AIRO (AIRO)


Market Price (10/1/2026): $6.71 | Market Cap: $211.2 MilSector: Industrials | Industry: Aerospace & Defense

AIRO (AIRO)


Market Price (10/1/2026): $6.71
Market Cap: $211.2 Mil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Aerospace & Defense

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

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Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -28%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Advanced Aviation & Space. Themes include Advanced Air Mobility, and Drone Technology.

Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -11%

Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -21 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -20%

Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -47%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -53%

Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -16%

Key risks
AIRO key risks include [1] a high customer concentration with approximately 72% of revenue derived from only two major clients, Show more.

0 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -28%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Advanced Aviation & Space. Themes include Advanced Air Mobility, and Drone Technology.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -11%
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -21 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -20%
4 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -47%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -53%
5 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -16%
6 Key risks
AIRO key risks include [1] a high customer concentration with approximately 72% of revenue derived from only two major clients, Show more.

AIRO in ETFs

Weight = AIRO's share of each fund

VTI0.00%
IWM0.01%
VTWO0.01%
SCHA0.00%
IWN0.00%
SCHB0.00%

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 9/30/2026

AIRO (AIRO) stock has lost about 10% since 6/30/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Management's Q3 2026 Revenue Guidance Projected a Sequential Decline.

Despite reporting strong fiscal Q2 2026 results on August 13, 2026, which included a 75.6% year-over-year revenue surge to $43.2 million and a 76.92% earnings per share beat against analyst expectations, AIRO management reiterated full-year 2026 revenue growth guidance of 15-25% but explicitly forecast a sequential decline in fiscal Q3 2026 revenue. This outlook for reduced sequential revenue likely tempered investor enthusiasm, contributing to the stock's recent approximate 10% decline.

2. Analyst Concerns Highlighted Over-Exposure and Lack of Diversification in the Drones Segment.

Analysts expressed apprehension regarding AIRO's business model, noting the "lumpiness" of its operations due to heavy reliance and over-exposure to the Drones segment, particularly the RQ-35 platform. Concerns were also raised about the "lack of visibility into future orders" and the "slow progress of their JVs," alongside an overall "lack of diversification within their UAS portfolio." These factors collectively diminished confidence in AIRO's near-term growth trajectory and ability to differentiate itself in an increasingly competitive market.

Show more
Updated on 9/30/2026

AIRO (AIRO) stock has lost about 10% since 6/30/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Management's Q3 2026 Revenue Guidance Projected a Sequential Decline.

Despite reporting strong fiscal Q2 2026 results on August 13, 2026, which included a 75.6% year-over-year revenue surge to $43.2 million and a 76.92% earnings per share beat against analyst expectations, AIRO management reiterated full-year 2026 revenue growth guidance of 15-25% but explicitly forecast a sequential decline in fiscal Q3 2026 revenue. This outlook for reduced sequential revenue likely tempered investor enthusiasm, contributing to the stock's recent approximate 10% decline.

2. Analyst Concerns Highlighted Over-Exposure and Lack of Diversification in the Drones Segment.

Analysts expressed apprehension regarding AIRO's business model, noting the "lumpiness" of its operations due to heavy reliance and over-exposure to the Drones segment, particularly the RQ-35 platform. Concerns were also raised about the "lack of visibility into future orders" and the "slow progress of their JVs," alongside an overall "lack of diversification within their UAS portfolio." These factors collectively diminished confidence in AIRO's near-term growth trajectory and ability to differentiate itself in an increasingly competitive market.

3. Broader Market Volatility and Scrutiny of AI-Linked Valuations Affected Growth Stocks.

While the overall market experienced resilient economic growth and broadening market leadership in fiscal Q3 2026, particularly for small-cap stocks, there was also a prevailing caution regarding the elevated valuations of AI-linked companies. As an aerospace and defense technology company with a focus on autonomous systems, AIRO could have been susceptible to this increased scrutiny and potential volatility in the growth stock segment, especially if investors perceived its AI-driven opportunities as having less immediate or clear monetization pathways compared to other market leaders.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -10.6% change in AIRO stock from 6/30/2026 to 9/30/2026 was primarily driven by a -16.8% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).
(LTM values as of)63020269302026Change
Stock Price ($)7.396.61-10.6%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)8510725.5%
P/S Multiple2.32.0-14.3%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)2631-16.8%
Cumulative Contribution-10.6%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/30/2026 to 9/30/2026
ReturnCorrelation
AIRO-10.6% 
Market (SPY)2.1%47.4%
Sector (XLI)-9.9%37.1%

Fundamental Drivers

The -13.1% change in AIRO stock from 3/31/2026 to 9/30/2026 was primarily driven by a -25.9% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)33120269302026Change
Stock Price ($)7.616.61-13.1%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)9110717.3%
P/S Multiple2.62.0-25.9%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)31310.0%
Cumulative Contribution-13.1%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

3/31/2026 to 9/30/2026
ReturnCorrelation
AIRO-13.1% 
Market (SPY)17.6%41.2%
Sector (XLI)3.5%27.4%

Fundamental Drivers

The -65.6% change in AIRO stock from 9/30/2025 to 9/30/2026 was primarily driven by a -83.7% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)93020259302026Change
Stock Price ($)19.206.61-65.6%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)40107167.4%
P/S Multiple12.02.0-83.7%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)2531-20.9%
Cumulative Contribution-65.6%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

9/30/2025 to 9/30/2026
ReturnCorrelation
AIRO-65.6% 
Market (SPY)15.4%39.2%
Sector (XLI)9.2%35.3%

Fundamental Drivers

The 65.3% change in AIRO stock from 9/30/2023 to 9/30/2026 was primarily driven by a 524.3% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)93020239302026Change
Stock Price ($)4.006.6165.3%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)17107524.3%
P/S Multiple5.82.0-66.5%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)2531-20.9%
Cumulative Contribution65.3%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

9/30/2023 to 9/30/2026
ReturnCorrelation
AIRO65.3% 
Market (SPY)84.5%36.6%
Sector (XLI)71.3%33.4%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
AIRO Return0%0%0%0%104%-17%70%
Peers Return-29%-31%96%30%61%-38%25%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%12%104%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
AIRO Win Rate0%0%0%0%17%44% 
Peers Win Rate37%42%63%45%55%33% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%44% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
AIRO Max Drawdown0%0%0%0%-76%-56% 
Peers Max Drawdown-52%-53%-30%-33%-40%-56% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: AVAV, KTOS, CAE, JOBY, ACHR.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 9/30/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventAIROS&P 500
2013 Taper Tantrum
  % Loss-16.7%-0.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven20.0%0.2%
  Time to Breakeven2 days1 days
2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion
  % Loss-50.0%-17.9%
  % Gain to Breakeven100.0%21.8%
  Time to Breakeven203 days123 days
2010 Eurozone Sovereign Debt Crisis / Flash Crash
  % Loss-66.7%-15.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven200.0%18.2%
  Time to Breakeven3 days125 days
2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis
  % Loss-95.3%-53.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven2014.0%114.4%
  Time to Breakeven604 days1085 days
Summer 2007 Credit Crunch
  % Loss-34.5%-8.6%
  % Gain to Breakeven52.7%9.5%
  Time to Breakeven1082 days47 days

Compare to AVAV, KTOS, CAE, JOBY, ACHR

In The Past

AIRO's stock fell 0.0% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 0.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventAIROS&P 500
2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion
  % Loss-50.0%-17.9%
  % Gain to Breakeven100.0%21.8%
  Time to Breakeven203 days123 days
2010 Eurozone Sovereign Debt Crisis / Flash Crash
  % Loss-66.7%-15.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven200.0%18.2%
  Time to Breakeven3 days125 days
2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis
  % Loss-95.3%-53.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven2014.0%114.4%
  Time to Breakeven604 days1085 days
Summer 2007 Credit Crunch
  % Loss-34.5%-8.6%
  % Gain to Breakeven52.7%9.5%
  Time to Breakeven1082 days47 days

Compare to AVAV, KTOS, CAE, JOBY, ACHR

In The Past

AIRO's stock fell 0.0% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 0.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About AIRO (AIRO)

AIRO (symbol: AIRO) is a technologically differentiated aerospace, autonomy, and air mobility company targeting 21st-century opportunities in both defense and commercial markets. It leverages extensive industry expertise and connections across the drone, aviation, and avionics sectors, operating through four distinct segments: Drones, Avionics, Training, and Electric Air Mobility. The company aims to provide connected and diversified solutions, supported by an international footprint and innovative technologies, positioning itself as a leader in its target markets.

The company's core offerings include advanced military drones, sold under the Sky-Watch brand to European NATO countries, which boast a critical ability to perform in GPS-denied environments. Its Avionics segment, through the well-recognized Aspen Avionics brand, develops and sells flight displays and GPS/GNSS sensors for military aircraft, general aviation, drones, and eVTOLs, serving both aftermarket upgrades and OEM clients. AIRO's Training segment, operating as CDI, provides specialized military pilot training, adversary air, and ISR aircraft leasing services to the U.S. military, NATO countries, and allies, with plans to expand into commercial pilot training.

A significant growth vector is the Electric Air Mobility segment, branded as Jaunt, which is developing a rotorcraft eVTOL for cargo and passenger use. Initial efforts are focused on a cargo eVTOL platform designed for the middle-mile delivery market, underpinned by patented compound rotorcraft technology with over 300 piloted flight hours. This segment is intended to serve as the foundation for future commercialization, with passenger applications representing a longer-term initiative to address the evolving needs of air mobility.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 1-3 brief analogies for AIRO:

  • Like **Garmin** for aerospace, but they also build military drones and train fighter pilots, while developing eVTOLs.
  • Imagine a **Kratos Defense & Security Solutions** that also has a leading general aviation avionics brand and is developing electric vertical takeoff and landing (eVTOL) aircraft.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Military & Commercial Drones: AIRO develops, manufactures, and sells drones, including specialized models for GPS-denied environments.
  • Drone Services (DaaS): The company will provide drone-as-a-service for military and commercial applications.
  • Avionics Products: AIRO manufactures and sells advanced avionics, such as flight displays, Connected Panels, and GPS/GNSS sensors.
  • Military Pilot Training & Consulting: The company offers professional training and consulting services to the U.S. military and allies, including adversary air and ISR aircraft leasing.
  • Commercial Pilot Training: AIRO plans to expand into providing training services for commercial pilots.
  • Electric Vertical Take-Off and Landing (eVTOL) Aircraft: The company is developing rotorcraft eVTOLs for future cargo and passenger air mobility, focusing first on cargo applications.

AI Analysis | Feedback

AIRO serves a diverse customer base across its four operating segments. Its major customers fall into the following categories:

Company Customers (OEMs)

  • Honeywell (Symbol: HON) - An avionics supplier for OEMs.
  • Robinson Helicopters - An avionics supplier for OEMs.
  • Pilatus - An avionics supplier for OEMs.

Governmental and Military Organizations

  • U.S. Military - This includes specific branches and groups such as SEAL teams, the U.S. Naval Air Warfare Center, and USAF Air Combat Command for training services (under the CDI brand).
  • European NATO Countries - A key supplier of military drones (under the Sky-Watch brand).
  • Select NATO Countries and Other U.S. Allies - Recipients of professional training and consulting services.

General Aviation Aftermarket

  • Owners and operators of general aviation aircraft who seek to upgrade their avionics technology (under the Aspen Avionics brand).

AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

Captain Joe Burns, Chief Executive Officer

Captain Joe Burns was appointed CEO in January 2020 and is a co-founder of The AIRO Group. He brings over 35 years of experience in aerospace, having founded and grown companies such as AIRO Drone and Sensurion Aerospace. Previously, he was a United Airlines Captain and oversaw $250 million in NextGen technology programs as their Director of Operations. Captain Burns serves on NASA advisory boards and is the Chairman Emeritus for the Airline Operations Committee and the Air Traffic Control Council of Airlines for America. He earned an MBA and a B.S. in Aeronautics from Miami University. He was recognized as a 2025 Miami University RedHawk50 Honoree.

Dr. Mariya Pylypiv, Chief Financial Officer and Principal Accounting Officer

Dr. Mariya Pylypiv leads AIRO's global finance organization, overseeing financial strategy, capital markets, financial reporting, treasury, and strategic initiatives. She possesses extensive experience in corporate finance, investment banking, mergers and acquisitions (M&A), capital markets, and public company strategy. Before joining AIRO, she held senior roles in investment banking, corporate development, and investment management, where she advised and led companies through complex transactions, financings, and strategic growth initiatives.

Dr. Chirinjeev Kathuria, Executive Chairman

Dr. Chirinjeev Kathuria has served as Executive Chairman since AIRO's inception in 2020 and is a co-founder of The AIRO Group. He is an Indian-American entrepreneur, physician, and philanthropist. Dr. Kathuria co-founded and serves on the board of directors of UpHealth, Inc. and Ocean Biomedical, Inc. He was the founding director of MirCorp, the first private company to launch manned space programs. He also co-founded digital healthcare and technology companies, including American Teleradiology NightHawks and The X-Stream Networks. Dr. Kathuria holds a Bachelor of Science and Doctor of Medicine from Brown University and an MBA from Stanford University.

John Uczekaj, President and Chief Operating Officer

John Uczekaj has served as President and Chief Operating Officer since July 2022. He has also been the Chief Executive Officer of Aspen Avionics since February 2007. Prior to Aspen Avionics, he was President and Chief Operating Officer of The NORDAM Group. Mr. Uczekaj was recognized as the Aviation Industry Leader of the Year in 2012 and inducted into the Living Legends of Aviation in 2013. He is a member of the Board of Directors of the General Aviation Manufacturers Association.

Christopher Levy, Senior Vice President & GM for Training & US Business Development

Christopher Levy brings a distinguished career in aerospace and defense to AIRO, where he leads both military and commercial training groups. He is a retired U.S. Air Force Colonel with 37 years of aviation experience. He served as an F-15C and MC-12 instructor, accumulating over 400 combat hours in Iraq and Afghanistan. Mr. Levy has led aviation units of over 1,000 personnel in both peacetime and wartime.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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  1. Challenges and Uncertainty in Electric Air Mobility (eVTOL) Development and Commercialization: AIRO's Electric Air Mobility segment, specifically the development of rotorcraft eVTOLs through its Jaunt brand, represents a high-risk, capital-intensive undertaking. This segment faces significant hurdles, including substantial research and development costs, lengthy and complex regulatory certification processes (even if targeting existing CAR 529 Rotorcraft standards), and intense competition within a nascent and unproven market. The successful commercialization of these platforms relies on overcoming these challenges, and delays or failures in any of these areas could significantly impact the company's financial performance and future growth prospects.

  2. Significant Reliance on Government and Military Contracts: A substantial portion of AIRO's business, particularly within its Drones (Sky-Watch brand) and Training (CDI brand) segments, is dependent on contracts with the U.S. military, NATO countries, and other U.S. allies. This reliance exposes the company to risks associated with fluctuations in government defense spending, budget cuts, changes in political priorities, and the intense competitive environment for securing and maintaining these contracts. The need to uphold high security clearances and navigate complex procurement processes further adds to this risk.

  3. Technological Obsolescence and Intense Competition in Evolving Markets: AIRO operates in dynamic aerospace and defense markets where technological advancements are rapid. Across its Drones, Avionics, and Electric Air Mobility segments, there is a continuous need for innovation to maintain a competitive edge. The risk of technological obsolescence of existing products or the emergence of superior or more cost-effective solutions from competitors could challenge AIRO's market position and profitability if the company fails to adapt and innovate effectively.

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AI Analysis | Feedback

The Electric Air Mobility segment of AIRO is developing an eVTOL (electric Vertical Take-Off and Landing) rotorcraft. A clear emerging threat to this strategy is the rapid development and commercialization of VTOL aircraft powered by hydrogen fuel cells or other alternative, non-battery-electric propulsion systems. These alternative technologies, which are actively being pursued by competitors in the nascent air mobility market, could offer superior range, payload capacity, and faster refueling times compared to purely battery-electric eVTOLs. Such advancements would pose a significant competitive challenge to AIRO's chosen technological path for its cargo and passenger eVTOL platforms, particularly for the attractive middle-mile delivery cargo market where operational efficiency and turnaround times are critical.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Expansion into Commercial Pilot Training: AIRO plans to extend its highly regarded military pilot training services to the commercial sector, addressing the global pilot shortage.
  • Commercialization of Cargo eVTOLs: The Jaunt brand is developing and certifying a cargo eVTOL platform, which is expected to be the foundation of AIRO's commercialization efforts, targeting the attractive middle mile delivery cargo market.
  • Growth in Military and Commercial Drone Markets with Differentiated Technology: The Drones segment, through its Sky-Watch brand, is expanding its military drone sales to European NATO countries and intends to penetrate commercial markets by leveraging its unique GPS-denied navigation capability, alongside future drone-as-a-service (DaaS) offerings.
  • Modernization of General Aviation Avionics: AIRO's Aspen Avionics brand is well-positioned to capitalize on the aging general aviation fleets, as owners and operators seek to upgrade their aircraft with advanced avionics technology.
  • Securing New Military Training Mandates: Leveraging its existing $5.7 billion IDIQ contract, top security clearances, and established relationships with entities like the Pentagon, AIRO's CDI brand is poised to bid on and secure additional military training mandates for the U.S. military, NATO, and other allies.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Share Issuance

  • The number of shares outstanding for AIRO increased by 81.32% in one year as of September 22, 2026.
  • AIRO's initial public offering (IPO) of common stock occurred on April 17, 2025.
  • Shares were reserved for future issuance under an Employee Stock Purchase Plan (ESPP) as mentioned in a February 21, 2025, SEC filing.

Inbound Investments

  • AIRO Group Holdings, Inc. was formed on August 30, 2021, with the purpose of acquiring and integrating various companies in the aerospace and defense industry.

Outbound Investments

  • During the year ended December 31, 2022, AIRO completed a "Put-Together Transaction" to acquire six companies, which became its Drones, Avionics, Training, and Electric Air Mobility segments.
  • These acquisitions included AIRO Drone and Agile Defense on February 25, 2022, and Aspen Avionics on April 1, 2022.

Capital Expenditures

  • AIRO reported capital expenditures of -$6.52 million in the trailing twelve months as of September 22, 2026.
  • Annual capital expenditures were -$0.08 million in fiscal year 2022, -$0.84 million in fiscal year 2023, -$0.79 million in fiscal year 2024, and -$3.07 million in fiscal year 2025.
  • The company's research and development efforts are focused on developing rotorcraft eVTOL platforms for cargo and passenger use through its Jaunt brand.

Better Bets vs. AIRO (AIRO)

Peer Outperformance in Aerospace & Defense

AIRO has outperformed 51% of its 53 Aerospace & Defense peers over 5Y. Aerospace & Defense ranks 4th of 23 industries in Industrials by median 5Y return.
Share of Aerospace & Defense constituents that AIRO has outperformed, by holding period. Peers without a full price history over a given window are excluded from that window.
1Y
10%
of 70 industry peers · -65.6% return
3Y
52%
of 60 industry peers · 65.3% return
5Y
51%
of 53 industry peers · 65.3% return
No Aerospace & Defense peer with a comparable growth profile has beaten AIRO by more than 20pp over 5Y.
Median price return by industry across the Industrials sector, ranked by 5Y. Aerospace & Defense is AIRO's own industry. Use this to see which corners of the sector have carried the returns.
Industry Names 1Y med3Y med5Y med Top 3 by 5Y
Construction & Engineering 31 4.5%117.0%185.9% CDNL 2254% · FIX 2179% · STRL 2051%
Marine Transportation 5 89.4%58.5%169.1% HOS 40374% · MATX 183% · KEX 169%
Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment 13 0.9%44.2%102.4% CAT 355% · ALSN 240% · WAB 234%
Aerospace & Defense ← 54 -13.8%59.4%65.0% ATI 994% · FTAI 819% · HWM 608%
Rail Transportation 7 17.6%57.7%47.7% FSTR 133% · CSX 64% · UNP 51%
Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components 73 9.0%42.2%45.2% CRS 1103% · PSIX 1094% · EROC 605%
Trading Companies & Distributors 19 2.4%34.2%42.4% DXPE 489% · AIT 278% · WCC 210%
Diversified Support Services 33 9.6%27.3%33.3% LIME 3176% · TH 399% · WLFC 303%
Cargo Ground Transportation 16 36.1%1.6%29.8% XPO 258% · R 209% · CVLG 145%
Electrical Components & Equipment 40 4.0%60.0%24.4% POWL 2304% · BE 1400% · VRT 888%
Building Products 33 -15.9%0.6%17.7% LMB 637% · GFF 346% · PPIH 297%
Industrial Conglomerates 17 7.7%3.0%-2.0% RCMT 541% · CSW 125% · DD 72%
Passenger Ground Transportation 3 -31.8%42.4%-7.9% UBER 46% · CAR -8% · LYFT -73%
Environmental & Facilities Services 30 -15.3%17.2%-8.5% CECO 859% · ADUR 447% · GEO 311%
Agricultural & Farm Machinery 17 12.8%-1.5%-11.9% BLBD 160% · DE 109% · GENC 53%
Research & Consulting Services 14 -16.8%-24.6%-26.1% HURN 199% · CRAI 72% · GRNQ 17%
Data Processing & Outsourced Services 6 -35.7%-15.3%-29.7% EXLS 36% · BR 6% · G -27%
Office Services & Supplies 9 14.7%16.9%-36.0% PBI 164% · TILE 125% · HNI 41%
Passenger Airlines 11 14.3%13.9%-37.8% LTM 2978% · UAL 116% · DAL 91%
Human Resource & Employment Services 22 -1.1%-17.8%-38.0% BBSI 61% · ADP 43% · HQI 7%
Air Freight & Logistics 12 -32.1%-24.2%-39.3% CHRW 93% · FDX 77% · EXPD 68%
Security & Alarm Services 10 -25.6%19.5%-40.3% CIX 155% · MG 104% · BCO 66%
Airport Services 3 -71.9%-78.6%-69.4% JOBY -40% · ASLE -69% · UP -100%
Median of constituents with a full price history over each window. Top names are unfiltered by size in this render.

Latest Trefis Analyses

TitleDate
0DASHBOARDS 
1AIRO Earnings Notes12/16/2025
2Is AIRO Stock Built to Withstand a Pullback?10/17/2025
Title
0ARTICLES

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

AIROAVAVKTOSCAEJOBYACHRMedian
NameAIRO AeroViro.Kratos D.CAE Joby Avi.Archer A. 
Mkt Price6.71142.7442.9324.036.085.0015.37
Mkt Cap0.2-8.17.45.93.95.9
Rev LTM107-1,5224,9891167116
Op Inc LTM-21-23630-883-943-21
FCF LTM-57--129690-743-681-129
FCF 3Y Avg-20--62422-548-513-62
CFO LTM-50--40982-610-540-50
CFO 3Y Avg-17-12827-476-419-17

Growth & Margins

AIROAVAVKTOSCAEJOBYACHRMedian
NameAIRO AeroViro.Kratos D.CAE Joby Avi.Archer A. 
Rev Chg LTM6.9%-25.5%5.4%118,568.4%-16.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg96.8%-16.6%6.2%--16.6%
Rev Chg Q75.9%-30.5%6.8%257,493.3%-53.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM21.2%-7.6%1.5%49.7%263.2%21.2%
Op Inc Chg LTM-2,367.7%-13.2%2.5%-38.4%-66.5%-38.4%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg-733.9%-109.1%8.1%-29.0%-29.6%-29.0%
Op Mgn LTM-20.2%-1.5%12.6%-759.2%-13,666.7%-20.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-15.9%-2.3%12.0%-233,956.4%--6.8%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM28.5%--0.4%-0.0%257.8%30,538.6%28.5%
CFO/Rev LTM-47.3%--2.6%19.7%-524.5%-7,831.9%-47.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-16.1%-1.4%17.5%-164,003.8%--7.4%
FCF/Rev LTM-53.4%--8.5%13.8%-639.2%-9,869.6%-53.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-19.2%--4.4%8.8%-182,830.8%--11.8%

Valuation

AIROAVAVKTOSCAEJOBYACHRMedian
NameAIRO AeroViro.Kratos D.CAE Joby Avi.Archer A. 
Mkt Cap0.2-8.17.45.93.95.9
P/S2.0-5.31.550.7566.45.3
P/Op Inc-9.8-349.011.8-6.7-4.1-4.1
P/EBIT10.6-207.113.8-6.7-4.110.6
P/E-8.3-262.026.0-6.7-4.9-4.9
P/CFO-4.2--204.57.6-9.7-7.2-7.2
Total Yield-12.2%-0.4%3.9%-15.0%-20.6%-12.2%
Dividend Yield0.0%-0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-8.5%--0.7%5.3%-8.6%-19.5%-8.5%
D/E0.0-0.00.40.10.00.0
Net D/E-0.1--0.20.4-0.3-0.4-0.2

Returns

AIROAVAVKTOSCAEJOBYACHRMedian
NameAIRO AeroViro.Kratos D.CAE Joby Avi.Archer A. 
1M Rtn-11.9%-3.8%-15.8%-0.5%-11.1%-13.5%-11.5%
3M Rtn-12.3%-17.2%-19.1%-4.8%-31.2%1.6%-14.8%
6M Rtn-18.4%-22.2%-36.6%-9.6%-26.5%-4.0%-20.3%
12M Rtn-65.1%-54.7%-53.0%-18.9%-62.3%-47.8%-53.8%
3Y Rtn67.8%28.0%185.8%2.9%-5.7%-1.2%15.4%
1M Excs Rtn-11.5%-3.3%-15.3%-0.1%-10.7%-13.0%-11.1%
3M Excs Rtn-14.6%-19.5%-21.3%-7.0%-33.5%-0.6%-17.0%
6M Excs Rtn-29.2%-39.3%-56.4%-25.0%-43.7%-20.6%-34.3%
12M Excs Rtn-79.8%-68.7%-66.2%-33.3%-76.9%-63.1%-67.4%
3Y Excs Rtn-9.8%-49.3%121.7%-74.5%-83.0%-77.5%-61.9%

Comparison Analyses

null

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Drones7975284 
Avionics7991012
Training5462 
Electric Air Mobility0000 
Total9187431712


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20252024
Electric Air Mobility506514
Drones178151
Corporate563
Training3032
Avionics41
Total774701


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$6.61 
Market Cap ($ Bil)0.2 
First Trading Date06/13/2025 
Distance from 52W High-67.1% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$7.59$17.95
DMA Trenddownindeterminate
Distance from DMA-13.0%-63.2%
 3M1YR
Volatility86.2%87.4%
Downside Capture464.90443.55
Upside Capture334.81249.46
Correlation (SPY)47.2%39.0%
AIRO Betas & Captures as of 9/30/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta2.254.183.702.862.63-0.07
Up Beta5.743.763.641.000.230.19
Down Beta1.432.042.993.242.72-0.96
Up Capture125%489%417%404%546%90%
Bmk +ve Days6162766132424
Stock +ve Days10203061116149
Down Capture329%420%342%283%188%100%
Bmk -ve Days16263760120328
Stock -ve Days11213262133173

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with AIRO
AIRO-65.4%87.2%-0.83-
Sector ETF (XLI)10.1%17.3%0.3935.3%
Equity (SPY)15.9%13.0%0.8739.2%
Gold (GLD)8.1%29.6%0.2624.3%
Commodities (DBC)43.1%20.8%1.612.0%
Real Estate (VNQ)2.2%13.6%-0.0911.9%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-27.1%44.5%-0.5831.4%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with AIRO
AIRO-22.5%96.3%-0.61-
Sector ETF (XLI)12.6%17.6%0.5533.4%
Equity (SPY)13.2%17.2%0.5936.6%
Gold (GLD)18.2%18.9%0.7818.4%
Commodities (DBC)10.6%19.6%0.42-0.9%
Real Estate (VNQ)0.5%18.9%-0.0813.7%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)13.9%52.3%0.4428.1%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with AIRO
AIRO-18.5%104.5%-1.01-
Sector ETF (XLI)13.2%20.0%0.5832.8%
Equity (SPY)15.4%17.9%0.7335.9%
Gold (GLD)11.8%16.4%0.5814.6%
Commodities (DBC)8.4%18.1%0.381.3%
Real Estate (VNQ)4.5%20.7%0.1814.2%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)63.6%66.2%1.0323.9%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date9152026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity3.1 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 83120264.8%
Average Daily Volume0.4 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest8.8 days
Basic Shares Quantity31.5 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares9.9%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 9/16/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
8/13/202626.1%1.2%-14.6%
5/14/2026-15.5%-23.6%2.6%
11/14/2025-20.8%-38.4%-39.7%
8/14/20255.5%1.4%-7.4%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive221
# Negative223
Median Positive15.8%1.3%2.6%
Median Negative-18.2%-31.0%-14.6%
Max Positive26.1%1.4%2.6%
Max Negative-20.8%-38.4%-39.7%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
8/13/202626.1%1.2%-14.6%
5/14/2026-15.5%-23.6%2.6%
11/14/2025-20.8%-38.4%-39.7%
8/14/20255.5%1.4%-7.4%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive221
# Negative223
Median Positive15.8%1.3%2.6%
Median Negative-18.2%-31.0%-14.6%
Max Positive26.1%1.4%2.6%
Max Negative-20.8%-38.4%-39.7%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202608/13/202610-Q
03/31/202605/14/202610-Q
12/31/202503/31/202610-K
09/30/202511/14/202510-Q
06/30/202508/13/202510-Q
12/31/202402/21/2025S-1
03/31/202407/10/2024424B3
06/30/202308/31/2023S-4/A
03/31/202306/30/2023S-4/A
09/30/202204/06/2023DRS
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202608/13/202610-Q
03/31/202605/14/202610-Q
12/31/202503/31/202610-K
09/30/202511/14/202510-Q
06/30/202508/13/202510-Q
12/31/202402/21/2025S-1
03/31/202407/10/2024424B3
06/30/202308/31/2023S-4/A
03/31/202306/30/2023S-4/A
09/30/202204/06/2023DRS

Recent Forward Guidance

Updated 9/28/2026

Latest: Q2 2026 Earnings Reported 8/13/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Revenue GrowthReported15.0%20.0%25.0% 0.0%AffirmedGuidance: 20.0% for 2026
2026 Adjusted EBITDAReported-19.00 Mil-17.00 Mil-15.00 Mil  AffirmedGuidance: -17.50 Mil for 2026


Prior: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 5/14/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Revenue GrowthReported15.0%20.0%25.0%   
2026 Adjusted EBITDAReported-19.00 Mil-17.50 Mil-15.00 Mil   

Insider Activity

Updated 9/4/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Uczekaj, JohnPresident and COODirectSell90420267.107,23051,3441,522,150Form
2Pylypiv, MariyaChief Financial OfficerDirectSell90420267.088,69761,5931,893,279Form
3Uczekaj, JohnPresident and COODirectSell81720269.7216,887164,1292,153,513Form
4Uczekaj, JohnPresident and COODirectSell70720267.761541,195180,259Form
5Pylypiv, MariyaChief Financial OfficerDirectSell61820267.6630,028229,921613,991Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Uczekaj, JohnPresident and COODirectSell90420267.107,23051,3441,522,150Form
2Pylypiv, MariyaChief Financial OfficerDirectSell90420267.088,69761,5931,893,279Form
3Uczekaj, JohnPresident and COODirectSell81720269.7216,887164,1292,153,513Form
4Uczekaj, JohnPresident and COODirectSell70720267.761541,195180,259Form
5Pylypiv, MariyaChief Financial OfficerDirectSell61820267.6630,028229,921613,991Form
6Uczekaj, JohnPresident and COODirectSell40620268.843,41530,176177,709Form
7Uczekaj, JohnPresident and COODirectSell316202610.433964,129245,296Form
8Pylypiv, MariyaChief Financial OfficerDirectSell316202610.2620,078205,974511,776Form
9Uczekaj, JohnPresident and COODirectSell10520269.421831,725208,788Form
10Kathuria, ChirinjeevExecutive ChairmanDirectSell916202517.39103,7331,803,91716,235,269Form
11Kathuria, ChirinjeevExecutive ChairmanNew Generation Aerospace, LLCSell916202517.39405,6347,053,97563,485,847Form
12New, Generation Aerospace, LlcDirectSell916202517.39405,6347,053,97563,485,847Form
13Burns, Joseph DChief Executive OfficerJoe and Kim Burns TrustSell916202517.39179,8003,126,72228,140,533Form
14Uczekaj, JohnPresident and COODirectSell916202517.392,22538,693348,322Form
15Uczekaj, JohnPresident and COOJS DM Uczekaj Family TrustSell916202517.3935,900624,3015,618,813Form
Core Cache Last Updated: 9/30/2026