KalVista Pharmaceuticals (KALV)
Market Price (12/21/2025): $15.17 | Market Cap: $817.4 MilSector: Health Care | Industry: Biotechnology
KalVista Pharmaceuticals (KALV)
Market Price (12/21/2025): $15.17Market Cap: $817.4 MilSector: Health CareIndustry: Biotechnology
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -19% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -2.2% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -198 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -1310% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precision Medicine. Themes include Targeted Therapies, and Biopharmaceutical R&D. | Meaningful short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 10.01 | Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 77% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -30% | ||
| Significant short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 27% | ||
| Key risksKALV key risks include [1] its heavy reliance on the commercial success of its single approved drug, Show more. |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -19% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Precision Medicine. Themes include Targeted Therapies, and Biopharmaceutical R&D. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -2.2% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 10.01 |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -198 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -1310% |
| Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 77% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -30% |
| Significant short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 27% |
| Key risksKALV key risks include [1] its heavy reliance on the commercial success of its single approved drug, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
KALV Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
For the period from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 21, 2025, KalVista Pharmaceuticals (KALV) experienced a positive stock movement, driven by several key factors:
**1. Strong Commercial Launch and Adoption of EKTERLY:**
The successful launch and accelerating adoption of EKTERLY, KalVista's oral on-demand treatment for hereditary angioedema (HAE), significantly contributed to positive investor sentiment. By September 2025, the company reported 460 patient start forms for EKTERLY since its July launch, with over 4,000 patients added to its database, indicating strong physician interest. Further updates by November 2025 highlighted 937 patient start forms, covering approximately 8% of diagnosed HAE patients in the US, suggesting a potential revenue of about $31 million.
**2. Exceeding Financial Expectations in Quarterly Reports:**
KalVista consistently surpassed financial forecasts during this period. The company reported fiscal first-quarter 2026 net revenue of $1.4 million, which notably exceeded the forecast of $951,670. Additionally, in its third-quarter earnings announcement, KalVista reported an earnings per share of ($0.92), outperforming the consensus estimate of ($0.96), and revenues of $13.69 million, significantly above the $6.03 million consensus. These financial beats likely boosted investor confidence.
**3. Expansion of Global Regulatory Approvals for EKTERLY:**
The expanding global reach of EKTERLY also fueled positive stock movement. The launch of EKTERLY in Germany and its approval in Australia contributed to a total of five regulatory approvals, signaling increased market penetration and future revenue potential for the company.
**4. Positive Analyst Sentiment and Upgraded Price Targets:**
Analysts showed increasing confidence in KalVista's outlook, leading to positive revisions. JMP Securities, for example, raised its price objective for KalVista from $27.00 to $28.00 and maintained a "market outperform" rating in September 2025. This positive sentiment was further reflected as the stock reached a new 52-week high by December 2025 and maintained an average analyst rating of "Moderate Buy" with a target price of $26.63.
**5. Successful Capital Raise to Support Commercialization:**
KalVista strengthened its financial position through a successful upsized offering of $125.0 million in 3.250% Convertible Senior Notes due 2031 in September 2025. The net proceeds from this offering were earmarked for working capital and other general corporate purposes, including the crucial commercialization efforts for EKTERLY, providing the company with resources for continued growth.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| KALV Return | 7% | -30% | -49% | 81% | -31% | 77% | -16% |
| Peers Return | 33% | 12% | -0% | -5% | -19% | 71% | 96% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| KALV Win Rate | 58% | 33% | 50% | 58% | 33% | 58% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 52% | 53% | 57% | 43% | 42% | 53% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| KALV Max Drawdown | -67% | -35% | -68% | -7% | -34% | -13% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -36% | -21% | -27% | -29% | -32% | -28% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: BCRX, IONS, BMRN, REGN, ARWR. See KALV Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/19/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | KALV | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -90.1% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 913.6% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -68.7% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 220.0% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 238 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -66.8% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 201.6% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 490 days | 120 days |
Compare to OCUL, ALPS, EVMN, MPLT, TTRX
In The Past
KalVista Pharmaceuticals's stock fell -90.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/12/2021. A -90.1% loss requires a 913.6% gain to breakeven.
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to KALV. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 17.4% | 17.4% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -6.7% | -6.7% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.9% | 10.9% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 2.7% | 2.7% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 11.4% | 11.4% | -5.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 17.4% | 17.4% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -6.7% | -6.7% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.9% | 10.9% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 2.7% | 2.7% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 11.4% | 11.4% | -5.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for KalVista Pharmaceuticals
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 64.66 |
| Mkt Cap | 10.6 |
| Rev LTM | 898 |
| Op Inc LTM | 87 |
| FCF LTM | 157 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -40 |
| CFO LTM | 180 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | -39 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 20.4% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 15.5% |
| Rev Chg Q | 10.6% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 5.0% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 12.3% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -10.3% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 1.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 21.6% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -13.3% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 18.9% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -13.7% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 10.6 |
| P/S | 8.5 |
| P/EBIT | 16.2 |
| P/E | -26.7 |
| P/CFO | 15.7 |
| Total Yield | -0.3% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -3.0% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | -0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 12.7% |
| 3M Rtn | 22.8% |
| 6M Rtn | 38.2% |
| 12M Rtn | 46.1% |
| 3Y Rtn | 44.3% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 7.3% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 20.6% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 25.6% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 27.3% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -15.8% |
FDA Approved Drugs Data
Expand for More| Post-Approval Fwd Returns | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FDA App # | Brand Name | Generic Name | Dosage Form | FDA Approval | 3M Rtn | 6M Rtn | 1Y Rtn | 2Y Rtn | Total Rtn |
| NDA219301 | EKTERLY | sebetralstat | tablet | 7032025 | -0.3% | 29.3% | 29.3% | 29.3% | 29.3% |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/10/2025 | 5.3% | 36.5% | 55.2% |
| 7/10/2025 | -3.0% | -1.3% | -20.8% |
| 3/12/2025 | -1.6% | -2.8% | -15.3% |
| 12/5/2024 | 8.3% | -3.4% | -3.3% |
| 7/11/2024 | 4.3% | 13.6% | 3.2% |
| 2/16/2024 | -7.1% | -7.9% | -20.3% |
| 12/7/2023 | -9.0% | 17.1% | 42.4% |
| 7/10/2023 | -6.4% | -8.4% | 3.2% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 9 | 10 | 8 |
| # Negative | 11 | 10 | 12 |
| Median Positive | 4.9% | 8.8% | 18.1% |
| Median Negative | -5.3% | -4.6% | -14.4% |
| Max Positive | 8.3% | 36.5% | 55.2% |
| Max Negative | -14.8% | -27.5% | -20.8% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11102025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 7312025 | 9112025 | 10-Q 7/31/2025 |
| 4302025 | 7102025 | 10-K 4/30/2025 |
| 1312025 | 3122025 | 10-Q 1/31/2025 |
| 10312024 | 12052024 | 10-Q 10/31/2024 |
| 7312024 | 9052024 | 10-Q 7/31/2024 |
| 4302024 | 7112024 | 10-K 4/30/2024 |
| 1312024 | 3112024 | 10-Q 1/31/2024 |
| 10312023 | 12072023 | 10-Q 10/31/2023 |
| 7312023 | 9072023 | 10-Q 7/31/2023 |
| 4302023 | 7102023 | 10-K 4/30/2023 |
| 1312023 | 3092023 | 10-Q 1/31/2023 |
| 10312022 | 12082022 | 10-Q 10/31/2022 |
| 7312022 | 9082022 | 10-Q 7/31/2022 |
| 4302022 | 7072022 | 10-K 4/30/2022 |
| 1312022 | 3102022 | 10-Q 1/31/2022 |
Industry Resources
External Quote Links
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