BRC (BRCC)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $1.215 | Market Cap: $131.2 MilSector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Packaged Foods & Meats
BRC (BRCC)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $1.215Market Cap: $131.2 MilSector: Consumer StaplesIndustry: Packaged Foods & Meats
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Social Media & Creator Economy. Themes include Direct-to-Consumer Brands, Show more. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -114%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -149% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -20 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -5.0% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 11.78 | Expensive valuation multiplesP/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 158x | |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.4% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -11% | ||
| Key risksBRCC key risks include [1] declining revenues in its Direct-to-Consumer and Outpost channels and [2] potential damage to its unique brand reputation, Show more. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Social Media & Creator Economy. Themes include Direct-to-Consumer Brands, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -114%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -149% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 11.78 |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -20 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -5.0% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 158x |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.4% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -11% |
| Key risksBRCC key risks include [1] declining revenues in its Direct-to-Consumer and Outpost channels and [2] potential damage to its unique brand reputation, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
BRCC Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
For BRC Inc. (BRCC), the approximate stock movement from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025, saw a significant decline. This period generally aligns with the company's financial performance and market sentiment following key announcements.
1. Missed Earnings Per Share (EPS) Forecasts in Q2 2025
BRC Inc. reported its second-quarter 2025 financial results on August 4, 2025. While net revenue of $94.8 million surpassed forecasts, the earnings per share (EPS) of -$0.07 fell short of the -$0.03 expectation. This mixed financial performance led to an initial stock drop of 10.91% on August 5, 2025.
2. Decline in Gross Margin
The company experienced a notable contraction in its gross margin during both the second and third quarters of 2025. Gross margin decreased by 790 basis points to 33.9% in Q2 2025 and further declined by 520 basis points to 36.9% in Q3 2025, indicating sustained pressure on profitability.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| BRCC Return | � | � | -40% | -41% | -13% | -62% | � |
| Peers Return | � | � | -6% | 1% | 9% | 9% | � |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| BRCC Win Rate | � | 71% | 33% | 42% | 58% | 25% | |
| Peers Win Rate | � | 50% | 50% | 48% | 50% | 53% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| BRCC Max Drawdown | � | � | -43% | -58% | -22% | -62% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | � | � | -26% | -17% | -18% | -13% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: SBUX, KDP, BROS, SJM, MNST.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | BRCC | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -92.2% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 1183.3% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
Compare to K, GIS, FLO, WEST, MEHA
In The Past
BRC's stock fell -92.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/11/2022. A -92.2% loss requires a 1183.3% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to BRCC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BF-B | Brown-Forman | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.8% | 5.8% | 0.0% |
| 11302025 | CPB | Campbell's | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -5.9% | -5.9% | -7.5% |
| 11212025 | ENR | Energizer | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 15.4% | 15.4% | -5.3% |
| 11212025 | FLO | Flowers Foods | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.7% | 6.7% | -1.6% |
| 11142025 | CLX | Clorox | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -3.7% | -3.7% | -5.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BF-B | Brown-Forman | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.8% | 5.8% | 0.0% |
| 11302025 | CPB | Campbell's | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -5.9% | -5.9% | -7.5% |
| 11212025 | ENR | Energizer | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 15.4% | 15.4% | -5.3% |
| 11212025 | FLO | Flowers Foods | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.7% | 6.7% | -1.6% |
| 11142025 | CLX | Clorox | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -3.7% | -3.7% | -5.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for BRC
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 68.67 |
| Mkt Cap | 24.8 |
| Rev LTM | 8,374 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1,795 |
| FCF LTM | 1,117 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 1,066 |
| CFO LTM | 1,549 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,562 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 4.8% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 7.2% |
| Rev Chg Q | 8.1% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.0% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 12.4% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 14.8% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 13.0% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 15.1% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 6.9% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 8.7% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 24.8 |
| P/S | 2.4 |
| P/EBIT | 20.6 |
| P/E | 30.0 |
| P/CFO | 22.1 |
| Total Yield | 1.8% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.9% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 0.2% |
| D/E | 0.3 |
| Net D/E | 0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 2.6% |
| 3M Rtn | 3.5% |
| 6M Rtn | -8.1% |
| 12M Rtn | -6.9% |
| 3Y Rtn | -11.5% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 1.9% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 2.1% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -20.5% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -20.2% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -83.9% |
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/3/2025 | -7.0% | -11.3% | -11.3% |
| 8/4/2025 | -15.8% | -13.3% | -6.7% |
| 5/5/2025 | -25.7% | -25.3% | -26.6% |
| 1/14/2025 | -3.3% | -4.6% | -17.0% |
| 11/4/2024 | 4.1% | -5.7% | -2.2% |
| 8/7/2024 | -37.8% | -29.9% | -28.0% |
| 3/6/2024 | 20.5% | 24.5% | 26.3% |
| 11/9/2023 | 7.6% | 24.2% | 34.4% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 6 | 5 | 5 |
| # Negative | 7 | 8 | 8 |
| Median Positive | 10.1% | 15.0% | 26.3% |
| Median Negative | -10.7% | -13.0% | -14.6% |
| Max Positive | 20.5% | 24.5% | 61.6% |
| Max Negative | -37.8% | -29.9% | -28.0% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11032025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8042025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5052025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3032025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11042024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8072024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5082024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3062024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11092023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8102023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5112023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3152023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11102022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8112022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5122022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3162022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |