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Sarepta Therapeutics (SRPT)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $22.69 | Market Cap: $2.3 Bil
Sector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology

Sarepta Therapeutics (SRPT)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $22.69
Market Cap: $2.3 Bil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Biotechnology

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 47%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -123%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -154%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -86 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -3.6%
1 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -71%
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 18%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -15%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Gene Editing & Therapy, and Targeted Therapies.
  Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -10%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -16%
3   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -18%
4   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 104%
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 47%
1 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -71%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Gene Editing & Therapy, and Targeted Therapies.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -123%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -154%
4 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 18%
5 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -86 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -3.6%
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -15%
7 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -10%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -16%
8 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -18%
9 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 104%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

SRPT Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Between August 31, 2025, and December 4, 2025, Sarepta Therapeutics (SRPT) experienced a significant stock movement, including a reported 26.4% increase following its third-quarter earnings report. Key factors contributing to the stock's performance during this period include:

1. Better-than-Expected Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results. Sarepta Therapeutics reported its third-quarter 2025 financial results on November 3, 2025, with total revenues of $399.4 million, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $352.6 million. Although the company posted an adjusted loss per share, sales of its PMO therapies and ELEVIDYS both beat consensus estimates, contributing to positive investor sentiment.

2. Advancement in SRP-1003 Clinical Trial. On November 24, 2025, Sarepta provided a positive update on the Phase 1/2 clinical study of SRP-1003, its investigational siRNA therapy for type 1 myotonic dystrophy. The company announced the completion of initial dosing cohorts and a positive drug safety committee review, enabling further dose escalation. This progress also triggered a $200 million milestone payment to Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals, highlighting pipeline momentum.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
SRPT Return32%-47%44%-26%26%-83%-84%
Peers Return115%28%-1%-14%-26%99%248%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
SRPT Win Rate42%50%83%50%58%30% 
Peers Win Rate56%50%52%40%35%65% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
SRPT Max Drawdown-36%-61%-30%-48%-3%-90% 
Peers Max Drawdown-32%-20%-36%-39%-41%-31% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ALNY, IONS, MRNA, ARWR, ACSB. See SRPT Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventSRPTS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-63.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven172.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-37.4%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven59.8%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven54 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-54.9%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven121.8%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven265 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-85.0%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven566.7%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1385 days1480 days

Compare to ALNY, IONS, MRNA, ARWR, ACSB


In The Past

Sarepta Therapeutics's stock fell -63.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/1/2021. A -63.2% loss requires a 172.0% gain to breakeven.

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About Sarepta Therapeutics (SRPT)

Better Bets than Sarepta Therapeutics (SRPT)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to SRPT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
10.0%10.0%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.7%-7.7%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.9%6.9%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.5%11.5%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
8.9%8.9%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
10.0%10.0%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.7%-7.7%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.9%6.9%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.5%11.5%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
8.9%8.9%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Sarepta Therapeutics

Peers to compare with:

Financials

SRPTALNYIONSMRNAARWRACSBMedian
NameSarepta .Alnylam .Ionis Ph.Moderna Arrowhea.Acesis  
Mkt Price21.84473.2981.8425.1865.08-65.08
Mkt Cap2.262.213.19.89.0-9.8
Rev LTM2,4143,2109672,202573-2,202
Op Inc LTM-86265-278-3,463-108--108
FCF LTM-389221-309-2,663-18--309
FCF 3Y Avg-49557-420-3,092-298--420
CFO LTM-245266-247-1,97822--245
CFO 3Y Avg-379108-380-2,421-175--379

Growth & Margins

SRPTALNYIONSMRNAARWRACSBMedian
NameSarepta .Alnylam .Ionis Ph.Moderna Arrowhea.Acesis  
Rev Chg LTM47.1%53.2%20.4%-56.4%2,816.2%-47.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg40.6%51.4%7.1%-52.3%908.8%-40.6%
Rev Chg Q-14.5%149.3%17.1%-46.0%--1.3%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-2.7%30.4%2.4%-27.9%5.1%-2.4%
Op Mgn LTM-3.6%8.2%-28.8%-157.3%-18.8%--18.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-11.6%-7.1%-55.1%-79.9%-958.1%--55.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-3.5%15.6%-0.5%-50.1%2.9%--0.5%
CFO/Rev LTM-10.1%8.3%-25.5%-89.8%3.8%--10.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-26.8%3.7%-52.4%-58.7%-620.8%--52.4%
FCF/Rev LTM-16.1%6.9%-32.0%-120.9%-3.1%--16.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-33.7%1.3%-57.4%-76.1%-949.2%--57.4%

Valuation

SRPTALNYIONSMRNAARWRACSBMedian
NameSarepta .Alnylam .Ionis Ph.Moderna Arrowhea.Acesis  
Mkt Cap2.262.213.19.89.0-9.8
P/S0.818.710.84.63.8-4.6
P/EBIT-8.4460.0-60.0-3.2-29.3--8.4
P/E-7.11,375.9-40.8-3.2-14.8--7.1
P/CFO-7.9225.5-42.3-5.1100.6--5.1
Total Yield-14.1%0.1%-2.5%-30.9%-6.8%--6.8%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%-0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-10.0%0.0%-6.0%-16.2%-8.8%--8.8%
D/E0.60.00.10.10.2-0.1
Net D/E0.2-0.0-0.1-0.4-0.2--0.1

Returns

SRPTALNYIONSMRNAARWRACSBMedian
NameSarepta .Alnylam .Ionis Ph.Moderna Arrowhea.Acesis  
1M Rtn-10.7%9.0%11.1%1.1%64.3%-9.0%
3M Rtn15.3%5.8%35.3%4.7%134.1%-15.3%
6M Rtn-44.8%55.0%133.1%-7.7%288.7%-55.0%
12M Rtn-82.7%87.9%128.5%-40.9%149.6%-87.9%
3Y Rtn-82.7%101.9%103.0%-86.2%91.8%-91.8%
1M Excs Rtn-10.6%9.1%11.2%1.1%64.3%-9.1%
3M Excs Rtn13.0%-1.0%32.5%-1.6%127.1%-13.0%
6M Excs Rtn-59.5%40.3%118.4%-22.4%274.0%-40.3%
12M Excs Rtn-97.2%73.5%115.5%-55.1%136.5%-73.5%
3Y Excs Rtn-154.3%53.4%30.1%-158.4%59.6%-30.1%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Phosphorodiamidate morpholino oligomer (PMO) Products945844   
ELEVIDYS2000   
Collaboration and Other98898984 
AMONDYS 45  900 
EXONDYS 51  454422 
VYONDYS 53  6934 
Products, net    381
Total1,243933702540381


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity17,999,403
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120254.0%
Average Daily Volume8,374,179
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.15
Basic Shares Quantity100,237,000
Short % of Basic Shares18.0%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025806202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025506202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024228202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241106202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024807202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024501202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023228202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231101202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023802202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023502202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022228202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221102202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022802202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022504202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021301202210-K 12/31/2021