Tearsheet

Ball (BALL)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $52.02 | Market Cap: $14.1 Bil
Sector: Materials | Industry: Metal, Glass & Plastic Containers

Ball (BALL)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $52.02
Market Cap: $14.1 Bil
Sector: Materials
Industry: Metal, Glass & Plastic Containers

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.6%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -52%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -67%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 25x
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 26%
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -4.4%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Circular Economy & Recycling, and Advanced Aviation & Space. Themes include Sustainable Packaging Materials, and Commercial Space Exploration.
  Key risks
BALL key risks include [1] volatile aluminum prices, Show more.
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.6%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 26%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Circular Economy & Recycling, and Advanced Aviation & Space. Themes include Sustainable Packaging Materials, and Commercial Space Exploration.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -52%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -67%
4 Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 25x
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -4.4%
6 Key risks
BALL key risks include [1] volatile aluminum prices, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

BALL Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are key points that likely contributed to the -0.3% movement in Ball Corporation's stock from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025: **1. North American Segment Margin Pressure.** Ball Corporation faced margin contraction in its North American beverage packaging segment during the second quarter of 2025, attributed to an unfavorable product mix and operational inefficiencies from unexpected demand surges. This issue, compounded by aluminum tariffs, led to a negative market reaction following the Q2 earnings call on August 5, 2025, and its effects likely continued to influence investor sentiment into the requested period. **2. Overall Stock Underperformance.** Leading up to December 2025, Ball's stock underperformed the broader S&P 500 Index over the preceding three months, year-to-date, and trailing 52-week periods. This general trend of lagging market performance contributed to a bearish sentiment, making the stock susceptible to minor downward fluctuations. **3. Bearish Technical Trading Signals.** Technical analysis around late 2025 indicated a bearish trend for BALL. The stock was observed trading below its 5, 20, 50, and 200-day exponential and simple moving averages, signaling persistent selling pressure and potential for continued downward movement. **4. Lingering Concerns Over Raw Material Costs.** Ball Corporation operates in an industry heavily influenced by raw material costs, particularly aluminum. Despite the company's strategies to manage commodity price risk through contracts and derivative instruments, ongoing volatility in aluminum premium prices or broader economic indicators related to raw material costs could have created minor headwinds and contributed to slight stock dips. **5. Analyst Sentiment and Price Target Adjustments.** While the overall consensus rating for Ball was a "Hold" or "Moderate Buy" with some implied upside, specific analyst revisions or lower price targets issued during the period, such as a $48 target by Wells Fargo on October 15, 2025, could have led to minor negative adjustments in investor outlook and contributed to small downward price movements.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
BALL Return45%4%-46%14%-3%-5%-14%
Peers Return8%-5%-3%2%2%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
BALL Win Rate67%42%42%42%50%50% 
Peers Win Rate57%57%47%52%47%52% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
BALL Max Drawdown-20%-15%-50%-15%-5%-18% 
Peers Max Drawdown-10%-23%-22%-11%-22% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: CCK, AMBP, SLGN, AMCR, GPK.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventBALLS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-56.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven128.4%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-33.9%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven51.3%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven156 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-21.6%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven27.5%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven263 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-49.6%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven98.5%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven633 days1480 days

Compare to CCK, SLGN, GEF, BALL, ATR


In The Past

Ball's stock fell -56.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 9/2/2021. A -56.2% loss requires a 128.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Ball (BALL)

Better Bets than Ball (BALL)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to BALL. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
5.5%5.5%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-1.3%-1.3%-3.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
42.2%42.2%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
15.0%15.0%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.9%5.9%-2.5%
BALL_11302022_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302022BALLBallDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-8.1%0.1%-22.8%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
5.5%5.5%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-1.3%-1.3%-3.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
42.2%42.2%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
15.0%15.0%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.9%5.9%-2.5%
BALL_11302022_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302022BALLBallDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-8.1%0.1%-22.8%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Ball

Peers to compare with:

Financials

BALLCCKAMBPSLGNAMCRGPKMedian
NameBall Crown Ardagh M.Silgan Amcor Graphic . 
Mkt Price52.07104.304.1541.048.3715.5328.29
Mkt Cap14.112.02.54.419.44.68.3
Rev LTM12,69412,1415,3466,42617,4018,60910,375
Op Inc LTM1,3621,6532586401,5349621,162
FCF LTM1401,008-65853-309140
FCF 3Y Avg111916-243805-48243
CFO LTM5511,338-3721,526809809
CFO 3Y Avg8511,452-5021,366925925

Growth & Margins

BALLCCKAMBPSLGNAMCRGPKMedian
NameBall Crown Ardagh M.Silgan Amcor Graphic . 
Rev Chg LTM7.4%3.3%10.3%11.1%28.4%-3.9%8.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-4.4%-2.1%4.5%0.4%6.5%-1.5%-0.5%
Rev Chg Q9.6%4.2%8.8%15.1%71.3%-1.2%9.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.4%1.1%2.2%4.3%15.9%-0.3%2.3%
Op Mgn LTM10.7%13.6%4.8%10.0%8.8%11.2%10.3%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg9.8%12.2%3.4%10.1%9.4%12.3%9.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.1%0.0%-0.0%-0.1%0.0%-0.4%-0.0%
CFO/Rev LTM4.3%11.0%-5.8%8.8%9.4%8.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg7.6%12.1%-8.4%9.0%10.2%9.0%
FCF/Rev LTM1.1%8.3%-1.0%4.9%-3.6%1.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg1.0%7.6%-4.1%5.3%-0.7%4.1%

Valuation

BALLCCKAMBPSLGNAMCRGPKMedian
NameBall Crown Ardagh M.Silgan Amcor Graphic . 
Mkt Cap14.112.02.54.419.44.68.3
P/S1.10.90.40.71.10.70.8
P/EBIT11.46.110.57.815.86.69.1
P/E20.111.8149.114.532.511.417.3
P/CFO24.88.3-12.312.47.212.3
Total Yield6.6%9.6%8.7%8.7%8.1%11.0%8.7%
Dividend Yield1.6%1.1%8.1%1.9%5.1%2.2%2.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg0.9%8.2%-4.5%5.1%-0.6%4.5%
D/E0.50.61.71.10.81.00.9
Net D/E0.50.51.61.00.81.00.9

Returns

BALLCCKAMBPSLGNAMCRGPKMedian
NameBall Crown Ardagh M.Silgan Amcor Graphic . 
1M Rtn10.0%9.8%15.9%9.8%0.6%0.6%9.8%
3M Rtn6.6%10.1%15.4%-4.5%2.6%-21.8%4.6%
6M Rtn-6.0%2.3%6.1%-22.9%-4.6%-26.0%-5.3%
12M Rtn-8.4%23.5%48.4%-22.0%-8.9%-44.8%-8.7%
3Y Rtn5.9%34.0%24.2%-17.7%-19.0%-23.3%-5.9%
1M Excs Rtn9.3%9.0%15.2%9.1%-0.2%-0.2%9.1%
3M Excs Rtn4.9%8.4%11.9%-5.8%0.9%-23.0%2.9%
6M Excs Rtn-18.4%-10.1%-6.3%-35.2%-17.0%-38.4%-17.7%
12M Excs Rtn-20.3%8.9%34.6%-34.9%-21.6%-57.0%-20.9%
3Y Excs Rtn-67.1%-32.4%-43.7%-86.4%-90.0%-94.7%-76.7%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Beverage packaging, North and Central America5,9636,6965,8565,0764,758
Beverage packaging, Europe, Middle East and Africa (EMEA)3,3953,8543,5092,9452,857
Beverage packaging, South America1,9602,1082,0161,6951,670
Other744714519324710
Aerospace 1,9771,9111,7411,479
Total12,06215,34913,81111,78111,474


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Beverage packaging, North and Central America710642681683555
Beverage packaging, Europe, Middle East and Africa (EMEA)354358452354351
Beverage packaging, South America266275348280288
Aerospace 170169153140
Amortization of acquired intangibles -135-152-150-155
Other -25-65-55-3
Total1,3301,2851,4331,2651,176


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity6,745,658
Short Interest: % Change Since 1115202550.8%
Average Daily Volume2,997,742
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.25
Basic Shares Quantity271,086,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.5%

Returns Analyses

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/4/20251.5%-1.5%4.1%
8/5/2025-5.7%-6.9%-12.6%
5/6/2025-0.3%2.7%3.1%
2/4/2025-6.9%-9.6%-6.5%
10/31/2024-7.7%-6.1%-3.2%
8/1/20241.1%-1.4%-2.3%
4/26/20246.6%3.9%5.2%
2/1/20247.1%5.5%16.3%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive14912
# Negative101512
Median Positive3.4%5.1%8.2%
Median Negative-4.3%-4.4%-5.4%
Max Positive13.4%13.3%24.0%
Max Negative-18.6%-21.1%-23.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251104202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025805202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025506202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024220202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241031202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024801202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024507202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023220202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231102202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023504202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022221202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022505202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021216202210-K 12/31/2021