Tearsheet

AutoZone (AZO)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $3393.6201 | Market Cap: $56.7 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Automotive Retail

AutoZone (AZO)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $3393.6201
Market Cap: $56.7 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Automotive Retail

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%, CFO LTM is 3.1 Bil
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -18%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -30%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 3.8x
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 23%
  Key risks
AZO key risks include the long-term transition to electric vehicles, Show more.
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, Automation & Robotics, and Automotive Aftermarket Innovation. Themes include Online Marketplaces, Show more.
  
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%, CFO LTM is 3.1 Bil
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 23%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, Automation & Robotics, and Automotive Aftermarket Innovation. Themes include Online Marketplaces, Show more.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -18%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -30%
4 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 3.8x
5 Key risks
AZO key risks include the long-term transition to electric vehicles, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

AZO Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

AutoZone (AZO) experienced a notable stock movement in the period surrounding Q3 and Q4 2025 earnings. While a precise -19.2% movement from August 31, 2025, to today cannot be pinpointed from the available information, several factors contributed to a negative market reaction and downward pressure on the stock during the latter part of 2025. Here are key points explaining AutoZone's stock performance: 1. 1. Q4 CY2025 Earnings Miss on EPS and Margins: AutoZone's Q4 CY2025 results, reported around December 2025, showed non-GAAP earnings per share (EPS) of $31.04, missing analyst consensus estimates of $32.69 by 5.1%. Additionally, the adjusted EBITDA of $932.4 million was below estimates, resulting in a 20.1% margin, a 2.9% miss. The operating margin also declined to 16.9% from 19.7% in the prior year's same quarter. 2. 2. Significant Non-Cash LIFO Charge: Management highlighted that a substantial non-cash LIFO (Last-In, First-Out) charge negatively impacted margins and earnings in Q4 CY2025. This charge contributed to the decline in gross margin and operating profit. 3.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
AZO Return-0%77%18%5%24%7%187%
Peers Return92%43%-9%-24%-19%-10%38%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
AZO Win Rate42%75%50%50%67%58% 
Peers Win Rate62%62%40%43%50%52% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
AZO Max Drawdown-39%-6%-15%-6%-2%-0% 
Peers Max Drawdown-49%-6%-33%-35%-32%-26% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ORLY, AAP, GPC, LKQ, PRTS. See AZO Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventAZOS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-21.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven27.2%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven84 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-39.3%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven64.7%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven129 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-37.9%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven60.9%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven191 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-36.9%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven58.4%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven78 days1480 days

Compare to ORLY, LEA, GNTX, AAP, ONEW


In The Past

AutoZone's stock fell -21.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/20/2022. A -21.4% loss requires a 27.2% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About AutoZone (AZO)

Better Bets than AutoZone (AZO)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to AZO. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
12.8%12.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.4%5.4%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.5%15.5%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.3%15.3%-1.6%
AZO_5312023_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%05312023AZOAutoZoneQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
8.8%16.2%-3.4%
AZO_4302022_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%04302022AZOAutoZoneQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
30.1%36.2%-9.4%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
12.8%12.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.4%5.4%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.5%15.5%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.3%15.3%-1.6%
AZO_5312023_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%05312023AZOAutoZoneQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
8.8%16.2%-3.4%
AZO_4302022_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%04302022AZOAutoZoneQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
30.1%36.2%-9.4%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for AutoZone

Peers to compare with:

Financials

AZOORLYAAPGPCLKQPRTSMedian
NameAutoZone O'Reilly.Advance .Genuine .LKQ CarParts. 
Mkt Price3,393.3592.8542.79128.0630.150.4367.82
Mkt Cap56.778.82.617.87.80.012.8
Rev LTM18,93917,4638,62524,06114,04656115,755
Op Inc LTM3,6103,371-7481,4151,255-531,335
FCF LTM1,7901,563-401134676-33405
FCF 3Y Avg1,9551,968-426317951713
CFO LTM3,1172,753-191666948-25807
CFO 3Y Avg3,0213,0021691,1401,094151,117

Growth & Margins

AZOORLYAAPGPCLKQPRTSMedian
NameAutoZone O'Reilly.Advance .Genuine .LKQ CarParts. 
Rev Chg LTM2.4%6.2%-5.3%3.3%-3.0%-8.3%-0.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg5.3%7.5%-7.4%4.1%2.4%-4.4%3.2%
Rev Chg Q0.6%7.8%-5.2%4.9%-1.9%-11.7%-0.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.2%2.0%-1.3%1.2%-0.5%-2.9%-0.1%
Op Mgn LTM19.1%19.3%-8.7%5.9%8.9%-9.5%7.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg19.8%19.7%-2.2%6.7%9.8%-5.3%8.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.6%0.1%0.4%0.1%-0.4%-0.3%-0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM16.5%15.8%-2.2%2.8%6.7%-4.4%4.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg16.5%18.3%1.9%4.9%8.0%1.9%6.4%
FCF/Rev LTM9.5%8.9%-4.7%0.6%4.8%-6.0%2.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg10.7%12.0%-0.5%2.7%5.8%-0.3%4.3%

Valuation

AZOORLYAAPGPCLKQPRTSMedian
NameAutoZone O'Reilly.Advance .Genuine .LKQ CarParts. 
Mkt Cap56.778.82.617.87.80.012.8
P/S3.85.20.40.80.60.10.7
P/EBIT19.827.0-4.416.16.5-16.1
P/E28.736.8-9.823.811.1-0.817.5
P/CFO23.033.2-19.329.08.3-1.715.7
Total Yield3.5%2.7%-8.6%7.1%13.0%-131.2%3.1%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%1.6%2.9%4.0%0.0%0.8%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg3.6%3.0%0.1%3.2%7.6%-3.2%
D/E0.20.11.40.30.8-0.3
Net D/E0.20.10.60.30.7-0.3

Returns

AZOORLYAAPGPCLKQPRTSMedian
NameAutoZone O'Reilly.Advance .Genuine .LKQ CarParts. 
1M Rtn-12.0%-6.7%-12.5%2.0%0.9%-11.1%-8.9%
3M Rtn-19.8%-11.2%-31.4%-7.3%-2.1%-43.9%-15.5%
6M Rtn-5.8%5.1%-11.1%9.4%-16.6%-47.2%-8.4%
12M Rtn2.2%11.8%-1.6%11.6%-14.8%-53.8%0.3%
3Y Rtn42.6%71.6%-67.5%-21.1%-37.7%-93.7%-29.4%
1M Excs Rtn-12.7%-7.5%-13.3%1.2%0.1%-11.8%-9.6%
3M Excs Rtn-19.2%-11.8%-29.8%-7.8%-3.5%-46.6%-15.5%
6M Excs Rtn-18.2%-7.3%-23.4%-3.0%-29.0%-59.5%-20.8%
12M Excs Rtn-10.4%-1.5%-11.3%-2.0%-29.0%-67.5%-10.8%
3Y Excs Rtn-30.0%-1.5%-136.9%-91.8%-107.7%-161.2%-99.8%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil2025202420232022
Auto Parts Stores17,14515,96314,38212,406
Other312289248226
Total17,45716,25214,63012,632


Assets by Segment
$ Mil2025202420232022
Auto Parts Stores15,66515,06114,39914,303
Other321214118120
Total15,98615,27514,51614,424


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity300,940
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520252.2%
Average Daily Volume105,147
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.86
Basic Shares Quantity16,711,000
Short % of Basic Shares1.8%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
12/9/2025-7.2%  
9/23/2025-0.0%3.7%-2.8%
5/27/2025-3.4%-2.0%-8.8%
3/4/2025-0.1%6.1%9.6%
12/10/20240.7%0.8%-2.2%
9/24/2024-0.2%3.3%4.0%
5/21/2024-3.5%-4.2%2.9%
2/27/20246.7%11.2%15.2%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive81213
# Negative161211
Median Positive2.3%5.9%8.2%
Median Negative-2.6%-2.6%-4.2%
Max Positive7.6%14.1%21.9%
Max Negative-7.2%-6.3%-19.2%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
83120251027202510-K 8/30/2025
5312025613202510-Q 5/10/2025
2282025321202510-Q 2/15/2025
113020241220202410-Q 11/23/2024
83120241028202410-K 8/31/2024
5312024607202410-Q 5/4/2024
2292024315202410-Q 2/10/2024
113020231218202310-Q 11/18/2023
83120231024202310-K 8/26/2023
5312023609202310-Q 5/6/2023
2282023317202310-Q 2/11/2023
113020221220202210-Q 11/19/2022
83120221024202210-K 8/27/2022
5312022610202210-Q 5/7/2022
2282022318202210-Q 2/12/2022
113020211217202110-Q 11/20/2021