Tearsheet

Ball (BALL)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $48.785 | Market Cap: $13.2 Bil
Sector: Materials | Industry: Metal, Glass & Plastic Containers

Ball (BALL)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $48.785
Market Cap: $13.2 Bil
Sector: Materials
Industry: Metal, Glass & Plastic Containers

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Circular Economy & Recycling, and Advanced Aviation & Space. Themes include Sustainable Packaging Materials, and Commercial Space Exploration.
 
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Circular Economy & Recycling, and Advanced Aviation & Space. Themes include Sustainable Packaging Materials, and Commercial Space Exploration.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

BALL Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The requested time period, from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025, is in the future. Therefore, no information is available to explain a -6.6% stock movement for Ball (BALL) during this specific future timeframe. However, recent performance and news for Ball Corporation in 2024 and early 2025 offer some insights into the company's activities. Below are some key points regarding Ball Corporation's recent performance and strategic initiatives based on available information up to late 2024 and early 2025:

1. Strong Comparable Earnings Growth in 2024 and early 2025: Ball Corporation reported strong comparable diluted earnings per share (EPS) in 2024, with Q3 2024 comparable EPS at 91 cents, up from 83 cents in Q3 2023. The company also reported a comparable diluted EPS of $0.76 in Q1 2025, a 12% increase year-over-year from Q1 2024. For the full year 2024, comparable net earnings were $977 million, or $3.17 per diluted share, compared to $920 million, or $2.90 per diluted share in 2023.

2. Shareholder Returns and Buyback Programs: Ball Corporation has actively returned value to shareholders, with $1.25 billion returned in the first nine months of 2024 and an expectation to exceed $1.6 billion by year-end 2024. In January 2025, the company announced a new share repurchase program, authorizing the buyback of up to $4 billion of its common stock.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
BALL Return45%4%-46%14%-3%-11%-20%
Peers Return27%11%-9%6%6%-5%38%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
BALL Win Rate67%42%42%42%50%40% 
Peers Win Rate62%57%43%50%58%48% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
BALL Max Drawdown-20%-15%-50%-15%-5%-18% 
Peers Max Drawdown-30%-10%-26%-12%-10%-19% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: CCK, SLGN, GEF, BALL, ATR.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventBALLS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-56.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven128.4%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-33.9%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven51.3%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven156 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-21.6%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven27.5%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven263 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-49.6%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven98.5%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven633 days1480 days

Compare to CCK, SLGN, GEF, BALL, ATR


In The Past

Ball's stock fell -56.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 9/2/2021. A -56.2% loss requires a 128.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Ball (BALL)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to BALL. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.1%3.1%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.5%0.5%-1.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
30.9%30.9%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
12.7%12.7%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%-2.5%
BALL_11302022_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302022BALLBallDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-8.1%0.1%-22.8%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.1%3.1%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.5%0.5%-1.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
30.9%30.9%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
12.7%12.7%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%-2.5%
BALL_11302022_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302022BALLBallDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-8.1%0.1%-22.8%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Ball

Peers to compare with:

Financials

BALLCCKSLGNGEFATRMedian
NameBall Crown Silgan Greif AptarGro. 
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Valuation

BALLCCKSLGNGEFATRMedian
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Returns

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NameBall Crown Silgan Greif AptarGro. 
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Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Beverage packaging, North and Central America5,9636,6965,8565,0764,758
Beverage packaging, Europe, Middle East and Africa (EMEA)3,3953,8543,5092,9452,857
Beverage packaging, South America1,9602,1082,0161,6951,670
Other744714519324710
Aerospace 1,9771,9111,7411,479
Total12,06215,34913,81111,78111,474


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Beverage packaging, North and Central America710642681683555
Beverage packaging, Europe, Middle East and Africa (EMEA)354358452354351
Beverage packaging, South America266275348280288
Aerospace 170169153140
Amortization of acquired intangibles -135-152-150-155
Other -25-65-55-3
Total1,3301,2851,4331,2651,176


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity4,474,519
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-13.3%
Average Daily Volume3,837,201
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.17
Basic Shares Quantity271,086,000
Short % of Basic Shares1.7%

Returns Analyses

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251104202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025805202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025506202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024220202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241031202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024801202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024507202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023220202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231102202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023504202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022221202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022505202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021216202210-K 12/31/2021