Avidity Biosciences (RNA)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $71.65 | Market Cap: $9.9 BilSector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology
Avidity Biosciences (RNA)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $71.65Market Cap: $9.9 BilSector: Health CareIndustry: Biotechnology
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 106% | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -0.1%, Dist 3Y High is -0.1% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -612 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -2935% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -33% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 288x | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include mRNA Technology, Gene Editing & Therapy, Show more. | Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 145%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 120% | |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2782%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2853% | ||
| Key risksRNA key risks include [1] potential late-stage clinical trial setbacks for its key drug candidates, Show more. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 106% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -33% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include mRNA Technology, Gene Editing & Therapy, Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -0.1%, Dist 3Y High is -0.1% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -612 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -2935% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 288x |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 145%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 120% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2782%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2853% |
| Key risksRNA key risks include [1] potential late-stage clinical trial setbacks for its key drug candidates, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
RNA Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
1. Proposed Acquisition by Novartis. On October 26, 2025, Novartis announced an agreement to acquire Avidity Biosciences for USD 12 billion in cash, a move that significantly strengthens Novartis's late-stage neuroscience pipeline with Avidity's RNA therapeutics platform and three late-stage programs in genetically defined diseases. This acquisition is expected to unlock multi-billion-dollar opportunities and substantially contribute to Novartis's sales growth.
2. Positive Clinical Trial Results and Regulatory Milestones for Del-zota (DMD44). In March 2025, Avidity announced positive topline data from the completed Phase 1/2 EXPLORE44® trial for Duchenne muscular dystrophy amenable to exon 44 skipping (DMD44). The data showed statistically significant increases in exon skipping, a substantial increase in dystrophin production, a significant reduction in creatine kinase levels, and a favorable safety and tolerability profile, supporting a planned Biologics License Application (BLA) submission by year-end 2025. This followed the opening of an accelerated approval pathway for del-zota in January 2025.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| RNA Return | � | -7% | -7% | -59% | 221% | 147% | � |
| Peers Return | � | -24% | 13% | -4% | 11% | 67% | � |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| RNA Win Rate | 33% | 58% | 50% | 33% | 67% | 58% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 52% | 40% | 58% | 45% | 45% | 55% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| RNA Max Drawdown | � | -29% | -58% | -78% | 0% | -17% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | � | -37% | -37% | -37% | -21% | -48% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: DYN, SRPT, IONS, ALNY, ARWR.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | RNA | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -83.4% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 500.8% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 201 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -31.2% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 45.3% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1,321 days | 148 days |
Compare to VRTX, ACSB, ALPS, APRI, CRMO
In The Past
Avidity Biosciences's stock fell -83.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/25/2021. A -83.4% loss requires a 500.8% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to RNA. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 16.8% | 16.8% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -6.4% | -6.4% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.2% | 5.2% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.4% | 3.4% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.4% | 14.4% | -5.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 16.8% | 16.8% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -6.4% | -6.4% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.2% | 5.2% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.4% | 3.4% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.4% | 14.4% | -5.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Avidity Biosciences
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 68.34 |
| Mkt Cap | 7.5 |
| Rev LTM | 898 |
| Op Inc LTM | -182 |
| FCF LTM | -349 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -298 |
| CFO LTM | -246 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | -290 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 53.2% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 42.7% |
| Rev Chg Q | 83.2% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 30.4% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -3.6% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -55.1% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 15.6% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | -10.1% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -52.4% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -16.1% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -57.4% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 7.5 |
| P/S | 10.8 |
| P/EBIT | -3.9 |
| P/E | -9.0 |
| P/CFO | -6.3 |
| Total Yield | -5.8% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -10.0% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | -0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 3.4% |
| 3M Rtn | 34.9% |
| 6M Rtn | 91.8% |
| 12M Rtn | 81.8% |
| 3Y Rtn | 82.4% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 2.7% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 29.0% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 79.4% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 74.1% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 15.4% |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/10/2025 | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.5% |
| 8/7/2025 | -2.6% | -3.1% | 1.1% |
| 5/8/2025 | -2.9% | 1.0% | 13.8% |
| 2/27/2025 | 5.4% | 4.4% | 8.7% |
| 11/7/2024 | -1.7% | 5.2% | -22.4% |
| 8/9/2024 | -5.3% | -4.2% | -13.1% |
| 5/9/2024 | -4.2% | 6.0% | 0.0% |
| 2/28/2024 | 19.9% | 31.2% | 67.2% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 13 | 13 | 14 |
| # Negative | 8 | 8 | 7 |
| Median Positive | 2.9% | 5.1% | 11.3% |
| Median Negative | -2.7% | -4.7% | -16.6% |
| Max Positive | 19.9% | 31.2% | 67.2% |
| Max Negative | -8.4% | -9.6% | -22.4% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11102025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8072025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5082025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2272025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11072024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8092024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5092024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2282024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11082023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8082023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5092023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2282023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11082022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8092022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5102022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3012022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| Owner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | TransactedValue | Value ofHeld Shares | Form | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | MacLean Michael F | Chief Financial Officer | 8152025 | Sell | 42.73 | 30,914 | 1,320,844 | 2,811,653 | Form |
| 1 | Gallagher Kathleen P. | Chief Program Officer | 6182025 | Sell | 30.24 | 911 | 27,549 | 1,523,854 | Form |
| 2 | Hughes Steven George | Chief Medical Officer | 3212025 | Sell | 31.06 | 9,578 | 297,491 | 2,262,706 | Form |
| 3 | Boyce Sarah | President and CEO | 3212025 | Sell | 31.06 | 31,540 | 979,563 | 9,499,680 | Form |
| 4 | Flanagan W. Michael | Chief Scientific Officer | 3212025 | Sell | 31.06 | 11,780 | 365,868 | 2,490,728 | Form |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
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| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |