Tearsheet

BioCryst Pharmaceuticals (BCRX)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $7.13 | Market Cap: $1.5 Bil
Sector: Health Care | Industry: Pharmaceuticals

BioCryst Pharmaceuticals (BCRX)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $7.13
Market Cap: $1.5 Bil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Pharmaceuticals

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 45%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -30%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -104%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 32x
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 49%
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 10.7, Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 18%
Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.7%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Rare Disease Therapeutics, Targeted Therapies, Show more.
  Key risks
BCRX key risks include [1] significant financial distress, Show more.
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 45%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 49%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Rare Disease Therapeutics, Targeted Therapies, Show more.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -30%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -104%
4 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 10.7, Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 18%
5 Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 32x
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.7%
7 Key risks
BCRX key risks include [1] significant financial distress, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

BCRX Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The following are key points highlighting potential reasons for BioCryst Pharmaceuticals (BCRX) stock movement from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025: 1. Q3 2025 Revenue Miss: BioCryst Pharmaceuticals reported its third-quarter 2025 financial results on November 3, 2025, with revenue of $159.40 million. This figure missed analysts' consensus expectations of $162.97 million, despite the company reporting an earnings per share (EPS) beat.

2. Analyst Downgrades and Revised Price Targets: In early November 2025, several financial analysts revised their outlook on BCRX, contributing to potential downward pressure on the stock. Notably, Zacks Research downgraded BioCryst Pharmaceuticals from a "strong-buy" rating to a "hold" rating on November 4th. Similarly, Barclays lowered its price target for the company from $11.00 to $9.00 and maintained an "equal weight" rating on the same day.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
BCRX Return116%86%-17%-48%26%-1%117%
Peers Return6%-5%9%35%-13%52%98%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
BCRX Win Rate67%67%67%33%50%50% 
Peers Win Rate50%47%52%55%45%65% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
BCRX Max Drawdown-54%-1%-43%-57%-31%-15% 
Peers Max Drawdown-25%-24%-21%-8%-22%-17% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: VRTX, REGN, IONS, KALV, GILD.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventBCRXS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-74.8%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven296.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-61.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven156.9%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven51 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-83.7%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven513.2%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven445 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-93.1%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1351.1%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven279 days1480 days

Compare to LHI, LLY, JNJ, MRK, PFE


In The Past

BioCryst Pharmaceuticals's stock fell -74.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/16/2022. A -74.8% loss requires a 296.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

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Asset Allocation

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About BioCryst Pharmaceuticals (BCRX)

Better Bets than BioCryst Pharmaceuticals (BCRX)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to BCRX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.1%-7.1%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.6%3.6%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
1.6%1.6%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.1%-7.1%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.6%3.6%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
1.6%1.6%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for BioCryst Pharmaceuticals

Peers to compare with:

Financials

BCRXVRTXREGNIONSKALVGILDMedian
NameBioCryst.Vertex P.Regenero.Ionis Ph.KalVista.Gilead S. 
Mkt Price7.13449.52749.7977.0814.85121.3699.22
Mkt Cap1.5114.977.712.30.8150.945.0
Rev LTM60011,72314,2489671529,0866,345
Op Inc LTM76-923,807-278-19811,151-8
FCF LTM483,3373,881-309-9,1623,337
FCF 3Y Avg-402,0643,853-420-8,8152,064
CFO LTM503,7185,071-247-9,6673,718
CFO 3Y Avg-392,4194,848-380-9,3642,419

Growth & Margins

BCRXVRTXREGNIONSKALVGILDMedian
NameBioCryst.Vertex P.Regenero.Ionis Ph.KalVista.Gilead S. 
Rev Chg LTM45.4%10.3%2.9%20.4%-2.8%10.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg36.2%10.5%1.4%7.1%-2.3%7.1%
Rev Chg Q36.1%11.0%0.9%17.1%-3.0%11.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM7.6%2.7%0.2%2.4%960.2%0.8%2.5%
Op Mgn LTM12.7%-0.8%26.7%-28.8%-1,309.8%38.3%6.0%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-10.3%26.2%30.0%-55.1%-39.2%26.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM3.0%1.0%-0.9%-0.5%12,559.5%0.9%0.9%
CFO/Rev LTM8.4%31.7%35.6%-25.5%-33.2%31.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-13.3%23.1%35.4%-52.4%-33.1%23.1%
FCF/Rev LTM8.0%28.5%27.2%-32.0%-31.5%27.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-13.7%19.8%28.2%-57.4%-31.2%19.8%

Valuation

BCRXVRTXREGNIONSKALVGILDMedian
NameBioCryst.Vertex P.Regenero.Ionis Ph.KalVista.Gilead S. 
Mkt Cap1.5114.977.712.30.8150.945.0
P/S2.78.54.110.852.94.76.6
P/EBIT19.322.411.2-60.0-4.212.711.9
P/E-181.727.212.7-40.8-3.817.04.5
P/CFO31.826.911.5-42.3-14.314.3
Total Yield-0.6%3.7%8.3%-2.5%-26.3%8.8%1.6%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.5%0.0%0.0%2.9%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-3.0%2.3%4.9%-6.0%-8.0%2.3%
D/E0.40.00.00.10.20.20.2
Net D/E0.3-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.20.1-0.1

Returns

BCRXVRTXREGNIONSKALVGILDMedian
NameBioCryst.Vertex P.Regenero.Ionis Ph.KalVista.Gilead S. 
1M Rtn1.4%3.6%6.5%5.2%-0.1%-1.6%2.5%
3M Rtn-7.4%16.1%28.2%26.0%11.0%8.8%13.5%
6M Rtn-28.4%0.2%46.4%108.3%20.6%13.9%17.3%
12M Rtn-4.8%-4.2%1.9%104.6%71.7%34.4%18.2%
3Y Rtn-34.8%47.5%4.3%99.4%163.8%55.4%51.5%
1M Excs Rtn0.7%2.8%5.7%4.5%-0.8%-2.3%1.8%
3M Excs Rtn-11.8%14.8%24.0%23.5%5.6%6.2%10.5%
6M Excs Rtn-40.8%-12.1%34.0%95.9%8.3%1.5%4.9%
12M Excs Rtn-16.4%-14.1%-8.0%99.5%59.8%24.7%8.4%
3Y Excs Rtn-104.3%-25.4%-66.9%33.0%82.8%-14.8%-20.1%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment331    
Collaborative and other revenues 361125
Product sales, net 268136318
Milestone revenue  15  
Royalty revenue  -036
Total3312711571849


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment-227    
Total-227    


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity37,382,162
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520252.5%
Average Daily Volume3,492,816
Days-to-Cover Short Interest10.70
Basic Shares Quantity210,176,000
Short % of Basic Shares17.8%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/14/2025-8.8%-1.6%2.7%
8/4/20259.8%4.4%4.3%
5/5/202523.5%11.6%25.3%
2/24/2025-10.0%-6.5%-12.6%
11/4/2024-12.8%-7.7%-14.7%
8/5/20247.0%8.7%17.5%
5/6/202418.4%19.6%51.5%
2/26/20241.4%-1.6%-14.0%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive11914
# Negative131510
Median Positive9.8%11.6%15.7%
Median Negative-8.8%-6.5%-13.5%
Max Positive23.5%32.4%52.5%
Max Negative-18.1%-26.2%-43.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251104202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025805202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025506202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024225202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241105202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024806202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024507202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023227202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231108202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023807202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023508202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022227202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221104202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022805202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022509202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021228202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

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 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0SANDERS MACHELLE 11172025Sell7.149,60068,544218,784Form