Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, and Precision Medicine. Themes include AI Software Platforms, Biopharmaceutical R&D, Show more.
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -3.9%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -46%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -119 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -4229%
1   Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 155x
2   Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -33%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -16%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -78%
3   Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2867%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2911%
4   Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 139%
5   Significant short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 23%
6   Key risks
ABSI key risks include [1] significant financial losses and high cash burn as a pre-revenue company, Show more.
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, and Precision Medicine. Themes include AI Software Platforms, Biopharmaceutical R&D, Show more.
1 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -3.9%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -46%
2 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -119 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -4229%
3 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 155x
4 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -33%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -16%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -78%
5 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2867%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2911%
6 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 139%
7 Significant short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 23%
8 Key risks
ABSI key risks include [1] significant financial losses and high cash burn as a pre-revenue company, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

ABSI Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

**1. Accelerated Clinical Development and Dosing of ABS-201 for Hair Loss.** Absci significantly advanced its lead program, ABS-201, for androgenetic alopecia (pattern hair loss). The company accelerated the initiation of the Phase 1/2a HEADLINE™ trial to December 2025 and announced the dosing of the first healthy volunteers in this trial. This progress in a large, underserved market was a key driver of stock momentum. **2. Positive Human Ex Vivo Data for ABS-201.** In December 2025, Absci unveiled new preclinical data for ABS-201, demonstrating its potential to stimulate hair growth and regenerate the stem cell niche in human scalp tissue samples. The data indicated ABS-201 prolongs anagen, stimulates hair matrix keratinocyte proliferation, and increases key growth factors, suggesting it could reverse follicle miniaturization. **3. Strategic Expansion of ABS-201 Program to Endometriosis.** In November 2025, Absci announced it would expand the development strategy for ABS-201 to pursue endometriosis as an additional high-value indication. This strategic decision to target another large, underserved market with the same antibody candidate was highlighted as a pivotal inflection point for the company. **4. Positive Analyst Endorsement and Price Target Increase.** Following the positive developments, Jones Trading raised its price target for Absci to $9 from $8 in December 2025, while maintaining a Buy rating. This analyst upgrade signaled increased confidence in Absci's strategic initiatives and clinical pipeline. **5. Robust Financial Position and Extended Cash Runway.** Absci reported in its third-quarter 2025 financial results (November 2025) that its cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities were $152.5 million as of September 30, 2025, and reiterated that these funds were sufficient to finance its operations into the first half of 2028. This financial stability provided confidence for the continued advancement of its drug creation platform and clinical programs.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
ABSI Return-74%100%-38%35%
Peers Return-52%10%-55%13%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ABSI Win Rate20%25%42%33%58% 
Peers Win Rate32%37%48%35%55% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ABSI Max Drawdown-76%-45%-39%-15% 
Peers Max Drawdown-64%-40%-62%-37% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: SDGR, RXRX, RLAY, ABCL, DNA.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventABSIS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-96.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven2533.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days

Compare to VRTX, AIXC, ALPS, BBOT, EVMN


In The Past

Absci's stock fell -96.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 8/3/2021. A -96.2% loss requires a 2533.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Absci (ABSI)

Better Bets than Absci (ABSI)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to ABSI. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.1%-7.1%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.6%3.6%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
1.6%1.6%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.1%-7.1%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.6%3.6%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
1.6%1.6%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Absci

Peers to compare with:

Financials

ABSISDGRRXRXRLAYABCLDNAMedian
NameAbsci Schrodin.Recursio.Relay Th.AbCeller.Ginkgo B. 
Mkt Price3.3817.404.698.033.358.216.36
Mkt Cap0.41.32.11.41.00.51.1
Rev LTM32574383518139
Op Inc LTM-119-170-724-327-247-333-287
FCF LTM-82-3-450-249-153-187-170
FCF 3Y Avg-74-104-354-269-140-327-204
CFO LTM-81-1-441-248-105-166-135
CFO 3Y Avg-73-96-339-266-73-281-181

Growth & Margins

ABSISDGRRXRXRLAYABCLDNAMedian
NameAbsci Schrodin.Recursio.Relay Th.AbCeller.Ginkgo B. 
Rev Chg LTM-33.1%32.9%-32.8%-16.5%7.2%-17.1%-16.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-16.5%15.7%23.2%448.1%-39.7%-29.4%-0.4%
Rev Chg Q-77.8%53.9%-80.9%-37.6%-56.4%-56.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-32.0%8.0%-32.7%0.0%7.4%-21.8%-10.9%
Op Mgn LTM-4,229.1%-66.3%-1,666.6%-3,914.4%-699.7%-184.5%-1,183.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-2,667.6%-89.2%-980.6%-3,096.7%-661.1%-235.0%-820.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-1,382.6%14.8%-659.5%191.2%102.7%-55.7%-20.5%
CFO/Rev LTM-2,867.0%-0.4%-1,016.2%-2,973.4%-296.0%-91.8%-656.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-1,841.3%-49.1%-686.3%-2,271.9%-215.8%-118.0%-451.0%
FCF/Rev LTM-2,910.8%-1.3%-1,037.0%-2,978.3%-433.4%-103.6%-735.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-1,863.1%-53.0%-715.3%-2,288.8%-389.7%-136.7%-552.5%

Valuation

ABSISDGRRXRXRLAYABCLDNAMedian
NameAbsci Schrodin.Recursio.Relay Th.AbCeller.Ginkgo B. 
Mkt Cap0.41.32.11.41.00.51.1
P/S154.85.750.4107.742.54.546.4
P/EBIT--8.7-3.1-2.8-6.1-2.1-3.1
P/E-3.8-8.4-3.1-3.0-8.7-2.4-3.4
P/CFO-5.4-1,317.3-5.0-3.6-14.4-4.9-5.2
Total Yield-26.2%-11.9%-32.8%-33.1%-11.4%-41.9%-29.5%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg--6.6%-18.5%-27.6%-13.7%-41.8%-18.5%
D/E-0.10.00.00.10.50.1
Net D/E--0.2-0.3-0.6-0.2-0.0-0.2

Returns

ABSISDGRRXRXRLAYABCLDNAMedian
NameAbsci Schrodin.Recursio.Relay Th.AbCeller.Ginkgo B. 
1M Rtn18.2%-0.3%13.8%21.3%-7.1%5.5%9.6%
3M Rtn32.5%-8.6%-0.4%96.3%-26.8%-25.9%-4.5%
6M Rtn22.9%-17.3%-8.2%139.0%-3.6%-4.4%-4.0%
12M Rtn1.5%-18.5%-34.1%78.4%19.9%-14.6%-6.6%
3Y Rtn35.2%-15.3%-44.4%-52.9%-67.2%-88.1%-48.6%
1M Excs Rtn17.4%-1.1%13.1%20.6%-7.8%4.7%8.9%
3M Excs Rtn24.3%-12.8%-6.2%75.1%-30.5%-29.5%-9.5%
6M Excs Rtn10.6%-29.7%-20.6%126.6%-16.0%-16.7%-16.3%
12M Excs Rtn-19.6%-27.5%-43.6%59.4%8.0%-24.1%-21.8%
3Y Excs Rtn-45.8%-66.3%-115.7%-120.6%-136.4%-157.2%-118.2%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil2024202320222021
Single Segment6   
Collaboration revenue 111
Technology development revenue 544
Total6655


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity32,382,419
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520251.2%
Average Daily Volume3,764,206
Days-to-Cover Short Interest8.60
Basic Shares Quantity143,769,552
Short % of Basic Shares22.5%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/12/2025-22.4%-15.9%-0.3%
3/18/2025-3.2%-0.3%-1.0%
11/12/2024-15.0%-35.3%2.3%
8/14/202411.0%16.6%4.6%
3/21/20243.7%8.8%-6.3%
11/14/20230.0%-2.9%97.1%
3/30/20234.2%3.0%-25.6%
11/9/20223.3%1.5%-5.2%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive763
# Negative458
Median Positive3.7%6.0%4.6%
Median Negative-14.5%-15.9%-3.9%
Max Positive14.0%16.6%97.1%
Max Negative-22.4%-35.3%-45.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251112202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025812202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025513202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024318202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241112202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024814202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024514202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023321202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231114202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023814202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023515202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022330202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221109202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022811202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022511202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021322202210-K 12/31/2021