Tearsheet

Prosperity Bancshares (PB)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $70.02 | Market Cap: $6.7 Bil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Regional Banks

Prosperity Bancshares (PB)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $70.02
Market Cap: $6.7 Bil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Regional Banks

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 12%, Dividend Yield is 3.5%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 7.8%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -25%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -68%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 24x
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20%
  
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 24%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, and Wealth Management Technology.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 12%, Dividend Yield is 3.5%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 7.8%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 24%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, and Wealth Management Technology.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -25%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -68%
5 Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 24x

Valuation, Metrics & Events

PB Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The stock of Prosperity Bancshares (PB) experienced fluctuations between August 31, 2025, and December 4, 2025. While a precise 2.2% movement and its specific causes for this future period are not explicitly detailed in the provided search results, several factors likely influenced the stock's performance during this time, reflecting general market conditions and company-specific announcements. Here are some key points based on available information that could explain stock movements for Prosperity Bancshares during a recent period:

1. Analyst Ratings and Price Targets: Financial analysts maintained a "Buy" or "Moderate Buy" consensus rating for Prosperity Bancshares, with an average price target that suggested an upside potential. For instance, as of December 1, 2025, analysts had an average price target of $80.56, forecasting a 15.95% increase over the next year. Another report on November 21, 2025, indicated an average 12-month price objective of $80.21. These positive outlooks from analysts could contribute to upward stock movements.

2. Dividend Increase: Prosperity Bancshares declared a quarterly common stock dividend of $0.60 per share for the fourth quarter of 2025, payable on January 2, 2026. This represented an increase of $0.02 per share, or 3.45%, from the prior quarter. A dividend hike can be viewed positively by investors, often leading to an increase in stock price.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
PB Return-0%7%4%-3%15%-6%16%
Peers Return-3%33%-14%3%13%2%32%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
PB Win Rate42%58%50%42%50%40% 
Peers Win Rate33%53%38%40%42%40% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
PB Max Drawdown-40%-4%-9%-29%-14%-16% 
Peers Max Drawdown-39%-3%-20%-35%-17%-16% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: SSB, WAL, VLY, GBCI, AVBC.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventPBS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-36.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven56.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven379 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-42.5%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven73.8%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven337 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-27.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven37.2%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven162 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-47.9%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven91.8%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven260 days1480 days

Compare to SSB, WAL, VLY, GBCI, AVBC


In The Past

Prosperity Bancshares's stock fell -36.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/7/2023. A -36.2% loss requires a 56.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Prosperity Bancshares (PB)

Better Bets than Prosperity Bancshares (PB)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to PB. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%
PB_3312020_Dip_Buyer_2_Growing_With_High_FCF_Yield03312020PBProsperity BancsharesDip BuyDB | Growth | FCF YieldDip Buy with Growth and High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with growth, and significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap)
8.2%60.0%-7.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%
PB_3312020_Dip_Buyer_2_Growing_With_High_FCF_Yield03312020PBProsperity BancsharesDip BuyDB | Growth | FCF YieldDip Buy with Growth and High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with growth, and significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap)
8.2%60.0%-7.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Prosperity Bancshares

Peers to compare with:

Financials

PBSSBWALVLYGBCIAVBCMedian
NameProsperi.SouthSta.Western .Valley N.Glacier .Avidia B. 
Mkt Price70.0591.6684.9111.4942.7016.4756.38
Mkt Cap6.79.39.36.45.1-6.7
Rev LTM1,1912,3943,3311,959922901,575
Op Inc LTM-------
FCF LTM238356-3,323539322-8280
FCF 3Y Avg501383-1,735424332-383
CFO LTM265423-3,231539353-4309
CFO 3Y Avg530427-1,628424377-424

Growth & Margins

PBSSBWALVLYGBCIAVBCMedian
NameProsperi.SouthSta.Western .Valley N.Glacier .Avidia B. 
Rev Chg LTM7.1%45.2%13.3%7.7%17.5%-13.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg2.7%18.3%12.8%5.3%2.0%-5.3%
Rev Chg Q3.9%63.9%14.8%10.2%21.3%-14.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.0%12.8%3.7%2.5%5.1%-3.7%
Op Mgn LTM-------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-------
CFO/Rev LTM22.3%17.7%-97.0%27.5%38.3%-4.2%20.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg47.5%22.1%-50.9%21.6%44.8%-22.1%
FCF/Rev LTM20.0%14.9%-99.8%27.5%35.0%-8.3%17.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg44.9%19.9%-54.6%21.6%39.4%-21.6%

Valuation

PBSSBWALVLYGBCIAVBCMedian
NameProsperi.SouthSta.Western .Valley N.Glacier .Avidia B. 
Mkt Cap6.79.39.36.45.1-6.7
P/S5.34.22.83.06.3-4.2
P/EBIT-------
P/E11.814.410.511.524.3-11.8
P/CFO23.823.7-2.911.016.3-16.3
Total Yield11.9%9.1%9.5%12.8%6.7%-9.5%
Dividend Yield3.5%2.1%0.0%4.1%2.6%-2.6%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg8.4%6.6%-18.5%8.7%7.9%-7.9%
D/E0.40.10.50.60.2-0.4
Net D/E0.0-0.0-1.20.3-0.6--0.0

Returns

PBSSBWALVLYGBCIAVBCMedian
NameProsperi.SouthSta.Western .Valley N.Glacier .Avidia B. 
1M Rtn5.3%3.9%11.0%5.0%5.0%7.2%5.2%
3M Rtn2.7%-9.0%-4.7%10.4%-11.9%9.1%-1.0%
6M Rtn3.0%6.1%19.0%35.4%5.1%-6.1%
12M Rtn-13.2%-14.4%-6.7%16.0%-23.3%--13.2%
3Y Rtn3.3%13.7%39.1%6.5%-19.6%-6.5%
1M Excs Rtn5.3%3.9%11.0%5.1%5.1%7.2%5.2%
3M Excs Rtn-2.7%-16.2%-11.9%3.7%-18.9%1.3%-7.3%
6M Excs Rtn-11.7%-8.6%4.3%20.7%-9.6%--8.6%
12M Excs Rtn-27.1%-28.7%-21.1%-0.4%-37.7%--27.1%
3Y Excs Rtn-68.1%-57.0%-35.4%-64.9%-89.7%--64.9%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment1,0681,1131,0981,122796
Total1,0681,1131,0981,122796


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity3,036,305
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120256.6%
Average Daily Volume1,011,233
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3
Basic Shares Quantity95,093,000
Short % of Basic Shares3.2%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251107202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024227202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241107202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024807202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024508202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023228202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231103202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023807202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023505202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022227202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221104202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022505202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021228202210-K 12/31/2021