Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.8%, Dividend Yield is 2.1%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.6%, FCF Yield is 22%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -0.3%, Dist 3Y High is -0.4%
 
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -20%
Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -50%
 
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 76%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 76%
  
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 27%
  
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, Digital Payments, and Wealth Management Technology.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.8%, Dividend Yield is 2.1%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.6%, FCF Yield is 22%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -20%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 76%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 76%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 27%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, Digital Payments, and Wealth Management Technology.
5 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -0.3%, Dist 3Y High is -0.4%
6 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -50%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

BOKF Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Anticipation of Federal Reserve Interest Rate Cuts: Comments from the New York Federal Reserve President regarding potential interest rate reductions fueled market optimism, particularly benefiting regional banks like BOK Financial. This contributed to a reported 4% rise in BOKF shares as of November 26, 2025, and a 6.6% return over one week.

2. Strong Third-Quarter 2025 Earnings Exceeding Expectations: BOK Financial announced third-quarter 2025 earnings per share of $2.22, surpassing the forecasted $2.17, and revenue of $542.08 million, slightly exceeding the anticipated $540.42 million.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
BOKF Return-19%58%1%-15%27%10%53%
Peers Return-2%12%-18%18%1%19%28%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
BOKF Win Rate50%75%42%33%67%60% 
Peers Win Rate22%25%28%35%27%51% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
BOKF Max Drawdown-59%0%-31%-37%-7%-17% 
Peers Max Drawdown-19%-2%-23%-16%-10%-7% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: NEWT, ATLO, AVBC, LSBK, NU.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventBOKFS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-45.0%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven81.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven378 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-59.5%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven146.9%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven337 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-32.6%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven48.4%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1043 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-62.2%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven164.8%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1465 days1480 days

Compare to NEWT, ATLO, AVBC, LSBK, NU


In The Past

BOK Financial's stock fell -45.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/14/2022. A -45.0% loss requires a 81.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About BOK Financial (BOKF)

Better Bets than BOK Financial (BOKF)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to BOKF. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.1%0.1%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.7%-7.7%-11.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for BOK Financial

Peers to compare with:

Financials

BOKFNEWTATLOAVBCLSBKNUMedian
NameBOK Fina.NewtekOneAmes Nat.Avidia B.Lake Sho.Nu  
Mkt Price116.5411.3121.9516.4715.0917.4416.95
Mkt Cap7.30.30.2--84.23.8
Rev LTM1,9942696090268,967180
Op Inc LTM-------
FCF LTM1,519-52020-843,65712
FCF 3Y Avg84-22916-52,31716
CFO LTM1,519-51920-443,94112
CFO 3Y Avg84-22818-52,50618

Growth & Margins

BOKFNEWTATLOAVBCLSBKNUMedian
NameBOK Fina.NewtekOneAmes Nat.Avidia B.Lake Sho.Nu  
Rev Chg LTM2.8%21.8%13.1%-2.1%23.7%13.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg7.6%31.6%-2.3%-0.0%70.1%7.6%
Rev Chg Q6.0%20.7%19.4%-16.5%20.4%19.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.5%4.7%4.6%-4.0%5.0%4.6%
Op Mgn LTM-------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-------
CFO/Rev LTM76.1%-193.4%33.7%-4.2%17.4%44.0%25.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg5.5%-91.8%31.7%-19.2%37.8%19.2%
FCF/Rev LTM76.1%-193.4%33.0%-8.3%15.3%40.8%24.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg5.5%-91.9%27.6%-17.8%34.9%17.8%

Valuation

BOKFNEWTATLOAVBCLSBKNUMedian
NameBOK Fina.NewtekOneAmes Nat.Avidia B.Lake Sho.Nu  
Mkt Cap7.30.30.2--84.23.8
P/S3.51.12.7--7.43.1
P/EBIT-------
P/E13.04.911.6--28.812.3
P/CFO4.6-0.67.9--16.86.2
Total Yield9.8%20.2%13.5%--3.5%11.6%
Dividend Yield2.1%0.0%4.9%--0.0%1.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-1.4%-76.1%9.6%--4.3%1.4%
D/E0.52.60.2--0.00.3
Net D/E-0.21.8-4.5---0.4-0.3

Returns

BOKFNEWTATLOAVBCLSBKNUMedian
NameBOK Fina.NewtekOneAmes Nat.Avidia B.Lake Sho.Nu  
1M Rtn11.6%9.4%5.5%7.2%7.0%8.1%7.6%
3M Rtn4.6%-6.0%13.0%9.1%13.4%17.0%11.1%
6M Rtn25.8%10.7%29.3%--46.1%27.5%
12M Rtn0.9%-14.3%32.6%--49.4%16.7%
3Y Rtn18.9%-24.8%8.7%--291.0%13.8%
1M Excs Rtn11.7%9.4%5.5%7.2%7.1%8.2%7.7%
3M Excs Rtn-1.6%-12.1%4.9%1.3%9.3%11.9%3.1%
6M Excs Rtn11.1%-4.0%14.6%--31.3%12.8%
12M Excs Rtn-13.3%-30.2%21.1%--25.6%3.9%
3Y Excs Rtn-50.3%-94.1%-60.5%--240.5%-55.4%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity3,220,272
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025178.8%
Average Daily Volume432,070
Days-to-Cover Short Interest7.45
Basic Shares Quantity62,840,270
Short % of Basic Shares5.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251029202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025730202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025430202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024219202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241030202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024731202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024501202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023221202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231101202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023802202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023503202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022301202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221102202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022803202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022504202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021223202210-K 12/31/2021