Graphic Packaging (GPK)


Market Price (9/3/2026): $10.985 | Market Cap: $3.3 BilSector: Materials | Industry: Paper & Plastic Packaging Products & Materials

Graphic Packaging (GPK)


Market Price (9/3/2026): $10.985
Market Cap: $3.3 Bil
Sector: Materials
Industry: Paper & Plastic Packaging Products & Materials

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.9%, Dividend Yield is 4.0%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.6%, FCF Yield is 5.8%

Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 45%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable Consumption, Circular Economy & Recycling, and Vegan & Alternative Foods. Themes include Eco-friendly Products, Show more.

Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -98%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -119%

Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 168%

Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -3.7%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -0.7%

Key risks
GPK key risks include [1] elevated costs reducing the expected returns on key investments like the Waco facility startup, Show more.

0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.9%, Dividend Yield is 4.0%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.6%, FCF Yield is 5.8%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 45%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable Consumption, Circular Economy & Recycling, and Vegan & Alternative Foods. Themes include Eco-friendly Products, Show more.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -98%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -119%
4 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 168%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -3.7%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -0.7%
6 Key risks
GPK key risks include [1] elevated costs reducing the expected returns on key investments like the Waco facility startup, Show more.

GPK in ETFs

Weight = GPK's share of each fund

VTI0.00%
ITOT0.00%
IWB0.00%
IJH0.09%
VYM0.01%
VB0.04%
DVY0.32%
MDYV0.19%
+19 more covered ETFs

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 9/1/2026

Graphic Packaging (GPK) stock has remained largely at the same level since 5/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Graphic Packaging's profitability declined in fiscal Q2 2026, leading to a reduction in full-year earnings per share (EPS) guidance. The company reported net income of $24 million for fiscal Q2 2026 (ended June 30, 2026), a significant decrease from $104 million in the prior year's second quarter. Adjusted EBITDA also fell to $247 million from $336 million year-over-year. This weaker profitability prompted management to lower its full-year Adjusted EPS guidance to a range of $0.65-$0.90 (midpoint $0.78), an 18.4% decrease from previous guidance.

2. Persistent and elevated inflationary pressures on commodity and operating costs significantly impacted margins. For fiscal Q2 2026, Graphic Packaging cited approximately $60 million in commodity and operating cost inflation. The company anticipates elevated inflation of approximately $150 million for the full year 2026, which is expected to largely offset $85 million in planned cost savings. Broader industry data for July 2025 to July 2026 also showed substantial increases in raw material costs, with plastic resins rising by 10.7%, aluminum mill shapes by 40.5%, steel mill products by 22.5%, and paper by 10.4%.

Show more
Updated on 9/1/2026

Graphic Packaging (GPK) stock has remained largely at the same level since 5/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Graphic Packaging's profitability declined in fiscal Q2 2026, leading to a reduction in full-year earnings per share (EPS) guidance. The company reported net income of $24 million for fiscal Q2 2026 (ended June 30, 2026), a significant decrease from $104 million in the prior year's second quarter. Adjusted EBITDA also fell to $247 million from $336 million year-over-year. This weaker profitability prompted management to lower its full-year Adjusted EPS guidance to a range of $0.65-$0.90 (midpoint $0.78), an 18.4% decrease from previous guidance.

2. Persistent and elevated inflationary pressures on commodity and operating costs significantly impacted margins. For fiscal Q2 2026, Graphic Packaging cited approximately $60 million in commodity and operating cost inflation. The company anticipates elevated inflation of approximately $150 million for the full year 2026, which is expected to largely offset $85 million in planned cost savings. Broader industry data for July 2025 to July 2026 also showed substantial increases in raw material costs, with plastic resins rising by 10.7%, aluminum mill shapes by 40.5%, steel mill products by 22.5%, and paper by 10.4%.

3. A derivative lawsuit filed in August 2026 introduced legal and governance uncertainty. A stockholder initiated a derivative lawsuit against Graphic Packaging in August 2026, which mirrored a similar action in June, alleging securities law violations and breaches of fiduciary duty by current and former company leaders. This legal action adds to existing concerns and could contribute to negative investor sentiment.

4. Market sentiment reflects softer demand and volume uncertainty in key packaging sectors. Despite Q2 2026 revenue being flat year-over-year at $2.19 billion, reports highlight "weaker demand" and "volume uncertainty in key packaging markets" as factors weighing on the stock. This broader industry trend of fluctuating demand contributes to investor caution regarding future performance.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -1.5% change in GPK stock from 5/31/2026 to 9/2/2026 was primarily driven by a -29.1% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)53120269022026Change
Stock Price ($)11.1410.98-1.5%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)8,6538,637-0.2%
Net Income Margin (%)3.2%2.2%-29.1%
P/E Multiple12.116.839.1%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)2972970.0%
Cumulative Contribution-1.5%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

5/31/2026 to 9/2/2026
ReturnCorrelation
GPK-1.5% 
Market (SPY)1.1%28.2%
Sector (XLB)3.5%59.9%

Fundamental Drivers

The -8.3% change in GPK stock from 2/28/2026 to 9/2/2026 was primarily driven by a -62.2% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)22820269022026Change
Stock Price ($)11.9710.98-8.3%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)8,6098,6370.3%
Net Income Margin (%)5.9%2.2%-62.2%
P/E Multiple7.016.8141.2%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)2972970.2%
Cumulative Contribution-8.3%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

2/28/2026 to 9/2/2026
ReturnCorrelation
GPK-8.3% 
Market (SPY)11.8%33.8%
Sector (XLB)-0.4%50.5%

Fundamental Drivers

The -49.0% change in GPK stock from 8/31/2025 to 9/2/2026 was primarily driven by a -63.7% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)83120259022026Change
Stock Price ($)21.5310.98-49.0%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)8,6358,6370.0%
Net Income Margin (%)6.2%2.2%-63.7%
P/E Multiple12.116.838.3%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)3012971.6%
Cumulative Contribution-49.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

8/31/2025 to 9/2/2026
ReturnCorrelation
GPK-49.0% 
Market (SPY)19.6%25.6%
Sector (XLB)16.4%41.4%

Fundamental Drivers

The -47.3% change in GPK stock from 8/31/2023 to 9/2/2026 was primarily driven by a -69.2% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)83120239022026Change
Stock Price ($)20.8210.98-47.3%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)9,6678,637-10.7%
Net Income Margin (%)7.3%2.2%-69.2%
P/E Multiple9.116.884.7%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)3082973.9%
Cumulative Contribution-47.3%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

8/31/2023 to 9/2/2026
ReturnCorrelation
GPK-47.3% 
Market (SPY)75.9%30.3%
Sector (XLB)34.8%46.4%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
GPK Return17%16%13%12%-43%-26%-29%
Peers Return6%2%2%21%-13%11%29%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%11%103%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
GPK Win Rate58%58%58%50%25%33% 
Peers Win Rate57%48%45%58%50%60% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%44% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
GPK Max Drawdown-14%-17%-25%-14%-49%-44% 
Peers Max Drawdown-17%-25%-24%-16%-28%-25% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: IP, PKG, SON, AMCR, SLGN. See GPK Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 9/2/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventGPKS&P 500
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-16.7%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven20.0%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven51 days24 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-33.1%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven49.5%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven241 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-25.7%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven34.6%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven120 days105 days
2016-2017 Trump Reflation Bond Selloff
  % Loss-11.2%-3.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven12.7%3.9%
  Time to Breakeven173 days6 days
2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare
  % Loss-28.7%-12.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven40.2%13.9%
  Time to Breakeven635 days62 days
2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse
  % Loss-14.8%-6.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven17.4%7.3%
  Time to Breakeven34 days15 days

Compare to IP, PKG, SON, AMCR, SLGN

In The Past

Graphic Packaging's stock fell 0.0% during the 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind. Such a loss loss requires a 0.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventGPKS&P 500
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-33.1%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven49.5%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven241 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-25.7%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven34.6%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven120 days105 days
2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare
  % Loss-28.7%-12.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven40.2%13.9%
  Time to Breakeven635 days62 days
2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion
  % Loss-39.6%-17.9%
  % Gain to Breakeven65.5%21.8%
  Time to Breakeven135 days123 days
2010 Eurozone Sovereign Debt Crisis / Flash Crash
  % Loss-25.2%-15.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven33.7%18.2%
  Time to Breakeven176 days125 days
2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis
  % Loss-85.5%-53.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven589.7%114.4%
  Time to Breakeven397 days1085 days
Summer 2007 Credit Crunch
  % Loss-29.6%-8.6%
  % Gain to Breakeven42.0%9.5%
  Time to Breakeven1921 days47 days

Compare to IP, PKG, SON, AMCR, SLGN

In The Past

Graphic Packaging's stock fell 0.0% during the 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind. Such a loss loss requires a 0.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Graphic Packaging (GPK)

Graphic Packaging Holding Company (GPK) is a global leader in providing fiber-based packaging solutions, primarily catering to the food, beverage, foodservice, and general consumer products industries. The company integrates its operations from producing various types of paperboard to manufacturing finished packaging products and even supplying specialized packaging machinery.

GPK's core offerings include a range of paperboard materials such as coated unbleached kraft (CUK), coated recycled paperboard (CRB), and solid bleached sulfate (SBS), which it sells to other converters. Beyond raw materials, the company designs and produces a diverse portfolio of finished packaging products, including folding cartons, cups, lids, and food containers. A key specialization is barrier packaging, which provides protection against elements like moisture, temperature, grease, and oxygen. Furthermore, GPK designs, manufactures, installs, and services specialized machinery used by customers to automate the packaging of bottles, cans, and other consumer goods.

The company primarily serves consumer packaged goods (CPG) companies, quick-service restaurants (QSRs), and other foodservice providers globally. Its solutions are essential for brands that require effective and often sustainable packaging for their food, beverage, and various other consumer products. GPK markets its products through direct sales and broker arrangements across the Americas, Europe, and the Asia Pacific region.

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Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Graphic Packaging (GPK):

  • Sysco for packaging: Just as Sysco supplies a vast array of food products and supplies to restaurants and institutions, Graphic Packaging provides a wide range of essential fiber-based packaging solutions (like cartons, cups, and materials) to major food, beverage, and foodservice companies.
  • The Corning of paperboard and packaging: Similar to how Corning develops specialized glass (like Gorilla Glass) for various tech products, Graphic Packaging specializes in creating advanced paperboard materials and innovative packaging designs for consumer goods.

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  • Coated Paperboard: Raw paperboard materials including Coated Unbleached Kraft (CUK), Coated Recycled Paperboard (CRB), and Solid Bleached Sulfate (SBS) sold to converters and brokers.
  • Folding Cartons: Paperboard packaging products used for various consumer packaged goods.
  • Foodservice Packaging: Paperboard packaging products such as cups, lids, and food containers for quick-service restaurants and foodservice companies.
  • Barrier Packaging: Specialized packaging products designed to protect contents from environmental factors like moisture, temperature, and oxygen.
  • Laminated, Coated, and Printed Packaging Structures: Customized packaging solutions made from various grades of paperboards.
  • Specialized Packaging Machines: Equipment engineered to package bottles, cans, and other consumer products for customers.
  • Packaging Machine Services: Installation, support, service, and performance monitoring for their specialized packaging machines at customer plants.

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Major Customers of Graphic Packaging (GPK)

Graphic Packaging (GPK) sells primarily to other companies. While the provided background does not explicitly name specific customer companies, it describes the following major categories of customers:

  • Consumer Packaged Goods (CPG) Companies: This broad category includes food, beverage, and other consumer products companies that utilize GPK's fiber-based packaging solutions for their retail products.
  • Foodservice Companies and Quick-Service Restaurants (QSRs): These customers use GPK's paperboard packaging products such as folding cartons, cups, lids, and food containers for prepared food and beverages.
  • Paperboard Packaging Converters and Brokers: These companies purchase raw paperboard materials, including Coated Unbleached Kraft (CUK), Coated Recycled Paperboard (CRB), and Solid Bleached Sulfate (SBS), from GPK for further processing or distribution.

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Major Suppliers of Graphic Packaging (GPK)

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Robbert Rietbroek President and Chief Executive Officer

Robbert Rietbroek was appointed President and Chief Executive Officer of Graphic Packaging Holding Company effective January 1, 2026. He brings over 25 years of global leadership experience from various consumer products companies. Most recently, he served as the inaugural Chief Executive Officer and Director of Primo Brands Corporation, a publicly traded bottled water company. Prior to that, he was the Chief Executive Officer of Primo Water Corporation, where he led its transformative merger with BlueTriton Brands, Inc., forming Primo Brands. Earlier in his career, Mr. Rietbroek held senior leadership roles at PepsiCo, Kimberly-Clark, and Procter & Gamble across North America, Europe, South America, and Australia.

Charles D. Lischer Senior Vice President, Chief Accounting Officer and Interim Chief Financial Officer

Charles D. Lischer assumed the role of Senior Vice President, Chief Accounting Officer and Interim Chief Financial Officer for Graphic Packaging Holding Company effective November 7, 2025. Prior to this appointment, he served as the Senior Vice President and Chief Accounting Officer since 2019.

Scott Fallan Senior Vice President and President, International

Scott Fallan serves as the Senior Vice President and President, International for Graphic Packaging Holding Company.

Jean-Francois Roche Senior Vice President and Chief Commercial Officer

Jean-Francois Roche holds the position of Senior Vice President and Chief Commercial Officer at Graphic Packaging Holding Company, where he guides the company's commercial strategy.

Elizabeth Spence Executive Vice President, Human Resources

Elizabeth Spence is the Executive Vice President, Human Resources at Graphic Packaging Holding Company.

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Here are the key risks to Graphic Packaging's business:

1. Inflation and Volatility in Raw Material and Energy Costs

Graphic Packaging is significantly exposed to the volatility and inflation of raw material and energy costs. The company's manufacturing processes rely heavily on inputs such as fiber, petroleum-based materials, and energy. Fluctuations in the prices of these commodities can directly impact the company's financial results and profitability. While the company aims to implement productivity improvements and cost-saving initiatives, its ability to completely mitigate these unpredictable costs is not guaranteed.

2. Intense Competition and Product Substitution

The company operates within a highly competitive industry, facing pressure from both domestic and international consumer packaging companies. Graphic Packaging's products compete not only with those from other paperboard manufacturers but also with packaging solutions made from alternative materials such as plastic, shrink film, and foam. This intense competition, coupled with changing consumer buying habits and product preferences, can lead to pricing pressure, declining sales volumes, and slower revenue growth. The potential for product substitution poses a continuous challenge to the company's market share and profitability.

3. High Debt Levels

Graphic Packaging maintains a significant level of debt, which presents a risk to its financial stability. The company's debt-to-equity ratio is considered relatively high, indicating a substantial reliance on debt financing. High debt levels can constrain the company's flexibility, increase interest expenses, and potentially affect its ability to fund future investments or withstand economic downturns. Reports indicate that the company's net debt has increased in recent periods, and its ability to generate sufficient free cash flow to manage this debt is a point of concern.

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Graphic Packaging Holding Company (GPK) operates in several significant addressable markets for its fiber-based packaging solutions and paperboard products across various regions.

Fiber-Based Packaging Solutions

  • The global fiber-based packaging market was valued at approximately USD 406.05 billion in 2025 and is anticipated to reach USD 592.45 billion by 2035, growing at a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 3.85% over the decade. North America holds the largest share of this global market.

Paperboard Packaging

  • The global paperboard packaging market was estimated at USD 191.23 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow to approximately USD 282.38 billion by 2035, with a CAGR of 3.97%. Another estimate places the global paper and paperboard packaging market at USD 381.4 billion in 2024, expected to reach USD 620.6 billion by 2034 with a CAGR of 5.1%. Asia Pacific leads the global paperboard packaging market. The North American region accounted for 30.1% of the global paper and paperboard packaging market share in 2024, with the U.S. market alone valued at USD 100.8 billion in 2024.

Folding Cartons

  • The global folding carton packaging market was valued at USD 185.18 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow to USD 296.97 billion by 2034, exhibiting a CAGR of 5.47%. Europe held the largest share of the folding cartons market in 2025 with 39.96%, while Asia Pacific dominated the global market in 2024 with a revenue share of 45.7%. The U.S. folding cartons market is projected to reach an estimated value of USD 41.86 billion by 2032, and was valued at USD 54 billion in 2025.

Foodservice Packaging (including cups, lids, and food containers)

  • The global food service packaging market was valued at USD 110.29 billion in 2025 and is anticipated to reach USD 188.39 billion by 2035, growing at a CAGR of 5.5%. Another report calculates the global food service packaging market size at USD 144.82 billion in 2025, expected to reach around USD 223.52 billion by 2034, expanding at a CAGR of 4.94%. Asia Pacific commands the largest share of the global food service packaging market, with 45% of the total market share.

Coated Unbleached Kraft (CUK) Paperboard

  • Approximately 116 million metric tons of CUK were consumed worldwide in 2024. CUK is a segment of the unbleached kraft paperboard market, which is expected to grow at a CAGR of 4.4% during the forecast period.

Coated Recycled Paperboard (CRB)

  • The global Coated Recycled Paperboard market is projected to grow from USD 10,001.4 million in 2024 to an estimated USD 14,458.7 million by 2032, registering a CAGR of 4.70%. Asia Pacific dominates this market.

Solid Bleached Sulfate (SBS) Paperboard

  • The global Solid Bleached Sulfate (SBS) paperboard market was valued at USD 12.5 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 18.3 billion by 2033, growing at a CAGR of 4.5%. North America was the largest region in the SBS board market in 2025. The United States is a leading market for SBS paperboard, with a market size of USD 3.5 billion.

Barrier Packaging Products

  • The global barrier packaging market is estimated to be valued at USD 18.91 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach USD 24.57 billion by 2032, exhibiting a CAGR of 3.8%. Another source indicates the global barrier packaging market size was valued at USD 42.61 billion in 2025, projected to grow to USD 66.39 billion by 2034, exhibiting a CAGR of 5.11%. North America is expected to lead the barrier packaging market with a 37.7% share in 2025.

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Graphic Packaging Holding Company (GPK) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key initiatives:

  1. Innovation in Sustainable Packaging Solutions: Graphic Packaging is focused on accelerating innovation to deliver sustainable packaging solutions that consumers prefer. The company achieved $205 million in innovation sales growth in 2024 and anticipates 2% sales growth from innovation in 2024. This includes scaling barrier-coated paper and ovenable/microwaveable fiber trays to replace less sustainable formats like PE-lined and EPS.

  2. Conversion from Plastic to Fiber-Based Packaging: A significant driver for GPK is the substitution of rigid plastic with fiber across various applications such as beverage carriers, multipacks, and foodservice containers. Management has identified a multi-year pipeline for this plastic-to-fiber conversion, projected to generate several hundred million dollars of annual revenue through 2026–2028, largely propelled by sustainability mandates and retailer programs.

  3. European Market Expansion for Fiber Multipacks: Graphic Packaging is accelerating its growth in Europe by expanding fiber multipack solutions for cans and PET across key markets like the UK, France, Spain, and DACH regions. This strategy leverages local converting assets and beverage partnerships, with management targeting double-digit percentage multipack revenue growth in Europe through 2026, driven by the phasing out of plastic ring carriers.

  4. Volume Growth and Market Share Gains from Optimized Capacity: Investments in new, efficient manufacturing facilities, such as the Waco, Texas recycled paperboard mill, are expected to enable increased volume and market share. The Waco facility, anticipated to start up in the fourth quarter of 2025, is projected to contribute approximately $80 million in annual EBITDA by 2026 and an additional $80 million in 2027, by providing expanded and more cost-effective capacity to meet demand. The company expects positive full-year sales growth in 2024 (excluding the impact of an asset sale) and anticipates further volume improvements.

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Here is a summary of Graphic Packaging's capital allocation decisions over the last 3-5 years:

Share Repurchases

  • As of April 30, 2025, Graphic Packaging had an aggregate available share repurchase authorization of $1.865 billion, which included a new $1.5 billion authorization from May 1, 2025, and $365 million remaining from a previous authorization dated July 27, 2023.
  • During 2024, the company repurchased approximately 2% of its common shares outstanding.
  • In the first nine months of 2025, Graphic Packaging repurchased approximately 6.8 million shares of common stock for $150 million.

Share Issuance

  • Information detailing significant dollar amounts of share issuances over the last 3-5 years is not explicitly available in the provided search results.

Inbound Investments

  • There is no explicit information in the provided search results regarding large inbound investments made in Graphic Packaging by third-parties such as strategic partners or private equity firms during the last 3-5 years.

Outbound Investments

  • In May 2021, Graphic Packaging acquired AR Packaging for approximately $1.45 billion in cash, which significantly expanded its European operations and added flexible packaging capabilities.

Capital Expenditures

  • Capital expenditures for 2024 were $1,203 million, increasing from $804 million in 2023.
  • For the full year 2025, capital expenditures were $935 million, with the Waco, Texas greenfield recycled paperboard manufacturing facility being substantially complete at a total cost expected to be approximately $1.67 billion by the end of 2025.
  • The company expects capital spending to decline significantly in the upcoming years, with projected capital expenditures around $700 million for 2025 (as of Feb 2025) and further declines to approximately 5% of sales by 2026. MarketScreener forecasts 2026 CAPEX at $446.7 million, and 2027 at $430.2 million, and 2028 at $437.5 million.

Better Bets vs. Graphic Packaging (GPK)

Peer Outperformance in Paper & Plastic Packaging Products & Materials

GPK has trailed 100% of its 6 Paper & Plastic Packaging Products & Materials peers over 5Y. Paper & Plastic Packaging Products & Materials ranks 9th of 15 industries in Materials by median 5Y return. The sector’s gains have largely come from elsewhere.
Share of Paper & Plastic Packaging Products & Materials constituents that GPK has outperformed, by holding period. Peers without a full price history over a given window are excluded from that window.
1Y
0%
of 7 industry peers · -48.3% return
3Y
0%
of 6 industry peers · -47.9% return
5Y
0%
of 6 industry peers · -41.6% return
No Paper & Plastic Packaging Products & Materials peer with a comparable growth profile has beaten GPK by more than 20pp over 5Y.
Median price return by industry across the Materials sector, ranked by 5Y. Paper & Plastic Packaging Products & Materials is GPK's own industry. Use this to see which corners of the sector have carried the returns.
Industry Names 1Y med3Y med5Y med Top 3 by 5Y
Copper 7 108.1%77.8%302.0% COPR 997% · HBM 337% · TGB 331%
Silver 6 143.2%338.3%156.5% AYA 250% · HL 231% · SVM 190%
Steel 13 31.1%53.2%149.3% AMR 446% · HCC 387% · NWPX 327%
Gold 34 40.0%198.7%143.9% IAG 742% · CNL 576% · KGC 433%
Aluminum 3 117.5%131.8%59.0% CENX 272% · KALU 59% · AA 14%
Construction Materials 7 -15.6%18.8%42.4% USLM 302% · CRH 87% · VMC 52%
Diversified Metals & Mining 24 0.2%-14.7%19.6% ATLX 229900% · USAR 59799% · SGML 962%
Metal, Glass & Plastic Containers 10 0.3%11.2%3.8% KRT 160% · MYE 59% · GEF 47%
Paper & Plastic Packaging Products & Materials ← 7 8.3%12.3%-5.9% PKG 78% · CCK 11% · SON 0%
Specialty Chemicals 40 10.1%0.2%-13.0% ODC 481% · NEU 192% · CMT 76%
Commodity Chemicals 12 31.1%-11.7%-25.1% HWKN 261% · LXU 81% · MEOH 74%
Diversified Chemicals 4 4.8%-29.1%-28.6% CBT 75% · ASH -13% · CC -44%
Precious Metals & Minerals 8 40.9%157.0%-30.5% ASM 608% · PPTA 376% · MTA 36%
Fertilizers & Agricultural Chemicals 10 -4.6%-2.7%-32.1% CF 240% · CTVA 112% · NTR 56%
Paper Products 3 -18.8%-55.3%-96.3% CLW -39% · ITP -96% · MERC -96%
Median of constituents with a full price history over each window. Top names are unfiltered by size in this render.

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

GPKIPPKGSONAMCRSLGNMedian
NameGraphic .Internat.Packagin.Sonoco P.Amcor Silgan  
Mkt Price10.9836.30233.5454.7446.6841.3344.00
Mkt Cap3.319.220.75.421.64.412.3
Rev LTM8,63724,2039,5357,46123,5066,6829,086
Op Inc LTM597521,2387162,197645680
FCF LTM1894927423551,229343423
FCF 3Y Avg-63371676309956309340
CFO LTM7932,6471,6246372,1516411,209
CFO 3Y Avg8601,8241,3766641,6215841,118

Growth & Margins

GPKIPPKGSONAMCRSLGNMedian
NameGraphic .Internat.Packagin.Sonoco P.Amcor Silgan  
Rev Chg LTM0.0%25.4%10.3%17.7%56.6%8.4%14.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-3.7%8.7%6.0%12.5%19.8%2.4%7.3%
Rev Chg Q-0.7%-2.2%14.7%-1.3%25.9%6.8%3.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-0.2%-0.6%3.5%-0.3%5.9%1.6%0.7%
Op Inc Chg LTM-40.3%-87.1%-4.0%34.0%66.9%3.6%-0.2%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg-19.2%-57.7%0.8%11.6%20.2%-0.2%0.3%
Op Mgn LTM6.9%0.2%13.0%9.6%9.3%9.6%9.5%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg10.5%1.8%13.7%8.9%9.2%10.0%9.6%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-1.2%-0.7%-0.4%0.1%1.1%-0.3%-0.3%
CFO/Rev LTM9.2%10.9%17.0%8.5%9.2%9.6%9.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg9.8%9.2%15.8%11.6%9.4%9.4%9.6%
FCF/Rev LTM2.2%2.0%7.8%4.8%5.2%5.1%4.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-0.7%2.0%7.8%5.4%5.6%5.0%5.2%

Valuation

GPKIPPKGSONAMCRSLGNMedian
NameGraphic .Internat.Packagin.Sonoco P.Amcor Silgan  
Mkt Cap3.319.220.75.421.64.412.3
P/S0.40.82.20.70.90.70.8
P/Op Inc5.5369.616.77.69.86.88.7
P/EBIT6.5-7.319.95.411.17.67.0
P/E16.8-5.629.98.719.616.216.5
P/CFO4.17.312.78.510.16.87.9
Total Yield9.9%-12.8%5.5%15.4%10.6%8.2%9.1%
Dividend Yield4.0%5.1%2.2%3.9%5.5%2.0%3.9%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg0.0%2.3%3.8%6.1%5.4%6.5%4.6%
D/E1.70.50.20.90.71.10.8
Net D/E1.70.50.20.80.61.00.7

Returns

GPKIPPKGSONAMCRSLGNMedian
NameGraphic .Internat.Packagin.Sonoco P.Amcor Silgan  
1M Rtn-3.3%-11.4%-7.0%-2.1%1.4%0.4%-2.7%
3M Rtn2.6%9.9%4.8%13.9%23.2%14.6%11.9%
6M Rtn0.3%-12.5%1.7%1.6%3.4%-10.3%0.9%
12M Rtn-48.3%-22.5%10.6%22.3%17.8%-8.5%1.0%
3Y Rtn-47.9%17.8%68.9%7.8%12.3%-3.1%10.1%
1M Excs Rtn-6.7%-12.3%-7.7%-4.8%-0.1%-0.9%-5.8%
3M Excs Rtn1.1%8.4%3.3%12.4%21.7%13.1%10.4%
6M Excs Rtn-11.3%-24.1%-9.9%-10.0%-8.2%-21.9%-10.7%
12M Excs Rtn-67.8%-42.0%-8.9%2.8%-1.7%-28.0%-18.5%
3Y Excs Rtn-119.5%-52.6%-2.1%-64.4%-57.6%-76.2%-61.0%

Comparison Analyses

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Americas Paperboard Packaging5,8896,1016,2006,0154,996
International Paperboard Packaging2,2082,1302,280  
Corporate and Other520576948162161
Europe Paperboard Packaging   1,973992
Paperboard Manufacturing   1,2901,007
Total8,6178,8079,4289,4407,156


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Americas Paperboard Packaging8181,0721,088800456
International Paperboard Packaging139174193  
Corporate and Other-153-127-1072-121
Europe Paperboard Packaging   5982
Paperboard Manufacturing   45-10
Total8041,1191,174906407


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20232022202120202019
Americas Paperboard Packaging4,2203,8223,6823,3273,392
Paperboard Manufacturing3,9053,5163,4823,0972,912
Europe Paperboard Packaging2,4842,4742,669746686
Corporate and Other566516624635299
Total11,17510,32810,4577,8057,290


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$10.98 
Market Cap ($ Bil)3.3 
First Trading Date12/10/1992 
Distance from 52W High-48.3% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$11.12$11.84
DMA Trenddownup
Distance from DMA-1.3%-7.2%
 3M1YR
Volatility41.7%45.4%
Downside Capture99.93137.97
Upside Capture105.4231.77
Correlation (SPY)28.8%25.3%
GPK Betas & Captures as of 8/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta2.551.000.821.100.900.68
Up Beta2.990.370.721.101.190.74
Down Beta-2.760.680.991.290.880.58
Up Capture278%145%77%78%22%20%
Bmk +ve Days10213268138427
Stock +ve Days11233561108362
Down Capture321%125%83%120%122%97%
Bmk -ve Days11213259113324
Stock -ve Days10192965139381

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with GPK
GPK-48.4%45.4%-1.32-
Sector ETF (XLB)17.4%17.9%0.7441.4%
Equity (SPY)20.6%12.8%1.1925.6%
Gold (GLD)23.8%29.1%0.730.4%
Commodities (DBC)41.7%20.4%1.60-24.2%
Real Estate (VNQ)9.7%13.6%0.4334.0%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-30.7%43.5%-0.7212.8%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with GPK
GPK-9.8%31.9%-0.28-
Sector ETF (XLB)6.4%19.1%0.2250.8%
Equity (SPY)12.7%17.2%0.5738.0%
Gold (GLD)19.2%18.8%0.835.0%
Commodities (DBC)10.8%19.5%0.43-0.3%
Real Estate (VNQ)1.9%18.9%-0.0141.2%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)9.5%52.6%0.3714.6%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with GPK
GPK-0.7%29.9%0.03-
Sector ETF (XLB)10.1%20.7%0.4357.4%
Equity (SPY)15.1%17.9%0.7247.4%
Gold (GLD)12.2%16.3%0.612.9%
Commodities (DBC)7.8%18.1%0.359.4%
Real Estate (VNQ)4.8%20.7%0.1944.5%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)63.0%66.1%1.039.3%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date8142026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity19.6 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 7312026-8.5%
Average Daily Volume4.6 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.3 days
Basic Shares Quantity296.6 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares6.6%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 9/3/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
8/4/20264.8%4.9%-4.4%
5/5/202612.2%6.9%13.1%
2/3/2026-16.0%-10.1%-24.3%
11/4/20258.9%3.0%0.9%
7/29/2025-2.9%-5.1%-3.2%
5/1/2025-15.6%-13.7%-12.2%
2/4/2025-2.5%-3.0%-3.7%
10/29/2024-5.6%-8.4%-2.4%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive121312
# Negative121112
Median Positive4.7%4.9%6.3%
Median Negative-4.0%-3.0%-3.4%
Max Positive12.2%9.3%13.4%
Max Negative-16.0%-13.7%-24.3%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
8/4/20264.8%4.9%-4.4%
5/5/202612.2%6.9%13.1%
2/3/2026-16.0%-10.1%-24.3%
11/4/20258.9%3.0%0.9%
7/29/2025-2.9%-5.1%-3.2%
5/1/2025-15.6%-13.7%-12.2%
2/4/2025-2.5%-3.0%-3.7%
10/29/2024-5.6%-8.4%-2.4%
9/3/2024-1.5%-0.1%-0.8%
4/30/2024-7.1%-2.3%-2.3%
2/20/20246.0%5.3%10.6%
10/31/20233.1%5.2%8.8%
8/1/2023-4.0%-3.9%-8.1%
5/2/20233.2%5.3%-3.0%
2/7/2023-6.4%-0.6%5.4%
10/25/20227.5%6.7%4.9%
7/26/20224.5%3.2%7.9%
4/26/2022-1.3%3.5%-2.8%
2/17/20224.7%0.9%4.1%
10/26/20210.4%-0.4%4.7%
7/27/20217.2%9.3%13.4%
4/27/2021-1.9%2.1%-3.7%
2/2/20211.8%3.0%3.8%
10/20/2020-4.1%-2.6%7.1%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive121312
# Negative121112
Median Positive4.7%4.9%6.3%
Median Negative-4.0%-3.0%-3.4%
Max Positive12.2%9.3%13.4%
Max Negative-16.0%-13.7%-24.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202608/04/202610-Q
03/31/202605/05/202610-Q
12/31/202503/02/202610-K
09/30/202511/04/202510-Q
06/30/202507/29/202510-Q
03/31/202505/01/202510-Q
12/31/202402/12/202510-K
09/30/202410/29/202410-Q
06/30/202407/30/202410-Q
03/31/202404/30/202410-Q
12/31/202302/21/202410-K
09/30/202310/31/202310-Q
06/30/202308/01/202310-Q
03/31/202305/02/202310-Q
12/31/202202/09/202310-K
09/30/202210/25/202210-Q
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202608/04/202610-Q
03/31/202605/05/202610-Q
12/31/202503/02/202610-K
09/30/202511/04/202510-Q
06/30/202507/29/202510-Q
03/31/202505/01/202510-Q
12/31/202402/12/202510-K
09/30/202410/29/202410-Q
06/30/202407/30/202410-Q
03/31/202404/30/202410-Q
12/31/202302/21/202410-K
09/30/202310/31/202310-Q
06/30/202308/01/202310-Q
03/31/202305/02/202310-Q
12/31/202202/09/202310-K
09/30/202210/25/202210-Q
06/30/202207/26/202210-Q
03/31/202204/26/202210-Q
12/31/202102/22/202210-K
09/30/202110/26/202110-Q
06/30/202107/27/202110-Q
03/31/202104/27/202110-Q
12/31/202002/16/202110-K
09/30/202010/20/202010-Q
06/30/202007/22/202010-Q
03/31/202004/21/202010-Q
12/31/201902/11/202010-K
09/30/201910/22/201910-Q

Recent Forward Guidance

Updated 8/5/2026

Latest: Q2 2026 Earnings Reported 8/4/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Adjusted Cash FlowReported600.00 Mil650.00 Mil700.00 Mil-13.3% LoweredGuidance: 750.00 Mil for 2026
2026 Capital SpendingReported 450.00 Mil 0 AffirmedGuidance: 450.00 Mil for 2026
2026 Net SalesReported8.40 Bil8.50 Bil8.60 Bil0 AffirmedGuidance: 8.50 Bil for 2026
2026 Adjusted EBITDAReported1.05 Bil1.15 Bil1.25 Bil0 AffirmedGuidance: 1.15 Bil for 2026
2026 Adjusted EPSReported0.650.780.9-18.4% LoweredGuidance: 0.95 for 2026


Prior: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 5/5/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Adjusted Cash FlowReported700.00 Mil750.00 Mil800.00 Mil0 AffirmedGuidance: 750.00 Mil for 2026
2026 Capital SpendingReported 450.00 Mil 0 AffirmedGuidance: 450.00 Mil for 2026
2026 Net SalesReported8.40 Bil8.50 Bil8.60 Bil0 AffirmedGuidance: 8.50 Bil for 2026
2026 Adjusted EBITDAReported1.05 Bil1.15 Bil1.25 Bil0 AffirmedGuidance: 1.15 Bil for 2026
2026 Adjusted EPSReported0.750.951.150 AffirmedGuidance: 0.95 for 2026

Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/3/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Capital SpendingReported 450.00 Mil    
2026 Net SalesReported8.40 Bil8.50 Bil8.60 Bil0 Same NewGuidance: 8.50 Bil for 2025
2026 Adjusted EBITDAReported1.05 Bil1.15 Bil1.25 Bil-19.3% Lower NewGuidance: 1.43 Bil for 2025
2026 Adjusted EPSReported0.750.951.15-50.0% Lower NewGuidance: 1.9 for 2025
2026 Adjusted Free Cash FlowReported700.00 Mil750.00 Mil800.00 Mil   

Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 11/4/2025

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2025 Net SalesReported8.40 Bil8.50 Bil8.60 Bil0 AffirmedGuidance: 8.50 Bil for 2025
2025 Adjusted EBITDAReported1.40 Bil1.43 Bil1.45 Bil-5.0% LoweredGuidance: 1.50 Bil for 2025
2025 Adjusted EPSReported1.81.92-7.3% LoweredGuidance: 2.05 for 2025

Insider Activity

Updated 7/31/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Stafeil, Jeffrey DirectBuy52120260.0016,261  Form
2Hagemann, Robert DirectBuy511202611.0014,000153,9921,073,200Form
3Stafeil, Jeffrey DirectBuy511202611.1917,878200,001200,001Form
4Rietbroek, RobbertPresident and CEODirectBuy304202611.3244,278501,099501,099Form
5Yost, Joseph PEVP & President, AmericasDirectSell827202522.7230,000681,6005,798,212Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Stafeil, Jeffrey DirectBuy52120260.0016,261  Form
2Hagemann, Robert DirectBuy511202611.0014,000153,9921,073,200Form
3Stafeil, Jeffrey DirectBuy511202611.1917,878200,001200,001Form
4Rietbroek, RobbertPresident and CEODirectBuy304202611.3244,278501,099501,099Form
5Yost, Joseph PEVP & President, AmericasDirectSell827202522.7230,000681,6005,798,212Form
6Martens, Philip R DirectSell805202521.807,015152,927584,480Form
7Martens, Philip R DirectSell805202521.8456,7371,239,136738,760Form

Investor Activity (13F)

Updated Sep 3, 2026
13F holdings as of Mar 31, 2026 (Q1 2026)

Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.

Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Shapiro Capital Management LLC$42.5 Mil2.7%50TRIM -27.0%13F
Active Manager
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQAs OfFiling
Eminence Capital, LP$192.9 Mil3.1%39ExitedDec 31, 202513F
Shapiro Capital Management LLC$42.5 Mil2.7%50TRIM -27.0%Mar 31, 202613F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Shapiro Capital Management LLC$42.5 Mil2.7%50TRIM -27.0%13F
Core Cache Last Updated: 9/2/2026