ACV Auctions (ACVA)
Market Price (11/18/2025): $6.31 | Market Cap: $1.1 BilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Automotive Retail
ACV Auctions (ACVA)
Market Price (11/18/2025): $6.31Market Cap: $1.1 BilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Automotive Retail
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -106%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -93% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -71 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -9.7% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12% | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -11% | |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -34% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, E-commerce & DTC Adoption, and Artificial Intelligence. Themes include Online Marketplaces, Show more. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -34% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, E-commerce & DTC Adoption, and Artificial Intelligence. Themes include Online Marketplaces, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -106%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -93% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -71 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -9.7% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -11% |
Market Valuation & Key Metrics
ACVA Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points highlighting why ACV Auctions (ACVA) stock moved by -55.7% from approximately July 31, 2025, to November 18, 2025:
1. Disappointing Q3 2025 Earnings and Weak Guidance: On November 5, 2025, ACV Auctions reported a GAAP net loss of $24 million, widening from $16 million in the prior year, and an EPS of -$0.14, substantially missing analyst expectations of $0.06. This earnings shortfall, coupled with a Q4 revenue forecast nearly 5% below consensus and full-year EBITDA guidance significantly short of anticipated figures, triggered a sharp sell-off, leading to a 35% stock drop.
2. Q2 2025 Earnings Miss and Valuation Concerns: Following its Q2 2025 earnings report on August 11, 2025, ACV Auctions saw its stock drop by 19% within a week. Although revenues were largely in line, statutory losses and weak EBITDA guidance for the upcoming quarter contributed to a continued negative investor sentiment, with the stock falling an additional 11.5% due to the earnings miss. The ongoing lack of profitability weighed on valuations, causing the consensus price target to fall 13%.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| ACVA Return | - | - | -56% | 85% | 43% | -71% | -67% |
| Peers Return | 19% | 29% | -27% | 13% | -9% | -43% | -34% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 13% | 107% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| ACVA Win Rate | - | 22% | 33% | 67% | 58% | 20% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 38% | 31% | 35% | 35% | 46% | 48% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| ACVA Max Drawdown | - | - | -66% | -3% | -14% | -76% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -30% | -2% | -34% | -19% | -29% | -49% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: AN, MUSA, GPI, AZI, JZXN.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | ACVA | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -82.9% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 483.3% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
Compare to AN, MUSA, GPI, AZI, JZXN
In The Past
ACV Auctions's stock fell -82.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/16/2021. A -82.9% loss requires a 483.3% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to ACVA. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -5.8% | -5.8% | -5.8% |
| 10312025 | DECK | Deckers Outdoor | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.6% | 1.6% | -2.4% |
| 10312025 | ATGE | Adtalem Global Education | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | -1.6% | -1.6% | -5.9% |
| 10242025 | GNTX | Gentex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -3.2% | -3.2% | -3.2% |
| 10172025 | LNW | Light & Wonder | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 12.4% | 12.4% | -6.2% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -5.8% | -5.8% | -5.8% |
| 10312025 | DECK | Deckers Outdoor | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.6% | 1.6% | -2.4% |
| 10312025 | ATGE | Adtalem Global Education | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | -1.6% | -1.6% | -5.9% |
| 10242025 | GNTX | Gentex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -3.2% | -3.2% | -3.2% |
| 10172025 | LNW | Light & Wonder | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 12.4% | 12.4% | -6.2% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for ACV Auctions
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 99.75 |
| Mkt Cap | 5.9 |
| Rev LTM | 21,009 |
| Op Inc LTM | 861 |
| FCF LTM | 205 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 147 |
| CFO LTM | 445 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 437 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 12.8% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 7.2% |
| Rev Chg Q | 8.8% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.1% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 4.1% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 4.4% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 3.9% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 3.1% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 2.0% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 1.2% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 5.9 |
| P/S | 0.3 |
| P/EBIT | 5.8 |
| P/E | 12.0 |
| P/CFO | 10.4 |
| Total Yield | 7.9% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.3% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.1% |
| D/E | 0.8 |
| Net D/E | 0.8 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -19.2% |
| 3M Rtn | -29.8% |
| 6M Rtn | -42.1% |
| 12M Rtn | -50.8% |
| 3Y Rtn | 25.7% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -19.3% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -34.3% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -54.0% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -61.9% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -47.7% |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/5/2025 | -37.5% | -32.6% | |
| 8/11/2025 | -16.3% | -13.3% | -21.9% |
| 5/7/2025 | 4.3% | 7.1% | 5.3% |
| 2/19/2025 | -10.0% | -20.3% | -24.0% |
| 11/7/2024 | 3.2% | 2.7% | 13.6% |
| 8/7/2024 | 21.7% | 22.5% | 22.5% |
| 5/8/2024 | 0.9% | 9.8% | 2.9% |
| 2/21/2024 | 17.2% | 26.7% | 36.0% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 12 | 11 | 13 |
| # Negative | 7 | 8 | 6 |
| Median Positive | 13.1% | 15.1% | 18.0% |
| Median Negative | -10.0% | -9.9% | -19.2% |
| Max Positive | 24.8% | 29.3% | 36.0% |
| Max Negative | -37.5% | -32.6% | -24.0% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11052025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8112025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5072025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2192025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11072024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8072024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5082024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2212024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11062023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8072023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5102023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3012023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11092022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8102022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5112022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2232022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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