Tearsheet

Cracker Barrel Old Country Store (CBRL)


Market Price (12/17/2025): $26.01 | Market Cap: $579.7 Mil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Restaurants

Cracker Barrel Old Country Store (CBRL)


Market Price (12/17/2025): $26.01
Market Cap: $579.7 Mil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Restaurants

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Dividend Yield is 2.4%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -109%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -143%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.6%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -5.7%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Experiential Retail.
  Significant short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 23%
2   Key risks
CBRL key risks include [1] a significant decline in customer traffic as its traditional brand misaligns with evolving consumer preferences and [2] a substantial debt load that limits financial flexibility and poses refinancing risks.
0 Attractive yield
Dividend Yield is 2.4%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Experiential Retail.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -109%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -143%
3 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.6%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -5.7%
4 Significant short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 23%
5 Key risks
CBRL key risks include [1] a significant decline in customer traffic as its traditional brand misaligns with evolving consumer preferences and [2] a substantial debt load that limits financial flexibility and poses refinancing risks.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

CBRL Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points for why Cracker Barrel Old Country Store (CBRL) stock moved by -56.3% during the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 17, 2025:

1. Poor First Quarter Fiscal 2026 Financial Results: Cracker Barrel reported total revenue of $797.19 million for the first quarter of fiscal 2026, missing analyst estimates of $802.22 million. The company also posted an adjusted loss of $0.74 per share, which was worse than the analyst consensus for a loss of $0.68 per share. Overall, total revenue decreased by 5.7% year-over-year.

2. Significant Downward Revision of Fiscal 2026 Guidance: Following the disappointing quarterly results, Cracker Barrel dramatically lowered its fiscal 2026 revenue guidance from an initial range of $3.35 billion to $3.45 billion to an updated range of $3.2 billion to $3.3 billion. Furthermore, the adjusted EBITDA guidance was severely cut from $150 million-$190 million to $70 million-$110 million.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
CBRL Return-11%-1%-23%-14%-28%-49%-78%
Peers Return-10%32%61%1%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%110%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
CBRL Win Rate50%42%42%50%50%42% 
Peers Win Rate42%38%62%65%48% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
CBRL Max Drawdown-63%-8%-34%-31%-51%-50% 
Peers Max Drawdown-29%-4%-14%-14% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: DRI, TXRH, EAT, CAKE, FWRG. See CBRL Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/16/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventCBRLS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-64.5%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven181.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-66.4%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven197.6%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven357 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-17.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven20.7%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-76.9%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven332.7%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven507 days1480 days

Compare to TGT, DRI, BLMN, DIN, DENN


In The Past

Cracker Barrel Old Country Store's stock fell -64.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/12/2021. A -64.5% loss requires a 181.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

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About Cracker Barrel Old Country Store (CBRL)

Better Bets than Cracker Barrel Old Country Store (CBRL)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to CBRL. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
13.3%13.3%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.4%5.4%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.2%0.2%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.4%15.4%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.7%16.7%-1.6%
CBRL_9302023_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG09302023CBRLCracker Barrel Old Country StoreDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
12.2%-26.5%-42.9%
CBRL_3312020_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG03312020CBRLCracker Barrel Old Country StoreDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
40.4%113.2%-16.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
13.3%13.3%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.4%5.4%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.2%0.2%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.4%15.4%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.7%16.7%-1.6%
CBRL_9302023_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG09302023CBRLCracker Barrel Old Country StoreDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
12.2%-26.5%-42.9%
CBRL_3312020_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG03312020CBRLCracker Barrel Old Country StoreDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
40.4%113.2%-16.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Cracker Barrel Old Country Store

Peers to compare with:

Financials

CBRLDRITXRHEATCAKEFWRGMedian
NameCracker .Darden R.Texas Ro.Brinker .Cheeseca.First Wa. 
Mkt Price25.98185.53165.79145.8149.1516.3797.48
Mkt Cap1.021.711.06.52.31.04.4
Rev LTM3,43612,3645,8345,5943,7111,1694,653
Op Inc LTM381,46951760725026383
FCF LTM141,068341470158-31249
FCF 3Y Avg52942291264102-6183
CFO LTM1701,768747737320130529
CFO 3Y Avg1951,590648484259112372

Growth & Margins

CBRLDRITXRHEATCAKEFWRGMedian
NameCracker .Darden R.Texas Ro.Brinker .Cheeseca.First Wa. 
Rev Chg LTM-1.6%8.3%14.4%23.2%4.9%17.3%11.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg1.1%8.2%14.4%13.2%5.2%18.3%10.7%
Rev Chg Q-5.7%10.4%12.8%18.5%4.8%25.6%11.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-1.4%2.4%2.9%3.9%1.1%5.8%2.6%
Op Mgn LTM1.1%11.9%8.9%10.9%6.7%2.2%7.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg2.2%11.8%8.6%7.6%5.7%3.9%6.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-1.0%-0.0%-0.4%0.6%0.1%0.2%0.0%
CFO/Rev LTM4.9%14.3%12.8%13.2%8.6%11.1%12.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg5.7%13.8%12.6%9.8%7.2%11.1%10.5%
FCF/Rev LTM0.4%8.6%5.8%8.4%4.3%-2.7%5.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg1.5%8.1%5.6%5.2%2.8%-0.3%4.0%

Valuation

CBRLDRITXRHEATCAKEFWRGMedian
NameCracker .Darden R.Texas Ro.Brinker .Cheeseca.First Wa. 
Mkt Cap1.021.711.06.52.31.04.4
P/S0.32.11.91.00.70.80.9
P/EBIT-18.221.39.913.640.518.2
P/E58.123.125.212.815.8192.224.2
P/CFO5.814.414.87.77.97.37.8
Total Yield4.1%6.9%4.8%7.8%8.4%0.5%5.9%
Dividend Yield2.4%2.6%0.8%0.0%2.1%0.0%1.4%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-4.5%3.0%7.4%5.0%-0.6%4.5%
D/E-0.20.10.30.81.00.3
Net D/E-0.20.10.30.81.00.3

Returns

CBRLDRITXRHEATCAKEFWRGMedian
NameCracker .Darden R.Texas Ro.Brinker .Cheeseca.First Wa. 
1M Rtn-10.1%6.7%-0.5%28.8%9.4%-3.5%3.1%
3M Rtn-49.0%-11.0%0.5%1.1%-9.6%-1.7%-5.6%
6M Rtn-56.5%-16.2%-14.1%-18.5%-15.8%8.0%-16.0%
12M Rtn-50.1%14.1%-10.2%10.2%-2.3%-17.4%-6.3%
3Y Rtn-69.7%46.4%80.3%311.5%64.2%14.4%55.3%
1M Excs Rtn-11.1%5.7%-1.5%27.8%8.4%-4.5%2.1%
3M Excs Rtn-50.3%-13.4%-1.7%-2.0%-12.2%-4.0%-8.1%
6M Excs Rtn-70.2%-29.9%-27.8%-32.1%-29.5%-5.7%-29.7%
12M Excs Rtn-60.6%3.5%-23.6%2.0%-12.0%-28.2%-17.8%
3Y Excs Rtn-143.4%-29.2%5.1%240.8%-11.6%-62.3%-20.4%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Single Segment3,471    
Restaurant 2,7412,5662,2272,032
Retail 702702594491
Total3,4713,4433,2682,8212,523


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Single Segment41    
Total41    


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity5,100,588
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520259.0%
Average Daily Volume1,975,089
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.58
Basic Shares Quantity22,288,991
Short % of Basic Shares22.9%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
12/9/20253.5%  
9/17/2025-7.6%-11.7%-18.8%
6/5/2025-7.2%-3.7%14.9%
3/6/20257.6%8.7%-10.4%
12/4/2024-1.8%-6.6%0.4%
9/19/2024-1.1%4.9%19.9%
5/16/2024-14.5%-20.3%-21.5%
2/27/2024-3.1%-6.6%-4.7%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive478
# Negative181514
Median Positive2.8%4.9%3.8%
Median Negative-3.4%-6.6%-10.4%
Max Positive7.6%23.4%19.9%
Max Negative-14.5%-20.3%-42.8%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
103120251209202510-Q 10/31/2025
7312025926202510-K 8/1/2025
4302025605202510-Q 5/2/2025
1312025306202510-Q 1/31/2025
103120241204202410-Q 11/1/2024
7312024927202410-K 8/2/2024
4302024530202410-Q 4/26/2024
1312024227202410-Q 1/26/2024
103120231130202310-Q 10/27/2023
7312023926202310-K 7/28/2023
4302023606202310-Q 4/28/2023
1312023228202310-Q 1/27/2023
103120221202202210-Q 10/28/2022
7312022927202210-K 7/29/2022
4302022607202210-Q 4/29/2022
1312022224202210-Q 1/28/2022