Dyne Therapeutics (DYN)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $20.0 | Market Cap: $2.8 BilSector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology
Dyne Therapeutics (DYN)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $20.0Market Cap: $2.8 BilSector: Health CareIndustry: Biotechnology
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -37% | Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12% | Very low revenueRev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0 |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precision Medicine, and Biotechnology & Genomics. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Biopharmaceutical R&D, Show more. | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -449 Mil | |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -28% |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -37% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precision Medicine, and Biotechnology & Genomics. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Biopharmaceutical R&D, Show more. |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12% |
| Very low revenueRev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0 |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -449 Mil |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -28% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
DYN Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points for why Dyne Therapeutics (DYN) stock moved by 48.9% during the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:
1. Dyne Therapeutics received FDA Breakthrough Therapy Designation for DYNE-251 in Duchenne Muscular Dystrophy (DMD) on August 4, 2025. This significant regulatory milestone is expected to expedite the development and review process for the drug, indicating its potential to offer substantial improvement over existing therapies.
2. Raymond James upgraded Dyne Therapeutics from "Outperform" to "Strong Buy" on August 25, 2025, and increased its price target. This upgrade, with the price target moving from $31.00 to $35.00, reflected increased confidence in the upcoming DYNE-251 registrational cohort readout and its potential for a Biologics License Application (BLA) filing.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| DYN Return | - | -43% | -3% | 15% | 77% | -15% | -5% |
| Peers Return | 59% | 2% | -2% | 12% | 28% | -7% | 113% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| DYN Win Rate | 67% | 17% | 50% | 42% | 67% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 48% | 42% | 40% | 43% | 52% | 50% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| DYN Max Drawdown | - | -43% | -63% | -43% | -2% | -71% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -38% | -21% | -59% | -34% | -33% | -38% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: MNKD, INVA, WVE, ORGO, MGNX.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | DYN | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -85.1% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 572.0% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 713 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -29.7% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 42.2% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 14 days | 148 days |
Compare to MNKD, INVA, WVE, ORGO, MGNX
In The Past
Dyne Therapeutics's stock fell -85.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/13/2021. A -85.1% loss requires a 572.0% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to DYN. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.1% | 4.1% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -9.8% | -9.8% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.0% | 6.0% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.7% | 9.7% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.2% | 6.2% | -5.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.1% | 4.1% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -9.8% | -9.8% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.0% | 6.0% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.7% | 9.7% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.2% | 6.2% | -5.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Dyne Therapeutics
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 6.37 |
| Mkt Cap | 1.3 |
| Rev LTM | 239 |
| Op Inc LTM | -39 |
| FCF LTM | -63 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -47 |
| CFO LTM | -55 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | -36 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 10.1% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 59.3% |
| Rev Chg Q | 20.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 4.9% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 0.2% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 2.5% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | -8.3% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 0.3% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -11.1% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -3.7% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 1.3 |
| P/S | 3.2 |
| P/EBIT | 2.5 |
| P/E | 3.9 |
| P/CFO | -2.9 |
| Total Yield | -6.0% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -8.6% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | -0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -4.7% |
| 3M Rtn | 0.2% |
| 6M Rtn | 17.7% |
| 12M Rtn | -22.7% |
| 3Y Rtn | 63.0% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -4.7% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -5.9% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 3.0% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -39.5% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -12.1% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11052025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7282025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5082025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2272025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11122024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8122024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5022024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3052024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10302023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8032023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5112023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3022023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11032022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8042022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5022022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3102022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| Owner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | TransactedValue | Value ofHeld Shares | Form | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Cox John | CEO & President | 9092025 | Sell | 13.41 | 2,640 | 35,402 | 2,675,818 | Form |
| 1 | Friedl-Naderer Johanna | Chief Commercial Officer | 9082025 | Sell | 13.27 | 894 | 11,863 | 1,260,876 | Form |
| 2 | Kerr Douglas | Chief Medical Officer | 9082025 | Sell | 13.27 | 3,552 | 47,135 | 1,184,520 | Form |
| 3 | Cox John | CEO & President | 7152025 | Buy | 9.11 | 100,000 | 911,000 | 2,206,251 | Form |
| 4 | Cox John | CEO & President | 6062025 | Sell | 13.35 | 4,060 | 54,201 | 1,898,090 | Form |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
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| FinViz |