Tearsheet

Conagra Brands (CAG)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $17.915 | Market Cap: $8.6 Bil
Sector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Packaged Foods & Meats

Conagra Brands (CAG)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $17.915
Market Cap: $8.6 Bil
Sector: Consumer Staples
Industry: Packaged Foods & Meats

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 17%, Dividend Yield is 7.6%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 13%, FCF Yield is 13%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -77%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -114%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 86%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.1%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.9%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -5.8%
2 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -30%
  Key risks
CAG key risks include [1] relatively high debt levels, Show more.
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 25%
  
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, and Vegan & Alternative Foods. Themes include Organic & Natural Products, Functional Foods & Beverages, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 17%, Dividend Yield is 7.6%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 13%, FCF Yield is 13%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%
2 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -30%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 25%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, and Vegan & Alternative Foods. Themes include Organic & Natural Products, Functional Foods & Beverages, Show more.
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -77%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -114%
6 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 86%
7 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.1%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.9%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -5.8%
8 Key risks
CAG key risks include [1] relatively high debt levels, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

CAG Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are key points explaining the approximate -4.4% stock movement for Conagra Brands (CAG) from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025:

1. Lower-than-expected Fiscal Q4 2025 Earnings and Revenue. Conagra Brands reported adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.56 for its Fiscal Q4 2025, which fell short of Wall Street's estimates of $0.58 per share. Additionally, the company's revenue for the quarter was $2.78 billion, missing analysts' consensus estimate of $2.83 billion.

2. Weak Fiscal 2026 Guidance. The company's guidance for Fiscal 2026 projected adjusted EPS to range from $1.70 to $1.85, notably below Wall Street's estimate of $2.45. This cautious outlook underscored expectations of persistent elevated inflation and ongoing macroeconomic uncertainty, contributing to investor concerns.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
CAG Return9%-3%18%-23%1%-32%-33%
Peers Return
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
CAG Win Rate58%33%67%33%58%25% 
Peers Win Rate 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
CAG Max Drawdown-29%-13%-11%-31%-6%-36% 
Peers Max Drawdown 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: K, GIS, FLO, WEST, BRBF. See CAG Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventCAGS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-36.5%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven57.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-29.5%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven41.8%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven41 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-49.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven99.0%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-49.7%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven98.8%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1387 days1480 days

Compare to K, GIS, FLO, WEST, BRBF


In The Past

Conagra Brands's stock fell -36.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/6/2023. A -36.5% loss requires a 57.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Conagra Brands (CAG)

Better Bets than Conagra Brands (CAG)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to CAG. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BF-B_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025BF-BBrown-FormanDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.8%5.8%0.0%
CPB_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025CPBCampbell'sDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-5.9%-5.9%-7.5%
ENR_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025ENREnergizerDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
15.4%15.4%-5.3%
FLO_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FLOFlowers FoodsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.7%6.7%-1.6%
CLX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CLXCloroxDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-3.7%-3.7%-5.1%
CAG_9302023_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09302023CAGConagra BrandsDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
10.8%24.2%-5.2%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BF-B_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025BF-BBrown-FormanDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.8%5.8%0.0%
CPB_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025CPBCampbell'sDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-5.9%-5.9%-7.5%
ENR_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025ENREnergizerDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
15.4%15.4%-5.3%
FLO_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FLOFlowers FoodsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.7%6.7%-1.6%
CLX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CLXCloroxDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-3.7%-3.7%-5.1%
CAG_9302023_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09302023CAGConagra BrandsDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
10.8%24.2%-5.2%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Conagra Brands

Peers to compare with:

Financials

CAGKGISFLOWESTBRBFMedian
NameConagra .KellanovaGeneral .Flowers .Westrock.BRB Foods 
Mkt Price17.92-48.6111.104.20-14.51
Mkt Cap8.629.026.12.30.4-8.6
Rev LTM11,45012,64318,7775,1351,07808,293
Op Inc LTM1,3481,8552,912320-34-1834
FCF LTM1,1416501,783325-151-0488
FCF 3Y Avg1,1338952,300257-192-1576
CFO LTM1,5441,3052,360451-53-0878
CFO 3Y Avg1,5201,5123,005384-430948

Growth & Margins

CAGKGISFLOWESTBRBFMedian
NameConagra .KellanovaGeneral .Flowers .Westrock.BRB Foods 
Rev Chg LTM-4.1%-1.4%-5.7%0.3%28.9%-100.0%-2.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-0.9%1.5%-0.9%3.0%10.0%-1.5%
Rev Chg Q-5.8%0.3%-7.2%3.0%60.7%-0.3%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-1.4%0.1%-2.0%0.7%14.2%-0.1%
Op Mgn LTM11.8%14.7%15.5%6.2%-3.2%-11.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg15.1%12.1%17.1%5.7%-2.1%-12.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.7%-0.4%-0.9%-0.5%0.8%--0.5%
CFO/Rev LTM13.5%10.3%12.6%8.8%-4.9%-10.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg12.8%12.2%15.3%7.5%-4.6%-12.2%
FCF/Rev LTM10.0%5.1%9.5%6.3%-14.0%-6.3%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg9.6%7.2%11.7%5.0%-21.1%-7.2%

Valuation

CAGKGISFLOWESTBRBFMedian
NameConagra .KellanovaGeneral .Flowers .Westrock.BRB Foods 
Mkt Cap8.629.026.12.30.4-8.6
P/S0.82.31.40.50.4-0.8
P/EBIT5.715.19.08.5-11.2-8.5
P/E10.321.310.314.2-5.0-10.3
P/CFO5.721.811.06.1-8.8-6.1
Total Yield17.3%7.5%14.8%14.6%-19.9%-14.6%
Dividend Yield7.6%2.8%5.1%7.5%0.0%-5.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg9.5%3.6%6.5%7.0%-32.4%-6.5%
D/E0.90.20.50.81.3-0.8
Net D/E0.90.20.50.81.2-0.8

Returns

CAGKGISFLOWESTBRBFMedian
NameConagra .KellanovaGeneral .Flowers .Westrock.BRB Foods 
1M Rtn4.7%-3.5%2.6%1.0%-3.1%
3M Rtn-3.2%-0.1%-15.0%-21.3%--9.1%
6M Rtn-13.4%--5.9%-27.3%-33.4%--20.3%
12M Rtn-31.3%--22.9%-43.2%-40.0%--35.6%
3Y Rtn-45.0%--37.6%-55.2%-69.5%--50.1%
1M Excs Rtn3.9%-2.8%1.9%0.2%-2.3%
3M Excs Rtn-3.8%--2.6%-15.9%-18.3%--9.9%
6M Excs Rtn-25.8%--18.3%-39.7%-45.8%--32.7%
12M Excs Rtn-43.2%--34.9%-55.1%-50.8%--47.0%
3Y Excs Rtn-114.1%--105.9%-124.2%-137.9%--119.1%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Grocery & Snacks4,9594,9824,6974,6254,617
Refrigerated & Frozen4,8665,1564,8594,7754,560
Foodservice1,1481,1361,008847952
International1,0781,002971939925
Total12,05112,27711,53611,18511,054


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Grocery & Snacks1,1001,0038601,093915
Refrigerated & Frozen816255561836702
International155121107132101
Foodservice15185608098
Loss on divestitures-36    
Other charges, net-54    
General corporate expenses-322-389-242-365-368
Other intangible asset impairment charges-430    
Goodwill impairment charges-526    
Pension and postretirement non-service expense (income) 24675410
Total8531,1001,4131,8311,457


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity29,278,763
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520250.8%
Average Daily Volume9,636,646
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.04
Basic Shares Quantity478,700,000
Short % of Basic Shares6.1%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/1/20255.4%3.3%-5.1%
7/10/2025-4.4%-6.6%-3.8%
4/3/20251.5%-2.6%-8.2%
12/19/2024-2.0%0.7%-7.5%
10/2/2024-8.1%-10.8%-10.1%
7/11/2024-1.5%4.5%6.4%
4/4/20245.4%5.3%7.4%
1/4/2024-1.9%-0.2%1.8%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive111212
# Negative121111
Median Positive3.4%4.2%6.0%
Median Negative-2.9%-2.6%-4.8%
Max Positive15.9%16.0%21.9%
Max Negative-8.1%-10.8%-10.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
83120251001202510-Q 8/24/2025
5312025710202510-K 5/25/2025
2282025403202510-Q 2/23/2025
113020241219202410-Q 11/24/2024
83120241002202410-Q 8/25/2024
5312024711202410-K 5/26/2024
2292024404202410-Q 2/25/2024
11302023104202410-Q 11/26/2023
83120231005202310-Q 8/27/2023
5312023713202310-K 5/28/2023
2282023405202310-Q 2/26/2023
11302022105202310-Q 11/27/2022
83120221006202210-Q 8/28/2022
5312022721202210-K 5/29/2022
2282022407202210-Q 2/27/2022
11302021106202210-Q 11/28/2021

Industry Resources

Packaged Foods & Meats Resources
USDA Data