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Avidity Biosciences (RNA)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $71.66 | Market Cap: $9.3 Bil
Sector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology

Avidity Biosciences (RNA)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $71.66
Market Cap: $9.3 Bil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Biotechnology

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -32%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -0.2%, Dist 3Y High is -0.2%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -522 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -4863%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include mRNA Technology, Gene Editing & Therapy, Show more.
  Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 343x
2   Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 109%
3   Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4567%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4685%
4   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -17%
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -32%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include mRNA Technology, Gene Editing & Therapy, Show more.
2 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -0.2%, Dist 3Y High is -0.2%
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -522 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -4863%
4 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 343x
5 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 109%
6 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4567%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4685%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -17%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

RNA Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Avidity Biosciences (RNA) experienced a significant stock movement between August 31, 2025, and December 4, 2025, primarily driven by several key developments:

1. Definitive Merger Agreement with Novartis. Avidity Biosciences entered into a definitive merger agreement to be acquired by Novartis for $72.00 per share in cash, valuing the company at approximately $12.0 billion. This acquisition price represented a substantial premium of approximately 46% above the October 24, 2025 closing price and about 62% above the 30-day volume-weighted average price (VWAP).

2. Breakthrough Therapy Designation for del-zota. The U.S. FDA granted Breakthrough Therapy designation to delpacibart zotadirsen (del-zota), an investigational therapy for Duchenne muscular dystrophy mutations amenable to exon 44 skipping (DMD44). This designation significantly increased market optimism, with the stock experiencing an increase of 19.76% on August 6, 2025, just prior to the specified period.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
RNA Return--7%-7%-59%221%146%180%
Peers Return6%-1%-7%-13%-25%2%-34%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
RNA Win Rate33%58%50%33%67%50% 
Peers Win Rate29%21%25%27%15%60% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
RNA Max Drawdown--29%-58%-78%0%-17% 
Peers Max Drawdown-19%-10%-17%-24%-25%-2% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: VRTX, ACSB, ALPS, APRI, BBOT.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventRNAS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-83.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven500.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven201 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-31.2%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven45.3%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1321 days148 days

Compare to VRTX, ACSB, ALPS, APRI, BBOT


In The Past

Avidity Biosciences's stock fell -83.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/25/2021. A -83.4% loss requires a 500.8% gain to breakeven.

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Asset Allocation

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About Avidity Biosciences (RNA)

Better Bets than Avidity Biosciences (RNA)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to RNA. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.1%4.1%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-9.8%-9.8%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.0%6.0%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
9.7%9.7%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.2%6.2%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.1%4.1%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-9.8%-9.8%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.0%6.0%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
9.7%9.7%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.2%6.2%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Avidity Biosciences

Peers to compare with:

Financials

RNAVRTXACSBALPSAPRIBBOTMedian
NameAvidity .Vertex P.Acesis ALPS Aprinoia.BridgeBi. 
Mkt Price71.58463.13-1.07-11.0741.33
Mkt Cap9.3118.4----63.8
Rev LTM1111,723---011
Op Inc LTM-522-92----93-93
FCF LTM-5033,337----60-60
FCF 3Y Avg-2782,064----893
CFO LTM-4903,718----60-60
CFO 3Y Avg-2722,419----1,073

Growth & Margins

RNAVRTXACSBALPSAPRIBBOTMedian
NameAvidity .Vertex P.Acesis ALPS Aprinoia.BridgeBi. 
Rev Chg LTM1.2%10.3%----5.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg10.7%10.5%----10.6%
Rev Chg Q88.1%11.0%----49.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM20.2%2.7%----11.4%
Op Mgn LTM-4,863.3%-0.8%-----2,432.0%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-3,226.8%26.2%-----1,600.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-9.9%1.0%-----4.4%
CFO/Rev LTM-4,566.9%31.7%-----2,267.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-2,589.8%23.1%-----1,283.4%
FCF/Rev LTM-4,685.4%28.5%-----2,328.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-2,650.7%19.8%-----1,315.5%

Valuation

RNAVRTXACSBALPSAPRIBBOTMedian
NameAvidity .Vertex P.Acesis ALPS Aprinoia.BridgeBi. 
Mkt Cap9.3118.4----63.8
P/S343.18.5----175.8
P/EBIT-7.122.4----7.7
P/E-8.127.2----9.6
P/CFO-7.526.9----9.7
Total Yield-12.4%3.7%-----4.4%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%----0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-13.1%2.3%-----5.4%
D/E0.00.0----0.0
Net D/E-0.3-0.0-----0.2

Returns

RNAVRTXACSBALPSAPRIBBOTMedian
NameAvidity .Vertex P.Acesis ALPS Aprinoia.BridgeBi. 
1M Rtn2.6%8.7%----9.9%2.6%
3M Rtn50.4%16.8%---12.5%16.8%
6M Rtn109.2%3.9%----56.5%
12M Rtn86.0%1.3%----43.7%
3Y Rtn515.5%44.1%----279.8%
1M Excs Rtn2.6%8.7%----9.9%2.6%
3M Excs Rtn42.3%11.3%---4.5%11.3%
6M Excs Rtn94.5%-10.8%----41.8%
12M Excs Rtn52.8%-14.6%----19.1%
3Y Excs Rtn418.8%-25.9%----196.4%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment109972
Total109972


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity10,321,719
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-1.7%
Average Daily Volume5,092,006
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.03
Basic Shares Quantity129,622,000
Short % of Basic Shares8.0%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024227202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241107202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024809202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023228202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231108202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023808202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023509202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022228202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221108202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022809202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022510202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021301202210-K 12/31/2021
93020211109202110-Q 9/30/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0MacLean Michael FChief Financial Officer8152025Sell42.7330,9141,320,8442,811,653Form
1Gallagher Kathleen P.Chief Program Officer6182025Sell30.2491127,5491,523,854Form
2Hughes Steven GeorgeChief Medical Officer3212025Sell31.069,578297,4912,262,706Form
3Boyce SarahPresident and CEO3212025Sell31.0631,540979,5639,499,680Form
4Flanagan W. MichaelChief Scientific Officer3212025Sell31.0611,780365,8682,490,728Form