Biodesix (BDSX)
Market Price (7/5/2026): $22.2 | Market Cap: $214.4 MilSector: Health Care | Industry: Life Sciences Tools & Services
Biodesix (BDSX)
Market Price (7/5/2026): $22.2Market Cap: $214.4 MilSector: Health CareIndustry: Life Sciences Tools & Services
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, Precision Medicine, and Digital Health & Telemedicine. Themes include Advanced Diagnostics, Show more. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -63%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -74% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -25 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -26% Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 240%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 305% Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -26%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -26% Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 256% Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -19% High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 1932% Key risksBDSX key risks include [1] a significant cash burn rate against limited cash reserves, Show more. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, Precision Medicine, and Digital Health & Telemedicine. Themes include Advanced Diagnostics, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -63%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -74% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -25 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -26% |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 240%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 305% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -26%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -26% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 256% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -19% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 1932% |
| Key risksBDSX key risks include [1] a significant cash burn rate against limited cash reserves, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
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Biodesix (BDSX) stock has gained about 50% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Exceptional Fiscal Q1 2026 Financial Performance and Raised Full-Year Guidance.
Biodesix reported strong results for fiscal Q1 2026 (ended March 31, 2026) on May 4, 2026. The company posted an actual Earnings Per Share (EPS) of -$0.81, significantly beating analysts' consensus estimates of -$1.13 by $0.32. Total revenue reached $25.56 million, surpassing analyst expectations of $23.12 million. This performance represented a 42% year-over-year growth in total revenue, driven by a 37% increase in diagnostic testing revenue to $22.3 million and a 99% surge in development services revenue to $3.3 million. Following these results, Biodesix raised its full-year 2026 revenue guidance to a range of $108 million to $114 million, with the midpoint indicating approximately 25% growth over 2025. This positive earnings report and outlook led to a substantial 32.6% increase in BDSX shares the day after the announcement.
2. Positive Analyst Sentiment and Upgraded Price Targets.
Following Biodesix's robust fiscal Q1 2026 results and increased financial guidance, several Wall Street analysts reiterated or initiated favorable ratings and raised their price targets for BDSX. On May 5, 2026, Canaccord Genuity maintained a "Buy" rating. In June 2026, additional positive analyst actions included Roth Capital initiating a "Buy" rating with a $32.00 price target (June 25, 2026), Canaccord Genuity maintaining a "Buy" with a $27.00 price target (June 18, 2026), and H.C. Wainwright initiating a "Buy" with a $26.00 price target (June 15, 2026). As of June 29, 2026, the consensus rating from 3 analysts was a "Strong Buy," with a median price target of $30.00, implying a potential 28.5% upside from the stock's price of $23.34 at that time.
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Biodesix (BDSX) stock has gained about 50% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Exceptional Fiscal Q1 2026 Financial Performance and Raised Full-Year Guidance.
Biodesix reported strong results for fiscal Q1 2026 (ended March 31, 2026) on May 4, 2026. The company posted an actual Earnings Per Share (EPS) of -$0.81, significantly beating analysts' consensus estimates of -$1.13 by $0.32. Total revenue reached $25.56 million, surpassing analyst expectations of $23.12 million. This performance represented a 42% year-over-year growth in total revenue, driven by a 37% increase in diagnostic testing revenue to $22.3 million and a 99% surge in development services revenue to $3.3 million. Following these results, Biodesix raised its full-year 2026 revenue guidance to a range of $108 million to $114 million, with the midpoint indicating approximately 25% growth over 2025. This positive earnings report and outlook led to a substantial 32.6% increase in BDSX shares the day after the announcement.
2. Positive Analyst Sentiment and Upgraded Price Targets.
Following Biodesix's robust fiscal Q1 2026 results and increased financial guidance, several Wall Street analysts reiterated or initiated favorable ratings and raised their price targets for BDSX. On May 5, 2026, Canaccord Genuity maintained a "Buy" rating. In June 2026, additional positive analyst actions included Roth Capital initiating a "Buy" rating with a $32.00 price target (June 25, 2026), Canaccord Genuity maintaining a "Buy" with a $27.00 price target (June 18, 2026), and H.C. Wainwright initiating a "Buy" with a $26.00 price target (June 15, 2026). As of June 29, 2026, the consensus rating from 3 analysts was a "Strong Buy," with a median price target of $30.00, implying a potential 28.5% upside from the stock's price of $23.34 at that time.
3. Presentation of Favorable Clinical and Economic Data.
Biodesix enhanced investor confidence by presenting new real-world clinical and economic data for its Nodify Lung blood-based testing strategy at the American Thoracic Society 2026 meeting, held from May 15–20, 2026. These presentations underscored the effectiveness of the Nodify Lung strategy in lung nodule risk stratification, diagnostic lead time, and stage shift within community hospitals. Furthermore, the company announced its participation in the AACR Annual Meeting from April 17–22, 2026, where it highlighted novel diagnostic test discovery and pipeline development, including advancements in blood- and tissue-based testing, and multi-omic MRD pipeline development. The company's fiscal Q1 2026 report also indicated broader market acceptance, with primary care now accounting for 15% of total diagnostic test volumes.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 51.7% change in BDSX stock from 3/31/2026 to 7/4/2026 was primarily driven by a 67.1% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 3312026 | 7042026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 14.50 | 21.99 | 51.7% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 88 | 96 | 8.6% |
| P/S Multiple | 1.3 | 2.2 | 67.1% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 8 | 10 | -16.4% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 51.7% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2026 to 7/4/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| BDSX | 51.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 14.5% | 7.7% |
| Sector (XLV) | 11.7% | 16.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 223.4% change in BDSX stock from 12/31/2025 to 7/4/2026 was primarily driven by a 247.4% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 12312025 | 7042026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 6.80 | 21.99 | 223.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 80 | 96 | 19.9% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.6 | 2.2 | 247.4% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 8 | 10 | -22.3% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 223.4% |
Market Drivers
12/31/2025 to 7/4/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| BDSX | 223.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 9.5% | 4.6% |
| Sector (XLV) | 6.2% | 9.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 289.6% change in BDSX stock from 6/30/2025 to 7/4/2026 was primarily driven by a 299.3% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 6302025 | 7042026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 5.64 | 21.99 | 289.6% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 74 | 96 | 29.1% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.6 | 2.2 | 299.3% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 7 | 10 | -24.4% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 289.6% |
Market Drivers
6/30/2025 to 7/4/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| BDSX | 289.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | 21.6% | 4.0% |
| Sector (XLV) | 23.1% | -5.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -10.6% change in BDSX stock from 6/30/2023 to 7/4/2026 was primarily driven by a -59.7% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 6302023 | 7042026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 24.60 | 21.99 | -10.6% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 41 | 96 | 136.0% |
| P/S Multiple | 2.3 | 2.2 | -5.9% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 4 | 10 | -59.7% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -10.6% |
Market Drivers
6/30/2023 to 7/4/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| BDSX | -10.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | 74.0% | 2.3% |
| Sector (XLV) | 29.1% | -2.6% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| BDSX Return | -74% | -57% | -20% | -17% | -78% | 260% | -94% |
| Peers Return | -16% | -58% | 23% | 42% | 51% | 39% | 29% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 9% | 99% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| BDSX Win Rate | 17% | 33% | 42% | 50% | 25% | 71% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 52% | 27% | 50% | 52% | 52% | 66% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 43% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| BDSX Max Drawdown | -87% | -83% | -58% | -44% | -99% | -49% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -45% | -70% | -44% | -30% | -46% | -33% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: GH, VCYT, NEO, NTRA, ILMN.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 7/2/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | BDSX | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -76.7% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 329.6% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 299 days | 79 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -39.5% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 65.2% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 135 days | 31 days |
In The Past
Biodesix's stock fell -76.7% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 329.6% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
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| Event | BDSX | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -76.7% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 329.6% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 299 days | 79 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -39.5% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 65.2% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 135 days | 31 days |
In The Past
Biodesix's stock fell -76.7% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 329.6% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Biodesix (BDSX)
Biodesix, Inc. (BDSX) is a data-driven diagnostic solutions company primarily focused on developing and commercializing blood-based diagnostic tests in the United States. The company's core mission is to empower physicians with advanced tools to assess disease risk, especially for lung conditions, guide appropriate treatment decisions, and ultimately improve patient outcomes through precision diagnostics.
The company offers a comprehensive portfolio of diagnostic tests, with a strong emphasis on lung cancer. Key products include the Nodify Lung Nodule Risk Assessment strategy, comprising Nodify XL2 and Nodify CDT tests, which help physicians reclassify the risk of malignancy in patients with suspicious lung nodules. For diagnosed lung cancer, Biodesix provides GeneStrat ddPCR and VeriStrat tests to identify tumor mutations, evaluate the patient's immune system state, inform prognosis, and guide treatment selection. It also offers the rapid GeneStrat NGS test for comprehensive genomic profiling.
In addition to its proprietary lung diagnostic tests, Biodesix has expanded its offerings to include COVID-19 testing services through partnerships, such as the Bio-Rad SARS-CoV-2 ddPCR and Platelia SARS-CoV-2 Total Ab tests. The company also serves biopharmaceutical clients by providing diagnostic and clinical research services, clinical trial testing, and actively discovers and develops companion diagnostics. Its primary customers include healthcare providers, particularly pulmonologists and oncologists, and pharmaceutical companies requiring specialized diagnostic support for drug development and clinical trials.
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- Biodesix is like Guardant Health for lung cancer diagnostics.
- Biodesix is like Foundation Medicine for lung cancer.
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- Nodify Lung Nodule Risk Assessment: Blood-based tests (Nodify XL2 and Nodify CDT) designed to assess the risk of lung cancer in patients with suspicious lung nodules.
- GeneStrat ddPCR & VeriStrat Tests: Diagnostic tests for lung cancer that measure tumor mutations and the patient's immune system state to inform treatment decisions.
- GeneStrat NGS Test: A rapid, 72-hour blood-based Next-Generation Sequencing test for comprehensive lung cancer diagnosis.
- COVID-19 Diagnostic Tests: Offers the Bio-Rad SARS-CoV-2 ddPCR test for active infection and the Platelia SARS-CoV-2 Total Ab test for antibody detection.
- Biopharmaceutical Services: Provides diagnostic and clinical research, as well as clinical trial testing services to biopharmaceutical companies.
- Companion Diagnostics: Focuses on the discovery, development, and commercialization of diagnostic tests that guide the safe and effective use of specific therapies.
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Biodesix (BDSX) serves a diverse customer base, primarily through healthcare providers for individual patients, but also directly to other companies and organizations. Its major customer categories include:
- Healthcare Providers: Physicians, hospitals, and clinics constitute a primary customer segment. These providers order Biodesix's blood-based diagnostic tests, such as Nodify Lung Nodule Risk Assessment (Nodify XL2 and Nodify CDT), GeneStrat ddPCR, VeriStrat, and GeneStrat NGS, to assess lung cancer risk, guide treatment decisions, and establish patient prognosis. They also utilize Biodesix's COVID-19 tests for patient care.
- Biopharmaceutical Companies: Biodesix offers diagnostic and clinical research services, as well as clinical trial testing services, to biopharmaceutical companies. These companies also partner with Biodesix for the discovery, development, and commercialization of companion diagnostics.
- Employers and Organizations: Through its Biodesix WorkSafe testing program, the company provides COVID-19 testing services (Bio-Rad SARS-CoV-2 ddPCR and Platelia SARS-CoV-2 Total Ab test) to employers and other organizations for their workforce testing needs.
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Scott Hutton, President, Chief Executive Officer, and Director
Scott Hutton joined Biodesix as Chief Operating Officer in 2018 and assumed the role of President and Chief Executive Officer in January 2020. He led the company through its Initial Public Offering (IPO) on the Nasdaq exchange in October 2020. With over 25 years of experience in the biotech, diagnostics, and medical device industries, Hutton has a proven track record of developing and leading high-performance teams, having contributed to over 50 product launches globally. Prior to Biodesix, he served as Senior Vice President and General Manager of the Vascular Intervention division at Spectranetics Corp, which was later acquired by Royal Philips. He also spent more than 16 years at Medtronic, holding various leadership positions, including Vice President and General Manager of the Neurosurgery Business Unit.
Robin Harper Cowie, Chief Financial Officer, Secretary, and Treasurer
Robin Harper Cowie has served as Chief Financial Officer of Biodesix since April 2017, having joined the company in March 2011. She possesses extensive expertise in finance, government policy, reimbursement, and operations. Her background includes corporate finance, managed care and payor relations, government reimbursement and regulatory policy, legal affairs, health economics and outcomes research, analytics, customer service, and billing operations. Before her tenure at Biodesix, Cowie held a leadership role in payer and government relations at Precision Therapeutics, Inc. She also worked as a laboratory researcher at the University of Pittsburgh Medical Center, focusing on areas such as migraine, epilepsy, and ALS.
Kieran O'Kane, Chief Commercial Officer
Kieran O'Kane has been the Chief Commercial Officer of Biodesix since March 2020. He is an experienced commercial leader with a strong background in oncology, boasting over 25 years in the industry. His career includes more than 10 global product launches across the pharmaceutical, medical device, and clinical diagnostics sectors.
Gary Pestano, Ph.D., Chief Scientific Officer
Dr. Gary Pestano serves as the Chief Scientific Officer and leads the Research and Development department at Biodesix. He is also the NYS Laboratory Director for the company's certified laboratory in Colorado. Dr. Pestano is a development leader in high-complexity molecular diagnostics, particularly in oncology and virology, encompassing genomic and proteomic technologies. Before joining Biodesix in 2012, he led multidisciplinary teams in developing multiplexed tissue and cell-based diagnostic assays, cancer vaccines, and scientific modeling software, and held senior positions at Ventana, a member of the Roche Group.
James R. Jett, M.D., Co-Chief Medical Officer
Dr. James R. Jett has held the position of Co-Chief Medical Officer at Biodesix since October 2019, following the acquisition of Oncimmune LLC, where he previously served as Chief Medical Officer. A board-certified physician in pulmonary medicine, Dr. Jett was on the consulting staff of Mayo Clinic for 28 years and was a professor of medicine at National Jewish Health. His research has primarily focused on the screening, diagnosis, and treatment of lung cancer.
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The public company Biodesix (BDSX), a data-driven diagnostic solutions company primarily focused on blood-based lung tests, faces several key risks to its business operations.
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Cash Burn, Liquidity, and Profitability Challenges
Biodesix has experienced significant cash burn and persistent net losses, with negative free cash flow and a deep negative operating margin, which poses ongoing concerns about the company's liquidity and the potential need for future fundraising that could dilute existing shares. While the company recently achieved its first quarter of positive Adjusted EBITDA in Q4 2025, its overall financial strength is rated as poor due to high debt levels, and its Altman Z-Score indicates a state of financial distress.
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Intense Competitive Pressure
The medical diagnostics industry, particularly in lung cancer diagnostics, is highly competitive. Biodesix competes with well-funded and larger rivals such as Guardant Health, Natera, and Roche, which possess significant financial resources, extensive sales networks, and diversified product portfolios. These competitors could potentially outspend Biodesix on research and development or implement aggressive pricing strategies, threatening Biodesix's market share in its core lung diagnostic offerings.
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Reimbursement and Regulatory Risks
Biodesix's revenue and profitability are heavily dependent on obtaining and maintaining adequate coverage and reimbursement for its diagnostic tests from Medicare and private payers. Changes in coverage rules, CPT codes, or reimbursement rates by the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) or commercial insurers could significantly impact the company's financial performance. While Biodesix has reported improved reimbursement and strong collection rates for Medicare-covered tests, continued favorable reimbursement is not guaranteed and remains a critical factor for sustained financial health and market adoption.
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Biodesix, Inc. (BDSX) operates in several diagnostic and service markets, primarily focusing on lung cancer. The addressable markets for its main products and services are primarily in the U.S. and globally, as detailed below:
Lung Nodule Risk Assessment (Nodify XL2 and Nodify CDT tests)
- Biodesix targets the lung nodule management market, which sees an estimated 6 million new lung nodules annually in the U.S.. The company is expanding its reach into primary care networks to access approximately 50% of this market, as many patients with lung nodules do not initially see a pulmonologist.
- More broadly, the global CT Lung Nodule Analysis System market, which relates to the assessment of lung nodules, was valued at approximately USD 3.5 billion in 2021 and is projected to reach around USD 8.5 billion by 2030, growing at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 10.4%. North America is noted as the largest market for these systems.
Lung Cancer Diagnosis and Treatment Guidance (GeneStrat ddPCR, VeriStrat, and GeneStrat NGS tests)
- The **U.S. lung cancer diagnostics market** generated revenues of USD 4,421.2 million in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 7,471.4 million by 2033, with a CAGR of 5.9% from 2025 to 2033. Another estimate places the U.S. market at USD 4,779 million in 2024, growing to approximately USD 10,414 million by 2034, at a CAGR of 8.1% from 2025 to 2034.
- Globally, the **lung cancer diagnostics market** was valued at USD 3.39 billion in 2024 and is anticipated to reach USD 9.81 billion by 2032, with a CAGR of 14.20%. Another report estimates the global market size at USD 13.57 billion in 2025, projected to grow to USD 26.26 billion by 2034, exhibiting a CAGR of 7.61%. North America held the largest revenue share in this market, accounting for 47% in 2024.
- Within the broader diagnostics, the **global liquid biopsy market**, where Biodesix's blood-based tests like GeneStrat NGS operate, was estimated at USD 6.17 billion in 2024 and is predicted to rise to USD 22.69 billion by 2034, with a CAGR of 13.91% from 2025 to 2034. The lung cancer segment alone contributed the largest market share of 32.10% in 2024.
- The **U.S. liquid biopsy market** was valued at USD 4.13 billion in 2023 and is projected to grow at a CAGR of 24.1%.
- Specifically for **lung cancer liquid biopsy**, the global market size was USD 1.18 billion in 2023 and is anticipated to reach around USD 4.19 billion by 2033, growing at a CAGR of 13.5% from 2024 to 2033. North America dominated this market with approximately a 51% revenue share in 2023.
- The **global lung cancer genomic testing market** was estimated at USD 1.16 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach USD 2.07 billion by 2032, with a CAGR of 8.58%. The **U.S. clinical oncology next-generation sequencing (NGS) market** was estimated at USD 214.0 million in 2024 and is expected to grow at a CAGR of 15.04% from 2025 to 2030.
Diagnostic and Clinical Research/Clinical Trial Testing Services (Biopharmaceutical Services)
- Biodesix offers diagnostic and clinical research as well as clinical trial testing services to biopharmaceutical companies. This falls within the broader **global Healthcare Contract Research Organization (CRO) Market**, which was valued at USD 64.11 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to USD 119.85 billion by 2033, at a CAGR of 7.2% from 2025 to 2033. North America leads this market.
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For Biodesix (BDSX), several key drivers are expected to fuel future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years:
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Increased Adoption and Utilization of Lung Diagnostic Tests: Biodesix anticipates significant revenue growth from the continued adoption of its blood-based lung tests, including the Nodify Lung Nodule Risk Assessment tests (Nodify XL2 and Nodify CDT) and the IQLung testing strategy (GeneStrat ddPCR, VeriStrat, and GeneStrat NGS). This growth is expected to stem from higher test volumes and an increase in average revenue per test, driven by additional payer coverage, improvements in revenue cycle management, and the release of new clinical data supporting the efficacy of these tests.
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Expansion of Commercial Footprint and Primary Care Penetration: A major strategic initiative for Biodesix is the expansion of its sales force and a targeted penetration into the primary care physician market. The company is actively increasing its number of sales representatives to enhance its reach and drive test adoption. By engaging primary care providers in referral networks, Biodesix aims to access a larger segment of the lung nodule management market, as a substantial portion of patients with lung nodules are initially managed in primary care settings. This strategy has already shown significant year-over-year growth in primary care orders.
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Growth in Biopharmaceutical and Diagnostic Development Services: Biodesix expects continued revenue expansion from its biopharmaceutical and diagnostic development services segment. This includes providing diagnostic and clinical research, as well as clinical trial testing services to biopharmaceutical companies. This segment has consistently demonstrated strong growth, driven by successfully delivering on its existing book of contracted business and securing new agreements. This diversification offers a high-margin revenue stream and validates the company's scientific expertise.
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Share Issuance
- In April 2024, Biodesix priced an underwritten offering of 17,391,832 shares of its common stock at $1.15 per share.
- A concurrent private placement in April 2024 involved 760,857 shares of Series A Non-Voting Convertible Preferred Stock at $46.00 per share, expected to convert into 30,434,280 shares of common stock upon stockholder approval.
- The gross proceeds to Biodesix from the April 2024 offerings are expected to be $55.0 million.
- Following the fourth quarter of 2025, the company raised an additional $14.7 million, supplementing $2.3 million from at-the-market proceeds, further increasing cash and cash equivalents.
Inbound Investments
- Director and greater-than-10% owner Jack W. Schuler made significant investments, including purchasing 3,488,372 shares of common stock for approximately $1.5 million in August 2025.
- Jack W. Schuler continued to invest, acquiring 100,000 shares for over $1.1 million in January 2026 across two transactions.
- In Q4 2025, institutional investors like ABERDEEN GROUP PLC added 262,425 shares to their portfolio for an estimated $1,784,490, while Trexquant Investment LP also acquired a new position valued at $187,000.
Capital Expenditures
- Capital expenditures for the full year 2025 were $259,000.
- In the fourth quarter of 2025, capital expenditures amounted to $86,000.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Biodesix Earnings Notes | 12/16/2025 | |
| With Biodesix Stock Sliding, Have You Assessed The Risk? | 10/17/2025 |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 112.53 |
| Mkt Cap | 13.3 |
| Rev LTM | 913 |
| Op Inc LTM | -52 |
| FCF LTM | 33 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -20 |
| CFO LTM | 94 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 40 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 23.0% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 25.7% |
| Rev Chg Q | 30.2% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 6.6% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | 4.7% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 13.1% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -11.7% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -15.9% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 2.3% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 5.7% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 1.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 1.1% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -3.4% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diagnostic testing in the clinical setting and providing services to biopharmaceutical companies | 88 | 71 | 49 | 38 | 55 |
| Total | 88 | 71 | 49 | 38 | 55 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Diagnostic testing in the clinical setting and providing services to biopharmaceutical companies | -35 | -43 | -52 |
| Total | -35 | -43 | -52 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $21.99 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.2 | |
| First Trading Date | 10/28/2020 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -10.2% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $15.49 | $11.37 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | 42.0% | 93.4% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 110.2% | 1,943.1% |
| Downside Capture | 41.16 | 33.68 |
| Upside Capture | 161.17 | 194.18 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 7.8% | 4.2% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.16 | 0.94 | 0.72 | 0.42 | 6.16 | 1.69 |
| Up Beta | 0.61 | 0.48 | 0.24 | -0.52 | -3.41 | -0.70 |
| Down Beta | 2.36 | 1.30 | 0.34 | -0.79 | 0.05 | 0.44 |
| Up Capture | 134% | 404% | 191% | 339% | 325% | 26% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 11 | 24 | 40 | 67 | 140 | 429 |
| Stock +ve Days | 12 | 24 | 34 | 63 | 130 | 342 |
| Down Capture | -260% | -171% | 25% | -30% | 34% | 91% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 10 | 17 | 23 | 58 | 112 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 9 | 16 | 28 | 61 | 120 | 365 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with BDSX | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BDSX | 285.2% | 1,931.5% | 1.05 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLV) | 21.4% | 15.6% | 1.05 | -5.4% |
| Equity (SPY) | 21.7% | 12.5% | 1.29 | 4.0% |
| Gold (GLD) | 23.1% | 27.7% | 0.73 | 3.6% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 21.3% | 18.6% | 0.90 | 4.4% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 13.6% | 13.8% | 0.68 | -0.7% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -42.0% | 42.7% | -1.15 | -0.7% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with BDSX | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BDSX | -40.1% | 868.6% | 0.42 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLV) | 7.2% | 14.9% | 0.30 | -1.1% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.3% | 17.1% | 0.60 | 2.9% |
| Gold (GLD) | 17.9% | 18.3% | 0.79 | 2.8% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 6.9% | 19.5% | 0.25 | 2.4% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.1% | 18.9% | 0.06 | 1.1% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 12.2% | 53.8% | 0.41 | 0.5% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with BDSX | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BDSX | -21.8% | 817.7% | 0.40 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLV) | 10.6% | 16.6% | 0.52 | -0.9% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.4% | 18.0% | 0.73 | 2.9% |
| Gold (GLD) | 12.1% | 16.1% | 0.61 | 2.8% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 5.7% | 18.0% | 0.25 | 2.2% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.5% | 20.7% | 0.23 | 1.2% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 59.0% | 66.2% | 0.99 | 0.9% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Updated 6/5/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 5/4/2026 | 32.6% | 42.9% | 42.9% |
| 2/26/2026 | 7.8% | 11.5% | -0.1% |
| 11/3/2025 | 19.9% | 18.9% | 34.7% |
| 8/7/2025 | -10.4% | -11.2% | -95.2% |
| 5/13/2025 | -38.7% | -24.6% | -16.5% |
| 3/3/2025 | 1.0% | 13.1% | -15.0% |
| 1/10/2025 | -14.2% | -23.0% | -35.8% |
| 11/1/2024 | -23.5% | -21.8% | -20.0% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 12 | 7 | 8 |
| # Negative | 12 | 17 | 16 |
| Median Positive | 4.3% | 13.1% | 16.4% |
| Median Negative | -12.0% | -14.2% | -15.1% |
| Max Positive | 32.6% | 42.9% | 50.0% |
| Max Negative | -38.7% | -33.3% | -95.2% |
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 5/4/2026 | 32.6% | 42.9% | 42.9% |
| 2/26/2026 | 7.8% | 11.5% | -0.1% |
| 11/3/2025 | 19.9% | 18.9% | 34.7% |
| 8/7/2025 | -10.4% | -11.2% | -95.2% |
| 5/13/2025 | -38.7% | -24.6% | -16.5% |
| 3/3/2025 | 1.0% | 13.1% | -15.0% |
| 1/10/2025 | -14.2% | -23.0% | -35.8% |
| 11/1/2024 | -23.5% | -21.8% | -20.0% |
| 8/7/2024 | 3.1% | 8.2% | 16.4% |
| 5/8/2024 | 0.0% | -1.6% | -14.2% |
| 3/1/2024 | 2.6% | -2.6% | -4.5% |
| 11/7/2023 | -10.1% | -14.2% | 7.4% |
| 8/7/2023 | 3.9% | -5.1% | -8.1% |
| 5/11/2023 | -12.3% | -33.3% | -15.2% |
| 3/6/2023 | -10.0% | -21.5% | -7.0% |
| 11/3/2022 | 2.7% | 0.0% | 50.0% |
| 8/4/2022 | 4.7% | -4.3% | -33.7% |
| 5/11/2022 | -15.4% | -4.8% | 16.5% |
| 3/14/2022 | -3.6% | -3.1% | -29.0% |
| 11/15/2021 | -1.5% | -18.3% | -42.9% |
| 8/10/2021 | -26.3% | -18.5% | -2.3% |
| 5/11/2021 | -11.8% | -14.3% | 3.1% |
| 3/16/2021 | 9.2% | -7.2% | -11.9% |
| 1/8/2021 | 10.6% | 35.6% | 15.6% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 12 | 7 | 8 |
| # Negative | 12 | 17 | 16 |
| Median Positive | 4.3% | 13.1% | 16.4% |
| Median Negative | -12.0% | -14.2% | -15.1% |
| Max Positive | 32.6% | 42.9% | 50.0% |
| Max Negative | -38.7% | -33.3% | -95.2% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/04/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/26/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/03/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/07/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/13/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 03/03/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/01/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 03/01/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/07/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/07/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/11/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/06/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/03/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/04/2022 | 10-Q |
| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/04/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/26/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/03/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/07/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/13/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 03/03/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/01/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 03/01/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/07/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/07/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/11/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/06/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/03/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/04/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/11/2022 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2021 | 03/14/2022 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2021 | 11/15/2021 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2021 | 08/10/2021 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2021 | 05/11/2021 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2020 | 03/16/2021 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2020 | 12/10/2020 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2020 | 10/29/2020 | 424B4 |
Recent Forward Guidance
Updated 5/31/2026Latest: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 5/4/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Total Revenue | 108.00 Mil | 111.00 Mil | 114.00 Mil | 1.8% | Raised | Guidance: 109.00 Mil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Gross Margin | 80.0% | ||||||
Prior: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/26/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Revenue | 106.00 Mil | 109.00 Mil | 112.00 Mil | 28.2% | Higher New | Guidance: 85.00 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2026 Revenue Growth | 23.0% | ||||||
Insider Activity
Updated 7/2/2026| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pestano, Gary Anthony | Chief Development Officer | Direct | Sell | 2232026 | 12.78 | 556 | 7,103 | 132,342 | Form |
| 2 | O'Kane, Kieran | Chief Commercial Officer | Direct | Sell | 2232026 | 12.78 | 535 | 6,835 | 125,444 | Form |
| 3 | Cowie, Robin Harper | CFO, Sec'y & Treasurer | Direct | Sell | 2232026 | 12.78 | 535 | 6,835 | 207,361 | Form |
| 4 | Vazquez, Chris | Chief Accounting Officer | Direct | Sell | 2232026 | 12.78 | 211 | 2,696 | 20,262 | Form |
| 5 | Hutton, Scott | President & CEO | Direct | Sell | 2232026 | 12.78 | 1,490 | 19,036 | 623,028 | Form |
| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pestano, Gary Anthony | Chief Development Officer | Direct | Sell | 2232026 | 12.78 | 556 | 7,103 | 132,342 | Form |
| 2 | O'Kane, Kieran | Chief Commercial Officer | Direct | Sell | 2232026 | 12.78 | 535 | 6,835 | 125,444 | Form |
| 3 | Cowie, Robin Harper | CFO, Sec'y & Treasurer | Direct | Sell | 2232026 | 12.78 | 535 | 6,835 | 207,361 | Form |
| 4 | Vazquez, Chris | Chief Accounting Officer | Direct | Sell | 2232026 | 12.78 | 211 | 2,696 | 20,262 | Form |
| 5 | Hutton, Scott | President & CEO | Direct | Sell | 2232026 | 12.78 | 1,490 | 19,036 | 623,028 | Form |
| 6 | Cowie, Robin Harper | CFO, Sec'y & Treasurer | Direct | Sell | 2112026 | 10.08 | 941 | 9,489 | 154,256 | Form |
| 7 | O'Kane, Kieran | Chief Commercial Officer | Direct | Sell | 2112026 | 10.08 | 584 | 5,889 | 89,597 | Form |
| 8 | Vazquez, Chris | Chief Accounting Officer | Direct | Sell | 2112026 | 10.08 | 101 | 1,018 | 12,444 | Form |
| 9 | Pestano, Gary Anthony | Chief Development Officer | Direct | Sell | 2112026 | 10.08 | 540 | 5,445 | 94,659 | Form |
| 10 | Hutton, Scott | President & CEO | Direct | Sell | 2112026 | 10.08 | 3,559 | 35,889 | 457,949 | Form |
| 11 | Schuler, Jack W | Jack W. Schuler Living Trust | Buy | 1262026 | 10.96 | 82,465 | 903,561 | 16,032,246 | Form | |
| 12 | Vazquez, Chris | Chief Accounting Officer | Direct | Sell | 1202026 | 8.15 | 83 | 676 | 8,736 | Form |
| 13 | Pestano, Gary Anthony | Chief Development Officer | Direct | Sell | 1202026 | 8.15 | 298 | 2,428 | 68,829 | Form |
| 14 | O'Kane, Kieran | Chief Commercial Officer | Direct | Sell | 1202026 | 8.15 | 298 | 2,428 | 64,127 | Form |
| 15 | Hutton, Scott | President & CEO | Direct | Sell | 1202026 | 8.15 | 970 | 7,905 | 317,611 | Form |
| 16 | Cowie, Robin Harper | CFO, Sec'y & Treasurer | Direct | Sell | 1202026 | 8.15 | 298 | 2,428 | 111,271 | Form |
| 17 | Vazquez, Chris | Chief Accounting Officer | Direct | Sell | 11132025 | 7.62 | 13 | 99 | 7,132 | Form |
| 18 | Pestano, Gary Anthony | Chief Development Officer | Direct | Sell | 11132025 | 7.62 | 23 | 175 | 60,495 | Form |
| 19 | O'Kane, Kieran | Chief Commercial Officer | Direct | Sell | 11132025 | 7.62 | 25 | 190 | 56,098 | Form |
| 20 | Hutton, Scott | President & CEO | Direct | Sell | 11132025 | 7.62 | 189 | 1,440 | 284,310 | Form |
| 21 | Cowie, Robin Harper | CFO, Sec'y & Treasurer | Direct | Sell | 11132025 | 7.62 | 50 | 381 | 100,180 | Form |
| 22 | Schuler, Jack W | Jack W. Schuler Living Trust | Buy | 9232025 | 7.04 | 142,045 | 999,997 | 9,720,445 | Form | |
| 23 | Schuler, Jack W | Jack W. Schuler Living Trust | Buy | 9192025 | 6.17 | 3,056 | 18,854 | 7,642,160 | Form | |
| 24 | Schuler, Jack W | Jack W. Schuler Living Trust | Buy | 9192025 | 6.04 | 15,317 | 92,571 | 7,467,862 | Form | |
| 25 | Schuler, Jack W | Jack W. Schuler Living Trust | Buy | 9032025 | 0.43 | 3,488,372 | 1,500,000 | 10,494,815 | Form | |
| 26 | Cowie, Robin Harper | CFO, Sec'y & Treasurer | Direct | Sell | 8142025 | 0.42 | 988 | 411 | 104,406 | Form |
| 27 | Hutton, Scott | President & CEO | Direct | Sell | 8142025 | 0.42 | 3,772 | 1,570 | 303,409 | Form |
| 28 | O'Kane, Kieran | Chief Commercial Officer | Direct | Sell | 8142025 | 0.42 | 476 | 198 | 58,309 | Form |
| 29 | Pestano, Gary Anthony | Chief Development Officer | Direct | Sell | 8142025 | 0.42 | 442 | 184 | 65,725 | Form |
| 30 | Vazquez, Chris | Chief Accounting Officer | Direct | Sell | 8142025 | 0.42 | 228 | 95 | 7,650 | Form |
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