Sarepta Therapeutics (SRPT)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $21.22 | Market Cap: $2.1 BilSector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology
Sarepta Therapeutics (SRPT)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $21.22Market Cap: $2.1 BilSector: Health CareIndustry: Biotechnology
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 47% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -120%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -151% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -86 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -3.6% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -71% | Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 20% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -15% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Gene Editing & Therapy, and Targeted Therapies. | Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -10%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -16% | |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -18% | ||
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 105% | ||
| Key risksSRPT key risks include [1] significant regulatory and safety hurdles for its key therapies, Show more. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 47% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -71% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Gene Editing & Therapy, and Targeted Therapies. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -120%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -151% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 20% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -86 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -3.6% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -15% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -10%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -16% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -18% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 105% |
| Key risksSRPT key risks include [1] significant regulatory and safety hurdles for its key therapies, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
SRPT Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are five key points explaining Sarepta Therapeutics (SRPT) stock movement from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025:
**1. Sarepta Therapeutics' Q3 2025 Revenue Exceeded Analyst Expectations.**
On November 3, 2025, Sarepta Therapeutics announced its financial results for the third quarter of 2025, reporting revenues of $399.36 million, which surpassed analysts' consensus estimates of $331.51 million. Despite an earnings per share (EPS) miss, beating revenue expectations generally provides a positive signal to investors.
**2. Positive Progress Update for Investigational Myotonic Dystrophy Treatment and Milestone Payment.**
On November 24, 2025, Sarepta provided a progress update for SRP-1003, its investigational siRNA treatment for Myotonic Dystrophy Type 1. Concurrently, Sarepta also announced that Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals earned a $200 million milestone payment from Sarepta, indicating advancements in their collaborative programs.
**3. Approval to Initiate ENDEAVOR Cohort 8 for ELEVIDYS Gene Therapy.**
Sarepta announced on November 25, 2025, that it received approval to begin ENDEAVOR Cohort 8. This cohort aims to evaluate an enhanced immunosuppression regimen as part of the ELEVIDYS gene therapy for non-ambulant individuals with Duchenne muscular dystrophy, signaling continued development and potential expansion of its flagship therapy.
**4. Presentation of New Clinical Data at the 2025 World Muscle Society Congress.**
On October 3, 2025, Sarepta announced its plans to present new data from its neuromuscular portfolio at the 30th Annual Congress of the World Muscle Society, held from October 7-11, 2025. The presentations included results from the delandistrogene moxeparvovec clinical development program and the EMERGENE phase 3 study, highlighting ongoing advancements in its pipeline.
**5. Duchenne Muscular Dystrophy Added to U.S. Recommended Uniform Screening Panel.**
On December 17, 2025, Sarepta Therapeutics lauded the addition of Duchenne muscular dystrophy (DMD) to the U.S. Recommended Uniform Screening Panel (RUSP). This federal recommendation encourages broader newborn screening, facilitating earlier diagnosis and potentially leading to earlier access to available therapies, including Sarepta's treatments, which can significantly expand the addressable patient population. This announcement led to an immediate positive impact on the stock.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| SRPT Return | 32% | -47% | 44% | -26% | 26% | -82% | -83% |
| Peers Return | � | -31% | 36% | -5% | 56% | 55% | � |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| SRPT Win Rate | 42% | 50% | 83% | 50% | 58% | 33% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 55% | 33% | 55% | 43% | 53% | 55% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| SRPT Max Drawdown | -36% | -61% | -30% | -48% | -3% | -90% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | � | -41% | -38% | -39% | -21% | -36% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: PTCT, IONS, ALNY, WVE, DYN. See SRPT Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | SRPT | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -63.2% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 172.0% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -37.4% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 59.8% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 54 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -54.9% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 121.8% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 265 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -85.0% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 566.7% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1,385 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to ALNY, IONS, MRNA, ARWR, ACSB
In The Past
Sarepta Therapeutics's stock fell -63.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/1/2021. A -63.2% loss requires a 172.0% gain to breakeven.
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to SRPT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 16.8% | 16.8% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -6.4% | -6.4% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.2% | 5.2% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.4% | 3.4% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.4% | 14.4% | -5.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 16.8% | 16.8% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -6.4% | -6.4% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.2% | 5.2% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.4% | 3.4% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.4% | 14.4% | -5.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Sarepta Therapeutics
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 48.04 |
| Mkt Cap | 4.3 |
| Rev LTM | 1,373 |
| Op Inc LTM | -111 |
| FCF LTM | -254 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -198 |
| CFO LTM | -221 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | -193 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 53.2% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 41.7% |
| Rev Chg Q | 17.1% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.4% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -3.6% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -11.6% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 2.7% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | -10.1% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -26.8% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -16.1% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -33.7% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 4.3 |
| P/S | 10.8 |
| P/EBIT | -3.9 |
| P/E | -5.7 |
| P/CFO | -5.5 |
| Total Yield | -6.2% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -7.0% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | -0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 2.2% |
| 3M Rtn | 25.0% |
| 6M Rtn | 62.0% |
| 12M Rtn | 36.0% |
| 3Y Rtn | 78.3% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 1.4% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 20.7% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 49.6% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 29.6% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 9.7% |
Comparison Analyses
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/3/2025 | -33.7% | -29.4% | -6.7% |
| 7/16/2025 | 19.5% | -27.5% | 10.4% |
| 1/13/2025 | 0.3% | -1.4% | -7.3% |
| 1/8/2024 | 16.7% | 12.5% | 22.8% |
| 1/9/2023 | 1.4% | 10.6% | 3.3% |
| 1/10/2022 | -10.9% | -16.8% | -11.8% |
| 10/15/2021 | -3.5% | -4.7% | -0.4% |
| 1/11/2021 | 9.1% | 9.8% | 13.2% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 5 | 3 | 4 |
| # Negative | 4 | 6 | 5 |
| Median Positive | 9.1% | 10.6% | 11.8% |
| Median Negative | -7.2% | -10.8% | -6.7% |
| Max Positive | 19.5% | 12.5% | 22.8% |
| Max Negative | -33.7% | -29.4% | -11.8% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11062025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8062025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5062025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2282025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11062024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8072024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5012024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2282024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11012023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8022023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5022023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2282023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11022022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8022022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5042022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3012022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
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