Tearsheet

Carvana (CVNA)


Market Price (12/29/2025): $438.69 | Market Cap: $61.1 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Automotive Retail

Carvana (CVNA)


Market Price (12/29/2025): $438.69
Market Cap: $61.1 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Automotive Retail

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 46%
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 10%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 37x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 92x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 97x
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Online Marketplaces, Direct-to-Consumer Brands, and Last-Mile Delivery.
  Stock price has recently run up significantly
12M Rtn12 month market price return is 104%
2   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.1%
3   Short seller report
Hindenburg Research report on 1/2/2025.
4   Key risks
CVNA key risks include [1] its significant reliance on subprime lending and the associated credit risk, Show more.
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 46%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Online Marketplaces, Direct-to-Consumer Brands, and Last-Mile Delivery.
2 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 10%
3 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 37x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 92x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 97x
4 Stock price has recently run up significantly
12M Rtn12 month market price return is 104%
5 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.1%
6 Short seller report
Hindenburg Research report on 1/2/2025.
7 Key risks
CVNA key risks include [1] its significant reliance on subprime lending and the associated credit risk, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

CVNA Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback



1. Carvana announced record-breaking third-quarter 2025 financial results on October 29, 2025. These results included record retail units sold of 155,941, a 44% increase year-over-year, and total revenue that surged 55% year-over-year to $5.65 billion, marking the highest quarterly sales figure in the company's history. Profitability also strengthened significantly, with net income rising to $263 million (up 78% year-over-year) and adjusted EBITDA reaching a company record of $637 million (a 48% year-over-year increase).

2. The company achieved inclusion in the S&P 500 Index in late 2025. This milestone underscored Carvana's dramatic turnaround and validated its strategic execution, reflecting a profound transformation in operational efficiency and financial health.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 18.7% change in CVNA stock from 9/28/2025 to 12/28/2025 was primarily driven by a 12.2% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
928202512282025Change
Stock Price ($)369.29438.4718.73%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)16274.0018266.0012.24%
Net Income Margin (%)3.46%3.44%-0.46%
P/E Multiple88.8297.049.26%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)135.41139.21-2.81%
Cumulative Contribution18.64%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

9/28/2025 to 12/28/2025
ReturnCorrelation
CVNA18.7% 
Market (SPY)4.3%56.3%
Sector (XLY)1.8%53.6%

Fundamental Drivers

The 37.3% change in CVNA stock from 6/29/2025 to 12/28/2025 was primarily driven by a 28.4% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
629202512282025Change
Stock Price ($)319.26438.4737.34%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)14844.0018266.0023.05%
Net Income Margin (%)2.68%3.44%28.43%
P/E Multiple107.5497.04-9.76%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)134.06139.21-3.85%
Cumulative Contribution37.14%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/29/2025 to 12/28/2025
ReturnCorrelation
CVNA37.3% 
Market (SPY)12.6%42.1%
Sector (XLY)11.9%41.1%

Fundamental Drivers

The 103.9% change in CVNA stock from 12/28/2024 to 12/28/2025 was primarily driven by a 2442.2% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
1228202412282025Change
Stock Price ($)215.09438.47103.85%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)12550.0018266.0045.55%
Net Income Margin (%)0.14%3.44%2442.15%
P/E Multiple1567.4197.04-93.81%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)123.88139.21-12.37%
Cumulative Contribution100.73%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/28/2024 to 12/28/2025
ReturnCorrelation
CVNA103.9% 
Market (SPY)17.0%62.5%
Sector (XLY)7.0%60.8%

Fundamental Drivers

The 9753.3% change in CVNA stock from 12/29/2022 to 12/28/2025 was primarily driven by a 10200.6% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
1229202212282025Change
Stock Price ($)4.45438.479753.26%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)14520.0018266.0025.80%
P/S Multiple0.033.3410200.62%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)105.86139.21-31.51%
Cumulative Contribution8774.92%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/29/2023 to 12/28/2025
ReturnCorrelation
CVNA728.2% 
Market (SPY)48.4%49.3%
Sector (XLY)38.6%47.9%

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
CVNA Return160%-3%-98%1017%284%117%380%
Peers Return16%38%-12%21%26%16%150%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%18%114%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
CVNA Win Rate67%50%17%67%75%67% 
Peers Win Rate52%65%42%68%57%52% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
CVNA Max Drawdown-68%-15%-98%-7%-23%-20% 
Peers Max Drawdown-34%-5%-26%-7%-9%-23% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: HPQ, HPE, IBM, CSCO, AAPL. See CVNA Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/26/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventCVNAS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-99.0%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven9848.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven947 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-73.3%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven275.1%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven77 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-57.9%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven137.3%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven130 days120 days

Compare to HPQ, HPE, IBM, CSCO, AAPL

In The Past

Carvana's stock fell -99.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 8/10/2021. A -99.0% loss requires a 9848.9% gain to breakeven.

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About Carvana (CVNA)

Carvana Co., together with its subsidiaries, operates an e-commerce platform for buying and selling used cars in the United States. The company's platform allows customers to research and identify a vehicle; inspect it using company's 360-degree vehicle imaging technology; obtain financing and warranty coverage; purchase the vehicle; and schedule delivery or pick-up from their desktop or mobile devices. Carvana Co. was founded in 2012 and is headquartered in Tempe, Arizona.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Carvana:

  • Amazon for used cars
  • Zillow for used cars

AI Analysis | Feedback

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  • Online Used Vehicle Retail: Carvana enables customers to search, select, purchase, and arrange delivery or pickup of pre-owned vehicles entirely through its digital platform.
  • Vehicle Financing: The company provides various financing solutions and auto loans to assist customers with their vehicle purchases directly through the Carvana platform.
  • Vehicle Acquisition (Trade-in/Purchase): Carvana buys used vehicles directly from consumers, either as part of a trade-in deal or a standalone sale, to maintain its inventory.
```

AI Analysis | Feedback

Carvana (CVNA) primarily sells directly to **individual consumers**, not other businesses. The company's business model is centered on providing a seamless online platform for purchasing used vehicles. As such, its major customers fall into the following categories:

  1. Individual Car Buyers Seeking Convenience and a Digital Experience

    This category encompasses consumers who prioritize the ease and efficiency of purchasing a used vehicle entirely online. They appreciate the ability to browse extensive inventory, secure financing, and complete the transaction from the comfort of their home, avoiding the traditional dealership experience.

  2. Price-Conscious Consumers Valuing Transparency

    Customers in this group are drawn to Carvana's "no-haggle" pricing model, which offers a transparent, fixed price upfront. They value knowing the exact cost without the negotiation often associated with buying a car, seeking a straightforward and predictable purchasing process.

  3. Consumers Prioritizing Selection and Flexible Delivery Options

    This category includes individuals who benefit from Carvana's vast nationwide inventory, which often provides a wider selection of vehicles than local dealerships. They also value the company's flexible delivery options, including home delivery or pick-up from Carvana's distinctive Car Vending Machines, offering a personalized acquisition experience.

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  • KAR Auction Services (KAR)
  • Amazon Web Services (AMZN)

AI Analysis | Feedback

Ernest Garcia III, President, Chief Executive Officer and Chairman

Ernest Garcia III co-founded Carvana in 2012 and has served as its President, Chief Executive Officer, and Chairman since its inception. Before founding Carvana, he held various roles at DriveTime Automotive Group, Inc. from 2007 to 2013, including financial strategist, managing director of corporate finance, and Vice President, Treasurer and Director of Quantitative Analytics. At DriveTime, he was responsible for developing consumer credit scoring models. Prior to DriveTime, Mr. Garcia was an associate in the Principal Transactions Group at RBS Greenwich Capital from 2005 to 2006, focusing on consumer credit-based investments. Carvana was spun out from DriveTime and became a public company in 2017. Ernest Garcia II, his father and the founder of DriveTime, remains a significant shareholder and, along with Ernest Garcia III, controls over 85% of Carvana's voting shares through a dual-class stock structure. Both Ernest Garcia III and his father participated in a private equity sale of Carvana stock in March 2020. Ernest Garcia III has also sold shares of Carvana stock.

Mark Jenkins, Chief Financial Officer

Mark Jenkins has served as Carvana's Chief Financial Officer since July 2014. Before joining Carvana, he was a professor in the finance department at The Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania from 2009 to 2014, where his research and teaching focused on consumer and corporate credit markets. While at Wharton, he taught courses on corporate restructuring, corporate credit, and leveraged finance. From 2001 to 2004, prior to his time at Wharton, Mr. Jenkins worked at The Brattle Group, an economic consulting firm, specializing in corporate valuation and demand forecasting in technology markets. He has engaged in sales of Carvana stock.

Benjamin Huston, Chief Operating Officer

Benjamin Huston co-founded Carvana and has served as its Chief Operating Officer since the company's inception in 2012. Prior to Carvana, he co-founded Looterang, a card-linking platform, in 2011 and served as its Chief Executive Officer from 2011 to 2012. From 2008 to 2011, Mr. Huston was an associate at Latham and Watkins, a global law firm, where he focused on regulatory affairs.

Ryan Keeton, Co-Founder and Chief Brand Officer

Ryan Keeton co-founded Carvana and has been its Chief Brand Officer since the company's inception in 2012. Before co-founding Carvana, he worked as a principal at the Montero Group, a strategic consultancy firm, from 2010 to 2012, where he advised both global public and private companies on strategic and business initiatives. From 2008 to 2010, Mr. Keeton served as Director of Strategic Marketing for George P. Johnson, a global marketing agency.

Daniel Gill, Chief Product Officer

Daniel Gill has served as Carvana's Chief Product Officer since March 2015, overseeing all technology functions and strategic partnerships for the business. Prior to joining Carvana, Mr. Gill served as Head of Strategy and Business Development for Inflection from May 2014 to March 2015. He also co-founded and was the CEO of Huddler from 2007 until its acquisition by Wikia in May 2014.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The key risks to Carvana's business include the cyclical nature of the used car market and its reliance on subprime lending, alongside the challenges of executing its growth strategy at scale.

  1. Cyclicality of the Used Car Market and Macroeconomic Conditions: Carvana's business is highly sensitive to broader economic trends, including credit conditions, employment stability, and consumer confidence. A downturn in these macroeconomic factors can significantly dampen auto demand. Used vehicle prices have also seen declines, and rising interest rates or economic volatility could further impact consumer spending on vehicles, affecting Carvana's sales volume and profitability. The company previously faced challenges during the used car market crash in 2022 and 2023, which resulted in a rapid decline in preowned pricing.
  2. Reliance on Subprime Lending and Associated Credit Risk: A substantial portion of Carvana's customers are subprime borrowers. There are ongoing concerns about rising subprime auto loan delinquencies, which could impair Carvana's ability to sell its originated loans to financing partners and necessitate higher provisions for potential losses. While Carvana aims to mitigate this by securitizing loans and selling them to investors, the practice carries risks, including potential conflicts from related-party transactions and vulnerability to market freezes if defaults increase significantly.
  3. Execution and Scaling Challenges: Expanding operations to significantly increase annual vehicle sales, for example, from 600,000 to 3 million cars, presents considerable execution challenges. These include ensuring sufficient reconditioning capacity, optimizing logistics throughput, adequate staffing, automation, and strategic site expansion. Maintaining consistent quality and efficiency across these expanding operations remains a critical challenge for the company.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Traditional automotive dealerships and large dealership groups are increasingly investing in and implementing robust online sales platforms, home delivery options, and digital tools that mirror Carvana's convenience. This allows them to offer a similar online buying experience while leveraging their existing physical infrastructure for reconditioning, service, and local presence, potentially eroding Carvana's competitive differentiation.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Carvana's main product is the online retail sale of used vehicles. The primary addressable market for this service is the United States used car market. Carvana also offers ancillary services such as vehicle trade-ins, financing solutions, and vehicle service contracts (extended warranties).

The addressable market for Carvana's main product, used vehicle sales, in the U.S. is estimated to be approximately $1.05 trillion in 2025. This market is projected to grow to $1.20 trillion by 2030, at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 2.71% during the forecast period of 2025-2030. In terms of units, the U.S. used car market size reached 38.6 million units in 2025 and is estimated to reach 51.4 million units by 2034, exhibiting a CAGR of 3.23% from 2026-2034.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Carvana (CVNA) is anticipated to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through a combination of expanding its customer base, enhancing its operational efficiency, leveraging its financial services, and optimizing its digital platform.

Here are the key expected drivers:

  1. Expansion of Retail Unit Sales and Market Share: Carvana has consistently demonstrated strong year-over-year growth in retail units sold and aims to continue this trajectory. With approximately 1% market share in the vast U.S. automotive retail market, there is significant room for expansion and customer acquisition. The company reported a 34% increase in retail units sold in Q3 2024, and a 50% increase in Q4 2024, with expectations for continued growth in 2025. Analysts project continued strong unit growth for 2025 and 2026.
  2. Enhancement of Customer Offering and Experience: Improving the customer experience, building awareness, understanding, and trust are fundamental growth drivers for Carvana. Initiatives such as the launch of same-day vehicle delivery services in major metropolitan areas are expected to boost the customer base and streamline the car-buying process.
  3. Operational Efficiencies and Scalability of Infrastructure: Carvana's vertically integrated business model, including the integration of the ADESA network, is crucial for driving efficient growth, improving customer experiences, and reducing costs. The company is focused on increasing inventory selection, optimizing reconditioning and logistics capabilities, and leveraging its existing infrastructure capacity. These operational improvements contribute to higher Gross Profit per Unit (GPU) and overall profitability, which in turn fuels revenue growth.
  4. Growth in Finance & Insurance (F&I) and Ancillary Services: Carvana expects to expand its integrated finance platform and grow F&I revenue, including extending into a higher-yield segment. This expansion of ancillary services and finance offerings contributes to increased revenue per unit.
  5. Strategic Digital Marketing and Technology Investments: Carvana intends to aggressively reinvest in digital marketing initiatives to secure growth and maintain its competitive edge. Furthermore, a focus on technology innovation aims to bolster its platform, enhance the customer journey, and support its ambitious unit growth targets.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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Share Repurchases

  • Carvana has generally shown negative share buyback ratios, indicating net share issuance rather than repurchases in recent years. For instance, the 1-Year Share Buyback Ratio was -12.80% as of June 2025 and -11.65% as of November 2025.
  • Quarterly stock buybacks were reported as -$17.00 million for June 30, 2025.

Share Issuance

  • Carvana's basic shares outstanding have consistently increased, with a 21.77% increase in 2022, 8.43% in 2023, and 11.91% in 2024.
  • In April 2022, Carvana completed a public offering of 15,625,000 shares of Class A common stock at $80.00 per share, totaling approximately $1.25 billion.
  • In August 2023, Carvana raised $225 million through an at-the-market (ATM) offering and an additional $126 million from the Garcia Parties to meet equity capital requirements for a debt exchange.

Inbound Investments

  • In August 2023, existing shareholders Ernest Garcia II and Ernest Garcia III (the Garcia Parties) made an equity capital investment of $126 million in Carvana, as part of a debt exchange agreement.
  • During an April 2022 public offering, Carvana's CEO Ernest Garcia III and Ernest Garcia II, along with affiliated entities, purchased 5,400,000 shares.

Outbound Investments

  • Carvana acquired ADESA U.S., a wholesale auto auction business, for $2.2 billion in cash in February 2022.
  • The ADESA acquisition was aimed at expanding Carvana's real estate footprint and increasing its inspection and reconditioning center (IRC) production capacity by approximately 2 million units annually.

Capital Expenditures

  • Carvana's capital expenditures averaged $285.8 million annually from fiscal years 2020 to 2024, peaking at $489.4 million in December 2021.
  • Capital expenditures significantly decreased to a 5-year low of $78.805 million in December 2023, before increasing slightly to $87.842 million in 2024.
  • A substantial portion of capital expenditures, approximately $1 billion over multiple years, is allocated to real estate improvements across ADESA's 56 sites to enhance reconditioning capacity.
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Better Bets than Carvana (CVNA)

Trade Ideas

Select ideas related to CVNA. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
13.7%13.7%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.0%6.0%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.8%3.8%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
19.7%19.7%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.3%2.3%-1.6%

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Carvana

Peers to compare with:

Financials

CVNAHPQHPEIBMCSCOAAPLMedian
NameCarvana HP Hewlett .Internat.Cisco Sy.Apple  
Mkt Price438.4723.2624.49305.0978.16273.40175.78
Mkt Cap61.021.932.6284.9309.24,074.4173.0
Rev LTM18,26655,29534,29665,40257,696408,62556,496
Op Inc LTM1,7173,6241,64411,54412,991130,2147,584
FCF LTM5462,80062711,85412,73396,1847,327
FCF 3Y Avg4182,9781,40011,75313,879100,5037,366
CFO LTM6663,6972,91913,48313,744108,5658,590
CFO 3Y Avg5293,6723,89613,49814,736111,5598,697

Growth & Margins

CVNAHPQHPEIBMCSCOAAPLMedian
NameCarvana HP Hewlett .Internat.Cisco Sy.Apple  
Rev Chg LTM45.5%3.2%13.8%4.5%8.9%6.0%7.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg11.6%-3.9%6.5%2.6%3.7%1.8%3.2%
Rev Chg Q54.5%4.2%14.4%9.1%7.5%9.6%9.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM12.2%1.1%3.7%2.1%1.8%2.1%2.1%
Op Mgn LTM9.4%6.6%4.8%17.7%22.5%31.9%13.5%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg3.5%7.4%7.2%16.4%24.2%30.8%11.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.2%-0.2%-1.4%0.6%0.4%0.1%0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM3.6%6.7%8.5%20.6%23.8%26.6%14.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg3.8%6.8%12.7%21.4%26.1%28.4%17.1%
FCF/Rev LTM3.0%5.1%1.8%18.1%22.1%23.5%11.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg2.9%5.5%4.6%18.6%24.6%25.6%12.1%

Valuation

CVNAHPQHPEIBMCSCOAAPLMedian
NameCarvana HP Hewlett .Internat.Cisco Sy.Apple  
Mkt Cap61.021.932.6284.9309.24,074.4173.0
P/S3.30.41.04.45.410.03.8
P/EBIT36.96.819.925.122.531.323.8
P/E97.08.6572.736.029.941.038.5
P/CFO91.75.911.221.122.537.521.8
Total Yield1.0%14.1%2.3%5.0%5.4%2.8%3.9%
Dividend Yield0.0%2.5%2.1%2.2%2.1%0.4%2.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg2.4%10.6%5.5%6.4%6.0%3.1%5.7%
D/E0.10.50.70.20.10.00.2
Net D/E0.00.30.60.20.00.00.1

Returns

CVNAHPQHPEIBMCSCOAAPLMedian
NameCarvana HP Hewlett .Internat.Cisco Sy.Apple  
1M Rtn17.1%-3.6%12.7%-1.1%1.6%-2.0%0.2%
3M Rtn18.7%-11.9%2.7%7.9%17.0%7.1%7.5%
6M Rtn37.3%-4.0%34.5%6.6%15.2%36.3%24.9%
12M Rtn103.9%-27.0%16.2%40.5%34.5%7.5%25.3%
3Y Rtn9,753.3%-3.7%67.3%141.3%79.6%114.1%96.9%
1M Excs Rtn22.4%-5.6%12.9%-2.2%-0.0%-3.7%-1.1%
3M Excs Rtn14.4%-16.2%-1.7%3.6%12.7%2.8%3.2%
6M Excs Rtn25.1%-16.3%22.3%-5.7%3.0%24.0%12.6%
12M Excs Rtn81.0%-42.9%-0.7%25.0%19.9%-8.4%9.6%
3Y Excs Rtn10,358.8%-83.5%-11.2%59.6%-1.2%28.4%13.6%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment10,771    
Other sales and revenues 7411,043401252
Retail vehicle sales, net 10,2549,8514,7413,421
Wholesale sales and revenues 2,6091,920445268
Total10,77113,60412,8145,5873,940


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$438.47 
Market Cap ($ Bil)61.0 
First Trading Date04/28/2017 
Distance from 52W High-7.2% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$370.20$323.67
DMA Trendupup
Distance from DMA18.4%35.5%
 3M1YR
Volatility68.3%73.6%
Downside Capture287.33183.51
Upside Capture314.95227.25
Correlation (SPY)55.7%62.7%
CVNA Betas & Captures as of 11/30/2025

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta3.413.393.092.172.382.80
Up Beta1.881.771.621.412.252.41
Down Beta3.063.624.114.502.942.15
Up Capture612%392%294%140%445%242788%
Bmk +ve Days12253873141426
Stock +ve Days11223165140398
Down Capture282%344%295%156%144%112%
Bmk -ve Days7162452107323
Stock -ve Days8193159107349

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
 Comparison of CVNA With Other Asset Classes (Last 1Y)
 CVNASector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return95.3%7.5%17.8%72.1%8.6%4.4%-8.2%
Annualized Volatility73.1%24.3%19.4%19.3%15.2%17.0%35.0%
Sharpe Ratio1.220.240.722.700.340.09-0.08
Correlation With Other Assets 60.8%62.5%-3.2%24.2%32.3%25.0%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLY, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
 Comparison of CVNA With Other Asset Classes (Last 5Y)
 CVNASector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return10.0%9.6%14.7%18.7%11.5%4.6%30.8%
Annualized Volatility111.2%23.8%17.1%15.5%18.7%18.9%48.6%
Sharpe Ratio0.590.360.700.970.500.160.57
Correlation With Other Assets 49.1%43.8%3.6%4.3%35.9%21.8%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLY, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
 Comparison of CVNA With Other Asset Classes (Last 10Y)
 CVNASector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return53.0%13.2%14.8%15.3%7.0%5.3%69.2%
Annualized Volatility100.8%21.9%18.0%14.7%17.6%20.8%55.8%
Sharpe Ratio0.880.550.710.860.320.220.90
Correlation With Other Assets 49.5%43.5%6.7%10.8%34.7%14.9%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLY, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date12152025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity14,240,637
Short Interest: % Change Since 113020253.8%
Average Daily Volume4,910,055
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.90
Basic Shares Quantity139,213,000
Short % of Basic Shares10.2%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/29/2025-13.8%-12.5%6.0%
7/30/202517.0%6.4%13.1%
5/7/202510.2%17.9%31.8%
2/19/2025-12.1%-17.5%-34.2%
10/30/202419.3%15.3%25.6%
7/31/202410.0%-3.4%12.6%
2/22/202432.1%44.9%64.0%
11/2/20237.9%1.7%33.9%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive141214
# Negative9119
Median Positive18.1%10.9%19.8%
Median Negative-12.1%-6.1%-12.5%
Max Positive40.2%66.1%108.3%
Max Negative-39.0%-30.4%-50.5%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251029202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025730202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025507202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024219202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241030202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024731202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024501202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023222202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231102202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023719202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023504202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022223202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022510202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021224202210-K 12/31/2021