AEye (LIDR)
Market Price (7/10/2026): $1.38 | Market Cap: $62.4 MilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Systems Software
AEye (LIDR)
Market Price (7/10/2026): $1.38Market Cap: $62.4 MilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Systems Software
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -123% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Autonomous Technologies, Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, and Future of Freight. Themes include Machine Vision, Show more. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -60%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -146% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -34 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -12579% Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 228x Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -45% Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 1690% Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -10566%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -10674% Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -60% High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 195% Key risksLIDR key risks include [1] sustained losses and significant cash burn, Show more. |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -123% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Autonomous Technologies, Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, and Future of Freight. Themes include Machine Vision, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -60%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -146% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -34 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -12579% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 228x |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -45% |
| Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 1690% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -10566%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -10674% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -60% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 195% |
| Key risksLIDR key risks include [1] sustained losses and significant cash burn, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
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AEye (LIDR) stock has lost about 25% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. AEye (LIDR) reported a significant miss on both earnings per share (EPS) and revenue for its fiscal Q1 2026, which ended March 31, 2026. The company posted a non-GAAP net loss of $(0.15) per share, missing analysts' expectations of $(0.14) by 7.14%. Furthermore, AEye's revenue for the quarter was approximately $101,000, substantially below the estimated $275,000, representing a miss of 63.27%. This earnings report, released on May 13, 2026, led to an approximate 5.59% decline in shares following the announcement, reflecting investor disappointment with the continued lack of substantial revenue.
2. The company's persistent pre-revenue stage and extended path to significant commercialization continued to weigh on investor sentiment during the period. Despite reporting a 60% year-over-year revenue increase, the absolute revenue figure of $101,000 for fiscal Q1 2026 remained very low, indicating AEye is still in an early commercialization phase. Management reiterated a full-year 2026 cash burn target of $30 million to $35 million, with an expectation for revenue inflection only in the second half of 2026, suggesting a prolonged period of minimal revenue generation. This continued reliance on cash reserves rather than product sales contributed to the stock's downward trend.
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AEye (LIDR) stock has lost about 25% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. AEye (LIDR) reported a significant miss on both earnings per share (EPS) and revenue for its fiscal Q1 2026, which ended March 31, 2026. The company posted a non-GAAP net loss of $(0.15) per share, missing analysts' expectations of $(0.14) by 7.14%. Furthermore, AEye's revenue for the quarter was approximately $101,000, substantially below the estimated $275,000, representing a miss of 63.27%. This earnings report, released on May 13, 2026, led to an approximate 5.59% decline in shares following the announcement, reflecting investor disappointment with the continued lack of substantial revenue.
2. The company's persistent pre-revenue stage and extended path to significant commercialization continued to weigh on investor sentiment during the period. Despite reporting a 60% year-over-year revenue increase, the absolute revenue figure of $101,000 for fiscal Q1 2026 remained very low, indicating AEye is still in an early commercialization phase. Management reiterated a full-year 2026 cash burn target of $30 million to $35 million, with an expectation for revenue inflection only in the second half of 2026, suggesting a prolonged period of minimal revenue generation. This continued reliance on cash reserves rather than product sales contributed to the stock's downward trend.
3. A shift in analyst sentiment and bearish technical indicators also contributed to the stock's decline. While some analysts maintain bullish ratings, the overall consensus rating for LIDR from Wall Street analysts has transitioned to "Hold" from "Moderate Buy" based on a review of three analysts. Analysts also revised revenue growth assumptions downward from 602.68% to 471.18%, reflecting concerns about the company's ability to meet aggressive targets. Additionally, technical analysis in June 2026 identified the stock as being in a bearish trend, with negative momentum indicators and trading below key support levels.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -24.9% change in LIDR stock from 3/31/2026 to 7/9/2026 was primarily driven by a -27.3% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 3312026 | 7092026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 1.81 | 1.36 | -24.9% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 0 | 0 | 15.9% |
| P/S Multiple | 255.4 | 227.7 | -10.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 33 | 45 | -27.3% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -24.9% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2026 to 7/9/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| LIDR | -24.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 15.6% | 38.5% |
| Sector (XLK) | 39.5% | 44.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -26.1% change in LIDR stock from 12/31/2025 to 7/9/2026 was primarily driven by a -30.9% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 12312025 | 7092026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 1.84 | 1.36 | -26.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 0 | 0 | 48.4% |
| P/S Multiple | 316.1 | 227.7 | -27.9% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 31 | 45 | -30.9% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -26.1% |
Market Drivers
12/31/2025 to 7/9/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| LIDR | -26.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 10.5% | 31.7% |
| Sector (XLK) | 28.9% | 38.8% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 32.0% change in LIDR stock from 6/30/2025 to 7/9/2026 was primarily driven by a 211.7% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 6302025 | 7092026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 1.03 | 1.36 | 32.0% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 0 | 0 | 9.8% |
| P/S Multiple | 73.1 | 227.7 | 211.7% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 17 | 45 | -61.4% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 32.0% |
Market Drivers
6/30/2025 to 7/9/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| LIDR | 32.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 22.7% | 13.7% |
| Sector (XLK) | 47.0% | 16.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -74.8% change in LIDR stock from 6/30/2023 to 7/9/2026 was primarily driven by a -91.6% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 6302023 | 7092026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 5.41 | 1.36 | -74.8% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 3 | 0 | -91.6% |
| P/S Multiple | 9.3 | 227.7 | 2339.1% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 6 | 45 | -87.8% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -74.8% |
Market Drivers
6/30/2023 to 7/9/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| LIDR | -74.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 75.6% | 14.8% |
| Sector (XLK) | 117.2% | 17.1% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| LIDR Return | -55% | -90% | -84% | -45% | 45% | -27% | -100% |
| Peers Return | -41% | -73% | -14% | 11% | 73% | 36% | -64% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 9% | 99% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| LIDR Win Rate | 42% | 42% | 25% | 33% | 33% | 29% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 44% | 33% | 47% | 50% | 42% | 43% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 43% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| LIDR Max Drawdown | - | -92% | -92% | -79% | -83% | -50% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -72% | -77% | -78% | -66% | -62% | -52% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: OUST, AEVA, MVIS.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 7/9/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | LIDR | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -35.6% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 55.2% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 66 days | 79 days |
| 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind | ||
| % Loss | -36.8% | -7.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 58.2% | 8.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 137 days | 18 days |
In The Past
AEye's stock fell -35.6% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 55.2% gain to breakeven.
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Asset Allocation
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| Event | LIDR | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -35.6% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 55.2% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 66 days | 79 days |
| 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind | ||
| % Loss | -36.8% | -7.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 58.2% | 8.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 137 days | 18 days |
In The Past
AEye's stock fell -35.6% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 55.2% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About AEye (LIDR)
AEye, Inc. (LIDR) is a technology company specializing in the development and provision of advanced lidar systems. Lidar, which stands for "light detection and ranging," uses laser light to measure distances and create precise 3D maps of environments. This capability is crucial for machines to "see" and understand their surroundings, making AEye a key player in enabling vehicle autonomy, advanced driver-assistance systems (ADAS), and various robotic vision applications.
The company offers two primary software-configurable lidar solutions: 4Sight A and 4Sight M. The 4Sight A platform is specifically engineered for the automotive market, serving needs related to autonomous vehicles and ADAS. It provides flexible software levels such as 4Sight at Design, Triggered 4Sight, and Responsive 4Sight to adapt to different operational requirements. The 4Sight M platform extends AEye's reach into the broader mobility and industrial sectors, offering similar configurability along with an additional Predictive 4Sight level, catering to a wider array of robotic vision applications.
AEye's core customers and markets include the automotive industry for autonomous driving and safety features, the mobility sector for applications like robotic taxis and delivery vehicles, and various industrial applications requiring precise environmental perception. With its headquarters in Dublin, California, AEye operates globally, providing its lidar solutions to clients across the United States, Europe, and Asia, positioning itself as a critical enabler for the next generation of intelligent machines and autonomous systems.
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Here are 1-3 brief analogies to describe AEye (LIDR):
- AEye is like Mobileye, but specializing in lidar sensors for self-driving cars and robots.
- AEye is like the 'Intel Inside' for the perception systems of autonomous vehicles and robots.
- AEye develops the 'eyes' for self-driving cars and robots, similar to how NVIDIA provides the 'brains' (GPUs) for AI and autonomous systems.
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- 4Sight A: A software-configurable lidar solution designed for automotive markets.
- 4Sight M: A software-configurable lidar solution developed for mobility and industrial markets.
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AEye (LIDR) sells its lidar systems primarily to other companies (B2B model) in the automotive and industrial sectors.
A major publicly identified customer and strategic partner is:
- Continental AG (Symbol: CON.DE on XTRA) - A leading global automotive Tier 1 supplier and industrial company. AEye has a strategic partnership with Continental to industrialize and integrate AEye's lidar technology into Continental's advanced driver-assistance systems (ADAS) for mass production in the automotive market.
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Matthew Fisch, Chief Executive Officer and Chairman
Matthew Fisch was appointed CEO of AEye in February 2023, bringing 30 years of experience in delivering breakout products and scaling software organizations at multi-billion-dollar global companies. Prior to joining AEye, he served as Senior Vice President & Chief Technology Officer at Gentherm Incorporated. He also held roles as Executive Vice President & Chief Technology Officer of Hospitality Services at North American Bancard, Executive Vice President of Global R&D at Verifone Systems, Inc., and Vice President of R&D for Harman International Industries, Inc.'s lifestyle division, where he led global R&D for their car audio business. Earlier in his career, Mr. Fisch spent 22 years in various engineering positions at Intel Corporation.
Conor Tierney, Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer
Conor Tierney was appointed CFO and Treasurer in May 2023, having initially joined AEye as Chief Accounting Officer in January 2022. He possesses 20 years of financial leadership and management experience with prominent technology companies. Before AEye, Mr. Tierney was Head of Finance and Corporate Controller at Alphabet's Wing Aviation division and served as Corporate Controller at Glu Mobile in the mobile gaming sector. His background also includes working in public accounting at "Big Four" firms, including Deloitte and PricewaterhouseCoopers. Mr. Tierney is a Certified Public Accountant (CPA).
Luis Dussan, Founder and Director
Luis Dussan is a co-founder of AEye, which was founded in 2013. He is a veteran with over 20 years of experience in the aerospace and defense industry. During his tenure at Lockheed Martin and Northrop Grumman, Mr. Dussan focused his research and development efforts on smart sensor solutions for applications such as Information, Surveillance, Reconnaissance (ISR), Targeting, Fire Control, LADAR/LIDAR, and Autonomy.
Andrew Hughes, Senior Vice President, General Counsel and Corporate Secretary
Andrew Hughes brings decades of leadership experience in negotiating technology-related transactions for high-growth companies. He has served at several Fortune 1000 companies, where he was responsible for negotiating domestic and international transactions, mitigating risk, and ensuring public company compliance. Most recently, he held the position of Vice President and General Counsel (US) at Renesas Electronics Corp. Mr. Hughes also served as General Counsel at Intersil Corp., Ikanos Communications, Bell Microproducts, Inc., and LSI Logic Corporation.
Bernd Reichert, Senior Vice President of ADAS
Bernd Reichert was appointed Senior Vice President of ADAS in July 2021. He has 25 years of experience in key positions within the automotive electronics business at global Tier 1 suppliers. Prior to AEye, he spent nearly seven years as VP of sales and business development for Global Driving Assistance at Valeo, where he was responsible for multi-billion dollar global OEM sales of driving assistance products, including sensors, ECUs, and systems for active safety and autonomous driving, as well as the sale of Valeo Lidar solutions. Before Valeo, Mr. Reichert was Vice President and General Manager German OEM Customer Group at Visteon and VP and GM German OEMs at Johnson Controls Electronics Division.
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- Financial Sustainability and Path to Profitability: AEye faces significant financial challenges, including persistent negative free cash flow and negligible revenue, leading to ongoing losses. The company has a history of high cash burn, with a projected burn rate of $30 million to $35 million for the full year 2026. This necessitates continuous capital raises, which pose a high risk of further equity dilution for shareholders. The company's financial health is characterized by a "Distress" score, and its high valuation is based on anticipated future growth that is not yet visible in current fundamentals.
- Market Adoption Challenges and Intense Competition: The lidar industry is characterized by long sales cycles, particularly in the automotive and infrastructure markets, making the recognition of substantial revenue a protracted process. AEye operates in a highly competitive market with numerous deep-pocketed rivals and ongoing industry consolidation. Furthermore, there is a risk that alternative sensing technologies, such as camera-plus-AI systems, or new lidar approaches could undercut AEye's market potential, slowing widespread adoption of its products.
- Execution Risk in Scaling Production and Securing Commercial Wins: While AEye has formed partnerships and demonstrated technological capabilities, a significant risk remains in its ability to translate these into high-volume production and large-scale, revenue-generating commercial contracts. The long qualification cycles in the automotive industry and the need to scale production rapidly to achieve economies of scale present substantial execution hurdles.
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Here are 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth for AEye (LIDR) over the next 2-3 years:
- Growth in Automotive OEM Programs and Customer Base: AEye is poised for revenue growth through increasing customer engagements and design wins within the automotive sector. The company has secured a major program with a global transportation OEM, representing a $30 million revenue opportunity, which is currently in its initial deployment phase with broader rollout anticipated in the second half of 2026. Additionally, AEye has expanded its active customer count to 16, demonstrating increasing traction for its Apollo sensor across various applications.
- Expansion into Diversified Non-Automotive Markets: A significant driver for AEye's future revenue is its strategic expansion into various non-automotive markets. Management expects these sectors, including defense, high-speed rail, smart infrastructure, intelligent transportation systems, and aviation, to become meaningful contributors to near-term revenue. This diversification broadens the company's addressable market and reduces reliance on a single industry.
- Commercialization of Advanced Lidar and AI Solutions: The launch and commercialization of new, advanced products are expected to fuel revenue growth. This includes the Stratos, a third-generation ultra-long-range LiDAR sensor capable of detecting objects up to 1.5 kilometers with more than twice the resolution of the Apollo sensor, and the Optus physical AI solution. Stratos's superior performance and compact form factor can open new applications and command higher value, while Optus is beginning to drive initial software revenues.
- Leveraging Strategic Partnerships and Scalable Manufacturing: AEye's capital-light business model, underpinned by strategic partnerships, is crucial for scaling revenue. Collaborations with partners like NVIDIA, where Apollo LiDAR is integrated with the NVIDIA DRIVE AGX Thor platform, enhance the company's automotive market penetration and product readiness. Furthermore, partnerships with global Tier 1 manufacturers, such as LiteOn, provide the manufacturing capacity for high-volume production of Apollo units (60,000 units annually), enabling AEye to meet anticipated demand efficiently while minimizing capital expenditure.
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Share Issuance
- In July 2025, AEye, Inc. increased the maximum aggregate amount of common stock that may be issued and sold under its at-the-market (ATM) equity offering program to $75 million.
- In July 2024, AEye entered into a common stock purchase agreement with New Circle Principal Investments LLC, providing the right to sell up to $50 million of common stock over a 36-month term through an Equity Reserve Facility.
- The company has consistently raised growth capital, including an additional $12.7 million in early 2025, which contributed to an approximately $80 million total potential liquidity by Q4 2024, and further capital raises extending cash runway into 2027 by Q2 2025.
Inbound Investments
- AEye secured a common stock purchase agreement with New Circle Principal Investments LLC in July 2024, representing a potential inbound investment of up to $50 million over three years.
- The company has expanded its manufacturing capacity for its Apollo lidar system to 60,000 units annually through a partnership with LITEON, reflecting a strategic investment in production capabilities without direct capital outlay by AEye.
- Strategic partnerships in China with Accelight Technologies, Inc. and LighTekton Co., Ltd. were established to deliver AEye's 4Sight™ lidar solutions to the Chinese market.
Capital Expenditures
- AEye anticipates its full-year cash burn for 2025 to be in the range of $27 million to $29 million, driven primarily by investments needed to ramp up Apollo to high-volume production.
- The company has historically made substantial investments in research and development (R&D) efforts, and plans to continue focusing these investments on strategic product development goals, including the Apollo lidar sensor and OPTIS™ platform.
- Despite a capital-light business model, the company’s cash burn in Q4 2024 was $4.8 million, with Q2 2025 cash burn at approximately $6 million, which included a lease settlement payout.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| AEye Earnings Notes | 12/16/2025 | |
| How Low Can AEye Stock Really Go? | 10/17/2025 | |
| ARTICLES | ||
| AEye Stock Up 3x Last Week, More To Come? | 07/28/2025 |
Research & Analysis
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 11.70 |
| Mkt Cap | 0.8 |
| Rev LTM | 11 |
| Op Inc LTM | -74 |
| FCF LTM | -66 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -66 |
| CFO LTM | -52 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | -61 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 33.5% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 65.8% |
| Rev Chg Q | 58.3% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 15.9% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | -0.5% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 15.9% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -2,855.3% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -2,120.7% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 369.5% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | -2,227.3% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -1,679.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -2,265.8% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -1,723.8% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $1.36 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.1 | |
| First Trading Date | 01/11/2021 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -69.3% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $1.76 | $2.05 |
| DMA Trend | down | down |
| Distance from DMA | -22.6% | -33.7% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 95.0% | 195.3% |
| Downside Capture | 550.06 | 316.08 |
| Upside Capture | 278.68 | 263.04 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 41.7% | 14.1% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.85 | 2.50 | 2.48 | 2.37 | 2.13 | 1.70 |
| Up Beta | 1.39 | 0.53 | 1.15 | 1.26 | -1.65 | 0.50 |
| Down Beta | 1.18 | 1.78 | 1.72 | 2.74 | 3.03 | 1.70 |
| Up Capture | 34% | 173% | 214% | 260% | 681% | 940% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 11 | 24 | 40 | 67 | 140 | 429 |
| Stock +ve Days | 9 | 20 | 30 | 57 | 117 | 332 |
| Down Capture | 328% | 394% | 401% | 228% | 176% | 113% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 10 | 17 | 23 | 58 | 112 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 11 | 19 | 30 | 63 | 128 | 390 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with LIDR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LIDR | 17.3% | 194.9% | 0.69 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLK) | 45.4% | 24.3% | 1.49 | 16.4% |
| Equity (SPY) | 22.3% | 12.5% | 1.33 | 14.0% |
| Gold (GLD) | 24.4% | 27.8% | 0.77 | 3.2% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 23.6% | 18.7% | 1.00 | 1.9% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 13.2% | 13.9% | 0.65 | -2.6% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -42.8% | 42.8% | -1.18 | 9.0% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with LIDR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LIDR | -66.4% | 154.6% | -0.10 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLK) | 21.1% | 25.5% | 0.74 | 18.8% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.4% | 17.1% | 0.61 | 16.8% |
| Gold (GLD) | 18.0% | 18.3% | 0.80 | 4.5% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.5% | 19.5% | 0.28 | 2.2% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 2.9% | 18.9% | 0.06 | 11.2% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 12.3% | 53.5% | 0.42 | 10.4% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with LIDR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LIDR | -42.4% | 148.5% | -0.10 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLK) | 25.6% | 24.7% | 0.93 | 18.5% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.8% | 17.9% | 0.75 | 16.6% |
| Gold (GLD) | 11.7% | 16.1% | 0.59 | 4.6% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 6.1% | 18.0% | 0.27 | 2.4% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.2% | 20.7% | 0.22 | 11.2% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 58.0% | 66.2% | 0.98 | 9.5% |
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Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Updated 6/16/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 5/13/2026 | -14.4% | -24.7% | -34.2% |
| 3/16/2026 | 18.1% | 40.0% | 13.5% |
| 11/6/2025 | 3.4% | 4.7% | 15.1% |
| 7/31/2025 | -20.2% | -21.3% | -21.9% |
| 5/8/2025 | 8.0% | 23.2% | 41.5% |
| 2/20/2025 | -8.5% | -27.8% | -17.7% |
| 11/12/2024 | -6.6% | -21.4% | -5.0% |
| 8/5/2024 | -7.4% | -18.5% | -16.3% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 9 | 7 | 5 |
| # Negative | 10 | 12 | 14 |
| Median Positive | 8.0% | 16.9% | 13.5% |
| Median Negative | -9.3% | -21.4% | -27.1% |
| Max Positive | 35.8% | 57.7% | 41.5% |
| Max Negative | -20.2% | -37.1% | -46.4% |
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 5/13/2026 | -14.4% | -24.7% | -34.2% |
| 3/16/2026 | 18.1% | 40.0% | 13.5% |
| 11/6/2025 | 3.4% | 4.7% | 15.1% |
| 7/31/2025 | -20.2% | -21.3% | -21.9% |
| 5/8/2025 | 8.0% | 23.2% | 41.5% |
| 2/20/2025 | -8.5% | -27.8% | -17.7% |
| 11/12/2024 | -6.6% | -21.4% | -5.0% |
| 8/5/2024 | -7.4% | -18.5% | -16.3% |
| 5/14/2024 | 35.8% | 57.7% | -6.5% |
| 3/26/2024 | -19.1% | -16.6% | -36.6% |
| 11/9/2023 | -3.4% | -11.5% | -32.4% |
| 8/7/2023 | -5.6% | -37.1% | -46.1% |
| 5/11/2023 | -10.1% | -17.0% | -13.4% |
| 3/15/2023 | 2.7% | -13.3% | -45.5% |
| 11/10/2022 | 1.1% | 8.1% | 13.2% |
| 8/15/2022 | 11.3% | -32.3% | -46.4% |
| 5/13/2022 | 11.8% | 6.5% | -46.3% |
| 3/28/2022 | 3.9% | 16.9% | 5.5% |
| 11/12/2021 | -11.2% | -22.4% | -19.5% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 9 | 7 | 5 |
| # Negative | 10 | 12 | 14 |
| Median Positive | 8.0% | 16.9% | 13.5% |
| Median Negative | -9.3% | -21.4% | -27.1% |
| Max Positive | 35.8% | 57.7% | 41.5% |
| Max Negative | -20.2% | -37.1% | -46.4% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/14/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 03/18/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/07/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/08/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/12/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/24/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/14/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/14/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 03/27/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/11/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/16/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/10/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/15/2022 | 10-Q |
| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/14/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 03/18/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/07/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/08/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/12/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/24/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/14/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/14/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 03/27/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/11/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/16/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/10/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/15/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/13/2022 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2021 | 03/28/2022 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2021 | 11/15/2021 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance
Updated 7/8/2026Latest: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 5/13/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Cash Burn | -35.00 Mil | -32.50 Mil | -30.00 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: -32.50 Mil for 2026 | |
Prior: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 3/16/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Cash Burn | -35.00 Mil | -32.50 Mil | -30.00 Mil | 16.1% | Lower New | Guidance: -28.00 Mil for 2025 | |
Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 11/6/2025
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2025 Cash Burn | -29.00 Mil | -28.00 Mil | -27.00 Mil | 0.0% | Affirmed | Guidance: -28.00 Mil for 2025 | |
Insider Activity
Updated 6/2/2026| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dussan, Luis | Luis Dussan Trust A U/A/D 5/18/2022 | Sell | 12122025 | 2.40 | 32,000 | 76,845 | 322,105 | Form | |
| 2 | Husby, Jonathon B | Direct | Buy | 11122025 | 2.40 | 10,350 | 24,849 | 227,144 | Form | |
| 3 | Dussan, Luis | Luis Dussan Trust A U/A/D 5/18/2022 | Sell | 9122025 | 2.68 | 33,616 | 90,047 | 445,018 | Form | |
| 4 | Dussan, Luis | Luis Dussan Trust A U/A/D 5/18/2022 | Sell | 9102025 | 3.00 | 184 | 552 | 599,244 | Form | |
| 5 | Dussan, Luis | Luis Dussan Trust A U/A/D 5/18/2022 | Sell | 8252025 | 2.66 | 38,900 | 103,400 | 531,439 | Form |
| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dussan, Luis | Luis Dussan Trust A U/A/D 5/18/2022 | Sell | 12122025 | 2.40 | 32,000 | 76,845 | 322,105 | Form | |
| 2 | Husby, Jonathon B | Direct | Buy | 11122025 | 2.40 | 10,350 | 24,849 | 227,144 | Form | |
| 3 | Dussan, Luis | Luis Dussan Trust A U/A/D 5/18/2022 | Sell | 9122025 | 2.68 | 33,616 | 90,047 | 445,018 | Form | |
| 4 | Dussan, Luis | Luis Dussan Trust A U/A/D 5/18/2022 | Sell | 9102025 | 3.00 | 184 | 552 | 599,244 | Form | |
| 5 | Dussan, Luis | Luis Dussan Trust A U/A/D 5/18/2022 | Sell | 8252025 | 2.66 | 38,900 | 103,400 | 531,439 | Form | |
| 6 | Dussan, Luis | Luis Dussan Trust A U/A/D 5/18/2022 | Sell | 7252025 | 4.00 | 3,000 | 12,000 | 955,328 | Form | |
| 7 | Dussan, Luis | Jennifer Dussan Trust A U/A/D 5/18/2022 | Sell | 7252025 | 4.00 | 3,000 | 12,000 | 120,000 | Form |
Industry Resources
| Information Technology Resources |
| TechCrunch |
| Wired |
| CIO |
| MIT Technology Review |
| Gartner Insights |
| Ars Technica |
| Systems Software Resources |
| CNET |
| ZDNet |
| Gartner |
| Software Development Times |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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