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Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 16%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 11%, FCF Yield is 9.3%
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 16%
Key risks
PTCT key risks include [1] significant revenue concentration in a few key products, Show more.
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -27%
  
2 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 98%
  
3 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 52%
  
4 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 40%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 25%
  
5 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Gene Editing & Therapy, Targeted Therapies, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 16%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 11%, FCF Yield is 9.3%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -27%
2 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 98%
3 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 52%
4 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 40%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 25%
5 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Gene Editing & Therapy, Targeted Therapies, Show more.
6 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 16%
7 Key risks
PTCT key risks include [1] significant revenue concentration in a few key products, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

PTCT Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points explaining the 51.9% stock movement for PTC Therapeutics (PTCT) from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025: 1. 1. Successful Global Launch and Strong Uptake of Sephience™: PTC Therapeutics initiated the global launch of Sephience™ (sepiapterin) in the US and Europe, a treatment for Phenylketonuria (PKU). By the end of the third quarter of 2025, Sephience generated $19.6 million in global revenue, with 521 patient start forms in the US and 341 total patients on commercial therapy worldwide. This strong initial uptake indicated its potential to become the standard of care for PKU, significantly boosting investor confidence. 2. 2. Significant Financial Turnaround in Third Quarter 2025: The company reported a net income of $15.9 million for the third quarter of 2025, a substantial improvement compared to a net loss of $106.7 million in the same period of 2024. This positive shift in profitability demonstrated enhanced financial management and operational efficiency. 3.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
PTCT Return27%-35%-4%-28%64%67%57%
Peers Return50%-19%13%1%-12%-19%-2%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
PTCT Win Rate58%33%58%42%83%58% 
Peers Win Rate57%45%57%43%40%52% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
PTCT Max Drawdown-33%-42%-36%-53%-12%-20% 
Peers Max Drawdown-20%-32%-26%-25%-21%-37% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: SRPT, BIIB, BMRN, RARE, VRTX.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventPTCTS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-73.8%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven281.4%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven734 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-45.5%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven83.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven233 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-45.9%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven84.8%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven78 days120 days

Compare to VRTX, ACSB, ALPS, APRI, CRMO


In The Past

PTC Therapeutics's stock fell -73.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/7/2021. A -73.8% loss requires a 281.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

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Asset Allocation

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About PTC Therapeutics (PTCT)

Better Bets than PTC Therapeutics (PTCT)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to PTCT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.8%16.8%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-6.4%-6.4%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
5.2%5.2%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.4%3.4%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.4%14.4%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.8%16.8%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-6.4%-6.4%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
5.2%5.2%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.4%3.4%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.4%14.4%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for PTC Therapeutics

Peers to compare with:

Financials

PTCTSRPTBIIBBMRNRAREVRTXMedian
NamePTC Ther.Sarepta .Biogen BioMarin.Ultragen.Vertex P. 
Mkt Price74.9421.14172.1051.8033.21449.5263.37
Mkt Cap5.92.125.29.93.3114.97.9
Rev LTM1,7792,41410,0663,09463111,7232,754
Op Inc LTM922-862,492615-544-92265
FCF LTM446-3892,262826-4663,337636
FCF 3Y Avg-60-4951,686386-4862,064163
CFO LTM715-2452,454914-4463,718815
CFO 3Y Avg104-3791,980489-4492,419297

Growth & Margins

PTCTSRPTBIIBBMRNRAREVRTXMedian
NamePTC Ther.Sarepta .Biogen BioMarin.Ultragen.Vertex P. 
Rev Chg LTM97.5%47.1%4.8%12.4%20.6%10.3%16.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg41.7%40.6%-0.9%15.5%22.5%10.5%19.0%
Rev Chg Q7.2%-14.5%2.8%4.1%14.7%11.0%5.7%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.8%-2.7%0.7%1.0%3.3%2.7%0.9%
Op Mgn LTM51.8%-3.6%24.8%19.9%-86.3%-0.8%9.6%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-8.9%-11.6%22.5%13.5%-111.1%26.2%2.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM2.7%-3.5%0.7%-5.4%-3.5%1.0%-1.4%
CFO/Rev LTM40.2%-10.1%24.4%29.5%-70.7%31.7%27.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-2.5%-26.8%20.0%16.9%-89.4%23.1%7.2%
FCF/Rev LTM25.1%-16.1%22.5%26.7%-74.0%28.5%23.8%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-16.4%-33.7%17.0%13.0%-97.6%19.8%-1.7%

Valuation

PTCTSRPTBIIBBMRNRAREVRTXMedian
NamePTC Ther.Sarepta .Biogen BioMarin.Ultragen.Vertex P. 
Mkt Cap5.92.125.29.93.3114.97.9
P/S2.70.82.03.44.88.53.0
P/EBIT5.5-8.49.515.1-5.822.47.5
P/E6.4-7.112.820.0-5.227.29.6
P/CFO6.7-7.98.411.4-6.726.97.6
Total Yield15.6%-14.1%7.8%5.0%-19.3%3.7%4.3%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-7.0%-10.0%6.7%3.5%-15.2%2.3%-2.3%
D/E0.10.60.30.10.00.00.1
Net D/E-0.30.20.1-0.1-0.1-0.0-0.1

Returns

PTCTSRPTBIIBBMRNRAREVRTXMedian
NamePTC Ther.Sarepta .Biogen BioMarin.Ultragen.Vertex P. 
1M Rtn-0.9%20.5%4.5%-4.9%2.1%3.6%2.8%
3M Rtn23.6%24.0%18.8%-4.7%15.7%16.1%17.5%
6M Rtn48.6%1.8%36.0%-6.2%-11.1%0.2%1.0%
12M Rtn59.4%-83.2%14.2%-22.9%-26.1%-4.2%-13.6%
3Y Rtn91.1%-82.9%-39.6%-52.3%-27.2%47.5%-33.4%
1M Excs Rtn-1.6%19.8%3.8%-5.6%1.3%2.8%2.1%
3M Excs Rtn17.8%12.8%18.3%-7.4%12.7%14.8%13.8%
6M Excs Rtn36.2%-10.6%23.6%-18.6%-23.5%-12.1%-11.4%
12M Excs Rtn50.5%-94.0%3.6%-32.6%-38.5%-14.1%-23.4%
3Y Excs Rtn21.6%-151.0%-109.2%-119.7%-90.8%-25.4%-100.0%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Life science938    
Collaboration and license revenue 50554316
Manufacturing revenue 0   
Net product revenue 535429333291
Royalty revenue 114555 
Total938699539381307


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Life science-627    
Total-627    


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity12,859,294
Short Interest: % Change Since 1115202536.5%
Average Daily Volume3,134,304
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.10
Basic Shares Quantity78,471,119
Short % of Basic Shares16.4%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/4/20256.0%9.0%14.1%
8/7/2025-9.9%-3.3%13.1%
2/27/20259.3%4.4%7.3%
11/7/20243.1%-1.4%11.9%
8/8/2024-3.6%1.8%-3.2%
4/25/202412.1%31.9%45.9%
1/8/20247.5%-2.0%-4.0%
10/26/2023-22.7%-24.6%-10.3%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive131513
# Negative10810
Median Positive5.8%6.1%11.9%
Median Negative-4.1%-5.2%-4.8%
Max Positive12.1%31.9%45.9%
Max Negative-22.7%-24.6%-24.0%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251104202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025506202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024227202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241107202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024425202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023229202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231026202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023427202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022221202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221027202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022503202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021222202210-K 12/31/2021