Capricor Therapeutics (CAPR)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $26.15 | Market Cap: $1.2 BilSector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology
Capricor Therapeutics (CAPR)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $26.15Market Cap: $1.2 BilSector: Health CareIndustry: Biotechnology
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Gene Editing & Therapy, and Targeted Therapies. | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -87 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -779% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 107x | |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 119% | |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -52%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is null | |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -548%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -614% | |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -11% | |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 389% | |
| Significant short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 36% | |
| Key risksCAPR key risks include [1] uncertain regulatory approval for its lead candidate, Show more. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Gene Editing & Therapy, and Targeted Therapies. |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -87 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -779% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 107x |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 119% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -52%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is null |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -548%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -614% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -11% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 389% |
| Significant short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 36% |
| Key risksCAPR key risks include [1] uncertain regulatory approval for its lead candidate, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
CAPR Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
The search results indicate that there has been significant news for Capricor Therapeutics (CAPR) during the specified future period (August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025). This is unusual as I generally cannot access future information. However, the provided search results are dated within the requested timeframe, suggesting these are forward-looking announcements or projections that were publicly available at an earlier date, or the search tool has access to highly recent (future-dated) press releases. I will proceed using the information provided as it directly addresses the requested timeframe.
The key points for the stock movement appear to revolve around the HOPE-3 clinical trial results, regulatory updates regarding Deramiocel, and financial announcements.
Here are the key points for the stock movement of Capricor Therapeutics (CAPR) from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025:
**1. Positive Topline Results from Pivotal Phase 3 HOPE-3 Study.** Capricor Therapeutics announced positive topline results from its pivotal Phase 3 HOPE-3 study of Deramiocel for Duchenne muscular dystrophy on December 3, 2025. The study met its primary endpoint, demonstrating statistically significant improvements in both skeletal and cardiac function, and showed significant preservation of left ventricular ejection fraction in treated patients.
**2. Regulatory Progress for Deramiocel.** Following a Complete Response Letter (CRL) from the FDA in July 2025, Capricor held a Type A meeting with the FDA in August 2025 to discuss the path forward for Deramiocel's Biologics License Application (BLA). In October 2025, the company announced it reached alignment with the FDA to include the HOPE-3 trial data in its BLA, with the FDA confirming HOPE-3 could serve as the "additional study" referenced in the CRL. The FDA also agreed to allow Capricor to submit the HOPE-3 data within the current BLA framework.
**3. Commercial Launch Preparations.** Capricor continued commercial launch preparations to support the potential approval and market introduction of Deramiocel in 2026. The company's San Diego manufacturing facility successfully completed its FDA Pre-License Inspection (PLI) in June 2025, with all observations resolved and accepted by the FDA by August 2025.
**4. Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results and Corporate Update.** On November 10, 2025, Capricor Therapeutics reported its financial results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2025. The company stated that its cash balance of approximately $99 million was expected to support planned operations into the fourth quarter of 2026.
**5. $150 Million Public Offering.** On December 5, 2025, Capricor Therapeutics announced the pricing of a $150 million public offering of common stock. This offering would likely provide additional capital for the company's ongoing operations and commercialization efforts.Based on the provided search results, there have been several significant announcements from Capricor Therapeutics during the specified period, which would likely explain a substantial stock movement.
Here are the key points for why Capricor Therapeutics (CAPR) stock moved by 316% for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025:
1. Positive Topline Results from Pivotal Phase 3 HOPE-3 Study. Capricor Therapeutics announced positive topline results from its pivotal Phase 3 HOPE-3 study of Deramiocel in Duchenne muscular dystrophy on December 3, 2025. This study met its primary endpoint, demonstrating statistically significant improvements in both skeletal and cardiac function, including a significant preservation of left ventricular ejection fraction. These positive results are a major catalyst for a biotechnology company.
2. Regulatory Alignment with FDA for Deramiocel. Following a Complete Response Letter (CRL) from the FDA in July 2025, Capricor held a Type A meeting with the FDA in August 2025 to discuss the regulatory path for its Biologics License Application (BLA) for Deramiocel. By October 2025, the company announced it had reached alignment with the FDA to include the HOPE-3 trial data in its BLA, with the FDA agreeing that HOPE-3 could serve as the "additional study" required. This provided a clear pathway for resubmission and potential approval.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| CAPR Return | 168% | -15% | 32% | 27% | 182% | 89% | 1933% |
| Peers Return | � | -28% | 12% | -11% | 77% | 26% | � |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| CAPR Win Rate | 42% | 25% | 50% | 58% | 50% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 53% | 40% | 62% | 45% | 65% | 55% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| CAPR Max Drawdown | -27% | -16% | -3% | -30% | -27% | -67% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | � | -40% | -37% | -45% | -4% | -41% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: SRPT, PTCT, VRTX, DYN, RNA.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | CAPR | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -65.8% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 192.6% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 341 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -65.0% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 186.0% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1364 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -97.0% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 3217.3% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -99.4% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 18076.3% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 1480 days |
Compare to VRTX, ACSB, AIXC, ALPS, APRI
In The Past
Capricor Therapeutics's stock fell -65.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/10/2021. A -65.8% loss requires a 192.6% gain to breakeven.
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Asset Allocation
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Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to CAPR. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 16.3% | 16.3% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -7.1% | -7.1% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.6% | 3.6% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.1% | 14.1% | -5.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 16.3% | 16.3% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -7.1% | -7.1% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.6% | 3.6% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.1% | 14.1% | -5.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Capricor Therapeutics
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 49.01 |
| Mkt Cap | 4.3 |
| Rev LTM | 900 |
| Op Inc LTM | -89 |
| FCF LTM | -229 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -167 |
| CFO LTM | -153 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | -153 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 47.1% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 41.7% |
| Rev Chg Q | 7.2% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.8% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -3.6% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -11.6% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 1.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | -10.1% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -26.8% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -16.1% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -33.7% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 4.3 |
| P/S | 8.5 |
| P/EBIT | -3.9 |
| P/E | -5.7 |
| P/CFO | -6.3 |
| Total Yield | -8.0% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -10.0% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | -0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 2.6% |
| 3M Rtn | 33.9% |
| 6M Rtn | 62.0% |
| 12M Rtn | 27.6% |
| 3Y Rtn | 69.3% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 1.9% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 26.1% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 49.6% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 18.2% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 7.7% |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/10/2025 | 11.5% | 2.3% | 388.8% |
| 8/11/2025 | 2.9% | -1.5% | -19.0% |
| 3/19/2025 | 17.5% | 7.9% | -7.9% |
| 11/13/2024 | 9.3% | 11.9% | -21.6% |
| 8/7/2024 | 9.0% | 7.3% | 14.6% |
| 5/13/2024 | -4.4% | 15.8% | -7.0% |
| 2/29/2024 | 8.7% | 20.0% | 68.9% |
| 11/14/2023 | 6.6% | -3.0% | 40.9% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 13 | 11 | 9 |
| # Negative | 6 | 8 | 10 |
| Median Positive | 8.7% | 12.6% | 30.5% |
| Median Negative | -6.8% | -5.2% | -16.1% |
| Max Positive | 21.7% | 80.4% | 388.8% |
| Max Negative | -17.3% | -21.8% | -40.1% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11102025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8112025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5142025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3262025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11142024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8082024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5142024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3112024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11142023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8082023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5122023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3172023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11102022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8122022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5112022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3112022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |