Tearsheet

AEye (LIDR)


Market Price (12/14/2025): $2.385 | Market Cap: $74.6 Mil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Systems Software

AEye (LIDR)


Market Price (12/14/2025): $2.385
Market Cap: $74.6 Mil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Systems Software

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -107%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -87%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -165%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -32 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -17762%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Autonomous Technologies, Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, and Future of Freight. Themes include Machine Vision, Show more.
  Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 405x
2   Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 203%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 112%
3   Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -19%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -51%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -52%
4   Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -13765%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -13830%
5   Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 958%
6   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -49%
7   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 216%
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -107%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Autonomous Technologies, Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, and Future of Freight. Themes include Machine Vision, Show more.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -87%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -165%
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -32 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -17762%
4 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 405x
5 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 203%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 112%
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -19%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -51%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -52%
7 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -13765%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -13830%
8 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 958%
9 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -49%
10 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 216%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

LIDR Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points highlighting why AEye (LIDR) stock moved by -16.3% during the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 14, 2025: **1. Persistent Profitability Challenges and Widening Losses in Q2 2025.** AEye's second quarter 2025 earnings, reported on July 31, 2025, revealed an increase in GAAP net loss to $9.3 million from $8.0 million in Q1, and non-GAAP net loss rising to $6.7 million from $5.5 million. These widening losses underscored ongoing struggles with profitability, with net income remaining negative at over $8 million, and profitability ratios under severe pressure, including an EBIT margin reaching rock-bottom figures. The stock experienced significant volatility following this announcement, plunging 11.63% in the premarket session the day after earnings, indicating that this negative sentiment likely extended into the requested period.

**2. Negative Technical Signals and Stock Price Decline in Early December 2025.** In early December 2025, AEye's stock exhibited significant downward movement. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Thursday, December 4, 2025, leading to a subsequent fall of -12.92% by December 12, 2025. Furthermore, the stock price decreased by -3.91% on December 12, 2025, alone and was down by -9.6% over the 10 days leading up to December 12, 2025.

**3. Overall Negative Stock Evaluation and Falling Trend.** Throughout the period, AEye (LIDR) held several negative signals and was noted to be within a very wide and falling trend, resulting in a negative evaluation of the stock. Both short and long-term Moving Averages issued sell signals, contributing to a negative forecast for the stock's performance.

**4. Deteriorating Financial Metrics Despite Strategic Achievements.** Despite showcasing strategic achievements such as new business wins and integration with NVIDIA's DRIVE AGX Orin platform, the company's immediate financial metrics continued to deteriorate. The contrast between strategic wins and a weakening financial performance likely weighed on investor confidence during the period.

**5. Shareholder Dilution from Capital Raise.** The company's weighted average shares increased from 17.4 million in Q1 to 19.1 million in Q2 2025, indicating dilution for existing shareholders, likely a result of capital raises. This increase in outstanding shares can place downward pressure on a stock's price.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
LIDR Return-90%-84%-45%94%
Peers Return-43%-72%-19%-14%67%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%111%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
LIDR Win Rate36%42%25%33%33% 
Peers Win Rate71%40%33%48%42%46% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
LIDR Max Drawdown-90%-86%-60%-60% 
Peers Max Drawdown-46%-74%-51%-59%-53% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: OUST, AEVA, MVIS, LAZR.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/12/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventLIDRS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-99.5%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven20423.4%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days

Compare to GEN, PATH, S, VRNT, CHOW


In The Past

AEye's stock fell -99.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/8/2021. A -99.5% loss requires a 20423.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About AEye (LIDR)

Better Bets than AEye (LIDR)

Latest Trefis Analyses

TitleTopicDate
0DASHBOARDS  
1Is AEye Stock Built to Withstand a Pullback?Return 
2ARTICLES  
3AEye Stock Up 3x Last Week, More To Come? July 28th, 2025

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to LIDR. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
11.5%11.5%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.7%11.7%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.5%15.5%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.8%5.8%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.6%11.6%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
11.5%11.5%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.7%11.7%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.5%15.5%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
5.8%5.8%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.6%11.6%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for AEye

Peers to compare with:

Financials

LIDROUSTAEVAMVISLAZRMedian
NameAEye Ouster Aeva Tec.Microvis.Luminar . 
Mkt Price2.3624.2616.010.940.902.36
Mkt Cap0.11.40.90.40.10.4
Rev LTM01371537615
Op Inc LTM-32-101-133-59-240-101
FCF LTM-25-32-119-59-209-59
FCF 3Y Avg-39-79-120-64-259-79
CFO LTM-25-27-114-58-208-58
CFO 3Y Avg-38-75-115-62-248-75

Growth & Margins

LIDROUSTAEVAMVISLAZRMedian
NameAEye Ouster Aeva Tec.Microvis.Luminar . 
Rev Chg LTM-19.1%30.2%89.9%-67.7%1.0%1.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-51.0%49.2%69.4%95.5%22.9%49.2%
Rev Chg Q-51.9%40.8%59.1%26.8%21.0%26.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-22.9%9.1%9.6%2.0%4.5%4.5%
Op Mgn LTM-17,762.1%-73.2%-875.9%-2,222.8%-316.7%-875.9%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-13,760.1%-161.9%-2,708.7%-2,366.5%-636.5%-2,366.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-4,054.9%9.2%118.3%160.2%72.2%72.2%
CFO/Rev LTM-13,765.4%-19.7%-751.1%-2,215.2%-274.4%-751.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-9,958.1%-91.5%-2,088.9%-1,935.1%-362.9%-1,935.1%
FCF/Rev LTM-13,830.2%-23.1%-785.7%-2,235.6%-276.5%-785.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-10,150.2%-96.2%-2,180.5%-2,009.8%-380.6%-2,009.8%

Valuation

LIDROUSTAEVAMVISLAZRMedian
NameAEye Ouster Aeva Tec.Microvis.Luminar . 
Mkt Cap0.11.40.90.40.10.4
P/S405.411.455.4139.00.855.4
P/EBIT-2.4-17.2-6.3--0.7-4.4
P/E-2.1-17.8-5.4-4.1-0.3-4.1
P/CFO-2.9-57.9-7.4-6.3-0.3-6.3
Total Yield-47.7%-5.6%-18.6%-24.1%-374.7%-24.1%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-170.7%-31.9%-51.3%--79.3%-65.3%
D/E0.00.00.0-3.40.0
Net D/E-1.1-0.1-0.1-2.8-0.1

Returns

LIDROUSTAEVAMVISLAZRMedian
NameAEye Ouster Aeva Tec.Microvis.Luminar . 
1M Rtn-2.9%7.8%49.9%3.3%-15.1%3.3%
3M Rtn-11.6%-16.2%-0.1%-17.2%-52.1%-16.2%
6M Rtn203.5%34.3%-30.6%-12.6%-69.7%-12.6%
12M Rtn111.7%167.2%268.9%15.6%-86.0%111.7%
3Y Rtn-90.5%105.6%107.9%-64.6%-99.2%-64.6%
1M Excs Rtn-4.5%-0.3%42.4%0.5%-22.1%-0.3%
3M Excs Rtn-15.8%-19.5%-4.3%-20.4%-61.0%-19.5%
6M Excs Rtn189.3%20.0%-44.8%-26.8%-83.9%-26.8%
12M Excs Rtn90.0%134.7%245.0%-4.6%-101.4%90.0%
3Y Excs Rtn-164.9%28.6%39.9%-141.0%-172.7%-141.0%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2,548,715
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-11.7%
Average Daily Volume1,892,091
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.35
Basic Shares Quantity31,262,997
Short % of Basic Shares8.2%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/6/20253.4%4.7% 
7/31/2025-20.2%-21.3%-21.9%
5/8/20258.0%23.2%41.5%
2/20/2025-8.5%-27.8%-17.7%
11/12/2024-6.6%-21.4%-5.0%
8/5/2024-7.4%-18.5%-16.3%
3/26/2024-19.1%-16.6%-36.6%
11/9/2023-3.4%-11.5%-32.4%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive643
# Negative81011
Median Positive3.7%12.5%13.2%
Median Negative-7.9%-21.4%-27.1%
Max Positive11.3%23.2%41.5%
Max Negative-20.2%-37.1%-46.4%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251107202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025808202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025512202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024224202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241114202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024807202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024514202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023327202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231109202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023809202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023511202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022316202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221110202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022815202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022513202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021328202210-K 12/31/2021