Tearsheet

Dine Brands Global (DIN)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $31.635 | Market Cap: $455.9 Mil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Restaurants

Dine Brands Global (DIN)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $31.635
Market Cap: $455.9 Mil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Restaurants

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 19%, Dividend Yield is 8.8%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 14%, FCF Yield is 25%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -3.4%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 410%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -68%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -122%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -2.1%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 49%
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 15%
 
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Online Marketplaces, Direct-to-Consumer Brands, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 19%, Dividend Yield is 8.8%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 14%, FCF Yield is 25%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 49%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Online Marketplaces, Direct-to-Consumer Brands, Show more.
4 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -3.4%
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -68%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -122%
6 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 15%
7 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 410%
8 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -2.1%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

DIN Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points explaining the stock movement for Dine Brands Global (DIN) between August 31, 2025, and December 4, 2025:

1. Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Performance: The company reported its second-quarter 2025 earnings on August 6, 2025, just prior to the start of the specified period, revealing earnings per share (EPS) of $1.17, which fell short of the expected $1.45. Despite exceeding revenue forecasts with $230.8 million, the stock experienced a decline of 6.97% following the announcement, setting a potentially negative tone. Applebee's comparable sales increased by 4.9%, while IHOP's declined by 2.3%.

2. Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results and Missed Expectations: On November 5, 2025, Dine Brands Global reported its third-quarter 2025 results, showing a decrease in GAAP net income available to common stockholders to $7.0 million (diluted EPS of $0.48) from $18.5 million (diluted EPS of $1.24) in the prior year's quarter. Consolidated adjusted EBITDA also decreased to $49.0 million from $61.9 million. Although total revenues increased to $216.2 million from $195.0 million, primarily driven by company-owned restaurant acquisitions, the adjusted EPS of $0.73 was significantly below the analyst consensus of $1.10. This miss likely exerted downward pressure on the stock.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
DIN Return-27%31%-12%-20%-36%10%-53%
Peers Return4%6%-18%13%31%-4%29%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
DIN Win Rate50%58%42%25%25%50% 
Peers Win Rate58%53%38%55%52%50% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
DIN Max Drawdown-80%-1%-17%-32%-40%-36% 
Peers Max Drawdown-66%-14%-34%-12%-26%-28% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: YUM, DRI, EAT, CBRL, DENN. See DIN Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventDINS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-57.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven132.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-82.6%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven475.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven414 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-51.6%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven106.5%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven205 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-92.0%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1157.4%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1386 days1480 days

Compare to YUM, DRI, EAT, CBRL, DENN


In The Past

Dine Brands Global's stock fell -57.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 5/17/2021. A -57.1% loss requires a 132.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Dine Brands Global (DIN)

Better Bets than Dine Brands Global (DIN)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to DIN. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
6.8%6.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.5%0.5%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.6%-2.6%-2.6%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.3%1.3%-1.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
6.8%6.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.5%0.5%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.6%-2.6%-2.6%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.3%1.3%-1.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Dine Brands Global

Peers to compare with:

Financials

DINYUMDRIEATCBRLDENNMedian
NameDine Bra.Yum Bran.Darden R.Brinker .Cracker .Denny's  
Mkt Price31.65148.52177.32142.0728.866.1986.86
Mkt Cap0.541.320.76.40.60.33.5
Rev LTM8668,06112,3645,5943,4844574,539
Op Inc LTM1372,4851,4696077544372
FCF LTM881,5641,068470602279
FCF 3Y Avg861,4139422647527175
CFO LTM1141,9061,76873721939478
CFO 3Y Avg1161,7121,59048421349349

Growth & Margins

DINYUMDRIEATCBRLDENNMedian
NameDine Bra.Yum Bran.Darden R.Brinker .Cracker .Denny's  
Rev Chg LTM6.5%11.6%8.3%23.2%0.4%0.9%7.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-2.1%6.4%8.2%13.2%2.2%1.1%4.3%
Rev Chg Q10.8%8.4%10.4%18.5%-2.9%1.3%9.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.5%1.9%2.4%3.9%-0.8%0.3%2.2%
Op Mgn LTM15.8%30.8%11.9%10.9%2.2%9.7%11.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg19.8%31.7%11.8%7.6%2.7%11.3%11.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-2.0%-0.0%-0.0%0.6%-0.0%-0.5%-0.0%
CFO/Rev LTM13.1%23.6%14.3%13.2%6.3%8.5%13.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg13.9%23.0%13.8%9.8%6.1%10.6%12.2%
FCF/Rev LTM10.1%19.4%8.6%8.4%1.7%0.5%8.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg10.3%18.9%8.1%5.2%2.2%5.8%7.0%

Valuation

DINYUMDRIEATCBRLDENNMedian
NameDine Bra.Yum Bran.Darden R.Brinker .Cracker .Denny's  
Mkt Cap0.541.320.76.40.60.33.5
P/S0.45.22.11.00.40.60.8
P/EBIT2.916.918.29.923.47.413.4
P/E10.329.223.112.829.326.624.9
P/CFO3.122.214.47.76.27.07.3
Total Yield18.5%5.3%6.9%7.8%5.1%3.8%6.1%
Dividend Yield8.8%1.8%2.6%0.0%1.7%0.0%1.8%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg18.9%3.6%4.5%7.4%4.9%6.4%5.6%
D/E4.60.30.20.30.91.50.6
Net D/E4.10.20.20.30.81.50.6

Returns

DINYUMDRIEATCBRLDENNMedian
NameDine Bra.Yum Bran.Darden R.Brinker .Cracker .Denny's  
1M Rtn30.9%7.1%-0.1%35.2%-10.5%50.6%19.0%
3M Rtn41.0%3.2%-14.2%-10.7%-46.3%38.8%-3.7%
6M Rtn33.6%4.1%-16.8%-18.1%-49.5%54.4%-6.3%
12M Rtn-1.0%9.9%7.0%10.1%-47.1%-2.2%3.0%
3Y Rtn-48.9%21.3%34.5%342.0%-66.9%-46.5%-12.6%
1M Excs Rtn31.0%7.1%-0.1%35.3%-10.5%50.6%19.0%
3M Excs Rtn33.4%-1.5%-20.3%-16.5%-49.7%23.3%-9.0%
6M Excs Rtn18.9%-10.6%-31.5%-32.8%-64.3%39.6%-21.0%
12M Excs Rtn-18.3%-4.1%-9.9%-6.1%-60.5%-19.2%-14.1%
3Y Excs Rtn-122.2%-48.4%-39.5%238.3%-144.1%-123.4%-85.3%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Franchise706662632469651
Rental120116114106121
Financing34467
Company Restaurants2127146108131
Total831909896689910


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Franchise232    
Rental32    
Financing2    
Loss on disposition of assets1    
Company Restaurants-0    
Stock based compensation (unallocated)-10    
Amortization of intangible assets-11    
Depreciation and amortization (unallocated)-13    
Other General & Administrative (G&A) expenses (unallocated)-46    
Total188    


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2,127,872
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120254.5%
Average Daily Volume563,216
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.78
Basic Shares Quantity14,410,000
Short % of Basic Shares14.8%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251105202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025806202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025507202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024305202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241106202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024807202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024508202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023228202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231101202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023503202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022301202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221102202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022809202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022504202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021302202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0DAHL RICHARD J 11242025Buy27.473,60098,88798,887Form