Capricor Therapeutics (CAPR)
Market Price (6/17/2026): $26.07 | Market Cap: $1.5 BilSector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology
Capricor Therapeutics (CAPR)
Market Price (6/17/2026): $26.07Market Cap: $1.5 BilSector: Health CareIndustry: Biotechnology
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -18% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Gene Editing & Therapy, and Targeted Therapies. | Meaningful short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 14.28, Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 19% | Very low revenueRev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0 Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -120 Mil Stock price has recently run up significantly12M Rtn12 month market price return is 110% Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is null Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -12% High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 384% Key risksCAPR key risks include [1] uncertain regulatory approval for its lead candidate, Show more. |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -18% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Gene Editing & Therapy, and Targeted Therapies. |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 14.28, Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 19% |
| Very low revenueRev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0 |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -120 Mil |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly12M Rtn12 month market price return is 110% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is null |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -12% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 384% |
| Key risksCAPR key risks include [1] uncertain regulatory approval for its lead candidate, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
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Capricor Therapeutics (CAPR) stock has lost about 5% since 2/28/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Fiscal Q1 2026 Earnings Miss and Widened Net Loss. Capricor Therapeutics reported an adjusted loss per share of -$0.59 for fiscal Q1 2026, missing the consensus analyst estimate of -$0.55. The company's net loss for fiscal Q1 2026 widened to $33.9 million, compared to a net loss of $24.4 million in fiscal Q1 2025.
2. Increased Operating Expenses. Total operating expenses for Capricor Therapeutics rose to approximately $36.8 million in fiscal Q1 2026, an increase from approximately $25 million in fiscal Q1 2025. This rise was primarily attributed to higher research and development expenses for the Deramiocel program and increased general and administrative costs as the company scales up for potential commercialization.
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Capricor Therapeutics (CAPR) stock has lost about 5% since 2/28/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Fiscal Q1 2026 Earnings Miss and Widened Net Loss. Capricor Therapeutics reported an adjusted loss per share of -$0.59 for fiscal Q1 2026, missing the consensus analyst estimate of -$0.55. The company's net loss for fiscal Q1 2026 widened to $33.9 million, compared to a net loss of $24.4 million in fiscal Q1 2025.
2. Increased Operating Expenses. Total operating expenses for Capricor Therapeutics rose to approximately $36.8 million in fiscal Q1 2026, an increase from approximately $25 million in fiscal Q1 2025. This rise was primarily attributed to higher research and development expenses for the Deramiocel program and increased general and administrative costs as the company scales up for potential commercialization.
3. Litigation Initiated Against Distribution Partner. In May 2026, Capricor Therapeutics filed a lawsuit against its commercialization and distribution partner, Nippon Shinyaku Co., Ltd. and NS Pharma, Inc. The lawsuit seeks to rescind the U.S. distribution agreement for Deramiocel, citing NS Pharma's "inaction" as a barrier to patient access. This unexpected legal action introduces uncertainty regarding the commercialization pathway and future revenue streams for their lead product candidate, despite assurances that the FDA review process and the PDUFA date of August 22, 2026, remain unaffected.
4. Significant Insider Selling Activity. Over the 90-day period preceding June 15, 2026, Capricor Therapeutics experienced 15 insider sales transactions, totaling over $18.6 million. This aggregate selling activity by company insiders, including a notable sale of approximately $3.5 million by Director Karimah Es Sabar in late fiscal Q1 2026 and early fiscal Q2 2026, can be interpreted by investors as a potential lack of confidence in the stock's near-term prospects.
5. Persistent Regulatory Uncertainty for Deramiocel. While the FDA accepted the Biologics License Application (BLA) resubmission for Deramiocel and set a PDUFA target action date of August 22, 2026, persistent regulatory uncertainty remains a key risk factor for the company. The stock's valuation is highly sensitive to any shifts in regulatory timelines or approval outcomes, particularly given the backdrop of increasing research and development expenditures and prior equity dilution.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -6.7% change in CAPR stock from 2/28/2026 to 6/16/2026 was primarily driven by a null change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 2282026 | 6162026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 27.93 | 26.05 | -6.7% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 11 | 0 | |
| P/S Multiple | 114.7 | ∞ | 9.2233720368547763E17% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 46 | 57 | -20.4% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2026 to 6/16/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CAPR | -6.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 9.7% | 32.3% |
| Sector (XLV) | -4.1% | 13.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 386.9% change in CAPR stock from 11/30/2025 to 6/16/2026 was primarily driven by a 9.2233720368547763E17% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 11302025 | 6162026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 5.35 | 26.05 | 386.9% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 11 | 0 | |
| P/S Multiple | 22.0 | ∞ | 9.2233720368547763E17% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 46 | 57 | -20.4% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
11/30/2025 to 6/16/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CAPR | 386.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 10.4% | 6.3% |
| Sector (XLV) | -2.2% | 6.7% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 163.4% change in CAPR stock from 5/31/2025 to 6/16/2026 was primarily driven by a 9.2233720368547763E17% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 5312025 | 6162026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 9.89 | 26.05 | 163.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 17 | 0 | |
| P/S Multiple | 26.0 | ∞ | 9.2233720368547763E17% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 46 | 57 | -20.5% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
5/31/2025 to 6/16/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CAPR | 163.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 28.8% | 7.0% |
| Sector (XLV) | 17.4% | 6.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 475.1% change in CAPR stock from 5/31/2023 to 6/16/2026 was primarily driven by a 9.2233720368547763E17% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 5312023 | 6162026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 4.53 | 26.05 | 475.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 6 | 0 | |
| P/S Multiple | 20.7 | ∞ | 9.2233720368547763E17% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 25 | 57 | -56.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
5/31/2023 to 6/16/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CAPR | 475.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 86.6% | 8.3% |
| Sector (XLV) | 25.8% | 7.8% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| CAPR Return | -15% | 32% | 27% | 182% | 109% | -7% | 679% |
| Peers Return | -28% | 12% | -11% | 77% | 26% | -23% | 24% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 10% | 101% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| CAPR Win Rate | 25% | 50% | 58% | 50% | 50% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 40% | 62% | 45% | 65% | 55% | 37% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| CAPR Max Drawdown | -64% | -49% | -65% | -50% | -71% | -29% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -47% | -43% | -55% | -36% | -52% | -36% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: SRPT, PTCT, VRTX, DYN, RNA.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 6/16/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | CAPR | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -58.0% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 138.0% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 208 days | 79 days |
| 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind | ||
| % Loss | -22.6% | -7.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 29.2% | 8.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 19 days | 18 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -39.0% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 63.8% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 63 days | 24 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -11.0% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 12.4% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -31.9% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 46.8% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 14 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -70.1% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 234.4% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 2104 days | 105 days |
In The Past
Capricor Therapeutics's stock fell -58.0% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 138.0% gain to breakeven.
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| Event | CAPR | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -58.0% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 138.0% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 208 days | 79 days |
| 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind | ||
| % Loss | -22.6% | -7.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 29.2% | 8.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 19 days | 18 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -39.0% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 63.8% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 63 days | 24 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -31.9% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 46.8% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 14 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -70.1% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 234.4% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 2104 days | 105 days |
| 2016-2017 Trump Reflation Bond Selloff | ||
| % Loss | -79.4% | -3.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 384.4% | 3.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 102 days | 6 days |
| 2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -50.1% | -12.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 100.5% | 13.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 98 days | 62 days |
| 2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse | ||
| % Loss | -54.1% | -6.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 117.9% | 7.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 154 days | 15 days |
| 2013 Taper Tantrum | ||
| % Loss | -68.4% | -0.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 216.7% | 0.2% |
| Time to Breakeven | 165 days | 1 days |
| 2010 Eurozone Sovereign Debt Crisis / Flash Crash | ||
| % Loss | -58.0% | -15.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 138.3% | 18.2% |
| Time to Breakeven | 71 days | 125 days |
In The Past
Capricor Therapeutics's stock fell -58.0% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 138.0% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Capricor Therapeutics (CAPR)
Capricor Therapeutics, Inc. (CAPR) is a clinical-stage biotechnology company focused on developing advanced cell and exosome-based therapeutics. The company aims to create transformative treatments for a wide range of diseases and disorders by leveraging these innovative biological platforms.
Its most advanced and lead product candidate is CAP-1002, an allogeneic cardiac-derived cell therapy. CAP-1002 has completed Phase III clinical trials for the treatment of patients with late-stage Duchenne muscular dystrophy (DMD), a severe genetic muscle-wasting condition. Additionally, CAP-1002 is currently in Phase II clinical trials for addressing the cytokine storm associated with SARS-CoV-2, a severe inflammatory complication seen in COVID-19 patients.
Beyond its lead candidate, Capricor Therapeutics is also developing CAP-2003, which is in pre-clinical development for trauma-related injuries and conditions, and two vaccine candidates for the potential prevention of COVID-19. The company's primary market targets are patients suffering from serious and often life-threatening conditions such as Duchenne muscular dystrophy, severe COVID-19 complications, and various trauma-related injuries.
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Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Capricor Therapeutics (CAPR):
- Like Sarepta Therapeutics, but focused on cell-based therapies for Duchenne Muscular Dystrophy.
- An early-stage Moderna or BioNTech, developing cutting-edge cell and exosome therapies for genetic diseases and emerging threats.
- Hopes to be the Vertex Pharmaceuticals for Duchenne Muscular Dystrophy, bringing transformative treatments to a severe genetic condition.
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- CAP-1002: An allogeneic cardiac-derived cell therapy in Phase III clinical trial for late-stage Duchenne muscular dystrophy (DMD) and Phase II for cytokine storm associated with SARS-CoV-2.
- CAP-2003: A pre-clinical stage therapeutic candidate in development for the treatment of trauma-related injuries and conditions.
- COVID-19 Vaccine Candidates: Two vaccine candidates in development for the potential prevention of COVID-19.
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Capricor Therapeutics (CAPR) is a clinical-stage biotechnology company. Its therapeutic and vaccine candidates are currently in various stages of development and clinical trials, and none are yet approved for commercial sale. Therefore, the company does not currently have major commercial customers for its products.
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- Lonza Group AG (SIX: LONN)
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Linda Marbán, Chief Executive Officer and Director
Dr. Linda Marbán is a co-founder of Capricor, Inc., a wholly-owned subsidiary of Capricor Therapeutics, Inc., and has served as Chief Executive Officer since 2010. She has over 20 years of experience in the biotechnology field, spanning research, product development, and business development. From 2003 to 2009, Dr. Marbán held various senior roles at Excigen, Inc., a gene therapy biotechnology company, where she was responsible for operations and business development, overseeing the development of a biologic pacemaker for the heart.
Anthony Bergmann, Chief Financial Officer and Corporate Treasurer
Mr. Anthony Bergmann has served as Capricor Therapeutics' Chief Financial Officer since 2018. He joined Capricor in 2011 and has held roles of increasing responsibility, playing a key role in the company's strategic development and growth into a publicly traded biotechnology company. Mr. Bergmann oversaw Capricor's entry into the public markets, including its reverse merger and subsequent uplisting to the Nasdaq Capital Market. He has also led equity financings totaling over $500 million and guided business development efforts.
Karen Krasney, Executive Vice President, Secretary and General Counsel
Ms. Karen Krasney has served as Capricor's Executive Vice President, Secretary, and General Counsel since 2012. Her career spans over 40 years as general counsel for numerous public and private companies across various industries, with extensive experience in domestic and international corporate and business law and litigation. Since the mid-1990s, Ms. Krasney has been involved in medical technology, representing several companies developing cardiovascular disease products. From 2002 to 2010, she served as legal counsel and later General Counsel and Executive Vice President for Biosensors International Group Ltd., a multinational medical device company, where she headed the legal team for its successful initial public offering in Singapore and negotiated global agreements.
Kristi A. H. Elliott, Chief Operating & Science Officer
Dr. Kristi A. H. Elliott joined Capricor in 2021 and leads product development across the company's therapeutic pipeline, overseeing CMC operations, manufacturing, quality, and analytical and process development. With over 15 years of experience in biotechnology, Dr. Elliott is recognized for her innovation in primary cell, stem cell, and exosome-based therapeutics. Prior to her current role, she advised joint ventures between Harvest Capital Strategies and Intrexon Corp. and held several leadership roles at Intrexon, including Senior Director of Stem Cell and Exosome Development, where she led cross-functional teams and programs, including an FDA-approved autologous cell therapy.
Michael Binks, Chief Medical Officer
Dr. Michael Binks joined Capricor in 2025 as Chief Medical Officer. He is a board-certified rheumatologist and an internationally recognized expert in immunology and rare disease. Before joining Capricor, Dr. Binks held senior leadership roles at Pfizer and GlaxoSmithKline, where he was instrumental in advancing multiple first-in-class therapies, including Benlysta, Hympavzi, Paxlovid, and Beqvez, as well as several gene therapy, small molecule, and biologics programs.
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Key Risks to Capricor Therapeutics (CAPR)
Capricor Therapeutics, Inc. (CAPR), a clinical-stage biotechnology company primarily focused on developing therapies for Duchenne muscular dystrophy (DMD), faces several significant risks. The most prominent risks stem from the highly regulated and capital-intensive nature of drug development, particularly concerning its lead candidate, deramiocel (CAP-1002).
1. Regulatory Approval of Deramiocel for Duchenne Muscular Dystrophy
The most critical risk for Capricor Therapeutics is obtaining full regulatory approval for its lead product candidate, deramiocel (CAP-1002), for Duchenne muscular dystrophy (DMD) cardiomyopathy. While the company has submitted a Biologics License Application (BLA) to the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) and recently had its Class 2 resubmission accepted with a PDUFA target action date of August 22, 2026, approval is not guaranteed. The FDA had previously issued a Complete Response Letter (CRL) in July 2025, stating that the prior application "failed to demonstrate efficacy for its prespecified primary efficacy endpoint," requiring further clinical data. Although Capricor has since reported positive topline results from its Phase 3 HOPE-3 trial, addressing the FDA's concerns, and the FDA has not identified potential review issues at this stage, the possibility of further delays or outright rejection remains a substantial and immediate risk.
2. Commercialization and Market Acceptance of Deramiocel
Even if deramiocel receives FDA approval, Capricor Therapeutics faces significant challenges in its successful commercialization and market acceptance. This includes navigating complex market dynamics, ensuring broad physician adoption, securing favorable pricing and reimbursement, and managing manufacturing and distribution logistics. The Duchenne muscular dystrophy treatment landscape is competitive, and the company must effectively differentiate deramiocel to achieve meaningful market penetration. Failure to effectively execute its commercial strategy, secure adequate market access, or gain widespread acceptance among healthcare providers and patients would severely limit the revenue potential of its most advanced product, despite successful development.
3. Financial Sustainability and Dependence on Lead Candidate Success
As a clinical-stage biotechnology company, Capricor Therapeutics operates with negative margins and high operating expenses, which have increased due to ongoing development and commercialization preparation activities. While the company reported a cash position of approximately $318.1 million as of December 31, 2025, projected to fund operations into the fourth quarter of 2027, this projection excludes potential milestone payments or product revenue. The company's financial health is heavily reliant on the successful regulatory approval and subsequent commercial success of deramiocel, which would trigger additional milestone payments from its distribution agreement with Nippon Shinyaku and enable monetization of a Priority Review Voucher. A significant setback in deramiocel's approval or commercial performance could necessitate further capital raises, potentially leading to shareholder dilution, or force a reassessment of its pipeline development priorities.
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The emergence and advancement of gene therapies for Duchenne Muscular Dystrophy (DMD) pose a clear threat to Capricor's lead candidate, CAP-1002. Several companies are developing and, in some cases, have received regulatory approval (e.g., Sarepta Therapeutics with Elevidys) for gene therapies that aim to address the underlying genetic cause of DMD. This represents a potentially disruptive therapeutic approach that could fundamentally alter the treatment landscape for DMD and challenge the market position or patient population for Capricor's cell therapy.
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CAP-1002 for Duchenne Muscular Dystrophy (DMD)
The global Duchenne Muscular Dystrophy drugs market was valued at USD 2.3 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach USD 5.5 billion by 2032. Another estimate indicates the global Duchenne muscular dystrophy treatment market size was USD 4.63 billion in 2025 and is expected to grow to USD 19.18 billion by 2034. Across the seven major markets (US, France, Germany, Italy, Spain, UK, and Japan), the DMD market was approximately USD 2.15 billion in 2023, with the United States accounting for around USD 1.9 billion of that market. The market in these seven major regions is projected to increase from USD 2.3 billion in 2023 to USD 5.2 billion by 2033.CAP-1002 for Cytokine Storm Associated with SARS-CoV-2
NullCAP-2003 for Trauma Related Injuries and Conditions
The global trauma care centers market was valued at USD 12.93 billion in 2021 and is predicted to surpass USD 27.2 billion by 2030. North America held over 55.06% of this market in 2021. More recent projections estimate the global trauma care centers market size at USD 17.75 billion in 2024, expected to reach USD 36.99 billion by 2034. Similarly, the global trauma products market was valued at USD 9.60 billion in 2024 and is estimated to reach USD 15.80 billion by 2033. North America dominates the trauma products market, holding a 46.3% share in 2024, with the United States accounting for 90.60% of the North American market.AI Analysis | Feedback
Capricor Therapeutics (NASDAQ: CAPR) is poised for significant future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years, primarily driven by the potential commercialization of its lead product candidate, Deramiocel (CAP-1002), for Duchenne muscular dystrophy (DMD).
Here are the key expected drivers of future revenue growth:
- Potential Commercial Launch of Deramiocel (CAP-1002) for Duchenne Muscular Dystrophy: The most significant driver of future revenue for Capricor Therapeutics is the potential regulatory approval and subsequent commercial launch of Deramiocel (CAP-1002) for the treatment of Duchenne muscular dystrophy (DMD). The U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) accepted the Biologics License Application (BLA) for Deramiocel, with a Prescription Drug User Fee Act (PDUFA) target action date set for August 22, 2026. Positive results from the pivotal HOPE-3 Phase 3 trial, which met its primary and key secondary endpoints, underscore the drug's efficacy in improving both skeletal and cardiac functions in DMD patients. Upon approval, Capricor has a U.S. distribution agreement with Nippon Shinyaku Co., Ltd., which will market CAP-1002.
- Scaling of Manufacturing Capacity for Deramiocel: In anticipation of potential commercialization, Capricor is actively expanding its manufacturing capabilities for Deramiocel. The company's San Diego facility, which currently has a capacity to supply approximately 250 patients per year, is undergoing expansion to reach an approximate annual capacity of 2,500 patients by late 2027. This significant increase in production capacity is crucial to meet the expected demand following regulatory approval and will directly support substantial revenue generation.
- Broad Market Adoption and Recurring Revenue from Deramiocel: If approved, Deramiocel is anticipated to be a lifelong treatment, administered quarterly. This treatment profile suggests a model for recurring revenue as patients receive ongoing therapy. The drug is expected to be widely adopted across the DMD-cardiomyopathy treatment landscape, addressing a critical unmet medical need for a condition that currently lacks approved therapies for cardiomyopathy. The consistent administration and broad applicability of Deramiocel across the patient population will contribute to a sustained and growing revenue stream for Capricor.
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Share Issuance
- From June 21, 2021, through October 1, 2024, Capricor Therapeutics issued an aggregate of 9,228,383 shares of common stock under an At-The-Market (ATM) Program, generating approximately $75.0 million in gross proceeds.
- In September 2023, the company completed a registered direct offering of 4,935,621 shares of common stock with accompanying warrants, expecting to raise approximately $23 million in gross proceeds.
- In December 2025, Capricor completed a public offering for net proceeds of approximately $161.9 million and also raised approximately $75.1 million in net proceeds through issuances of common stock under its at-the-market offering program, with shares sold at an average price of approximately $28.88 per share.
Inbound Investments
- Capricor Therapeutics has a strategic partnership with Nippon Shinyaku Co., Ltd. for the exclusive commercialization and distribution of its lead candidate, Deramiocel (CAP-1002), for Duchenne muscular dystrophy (DMD) in the United States and Japan.
- The company recognized $40.0 million in upfront and first development milestone payments and a $10.0 million second development milestone payment from Nippon Shinyaku, which were fully recognized as of December 31, 2024.
- Upon potential regulatory approval of Deramiocel, Capricor is expected to be eligible for an $80 million milestone payment from Nippon Shinyaku.
Capital Expenditures
- Capricor Therapeutics has a San Diego GMP (Good Manufacturing Practice) manufacturing facility that is operational and prepared to support the potential commercial launch of Deramiocel.
- Proceeds from recent public offerings are intended to fund the continued development and manufacturing of its product candidates, in addition to working capital and general corporate purposes.
- The company plans to expand its manufacturing capabilities by 2026.
Latest Trefis Analyses
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| ARTICLES |
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 22.06 |
| Mkt Cap | 2.3 |
| Rev LTM | 426 |
| Op Inc LTM | -73 |
| FCF LTM | -93 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -65 |
| CFO LTM | -81 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | -56 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -27.8% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 26.5% |
| Rev Chg Q | -1.9% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -0.6% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | -18.6% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 53.7% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -4.0% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 3.6% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | -9.2% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 2.1% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -28.8% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -15.4% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Development and commercialization of its therapeutic candidates | 0 | ||||
| Single Segment | 22 | 25 | 3 | 0 | |
| Total | 0 | 22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| $ Mil | 2025 |
|---|---|
| Development and commercialization of its therapeutic candidates | -108 |
| Total | -108 |
| $ Mil | 2025 |
|---|---|
| Development and commercialization of its therapeutic candidates | -105 |
| Total | -105 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|
| Single Segment | 170 | 41 |
| Total | 170 | 41 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $26.05 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 1.5 | |
| First Trading Date | 02/13/2007 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -26.3% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $30.73 | $21.17 |
| DMA Trend | up | down |
| Distance from DMA | -15.2% | 23.1% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 63.2% | 385.6% |
| Downside Capture | 245.70 | 250.92 |
| Upside Capture | 88.05 | 272.67 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 38.6% | 6.5% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.05 | 1.04 | 1.47 | 2.43 | 2.22 | 1.30 |
| Up Beta | 2.25 | 0.34 | 1.97 | -3.21 | -1.85 | 0.35 |
| Down Beta | 2.39 | 0.11 | 0.43 | 0.83 | 1.15 | 0.97 |
| Up Capture | -71% | 72% | 143% | 1059% | 975% | 1289% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 13 | 28 | 36 | 67 | 141 | 432 |
| Stock +ve Days | 7 | 17 | 29 | 60 | 118 | 362 |
| Down Capture | 191% | 328% | 164% | 58% | 177% | 110% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 7 | 13 | 27 | 57 | 109 | 318 |
| Stock -ve Days | 13 | 24 | 34 | 63 | 128 | 374 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with CAPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPR | 124.5% | 385.6% | 0.90 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLV) | 14.4% | 15.0% | 0.69 | 6.2% |
| Equity (SPY) | 27.2% | 12.4% | 1.66 | 6.4% |
| Gold (GLD) | 25.8% | 27.4% | 0.82 | -0.9% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 23.3% | 18.9% | 0.98 | 0.8% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 13.6% | 13.5% | 0.69 | 1.4% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -37.7% | 42.4% | -1.00 | 7.3% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with CAPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPR | 42.5% | 189.8% | 0.62 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLV) | 6.1% | 14.7% | 0.23 | 8.9% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.8% | 17.1% | 0.63 | 9.7% |
| Gold (GLD) | 17.6% | 18.2% | 0.78 | -0.7% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.8% | 19.4% | 0.30 | 3.1% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 2.5% | 18.8% | 0.04 | 6.8% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 12.1% | 54.2% | 0.42 | 6.1% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with CAPR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPR | -3.3% | 179.6% | 0.47 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLV) | 9.7% | 16.6% | 0.47 | 9.7% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.4% | 18.0% | 0.73 | 12.4% |
| Gold (GLD) | 12.8% | 16.1% | 0.66 | 1.0% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 6.2% | 18.0% | 0.27 | 4.8% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.6% | 20.7% | 0.23 | 8.2% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 60.7% | 66.8% | 1.00 | 6.8% |
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Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Updated 6/15/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 5/12/2026 | -3.8% | -14.6% | -20.6% |
| 3/12/2026 | -8.7% | -6.7% | 3.4% |
| 11/10/2025 | 11.5% | 2.3% | 388.8% |
| 8/11/2025 | 2.9% | -1.5% | -19.0% |
| 5/13/2025 | 5.1% | 50.8% | 91.0% |
| 3/19/2025 | 17.5% | 7.9% | -7.9% |
| 11/13/2024 | 9.3% | 11.9% | -21.6% |
| 8/7/2024 | 9.0% | 7.3% | 14.6% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 13 | 12 | 12 |
| # Negative | 11 | 12 | 12 |
| Median Positive | 9.0% | 14.2% | 29.6% |
| Median Negative | -6.5% | -6.2% | -16.1% |
| Max Positive | 21.7% | 50.8% | 388.8% |
| Max Negative | -17.3% | -21.8% | -40.1% |
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 5/12/2026 | -3.8% | -14.6% | -20.6% |
| 3/12/2026 | -8.7% | -6.7% | 3.4% |
| 11/10/2025 | 11.5% | 2.3% | 388.8% |
| 8/11/2025 | 2.9% | -1.5% | -19.0% |
| 5/13/2025 | 5.1% | 50.8% | 91.0% |
| 3/19/2025 | 17.5% | 7.9% | -7.9% |
| 11/13/2024 | 9.3% | 11.9% | -21.6% |
| 8/7/2024 | 9.0% | 7.3% | 14.6% |
| 5/13/2024 | -4.4% | 15.8% | -7.0% |
| 2/29/2024 | 8.7% | 20.0% | 68.9% |
| 11/14/2023 | 6.6% | -3.0% | 40.9% |
| 8/7/2023 | 21.7% | 40.3% | 28.7% |
| 5/11/2023 | -1.9% | 12.4% | 13.1% |
| 3/15/2023 | 1.9% | -4.3% | -2.0% |
| 11/10/2022 | -7.1% | -21.0% | -17.3% |
| 8/10/2022 | 16.8% | 16.4% | 30.5% |
| 5/10/2022 | -8.8% | -2.6% | 23.6% |
| 3/10/2022 | 1.5% | 12.6% | -14.8% |
| 11/9/2021 | -3.0% | -4.4% | -11.7% |
| 8/12/2021 | -9.8% | -15.2% | 6.5% |
| 5/13/2021 | 14.6% | 20.6% | 45.9% |
| 3/11/2021 | -6.5% | -6.0% | -23.5% |
| 11/12/2020 | -6.5% | -6.5% | -8.2% |
| 8/6/2020 | -17.3% | -21.8% | -40.1% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 13 | 12 | 12 |
| # Negative | 11 | 12 | 12 |
| Median Positive | 9.0% | 14.2% | 29.6% |
| Median Negative | -6.5% | -6.2% | -16.1% |
| Max Positive | 21.7% | 50.8% | 388.8% |
| Max Negative | -17.3% | -21.8% | -40.1% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/13/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 03/17/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/10/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/11/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/14/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 03/26/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/14/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/14/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 03/11/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/14/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/08/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/12/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/17/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/10/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/12/2022 | 10-Q |
| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/13/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 03/17/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/10/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/11/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/14/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 03/26/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/14/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/14/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 03/11/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/14/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/08/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/12/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/17/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/10/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/12/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/11/2022 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2021 | 03/11/2022 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2021 | 11/12/2021 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2021 | 08/13/2021 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2021 | 05/14/2021 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2020 | 03/15/2021 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2020 | 11/13/2020 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2020 | 08/10/2020 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2020 | 05/15/2020 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2019 | 03/27/2020 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2019 | 11/08/2019 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2019 | 08/08/2019 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance
Updated 5/31/2026Latest: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 5/12/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2027 Cash Runway | 2,028 | ||||||
Insider Activity
Updated 5/28/2026| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bergmann, Anthony | CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER | Direct | Sell | 5042026 | 31.70 | 25,000 | 792,540 | 260,682 | Form |
| 2 | Krasney, Karen | EVP, GENERAL COUNSEL | Direct | Sell | 5042026 | 31.70 | 25,000 | 792,548 | 968,398 | Form |
| 3 | Sabar, Karimah ES | Direct | Sell | 4032026 | 32.00 | 7,529 | Form | |||
| 4 | Sabar, Karimah ES | Direct | Sell | 4012026 | 31.03 | 53,735 | Form | |||
| 5 | Krasney, Karen | EVP, GENERAL COUNSEL | Direct | Sell | 4012026 | 30.12 | 25,000 | 752,935 | 919,996 | Form |
| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bergmann, Anthony | CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER | Direct | Sell | 5042026 | 31.70 | 25,000 | 792,540 | 260,682 | Form |
| 2 | Krasney, Karen | EVP, GENERAL COUNSEL | Direct | Sell | 5042026 | 31.70 | 25,000 | 792,548 | 968,398 | Form |
| 3 | Sabar, Karimah ES | Direct | Sell | 4032026 | 32.00 | 7,529 | Form | |||
| 4 | Sabar, Karimah ES | Direct | Sell | 4012026 | 31.03 | 53,735 | Form | |||
| 5 | Krasney, Karen | EVP, GENERAL COUNSEL | Direct | Sell | 4012026 | 30.12 | 25,000 | 752,935 | 919,996 | Form |
| 6 | Sabar, Karimah ES | Direct | Sell | 4012026 | 30.17 | 61,265 | Form | |||
| 7 | Bergmann, Anthony | CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER | Direct | Sell | 4012026 | 30.13 | 25,000 | 753,152 | 247,727 | Form |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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