Tearsheet

Capricor Therapeutics (CAPR)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $26.15 | Market Cap: $1.2 Bil
Sector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology

Capricor Therapeutics (CAPR)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $26.15
Market Cap: $1.2 Bil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Biotechnology

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Gene Editing & Therapy, and Targeted Therapies.
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -87 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -779%
1  Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 107x
2  Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 119%
3  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -52%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is null
4  Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -548%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -614%
5  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -11%
6  High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 389%
7  Significant short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 36%
8  Key risks
CAPR key risks include [1] uncertain regulatory approval for its lead candidate, Show more.
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Gene Editing & Therapy, and Targeted Therapies.
1 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -87 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -779%
2 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 107x
3 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 119%
4 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -52%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is null
5 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -548%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -614%
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -11%
7 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 389%
8 Significant short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 36%
9 Key risks
CAPR key risks include [1] uncertain regulatory approval for its lead candidate, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

CAPR Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The search results indicate that there has been significant news for Capricor Therapeutics (CAPR) during the specified future period (August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025). This is unusual as I generally cannot access future information. However, the provided search results are dated within the requested timeframe, suggesting these are forward-looking announcements or projections that were publicly available at an earlier date, or the search tool has access to highly recent (future-dated) press releases. I will proceed using the information provided as it directly addresses the requested timeframe. The key points for the stock movement appear to revolve around the HOPE-3 clinical trial results, regulatory updates regarding Deramiocel, and financial announcements. Here are the key points for the stock movement of Capricor Therapeutics (CAPR) from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025: **1. Positive Topline Results from Pivotal Phase 3 HOPE-3 Study.** Capricor Therapeutics announced positive topline results from its pivotal Phase 3 HOPE-3 study of Deramiocel for Duchenne muscular dystrophy on December 3, 2025. The study met its primary endpoint, demonstrating statistically significant improvements in both skeletal and cardiac function, and showed significant preservation of left ventricular ejection fraction in treated patients. **2. Regulatory Progress for Deramiocel.** Following a Complete Response Letter (CRL) from the FDA in July 2025, Capricor held a Type A meeting with the FDA in August 2025 to discuss the path forward for Deramiocel's Biologics License Application (BLA). In October 2025, the company announced it reached alignment with the FDA to include the HOPE-3 trial data in its BLA, with the FDA confirming HOPE-3 could serve as the "additional study" referenced in the CRL. The FDA also agreed to allow Capricor to submit the HOPE-3 data within the current BLA framework. **3. Commercial Launch Preparations.** Capricor continued commercial launch preparations to support the potential approval and market introduction of Deramiocel in 2026. The company's San Diego manufacturing facility successfully completed its FDA Pre-License Inspection (PLI) in June 2025, with all observations resolved and accepted by the FDA by August 2025. **4. Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results and Corporate Update.** On November 10, 2025, Capricor Therapeutics reported its financial results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2025. The company stated that its cash balance of approximately $99 million was expected to support planned operations into the fourth quarter of 2026. **5. $150 Million Public Offering.** On December 5, 2025, Capricor Therapeutics announced the pricing of a $150 million public offering of common stock. This offering would likely provide additional capital for the company's ongoing operations and commercialization efforts.Based on the provided search results, there have been several significant announcements from Capricor Therapeutics during the specified period, which would likely explain a substantial stock movement. Here are the key points for why Capricor Therapeutics (CAPR) stock moved by 316% for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025: 1. Positive Topline Results from Pivotal Phase 3 HOPE-3 Study. Capricor Therapeutics announced positive topline results from its pivotal Phase 3 HOPE-3 study of Deramiocel in Duchenne muscular dystrophy on December 3, 2025. This study met its primary endpoint, demonstrating statistically significant improvements in both skeletal and cardiac function, including a significant preservation of left ventricular ejection fraction. These positive results are a major catalyst for a biotechnology company.

2. Regulatory Alignment with FDA for Deramiocel. Following a Complete Response Letter (CRL) from the FDA in July 2025, Capricor held a Type A meeting with the FDA in August 2025 to discuss the regulatory path for its Biologics License Application (BLA) for Deramiocel. By October 2025, the company announced it had reached alignment with the FDA to include the HOPE-3 trial data in its BLA, with the FDA agreeing that HOPE-3 could serve as the "additional study" required. This provided a clear pathway for resubmission and potential approval.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
CAPR Return168%-15%32%27%182%89%1933%
Peers Return-28%12%-11%77%26%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
CAPR Win Rate42%25%50%58%50%50% 
Peers Win Rate53%40%62%45%65%55% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
CAPR Max Drawdown-27%-16%-3%-30%-27%-67% 
Peers Max Drawdown-40%-37%-45%-4%-41% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: SRPT, PTCT, VRTX, DYN, RNA.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventCAPRS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-65.8%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven192.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven341 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-65.0%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven186.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1364 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-97.0%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven3217.3%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-99.4%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven18076.3%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days1480 days

Compare to VRTX, ACSB, AIXC, ALPS, APRI


In The Past

Capricor Therapeutics's stock fell -65.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/10/2021. A -65.8% loss requires a 192.6% gain to breakeven.

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Asset Allocation

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About Capricor Therapeutics (CAPR)

Better Bets than Capricor Therapeutics (CAPR)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to CAPR. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.1%-7.1%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.6%3.6%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
1.6%1.6%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.1%-7.1%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.6%3.6%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
1.6%1.6%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Capricor Therapeutics

Peers to compare with:

Financials

CAPRSRPTPTCTVRTXDYNRNAMedian
NameCapricor.Sarepta .PTC Ther.Vertex P.Dyne The.Avidity . 
Mkt Price26.1521.1474.94449.5218.9071.8749.01
Mkt Cap1.22.15.9114.92.76.04.3
Rev LTM112,4141,77911,723021900
Op Inc LTM-87-86922-92-449-612-89
FCF LTM-68-3894463,337-397-595-229
FCF 3Y Avg-43-495-602,064-275-321-167
CFO LTM-61-2457153,718-376-581-153
CFO 3Y Avg-40-3791042,419-267-313-153

Growth & Margins

CAPRSRPTPTCTVRTXDYNRNAMedian
NameCapricor.Sarepta .PTC Ther.Vertex P.Dyne The.Avidity . 
Rev Chg LTM-52.1%47.1%97.5%10.3%-106.3%47.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg265.3%40.6%41.7%10.5%-42.7%41.7%
Rev Chg Q-100.0%-14.5%7.2%11.0%-434.0%7.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-16.9%-2.7%0.8%2.7%-94.5%0.8%
Op Mgn LTM-778.8%-3.6%51.8%-0.8%--2,934.9%-3.6%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-384.7%-11.6%-8.9%26.2%--2,778.4%-11.6%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-230.6%-3.5%2.7%1.0%-1,928.4%1.0%
CFO/Rev LTM-548.4%-10.1%40.2%31.7%--2,782.0%-10.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-285.2%-26.8%-2.5%23.1%--2,109.9%-26.8%
FCF/Rev LTM-614.3%-16.1%25.1%28.5%--2,853.4%-16.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-315.4%-33.7%-16.4%19.8%--2,160.8%-33.7%

Valuation

CAPRSRPTPTCTVRTXDYNRNAMedian
NameCapricor.Sarepta .PTC Ther.Vertex P.Dyne The.Avidity . 
Mkt Cap1.22.15.9114.92.76.04.3
P/S107.40.82.78.5-287.98.5
P/EBIT-13.8-8.45.522.4-3.9--3.9
P/E-14.6-7.16.427.2-4.2-10.9-5.7
P/CFO-19.6-7.96.726.9-4.8-10.3-6.3
Total Yield-6.9%-14.1%15.6%3.7%-23.6%-9.2%-8.0%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-18.3%-10.0%-7.0%2.3%-20.8%--10.0%
D/E0.00.60.10.00.1-0.1
Net D/E-0.10.2-0.3-0.0-0.4--0.1

Returns

CAPRSRPTPTCTVRTXDYNRNAMedian
NameCapricor.Sarepta .PTC Ther.Vertex P.Dyne The.Avidity . 
1M Rtn359.6%20.5%-0.9%3.6%-6.6%1.7%2.6%
3M Rtn330.1%24.0%23.6%16.1%43.7%79.4%33.9%
6M Rtn119.0%1.8%48.6%0.2%75.3%145.1%62.0%
12M Rtn98.1%-83.2%59.4%-4.2%-27.8%119.5%27.6%
3Y Rtn597.3%-82.9%91.1%47.5%39.8%290.2%69.3%
1M Excs Rtn358.8%19.8%-1.6%2.8%-7.4%0.9%1.9%
3M Excs Rtn307.2%12.8%17.8%14.8%34.4%70.5%26.1%
6M Excs Rtn106.6%-10.6%36.2%-12.1%62.9%132.7%49.6%
12M Excs Rtn86.1%-94.0%50.5%-14.1%-37.6%110.1%18.2%
3Y Excs Rtn477.2%-151.0%21.6%-25.4%-6.2%456.5%7.7%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment253 01
Total253 01


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment  41  
Total  41  


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity16,419,579
Short Interest: % Change Since 1115202516.0%
Average Daily Volume2,288,226
Days-to-Cover Short Interest7.18
Basic Shares Quantity45,716,151
Short % of Basic Shares35.9%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/10/202511.5%2.3%388.8%
8/11/20252.9%-1.5%-19.0%
3/19/202517.5%7.9%-7.9%
11/13/20249.3%11.9%-21.6%
8/7/20249.0%7.3%14.6%
5/13/2024-4.4%15.8%-7.0%
2/29/20248.7%20.0%68.9%
11/14/20236.6%-3.0%40.9%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive13119
# Negative6810
Median Positive8.7%12.6%30.5%
Median Negative-6.8%-5.2%-16.1%
Max Positive21.7%80.4%388.8%
Max Negative-17.3%-21.8%-40.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251110202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025811202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025514202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024326202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241114202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024514202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023311202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231114202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023808202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023512202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022317202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221110202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022812202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022511202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021311202210-K 12/31/2021