Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.0%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.9%, FCF Yield is 8.9%
Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -27%
 
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -190%
Moderate capital ratio
Tier 1 Capital / Risk Wtd Assets RatioTier 1 Capital / Risk-Weighted Assets is a common measure of financial strength for a bank. It reflects how much equity there is relative to assets where assets are weighted based on riskiness. Low ratios indicate the bank is highly vulnerable to even small changes in the value of their risk assets. is 9.9%
 
2 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 53%
  
3 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 40%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 37%
  
4 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 32%
  
5 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, and Digital & Alternative Assets. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, Wealth Management Technology, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.0%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.9%, FCF Yield is 8.9%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -190%
2 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 53%
3 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 40%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 37%
4 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 32%
5 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Fintech & Digital Payments, and Digital & Alternative Assets. Themes include Online Banking & Lending, Wealth Management Technology, Show more.
6 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -27%
7 Moderate capital ratio
Tier 1 Capital / Risk Wtd Assets RatioTier 1 Capital / Risk-Weighted Assets is a common measure of financial strength for a bank. It reflects how much equity there is relative to assets where assets are weighted based on riskiness. Low ratios indicate the bank is highly vulnerable to even small changes in the value of their risk assets. is 9.9%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

UMBF Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points that likely contributed to UMB Financial's (UMBF) stock movement of -4.6% during the approximate period from August 31, 2025, to December 5, 2025: 1. Deteriorating Asset Quality and Increased Credit Loss Provisions.

UMB Financial's third-quarter 2025 earnings report indicated a rise in the ratio of net charge-offs to average loans, increasing to 0.20% from 0.14% in the prior-year quarter. Additionally, total non-accrual and restructured loans significantly increased to $131.9 million compared to $19.3 million in the third quarter of 2024, and the provision for credit losses grew to $22.5 million from $18 million.

2. Negative Impact from Voyager Stock Valuation.

The company experienced a negative $38 million swing in fee income sequentially in the third quarter due to market valuation changes on its equity positions. This included a $9 million mark-to-market loss from the change in the stock price of Voyager, which fell from $39.25 on June 30, 2025, to $29.78 on September 30, 2025.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
UMBF Return3%56%-20%2%37%4%87%
Peers Return-2%12%-18%18%1%21%29%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%17%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
UMBF Win Rate58%75%33%67%67%50% 
Peers Win Rate22%25%28%35%27%51% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
UMBF Max Drawdown-38%-1%-26%-35%-7%-23% 
Peers Max Drawdown-19%-2%-23%-16%-10%-7% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: NEWT, ATLO, AVBC, LSBK, NU.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/4/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventUMBFS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-51.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven105.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven532 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-39.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven64.3%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven227 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-27.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven37.1%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven788 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-50.9%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven103.8%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven2803 days1480 days

Compare to NEWT, ATLO, AVBC, LSBK, NU


In The Past

UMB Financial's stock fell -51.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/14/2022. A -51.3% loss requires a 105.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About UMB Financial (UMBF)

Better Bets than UMB Financial (UMBF)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to UMBF. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.5%7.5%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
15.2%15.2%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.5%-2.5%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-6.2%-6.2%-11.0%
UMBF_12312024_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%12312024UMBFUMB FinancialQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-3.4%3.0%-23.1%
UMBF_3312020_Dip_Buyer_2_Growing_With_High_FCF_Yield03312020UMBFUMB FinancialDip BuyDB | Growth | FCF YieldDip Buy with Growth and High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with growth, and significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap)
6.1%102.9%-8.4%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
WU_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025WUWestern UnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.5%7.5%-0.4%
COIN_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025COINCoinbase GlobalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
15.2%15.2%0.0%
PYPL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.5%-2.5%-7.5%
V_11142025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11142025VVisaMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.1%-0.1%-2.7%
WD_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025WDWalker & DunlopDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-6.2%-6.2%-11.0%
UMBF_12312024_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%12312024UMBFUMB FinancialQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-3.4%3.0%-23.1%
UMBF_3312020_Dip_Buyer_2_Growing_With_High_FCF_Yield03312020UMBFUMB FinancialDip BuyDB | Growth | FCF YieldDip Buy with Growth and High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with growth, and significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap)
6.1%102.9%-8.4%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for UMB Financial

Peers to compare with:

Financials

UMBFNEWTATLOAVBCLSBKNUMedian
NameUMB Fina.NewtekOneAmes Nat.Avidia B.Lake Sho.Nu  
Mkt Price115.8811.2322.1016.6915.0217.6517.17
Mkt Cap8.80.30.2--85.24.5
Rev LTM2,1592696090268,967180
Op Inc LTM-------
FCF LTM802-52020-843,65712
FCF 3Y Avg552-22916-52,31716
CFO LTM854-51920-443,94112
CFO 3Y Avg588-22818-52,50618

Growth & Margins

UMBFNEWTATLOAVBCLSBKNUMedian
NameUMB Fina.NewtekOneAmes Nat.Avidia B.Lake Sho.Nu  
Rev Chg LTM53.4%21.8%13.1%-2.1%23.7%21.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg19.9%31.6%-2.3%-0.0%70.1%19.9%
Rev Chg Q70.8%20.7%19.4%-16.5%20.4%20.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM13.5%4.7%4.6%-4.0%5.0%4.7%
Op Mgn LTM-------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-------
CFO/Rev LTM39.5%-193.4%33.7%-4.2%17.4%44.0%25.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg35.4%-91.8%31.7%-19.2%37.8%31.7%
FCF/Rev LTM37.1%-193.4%33.0%-8.3%15.3%40.8%24.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg33.3%-91.9%27.6%-17.8%34.9%27.6%

Valuation

UMBFNEWTATLOAVBCLSBKNUMedian
NameUMB Fina.NewtekOneAmes Nat.Avidia B.Lake Sho.Nu  
Mkt Cap8.80.30.2--85.24.5
P/S4.21.12.7--7.43.4
P/EBIT-------
P/E14.84.911.6--28.813.2
P/CFO10.5-0.67.9--16.89.2
Total Yield8.0%20.2%13.5%--3.5%10.8%
Dividend Yield1.3%0.0%4.9%--0.0%0.6%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg10.8%-76.1%9.6%--4.3%6.9%
D/E0.02.60.2--0.00.1
Net D/E-1.91.8-4.5---0.4-1.2

Returns

UMBFNEWTATLOAVBCLSBKNUMedian
NameUMB Fina.NewtekOneAmes Nat.Avidia B.Lake Sho.Nu  
1M Rtn9.0%7.1%6.9%10.6%6.1%11.7%8.0%
3M Rtn-6.0%-7.4%11.0%8.1%14.1%18.7%9.5%
6M Rtn14.6%9.8%29.9%--45.7%22.3%
12M Rtn-7.5%-15.4%31.8%--47.1%12.1%
3Y Rtn49.7%-25.5%11.1%--334.7%30.4%
1M Excs Rtn7.8%5.8%5.7%9.3%4.9%10.4%6.8%
3M Excs Rtn-12.4%-10.8%4.8%4.8%8.8%13.9%4.8%
6M Excs Rtn-0.9%-5.6%14.5%--30.3%6.8%
12M Excs Rtn-19.2%-30.1%18.5%--33.7%-0.3%
3Y Excs Rtn-27.3%-96.9%-60.7%--241.1%-44.0%

FDIC Bank Data

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2,536,875
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120251.2%
Average Daily Volume460,445
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.51
Basic Shares Quantity75,943,943
Short % of Basic Shares3.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251030202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025731202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025502202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024227202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241031202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024801202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024507202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023222202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231026202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023727202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023427202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022223202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221027202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022728202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022428202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021224202210-K 12/31/2021