ACV Auctions (ACVA)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $7.85 | Market Cap: $1.3 BilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Automotive Retail
ACV Auctions (ACVA)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $7.85Market Cap: $1.3 BilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Automotive Retail
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -100%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -70% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -71 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -9.7% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12% | Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -8.4% | |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -34% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, E-commerce & DTC Adoption, and Artificial Intelligence. Themes include Online Marketplaces, Show more. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -34% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, E-commerce & DTC Adoption, and Artificial Intelligence. Themes include Online Marketplaces, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -100%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -70% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -71 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -9.7% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -8.4% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
ACVA Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
ACV Auctions (ACVA) experienced a notable decline in its stock price, with several factors contributing to this movement. These factors primarily revolve around market conditions, company performance outlook, and analyst sentiment following recent financial reporting.
1. Disappointing Full-Year Guidance: Following its third-quarter 2024 earnings report, ACV Auctions issued full-year revenue guidance that slightly missed analysts' expectations and significantly underperformed on full-year EBITDA guidance. This revised outlook contributed to a negative market reaction.
2. Weak Outlook Amid Challenging Wholesale Market Conditions: The stock's decline also reflects a weak outlook for the company within the challenging wholesale market conditions. The dealer wholesale market, for instance, was anticipated to remain relatively flat year-over-year in 2025, posing headwinds for ACV Auctions' growth prospects.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| ACVA Return | - | - | -56% | 85% | 43% | -64% | -59% |
| Peers Return | 22% | 43% | 6% | 35% | 23% | -1% | 204% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| ACVA Win Rate | - | 22% | 33% | 67% | 58% | 20% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 50% | 46% | 42% | 46% | 44% | 53% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| ACVA Max Drawdown | - | - | -66% | -3% | -14% | -76% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -38% | -3% | -15% | -4% | -6% | -12% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: AN, MUSA, GPI, BGSI, HIFI.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | ACVA | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -82.9% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 483.3% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
Compare to AN, MUSA, GPI, BGSI, HIFI
In The Past
ACV Auctions's stock fell -82.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/16/2021. A -82.9% loss requires a 483.3% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to ACVA. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.8% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.6% | -2.6% | -2.6% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.7% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 1.3% | 1.3% | -1.6% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.8% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.6% | -2.6% | -2.6% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.7% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 1.3% | 1.3% | -1.6% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for ACV Auctions
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 214.34 |
| Mkt Cap | 6.4 |
| Rev LTM | 11,271 |
| Op Inc LTM | 421 |
| FCF LTM | 149 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 236 |
| CFO LTM | 217 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 408 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 6.1% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 12.5% |
| Rev Chg Q | 6.9% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.6% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 4.1% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 4.5% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 5.8% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 4.0% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 4.2% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 1.2% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 6.4 |
| P/S | 0.4 |
| P/EBIT | 6.6 |
| P/E | 13.6 |
| P/CFO | 14.5 |
| Total Yield | 6.9% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.2% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.1% |
| D/E | 0.7 |
| Net D/E | 0.7 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 5.2% |
| 3M Rtn | -7.7% |
| 6M Rtn | -4.9% |
| 12M Rtn | -16.0% |
| 3Y Rtn | 57.2% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 5.3% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -15.1% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -19.6% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -29.3% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -16.5% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11052025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8112025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5072025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2192025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11072024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8072024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5082024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2212024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11062023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8072023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5102023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3012023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11092022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8102022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5112022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2232022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |