Tearsheet

Aebi Schmidt (AEBI)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $12.26 | Market Cap: $951.4 Mil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Agricultural & Farm Machinery

Aebi Schmidt (AEBI)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $12.26
Market Cap: $951.4 Mil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Agricultural & Farm Machinery

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable Urban & Airport Operations. Themes include Municipal & Airport Fleet Electrification, Automated Urban Maintenance, and Resource-Efficient Public Works Equipment.
Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.7%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.8%
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable Urban & Airport Operations. Themes include Municipal & Airport Fleet Electrification, Automated Urban Maintenance, and Resource-Efficient Public Works Equipment.
1 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.7%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.8%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

AEBI Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. The requested time period for Aebi Schmidt (AEBI) stock movement, from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025, is entirely in the future. 2. I do not have access to real-time or future financial data, including stock performance or news events, for this future period.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
AEBI Return------ 
Peers Return24%11%11%12%-7%-10%43%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
AEBI Win Rate-----67% 
Peers Win Rate53%43%43%35%33%49% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
AEBI Max Drawdown------ 
Peers Max Drawdown-32%-7%-19%-9%-16%-24% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: DE, AGCO, GENC, WNC, AEBI.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

AEBI has limited trading history. Below is the Industrials sector ETF (XLI) in its place.

Unique KeyEventXLIS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-22.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven29.2%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven273 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-42.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven74.8%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven232 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-24.6%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven32.6%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven312 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-63.3%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven172.8%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1463 days1480 days

Compare to


In The Past

SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -22.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/4/2022. A -22.6% loss requires a 29.2% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Aebi Schmidt (AEBI)

Better Bets than Aebi Schmidt (AEBI)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to AEBI. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.3%7.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.3%2.3%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.6%1.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
2.2%2.2%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.3%7.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.3%2.3%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.6%1.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
2.2%2.2%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Aebi Schmidt

Peers to compare with:

Financials

AEBIDEAGCOGENCWNCMedian
NameAebi Sch.Deere AGCO Gencor I.Wabash N. 
Mkt Price12.02481.82105.1313.209.0613.20
Mkt Cap-130.47.80.20.04.0
Rev LTM1,05243,39710,0491181,6381,638
Op Inc LTM688,66365815371371
FCF LTM-404,101749-1108108
FCF 3Y Avg-3,9866543118386
CFO LTM-288,5561,0220150150
CFO 3Y Avg-8,5221,0505186618

Growth & Margins

AEBIDEAGCOGENCWNCMedian
NameAebi Sch.Deere AGCO Gencor I.Wabash N. 
Rev Chg LTM--20.9%-20.1%3.9%-22.9%-20.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg--0.6%-3.9%5.4%-9.8%-2.2%
Rev Chg Q--8.3%-4.7%5.6%-17.8%-6.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM--2.4%-1.2%1.2%-4.8%-1.8%
Op Mgn LTM6.4%20.0%6.5%13.2%22.6%13.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-22.3%9.2%12.5%6.8%10.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM--1.2%0.4%0.8%29.6%0.6%
CFO/Rev LTM-2.7%19.7%10.2%0.1%9.2%9.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-16.5%8.6%4.4%8.7%8.6%
FCF/Rev LTM-3.8%9.4%7.5%-0.8%6.6%6.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-7.8%5.4%2.3%5.6%5.5%

Valuation

AEBIDEAGCOGENCWNCMedian
NameAebi Sch.Deere AGCO Gencor I.Wabash N. 
Mkt Cap-130.47.80.20.04.0
P/S-3.20.81.70.01.3
P/EBIT-14.333.313.30.013.8
P/E-26.421.313.50.017.4
P/CFO-16.17.81,682.10.012.0
Total Yield-5.0%5.8%7.4%67,757.1%6.6%
Dividend Yield-1.2%1.1%0.0%3,467.9%1.2%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-3.4%8.0%0.6%12,421.5%5.7%
D/E-0.50.40.01,078.50.4
Net D/E-0.40.3-0.7851.50.3

Returns

AEBIDEAGCOGENCWNCMedian
NameAebi Sch.Deere AGCO Gencor I.Wabash N. 
1M Rtn8.1%4.3%0.2%-2.9%14.4%4.3%
3M Rtn4.9%3.0%-2.3%-17.2%-17.1%-2.3%
6M Rtn--4.5%6.0%-7.4%-0.0%-2.2%
12M Rtn-6.4%5.7%-39.6%-52.6%-17.0%
3Y Rtn-12.7%-14.6%22.3%-63.2%-1.0%
1M Excs Rtn8.2%4.3%0.2%-2.8%14.4%4.3%
3M Excs Rtn0.8%-3.5%-9.2%-23.7%-24.7%-9.2%
6M Excs Rtn--19.2%-8.8%-22.1%-14.7%-17.0%
12M Excs Rtn--8.7%-8.5%-54.1%-66.6%-31.4%
3Y Excs Rtn--59.0%-83.8%-42.6%-135.1%-71.4%

Financials

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1,298,348
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120252.2%
Average Daily Volume241,991
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.37
Basic Shares Quantity77,599,384
Short % of Basic Shares1.7%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025814202510-Q 6/30/2025
33120257032025424B3 3/31/2025
123120245122025S-4/A 12/31/2024