Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 194%
  Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -24 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -40%
1   Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 309%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 309%
2   Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 155%
3   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -5.1%
4   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 505%
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 194%
1 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -24 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -40%
2 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 309%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 309%
3 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 155%
4 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -5.1%
5 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 505%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

AIRO Stock


Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
AIRO Return-7%0%0%0%0%309%306%
Peers Return-11%-2%-3%14%35%35%78%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%110%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
AIRO Win Rate8%0%0%0%0%22% 
Peers Win Rate8%8%10%16%15%27% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%67% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
AIRO Max Drawdown-19%0%0%0%0%0% 
Peers Max Drawdown-15%-5%-7%-0%-8%-15% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: FLY, ATRO, DFSC, PEW, PRZO.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 10/30/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventAIROS&P 500
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-58.6%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven141.7%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1954 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-43.0%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven75.4%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven53 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-98.6%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven7085.7%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven533 days1480 days

Compare to FLY, ATRO, DFSC, PEW, PRZO


In The Past

AIRO's stock fell -58.6% during the 2020 Covid Pandemic from a high on 1/24/2020. A -58.6% loss requires a 141.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About AIRO (AIRO)

Better Bets than AIRO (AIRO)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to AIRO. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
FCN_9302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09302025FCNFTI ConsultingDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.4%4.4%-6.2%
ODFL_9122025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09122025ODFLOld Dominion Freight LineMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-6.0%-6.0%-7.3%
EFX_8312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper08312025EFXEquifaxMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-12.9%-12.9%-12.9%
UHAL_8312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper08312025UHALU-HaulMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-7.2%-7.2%-7.2%
BWXT_8312025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%08312025BWXTBWX TechnologiesQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
31.9%31.9%-1.2%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
FCN_9302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09302025FCNFTI ConsultingDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.4%4.4%-6.2%
ODFL_9122025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09122025ODFLOld Dominion Freight LineMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-6.0%-6.0%-7.3%
EFX_8312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper08312025EFXEquifaxMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-12.9%-12.9%-12.9%
UHAL_8312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper08312025UHALU-HaulMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-7.2%-7.2%-7.2%
BWXT_8312025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%08312025BWXTBWX TechnologiesQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
31.9%31.9%-1.2%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for AIRO

Financials

AIROFLYATRODFSCPEWPRZOMedian
NameAIRO Firefly .AstronicsDEFSEC T.GrabAGun.ParaZero. 
Mkt Price16.3524.4549.094.354.591.3810.47
Mkt Cap0.3-1.7---1.0
Rev LTM591018234--80
Op Inc LTM-24-21135-9---16
FCF LTM--19936-9---9
FCF 3Y Avg---9-11---10
CFO LTM--16548-9---9
CFO 3Y Avg--1-10---5

Growth & Margins

AIROFLYATRODFSCPEWPRZOMedian
NameAIRO Firefly .AstronicsDEFSEC T.GrabAGun.ParaZero. 
Rev Chg LTM193.9%-11.0%166.4%--166.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg--20.5%94.3%--57.4%
Rev Chg Q347.5%-3.3%330.2%--330.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM47.8%-0.8%35.8%--35.8%
Op Mgn LTM-40.4%-209.3%4.3%-209.1%---124.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg--0.6%-699.5%---349.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-11.8%--0.4%86.7%---0.4%
CFO/Rev LTM--164.1%5.8%-212.3%---164.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg---0.5%-716.7%---358.6%
FCF/Rev LTM--197.5%4.4%-216.3%---197.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg---1.8%-777.8%---389.8%

Valuation

AIROFLYATRODFSCPEWPRZOMedian
NameAIRO Firefly .AstronicsDEFSEC T.GrabAGun.ParaZero. 
Mkt Cap0.3-1.7---1.0
P/S5.1-2.1---3.6
P/EBIT26.9-49.2---38.0
P/E-183.3--466.2----324.8
P/CFO--36.4---36.4
Total Yield-0.5%--0.2%----0.4%
Dividend Yield0.0%-0.0%---0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg---2.1%----2.1%
D/E0.1-0.1---0.1
Net D/E-0.1-0.1---0.0

Returns

AIROFLYATRODFSCPEWPRZOMedian
NameAIRO Firefly .AstronicsDEFSEC T.GrabAGun.ParaZero. 
1M Rtn-14.8%-16.6%7.6%22.2%-1.5%-12.7%-7.1%
3M Rtn-23.0%-35.9%5.6%-28.5%-24.6%-23.0%
6M Rtn308.8%-113.2%--59.5%113.2%
12M Rtn308.8%-167.8%--127.4%167.8%
3Y Rtn308.8%-430.1%---369.4%
1M Excs Rtn-17.9%-10.0%7.5%13.1%-1.9%-18.5%-5.9%
3M Excs Rtn-28.1%-33.9%-3.0%-38.1%-22.0%-22.0%
6M Excs Rtn287.0%-91.4%--37.7%91.4%
12M Excs Rtn291.6%-149.9%--103.6%149.9%
3Y Excs Rtn232.0%-398.0%---315.0%

Financials

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10152025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity569,947
Short Interest: % Change Since 9302025-67.6%
Average Daily Volume951,425
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1
Basic Shares Quantity18,490,316
Short % of Basic Shares3.1%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
8/14/20255.5%1.4%-7.4%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive110
# Negative001
Median Positive5.5%1.4% 
Median Negative  -7.4%
Max Positive5.5%1.4% 
Max Negative  -7.4%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025813202510-Q 6/30/2025
123120242212025S-1 12/31/2024
123120237102024424B3 12/31/2023
33120236302023S-4/A 3/31/2023
123120228312023S-4/A 12/31/2022
123120214062023DRS 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

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 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0KATHURIA CHIRINJEEVExecutive Chairman9162025Sell17.39103,7331,803,91716,235,269Form
1New Generation Aerospace, LLC9162025Sell17.39405,6347,053,97563,485,847Form
2Burns Joseph DChief Executive Officer9162025Sell17.39179,8003,126,72228,140,533Form
3Uczekaj JohnPresident and COO9162025Sell17.392,22538,693348,322Form