Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -37%
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12%
Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Biotechnology & Genomics. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Biopharmaceutical R&D, Show more.
  Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -449 Mil
2   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -28%
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -37%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Biotechnology & Genomics. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Biopharmaceutical R&D, Show more.
2 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12%
3 Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
4 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -449 Mil
5 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -28%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

DYN Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points for why Dyne Therapeutics (DYN) stock moved by 48.9% during the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:

1. Dyne Therapeutics received FDA Breakthrough Therapy Designation for DYNE-251 in Duchenne Muscular Dystrophy (DMD) on August 4, 2025. This significant regulatory milestone is expected to expedite the development and review process for the drug, indicating its potential to offer substantial improvement over existing therapies.

2. Raymond James upgraded Dyne Therapeutics from "Outperform" to "Strong Buy" on August 25, 2025, and increased its price target. This upgrade, with the price target moving from $31.00 to $35.00, reflected increased confidence in the upcoming DYNE-251 registrational cohort readout and its potential for a Biologics License Application (BLA) filing.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
DYN Return--43%-3%15%77%-15%-5%
Peers Return59%2%-2%12%28%-7%113%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
DYN Win Rate67%17%50%42%67%50% 
Peers Win Rate48%42%40%43%52%50% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
DYN Max Drawdown--43%-63%-43%-2%-71% 
Peers Max Drawdown-38%-21%-59%-34%-33%-38% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: MNKD, INVA, WVE, ORGO, MGNX.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventDYNS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-85.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven572.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven713 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-29.7%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven42.2%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven14 days148 days

Compare to MNKD, INVA, WVE, ORGO, MGNX


In The Past

Dyne Therapeutics's stock fell -85.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/13/2021. A -85.1% loss requires a 572.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Dyne Therapeutics (DYN)

Better Bets than Dyne Therapeutics (DYN)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to DYN. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.1%4.1%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-9.8%-9.8%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.0%6.0%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
9.7%9.7%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.2%6.2%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.1%4.1%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-9.8%-9.8%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.0%6.0%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
9.7%9.7%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.2%6.2%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Dyne Therapeutics

Peers to compare with:

Financials

DYNMNKDINVAWVEORGOMGNXMedian
NameDyne The.MannKind Innoviva WAVE Lif.Organoge.Macrogen. 
Mkt Price20.095.5920.867.144.991.406.37
Mkt Cap2.81.71.41.20.60.11.3
Rev LTM031438994465164239
Op Inc LTM-44976168-1441-78-39
FCF LTM-39743198-200-52-75-63
FCF 3Y Avg-27514159-114-17-76-47
CFO LTM-37649202-199-39-72-55
CFO 3Y Avg-26733160-1131-74-36

Growth & Margins

DYNMNKDINVAWVEORGOMGNXMedian
NameDyne The.MannKind Innoviva WAVE Lif.Organoge.Macrogen. 
Rev Chg LTM-17.4%10.1%-15.0%2.1%315.3%10.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-66.8%3.1%59.3%0.1%124.7%59.3%
Rev Chg Q-17.2%20.4%-55.8%30.7%106.0%20.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-4.0%4.9%-10.5%8.2%7.5%4.9%
Op Mgn LTM-24.3%43.2%-152.8%0.2%-47.6%0.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-13.5%41.2%-200.4%2.5%-203.4%2.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.2%-4.5%-32.9%3.6%17.6%0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM-15.6%51.9%-212.0%-8.3%-44.0%-8.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-12.3%46.1%-119.3%0.3%-143.2%0.3%
FCF/Rev LTM-13.8%50.9%-213.0%-11.1%-45.5%-11.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-2.2%45.7%-121.1%-3.7%-147.1%-3.7%

Valuation

DYNMNKDINVAWVEORGOMGNXMedian
NameDyne The.MannKind Innoviva WAVE Lif.Organoge.Macrogen. 
Mkt Cap2.81.71.41.20.60.11.3
P/S-5.33.211.31.20.53.2
P/EBIT-3.926.47.2-7.4643.6-2.22.5
P/E-4.256.49.9-8.2532.8-2.13.9
P/CFO-4.833.76.2-5.4-13.8-1.1-2.9
Total Yield-23.6%1.8%10.1%-12.2%0.2%-47.6%-6.0%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-20.8%0.5%14.3%-14.0%-3.2%-51.9%-8.6%
D/E0.10.10.20.00.10.50.1
Net D/E-0.4-0.1-0.2-0.2-0.0-1.8-0.2

Returns

DYNMNKDINVAWVEORGOMGNXMedian
NameDyne The.MannKind Innoviva WAVE Lif.Organoge.Macrogen. 
1M Rtn-16.7%2.0%15.2%-14.1%24.8%-11.4%-4.7%
3M Rtn49.0%1.5%-0.2%-10.8%0.6%-26.7%0.2%
6M Rtn49.8%28.5%-0.1%6.9%74.5%-6.7%17.7%
12M Rtn-28.7%-16.7%9.8%-49.1%25.7%-59.3%-22.7%
3Y Rtn68.8%16.0%57.1%70.0%83.5%-79.7%63.0%
1M Excs Rtn-16.6%2.0%15.2%-14.0%24.8%-11.4%-4.7%
3M Excs Rtn46.4%-0.7%-5.6%-18.1%-6.1%-33.2%-5.9%
6M Excs Rtn35.1%13.8%-14.8%-7.8%59.8%-21.4%3.0%
12M Excs Rtn-47.9%-31.1%-3.7%-66.3%15.4%-74.6%-39.5%
3Y Excs Rtn15.8%-46.0%-11.2%-13.1%16.2%-151.2%-12.1%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single segment16530642635316
Total16530642635316


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity17,111,938
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202513.2%
Average Daily Volume2,624,140
Days-to-Cover Short Interest6.52
Basic Shares Quantity141,810,881
Short % of Basic Shares12.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251105202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025728202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024227202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241112202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024812202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024502202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023305202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231030202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023511202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022302202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022502202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021310202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Cox JohnCEO & President9092025Sell13.412,64035,4022,675,818Form
1Friedl-Naderer JohannaChief Commercial Officer9082025Sell13.2789411,8631,260,876Form
2Kerr DouglasChief Medical Officer9082025Sell13.273,55247,1351,184,520Form
3Cox JohnCEO & President7152025Buy9.11100,000911,0002,206,251Form
4Cox JohnCEO & President6062025Sell13.354,06054,2011,898,090Form