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Aeva Technologies (AEVA)


Market Price (12/17/2025): $14.02 | Market Cap: $811.5 Mil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Systems Software

Aeva Technologies (AEVA)


Market Price (12/17/2025): $14.02
Market Cap: $811.5 Mil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Systems Software

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 90%
Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -3.3%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -133 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -876%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, Autonomous Technologies, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Autonomous Driving Technology, Show more.
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 16%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 55x
2   Stock price has recently run up significantly
12M Rtn12 month market price return is 218%
3   Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -751%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -786%
4   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -23%
5   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 117%
6   Key risks
AEVA key risks include [1] a history of significant losses with profitability being highly dependent on the commercial success of its customers' programs, Show more.
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 90%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, Autonomous Technologies, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Autonomous Driving Technology, Show more.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -3.3%
3 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 16%
4 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -133 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -876%
5 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 55x
6 Stock price has recently run up significantly
12M Rtn12 month market price return is 218%
7 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -751%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -786%
8 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -23%
9 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 117%
10 Key risks
AEVA key risks include [1] a history of significant losses with profitability being highly dependent on the commercial success of its customers' programs, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

AEVA Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Aeva Technologies (AEVA) experienced a notable stock movement from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025. Here are key points explaining why the stock moved by -13% during this approximate period:

1. Volatility and Decline Following Q3 2025 Earnings: Despite reporting a significant increase in Q3 2025 revenue to $3.6 million (up from $2.3 million in Q3 2024) and a dramatic surge in net income to $107.5 million, Aeva Technologies' stock experienced volatility. The stock initially gained 6.27% on the day of the earnings report (November 7, 2025), but subsequently saw a 20.07% drop in the week following the announcement, and an 18.27% month-to-date decline.

2. Sell Signal from Pivot Top in December 2025: A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Thursday, December 11, 2025. This signal contributed to a further fall of -18.11% from that point, indicating continued downward pressure until a new bottom pivot is established.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
AEVA Return-54%-82%-44%25%195%
Peers Return51%-18%-25%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
AEVA Win Rate60%42%25%50%58%50% 
Peers Win Rate47%50%38%35% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
AEVA Max Drawdown-57%-84%-65%-40%-45% 
Peers Max Drawdown-31%-65%-53% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: OUST, LAZR, MVIS, MBLY, AUR.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventAEVAS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-98.0%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven4786.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-24.5%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven32.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven40 days148 days

Compare to GEN, PATH, S, VRNT, CHOW


In The Past

Aeva Technologies's stock fell -98.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/10/2021. A -98.0% loss requires a 4786.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

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Asset Allocation

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About Aeva Technologies (AEVA)

Better Bets than Aeva Technologies (AEVA)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to AEVA. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
10.4%10.4%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
10.7%10.7%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
12.2%12.2%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
4.2%4.2%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
13.6%13.6%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
10.4%10.4%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
10.7%10.7%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
12.2%12.2%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
4.2%4.2%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
13.6%13.6%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Aeva Technologies

Peers to compare with:

Financials

AEVAOUSTLAZRMVISMBLYAURMedian
NameAeva Tec.Ouster Luminar .Microvis.Mobileye.Aurora I. 
Mkt Price12.8720.790.220.8810.124.077.09
Mkt Cap0.71.20.00.48.27.71.0
Rev LTM151377631,938245
Op Inc LTM-133-101-240-59-386-862-186
FCF LTM-119-32-209-59628-608-89
FCF 3Y Avg-120-79-259-64390-620-100
CFO LTM-114-27-208-58693-577-86
CFO 3Y Avg-115-75-248-62478-595-95

Growth & Margins

AEVAOUSTLAZRMVISMBLYAURMedian
NameAeva Tec.Ouster Luminar .Microvis.Mobileye.Aurora I. 
Rev Chg LTM89.9%30.2%1.0%-67.7%7.6%-7.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg69.4%49.2%22.9%95.5%6.1%-49.2%
Rev Chg Q59.1%40.8%21.0%26.8%3.7%-26.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM9.6%9.1%4.5%2.0%0.9%100.0%6.8%
Op Mgn LTM-875.9%-73.2%-316.7%-2,222.8%-19.9%-43,100.0%-596.3%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-2,708.7%-161.9%-636.5%-2,366.5%-14.9%--636.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM118.3%9.2%72.2%160.2%0.3%40,500.0%95.2%
CFO/Rev LTM-751.1%-19.7%-274.4%-2,215.2%35.8%-28,850.0%-512.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-2,088.9%-91.5%-362.9%-1,935.1%24.8%--362.9%
FCF/Rev LTM-785.7%-23.1%-276.5%-2,235.6%32.4%-30,400.0%-531.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-2,180.5%-96.2%-380.6%-2,009.8%20.2%--380.6%

Valuation

AEVAOUSTLAZRMVISMBLYAURMedian
NameAeva Tec.Ouster Luminar .Microvis.Mobileye.Aurora I. 
Mkt Cap0.71.20.00.48.27.71.0
P/S55.311.40.2138.95.95,096.233.4
P/EBIT-6.3-17.2-0.1--3.8-11.8-6.3
P/E-5.4-17.8-0.1-4.1-34.2-12.7-9.0
P/CFO-7.4-57.9-0.1-6.316.6-17.7-6.8
Total Yield-18.6%-5.6%-1,466.3%-24.1%-2.9%-7.9%-13.2%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-51.3%-31.9%-79.3%-2.8%-10.3%-31.9%
D/E0.00.028.8-0.00.00.0
Net D/E-0.1-0.124.1--0.2-0.1-0.1

Returns

AEVAOUSTLAZRMVISMBLYAURMedian
NameAeva Tec.Ouster Luminar .Microvis.Mobileye.Aurora I. 
1M Rtn40.0%-0.6%-75.6%-4.1%-14.5%6.3%-2.4%
3M Rtn-25.4%-32.1%-90.8%-25.2%-29.0%-30.9%-30.0%
6M Rtn-53.4%2.2%-92.3%-29.4%-33.8%-23.6%-31.6%
12M Rtn217.8%89.0%-96.4%9.0%-48.5%-49.5%-19.7%
3Y Rtn73.9%82.3%-99.8%-65.9%-70.1%225.6%4.0%
1M Excs Rtn39.3%-1.4%-76.3%-4.9%-15.2%5.5%-3.1%
3M Excs Rtn-26.1%-41.5%-91.7%-30.7%-32.0%-33.1%-32.5%
6M Excs Rtn-65.8%-10.2%-104.5%-41.7%-46.2%-36.0%-44.0%
12M Excs Rtn185.5%117.8%-107.4%-2.9%-53.3%-52.7%-27.8%
3Y Excs Rtn-3.4%7.7%-166.8%-137.8%-137.9%142.3%-70.6%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil202420232022
Product revenue432
Non-recurring engineering services017
Total449


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity9,399,998
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-6.3%
Average Daily Volume1,816,310
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.18
Basic Shares Quantity57,883,326
Short % of Basic Shares16.2%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/5/2025-6.1%-18.2%9.5%
7/31/2025-15.0%-33.4%-20.6%
3/19/202534.7%86.5%134.4%
11/6/2024-0.2%-10.7%8.1%
8/7/20242.1%-4.3%-13.2%
3/5/20247.9%8.9%-17.4%
11/8/20232.6%-10.1%-13.5%
8/8/2023-8.2%-7.3%-13.2%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive857
# Negative8119
Median Positive2.8%18.0%9.5%
Median Negative-5.9%-10.7%-15.5%
Max Positive34.7%86.5%134.4%
Max Negative-15.0%-33.4%-35.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251107202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025806202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025515202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024321202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241107202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023315202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231114202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023810202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023512202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022324202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221109202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022809202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022509202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021301202210-K 12/31/2021