Tearsheet

Astria Therapeutics (ATXS)


Market Price (12/5/2025): $13.11 | Market Cap: $760.4 Mil
Sector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology

Astria Therapeutics (ATXS)


Market Price (12/5/2025): $13.11
Market Cap: $760.4 Mil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Biotechnology

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -82%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%
Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Biotechnology & Genomics. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Biopharmaceutical R&D, Show more.
Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -44%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -131 Mil
2   Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 151%
3   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -42%
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -82%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, and Biotechnology & Genomics. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Biopharmaceutical R&D, Show more.
2 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%
3 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -44%
4 Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
5 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -131 Mil
6 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 151%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -42%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

ATXS Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are key points explaining the 112% stock movement for Astria Therapeutics (ATXS) for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 5, 2025:



1. Acquisition by BioCryst Pharmaceuticals: Astria Therapeutics (ATXS) is undergoing an acquisition by BioCryst Pharmaceuticals in a cash-and-stock deal valued at approximately $700 million. This significant corporate event, which offers Astria shareholders $8.55 per share in cash and 0.59 shares of BioCryst common stock per Astria share, has been a primary driver of investor interest.

2. Antitrust Approval for Merger: The merger received a crucial regulatory clearance with the early termination of the waiting period mandated by the Hart-Scott-Rodino Antitrust Improvements Act of 1976, announced in December 2025. This approval fulfills a critical condition for the merger's completion, which is anticipated in the first quarter of 2026.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
ATXS Return-64%-58%176%-48%16%47%-63%
Peers Return2%-1%6%8%-0%2%17%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%17%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ATXS Win Rate50%33%58%25%50%40% 
Peers Win Rate13%8%13%12%10%90% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ATXS Max Drawdown-78%-60%-54%-70%-9%-58% 
Peers Max Drawdown-2%-5%0%-0%-1%-2% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: VRTX, AIXC, ALPS, BBOT, EVMN.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/4/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventATXSS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-90.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven912.2%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-83.9%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven521.2%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-92.0%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1151.9%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days

Compare to VRTX, AIXC, ALPS, BBOT, EVMN


In The Past

Astria Therapeutics's stock fell -90.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/29/2021. A -90.1% loss requires a 912.2% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Astria Therapeutics (ATXS)

Better Bets than Astria Therapeutics (ATXS)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to ATXS. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
10.0%10.0%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.7%-7.7%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.9%6.9%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.5%11.5%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
8.9%8.9%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
10.0%10.0%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.7%-7.7%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.9%6.9%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.5%11.5%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
8.9%8.9%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Astria Therapeutics

Peers to compare with:

Financials

ATXSVRTXAIXCALPSBBOTEVMNMedian
NameAstria T.Vertex P.AIxCryptoALPS BridgeBi.Evommune  
Mkt Price13.12457.362.631.1711.5421.9312.33
Mkt Cap0.8116.9----58.8
Rev LTM011,7230-0100
Op Inc LTM-131-92-5--93-70-92
FCF LTM-1153,337-6--60-64-60
FCF 3Y Avg-802,064-10----10
CFO LTM-1153,718-6--60-64-60
CFO 3Y Avg-802,419-10----10

Growth & Margins

ATXSVRTXAIXCALPSBBOTEVMNMedian
NameAstria T.Vertex P.AIxCryptoALPS BridgeBi.Evommune  
Rev Chg LTM-10.3%----10.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-10.5%----10.5%
Rev Chg Q-11.0%----11.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-2.7%----2.7%
Op Mgn LTM--0.8%----700.7%-350.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-26.2%----26.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-1.0%----1.0%
CFO/Rev LTM-31.7%----635.6%-302.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-23.1%----23.1%
FCF/Rev LTM-28.5%----636.5%-304.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-19.8%----19.8%

Valuation

ATXSVRTXAIXCALPSBBOTEVMNMedian
NameAstria T.Vertex P.AIxCryptoALPS BridgeBi.Evommune  
Mkt Cap0.8116.9----58.8
P/S-8.5----8.5
P/EBIT-2.422.4----10.0
P/E-2.727.2----12.3
P/CFO-2.726.9----12.1
Total Yield-37.6%3.7%-----17.0%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%----0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-24.0%2.3%-----10.9%
D/E0.00.0----0.0
Net D/E-0.8-0.0-----0.4

Returns

ATXSVRTXAIXCALPSBBOTEVMNMedian
NameAstria T.Vertex P.AIxCryptoALPS BridgeBi.Evommune  
1M Rtn7.1%8.5%-23.2%-4.6%-7.8%
3M Rtn87.4%15.2%--14.5%-15.2%
6M Rtn151.3%3.1%----77.2%
12M Rtn29.4%-1.4%----14.0%
3Y Rtn27.1%44.0%----35.6%
1M Excs Rtn5.8%7.2%-22.0%-5.9%-6.5%
3M Excs Rtn68.7%9.7%--10.8%-10.8%
6M Excs Rtn135.9%-12.4%----61.7%
12M Excs Rtn13.1%-15.2%-----1.0%
3Y Excs Rtn-43.7%-28.7%-----36.2%

Financials

Segment Financials

Net Income by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Discovery, development and commercialization of novel therapeutics for allergic and immunologic-73    
Total-73    


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Discovery, development and commercialization of novel therapeutics for allergic and immunologic 2311284742
Total 2311284742


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity5,086,350
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202561.8%
Average Daily Volume1,123,340
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.53
Basic Shares Quantity58,005,312
Short % of Basic Shares8.8%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025812202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025513202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024311202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241113202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024812202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023304202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231113202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023807202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023511202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022322202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221110202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022809202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022512202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021310202210-K 12/31/2021
93020211110202110-Q 9/30/2021