AIRO (AIRO)
Market Price (8/17/2026): $9.555 | Market Cap: $300.7 MilSector: Industrials | Industry: Aerospace & Defense
AIRO (AIRO)
Market Price (8/17/2026): $9.555Market Cap: $300.7 MilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Aerospace & Defense
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Advanced Aviation & Space. Themes include Advanced Air Mobility, and Drone Technology. | Meaningful short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 11.03, Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -21 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -20% Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -47%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -53% Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -13% Key risksAIRO key risks include [1] a high customer concentration with approximately 72% of revenue derived from only two major clients, Show more. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Advanced Aviation & Space. Themes include Advanced Air Mobility, and Drone Technology. |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 11.03, Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -21 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -20% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -47%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -53% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -13% |
| Key risksAIRO key risks include [1] a high customer concentration with approximately 72% of revenue derived from only two major clients, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
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AIRO (AIRO) stock has gained about 25% since 4/30/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Strong Fiscal Q2 2026 Performance Driven by Drone Segment Growth.
AIRO reported robust financial results for its fiscal Q2 2026 (ended June 30, 2026), with revenue increasing by 76% year-over-year to $43.2 million. This growth was primarily fueled by stronger-than-expected performance in the company's Drones segment. The gross margin also significantly improved to 64% in fiscal Q2 2026, up from 27% in fiscal Q1 2026 and 61% in Q2 2025, largely due to a favorable product mix shift towards higher-margin drone products. Furthermore, the company achieved an operating income of $1.7 million in fiscal Q2 2026, a substantial improvement from an operating loss of $19.7 million in the prior-year period.
2. Addition of RQ-35 Heidrun ISR Drone to U.S. Blue UAS List.
A significant catalyst for AIRO's stock movement was the inclusion of its RQ-35 Heidrun ISR Drone on the U.S. Blue UAS List on July 14, 2026. This certification makes the RQ-35 eligible for procurement by the U.S. Department of Defense and other federal government agencies, opening up substantial new market opportunities within the defense sector and validating the drone's capabilities and security.
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AIRO (AIRO) stock has gained about 25% since 4/30/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Strong Fiscal Q2 2026 Performance Driven by Drone Segment Growth.
AIRO reported robust financial results for its fiscal Q2 2026 (ended June 30, 2026), with revenue increasing by 76% year-over-year to $43.2 million. This growth was primarily fueled by stronger-than-expected performance in the company's Drones segment. The gross margin also significantly improved to 64% in fiscal Q2 2026, up from 27% in fiscal Q1 2026 and 61% in Q2 2025, largely due to a favorable product mix shift towards higher-margin drone products. Furthermore, the company achieved an operating income of $1.7 million in fiscal Q2 2026, a substantial improvement from an operating loss of $19.7 million in the prior-year period.
2. Addition of RQ-35 Heidrun ISR Drone to U.S. Blue UAS List.
A significant catalyst for AIRO's stock movement was the inclusion of its RQ-35 Heidrun ISR Drone on the U.S. Blue UAS List on July 14, 2026. This certification makes the RQ-35 eligible for procurement by the U.S. Department of Defense and other federal government agencies, opening up substantial new market opportunities within the defense sector and validating the drone's capabilities and security.
3. Increased Drone Backlog and Strategic Product Launches.
AIRO demonstrated strong forward momentum in its Drones segment with an increased backlog of approximately $163 million as of June 30, 2026, representing a 9% sequential increase from fiscal Q1 2026. The majority of this backlog is anticipated to convert into revenue within the next 12 months, providing strong visibility for future growth. Additionally, the company continued its innovation efforts by debuting the RQ-70 Long-Range ISR Drone platform at Eurosatory 2026 in June 2026, expanding its product portfolio for global defense and commercial markets.
4. Reiterated Full-Year Revenue Guidance and Positive Analyst Sentiment.
Despite reporting a net loss of $2.0 million in fiscal Q2 2026, AIRO reiterated its full-year 2026 revenue growth guidance of 15%-25% year-over-year. This reaffirmed outlook, coupled with a consensus "Buy" rating from Wall Street analysts, contributed to investor confidence. Analysts maintain an average price target for AIRO ranging from $16.50 to $17.33, indicating a significant potential upside from the stock's price at the time, reflecting continued belief in the company's drone and defense growth trajectory.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 25.3% change in AIRO stock from 4/30/2026 to 8/16/2026 was primarily driven by a 17.3% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 4302026 | 8162026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 7.64 | 9.57 | 25.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 91 | 107 | 17.3% |
| P/S Multiple | 2.6 | 2.8 | 6.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 31 | 31 | 0.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 25.3% |
Market Drivers
4/30/2026 to 8/16/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| AIRO | 25.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 8.0% | 44.6% |
| Sector (XLI) | 6.8% | 29.8% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -7.0% change in AIRO stock from 1/31/2026 to 8/16/2026 was primarily driven by a -35.9% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 1312026 | 8162026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 10.29 | 9.57 | -7.0% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 58 | 107 | 83.6% |
| P/S Multiple | 4.4 | 2.8 | -35.9% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 25 | 31 | -20.9% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -7.0% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2026 to 8/16/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| AIRO | -7.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 12.5% | 36.7% |
| Sector (XLI) | 13.1% | 26.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -54.9% change in AIRO stock from 7/31/2025 to 8/16/2026 was primarily driven by a -53.5% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 7312025 | 8162026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 21.22 | 9.57 | -54.9% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 87 | 107 | 22.7% |
| P/S Multiple | 6.1 | 2.8 | -53.5% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 25 | 31 | -20.9% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -54.9% |
Market Drivers
7/31/2025 to 8/16/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| AIRO | -54.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 23.9% | 40.1% |
| Sector (XLI) | 24.0% | 36.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 139.3% change in AIRO stock from 7/31/2023 to 8/16/2026 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 7312023 | 8162026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 4.00 | 9.57 | 139.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | � | 107 | 0.0% |
| P/S Multiple | � | 2.8 | 0.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 25 | 31 | -20.9% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
7/31/2023 to 8/16/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| AIRO | 139.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 75.6% | 35.8% |
| Sector (XLI) | 75.9% | 32.6% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| AIRO Return | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 104% | 31% | 168% |
| Peers Return | -29% | -31% | 96% | 30% | 61% | -19% | 63% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| AIRO Win Rate | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 17% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 37% | 42% | 63% | 45% | 55% | 42% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| AIRO Max Drawdown | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | -76% | -56% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -52% | -53% | -30% | -33% | -40% | -55% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: AVAV, KTOS, CAE, JOBY, ACHR.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 8/14/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | AIRO | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2013 Taper Tantrum | ||
| % Loss | -16.7% | -0.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 20.0% | 0.2% |
| Time to Breakeven | 2 days | 1 days |
| 2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion | ||
| % Loss | -50.0% | -17.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 100.0% | 21.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 203 days | 123 days |
| 2010 Eurozone Sovereign Debt Crisis / Flash Crash | ||
| % Loss | -66.7% | -15.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 200.0% | 18.2% |
| Time to Breakeven | 3 days | 125 days |
| 2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -95.3% | -53.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 2014.0% | 114.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 604 days | 1085 days |
| Summer 2007 Credit Crunch | ||
| % Loss | -34.5% | -8.6% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 52.7% | 9.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1082 days | 47 days |
In The Past
AIRO's stock fell 0.0% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 0.0% gain to breakeven.
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Asset Allocation
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| Event | AIRO | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion | ||
| % Loss | -50.0% | -17.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 100.0% | 21.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 203 days | 123 days |
| 2010 Eurozone Sovereign Debt Crisis / Flash Crash | ||
| % Loss | -66.7% | -15.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 200.0% | 18.2% |
| Time to Breakeven | 3 days | 125 days |
| 2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -95.3% | -53.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 2014.0% | 114.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 604 days | 1085 days |
| Summer 2007 Credit Crunch | ||
| % Loss | -34.5% | -8.6% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 52.7% | 9.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1082 days | 47 days |
In The Past
AIRO's stock fell 0.0% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 0.0% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About AIRO (AIRO)
Airspan Networks Inc. (AIRO) is a global provider of 4G broadband wireless products and solutions. The company specializes in delivering high-speed data, voice, and multimedia services across a wide range of frequency bands, both licensed and unlicensed, to support modern wireless communication infrastructure.
AIRO's core offerings include a suite of small cell solutions like AirVelocity for indoor LTE networks, AirSynergy for outdoor urban deployments, and AirHarmony for outdoor micro layer networks. They also provide comprehensive technology solutions such as Air4G, which combines LTE and WiMAX, virtual RAN platforms like AirSymphony, and advanced algorithms for small cell deployment (AirSON). Additionally, Airspan offers essential transport solutions for backhaul and front-haul applications (iBridge) and network element management tools (Netspan), alongside telecommunications equipment. Beyond hardware and software, the company provides critical services including radio planning, network installation, integration, training, and ongoing support.
Airspan primarily serves Internet service providers and telecommunications carriers. Furthermore, the company extends its wireless broadband solutions to various specialized vertical markets. These include critical sectors such as smart utilities, public safety, transportation, and the oil and gas industry, where robust and reliable communication infrastructure is essential.
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Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Airspan Networks Inc. (AIRO):
- Like a specialized Ericsson or Nokia, building the essential equipment and software for 4G wireless networks, particularly focusing on small cells.
- The Cisco of 4G wireless small cells and virtualized network solutions.
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- AirVelocity: An LTE-advanced small cell designed for indoor public access LTE networks.
- AirSynergy: An outdoor urban small cell supporting various broadband wireless interfaces.
- AirHarmony: Provides the outdoor micro layer for heterogeneous LTE-advanced network deployments.
- Air4G: A technology solution that combines 4G LTE and WiMAX technologies.
- Air4Gp Freestyler: A pico base station delivering small cell and high-capacity networks for various frequency bands.
- AirSymphony: A virtual RAN platform for creating virtual or cloud LTE radio access networks.
- AirSON: An advanced algorithm suite designed to address small cell deployment needs.
- iBridge: A transport solution for small cell backhaul and front-haul applications.
- Netspan: A sub-network element management solution for LTE/4G and backhaul product lines.
- Network Deployment & Support Services: Includes radio planning, network installation, integration, training, and post-sales support.
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Airspan Networks Inc. (AIRO) sells its 4G broadband wireless products and solutions primarily to other companies and organizations. Based on the provided description, its major customers fall into the following categories:
- Internet Service Providers (ISPs): Companies that provide internet access.
- Carriers: Telecommunication companies that operate wireless networks.
- Vertical Market Segments: Organizations within specific industries that require specialized wireless broadband solutions, including, but not limited to:
- Smart utilities
- Public safety
- Transportation
- Oil and gas
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Qualcomm Technologies, Inc. (QCOM)
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Glenn Laxdal, President and Chief Executive Officer
Glenn Laxdal assumed the role of President and Chief Executive Officer of Airspan Networks in May 2023, after joining the company in January 2022 as President and Chief Operating Officer. Prior to his tenure at Airspan, Mr. Laxdal gained extensive experience in the telecommunications sector. He served as the Senior Vice President and General Manager of Products at Infinera, and held several senior leadership positions at Ericsson, including Senior Vice President of Ericsson North America's multi-billion dollar network products business and Chief Technology Officer & Head of Strategy for Ericsson North America. Earlier in his career, he was the Vice President of Global Product Management at BlackBerry and held executive roles in product management and operations at Airvana and Nortel. Mr. Laxdal holds an MBA from the University of Toronto's Rotman School of Management and degrees in Information Technology and Economics from the University of Saskatchewan. Airspan recently completed a financial restructuring, becoming a private company majority-owned by funds managed by affiliates of Fortress Investment Group, a private equity firm, with Mr. Laxdal acknowledging Fortress as a valuable partner.
David Brant, SVP and Chief Financial Officer
David Brant serves as the Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer for Airspan Networks.
Henrik Smith-Petersen, Chief Sales Officer
Henrik Smith-Petersen is the Chief Sales Officer at Airspan Networks. He is also listed as Chief Sales & Marketing Officer.
Paul Senior, Chief Technology Officer
Paul Senior holds the position of Chief Technology Officer at Airspan Networks.
Shirish Nagaraj, SVP of Global R&D
Shirish Nagaraj is the Senior Vice President of Global R&D at Airspan Networks.
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The key risks to Airspan Networks Inc. (AIRO) are primarily centered around its financial viability, intense market competition, and persistent supply chain challenges.
- Chapter 11 Bankruptcy and Continued Financial Losses: Airspan Networks Holdings Inc. filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection in early April 2024, signaling significant financial distress. The company has consistently reported substantial losses and negative cash flows, which severely impacts its ability to achieve or maintain profitability. Restructuring activities are expected to cause volatility in financial results, and historical performance may not be indicative of future outcomes post-bankruptcy.
- Intense Competition and Market Share Erosion: Airspan operates in a highly competitive environment, facing off against larger and better-capitalized companies, as well as emerging competitors. This intense competition can lead to price reductions, reduced gross margins, and a loss of market share. The company's focus on Open RAN technology has also been impacted by larger, established vendors entering the space, limiting opportunities for smaller players.
- Supply Chain Disruptions: The company has experienced significant challenges due to disruptions in its supply chain, affecting its ability to deliver key components. These disruptions have resulted in longer lead times, higher spot purchase prices for components, and increased shipping costs, all of which negatively impact business operations, sales, and gross margins. These supply chain pressures have been a recurring issue, impacting the company's ability to fulfill demand.
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The rapid and widespread global adoption of 5G technology represents a clear emerging threat. Airspan Networks Inc.'s product descriptions consistently emphasize "4G broadband wireless products and solutions," "LTE-advanced," "4G LTE," and "cloud LTE radio access networks." There is no mention of 5G products or solutions in the provided company description. As telecommunication carriers and service providers globally transition their investments and network build-outs to 5G infrastructure, a company primarily focused on 4G products risks market obsolescence and diminished demand for its core offerings.
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Here are the addressable market sizes for Airspan Networks Inc.'s (AIRO) main products and services:
- Small Cells: The global small cell 5G network market size was estimated at USD 7.73 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 124.32 billion by 2033, growing at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 39.2% from 2026 to 2033. Another estimate indicates the global small cell networks market size reached USD 7.4 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 37.4 billion by 2033, exhibiting a CAGR of 18.77% during 2025-2033.
- Private LTE and Private 5G Networks: The global private LTE and private 5G network market was valued at USD 8.4 billion in 2023, and is projected to reach USD 64.3 billion by 2033, growing at a CAGR of 22.9% from 2024 to 2033.
- Virtualized RAN (vRAN): The global virtualized radio access network market size was estimated at USD 16.61 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 79.71 billion by 2033, growing at a CAGR of 19.5% from 2025 to 2033.
- 4G Broadband Wireless Equipment: The global 4G equipment market size reached USD 114.2 billion in 2024. Looking forward, the market is expected to reach USD 497.8 billion by 2033, exhibiting a growth rate (CAGR) of 16.89% during 2025-2033.
- Public Safety Communications: The global public safety LTE market size was valued at USD 14.5 billion in 2025. The market is projected to grow from USD 16.9 billion in 2026 to USD 35.1 billion by 2034, exhibiting a CAGR of 9.57% during the forecast period. The broader public safety communications market is estimated to reach USD 72 billion by 2031, growing at a CAGR of 12.9% during the forecast period 2025-2031.
- Oil and Gas Communications (Oilfield Communications): The global oilfield communications market size was valued at USD 6.24 billion in 2025. The market is projected to grow from USD 6.85 billion in 2026 to USD 14.36 billion by 2034, exhibiting a CAGR of 9.70% during the forecast period.
- Smart Utilities Communication: The global utility communication market size was estimated at USD 26.29 billion in 2024, and is projected to reach USD 39.90 billion by 2033, growing at a CAGR of 5.1% from 2025 to 2033.
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Here are 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth for Airspan Networks Inc. (symbol: AIRO) over the next 2-3 years:
- Growing Demand for 5G and Open RAN Technologies: Airspan Networks is positioned to capitalize on the increasing global demand for advanced wireless connectivity solutions, particularly 5G and Open RAN technologies. The company is a leading provider of these solutions, and its performance highlights the growing market across mobile network operators, private networks, and critical communications sectors.
- Expansion in Key Market Segments (In-Building, Open RAN, Air-to-Ground): Airspan has reorganized its business around three strategic areas: In-Building Networks, Open RAN Networks, and Air-to-Ground solutions, all of which are experiencing strong growth. The company saw significant bookings growth in its acquired in-building business and enabled the commercial launch of the world's first 5G air-to-ground network.
- Strategic Acquisitions and Partnerships: Airspan has completed major acquisitions to expand its scale, capabilities, and market access, including the integration of Corning's Wireless business. These acquisitions, along with strategic partnerships, enhance its offerings and reach in the market.
- Growth in Private Networks and Critical Communications: The company is actively targeting revenue growth from private networks for enterprise and industrial clients, as well as critical communications sectors such as public safety and defense technology. Airspan is expanding its 5G in-motion platform into defense MANET, high-altitude platforms, and drones.
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Share Issuance
- In August 2021, as part of its business combination with New Beginnings Acquisition Corp. (SPAC), Airspan Networks Holdings Inc. issued 59,726,486 shares of common stock and 9,000,000 post-combination warrants to Legacy Airspan security holders. An additional 7,500,000 shares of common stock were offered at $10.00 per share through a private placement (PIPE).
- In October 2024, as part of becoming a private company, Airspan received $85.4 million in new equity financing. The company also gained access to an additional $20 million undrawn line of credit.
- In February 2025, in connection with the acquisition of Corning's wireless business and its transition to a private company, Airspan planned to raise up to $95 million in new equity financing.
Inbound Investments
- In August 2021, a private placement of $50.0 million in senior secured convertible notes was issued to funds affiliated with Fortress Investment Group to meet cash requirements for the business combination.
- The SPAC transaction in March 2021 was expected to generate approximately $166 million in net proceeds for Airspan, with investments from existing shareholders, Qualcomm, Jio, Foxconn, Softbank, and Dish Network.
- In October 2024, Airspan became a private company with majority ownership by funds managed by affiliates of Fortress Investment Group, receiving $85.4 million in equity financing and an additional $20 million undrawn line of credit.
- In February 2025, Airspan secured a $42.7 million NTIA Grant to accelerate 5G Open RAN technology development in the US.
Outbound Investments
- In 2023, Airspan sold its Mimosa business to Indian communication giant JIO for $60 million through JIO's wholly-owned subsidiary, Radisys Corporation.
- In February 2025, Airspan Networks entered into an agreement to acquire Corning Incorporated's wireless business, including distributed antenna systems (DAS) and small cell RAN products.
- By February 2026, Airspan had acquired and integrated Jabil's radio portfolio, development team, and intellectual property rights, enhancing its US-based Open RAN radio development capabilities.
Capital Expenditures
- The business combination in August 2021 was expected to provide working capital to fund the increasing demand for 5G, Open RAN, private networks, Citizens Broadband Radio Service (CBRS), and fixed wireless access (FWA) solutions.
- Airspan's 2021 10-K filing noted expected capital expenditures and other future expenses as part of its future capital requirements.
Peer Outperformance in Aerospace & Defense
| Industry | Names | 1Y med | 3Y med | 5Y med | Top 3 by 5Y |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Construction & Engineering | 31 | 39.6% | 143.7% | 221.9% | CDNL 2932% · STRL 2512% · FIX 2318% |
| Marine Transportation | 4 | 54.5% | 63.2% | 164.0% | MATX 211% · SFL 179% · KEX 149% |
| Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment | 13 | 17.2% | 61.4% | 115.2% | CAT 337% · ALSN 259% · WAB 248% |
| Aerospace & Defense ← | 55 | 21.8% | 88.9% | 92.6% | DFNS 3604% · ATI 1103% · FTAI 1014% |
| Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components | 71 | 17.9% | 58.9% | 64.9% | CRS 1578% · PSIX 953% · EROC 861% |
| Passenger Ground Transportation | 3 | -11.4% | 58.0% | 59.0% | UBER 85% · CAR 59% · LYFT -64% |
| Cargo Ground Transportation | 16 | 49.6% | 18.4% | 54.2% | XPO 293% · R 288% · CVLG 222% |
| Diversified Support Services | 33 | 12.3% | 42.3% | 45.8% | LIME 4210% · TH 418% · WLFC 378% |
| Trading Companies & Distributors | 18 | 8.5% | 40.5% | 45.2% | DXPE 550% · AIT 323% · URI 247% |
| Electrical Components & Equipment | 40 | 33.1% | 57.1% | 40.3% | POWL 2616% · BE 1032% · VRT 995% |
| Rail Transportation | 7 | 36.0% | 70.9% | 39.2% | FSTR 117% · CSX 59% · UNP 46% |
| Building Products | 33 | -2.1% | 23.3% | 31.9% | GFF 449% · LMB 415% · PPIH 292% |
| Environmental & Facilities Services | 28 | -8.6% | 18.4% | 7.0% | CECO 1053% · ADUR 667% · NVRI 306% |
| Office Services & Supplies | 10 | 19.3% | 28.1% | 6.7% | TILE 192% · PBI 169% · EBF 56% |
| Industrial Conglomerates | 18 | 22.6% | 36.6% | 2.0% | RCMT 735% · TTI 209% · CSW 177% |
| Research & Consulting Services | 13 | -8.2% | -19.9% | -3.8% | HURN 211% · CRAI 96% · GRNQ 7% |
| Passenger Airlines | 11 | 17.3% | 2.1% | -16.8% | LTM 2325% · UAL 177% · SKYW 157% |
| Agricultural & Farm Machinery | 17 | -8.8% | -14.8% | -17.1% | BLBD 181% · DE 73% · GENC 57% |
| Data Processing & Outsourced Services | 6 | -33.1% | -13.5% | -30.4% | EXLS 44% · BR 6% · G -30% |
| Human Resource & Employment Services | 21 | 13.9% | -20.1% | -31.4% | BBSI 78% · ADP 42% · KFY 37% |
| Air Freight & Logistics | 12 | -7.6% | -1.6% | -34.0% | CHRW 83% · FDX 66% · EXPD 59% |
| Security & Alarm Services | 10 | -27.8% | -10.9% | -40.4% | CIX 116% · MG 89% · BCO 55% |
| Airport Services | 3 | -69.2% | -66.6% | -55.3% | JOBY -15% · ASLE -55% · UP -100% |
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| AIRO Earnings Notes | 12/16/2025 | |
| Is AIRO Stock Built to Withstand a Pullback? | 10/17/2025 |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 17.88 |
| Mkt Cap | 7.9 |
| Rev LTM | 819 |
| Op Inc LTM | -58 |
| FCF LTM | -188 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -77 |
| CFO LTM | -112 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | -35 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 25.5% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 36.1% |
| Rev Chg Q | 75.9% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 19.4% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | -52.5% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | -10.5% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -13.0% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 2.2% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 14.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | -29.0% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -2.8% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -34.3% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -6.3% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $9.57 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.3 | |
| First Trading Date | 12/29/2006 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -62.9% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $9.87 | $20.76 |
| DMA Trend | down | down |
| Distance from DMA | -3.0% | -53.9% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 103.4% | 88.9% |
| Downside Capture | 395.25 | 454.88 |
| Upside Capture | 499.03 | 260.62 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 51.5% | 39.1% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 2.98 | 2.98 | 3.00 | 2.15 | 2.62 | -0.17 |
| Up Beta | 2.77 | 2.07 | 0.96 | -0.73 | 0.07 | 0.10 |
| Down Beta | 3.91 | 3.94 | 3.66 | 2.98 | 2.97 | -0.87 |
| Up Capture | 206% | 219% | 329% | 283% | 462% | 54% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 11 | 22 | 35 | 67 | 138 | 427 |
| Stock +ve Days | 10 | 20 | 30 | 58 | 117 | 129 |
| Down Capture | 318% | 299% | 303% | 234% | 191% | 91% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 11 | 21 | 28 | 59 | 114 | 326 |
| Stock -ve Days | 11 | 22 | 31 | 66 | 133 | 152 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with AIRO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AIRO | -56.1% | 89.0% | -0.53 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLI) | 23.7% | 17.0% | 1.08 | 35.3% |
| Equity (SPY) | 21.5% | 12.8% | 1.25 | 39.1% |
| Gold (GLD) | 30.0% | 28.5% | 0.91 | 22.6% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 38.1% | 20.1% | 1.49 | 2.2% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 14.4% | 13.9% | 0.73 | 10.9% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -49.1% | 42.8% | -1.45 | 33.2% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with AIRO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AIRO | -16.6% | 100.1% | -0.34 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLI) | 14.2% | 17.6% | 0.63 | 32.6% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.4% | 17.2% | 0.60 | 35.8% |
| Gold (GLD) | 19.5% | 18.6% | 0.85 | 18.8% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 9.6% | 19.6% | 0.38 | -0.0% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 2.3% | 18.9% | 0.02 | 12.8% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 8.0% | 52.8% | 0.34 | 30.9% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with AIRO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AIRO | -15.4% | 108.8% | -0.79 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLI) | 14.4% | 20.0% | 0.63 | 32.1% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.4% | 17.9% | 0.73 | 35.3% |
| Gold (GLD) | 12.0% | 16.2% | 0.60 | 14.8% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.7% | 18.0% | 0.34 | 2.2% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.0% | 20.7% | 0.20 | 13.5% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 59.9% | 66.1% | 1.00 | 26.1% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Updated 8/17/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 8/13/2026 | 26.1% | ||
| 5/14/2026 | -15.5% | -23.6% | 2.6% |
| 11/14/2025 | -20.8% | -38.4% | -39.7% |
| 8/14/2025 | 5.5% | 1.4% | -7.4% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| # Negative | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Median Positive | 15.8% | 1.4% | 2.6% |
| Median Negative | -18.2% | -31.0% | -23.5% |
| Max Positive | 26.1% | 1.4% | 2.6% |
| Max Negative | -20.8% | -38.4% | -39.7% |
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 8/13/2026 | 26.1% | ||
| 5/14/2026 | -15.5% | -23.6% | 2.6% |
| 11/14/2025 | -20.8% | -38.4% | -39.7% |
| 8/14/2025 | 5.5% | 1.4% | -7.4% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| # Negative | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Median Positive | 15.8% | 1.4% | 2.6% |
| Median Negative | -18.2% | -31.0% | -23.5% |
| Max Positive | 26.1% | 1.4% | 2.6% |
| Max Negative | -20.8% | -38.4% | -39.7% |
Recent Forward Guidance
Updated 8/14/2026Latest: Q2 2026 Earnings Reported 8/13/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Revenue Growth | 15.0% | 20.0% | 25.0% | 0.0% | Affirmed | Guidance: 20.0% for 2026 | |
| 2026 Adjusted EBITDA | -19.00 Mil | -17.00 Mil | -15.00 Mil | Affirmed | Guidance: -17.50 Mil for 2026 | ||
Prior: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 5/14/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Revenue Growth | 15.0% | 20.0% | 25.0% | ||||
| 2026 Adjusted EBITDA | -19.00 Mil | -17.50 Mil | -15.00 Mil | ||||
Insider Activity
Updated 7/7/2026| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Uczekaj, John | President and COO | Direct | Sell | 7072026 | 7.76 | 154 | 1,195 | 180,259 | Form |
| 2 | Pylypiv, Mariya | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 6182026 | 7.66 | 30,028 | 229,921 | 613,991 | Form |
| 3 | Uczekaj, John | President and COO | Direct | Sell | 4062026 | 8.84 | 3,415 | 30,176 | 177,709 | Form |
| 4 | Uczekaj, John | President and COO | Direct | Sell | 3162026 | 10.43 | 396 | 4,129 | 245,296 | Form |
| 5 | Pylypiv, Mariya | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 3162026 | 10.26 | 20,078 | 205,974 | 511,776 | Form |
| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Uczekaj, John | President and COO | Direct | Sell | 7072026 | 7.76 | 154 | 1,195 | 180,259 | Form |
| 2 | Pylypiv, Mariya | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 6182026 | 7.66 | 30,028 | 229,921 | 613,991 | Form |
| 3 | Uczekaj, John | President and COO | Direct | Sell | 4062026 | 8.84 | 3,415 | 30,176 | 177,709 | Form |
| 4 | Uczekaj, John | President and COO | Direct | Sell | 3162026 | 10.43 | 396 | 4,129 | 245,296 | Form |
| 5 | Pylypiv, Mariya | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 3162026 | 10.26 | 20,078 | 205,974 | 511,776 | Form |
| 6 | Uczekaj, John | President and COO | Direct | Sell | 1052026 | 9.42 | 183 | 1,725 | 208,788 | Form |
| 7 | Kathuria, Chirinjeev | Executive Chairman | Direct | Sell | 9162025 | 17.39 | 103,733 | 1,803,917 | 16,235,269 | Form |
| 8 | Kathuria, Chirinjeev | Executive Chairman | New Generation Aerospace, LLC | Sell | 9162025 | 17.39 | 405,634 | 7,053,975 | 63,485,847 | Form |
| 9 | New, Generation Aerospace, Llc | Direct | Sell | 9162025 | 17.39 | 405,634 | 7,053,975 | 63,485,847 | Form | |
| 10 | Burns, Joseph D | Chief Executive Officer | Joe and Kim Burns Trust | Sell | 9162025 | 17.39 | 179,800 | 3,126,722 | 28,140,533 | Form |
| 11 | Uczekaj, John | President and COO | Direct | Sell | 9162025 | 17.39 | 2,225 | 38,693 | 348,322 | Form |
| 12 | Uczekaj, John | President and COO | JS DM Uczekaj Family Trust | Sell | 9162025 | 17.39 | 35,900 | 624,301 | 5,618,813 | Form |
Industry Resources
| Industrials Resources |
| IndustryWeek |
| Manufacturing.net |
| Aviation Week |
| Aerospace & Defense Resources |
| Defense News |
| FlightGlobal |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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