Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -95%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -73%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -147%
Penny stock
Mkt Price is 0.8
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%
  Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -33 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -28%
2 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 29%
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -11%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -1.3%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -6.1%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Specialty Pharmaceuticals. Themes include Pain and Inflammation Management, and Neurology Therapeutics.
  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -75%
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -95%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%
2 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 29%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Specialty Pharmaceuticals. Themes include Pain and Inflammation Management, and Neurology Therapeutics.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -73%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -147%
5 Penny stock
Mkt Price is 0.8
6 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -33 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -28%
7 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -11%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -1.3%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -6.1%
8 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -75%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

ASRT Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The -6.1% movement in Assertio (ASRT) stock between August 31, 2025, and December 5, 2025, can be attributed to several key factors that impacted investor sentiment during this period.

1. Continued impact of generic competition on key products. The decline in sales of established products like Indocin due to generic competition has been a recurring challenge for Assertio, notably highlighted in its Q3 2025 earnings call. This ongoing pressure on revenue from key assets can negatively influence the stock price.

2. Costs associated with product portfolio adjustments. The decommercialization of Otrexup was identified as a challenge during the Q3 2025 earnings call. Strategic shifts in the company's product portfolio, while potentially beneficial long-term, often incur short-term costs and can introduce uncertainty among investors regarding immediate financial performance.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
ASRT Return-71%52%97%-75%-19%-10%-84%
Peers Return7%30%20%-3%7%16%100%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%17%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ASRT Win Rate33%42%58%42%42%40% 
Peers Win Rate47%55%63%38%47%54% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ASRT Max Drawdown-73%-40%-14%-76%-30%-39% 
Peers Max Drawdown-22%-7%-11%-23%-10%-17% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: LLY, JNJ, MRK, PFE, BMY.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/4/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventASRTS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-86.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven651.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-77.6%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven347.1%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven801 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-96.7%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven2928.3%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-79.6%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven391.2%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven320 days1480 days

Compare to LLY, JNJ, MRK, PFE, BMY


In The Past

Assertio's stock fell -86.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 5/11/2023. A -86.7% loss requires a 651.0% gain to breakeven.

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About Assertio (ASRT)

Better Bets than Assertio (ASRT)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to ASRT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
10.0%10.0%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.7%-7.7%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.9%6.9%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.5%11.5%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
8.9%8.9%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
10.0%10.0%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.7%-7.7%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.9%6.9%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.5%11.5%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
8.9%8.9%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Assertio

Peers to compare with:

Financials

ASRTLLYJNJMRKPFEBMYMedian
NameAssertio Eli LillyJohnson .Merck Pfizer Bristol-. 
Mkt Price0.781,014.49202.48100.8925.7051.9576.42
Mkt Cap0.1910.9487.6251.7146.1105.8198.9
Rev LTM11753,25892,14964,23562,78648,03458,022
Op Inc LTM-3322,88224,14622,39115,41711,42018,904
FCF LTM18-5018,67913,04910,37615,30211,712
FCF 3Y Avg40-15617,81413,6858,92713,59811,262
CFO LTM1810,93824,20417,06513,07716,62114,849
CFO 3Y Avg407,23023,20917,50612,12714,84613,487

Growth & Margins

ASRTLLYJNJMRKPFEBMYMedian
NameAssertio Eli LillyJohnson .Merck Pfizer Bristol-. 
Rev Chg LTM-11.4%36.8%5.1%1.7%3.9%1.3%2.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-1.3%23.4%6.1%2.9%-13.2%1.0%2.0%
Rev Chg Q-6.1%37.6%6.8%3.7%-5.9%2.8%3.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-1.6%8.7%1.7%1.0%-1.6%0.7%0.8%
Op Mgn LTM-27.8%43.0%26.2%34.9%24.6%23.8%25.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-2.0%35.6%26.4%23.7%19.4%19.0%21.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-4.2%1.8%1.7%3.7%-1.4%2.9%1.7%
CFO/Rev LTM15.4%20.5%26.3%26.6%20.8%34.6%23.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg26.5%17.8%26.4%28.2%18.9%31.7%26.4%
FCF/Rev LTM15.4%-0.1%20.3%20.3%16.5%31.9%18.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg26.4%0.5%20.3%22.0%13.9%29.0%21.1%

Valuation

ASRTLLYJNJMRKPFEBMYMedian
NameAssertio Eli LillyJohnson .Merck Pfizer Bristol-. 
Mkt Cap0.1910.9487.6251.7146.1105.8198.9
P/S0.512.94.83.32.31.92.8
P/EBIT-1.538.613.89.112.29.210.7
P/E-1.449.617.811.014.715.215.0
P/CFO3.462.618.412.311.15.511.7
Total Yield-70.3%2.7%8.4%13.0%13.5%12.0%10.2%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.7%2.7%3.9%6.7%5.4%3.3%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg24.9%0.1%4.4%5.5%5.5%13.2%5.5%
D/E0.60.10.10.20.40.60.3
Net D/E-0.90.10.10.10.30.40.1

Returns

ASRTLLYJNJMRKPFEBMYMedian
NameAssertio Eli LillyJohnson .Merck Pfizer Bristol-. 
1M Rtn8.1%12.0%9.0%20.3%5.8%14.0%10.5%
3M Rtn-2.9%36.8%14.0%21.2%6.6%12.8%13.4%
6M Rtn20.3%33.0%33.6%32.6%15.1%11.5%26.4%
12M Rtn-18.5%23.2%38.7%3.2%9.2%-6.6%6.2%
3Y Rtn-76.2%181.3%24.1%0.3%-39.7%-26.5%-13.1%
1M Excs Rtn6.9%10.8%7.8%19.0%4.5%12.7%9.3%
3M Excs Rtn-7.5%33.9%8.4%14.5%-0.7%5.9%7.2%
6M Excs Rtn4.8%17.5%18.1%17.1%-0.4%-3.9%11.0%
12M Excs Rtn-36.9%14.4%21.4%-9.4%-6.7%-22.4%-8.0%
3Y Excs Rtn-146.6%112.2%-47.3%-71.9%-111.5%-98.2%-85.0%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Sale of pharmaceutical products152    
CAMBIA 25252832
INDOCIN Products 1006132 
Other products 55864
Other revenue -1-11 
Otrexup 110  
ROLVEDON 0   
Royalties and milestone revenue 2322
SPRIX 9911 
Sympazan 2   
Zipsor 3101312
Commercialization agreement revenue, net   11119
Total152156111106230


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity3,993,665
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-8.0%
Average Daily Volume960,056
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.16
Basic Shares Quantity95,970,000
Short % of Basic Shares4.2%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025811202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025512202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024312202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241112202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024807202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024506202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023311202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231108202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023809202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023509202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022308202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221108202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022808202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022509202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021310202210-K 12/31/2021
93020211104202110-Q 9/30/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Stark David Matthew11122025Sell0.768,9596,80674,862Form