Aeva Technologies (AEVA)
Market Price (4/10/2026): $13.31 | Market Cap: $802.1 MilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Automobile Manufacturers
Aeva Technologies (AEVA)
Market Price (4/10/2026): $13.31Market Cap: $802.1 MilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Automobile Manufacturers
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 99% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, Autonomous Technologies, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Autonomous Driving Technology, Show more. | Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 14% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -128 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -706% Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 44x Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 121% Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -637%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -662% Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -22% High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 118% Key risksAEVA key risks include [1] a history of significant losses with profitability being highly dependent on the commercial success of its customers' programs, Show more. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 99% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, Autonomous Technologies, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Autonomous Driving Technology, Show more. |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 14% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -128 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -706% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 44x |
| Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 121% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -637%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -662% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -22% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 118% |
| Key risksAEVA key risks include [1] a history of significant losses with profitability being highly dependent on the commercial success of its customers' programs, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Strong Q4 2025 Revenue Growth and Positive 2026 Outlook.
Aeva Technologies reported record quarterly revenue of $5.6 million for Q4 2025, a 100% increase year-over-year, contributing to a total annual revenue of $18.1 million for the full year 2025. This marked a 100% growth compared to the previous year. The company also exceeded analysts' earnings expectations, posting an EPS of -$0.40 against an estimated -$0.49, marking an 18.37% beat. Looking forward, Aeva provided optimistic 2026 revenue guidance, targeting between $30 million and $36 million, implying approximately 70% to 100% year-over-year growth.
2. Key Strategic Partnerships and Market Diversification.
Aeva significantly strengthened its market position through several strategic developments. NVIDIA selected Aeva's 4D LiDAR technology as a reference sensor for its DRIVE Hyperion autonomous vehicle platform. Furthermore, Aeva secured a major global production contract to be the exclusive LiDAR supplier outside of China for a top European passenger OEM. The company also diversified its revenue streams by expanding into intelligent infrastructure, with the Georgia Department of Transportation (GDOT) selecting its CityOS platform for deployment at 30 intersections across Atlanta.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 0.2% change in AEVA stock from 12/31/2025 to 4/10/2026 was primarily driven by a 19.3% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 12312025 | 4102026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 13.28 | 13.31 | 0.2% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 15 | 18 | 19.3% |
| P/S Multiple | 50.7 | 44.4 | -12.5% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 58 | 60 | -3.9% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.2% |
Market Drivers
12/31/2025 to 4/10/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| AEVA | 0.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | -5.4% | 39.4% |
| Sector (XLY) | -5.5% | 35.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -8.2% change in AEVA stock from 9/30/2025 to 4/10/2026 was primarily driven by a -23.3% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 9302025 | 4102026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 14.50 | 13.31 | -8.2% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 14 | 18 | 30.8% |
| P/S Multiple | 57.9 | 44.4 | -23.3% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 55 | 60 | -8.5% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -8.2% |
Market Drivers
9/30/2025 to 4/10/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| AEVA | -7.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | -2.9% | 39.8% |
| Sector (XLY) | -5.6% | 31.8% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 90.1% change in AEVA stock from 3/31/2025 to 4/10/2026 was primarily driven by a 99.4% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 3312025 | 4102026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 7.00 | 13.31 | 90.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 9 | 18 | 99.4% |
| P/S Multiple | 41.7 | 44.4 | 6.4% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 54 | 60 | -10.4% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 90.1% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2025 to 4/10/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| AEVA | 90.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 16.3% | 38.9% |
| Sector (XLY) | 15.0% | 35.8% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 123.7% change in AEVA stock from 3/31/2023 to 4/10/2026 was primarily driven by a 273.3% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 3312023 | 4102026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 5.95 | 13.31 | 123.7% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 5 | 18 | 273.3% |
| P/S Multiple | 51.9 | 44.4 | -14.6% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 42 | 60 | -29.8% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 123.7% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2023 to 4/10/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| AEVA | 124.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 63.3% | 36.6% |
| Sector (XLY) | 54.4% | 33.7% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| AEVA Return | -54% | -82% | -44% | 25% | 180% | -2% | -84% |
| Peers Return | -28% | -59% | 41% | -9% | -0% | -14% | -68% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | -0% | 82% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| AEVA Win Rate | 42% | 25% | 50% | 58% | 50% | 25% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 49% | 42% | 45% | 42% | 35% | 25% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| AEVA Max Drawdown | -57% | -84% | -65% | -40% | -45% | -15% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -34% | -67% | -38% | -59% | -46% | -25% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -7% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: OUST, MVIS, MBLY, AUR, LIDR.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 4/10/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | AEVA | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -98.0% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 4786.3% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -24.5% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 32.5% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 40 days | 148 days |
Compare to OUST, MVIS, MBLY, AUR, LIDR
In The Past
Aeva Technologies's stock fell -98.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/10/2021. A -98.0% loss requires a 4786.3% gain to breakeven.
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About Aeva Technologies (AEVA)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Aeva Technologies:
- The Mobileye of 4D LiDAR.
- Qualcomm for advanced sensing chips.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- 4D LiDAR-on-chip: A sensing technology using frequency modulated continuous wave (FMCW) designed to enable LiDAR adoption across various applications.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Major Customers of Aeva Technologies (AEVA)
Aeva Technologies, Inc. primarily sells its 4D LiDAR-on-chip technology and solutions to other companies (B2B) for integration into a wide range of applications, including automated driving, consumer electronics, consumer health, industrial automation, and security. Based on public announcements and strategic partnerships, its major customers and collaborators include:
- Volkswagen Group (Symbol: VWAGY): Aeva has a strategic partnership with Porsche Engineering, a subsidiary of the Volkswagen Group, for the development and implementation of next-generation autonomous vehicle technology.
- Nikola Corporation (Symbol: NKLA): Aeva's LiDAR technology is being integrated into Nikola's autonomous electric heavy-duty trucks.
- SICK AG: Aeva has partnered with SICK AG, a global leader in industrial sensing solutions, to develop and bring to market next-generation sensing solutions for industrial automation applications.
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Soroush Salehian, Chief Executive Officer and Co-Founder
Background: Soroush Salehian co-founded Aeva in December 2016 and has served as Chief Executive Officer since that time. Prior to Aeva, he managed product development at Apple, where he led the Sensing Systems team for their Special Projects Group, and also led the systems product teams for the iPhone and Apple Watch. He founded BlueLibris Inc., a personal health monitoring company, which was subsequently acquired by Numera. Mr. Salehian holds a Bachelor of Science in Mechanical Engineering from Stanford University.
Mina Rezk, President, Chief Technology Officer, Co-Founder, and Chairman of the Board
Background: Mina Rezk co-founded Aeva with Soroush Salehian in December 2016 and has served as Chief Technology Officer since then, also holding the titles of President and Chairman of the Board. From January 2015 to November 2016, he served as Sensing Engineering Manager in Apple's Special Projects Group. Before his time at Apple, Mr. Rezk held various roles, including Hardware Development Manager, at Nikon Metrology from February 2004 to February 2015. He has over 17 years of experience in developing sensor fusion systems for the automotive and aerospace industries. Mr. Rezk holds Bachelor's and Master's Degrees in Electrical Engineering from George Mason University.
Saurabh Sinha, Chief Financial Officer
Background: Saurabh Sinha has served as Aeva's Chief Financial Officer since September 2020. Before joining Aeva, he was the Chief Accounting Officer of JUUL Labs from July 2018 to August 2020, and also served as its interim Chief Financial Officer from January 2020 to May 2020. Prior to JUUL Labs, Mr. Sinha held various finance leadership roles at InvenSense Inc., a motion sensors company, from March 2014 to June 2018. He received his Bachelor of Commerce degree from the University of Delhi, India, and his Master of Business Administration from The Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The key risks for Aeva Technologies (AEVA) include its financial health and path to profitability, the intense competitive landscape and market adoption challenges, and its elevated valuation.
- Financial Health and Path to Profitability: Aeva Technologies faces significant challenges related to its financial health, marked by persistent unprofitability, negative operating margins, and a substantial cash burn rate. The company has reported considerable net losses and negative free cash flow, indicating a capital-intensive business model that is still in the early stages of commercialization. While Aeva has shown revenue growth, the path to sustained profitability is considered long and demanding, raising concerns about its ability to achieve financial health without further dilution or debt.
- Intense Competition and Market Adoption/Execution Risk: The LiDAR market in which Aeva operates is highly crowded and competitive, with numerous companies offering different technological approaches, such as Time-of-Flight (ToF) LiDAR and emerging imaging radar solutions. Despite Aeva's strategic partnerships and technological advantages with its FMCW LiDAR, there is a significant risk associated with converting design wins into large-scale production revenue. Furthermore, the broader autonomous driving industry is still in its nascent stages, contending with regulatory hurdles, technological complexities, and slower-than-anticipated adoption rates, which could directly impact Aeva's revenue growth.
- Valuation: Aeva's current market valuation is often highlighted as a key risk. Several analyses indicate that the stock's price-to-sales ratio and other valuation metrics are stretched, reflecting significant market optimism that may not be fully supported by current business fundamentals or consistent, large-scale contracts. This elevated valuation, coupled with the company's financial challenges and the speculative nature of the market, contributes to high stock price volatility and the potential for sharp corrections if future results do not meet investor expectations.
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Clear Emerging Threats for Aeva Technologies (AEVA):
- Tesla's Vision-Only Autonomous Driving Strategy: Tesla, a leading autonomous vehicle developer, is actively pursuing and promoting a vision-only approach to self-driving, explicitly eschewing the use of LiDAR. If Tesla's Full Self-Driving system achieves widespread success and robust, safe operation without LiDAR, it could significantly diminish the perceived necessity and market demand for LiDAR sensors in the automotive industry, a key target market for Aeva. This challenges the fundamental assumption that LiDAR is an indispensable component for highly automated driving.
- Rapid Advancements in High-Resolution 4D Imaging Radar: Emerging high-resolution 4D imaging radar technologies are demonstrating increasing capabilities in providing detailed environmental perception, including range, velocity, azimuth, and elevation. While not yet matching LiDAR's full resolution, these advancements offer a potentially lower-cost, all-weather sensor solution that could encroach upon or reduce the market share for LiDAR in certain applications, especially as their performance continues to improve.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Aeva Technologies (AEVA), a company specializing in 4D LiDAR-on-chip technology using Frequency Modulated Continuous Wave (FMCW) sensing, operates within a rapidly expanding global market across various applications. The global FMCW LiDAR market was valued at approximately $1.2 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach $3.4 billion by 2030. Another estimate places the global FMCW LiDAR technology market size at roughly $1.2 billion in 2023, with a projection to reach $5.8 billion by 2032. A separate report indicated the FMCW LiDAR technology market was valued at approximately USD 287 million in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 2.1 billion by 2033. Additionally, the global LiDAR-on-Chip FMCW Engine market size reached USD 328 million in 2024 and is expected to grow to an estimated USD 2,995 million by 2033. For the broader 4D LiDAR Sensor Market, the global size was estimated at USD 144.56 million in 2025 and is expected to grow to USD 268.92 million by 2032. These markets encompass a range of applications, including:- Automated Driving/ADAS: The automotive sector is a significant driver of the FMCW LiDAR market, with increasing adoption in advanced driver-assistance systems (ADAS) and autonomous vehicles. The automotive LiDAR market alone was valued at USD 1.23 billion in 2025 and is estimated to reach USD 6.54 billion by 2031.
- Robotics: FMCW LiDAR is increasingly adopted in robotics for navigation, obstacle avoidance, and environmental mapping.
- Industrial Automation: This application area utilizes FMCW LiDAR for precise environmental mapping and safety-critical systems.
- Smart Cities/Traffic Management: FMCW LiDAR is being explored for roles in traffic safety analytics, urban planning, and smart city infrastructure projects.
- Security Applications: The technology finds use in security applications, including surveillance systems.
- Consumer Electronics and Consumer Health: While specific market sizes for FMCW LiDAR in these segments were not explicitly detailed in the provided snippets, the company description indicates these as target applications, and the general trend of miniaturization and cost reduction in LiDAR technology supports potential growth in these areas.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Aeva Technologies (AEVA) is poised for future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years, driven by several key factors stemming from its advanced 4D LiDAR-on-chip technology and strategic market expansions.
- Ramp-up of Major Automotive Production Programs: A significant driver of future revenue for Aeva Technologies is the progression and eventual production ramp-up of its key partnerships within the automotive sector. This includes becoming the exclusive global LiDAR supplier for a leading European OEM (excluding China) for a Level 3 automation program, with production anticipated to commence around 2028. Additionally, the collaboration with Daimler Truck for next-generation commercial trucks, involving the delivery of Atlas C-sample units in 2026 and a planned start of production in 2027, is expected to generate multi-year production revenue. Furthermore, NVIDIA's selection of Aeva's 4D LiDAR as a reference sensor for its DRIVE Hyperion platform is expected to accelerate adoption across the automotive industry.
- Expansion into New Industrial and Physical AI Markets: Aeva is strategically diversifying its reach beyond traditional automotive applications into industrial automation and physical AI. The company launched its Eve 1 line of high-precision sensors for factory and process automation, with shipments ramping up in 2026. A key partnership with LG Innotek, involving a substantial investment and joint product development, is focused on expanding Aeva's 4D LiDAR into physical AI applications and robotics, including the introduction of the Omni 4D LiDAR sensor designed for these uses.
- Diversification into Defense and Smart Infrastructure: Aeva is actively expanding into other burgeoning markets. The company has secured its first defense contract and is experiencing increasing engagement in defense applications, which are expected to contribute significantly to near-term sales. Moreover, Aeva's 4D LiDAR technology is being leveraged for intelligent transportation systems (ITS), exemplified by its partnership with Sensys Gatso for mobile speed detection products in Australia, and for enhancing safety and efficiency in smart infrastructure applications.
- Increased Commercial Traction and Sensor Shipments Across Applications: Beyond specific marquee deals, Aeva anticipates continued revenue growth from increasing sensor shipments to a broader base of customers and expanding applications. This general increase in commercial momentum is driven by the growing demand for advanced perception technologies and the broader adoption of Aeva's differentiated FMCW technology across various sectors, including ongoing product revenue from existing and new customers.
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Share Issuance
- Aeva had an "up to $125 million ATM share issuance program" in Q3 2025, allowing for flexible selling of shares.
- In 2025, the company recorded $32.5 million in proceeds from the issuance of stock in a private placement.
Inbound Investments
- In November 2025, funds managed by Apollo invested $100 million in 4.375% Convertible Senior Notes due 2032 to support Aeva's commercial momentum and accelerate the adoption of FMCW 4D LiDAR.
- As part of a partnership formed in May 2025, LG Innotek is investing up to $50 million in Aeva through an equity stake, non-dilutive investment for new joint products, and capital investments to bring production capacity online for next-generation products.
Capital Expenditures
- For the full year 2025, the purchase of property, plant, and equipment, including advances, amounted to $4.609 million.
- Gross cash used, defined as operating cash flow less capital expenditures, was $119.7 million for the full year 2025, indicating ongoing capital deployment for operations and growth.
- Capital investments from LG Innotek are intended to bring production capacity online for Aeva's next generation of products, focusing on manufacturing and product development.
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 5.70 |
| Mkt Cap | 1.0 |
| Rev LTM | 11 |
| Op Inc LTM | -101 |
| FCF LTM | -62 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -73 |
| CFO LTM | -49 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | -68 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 15.3% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 62.9% |
| Rev Chg Q | 106.6% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 21.3% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -3,224.8% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -1,917.8% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 99.8% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | -2,748.7% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -1,523.9% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -2,789.6% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -1,598.3% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 1.0 |
| P/S | 99.8 |
| P/EBIT | -7.6 |
| P/E | -7.7 |
| P/CFO | -5.1 |
| Total Yield | -14.1% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -19.5% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | -0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -7.4% |
| 3M Rtn | -29.9% |
| 6M Rtn | -37.0% |
| 12M Rtn | 21.0% |
| 3Y Rtn | 43.0% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -8.0% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -25.6% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -41.4% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 12.5% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -31.5% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $13.35 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.8 | |
| First Trading Date | 02/04/2020 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -64.7% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $13.73 | $16.28 |
| DMA Trend | down | down |
| Distance from DMA | -2.8% | -18.0% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 92.1% | 116.9% |
| Downside Capture | 1.50 | 2.17 |
| Upside Capture | 141.90 | 374.43 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 37.6% | 35.4% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 4.90 | 4.21 | 3.55 | 3.54 | 2.44 | 2.52 |
| Up Beta | 0.33 | 3.03 | 5.62 | 3.64 | 2.45 | 2.31 |
| Down Beta | 8.27 | 4.88 | 3.01 | 2.53 | 1.26 | 1.51 |
| Up Capture | 783% | 736% | 527% | 711% | 1583% | 24318% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 7 | 16 | 27 | 65 | 139 | 424 |
| Stock +ve Days | 12 | 20 | 31 | 63 | 131 | 366 |
| Down Capture | 211% | 251% | 211% | 239% | 168% | 113% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 12 | 23 | 33 | 58 | 110 | 323 |
| Stock -ve Days | 10 | 21 | 31 | 62 | 118 | 368 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with AEVA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AEVA | 108.1% | 118.7% | 1.16 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 28.9% | 22.5% | 1.05 | 36.7% |
| Equity (SPY) | 31.2% | 17.3% | 1.47 | 40.2% |
| Gold (GLD) | 60.1% | 27.8% | 1.69 | 5.3% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 29.8% | 16.6% | 1.58 | 7.7% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 21.3% | 15.2% | 1.07 | 20.1% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -5.7% | 43.7% | -0.01 | 31.3% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with AEVA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AEVA | -27.8% | 95.5% | 0.09 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 6.3% | 23.7% | 0.23 | 41.6% |
| Equity (SPY) | 11.1% | 17.0% | 0.50 | 40.2% |
| Gold (GLD) | 22.1% | 17.8% | 1.02 | 8.1% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 11.8% | 18.8% | 0.52 | 9.8% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.7% | 18.8% | 0.10 | 29.3% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 4.0% | 56.5% | 0.29 | 23.6% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with AEVA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AEVA | -13.2% | 90.9% | 0.16 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 12.2% | 22.0% | 0.51 | 33.4% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.8% | 17.9% | 0.66 | 28.9% |
| Gold (GLD) | 14.2% | 15.9% | 0.74 | 8.4% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.6% | 17.6% | 0.41 | 8.9% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.1% | 20.7% | 0.22 | 19.5% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 67.4% | 66.9% | 1.07 | 20.7% |
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Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 2/26/2026 | -2.8% | 10.6% | -6.4% |
| 11/5/2025 | -6.1% | -18.2% | 9.5% |
| 7/31/2025 | -15.0% | -33.4% | -20.6% |
| 3/19/2025 | 34.7% | 86.5% | 134.4% |
| 11/6/2024 | -0.2% | -10.7% | 8.1% |
| 8/7/2024 | 2.1% | -4.3% | -13.2% |
| 3/5/2024 | 7.9% | 8.9% | -17.4% |
| 11/8/2023 | -10.1% | -10.4% | -13.3% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 7 | 6 | 7 |
| # Negative | 10 | 11 | 10 |
| Median Positive | 3.0% | 14.3% | 9.5% |
| Median Negative | -5.9% | -10.7% | -15.3% |
| Max Positive | 34.7% | 86.5% | 134.4% |
| Max Negative | -15.0% | -33.4% | -35.6% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2025 | 03/20/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/07/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/15/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 03/21/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/09/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 03/15/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/14/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/10/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/12/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/24/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/09/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/09/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/09/2022 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]
Latest: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/26/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Revenue | 30.00 Mil | 33.00 Mil | 36.00 Mil | ||||
| 2026 Revenue Growth | 70.0% | 85.0% | 100.0% | ||||
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dardashti, Soroush Salehian | Chief Executive Officer | Direct | Sell | 1052026 | 12.96 | 488,160 | 6,324,796 | 23,725,747 | Form |
| 2 | Rezk, Mina | Chief Technology Officer | Direct | Sell | 1052026 | 12.96 | 321,723 | 4,168,372 | 19,882,205 | Form |
| 3 | Sinha, Saurabh | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 1052026 | 12.96 | 12,147 | 157,381 | 9,177,860 | Form |
| 4 | Sinha, Saurabh | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 11212025 | 9.97 | 48,086 | 479,187 | 7,180,046 | Form |
| 5 | Dardashti, Soroush Salehian | Chief Executive Officer | trust | Sell | 11102025 | 13.45 | 250,000 | 3,362,282 | 25,349,021 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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