Cars.com (CARS)
Market Price (12/5/2025): $12.11 | Market Cap: $747.3 MilSector: Communication Services | Industry: Interactive Media & Services
Cars.com (CARS)
Market Price (12/5/2025): $12.11Market Cap: $747.3 MilSector: Communication ServicesIndustry: Interactive Media & Services
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -85%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -88% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 53% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 16% | Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 11% | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 50% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Digital Advertising. Themes include Online Marketplaces, and Ad-Tech Platforms. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 16% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 50% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Digital Advertising. Themes include Online Marketplaces, and Ad-Tech Platforms. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -85%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -88% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 11% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 53% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
CARS Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Following the release of its fourth-quarter and full-year 2024 financial results on February 27, 2025, Cars.com's stock experienced a significant negative movement due to several factors.
1. Earnings Per Share (EPS) Miss: Cars.com reported an adjusted EPS of $0.49 for Q4 2024, which fell short of analysts' consensus estimates of $0.56 or $0.52. This miss typically signals underperformance relative to market expectations.
2. Revenue Falling Short of Expectations: The company's Q4 2024 revenue of $180.4 million was slightly below the anticipated $183.9 million, or the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $182.51 million. A revenue shortfall, even a small one, can lead to negative investor sentiment.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| CARS Return | -8% | 42% | -14% | 38% | -9% | -30% | -1% |
| Peers Return | 9% | 6% | -40% | 19% | 6% | -31% | -39% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 17% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| CARS Win Rate | 50% | 67% | 42% | 67% | 33% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 43% | 48% | 30% | 38% | 40% | 48% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| CARS Max Drawdown | -70% | 0% | -45% | 0% | -20% | -42% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -37% | -13% | -50% | -23% | -24% | -43% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: CARG, TRUE, UIS, FORR, STUB. See CARS Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/4/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | CARS | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -53.4% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 114.7% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 288 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -72.9% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 268.7% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 257 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -74.5% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 292.1% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
Compare to CARG, TRUE, UIS, FORR, STUB
In The Past
Cars.com's stock fell -53.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/8/2021. A -53.4% loss requires a 114.7% gain to breakeven.
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to CARS. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | PINS | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 4.9% | 4.9% | 0.0% | |
| 11212025 | TMUS | T-Mobile US | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.0% | 0.0% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | Z | Zillow | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 6.8% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | IRDM | Iridium Communications | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 2.1% | 2.1% | -5.6% |
| 10032025 | TTD | Trade Desk | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -25.1% | -25.1% | -25.6% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | PINS | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 4.9% | 4.9% | 0.0% | |
| 11212025 | TMUS | T-Mobile US | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.0% | 0.0% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | Z | Zillow | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 6.8% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | IRDM | Iridium Communications | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 2.1% | 2.1% | -5.6% |
| 10032025 | TTD | Trade Desk | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -25.1% | -25.1% | -25.6% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Cars.com
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 9.38 |
| Mkt Cap | 0.2 |
| Rev LTM | 720 |
| Op Inc LTM | 44 |
| FCF LTM | 19 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 11 |
| CFO LTM | 22 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 15 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 0.2% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -0.7% |
| Rev Chg Q | -7.2% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -1.8% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 2.6% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 3.8% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.3% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 5.2% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 3.3% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 4.6% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 2.4% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 0.2 |
| P/S | 0.9 |
| P/EBIT | -1.3 |
| P/E | -0.8 |
| P/CFO | 8.8 |
| Total Yield | -11.4% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 4.1% |
| D/E | 0.4 |
| Net D/E | 0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -5.5% |
| 3M Rtn | -11.1% |
| 6M Rtn | 12.9% |
| 12M Rtn | -50.6% |
| 3Y Rtn | -22.5% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -6.7% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -16.6% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -2.5% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -63.6% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -88.2% |
Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Single segment | 689 | ||||
| Dealer | 579 | ||||
| OEM and National | 59 | ||||
| Other | 16 | 8 | 8 | 12 | |
| Display advertising | 85 | 85 | 92 | ||
| Pay per lead | 12 | 19 | 27 | ||
| Subscription advertising and digital solutions | 518 | 436 | 476 | ||
| Total | 689 | 654 | 624 | 548 | 607 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Single segment | 54 | ||||
| Total | 54 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Single segment | 118 | ||||
| Total | 118 |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11062025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8072025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5082025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2272025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11072024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8082024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5092024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2222024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11022023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8032023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5042023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2232023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11032022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8032022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5062022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2252022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |