Tearsheet

Community Financial System (CBU)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $58.62 | Market Cap: $3.1 Bil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Regional Banks

Community Financial System (CBU)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $58.62
Market Cap: $3.1 Bil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Regional Banks

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.8%, Dividend Yield is 3.1%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.6%, FCF Yield is 7.5%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -11%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -71%
 
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -72%
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 10.02
 
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 35%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 29%
  
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 29%
  
4 Capital ratio is >2x the minimum of 6%
Tier 1 Capital / Risk Wtd Assets RatioTier 1 Capital / Risk-Weighted Assets is a common measure of financial strength for a bank. It reflects how much equity there is relative to assets where assets are weighted based on riskiness. Low ratios indicate the bank is highly vulnerable to even small changes in the value of their risk assets. is 14%
  
5 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, Digital Payments, and Wealth Management Technology.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.8%, Dividend Yield is 3.1%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.6%, FCF Yield is 7.5%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -72%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 35%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 29%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 29%
4 Capital ratio is >2x the minimum of 6%
Tier 1 Capital / Risk Wtd Assets RatioTier 1 Capital / Risk-Weighted Assets is a common measure of financial strength for a bank. It reflects how much equity there is relative to assets where assets are weighted based on riskiness. Low ratios indicate the bank is highly vulnerable to even small changes in the value of their risk assets. is 14%
5 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, Digital Payments, and Wealth Management Technology.
6 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -11%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -71%
7 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 10.02

Valuation, Metrics & Events

CBU Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. On October 23, 2025, Keefe, Bruyette & Woods reiterated a "Market Perform" rating for Community Financial System (CBU) and concurrently lowered its price target from $67.00 to $66.00, marking a 1.49% decrease.

2. Piper Sandler initiated coverage on CBU with a "Neutral" rating and a $62.00 price target on December 3, 2025, which may have contributed to a cautious investor outlook.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
CBU Return-10%22%-13%-14%23%-4%-3%
Peers Return-2%12%-18%18%1%19%28%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
CBU Win Rate42%67%42%33%50%40% 
Peers Win Rate22%25%28%35%27%51% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
CBU Max Drawdown-31%-0%-19%-39%-20%-17% 
Peers Max Drawdown-19%-2%-23%-16%-10%-7% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: NEWT, ATLO, AVBC, LSBK, NU.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventCBUS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-54.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven119.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-32.3%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven47.8%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven336 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-21.2%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven26.9%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven305 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-53.9%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven116.9%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1472 days1480 days

Compare to NEWT, ATLO, AVBC, LSBK, NU


In The Past

Community Financial System's stock fell -54.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/12/2021. A -54.4% loss requires a 119.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Community Financial System (CBU)

Better Bets than Community Financial System (CBU)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to CBU. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Community Financial System

Peers to compare with:

Financials

CBUNEWTATLOAVBCLSBKNUMedian
NameCommunit.NewtekOneAmes Nat.Avidia B.Lake Sho.Nu  
Mkt Price58.5611.3121.9516.4715.0917.4416.95
Mkt Cap3.10.30.2--84.21.7
Rev LTM7992696090268,967180
Op Inc LTM-------
FCF LTM230-52020-843,65712
FCF 3Y Avg224-22916-52,31716
CFO LTM283-51920-443,94112
CFO 3Y Avg253-22818-52,50618

Growth & Margins

CBUNEWTATLOAVBCLSBKNUMedian
NameCommunit.NewtekOneAmes Nat.Avidia B.Lake Sho.Nu  
Rev Chg LTM9.9%21.8%13.1%-2.1%23.7%13.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg6.6%31.6%-2.3%-0.0%70.1%6.6%
Rev Chg Q9.6%20.7%19.4%-16.5%20.4%19.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.3%4.7%4.6%-4.0%5.0%4.6%
Op Mgn LTM-------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-------
CFO/Rev LTM35.4%-193.4%33.7%-4.2%17.4%44.0%25.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg35.0%-91.8%31.7%-19.2%37.8%31.7%
FCF/Rev LTM28.8%-193.4%33.0%-8.3%15.3%40.8%22.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg31.1%-91.9%27.6%-17.8%34.9%27.6%

Valuation

CBUNEWTATLOAVBCLSBKNUMedian
NameCommunit.NewtekOneAmes Nat.Avidia B.Lake Sho.Nu  
Mkt Cap3.10.30.2--84.21.7
P/S3.91.12.7--7.43.3
P/EBIT-------
P/E15.04.911.6--28.813.3
P/CFO10.9-0.67.9--16.89.4
Total Yield9.8%20.2%13.5%--3.5%11.7%
Dividend Yield3.1%0.0%4.9%--0.0%1.6%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg8.2%-76.1%9.6%--4.3%6.2%
D/E0.22.60.2--0.00.2
Net D/E-0.71.8-4.5---0.4-0.6

Returns

CBUNEWTATLOAVBCLSBKNUMedian
NameCommunit.NewtekOneAmes Nat.Avidia B.Lake Sho.Nu  
1M Rtn4.7%9.4%5.5%7.2%7.0%8.1%7.1%
3M Rtn-0.6%-6.0%13.0%9.1%13.4%17.0%11.1%
6M Rtn6.5%10.7%29.3%--46.1%20.0%
12M Rtn-11.2%-14.3%32.6%--49.4%10.7%
3Y Rtn-0.5%-24.8%8.7%--291.0%4.1%
1M Excs Rtn4.7%9.4%5.5%7.2%7.1%8.2%7.1%
3M Excs Rtn-8.3%-12.1%4.9%1.3%9.3%11.9%3.1%
6M Excs Rtn-8.2%-4.0%14.6%--31.3%5.3%
12M Excs Rtn-26.3%-30.2%21.1%--25.6%-2.6%
3Y Excs Rtn-71.2%-94.1%-60.5%--240.5%-65.8%

FDIC Bank Data

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Banking and Corporate505496442437433
Employee Benefit Services123118117104100
Insurance Services47    
Wealth Management Services34    
Elimination of intersegment revenues-5    
Other revenues-52    
All Other 73696259
Eliminations -8-7-6-3
Total652679621597590


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Banking and Corporate15,32915,61715,32613,76211,226
Employee Benefit Services246226258218210
Insurance Services65    
Wealth Management Services34    
Elimination of intersegment cash and deposits-118    
All Other 97978376
Eliminations -104-128-132-101
Total15,55615,83615,55313,93111,410


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1,911,466
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120251.4%
Average Daily Volume190,789
Days-to-Cover Short Interest10.02
Basic Shares Quantity52,689,000
Short % of Basic Shares3.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025808202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025509202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024228202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241112202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024809202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024510202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023229202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231109202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023809202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023510202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022301202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221109202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022809202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022510202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021301202210-K 12/31/2021