Tearsheet

Air Industries (AIRI)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $2.89 | Market Cap: $10.8 Mil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Aerospace & Defense

Air Industries (AIRI)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $2.89
Market Cap: $10.8 Mil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Aerospace & Defense

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 47%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -48%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -123%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -0.8 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -1.5%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Advanced Aviation & Space. Themes include Aerospace Component Manufacturing, and Advanced Air Mobility Components.
  Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 206%
2   Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.1%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -2.1%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -6.7%
3   Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.5%
4   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -23%
0 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 47%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Advanced Aviation & Space. Themes include Aerospace Component Manufacturing, and Advanced Air Mobility Components.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -48%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -123%
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -0.8 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -1.5%
4 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 206%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.1%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -2.1%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -6.7%
6 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.5%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -23%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

AIRI Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

For the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 5, 2025, Air Industries Group (AIRI) experienced significant downward pressure on its stock. Although the specific -6.4% stock movement was not directly identified in a singular event within this future-dated window, the company's Q2 2025 earnings, released on August 14, 2025, immediately preceding the requested period, triggered a substantial stock decline of 13.95%. A key factor contributing to this market reaction was a 6.6% decrease in revenue for Q2 2025.

1. Consolidated Net Sales Decline: Air Industries Group reported a consolidated net sales decrease of 6.7% year-over-year in Q2 2025, reaching $12.7 million. This revenue drop was noted as 6.6% by some reports.

2. Significant Net Loss: The company recorded a net loss of $422,000, translating to $0.11 per share for Q2 2025, a notable decline from a net income in the prior year. The reported GAAP earnings per share (EPS) of ($0.42) fell significantly below the consensus forecast of ($0.15).

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
AIRI Return-47%-26%-53%-24%25%-27%-87%
Peers Return-11%-2%-3%14%-2%44%37%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%17%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
AIRI Win Rate42%25%17%33%67%40% 
Peers Win Rate8%8%10%12%5%31% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
AIRI Max Drawdown-72%-26%-54%-38%-5%-31% 
Peers Max Drawdown-15%-5%-7%-0%-2%-0% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: FLY, ATRO, BETA, DFSC, PEW.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/4/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventAIRIS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-87.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven673.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-77.7%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven347.9%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-84.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven557.0%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-97.5%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven3900.0%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days1480 days

Compare to FLY, ATRO, BETA, DFSC, PEW


In The Past

Air Industries's stock fell -87.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/18/2021. A -87.1% loss requires a 673.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

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Asset Allocation

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About Air Industries (AIRI)

Better Bets than Air Industries (AIRI)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to AIRI. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
9.5%9.5%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
7.5%7.5%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.8%2.8%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
0.0%0.0%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
9.5%9.5%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
7.5%7.5%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.8%2.8%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
0.0%0.0%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Air Industries

Peers to compare with:

Financials

AIRIFLYATROBETADFSCPEWMedian
NameAir Indu.Firefly .AstronicsBETA Tec.DEFSEC T.GrabAGun. 
Mkt Price2.9620.1350.9530.383.843.5911.98
Mkt Cap0.0-1.8---0.9
Rev LTM52101831-4-77
Op Inc LTM-1-21150--9--5
FCF LTM-1-19951--9--5
FCF 3Y Avg-0-8--11--0
CFO LTM2-16574--9--3
CFO 3Y Avg2-22--10-2

Growth & Margins

AIRIFLYATROBETADFSCPEWMedian
NameAir Indu.Firefly .AstronicsBETA Tec.DEFSEC T.GrabAGun. 
Rev Chg LTM-2.1%-6.2%-166.4%-6.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-2.1%-19.5%-94.3%-19.5%
Rev Chg Q-6.7%-3.8%-330.2%-3.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-1.7%-0.9%-35.8%-0.9%
Op Mgn LTM-1.5%-209.3%6.0%--209.1%--105.3%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-0.8%-2.2%--699.5%--0.8%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-1.4%-1.7%-86.7%-1.7%
CFO/Rev LTM3.6%-164.1%8.9%--212.3%--80.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg4.5%-2.5%--716.7%-2.5%
FCF/Rev LTM-2.5%-197.5%6.1%--216.3%--100.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-0.3%-0.8%--777.8%--0.3%

Valuation

AIRIFLYATROBETADFSCPEWMedian
NameAir Indu.Firefly .AstronicsBETA Tec.DEFSEC T.GrabAGun. 
Mkt Cap0.0-1.8---0.9
P/S0.2-1.9---1.1
P/EBIT-23.9-32.3---4.2
P/E-5.3--523.9----264.6
P/CFO6.7-22.0---14.3
Total Yield-18.9%--0.2%----9.5%
Dividend Yield0.0%-0.0%---0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-0.8%--0.5%----0.6%
D/E2.1-0.2---1.2
Net D/E2.1-0.2---1.1

Returns

AIRIFLYATROBETADFSCPEWMedian
NameAir Indu.Firefly .AstronicsBETA Tec.DEFSEC T.GrabAGun. 
1M Rtn-3.9%-11.9%6.2%-15.6%19.6%-17.7%-7.9%
3M Rtn-8.9%-53.0%30.4%-28.4%-36.1%-8.9%
6M Rtn-14.0%-57.7%---21.9%
12M Rtn-34.5%-207.9%---86.7%
3Y Rtn-46.9%-466.1%---209.6%
1M Excs Rtn-5.2%-13.2%4.9%-16.9%18.4%-18.9%-9.2%
3M Excs Rtn-12.7%-58.5%25.9%-21.7%-44.0%-12.7%
6M Excs Rtn-29.3%-42.2%---6.4%
12M Excs Rtn-50.1%-194.1%---72.0%
3Y Excs Rtn-122.6%-465.1%---171.2%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity26,309
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-40.4%
Average Daily Volume28,242
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1
Basic Shares Quantity3,731,335
Short % of Basic Shares0.7%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025814202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025515202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024415202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241114202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024814202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024515202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023415202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231206202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023818202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023811202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022516202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221114202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022822202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022511202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021325202210-K 12/31/2021
93020211112202110-Q 9/30/2021