Arbor Realty Trust (ABR)
Market Price (2/19/2026): $7.47 | Market Cap: $1.4 BilSector: Financials | Industry: Mortgage REITs
Arbor Realty Trust (ABR)
Market Price (2/19/2026): $7.47Market Cap: $1.4 BilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Mortgage REITs
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 37%, Dividend Yield is 24%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 33%, FCF Yield is 30% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -62%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -92% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 432% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 83%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 83% | Meaningful short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 12.05 | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -21%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -3.2%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -29% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -33% | Significant short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 24% | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 40% | Key risksABR key risks include [1] deteriorating loan portfolio quality, Show more. | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Real Estate Finance & Investment. Themes include Multifamily Housing Finance, and Agency Lending. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 37%, Dividend Yield is 24%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 33%, FCF Yield is 30% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 83%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 83% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -33% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 40% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Real Estate Finance & Investment. Themes include Multifamily Housing Finance, and Agency Lending. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -62%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -92% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 12.05 |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 432% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -21%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -3.2%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -29% |
| Significant short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 24% |
| Key risksABR key risks include [1] deteriorating loan portfolio quality, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
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1. Worse-than-expected Q3 2025 Earnings and Negative Outlook.
Arbor Realty Trust's stock began a downward trend, dropping over 12% on November 1, 2025, following the announcement of its third-quarter financial results. The company reported Q3 revenue of $112.4 million, significantly missing the consensus estimate of $154.5 million, and distributable earnings also fell short of expectations. This operational underperformance amidst broader sector challenges contributed to a negative short- to medium-term outlook for the stock.
2. Dividend Cut and Concerns about Future Dividend Sustainability.
Arbor Realty Trust had reduced its quarterly dividend in 2025 from $0.43 to $0.30, which was poorly received by income-focused investors. By late January 2026, there were elevated concerns regarding the sustainability of its dividend, as recent earnings would not have covered the dividend without the inclusion of one-time equity investment gains. The company's payout ratio was noted to be high, at 98% of earnings as of October 31, 2025, further fueling investor apprehension about potential future cuts.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -23.4% change in ABR stock from 10/31/2025 to 2/19/2026 was primarily driven by a -23.4% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 10312025 | 2192026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 9.76 | 7.47 | -23.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 524 | 524 | 0.0% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 37.0% | 37.0% | 0.0% |
| P/E Multiple | 9.7 | 7.5 | -23.4% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 194 | 194 | 0.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -23.4% |
Market Drivers
10/31/2025 to 2/19/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ABR | -23.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 0.4% | 33.2% |
| Sector (XLF) | -0.4% | 39.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -29.0% change in ABR stock from 7/31/2025 to 2/19/2026 was primarily driven by a -12.2% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 7312025 | 2192026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 10.52 | 7.47 | -29.0% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 597 | 524 | -12.2% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 39.8% | 37.0% | -6.8% |
| P/E Multiple | 8.4 | 7.5 | -11.5% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 190 | 194 | -1.9% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -29.0% |
Market Drivers
7/31/2025 to 2/19/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ABR | -29.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 8.6% | 26.6% |
| Sector (XLF) | -0.1% | 29.8% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -36.9% change in ABR stock from 1/31/2025 to 2/19/2026 was primarily driven by a -21.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 1312025 | 2192026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 11.84 | 7.47 | -36.9% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 663 | 524 | -21.0% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 44.7% | 37.0% | -17.2% |
| P/E Multiple | 7.5 | 7.5 | -1.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 189 | 194 | -2.7% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -36.9% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2025 to 2/19/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ABR | -36.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 14.7% | 42.7% |
| Sector (XLF) | 2.4% | 40.1% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -25.9% change in ABR stock from 1/31/2023 to 2/19/2026 was primarily driven by a -34.5% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 1312023 | 2192026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 10.08 | 7.47 | -25.9% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 605 | 524 | -13.3% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 56.6% | 37.0% | -34.5% |
| P/E Multiple | 5.0 | 7.5 | 48.6% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 170 | 194 | -12.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -25.9% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2023 to 2/19/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ABR | -25.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 74.7% | 39.6% |
| Sector (XLF) | 49.2% | 40.9% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| ABR Return | 39% | -21% | 33% | 3% | -37% | -5% | -8% |
| Peers Return | 34% | -22% | 32% | -0% | 1% | 0% | 40% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 1% | 83% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| ABR Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 58% | 58% | 33% | 0% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 60% | 45% | 55% | 58% | 52% | 60% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| ABR Max Drawdown | -3% | -33% | -17% | -20% | -37% | -6% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -6% | -29% | -13% | -13% | -13% | -3% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -1% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: WD, STWD, BXMT, RITM, LADR.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 2/19/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | ABR | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -50.2% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 100.9% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -73.4% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 275.4% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 307 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -22.7% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 29.4% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 57 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -98.3% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 5770.7% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 1,480 days |
Compare to WD, STWD, BXMT, RITM, LADR
In The Past
Arbor Realty Trust's stock fell -50.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/1/2021. A -50.2% loss requires a 100.9% gain to breakeven.
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About Arbor Realty Trust (ABR)
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Here are 1-2 brief analogies for Arbor Realty Trust (ABR):
- Rocket Mortgage for commercial and multi-family properties.
- Ally Financial, but for apartment buildings and commercial real estate loans.
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Major Products/Services of Arbor Realty Trust (ABR)
- Commercial Real Estate Debt Financing: Provides debt capital through various loan programs for the acquisition, refinancing, and development of multifamily, single-family rental, healthcare, and other commercial properties.
- Loan Servicing: Manages and administers a portfolio of commercial real estate loans, including payment collection, escrow management, and handling borrower inquiries and issues.
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Major Customers of Arbor Realty Trust (ABR)
Arbor Realty Trust (ABR) is a real estate investment trust (REIT) that primarily sells its financial products (loans) to other companies and professional real estate entities rather than individual consumers.
Due to the nature of its business as a diversified lender, Arbor Realty Trust does not publicly disclose specific "major customer companies" by name. Their customer base consists of a broad array of private real estate developers, investors, and property owners seeking financing for their projects across the United States. Therefore, it is not possible to list specific named public companies as their major customers with corresponding stock symbols.
However, we can describe the categories of companies and entities that constitute their primary customer base:
- Multifamily Real Estate Owners and Developers: These are typically private limited liability companies (LLCs), partnerships, or corporations that acquire, develop, rehabilitate, and operate apartment communities. This segment represents a significant portion of ABR's lending activity.
- Commercial Real Estate Investors and Sponsors: Beyond multifamily, ABR also provides financing to private entities involved in various other commercial property types, such as office, retail, industrial, and healthcare facilities. These customers seek loans for acquisitions, refinancing, or value-add strategies.
- Real Estate Investment Firms and Funds: Professional investment groups and private equity funds specializing in real estate often utilize ABR's lending services, particularly for bridge loans or other short-term financing solutions to execute their investment strategies.
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Ivan Kaufman, Chairman, CEO and President
Ivan Kaufman is the founder, Chairman, CEO, and President of Arbor Realty Trust, Inc. He has over four decades of experience operating diverse real estate finance companies. Mr. Kaufman founded Arbor National Holdings, Inc. and its residential lending subsidiary, Arbor National Mortgage Inc., in 1983. Arbor National Mortgage became a public company in 1992 and was subsequently sold to Bank of America Corporation in 1995. He also co-founded Arbor Multifamily Acquisition Company (AMAC) in 2012. Mr. Kaufman previously served on the national and regional advisory boards of Fannie Mae.
Paul Elenio, Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer
Paul Elenio is responsible for overseeing all financial operations, including financial reporting, tax planning, budgeting, and investor relations for Arbor Realty Trust. He joined Arbor National Holdings, the predecessor company of Arbor Commercial Mortgage, in 1991. As Financial Reporting and Tax Supervisor, he was involved in Arbor National Holdings' 1992 Initial Public Offering. He played a key role in implementing the financial planning and analysis required to transition Arbor Realty Trust to a public company in April 2004.
John G. Caulfield, Executive Vice President, Chief Operating Officer, Agency Lending
John G. Caulfield has extensive experience in the mortgage financing industry, with a tenure of over three decades with Arbor and its associated companies. As COO, he has been instrumental in developing a unique sales and operations model that has supported Arbor's growth as a leading multifamily finance company. His responsibilities include managing the national sales team and the operational infrastructure supporting Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, FHA, and CMBS originations and servicing platforms.
Fred Weber, Executive Vice President, Managing Director of Structured Finance & Principal Transactions
Fred Weber possesses over 25 years of experience and is recognized for his leadership in the mortgage banking and commercial real estate industries. He has significant expertise in real estate finance, acquisitions, and the restructuring and workouts of troubled loans. Mr. Weber leads a team that addresses complex financing needs for Arbor Realty Trust clients, managing the origination, underwriting, and implementation of debt and equity transactions across various commercial real estate asset types nationwide. Before joining Arbor, he was a partner and co-head of the real estate department at Kronish, Lieb, Weiner & Hellman, and also a partner with Weil, Gotshal & Manges.
John J. Bishar, Executive Vice President, Senior Counsel and Corporate Secretary
John J. Bishar brings nearly 50 years of legal expertise to Arbor Realty Trust, where he provides advice, counsel, and guidance to the Chairman, CEO, senior management, and the Board of Directors. He manages all legal activities for Arbor, including corporate matters, real estate transactions, and litigation. Mr. Bishar previously served as U.S. General Counsel of National Grid U.S.A. and as Executive Vice President, General Counsel, and Chief Governance Officer of KeySpan Corporation. He also served as a managing partner at the law firm of Cullen and Dykman LLP.
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The key risks to Arbor Realty Trust (ABR) primarily revolve around the credit quality of its loan portfolio, its significant leverage and associated refinancing challenges, and its sensitivity to interest rate fluctuations within the commercial real estate market.
- Credit Quality of Loan Portfolio and Related Allegations: Arbor Realty Trust faces substantial risks due to its exposure to distressed property values and high delinquency rates within its loan portfolio. The company's portfolio reportedly includes a significant number of "Special Mention" loans, indicating potential issues with loan performance and asset quality. This is further exacerbated by allegations from short-sellers and ongoing federal investigations into its lending practices, loan book performance, and claims of concealing distressed assets and manipulating delinquency rates. The rising tide of non-performing loans (NPLs) and Real Estate Owned (REO) assets directly pressures the company's distributable earnings, with a reported $1 billion in multifamily delinquencies in Q2 earnings.
- High Leverage and Refinancing Risk: Arbor Realty Trust operates with a high level of debt, reflected in a significant debt-to-equity ratio, which amplifies volatility during market downturns. The company faces an "important maturity wall in 2025 with cloudy refinancing prospects," making it challenging to refinance existing debt, particularly given the current interest rate environment. While the company has taken steps to extend its debt maturity profile, such as issuing senior notes, these often come with higher interest costs, creating a trade-off between balance sheet flexibility and increased expenses.
- Interest Rate Sensitivity and Commercial Real Estate Market Downturn: The company is highly vulnerable to adverse changes in interest rates and the broader commercial real estate (CRE) market. The prolonged rate-hike cycle by the Federal Reserve has increased borrowing costs for both borrowers and lenders, leading to a slowdown in commercial real estate transactions and an increased risk of loan defaults. This challenging environment contributes to margin compression and a decline in net interest income for Arbor Realty Trust, as seen in a significant narrowing of its Net Profit Margin.
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Arbor Realty Trust (ABR) operates in two primary business segments: Structured Business and Agency Business, focusing on the multifamily and commercial real estate markets in the United States.
Addressable Markets for Main Products and Services:
-
Multifamily Lending (U.S.): Arbor Realty Trust's Agency Business is heavily involved in multifamily financing through government-sponsored enterprises (GSEs) like Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, and FHA. The U.S. multifamily lending market, which encompasses new mortgages for multifamily properties with five or more units, amounted to approximately $288.7 billion in 2024. Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac accounted for the largest share of this market by dollar volume, at 41%.
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Structured Finance (U.S. and Global): Arbor Realty Trust's Structured Business focuses on structured finance assets, including bridge loans, mezzanine loans, preferred equity investments, and Commercial Mortgage-Backed Securities (CMBS). The U.S. structured finance market was estimated at approximately $388.8 billion in 2024 and is projected to be around $804.30 billion in 2025. Globally, the structured finance market was estimated at $1.4 trillion in 2024 and is projected to grow to $2.6 trillion by 2030. Another estimate places the global structured finance market size at $2.51 trillion in 2025, with a projection to reach $7.49 trillion by 2034. North America is a leading region in the global structured finance market.
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Expected Drivers of Future Revenue Growth for Arbor Realty Trust (ABR)
Over the next 2-3 years, Arbor Realty Trust (ABR) anticipates several key drivers to fuel its revenue growth, primarily stemming from the resolution of legacy issues and an increase in lending activities amidst an improving market environment. Here are 3-5 expected drivers:- Resolution of Nonperforming Legacy Assets: Management expects that aggressively addressing troubled loans and converting problem assets to performing loans or selling them will significantly reduce earnings volatility. This strategic focus is projected to lead to improved income stability and a more normalized run rate by the second half of 2026.
- Increased Loan Originations: Arbor Realty Trust anticipates a more favorable interest rate environment and a constructive securitization market to drive higher origination volumes. The company is particularly focused on growth in its agency, single-family rental, and construction lending segments, targeting substantial origination volumes for 2025 and further scaling in 2026.
- Expansion of the Single-Family Rental Business: The single-family rental business has demonstrated consistent growth, with strong origination figures reported in the third quarter of 2025 and a robust pipeline, indicating continued potential for expansion in this segment.
- Strengthening of Loan Origination and Securitization Platforms: By leveraging an improved market and interest rate environment, Arbor Realty Trust expects to strengthen its loan origination and securitization platforms, which is anticipated to be a significant driver of future income growth.
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Share Repurchases
- Arbor Realty Trust repurchased $37.431 million in shares during 2023.
- The company executed $11.408 million in share buybacks in 2024.
- A share repurchase program authorizing up to $50 million of outstanding common stock was approved by the board in March 2023.
Share Issuance
- In 2022, Arbor Realty Trust raised approximately $486 million through common and preferred equity offerings for accretive growth capital.
- The company has historically issued a significant number of additional common shares to fuel revenue growth.
- Significant share issuances are expected to continue, potentially leading to some degree of dilution.
Outbound Investments
- The structured portfolio grew by 19% in 2022, driven by $6.15 billion in loan originations.
- Arbor Realty Trust originated $4.2 billion in new loans during 2024, with $1.1 billion occurring in the fourth quarter, growing its loan portfolio to $14.3 billion.
- Approximately $4.6 billion of multifamily loans from the 2021 and 2022 vintages were identified as distressed and nearing the end of their extension periods as of Q3 2025, indicating past investment challenges.
Capital Expenditures
- Capital expenditures for Arbor Realty Trust were reported as $6.3 million for June 2025.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select ideas related to ABR.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01302026 | FDS | FactSet Research Systems | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -19.1% | -19.1% | -23.8% |
| 01302026 | PFSI | PennyMac Financial Services | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -7.6% | -7.6% | -9.2% |
| 01232026 | FIS | Fidelity National Information Services | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -22.6% | -22.6% | -22.6% |
| 01022026 | MORN | Morningstar | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -23.9% | -23.9% | -26.8% |
| 01022026 | ABR | Arbor Realty Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | -2.9% | -2.9% | -6.7% |
| 06302025 | ABR | Arbor Realty Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | -22.4% | -23.5% | -26.4% |
| 12312024 | ABR | Arbor Realty Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | -16.2% | -36.7% | -37.1% |
| 06302024 | ABR | Arbor Realty Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | 1.1% | -15.6% | -29.6% |
| 12312023 | ABR | Arbor Realty Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | 0.6% | 2.0% | -20.2% |
| 04302023 | ABR | Arbor Realty Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | 16.6% | 28.5% | -4.9% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 14.26 |
| Mkt Cap | 2.7 |
| Rev LTM | 645 |
| Op Inc LTM | 134 |
| FCF LTM | 156 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 263 |
| CFO LTM | 156 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 291 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -12.8% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -4.1% |
| Rev Chg Q | 1.2% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -0.0% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 10.8% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 11.4% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.4% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 42.5% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 46.9% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 42.5% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 44.4% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 2.7 |
| P/S | 4.5 |
| P/EBIT | 16.2 |
| P/E | 18.2 |
| P/CFO | 5.8 |
| Total Yield | 14.7% |
| Dividend Yield | 9.4% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 7.1% |
| D/E | 3.4 |
| Net D/E | 2.9 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -3.6% |
| 3M Rtn | 3.5% |
| 6M Rtn | -7.2% |
| 12M Rtn | -2.9% |
| 3Y Rtn | 17.8% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -4.5% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 0.4% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -14.9% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -15.1% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -49.0% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $7.47 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 1.4 | |
| First Trading Date | 05/06/2004 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -39.0% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $7.95 | $9.79 |
| DMA Trend | down | down |
| Distance from DMA | -6.1% | -23.7% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 34.9% | 39.8% |
| Downside Capture | 112.81 | 117.45 |
| Upside Capture | 22.17 | 52.66 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 31.8% | 42.7% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.05 | 0.83 | 1.22 | 0.94 | 0.88 | 1.02 |
| Up Beta | 2.16 | 0.79 | 1.03 | 1.97 | 0.95 | 1.00 |
| Down Beta | 1.52 | 1.14 | 1.38 | 0.98 | 0.79 | 0.85 |
| Up Capture | 23% | -15% | 37% | 3% | 45% | 80% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 11 | 22 | 34 | 71 | 142 | 430 |
| Stock +ve Days | 10 | 16 | 25 | 57 | 125 | 374 |
| Down Capture | 55% | 148% | 180% | 117% | 111% | 106% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 9 | 19 | 27 | 54 | 109 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 10 | 23 | 34 | 64 | 120 | 369 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with ABR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ABR | -38.9% | 39.8% | -1.14 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 1.0% | 19.4% | -0.07 | 40.2% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.0% | 19.4% | 0.51 | 42.8% |
| Gold (GLD) | 71.2% | 25.5% | 2.08 | 14.4% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.3% | 16.9% | 0.25 | 17.4% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 6.4% | 16.7% | 0.20 | 49.2% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -30.2% | 44.9% | -0.66 | 27.2% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with ABR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ABR | -3.0% | 35.8% | 0.00 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 12.7% | 18.7% | 0.55 | 46.2% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.4% | 17.0% | 0.62 | 45.9% |
| Gold (GLD) | 22.0% | 17.1% | 1.05 | 14.1% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 11.0% | 19.0% | 0.47 | 18.1% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 4.8% | 18.8% | 0.16 | 50.8% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 6.9% | 57.1% | 0.34 | 21.5% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with ABR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ABR | 13.3% | 39.5% | 0.45 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLF) | 14.3% | 22.2% | 0.59 | 49.2% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.8% | 17.9% | 0.76 | 45.8% |
| Gold (GLD) | 15.0% | 15.6% | 0.80 | 8.1% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.7% | 17.6% | 0.41 | 21.5% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 6.8% | 20.7% | 0.29 | 54.8% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 67.7% | 66.7% | 1.07 | 15.2% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/31/2025 | -12.6% | -18.4% | -20.1% |
| 8/1/2025 | 0.4% | 5.4% | 9.8% |
| 5/2/2025 | -3.1% | -6.2% | -12.3% |
| 2/21/2025 | -13.3% | -12.5% | -8.1% |
| 11/1/2024 | 0.7% | 2.7% | 1.6% |
| 5/3/2024 | -1.5% | -1.8% | 10.8% |
| 2/16/2024 | 6.6% | -0.8% | 0.7% |
| 10/27/2023 | -1.6% | 4.0% | -3.1% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 17 | 13 | 13 |
| # Negative | 6 | 10 | 10 |
| Median Positive | 3.6% | 4.2% | 10.8% |
| Median Negative | -2.6% | -4.3% | -8.0% |
| Max Positive | 10.0% | 13.4% | 58.5% |
| Max Negative | -13.3% | -18.4% | -50.8% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 09/30/2025 | 10/31/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/01/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/02/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/21/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/01/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/06/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/03/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/20/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 10/27/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 07/28/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/05/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/17/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/04/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 07/29/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/06/2022 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2021 | 02/18/2022 | 10-K |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Green, William C | Direct | Buy | 12012025 | 9.02 | 12,800 | 115,456 | 1,852,870 | Form | |
| 2 | Friedman, David Erwin | CCO & Head of Non-Agcy Prod | Direct | Buy | 11182025 | 8.30 | 2,508 | 20,816 | 588,644 | Form |
| 3 | Lazar, Melvin F | Direct | Buy | 11182025 | 8.28 | 5,000 | 41,400 | 1,984,832 | Form | |
| 4 | Kaufman, Ivan | COB, CEO and President | IK Main LLC, wholly owned and managed by reporting person | Buy | 11172025 | 9.10 | 25,000 | 227,500 | 227,500 | Form |
| 5 | Kaufman, Ivan | COB, CEO and President | IK Main LLC, wholly owned and managed by reporting person | Buy | 11172025 | 8.34 | 29,000 | 241,860 | 450,360 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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