Ball (BALL)
Market Price (3/5/2026): $64.78 | Market Cap: $17.3 BilSector: Materials | Industry: Metal, Glass & Plastic Containers
Ball (BALL)
Market Price (3/5/2026): $64.78Market Cap: $17.3 BilSector: MaterialsIndustry: Metal, Glass & Plastic Containers
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.6% | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -4.1% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.1% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 27% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -29%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -52% | Key risksBALL key risks include [1] volatile aluminum prices, Show more. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Circular Economy & Recycling, and Advanced Aviation & Space. Themes include Sustainable Packaging Materials, and Commercial Space Exploration. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.6% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 27% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Circular Economy & Recycling, and Advanced Aviation & Space. Themes include Sustainable Packaging Materials, and Commercial Space Exploration. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -4.1% |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -29%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -52% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.1% |
| Key risksBALL key risks include [1] volatile aluminum prices, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
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Ball (BALL) stock has gained about 30% since 11/30/2025 because of the following key factors:
1. Strong Fourth Quarter 2025 Earnings Beat and Optimistic 2026 Outlook.
Ball Corporation reported robust financial results for Q4 2025 on February 3, 2026, with an adjusted EPS of $0.91, surpassing the consensus estimate of $0.90. Quarterly revenue increased by 16.2% year-over-year to $3.35 billion, exceeding analysts' expectations of $3.11 billion. For the full year 2025, comparable diluted EPS rose by 13% to $3.57, and adjusted free cash flow reached a record $956 million. Management projected comparable diluted EPS growth of over 10% for 2026 and free cash flow exceeding $900 million. This strong performance and positive forward guidance significantly boosted investor confidence, with the stock jumping as much as 10% to a 52-week high post-earnings.
2. Strategic Acquisitions and Capacity Expansion for Future Growth.
Ball expanded its operational footprint and future growth potential through key strategic moves. In December 2025, the company announced definitive agreements to acquire an 80% stake in Benepack's European beverage can manufacturing businesses (in Belgium and Hungary) for approximately €184 million, with the acquisition closing in Q1 2026. This acquisition aims to optimize Ball's European manufacturing network and support long-term volume growth. Additionally, Ball is bringing new capacity online, including a new plant in Millersburg, Oregon, in the second half of 2026, which is expected to enhance the supply chain and support growth in North America, where the company is currently "sold out" for 2026 capacity.
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1. Strong Fourth Quarter 2025 Earnings Beat and Optimistic 2026 Outlook.
Ball Corporation reported robust financial results for Q4 2025 on February 3, 2026, with an adjusted EPS of $0.91, surpassing the consensus estimate of $0.90. Quarterly revenue increased by 16.2% year-over-year to $3.35 billion, exceeding analysts' expectations of $3.11 billion. For the full year 2025, comparable diluted EPS rose by 13% to $3.57, and adjusted free cash flow reached a record $956 million. Management projected comparable diluted EPS growth of over 10% for 2026 and free cash flow exceeding $900 million. This strong performance and positive forward guidance significantly boosted investor confidence, with the stock jumping as much as 10% to a 52-week high post-earnings.
2. Strategic Acquisitions and Capacity Expansion for Future Growth.
Ball expanded its operational footprint and future growth potential through key strategic moves. In December 2025, the company announced definitive agreements to acquire an 80% stake in Benepack's European beverage can manufacturing businesses (in Belgium and Hungary) for approximately €184 million, with the acquisition closing in Q1 2026. This acquisition aims to optimize Ball's European manufacturing network and support long-term volume growth. Additionally, Ball is bringing new capacity online, including a new plant in Millersburg, Oregon, in the second half of 2026, which is expected to enhance the supply chain and support growth in North America, where the company is currently "sold out" for 2026 capacity.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 31.7% change in BALL stock from 11/30/2025 to 3/4/2026 was primarily driven by a 29.4% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 11302025 | 3042026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 49.18 | 64.78 | 31.7% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 12,694 | 13,161 | 3.7% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 5.4% | 6.9% | 29.4% |
| P/E Multiple | 19.6 | 18.9 | -3.4% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 271 | 267 | 1.6% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 31.7% |
Market Drivers
11/30/2025 to 3/4/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| BALL | 31.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 0.3% | -12.5% |
| Sector (XLB) | 16.2% | 52.8% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 24.4% change in BALL stock from 8/31/2025 to 3/4/2026 was primarily driven by a 54.5% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 8312025 | 3042026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 52.07 | 64.78 | 24.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 12,397 | 13,161 | 6.2% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 4.5% | 6.9% | 54.5% |
| P/E Multiple | 25.9 | 18.9 | -26.7% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 276 | 267 | 3.5% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 24.4% |
Market Drivers
8/31/2025 to 3/4/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| BALL | 24.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 6.5% | -10.2% |
| Sector (XLB) | 13.1% | 47.7% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 25.2% change in BALL stock from 2/28/2025 to 3/4/2026 was primarily driven by a 397.1% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 2282025 | 3042026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 51.73 | 64.78 | 25.2% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 11,795 | 13,161 | 11.6% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 34.0% | 6.9% | -79.6% |
| P/E Multiple | 3.8 | 18.9 | 397.1% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 295 | 267 | 10.7% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 25.2% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2025 to 3/4/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| BALL | 25.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 16.3% | 31.6% |
| Sector (XLB) | 18.7% | 59.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 20.2% change in BALL stock from 2/28/2023 to 3/4/2026 was primarily driven by a 28.9% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 2282023 | 3042026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 53.90 | 64.78 | 20.2% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 13,372 | 13,161 | -1.6% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 5.4% | 6.9% | 28.9% |
| P/E Multiple | 23.5 | 18.9 | -19.5% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 314 | 267 | 17.7% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 20.2% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2023 to 3/4/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| BALL | 20.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 79.3% | 32.2% |
| Sector (XLB) | 33.9% | 52.9% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| BALL Return | 4% | -46% | 14% | -3% | -2% | 23% | -25% |
| Peers Return | 8% | -5% | -3% | 2% | 2% | 7% | 10% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | -0% | 81% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| BALL Win Rate | 42% | 42% | 42% | 50% | 50% | 67% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 57% | 47% | 52% | 47% | 52% | 53% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 33% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| BALL Max Drawdown | -15% | -50% | -15% | -5% | -18% | 0% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -10% | -23% | -22% | -11% | -22% | -6% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -1% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: CCK, AMBP, SLGN, AMCR, GPK.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 3/4/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | BALL | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -56.2% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 128.4% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -33.9% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 51.3% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 156 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -21.6% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 27.5% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 263 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -49.6% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 98.5% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 633 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to CCK, AMBP, SLGN, AMCR, GPK
In The Past
Ball's stock fell -56.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 9/2/2021. A -56.2% loss requires a 128.4% gain to breakeven.
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About Ball (BALL)
Ball Corporation supplies aluminum packaging products for the beverage, personal care, and household products industries in the United States, Brazil, and internationally. It operates through four segments: Beverage Packaging, North and Central America; Beverage Packaging, Europe, Middle East and Africa; Beverage Packaging, South America; and Aerospace. The company manufactures and sells aluminum beverage containers to fillers of carbonated soft drinks, beer, energy drinks, and other beverages. It also develops spacecraft, sensors and instruments, radio frequency systems, and other technologies for the civil, commercial, and national security aerospace markets, as well as offers defense hardware, antenna and video tactical solutions, civil and operational space hardware, and systems engineering services. In addition, the company designs, manufactures, and tests satellites, remote sensors, and ground station control hardware and software; and provides launch vehicle integration and satellite operational services. Further, it offers target identification, warning, and attitude control systems and components; cryogenic systems and associated sensor cooling devices; star trackers; and fast-steering mirrors to the government agencies or their prime contractors. Additionally, the company manufactures and sells extruded aluminum aerosol containers, recloseable aluminum bottles, aluminum cups, and aluminum slugs. Ball Corporation was founded in 1880 and is headquartered in Westminster, Colorado.
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- Ball is essentially the **Intel** of aluminum beverage cans.
- It's like the **Foxconn** for many of the drink cans you consume.
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- Aluminum Beverage Cans: Manufactures infinitely recyclable aluminum cans for various beverages including soft drinks, beer, energy drinks, and sparkling water.
- Aluminum Aerosol Cans: Produces sustainable aluminum aerosol packaging for personal care products, household goods, and pharmaceutical applications.
- Aluminum Cups: Offers infinitely recyclable aluminum cups as a sustainable alternative to plastic for events and everyday use.
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Ball Corporation (symbol: BALL) primarily sells its products to other companies (B2B) rather than directly to individuals. While Ball Corporation does not typically disclose the names of its specific major customers in its public filings due to competitive reasons, based on its well-known business segments, its major customers are leading companies within the beverage, food, household product, and aerospace industries.
Here are categories of its major customers and examples of prominent companies within those categories that are highly likely to be customers, including their public symbols where applicable:
1. Beverage Companies
These are large multinational producers of soft drinks, beer, energy drinks, sparkling water, and other canned beverages that rely on Ball for metal packaging.
- The Coca-Cola Company (KO)
- PepsiCo, Inc. (PEP)
- Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV (BUD)
- Molson Coors Beverage Company (TAP)
- Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP)
2. Food & Household Product Companies
These include large manufacturers of various canned foods (e.g., soups, vegetables, fruits) and other household items that utilize metal packaging.
- General Mills, Inc. (GIS)
- Conagra Brands, Inc. (CAG)
- The Kraft Heinz Company (KHC)
- J.M. Smucker Company (SJM)
3. Aerospace & Defense Entities
For its Ball Aerospace segment, customers include various government agencies and prime contractors in the defense and space industries.
- U.S. Government (e.g., Department of Defense, NASA)
- Lockheed Martin Corporation (LMT)
- Northrop Grumman Corporation (NOC)
- RTX Corporation (formerly Raytheon Technologies Corporation) (RTX)
- The Boeing Company (BA)
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Ball Corporation's major suppliers include:
- Novelis (parent company Hindalco Industries Limited, NSE: HINDALCO)
- Constellium SE (NYSE: CSTM)
- Norsk Hydro ASA (OTC: NHYDY)
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Daniel W. Fisher, Chairman and CEO
Daniel W. Fisher joined Ball Corporation in 2010 and was elected CEO in 2022 and Chairman in 2023. He previously served in various leadership roles at Ball, including President, Senior Vice President and Chief Operating Officer of Global Beverage Packaging, and Vice President of Finance. Prior to Ball, he held financial leadership positions at Bradken Corporation, Danaher Corporation, and Emerson Electric (formerly Daniel Industries and Emerson Process Management), where he notably served as chief financial and information technology officer. He also held a leadership position for Grey Mountain Partners, a private equity firm.
Daniel J. Rabbitt, Interim Chief Financial Officer
Daniel J. Rabbitt was appointed Interim Chief Financial Officer in May 2025. He joined Ball Corporation in 2016 as Senior Vice President of Corporate Planning and Development. Before this role, he managed Ball's Aerosol business as vice president and general manager. Prior to his tenure at Ball, he co-founded Mountain Union Telecom, LLC, and served as its CFO.
Ron Lewis, Senior Vice President, Chief Supply Chain and Operations Officer
Ron Lewis's experience includes serving as Chief Supply Chain Officer at Coca-Cola European Partners, Senior Vice President – Supply Chain at Coca-Cola Enterprises, Inc., and Chief Procurement Officer at The Coca-Cola Company. He held various supply chain and procurement leadership roles within Coca-Cola entities.
Hannah Lim-Johnson, Senior Vice President, Chief Legal Officer, and Corporate Secretary
Before joining Ball, Hannah Lim-Johnson served as Senior Vice President, Chief Legal Officer, and Corporate Secretary at Meritor from 2020 to 2021, and as Senior Vice President and Chief Legal Officer at Kelly Services from 2017 to 2020. Her prior experience also includes roles as Deputy General Counsel, Chief Litigation Counsel, and Assistant Corporate Secretary at PSEG, as well as litigation counsel positions at The ADT Corporation and Tyco International.
Kathleen Pitre, Senior Vice President & President of North and Central America
Kathleen Pitre previously held the position of Senior Vice President, Corporate Planning and Development at Ball Corporation. Her career at Ball also includes serving as Vice President and General Manager, Global Aerocan from 2015 to 2016, and Vice President and General Manager, Ball Aerocan, Americas from 2012 to 2015.
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Ball Corporation (BALL) faces several key business risks, with the most significant revolving around commodity price volatility, market shifts in its key segments, and its debt levels.
- Commodity Price Volatility
The most immediate financial pressure on Ball Corporation stems from volatile commodity prices, particularly aluminum, which is a primary raw material for its packaging products. This volatility in aluminum prices can lead to increased raw material costs due to supply and demand imbalances, directly impacting the company's profitability and financial health. - Weakness in the Beer/Alcohol Segment
The beer and alcohol sector represents a significant portion of Ball Corporation's product mix, estimated at 30-35%. Continued weakness or deceleration in this segment, especially in regions like North America, poses a substantial risk to the company's demand, volume growth, and overall profitability. - Debt Levels
Ball Corporation carries a significant amount of debt, with a net debt of approximately US$4.75 billion as of December 2024. While the company's interest coverage is considered manageable, the substantial debt level presents inherent risks to the balance sheet, suggesting that shareholders should closely monitor the company's use of debt.
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Ball Corporation (NYSE: BALL) operates in two primary business segments: aluminum packaging and aerospace technologies.
Addressable Markets for Main Products and Services:
Aluminum Packaging
- Global Metal Packaging Market: The global metal packaging market was valued at approximately USD 146.70 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach USD 194.68 billion by 2032. North America held a significant share, accounting for 34.57% of the market in 2023. The U.S. metal packaging market alone is projected to reach an estimated value of USD 53.06 billion by 2032.
- Global Aluminum Beverage Cans Market: The global aluminum beverage cans market size was valued at USD 35.56 billion in 2024 and is estimated to reach USD 60.75 billion by 2033. Another estimate indicates the global beverage cans market (aluminum dominates with over 96% share) was USD 39.20 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach USD 59.61 billion by 2030. North America leads this market, holding a 30.47% share in 2024.
- Global Aluminum Aerosol Cans Market: The global aluminum aerosol cans market is projected to grow from USD 4.8 billion in 2025 to USD 7.7 billion by 2035. In 2023, the global market size was valued at USD 4.2 billion and is expected to reach USD 6.65 billion by 2033. Europe constituted the largest market, with approximately 40% of the share in 2024. The broader global aerosol cans market (all materials) was valued at USD 11.19 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 19.52 billion by 2034, with aluminum dominating by material.
- Global Food Cans Market: The global food can market was valued at USD 25.66 billion in 2023 and is predicted to reach USD 36.20 billion by 2032. Separately, the global food beverage metal cans market size was estimated at USD 50.50 billion in 2024 and is predicted to increase to approximately USD 99.71 billion by 2034. The broader global canned food market was estimated at USD 118.53 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach USD 154.72 billion by 2030.
Aerospace and Technologies
- Global Aerospace and Defense Market: The global aerospace and defense market was valued at approximately USD 820.61 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach around USD 1,250.28 billion by 2034. Another estimate places the market size at around USD 750 billion in 2022, projected to reach USD 1,388 billion by 2030.
- North America/U.S. Aerospace and Defense Market: The North America aerospace and defense market was valued at USD 292.14 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach around USD 445.10 billion by 2034. Specifically, the United States Aerospace and Defense market size is estimated at USD 525.16 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach USD 694.86 billion by 2030.
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Ball Corporation (NYSE: BALL) is expected to experience future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years, driven by several key factors:
- Growing Demand for Sustainable Aluminum Packaging: The global shift towards eco-friendly packaging solutions is a significant tailwind for Ball. Aluminum cans are highly recyclable and are increasingly preferred by consumers and companies, positioning Ball to capitalize on this secular trend.
- Volume Growth Across Key Beverage Categories and Regions: Ball anticipates continued strong demand for aluminum beverage cans, fueled by trends such as increased at-home dining. Growth in specific beverage segments like energy drinks and non-alcoholic beverages is also expected. Regionally, strong growth is projected in EMEA due to increased can penetration and sustainability initiatives, and a recovery with robust volume growth is anticipated in South America. North America is also forecasted to see volume growth.
- Strategic Capacity Expansion and Operational Efficiencies: The company is making strategic investments to boost its production capacity, including the new Millersburg, Oregon facility, which is expected to enhance output, reduce supply chain costs, and improve operating leverage. Furthermore, ongoing operational efficiency programs and cost management initiatives are set to contribute to improved financial results.
- Strategic Acquisitions: Ball has demonstrated a strategy of expanding its market presence through acquisitions, such as the acquisition of Florida Can Manufacturing, which is bolstering its beverage can capacity in North America.
- Product Innovation: Continuous innovation in packaging solutions, including the development of lightweight and highly recyclable products, along with the introduction of new formats like smaller cans, is expected to drive incremental volume and maintain the company's competitive edge.
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Capital Allocation Decisions (Last 3-5 Years)
1. Share Repurchases
- Ball Corporation repurchased $1.71 billion in shares during 2024 and approximately $3 million in 2023.
- In 2022, the company's share repurchases totaled $618 million, including a $300 million accelerated share repurchase.
- Ball authorized a new share repurchase program of up to $4 billion of its common stock in January 2025, replacing previous authorizations. The company also plans to repurchase at least $1.3 billion in shares during 2025.
2. Share Issuance
- Explicit dollar amounts for significant share issuances are not distinctly reported in the available summaries of cash flow statements for the specified period. However, the company's statements of cash flows show "net issuances (purchases) of common stock" or similar lines, which indicate that share repurchases have significantly outweighed any issuances over the last several years.
3. Inbound Investments
- In October 2024, Ball acquired Alucan Entec, an aluminum aerosol packaging business, for an initial cash consideration of $80 million (or €75 million).
- In early 2025, Ball formed a strategic partnership for its aluminum cups business with Ayna.AI LLC, retaining a 49 percent interest in the new entity.
4. Outbound Investments
- Ball completed the divestiture of its aerospace business on February 16, 2024, for a purchase price of $5.6 billion.
- In 2022, Ball sold its Russian aluminum beverage packaging business for $530 million in cash.
- In the first quarter of 2022, Ball sold its remaining 49 percent equity method investment in Ball Metalpack for $298 million in cash.
5. Capital Expenditures
- Capital expenditures were $484 million in 2024, $1.045 billion in 2023, and $1.651 billion in 2022.
- Expected capital expenditures for 2025 are projected to be around $600 million.
- These investments support growth projects, including the construction of a new two-line can plant in Oregon and the acquisition of Florida Can Manufacturing for $160 million in 2025 to expand capacity in North America.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| BALL Stock Surges 20% With A 6-day Winning Spree On Analyst Upgrades | 02/11/2026 | |
| BALL Stock Surges 18% With A 5-day Winning Spree On Analyst Upgrades | 02/10/2026 | |
| Ball Earnings Notes | 12/28/2026 | |
| 7-Day Rally Sends Ball Stock Up 12% | 12/19/2025 | |
| 6-Day Rally Sends Ball Stock Up 11% | 12/18/2025 | |
| Can Silgan Outrun Ball in the Next Rally? | 12/17/2025 | |
| Ball Stock 5-Day Winning Spree: Stock Climbs 10% | 12/17/2025 | |
| Can Ball Stock Hold Up When Markets Turn? | 10/17/2025 | |
| ARTICLES | ||
| Ball Stock 7-Day Winning Spree: Stock Climbs 12% | 12/19/2025 | |
| Ball Stock 6-Day Winning Spree: Stock Climbs 11% | 12/18/2025 | |
| Between Silgan and Ball, Which Stock Looks Set to Break Out? | 12/17/2025 | |
| Ball Stock On Fire: Up 10% With 5-Day Winning Streak | 12/17/2025 |
Trade Ideas
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| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01312026 | IP | International Paper | Insider | Insider Buys 45DStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with multiple insider buys in the last 45 days | 9.1% | 9.1% | 0.0% |
| 01302026 | B | Barrick Mining | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 11.7% | 11.7% | -4.0% |
| 12312025 | AMR | Alpha Metallurgical Resources | Insider | Insider Buys 45DStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with multiple insider buys in the last 45 days | -18.6% | -18.6% | -18.6% |
| 12262025 | EMN | Eastman Chemical | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 18.9% | 18.9% | 0.0% |
| 12122025 | AMCR | Amcor | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 19.2% | 19.2% | -0.5% |
| 11302022 | BALL | Ball | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -8.1% | 0.1% | -22.8% |
Research & Analysis
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 46.34 |
| Mkt Cap | 4.6 |
| Rev LTM | 10,375 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1,176 |
| FCF LTM | 788 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 412 |
| CFO LTM | 1,262 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,080 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 10.7% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 0.1% |
| Rev Chg Q | 11.9% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.9% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 10.3% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 10.1% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 9.4% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 9.0% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 4.1% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 4.1% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 4.6 |
| P/S | 0.7 |
| P/EBIT | 7.8 |
| P/E | 14.7 |
| P/CFO | 9.6 |
| Total Yield | 8.2% |
| Dividend Yield | 2.8% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 4.5% |
| D/E | 1.2 |
| Net D/E | 1.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 6.2% |
| 3M Rtn | 15.6% |
| 6M Rtn | 17.9% |
| 12M Rtn | 13.2% |
| 3Y Rtn | 7.1% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 7.7% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 15.8% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 6.3% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -6.4% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -64.1% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beverage packaging, North and Central America | 5,619 | 5,963 | 6,696 | 5,856 | 5,076 |
| Beverage packaging, Europe, Middle East and Africa (EMEA) | 3,466 | 3,395 | 3,854 | 3,509 | 2,945 |
| Beverage packaging, South America | 1,951 | 1,960 | 2,108 | 2,016 | 1,695 |
| Other | 759 | 744 | 714 | 519 | 324 |
| Aerospace | 1,977 | 1,911 | 1,741 | ||
| Total | 11,795 | 12,062 | 15,349 | 13,811 | 11,781 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beverage packaging, North and Central America | 747 | 710 | 642 | 681 | 683 |
| Beverage packaging, Europe, Middle East and Africa (EMEA) | 416 | 354 | 358 | 452 | 354 |
| Beverage packaging, South America | 296 | 266 | 275 | 348 | 280 |
| Aerospace | 170 | 169 | 153 | ||
| Amortization of acquired intangibles | -135 | -152 | -150 | ||
| Other | -25 | -65 | -55 | ||
| Total | 1,459 | 1,330 | 1,285 | 1,433 | 1,265 |
Price Behavior
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $64.78 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 17.6 | |
| First Trading Date | 09/07/1984 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -4.1% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $59.48 | $53.65 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | 8.9% | 20.7% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 27.0% | 26.7% |
| Downside Capture | -125.79 | 24.96 |
| Upside Capture | 58.48 | 45.82 |
| Correlation (SPY) | -11.0% | 31.7% |
BALL Betas & Captures as of 2/28/2026
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | -0.99 | -0.35 | -0.34 | -0.20 | 0.44 | 0.59 |
| Up Beta | 0.21 | 0.07 | 0.07 | -0.19 | 0.49 | 0.61 |
| Down Beta | -0.80 | -0.11 | -0.54 | -0.22 | 0.47 | 0.53 |
| Up Capture | -19% | 45% | 65% | 19% | 37% | 27% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 9 | 20 | 31 | 70 | 142 | 431 |
| Stock +ve Days | 13 | 25 | 39 | 72 | 133 | 380 |
| Down Capture | -296% | -186% | -158% | -70% | 35% | 85% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 12 | 21 | 30 | 54 | 109 | 320 |
| Stock -ve Days | 8 | 16 | 22 | 52 | 117 | 368 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with BALL | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BALL | 26.2% | 26.7% | 0.84 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLB) | 21.2% | 20.7% | 0.83 | 59.5% |
| Equity (SPY) | 18.5% | 19.2% | 0.76 | 31.5% |
| Gold (GLD) | 78.4% | 26.1% | 2.20 | 7.2% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 19.7% | 17.1% | 0.89 | 16.6% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.3% | 16.6% | 0.14 | 52.0% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -20.7% | 45.1% | -0.38 | 5.2% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with BALL | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BALL | -4.3% | 30.2% | -0.11 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLB) | 8.9% | 18.9% | 0.36 | 51.1% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.9% | 17.0% | 0.65 | 40.8% |
| Gold (GLD) | 23.4% | 17.3% | 1.11 | 6.6% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 11.2% | 19.0% | 0.47 | 6.1% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.2% | 18.8% | 0.18 | 45.8% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 7.7% | 56.8% | 0.36 | 13.9% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with BALL | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BALL | 8.0% | 28.1% | 0.32 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLB) | 11.9% | 20.6% | 0.52 | 53.8% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.4% | 17.9% | 0.74 | 49.0% |
| Gold (GLD) | 15.0% | 15.6% | 0.80 | 9.1% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 9.0% | 17.6% | 0.42 | 10.5% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 6.5% | 20.7% | 0.28 | 48.3% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 66.2% | 66.8% | 1.06 | 10.9% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/4/2025 | 1.5% | -1.5% | 4.1% |
| 8/5/2025 | -5.7% | -6.9% | -12.6% |
| 5/6/2025 | -0.3% | 2.7% | 3.1% |
| 2/4/2025 | -6.9% | -9.6% | -6.5% |
| 10/31/2024 | -7.7% | -6.1% | -3.2% |
| 8/1/2024 | 1.1% | -1.4% | -2.3% |
| 4/26/2024 | 6.6% | 3.9% | 5.2% |
| 2/1/2024 | 7.1% | 5.5% | 16.3% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 14 | 9 | 12 |
| # Negative | 10 | 15 | 12 |
| Median Positive | 3.4% | 5.1% | 8.2% |
| Median Negative | -4.3% | -4.4% | -5.4% |
| Max Positive | 13.4% | 13.3% | 24.0% |
| Max Negative | -18.6% | -21.1% | -23.3% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2025 | 02/19/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/04/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/05/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/20/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 10/31/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/01/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/20/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/02/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/03/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/04/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/21/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/03/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/04/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/05/2022 | 10-Q |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fisher, Daniel William | Chairman & C.E.O. | Held by Reporting Person's Spouse | Sell | 8292025 | 51.55 | 3,400 | 175,270 | 517,356 | Form |
| 2 | Carey, Nate C | Vice President & Controller | Direct | Sell | 2062026 | 66.45 | 10,718 | 712,165 | 482,728 | Form |
| 3 | Pitre, Kathleen | SVP & President NCA | Direct | Sell | 3022026 | 66.63 | 10,660 | 710,320 | 2,450,269 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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