Tearsheet

Biglari (BH)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $307.99 | Market Cap: $399.8 Mil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Restaurants

Biglari (BH)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $307.99
Market Cap: $399.8 Mil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Restaurants

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 28%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 21%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 61x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 201x
1 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 19%
Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.7%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 40%
 
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 28%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 21%
1 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 19%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 40%
3 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 61x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 201x
4 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -3.7%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

BH Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The requested time period for the stock movement (August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025) is in the future. As such, I cannot provide an explanation for a stock movement that has not yet occurred. However, I can provide recent key points from Biglari Holdings Inc.'s (BH) financial reports and news up to the most recent available information, which includes their Q3 2025 results released in November 2025. Here are some recent key points related to Biglari Holdings (BH) that could generally influence stock performance: 1. Net Loss in Q3 2025: Biglari Holdings reported a net loss of $5.3 million in the third quarter of 2025, a significant decline compared to a net profit of $32.1 million in Q3 2024. This represents a 117.8% negative change in EPS to -$20.38 per share. This substantial swing to a net loss could be a negative factor for investor sentiment.

2. Investment Losses: A key driver of the net loss in Q3 2025 was investment losses of $14.4 million. This contrasts with investment gains of $40.05 million in Q3 2024. Management emphasizes that quarterly fluctuations in investments are not considered meaningful for analyzing their operating businesses, but these losses still impact reported net earnings.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
BH Return-3%28%-3%19%54%20%166%
Peers Return21%26%3%-5%-2%-9%33%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
BH Win Rate33%67%42%50%58%80% 
Peers Win Rate27%23%18%15%18%34% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
BH Max Drawdown-63%-4%-21%-0%-11%-21% 
Peers Max Drawdown-22%-3%-12%-11%-9%-14% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: GST, YUM, RICK, BRCB, CADV.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventBHS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-39.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven65.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven436 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-64.9%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven185.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven258 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-83.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven490.3%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-83.8%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven517.1%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven475 days1480 days

Compare to GST, YUM, RICK, BRCB, CADV


In The Past

Biglari's stock fell -39.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/14/2021. A -39.6% loss requires a 65.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Biglari (BH)

Better Bets than Biglari (BH)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to BH. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
6.8%6.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.5%0.5%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.6%-2.6%-2.6%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.3%1.3%-1.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
6.8%6.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.5%0.5%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.6%-2.6%-2.6%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.3%1.3%-1.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Biglari

Peers to compare with:

Financials

BHGSTYUMRICKBRCBCADVMedian
NameBiglari Ga Sai T.Yum Bran.RCI Hosp.Black Ro.Club Ver. 
Mkt Price308.60-148.5225.1824.68-86.85
Mkt Cap0.4-41.30.2--0.4
Rev LTM387-8,061282--387
Op Inc LTM24-2,48547--47
FCF LTM81-1,56434--81
FCF 3Y Avg54-1,41328--54
CFO LTM107-1,90651--107
CFO 3Y Avg80-1,71256--80

Growth & Margins

BHGSTYUMRICKBRCBCADVMedian
NameBiglari Ga Sai T.Yum Bran.RCI Hosp.Black Ro.Club Ver. 
Rev Chg LTM6.9%-11.6%-5.3%--6.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg1.7%-6.4%4.2%--4.2%
Rev Chg Q10.3%-8.4%-6.6%--8.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.5%-1.9%-1.8%--1.9%
Op Mgn LTM6.2%-30.8%16.6%--16.6%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg8.1%-31.7%19.8%--19.8%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM1.0%--0.0%-1.3%---0.0%
CFO/Rev LTM27.7%-23.6%18.2%--23.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg21.3%-23.0%19.4%--21.3%
FCF/Rev LTM21.0%-19.4%11.9%--19.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg14.2%-18.9%9.7%--14.2%

Valuation

BHGSTYUMRICKBRCBCADVMedian
NameBiglari Ga Sai T.Yum Bran.RCI Hosp.Black Ro.Club Ver. 
Mkt Cap0.4-41.30.2--0.4
P/S1.1-5.21.2--1.2
P/EBIT61.2-16.99.3--16.9
P/E200.8-29.220.2--29.2
P/CFO3.9-22.26.5--6.5
Total Yield0.5%-5.3%5.7%--5.3%
Dividend Yield0.0%-1.8%0.7%--0.7%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg17.5%-3.6%6.6%--6.6%
D/E0.8-0.30.8--0.8
Net D/E-0.1-0.20.7--0.2

Returns

BHGSTYUMRICKBRCBCADVMedian
NameBiglari Ga Sai T.Yum Bran.RCI Hosp.Black Ro.Club Ver. 
1M Rtn-13.3%-7.1%4.9%1.7%-3.3%
3M Rtn-0.4%-3.2%-29.4%---0.4%
6M Rtn18.5%-4.1%-37.8%--4.1%
12M Rtn37.8%-9.9%-50.0%--9.9%
3Y Rtn112.9%-21.3%-71.6%--21.3%
1M Excs Rtn-13.2%-7.1%4.9%1.7%-3.3%
3M Excs Rtn-6.1%--1.5%-35.6%---6.1%
6M Excs Rtn3.8%--10.6%-52.5%---10.6%
12M Excs Rtn33.1%--4.1%-65.2%---4.1%
3Y Excs Rtn47.2%--48.4%-143.8%---48.4%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Steak n Shake240232263344595
First Guard3736343030
Abraxas Petroleum2811   
Southern Pioneer24242219 
Southern Oil1746332624
Western Sizzlin11108615
Investment income3533 
Other3    
Maxim25344
Total365368366434669


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Steak n Shake325341378341385
Investment partnerships199156250420506
Southern Pioneer76757274 
First Guard6759756559
Abraxas Petroleum6681   
Southern Oil4449536182
Corporate3531332473
Western Sizzlin2019171718
Maxim1616171617
Biglari Reinsurance0    
Total8498288951,0181,139


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity65,611
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120256.4%
Average Daily Volume62,993
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.04
Basic Shares Quantity1,298,220
Short % of Basic Shares5.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251107202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025808202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025509202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024303202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241108202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024809202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024510202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023226202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231103202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023804202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023505202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022227202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221104202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022805202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022506202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021228202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0BIGLARI, SARDARChairman and CEO11242025Buy1406.27213299,536180,322,768Form