Tearsheet

BioCryst Pharmaceuticals (BCRX)


Market Price (4/14/2026): $9.41 | Market Cap: $2.0 Bil
Sector: Health Care | Industry: Pharmaceuticals

BioCryst Pharmaceuticals (BCRX)


Market Price (4/14/2026): $9.41
Market Cap: $2.0 Bil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Pharmaceuticals

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 13%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 9.3%, FCF Yield is 17%

Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 94%

Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 39%

Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 40%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 39%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Rare Disease Therapeutics, Targeted Therapies, Show more.

Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -58%

Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 17%

Key risks
BCRX key risks include [1] significant financial distress, Show more.

0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 13%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 9.3%, FCF Yield is 17%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 94%
2 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 39%
3 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 40%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 39%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Rare Disease Therapeutics, Targeted Therapies, Show more.
5 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -58%
6 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 17%
7 Key risks
BCRX key risks include [1] significant financial distress, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

BioCryst Pharmaceuticals (BCRX) stock has gained about 20% since 12/31/2025 because of the following key factors:

1. BioCryst reported robust full-year 2025 ORLADEYO revenue of $601 million, exceeding prior guidance and representing a 37% year-over-year increase, or 43% excluding European revenue. The company also provided strong full-year 2026 ORLADEYO revenue guidance of $625 million to $645 million, indicating approximately 13% growth over 2025 revenues adjusted for Europe, demonstrating continued market strength for its lead product.

2. The strategic acquisition of Astria Therapeutics in January 2026 significantly expanded BioCryst's hereditary angioedema (HAE) pipeline by adding navenibart, a late-stage, long-acting plasma kallikrein inhibitor currently in Phase 3 clinical development. This acquisition is seen by analysts as a key catalyst to drive future revenue growth, with some projections for BioCryst's total revenue to exceed $2 billion by 2032.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 20.6% change in BCRX stock from 12/31/2025 to 4/13/2026 was primarily driven by a 45.9% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)123120254132026Change
Stock Price ($)7.809.4120.6%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)60087545.9%
P/S Multiple2.72.3-17.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)210211-0.4%
Cumulative Contribution20.6%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/31/2025 to 4/13/2026
ReturnCorrelation
BCRX20.6% 
Market (SPY)-5.4%10.5%
Sector (XLV)-4.4%32.1%

Fundamental Drivers

The 24.0% change in BCRX stock from 9/30/2025 to 4/13/2026 was primarily driven by a 56.9% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)93020254132026Change
Stock Price ($)7.599.4124.0%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)55887556.9%
P/S Multiple2.92.3-20.4%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)210211-0.7%
Cumulative Contribution24.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

9/30/2025 to 4/13/2026
ReturnCorrelation
BCRX24.0% 
Market (SPY)-2.9%16.3%
Sector (XLV)6.8%18.4%

Fundamental Drivers

The 25.5% change in BCRX stock from 3/31/2025 to 4/13/2026 was primarily driven by a 94.1% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)33120254132026Change
Stock Price ($)7.509.4125.5%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)45187594.1%
P/S Multiple3.52.3-34.2%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)207211-1.7%
Cumulative Contribution25.5%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

3/31/2025 to 4/13/2026
ReturnCorrelation
BCRX25.5% 
Market (SPY)16.3%27.9%
Sector (XLV)2.7%31.2%

Fundamental Drivers

The 12.8% change in BCRX stock from 3/31/2023 to 4/13/2026 was primarily driven by a 223.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)33120234132026Change
Stock Price ($)8.349.4112.8%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)271875223.0%
P/S Multiple5.82.3-60.6%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)187211-11.4%
Cumulative Contribution12.8%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

3/31/2023 to 4/13/2026
ReturnCorrelation
BCRX12.8% 
Market (SPY)63.3%23.7%
Sector (XLV)19.7%26.5%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
BCRX Return86%-17%-48%26%4%23%28%
Peers Return-5%9%35%-13%55%4%99%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%-0%81%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
BCRX Win Rate67%67%33%50%50%75% 
Peers Win Rate47%52%55%45%65%45% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%50% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
BCRX Max Drawdown-1%-43%-57%-31%-15%-20% 
Peers Max Drawdown-24%-21%-8%-22%-17%-7% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-1%-25%-1%-2%-15%-7% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: VRTX, REGN, IONS, KALV, GILD.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 4/13/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventBCRXS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-74.8%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven296.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-61.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven156.9%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven51 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-83.7%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven513.2%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven445 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-93.1%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1351.1%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven279 days1,480 days

Compare to VRTX, REGN, IONS, KALV, GILD

In The Past

BioCryst Pharmaceuticals's stock fell -74.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/16/2022. A -74.8% loss requires a 296.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About BioCryst Pharmaceuticals (BCRX)

BioCryst Pharmaceuticals, Inc., a biotechnology company, discovers novel, oral, and small-molecule medicines. The company markets peramivir injection, an intravenous neuraminidase inhibitor for the treatment of acute uncomplicated influenza under the RAPIVAB, RAPIACTA, and PERAMIFLU names; and ORLADEYO, an oral serine protease inhibitor to treat hereditary angioedema. It is also developing BCX9930, an oral factor D inhibitor, which is in Phase II clinical trial for complement-mediated diseases; BCX9250, an oral activin receptor-like kinase-2 inhibitor that is in Phase I clinical trial to treat fibrodysplasia ossificans progressiva; and Galidesivir, a RNA dependent-RNA polymerase inhibitor, which is in Phase I clinical trial to treat various RNA viruses, including Marburg, Yellow Fever, Ebola, and Zika. The company has collaborations and in-license relationships with the Torii Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd.; Seqirus UK Limited; Shionogi & Co., Ltd.; Green Cross Corporation; Mundipharma International Holdings Limited; National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases; Biomedical Advanced Research and Development Authority; the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services; and The University of Alabama at Birmingham, as well as Albert Einstein College of Medicine of Yeshiva University and Industrial Research, Ltd. BioCryst Pharmaceuticals, Inc. was founded in 1986 and is headquartered in Durham, North Carolina.

AI Analysis | Feedback

1. They are like a **Vertex Pharmaceuticals** for rare diseases, but also developing antiviral medicines.

2. Think of them as a specialized **Gilead Sciences** that also has a strong focus on developing oral drugs for rare diseases.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • RAPIVAB (peramivir injection): An intravenous neuraminidase inhibitor for the treatment of acute uncomplicated influenza.
  • ORLADEYO: An oral serine protease inhibitor used to treat hereditary angioedema.
  • BCX9930: An oral factor D inhibitor currently in Phase II clinical trials for complement-mediated diseases.
  • BCX9250: An oral activin receptor-like kinase-2 inhibitor in Phase I clinical trials for fibrodysplasia ossificans progressiva.
  • Galidesivir: A RNA dependent-RNA polymerase inhibitor in Phase I clinical trials for various RNA viruses, including Marburg, Yellow Fever, Ebola, and Zika.

AI Analysis | Feedback

BioCryst Pharmaceuticals (BCRX) sells primarily to other companies through collaboration and in-license relationships for the distribution and marketing of its pharmaceutical products in various regions. The major customer companies identified from the provided description are:

  • Torii Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. (TYO: 4551)
  • Seqirus UK Limited (a subsidiary of CSL Limited, ASX: CSL)
  • Shionogi & Co., Ltd. (TYO: 4507)
  • Green Cross Corporation (KRX: 006280)
  • Mundipharma International Holdings Limited (private company)

AI Analysis | Feedback

null

AI Analysis | Feedback

Charlie Gayer, President and Chief Executive Officer

Charlie Gayer was appointed President of BioCryst Pharmaceuticals in August 2025 and assumed the role of Chief Executive Officer on January 1, 2026. He also joined the Board of Directors in January 2026. Mr. Gayer joined BioCryst in 2015 as Vice President of Global Strategic Marketing and was promoted to Chief Commercial Officer in January 2020. Before joining BioCryst, he held several U.S. and global commercial leadership positions in rare disease categories at Talecris Biotherapeutics, Inc., where he led U.S. alpha-1 antitrypsin deficiency marketing and later European sales and marketing. After Talecris was acquired by Grifols, S.A., Mr. Gayer led the U.S. marketing team for the combined immune globulin product portfolio. Earlier in his career, he spent six years at GlaxoSmithKline in various marketing and sales roles. He began his career as a strategic consultant for biopharmaceutical companies and served as a business analyst at Genzyme Corporation for three years. Mr. Gayer earned his B.A. in politics from Princeton University and his M.B.A. from the Fuqua School of Business of Duke University.

Babar Ghias, Chief Financial Officer and Head of Corporate Development

Babar Ghias was appointed Chief Financial Officer and Head of Corporate Development at BioCryst Pharmaceuticals, effective July 7, 2025. Prior to joining BioCryst, Mr. Ghias served as CFO at AvenCell Therapeutics since 2022. He previously served as executive vice president of investments and portfolio management at Paragon Biosciences, a global biotech development firm. At Paragon, he launched four biotechnology companies focused on rare diseases. From 2014 to 2017, Mr. Ghias was CFO and head of corporate development at Marathon Pharmaceuticals, a specialty rare disease company, where he prepared the company for a commercial launch and led its successful sale. He has raised over $1 billion in capital for companies he has been involved with. Earlier in his career, for over a decade, he was an investment banker at Credit Suisse, where he provided strategic advice to clients and boards of directors in the healthcare and life sciences industries, closing over $80 billion in transactions. Mr. Ghias holds an M.B.A. with honors from Washington University in St. Louis and a B.S. in economics from Lahore University of Management Sciences in Pakistan.

William P. Sheridan, Chief Development Officer

Dr. William P. Sheridan became Chief Development Officer at BioCryst Pharmaceuticals on September 14, 2022, focusing on advancing the company's pipeline. He initially joined BioCryst in July 2008 as Chief Medical Officer. Before his tenure at BioCryst, Dr. Sheridan spent 15 years at Amgen, Inc., where he held various Vice President-level roles, including Vice President-North American Medical Affairs. At Amgen, he was instrumental in building the international medical affairs function and contributing to the successful launch of numerous compounds, such as Aranesp®, Enbrel®, Kineret®, Neulasta®, and Sensipar®. Prior to Amgen, he served as the Head of the Bone Marrow Transplant Service at Royal Melbourne Hospital. Dr. Sheridan earned his MB BS degree (MD equivalent) at the University of Melbourne in Victoria, Australia. He is a board-certified Fellow of the Royal Australasian College of Physicians, with a sub-specialty in medical oncology, and a Fellow of the American College of Physicians.

Ryan Arnold, Chief Medical Officer

Dr. Ryan Arnold was appointed Chief Medical Officer of BioCryst Pharmaceuticals on September 15, 2022. He joined BioCryst in March 2022 as Senior Vice President of Global Medical Affairs. Dr. Arnold has over 20 years of industry experience, with prior roles of increasing responsibility in medical affairs at various companies, including Amgen, Genzyme, Biogen, Sage Therapeutics, and Annexon Biosciences. Throughout his career, he has contributed to building and leading medical functions, supporting the development and launch of numerous specialty and rare disease products across neurology, hematology, immunology, oncology, and other areas. Dr. Arnold holds a Doctorate of Osteopathic Medicine from the Michigan State University College of Osteopathic Medicine and completed residency training that included clinical responsibilities in otolaryngology and facial plastic surgery.

Alane Barnes, Chief Legal Officer and Corporate Secretary

Alane Barnes serves as the Chief Legal Officer and Corporate Secretary for BioCryst Pharmaceuticals. She has been with BioCryst as General Counsel since June 2006 and as Corporate Secretary since December 2006. Ms. Barnes has been involved in company filings as recently as January 2026.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The key risks to BioCryst Pharmaceuticals (BCRX) include intense competition for its primary marketed drug, the inherent uncertainties and potential failures in its clinical development pipeline, and the challenges associated with achieving and maintaining sustained profitability.
  1. Competition for ORLADEYO: BioCryst's flagship product, ORLADEYO (berotralstat), an oral treatment for hereditary angioedema (HAE), faces significant and growing competition in the market. This competition comes from established injectable HAE therapies, such as Takeda's Takhzyro and CSL Behring's Haegarda, as well as emerging oral options like Pharvaris' deucrictibant and sebetralstat. This competitive landscape could exert pressure on ORLADEYO's market share, pricing, and overall sales growth, potentially impacting BioCryst's revenue and its trajectory towards sustained profitability. Some analyses suggest a potential reduction in ORLADEYO's market share in the coming years.
  2. Clinical Development and Regulatory Risk for Pipeline Products: The future growth and diversification of BioCryst are heavily reliant on the successful development and regulatory approval of its pipeline candidates. The company has several drugs in early to mid-stage clinical trials, including BCX9930 (Phase II for complement-mediated diseases), BCX9250 (Phase I for fibrodysplasia ossificans progressiva), and Galidesivir (Phase I for various RNA viruses). Clinical trials inherently carry high risks of failure, and the inability to achieve positive results or secure necessary regulatory approvals for these programs would significantly hinder the company's long-term growth prospects. Even for ORLADEYO, delays or failures in obtaining approval for label expansions, such as for pediatric patients, can negatively affect growth projections.
  3. Dependence on ORLADEYO and Challenges to Sustained Profitability: BioCryst's financial health and ability to achieve sustained profitability are substantially tied to the continued commercial success of ORLADEYO. While the company has shown progress towards profitability, achieving and maintaining consistent positive cash flow remains a challenge. If ORLADEYO's revenues do not meet expectations, or if research and development expenses for pipeline candidates or commercial costs for marketed products are higher than anticipated, BioCryst may need to seek additional funding, potentially leading to shareholder dilution.

AI Analysis | Feedback

null

AI Analysis | Feedback

BioCryst Pharmaceuticals' main products, ORLADEYO and peramivir injection, target significant addressable markets.

ORLADEYO (Hereditary Angioedema - HAE)

The global hereditary angioedema (HAE) therapeutics market was valued at approximately $4.1 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach $9.1 billion by 2032, exhibiting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 9.2% from 2024 to 2032. Another estimate places the global HAE therapeutic market size at $4.25 billion in 2024, with an expectation to reach $8.29 billion by 2032, at a CAGR of 8.72% during the forecast period. The United States represents a substantial portion of this market, accounting for approximately 90% of the HAE market size, or around $2 billion in 2023. North America held a 46.8% share of the global HAE therapeutics market in 2023 and is anticipated to maintain its dominance. BioCryst Pharmaceuticals projects that ORLADEYO could achieve peak annual sales exceeding $1 billion.

Peramivir Injection (Influenza)

Peramivir is an intravenous neuraminidase inhibitor used for the treatment of acute uncomplicated influenza. The global peramivir market is projected to reach $10.55 billion by 2030, with a robust CAGR of 15.55% from 2025 to 2033. In 2024, peramivir accounted for 18% of global anti-influenza drug prescriptions, which totaled over 550 million. More broadly, the global influenza antiviral drugs market is projected to reach approximately $5.8 billion by 2033, growing at a CAGR of 4.5% from 2025 to 2033. The global neuraminidase inhibitors drug market, which includes peramivir, was valued at $5.1 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach $9.7 billion by 2035, growing at a CAGR of 6.8%. North America is expected to hold a significant share of this market, with a projected 39.9% by 2035.

AI Analysis | Feedback

BioCryst Pharmaceuticals (BCRX) is poised for future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years, driven by several key factors:

  1. Continued Growth and Market Penetration of ORLADEYO in Adult Hereditary Angioedema (HAE) Patients: BioCryst anticipates sustained revenue increases from its flagship product, ORLADEYO. The company projects full-year 2026 ORLADEYO revenues to be between $625 million and $645 million, representing approximately 13% growth over 2025 revenues adjusted for Europe. This growth is fueled by increasing patient volume, strong patient retention rates (e.g., 61% of patients remaining on treatment at twelve months), and strategic pricing adjustments, including a 9% price increase in early January (2026) that is expected to result in a net 4.5% increase. BioCryst also has a long-term goal of ORLADEYO achieving $1 billion in annual sales by 2029.
  2. Expansion into the Pediatric HAE Market with ORLADEYO Pellets: A significant driver of future revenue is the recent FDA approval in December 2025 for ORLADEYO oral pellets for HAE patients aged 2 to less than 12 years. This new formulation positions ORLADEYO as a likely sole oral prophylactic option for this pediatric population for several years, opening up a new and important market segment. Management has expressed strong confidence in the long-term revenue potential from this pediatric indication.
  3. Advancement and Potential Launch of Navenibart for HAE: The acquisition of Astria Therapeutics in late 2025/early 2026 introduced Navenibart, a subcutaneously administered drug, into BioCryst's HAE pipeline. Navenibart is currently in Phase III clinical trials, with top-line data anticipated in early 2027 and a potential regulatory filing by the end of 2027. This asset is designed to be a differentiated injectable prophylaxis for HAE, offering the potential for less frequent dosing (every three or six months), and is expected to address an additional addressable market of over 5,000 patients, further strengthening BioCryst's HAE franchise.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Share Issuance

  • BioCryst Pharmaceuticals registered 11,000,000 shares of common stock for issuance under its Stock Incentive Plan in 2025.
  • The total outstanding shares for BioCryst Pharmaceuticals increased from 182 million to 210 million between 2021 and 2025.
  • In Q4 2025, shares outstanding increased by 1.2% from the prior quarter, reaching 213 million shares.

Inbound Investments

  • BioCryst Pharmaceuticals ended 2025 with $337.5 million in cash and investments.
  • The company had access to a $400 million financing facility with Blackstone Life Sciences.

Outbound Investments

  • BioCryst completed the acquisition of Astria Therapeutics, Inc. in late 2025/early 2026 to expand its Hereditary Angioedema (HAE) portfolio.
  • In October 2025, BioCryst sold its European ORLADEYO business to Neopharmed Gentili S.p.A., generating $243.3 million in revenue.

Capital Expenditures

  • Capital expenditures were reported as -$2.47 million in the last 12 months.
  • In Q4 2025, capital expenditures were $802K, marking a decrease of 40.3% from the prior quarter.
  • Increased research and development (R&D) costs are anticipated in 2026, primarily due to ongoing Phase III trials and BLA enabling CMC activities for Navenabart.

Better Bets vs. BioCryst Pharmaceuticals (BCRX)

Trade Ideas

Select ideas related to BCRX.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PGNY_3312026_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG03312026PGNYProgynyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
0.0%0.0%0.0%
CNC_3272026_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG03272026CNCCenteneDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
2.3%2.3%-0.6%
OSCR_3272026_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG03272026OSCROscar HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.0%3.0%-2.6%
WAT_3202026_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper03202026WATWatersMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.4%-0.4%-3.3%
GILD_3202026_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%03202026GILDGilead SciencesQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
1.6%1.6%-2.2%

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

BCRXVRTXREGNIONSKALVGILDMedian
NameBioCryst.Vertex P.Regenero.Ionis Ph.KalVista.Gilead S. 
Mkt Price9.41440.05746.4674.9519.59139.03106.99
Mkt Cap2.0111.677.012.21.1172.544.6
Rev LTM87512,00114,3439441529,4416,473
Op Inc LTM3414,5543,702-382-19811,6992,021
FCF LTM3453,1943,765-326-9,4563,194
FCF 3Y Avg651,8323,657-405-9,0611,832
CFO LTM3473,6314,979-269-10,0193,631
CFO 3Y Avg672,2254,664-359-9,6182,225

Growth & Margins

BCRXVRTXREGNIONSKALVGILDMedian
NameBioCryst.Vertex P.Regenero.Ionis Ph.KalVista.Gilead S. 
Rev Chg LTM94.1%8.9%1.0%33.8%-2.4%8.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg50.8%10.4%5.7%19.2%-2.6%10.4%
Rev Chg Q209.1%9.5%2.5%-10.3%-4.7%4.7%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM45.9%2.4%0.7%-2.4%960.2%1.2%1.8%
Op Mgn LTM39.0%37.9%25.8%-40.5%-1,309.8%39.7%31.9%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg2.4%24.7%29.0%-50.9%-36.4%24.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM26.3%38.7%-0.9%-11.7%12,559.5%1.1%13.7%
CFO/Rev LTM39.7%30.3%34.7%-28.5%-34.0%34.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-0.2%20.5%33.6%-46.2%-33.7%20.5%
FCF/Rev LTM39.4%26.6%26.3%-34.5%-32.1%26.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-0.6%17.0%26.4%-51.9%-31.8%17.0%

Valuation

BCRXVRTXREGNIONSKALVGILDMedian
NameBioCryst.Vertex P.Regenero.Ionis Ph.KalVista.Gilead S. 
Mkt Cap2.0111.677.012.21.1172.544.6
P/S2.39.35.412.969.85.97.6
P/EBIT5.724.014.6-41.1-5.615.910.2
P/E7.528.217.1-31.9-5.020.312.3
P/CFO5.730.715.5-45.3-17.215.5
Total Yield13.3%3.5%6.3%-3.1%-19.9%7.3%4.9%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.5%0.0%0.0%2.3%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg3.2%1.7%4.4%-5.7%-7.5%3.2%
D/E0.20.00.00.20.10.10.1
Net D/E0.1-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.20.1-0.0

Returns

BCRXVRTXREGNIONSKALVGILDMedian
NameBioCryst.Vertex P.Regenero.Ionis Ph.KalVista.Gilead S. 
1M Rtn14.5%-6.2%0.1%5.3%15.6%-4.1%2.7%
3M Rtn32.7%-4.5%-2.7%-8.2%19.5%14.0%5.7%
6M Rtn33.7%8.0%34.2%6.2%73.1%19.1%26.4%
12M Rtn38.0%-9.1%35.4%168.6%70.5%37.7%37.9%
3Y Rtn16.6%31.9%-9.4%102.6%147.7%85.4%58.7%
1M Excs Rtn9.1%-11.2%-3.2%0.4%9.5%-7.5%-1.4%
3M Excs Rtn28.3%-4.0%-5.0%-5.5%17.8%16.6%6.3%
6M Excs Rtn27.5%3.8%29.1%4.4%63.6%18.3%22.9%
12M Excs Rtn12.8%-35.0%3.9%143.7%54.9%9.4%11.1%
3Y Excs Rtn-58.0%-31.7%-77.3%36.5%85.1%15.6%-8.0%

Comparison Analyses

null

FDA Approved Drugs Data

Expand for More
Post-Approval Fwd Returns
FDA
App #
Brand
Name
Generic
Name
Dosage
Form
FDA
Approval
3M
Rtn
6M
Rtn
1Y
Rtn
2Y
Rtn
Total
Rtn
NDA219776  ORLADEYOberotralstat dihydrochloridepellets1211202510.6%24.1%24.1%24.1%24.1%
NDA214094  ORLADEYOberotralstat dihydrochloridecapsule12032020112.7%218.6%122.8%149.1%83.3%
NDA206426  RAPIVABperamivirsolution12192014-15.0%39.9%-8.0%-44.5%-15.7%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Single Segment451331   
Collaborative and other revenues  3611
Product sales, net  2681363
Milestone revenue   15 
Royalty revenue   -03
Total45133127115718


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Single Segment-89-227   
Total-89-227   


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$9.41 
Market Cap ($ Bil)2.0 
First Trading Date03/04/1994 
Distance from 52W High-15.9% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$8.32$7.87
DMA Trenddownup
Distance from DMA13.1%19.6%
 3M1YR
Volatility53.0%49.7%
Downside Capture-0.130.35
Upside Capture172.9890.25
Correlation (SPY)12.9%21.7%
BCRX Betas & Captures as of 3/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta1.100.750.420.640.740.90
Up Beta8.162.542.481.240.720.80
Down Beta0.531.820.140.190.700.66
Up Capture193%158%82%109%79%100%
Bmk +ve Days7162765139424
Stock +ve Days9213262111346
Down Capture-3%-136%-46%45%84%104%
Bmk -ve Days12233358110323
Stock -ve Days13213164136385

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with BCRX
BCRX43.3%50.2%0.88-
Sector ETF (XLV)8.1%16.3%0.3025.9%
Equity (SPY)18.7%13.7%1.0623.9%
Gold (GLD)53.7%27.6%1.551.6%
Commodities (DBC)25.2%16.2%1.37-3.1%
Real Estate (VNQ)14.8%14.0%0.7615.9%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-11.7%43.0%-0.179.9%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with BCRX
BCRX-0.9%63.4%0.25-
Sector ETF (XLV)6.5%14.6%0.2625.8%
Equity (SPY)11.1%17.0%0.5029.3%
Gold (GLD)21.8%17.8%1.019.3%
Commodities (DBC)11.7%18.8%0.517.0%
Real Estate (VNQ)3.7%18.8%0.1024.1%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)4.6%56.6%0.3013.4%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with BCRX
BCRX13.2%72.9%0.50-
Sector ETF (XLV)9.7%16.5%0.4829.3%
Equity (SPY)13.9%17.9%0.6730.8%
Gold (GLD)14.2%15.9%0.746.6%
Commodities (DBC)8.8%17.6%0.4211.6%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.2%20.7%0.2222.3%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)67.5%66.9%1.077.6%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date3312026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity35.2 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 3152026-6.1%
Average Daily Volume8.3 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.2 days
Basic Shares Quantity211.0 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares16.7%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
1/12/2026-4.8%-5.9%-3.5%
10/14/2025-8.8%-1.6%2.7%
8/4/20259.8%4.4%4.3%
5/5/202523.5%11.6%25.3%
2/24/2025-10.0%-6.5%-12.6%
11/4/2024-12.8%-7.7%-14.7%
8/5/20247.0%8.7%17.5%
5/6/202418.4%19.6%51.5%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive11913
# Negative131511
Median Positive9.8%11.6%13.8%
Median Negative-8.8%-5.9%-13.1%
Max Positive23.5%32.4%52.5%
Max Negative-18.1%-26.2%-43.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
12/31/202502/26/202610-K
09/30/202511/04/202510-Q
06/30/202508/05/202510-Q
03/31/202505/06/202510-Q
12/31/202402/25/202510-K
09/30/202411/05/202410-Q
06/30/202408/06/202410-Q
03/31/202405/07/202410-Q
12/31/202302/27/202410-K
09/30/202311/08/202310-Q
06/30/202308/07/202310-Q
03/31/202305/08/202310-Q
12/31/202202/27/202310-K
09/30/202211/04/202210-Q
06/30/202208/05/202210-Q
03/31/202205/09/202210-Q

Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]

Latest: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/26/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 ORLADEYO revenue625.00 Mil635.00 Mil645.00 Mil6.7% RaisedGuidance: 595.00 Mil for 2025
2026 Total revenue635.00 Mil647.50 Mil660.00 Mil   
2026 Non-GAAP operating expense450.00 Mil460.00 Mil470.00 Mil5.8% RaisedGuidance: 435.00 Mil for 2025

Prior: Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 11/3/2025

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2025 ORLADEYO Revenue590.00 Mil595.00 Mil600.00 Mil0.8% RaisedGuidance: 590.00 Mil for 2025
2025 Non-GAAP Operating Expenses430.00 Mil435.00 Mil440.00 Mil-2.2% LoweredGuidance: 445.00 Mil for 2025

Insider Activity

Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Barnes, Alane PChief Legal OfficerDirectSell122320257.6521,773166,5633,050,445Form
2Barnes, Alane PChief Legal OfficerDirectSell121620257.6521,210162,2562,415,304Form
3Barnes, Alane PChief Legal OfficerDirectSell120320257.1091,004646,5112,956,427Form
4Barnes, Alane PChief Legal OfficerDirectSell120320257.2150,906367,2162,634,739Form
5Barnes, Alane PChief Legal OfficerDirectSell120320257.6519,770151,2402,642,891Form