.2 |
| P/E | 26.4 |
| P/CFO | 19.4 |
| Total Yield | 5.2% |
| Dividend Yield | 2.3% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.2% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 5.9% |
| 3M Rtn | -8.0% |
| 6M Rtn | -13.0% |
| 12M Rtn | -7.5% |
| 3Y Rtn | 32.2% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 5.2% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -5.9% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -25.4% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -18.8% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -42.4% |
Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restaurant Group | 536 | 631 | 705 | 560 | 1,043 |
| Corporate and Other | 34 | 32 | 38 | 26 | 27 |
| Affiliate Elimination | -5,357 | -4,480 | -1,955 | ||
| Alight | 3,132 | 1,554 | |||
| Dun & Bradstreet | 2,225 | 2,166 | 1,739 | 1,414 | |
| Paysafe | 738 | ||||
| Sightline | 23 | ||||
| AmeriLife | 171 | ||||
| Optimal Blue | 45 | ||||
| Dun & Bradstreet & Optimal Blue Elimination | -1,414 | ||||
| Total | 570 | 662 | 742 | 586 | 1,070 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dun & Bradstreet | -17 | 4 | -66 | -112 | -426 |
| Restaurant Group | -26 | -18 | -19 | -94 | -81 |
| Alight | -35 | -72 | -48 | ||
| Black Knight Football (BKFC) | -52 | ||||
| Corporate and Other | -194 | -402 | -343 | 1,914 | 296 |
| Affiliate Elimination | 58 | 341 | 108 | ||
| Paysafe | -140 | ||||
| Sightline | -12 | ||||
| AmeriLife | -10 | ||||
| Optimal Blue | -46 | ||||
| Dun & Bradstreet & Optimal Blue Elimination | 309 | ||||
| Total | -324 | -430 | -286 | 1,760 | 99 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corporate and Other | 949 | 2,787 | 3,494 | 4,092 | 1,519 |
| Dun & Bradstreet | 828 | 9,472 | 9,997 | 9,220 | 9,113 |
| Alight | 507 | 11,235 | 10,988 | ||
| Restaurant Group | 290 | 338 | 396 | 521 | 573 |
| Black Knight Football (BKFC) | 112 | ||||
| Affiliate Elimination | -20,707 | -27,765 | -12,685 | ||
| Paysafe | 6,593 | ||||
| Sightline | 187 | ||||
| AmeriLife | 1,495 | ||||
| Optimal Blue | 1,969 | ||||
| Dun & Bradstreet & Optimal Blue Elimination | -9,113 | ||||
| Total | 2,687 | 3,125 | 3,890 | 4,613 | 2,092 |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/10/2025 | -10.2% | -11.9% | -0.8% |
| 8/11/2025 | -11.4% | -10.4% | -6.0% |
| 5/12/2025 | -5.3% | -2.5% | 5.4% |
| 2/24/2025 | -0.5% | -0.2% | 1.8% |
| 11/12/2024 | -2.8% | -6.1% | -4.7% |
| 8/8/2024 | -4.1% | -4.2% | -5.3% |
| 5/9/2024 | 1.6% | 4.1% | -12.1% |
| 2/21/2024 | 10.6% | 7.6% | 12.2% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 9 | 9 | 10 |
| # Negative | 15 | 15 | 14 |
| Median Positive | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.2% |
| Median Negative | -3.8% | -5.1% | -5.6% |
| Max Positive | 11.7% | 13.2% | 19.4% |
| Max Negative | -11.4% | -14.0% | -28.8% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11102025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8112025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5122025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2272025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11122024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8082024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5092024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2292024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11072023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8092023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5092023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3012023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11092022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8082022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5092022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2252022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |