Arbor Realty Trust (ABR)
Market Price (12/28/2025): $7.98 | Market Cap: $1.5 BilSector: Financials | Industry: Mortgage REITs
Arbor Realty Trust (ABR)
Market Price (12/28/2025): $7.98Market Cap: $1.5 BilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Mortgage REITs
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 35%, Dividend Yield is 22%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 31%, FCF Yield is 28% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -82%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -93% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 405% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 83%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 83% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -21%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -3.2%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -29% | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 38% | Significant short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 17.42, Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 24% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Real Estate Finance & Investment. Themes include Multifamily Housing Finance, and Agency Lending. | Key risksABR key risks include [1] deteriorating loan portfolio quality, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 35%, Dividend Yield is 22%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 31%, FCF Yield is 28% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 83%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 83% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 38% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Real Estate Finance & Investment. Themes include Multifamily Housing Finance, and Agency Lending. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -82%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -93% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 405% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -21%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -3.2%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -29% |
| Significant short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 17.42, Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 24% |
| Key risksABR key risks include [1] deteriorating loan portfolio quality, Show more. |
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
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<br><br>
<b>1. Significant Decline in Net Income and Distributable Earnings.</b><br>
Arbor Realty Trust reported a substantial year-over-year decrease in GAAP net income and distributable earnings for both the second and third quarters of 2025. For Q2 2025, GAAP net income fell to $0.12 per diluted common share from $0.25 in Q2 2024, and distributable earnings dropped from $0.45 to $0.25 per diluted common share. Similarly, Q3 2025 saw GAAP net income at $0.20 per diluted common share, down from $0.31 in Q3 2024, and distributable earnings at $0.35, compared to $0.43 in Q3 2024.
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<b>2. Substantial Revenue Decrease.</b><br>
The company experienced a significant decline in total revenue, with a reported 27% year-over-year decrease in the second quarter of 2025. This revenue drop directly impacted the company's overall financial performance during the period.
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<b>3. Rising Loan Delinquencies.</b><br>
An increase in loan delinquencies negatively affected Arbor Realty Trust's financial health. Delinquent loans escalated from $525 million at the end of 2024 to $735 million by June 30, 2025. These rising delinquencies continued to impact profitability and were cited as a factor in the decline of the weighted average yield in the third quarter of 2025.
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<b>4. Decreased Net Interest Income and Weighted Average Yield.</b><br>
Arbor Realty Trust's profitability was impacted by a decline in interest income. Net interest income fell by 22% in the second quarter of 2025. The weighted average yield on the company's loan and investment portfolio also declined in the third quarter of 2025, primarily due to an $18 million one-time reversal of accrued interest on previously modified loans, coupled with additional delinquencies and rate modifications.
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<b>5. Challenging High-Interest Rate Environment.</b><br>
The ongoing high-interest rate environment was identified as a significant factor that substantially impacted Arbor Realty Trust's net income and overall profitability metrics in the second quarter of 2025. This broader economic condition likely contributed to the financial pressures experienced by the company during the specified period.
Show moreStock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -31.5% change in ABR stock from 9/28/2025 to 12/28/2025 was primarily driven by a -24.0% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| 9282025 | 12282025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 11.65 | 7.98 | -31.51% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 568.68 | 523.90 | -7.87% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 37.59% | 37.04% | -1.46% |
| P/E Multiple | 10.48 | 7.97 | -23.96% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 192.24 | 193.75 | -0.79% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -31.52% |
Market Drivers
9/28/2025 to 12/28/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ABR | -31.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | 4.3% | 29.3% |
| Sector (XLF) | 3.3% | 32.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -19.8% change in ABR stock from 6/29/2025 to 12/28/2025 was primarily driven by a -12.2% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| 6292025 | 12282025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 9.95 | 7.98 | -19.83% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 596.63 | 523.90 | -12.19% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 39.76% | 37.04% | -6.84% |
| P/E Multiple | 7.98 | 7.97 | -0.10% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 190.06 | 193.75 | -1.94% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -19.86% |
Market Drivers
6/29/2025 to 12/28/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ABR | -19.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 12.6% | 28.5% |
| Sector (XLF) | 7.4% | 31.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -34.0% change in ABR stock from 12/28/2024 to 12/28/2025 was primarily driven by a -21.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| 12282024 | 12282025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 12.08 | 7.98 | -33.95% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 663.11 | 523.90 | -20.99% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 44.71% | 37.04% | -17.16% |
| P/E Multiple | 7.68 | 7.97 | 3.71% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 188.51 | 193.75 | -2.78% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -34.00% |
Market Drivers
12/28/2024 to 12/28/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ABR | -34.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 17.0% | 43.9% |
| Sector (XLF) | 15.3% | 42.7% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -10.8% change in ABR stock from 12/29/2022 to 12/28/2025 was primarily driven by a -34.5% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| 12292022 | 12282025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 8.95 | 7.98 | -10.83% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 604.60 | 523.90 | -13.35% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 56.56% | 37.04% | -34.51% |
| P/E Multiple | 4.46 | 7.97 | 78.85% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 170.23 | 193.75 | -13.82% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -12.54% |
Market Drivers
12/29/2023 to 12/28/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ABR | -32.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 48.4% | 37.2% |
| Sector (XLF) | 51.8% | 36.3% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| ABR Return | 10% | 39% | -21% | 33% | 3% | -35% | 8% |
| Peers Return | 16% | 38% | -12% | 21% | 26% | 16% | 150% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 18% | 114% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| ABR Win Rate | 83% | 75% | 42% | 58% | 58% | 33% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 52% | 65% | 42% | 68% | 57% | 52% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| ABR Max Drawdown | -71% | -3% | -33% | -17% | -20% | -37% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -34% | -5% | -26% | -7% | -9% | -23% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: HPQ, HPE, IBM, CSCO, AAPL.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/26/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | ABR | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -50.2% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 100.9% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -73.4% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 275.4% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 307 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -22.7% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 29.4% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 57 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -98.3% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 5770.7% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 1,480 days |
Compare to HPQ, HPE, IBM, CSCO, AAPL
In The Past
Arbor Realty Trust's stock fell -50.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/1/2021. A -50.2% loss requires a 100.9% gain to breakeven.
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Here are 1-2 brief analogies for Arbor Realty Trust (ABR):
- Rocket Mortgage for commercial and multi-family properties.
- Ally Financial, but for apartment buildings and commercial real estate loans.
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Major Products/Services of Arbor Realty Trust (ABR)
- Commercial Real Estate Debt Financing: Provides debt capital through various loan programs for the acquisition, refinancing, and development of multifamily, single-family rental, healthcare, and other commercial properties.
- Loan Servicing: Manages and administers a portfolio of commercial real estate loans, including payment collection, escrow management, and handling borrower inquiries and issues.
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Major Customers of Arbor Realty Trust (ABR)
Arbor Realty Trust (ABR) is a real estate investment trust (REIT) that primarily sells its financial products (loans) to other companies and professional real estate entities rather than individual consumers.
Due to the nature of its business as a diversified lender, Arbor Realty Trust does not publicly disclose specific "major customer companies" by name. Their customer base consists of a broad array of private real estate developers, investors, and property owners seeking financing for their projects across the United States. Therefore, it is not possible to list specific named public companies as their major customers with corresponding stock symbols.
However, we can describe the categories of companies and entities that constitute their primary customer base:
- Multifamily Real Estate Owners and Developers: These are typically private limited liability companies (LLCs), partnerships, or corporations that acquire, develop, rehabilitate, and operate apartment communities. This segment represents a significant portion of ABR's lending activity.
- Commercial Real Estate Investors and Sponsors: Beyond multifamily, ABR also provides financing to private entities involved in various other commercial property types, such as office, retail, industrial, and healthcare facilities. These customers seek loans for acquisitions, refinancing, or value-add strategies.
- Real Estate Investment Firms and Funds: Professional investment groups and private equity funds specializing in real estate often utilize ABR's lending services, particularly for bridge loans or other short-term financing solutions to execute their investment strategies.
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Ivan Kaufman, Chairman, CEO and President
Ivan Kaufman is the founder, Chairman, CEO, and President of Arbor Realty Trust, Inc. He has over four decades of experience operating diverse real estate finance companies. Mr. Kaufman founded Arbor National Holdings, Inc. and its residential lending subsidiary, Arbor National Mortgage Inc., in 1983. Arbor National Mortgage became a public company in 1992 and was subsequently sold to Bank of America Corporation in 1995. He also co-founded Arbor Multifamily Acquisition Company (AMAC) in 2012. Mr. Kaufman previously served on the national and regional advisory boards of Fannie Mae.
Paul Elenio, Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer
Paul Elenio is responsible for overseeing all financial operations, including financial reporting, tax planning, budgeting, and investor relations for Arbor Realty Trust. He joined Arbor National Holdings, the predecessor company of Arbor Commercial Mortgage, in 1991. As Financial Reporting and Tax Supervisor, he was involved in Arbor National Holdings' 1992 Initial Public Offering. He played a key role in implementing the financial planning and analysis required to transition Arbor Realty Trust to a public company in April 2004.
John G. Caulfield, Executive Vice President, Chief Operating Officer, Agency Lending
John G. Caulfield has extensive experience in the mortgage financing industry, with a tenure of over three decades with Arbor and its associated companies. As COO, he has been instrumental in developing a unique sales and operations model that has supported Arbor's growth as a leading multifamily finance company. His responsibilities include managing the national sales team and the operational infrastructure supporting Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, FHA, and CMBS originations and servicing platforms.
Fred Weber, Executive Vice President, Managing Director of Structured Finance & Principal Transactions
Fred Weber possesses over 25 years of experience and is recognized for his leadership in the mortgage banking and commercial real estate industries. He has significant expertise in real estate finance, acquisitions, and the restructuring and workouts of troubled loans. Mr. Weber leads a team that addresses complex financing needs for Arbor Realty Trust clients, managing the origination, underwriting, and implementation of debt and equity transactions across various commercial real estate asset types nationwide. Before joining Arbor, he was a partner and co-head of the real estate department at Kronish, Lieb, Weiner & Hellman, and also a partner with Weil, Gotshal & Manges.
John J. Bishar, Executive Vice President, Senior Counsel and Corporate Secretary
John J. Bishar brings nearly 50 years of legal expertise to Arbor Realty Trust, where he provides advice, counsel, and guidance to the Chairman, CEO, senior management, and the Board of Directors. He manages all legal activities for Arbor, including corporate matters, real estate transactions, and litigation. Mr. Bishar previously served as U.S. General Counsel of National Grid U.S.A. and as Executive Vice President, General Counsel, and Chief Governance Officer of KeySpan Corporation. He also served as a managing partner at the law firm of Cullen and Dykman LLP.
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The key risks to Arbor Realty Trust (ABR) primarily revolve around the credit quality of its loan portfolio, its significant leverage and associated refinancing challenges, and its sensitivity to interest rate fluctuations within the commercial real estate market.
- Credit Quality of Loan Portfolio and Related Allegations: Arbor Realty Trust faces substantial risks due to its exposure to distressed property values and high delinquency rates within its loan portfolio. The company's portfolio reportedly includes a significant number of "Special Mention" loans, indicating potential issues with loan performance and asset quality. This is further exacerbated by allegations from short-sellers and ongoing federal investigations into its lending practices, loan book performance, and claims of concealing distressed assets and manipulating delinquency rates. The rising tide of non-performing loans (NPLs) and Real Estate Owned (REO) assets directly pressures the company's distributable earnings, with a reported $1 billion in multifamily delinquencies in Q2 earnings.
- High Leverage and Refinancing Risk: Arbor Realty Trust operates with a high level of debt, reflected in a significant debt-to-equity ratio, which amplifies volatility during market downturns. The company faces an "important maturity wall in 2025 with cloudy refinancing prospects," making it challenging to refinance existing debt, particularly given the current interest rate environment. While the company has taken steps to extend its debt maturity profile, such as issuing senior notes, these often come with higher interest costs, creating a trade-off between balance sheet flexibility and increased expenses.
- Interest Rate Sensitivity and Commercial Real Estate Market Downturn: The company is highly vulnerable to adverse changes in interest rates and the broader commercial real estate (CRE) market. The prolonged rate-hike cycle by the Federal Reserve has increased borrowing costs for both borrowers and lenders, leading to a slowdown in commercial real estate transactions and an increased risk of loan defaults. This challenging environment contributes to margin compression and a decline in net interest income for Arbor Realty Trust, as seen in a significant narrowing of its Net Profit Margin.
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Arbor Realty Trust (ABR) operates in two primary business segments: Structured Business and Agency Business, focusing on the multifamily and commercial real estate markets in the United States.
Addressable Markets for Main Products and Services:
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Multifamily Lending (U.S.): Arbor Realty Trust's Agency Business is heavily involved in multifamily financing through government-sponsored enterprises (GSEs) like Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, and FHA. The U.S. multifamily lending market, which encompasses new mortgages for multifamily properties with five or more units, amounted to approximately $288.7 billion in 2024. Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac accounted for the largest share of this market by dollar volume, at 41%.
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Structured Finance (U.S. and Global): Arbor Realty Trust's Structured Business focuses on structured finance assets, including bridge loans, mezzanine loans, preferred equity investments, and Commercial Mortgage-Backed Securities (CMBS). The U.S. structured finance market was estimated at approximately $388.8 billion in 2024 and is projected to be around $804.30 billion in 2025. Globally, the structured finance market was estimated at $1.4 trillion in 2024 and is projected to grow to $2.6 trillion by 2030. Another estimate places the global structured finance market size at $2.51 trillion in 2025, with a projection to reach $7.49 trillion by 2034. North America is a leading region in the global structured finance market.
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Expected Drivers of Future Revenue Growth for Arbor Realty Trust (ABR)
Over the next 2-3 years, Arbor Realty Trust (ABR) anticipates several key drivers to fuel its revenue growth, primarily stemming from the resolution of legacy issues and an increase in lending activities amidst an improving market environment. Here are 3-5 expected drivers:- Resolution of Nonperforming Legacy Assets: Management expects that aggressively addressing troubled loans and converting problem assets to performing loans or selling them will significantly reduce earnings volatility. This strategic focus is projected to lead to improved income stability and a more normalized run rate by the second half of 2026.
- Increased Loan Originations: Arbor Realty Trust anticipates a more favorable interest rate environment and a constructive securitization market to drive higher origination volumes. The company is particularly focused on growth in its agency, single-family rental, and construction lending segments, targeting substantial origination volumes for 2025 and further scaling in 2026.
- Expansion of the Single-Family Rental Business: The single-family rental business has demonstrated consistent growth, with strong origination figures reported in the third quarter of 2025 and a robust pipeline, indicating continued potential for expansion in this segment.
- Strengthening of Loan Origination and Securitization Platforms: By leveraging an improved market and interest rate environment, Arbor Realty Trust expects to strengthen its loan origination and securitization platforms, which is anticipated to be a significant driver of future income growth.
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Share Repurchases
- Arbor Realty Trust repurchased $37.431 million in shares during 2023.
- The company executed $11.408 million in share buybacks in 2024.
- A share repurchase program authorizing up to $50 million of outstanding common stock was approved by the board in March 2023.
Share Issuance
- In 2022, Arbor Realty Trust raised approximately $486 million through common and preferred equity offerings for accretive growth capital.
- The company has historically issued a significant number of additional common shares to fuel revenue growth.
- Significant share issuances are expected to continue, potentially leading to some degree of dilution.
Outbound Investments
- The structured portfolio grew by 19% in 2022, driven by $6.15 billion in loan originations.
- Arbor Realty Trust originated $4.2 billion in new loans during 2024, with $1.1 billion occurring in the fourth quarter, growing its loan portfolio to $14.3 billion.
- Approximately $4.6 billion of multifamily loans from the 2021 and 2022 vintages were identified as distressed and nearing the end of their extension periods as of Q3 2025, indicating past investment challenges.
Capital Expenditures
- Capital expenditures for Arbor Realty Trust were reported as $6.3 million for June 2025.
Latest Trefis Analyses
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| 11212025 | WU | Western Union | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.5% | 14.5% | -0.4% |
| 11212025 | COIN | Coinbase Global | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -1.5% | -1.5% | -1.5% |
| 11142025 | PYPL | PayPal | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -4.5% | -4.5% | -7.5% |
| 11142025 | V | Visa | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 7.6% | 7.6% | -2.7% |
| 11072025 | WD | Walker & Dunlop | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -11.1% | -11.1% | -12.1% |
| 06302025 | ABR | Arbor Realty Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | -21.0% | -21.0% | -23.7% |
| 12312024 | ABR | Arbor Realty Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | -16.2% | -34.9% | -37.1% |
| 06302024 | ABR | Arbor Realty Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | 1.1% | -15.6% | -29.6% |
| 12312023 | ABR | Arbor Realty Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | 0.6% | 2.0% | -20.2% |
| 04302023 | ABR | Arbor Realty Trust | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | 16.6% | 28.5% | -4.9% |
Research & Analysis
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Peer Comparisons for Arbor Realty Trust
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 51.19 |
| Mkt Cap | 158.7 |
| Rev LTM | 56,496 |
| Op Inc LTM | 11,544 |
| FCF LTM | 7,327 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 7,366 |
| CFO LTM | 8,590 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 8,697 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 5.2% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 2.2% |
| Rev Chg Q | 8.3% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.0% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 17.7% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 16.4% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 22.2% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 23.8% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 20.1% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 21.6% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $7.97 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 1.5 | |
| First Trading Date | 05/06/2004 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -35.5% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $9.32 | $10.28 |
| DMA Trend | down | down |
| Distance from DMA | -14.5% | -22.5% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 41.3% | 38.5% |
| Downside Capture | 193.36 | 112.48 |
| Upside Capture | -27.86 | 53.79 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 28.9% | 43.8% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.34 | 1.02 | 0.96 | 1.04 | 0.87 | 1.01 |
| Up Beta | 2.06 | 2.08 | 1.94 | 1.64 | 0.95 | 0.97 |
| Down Beta | 0.35 | 0.48 | 0.88 | 0.84 | 0.81 | 0.84 |
| Up Capture | -53% | -18% | -9% | 69% | 44% | 91% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 12 | 25 | 38 | 73 | 141 | 426 |
| Stock +ve Days | 9 | 19 | 29 | 67 | 127 | 376 |
| Down Capture | 225% | 172% | 137% | 112% | 104% | 105% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 7 | 16 | 24 | 52 | 107 | 323 |
| Stock -ve Days | 10 | 21 | 32 | 54 | 117 | 366 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Comparison of ABR With Other Asset Classes (Last 1Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ABR | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | -34.5% | 16.3% | 17.8% | 72.1% | 8.6% | 4.4% | -8.2% |
| Annualized Volatility | 38.2% | 19.0% | 19.4% | 19.3% | 15.2% | 17.0% | 35.0% |
| Sharpe Ratio | -1.02 | 0.67 | 0.72 | 2.70 | 0.34 | 0.09 | -0.08 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 42.8% | 44.1% | 6.2% | 12.3% | 49.7% | 25.3% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLF, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Comparison of ABR With Other Asset Classes (Last 5Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ABR | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | -1.0% | 16.1% | 14.7% | 18.7% | 11.5% | 4.6% | 30.8% |
| Annualized Volatility | 35.5% | 18.9% | 17.1% | 15.5% | 18.7% | 18.9% | 48.6% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.06 | 0.71 | 0.70 | 0.97 | 0.50 | 0.16 | 0.57 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 46.8% | 46.7% | 12.0% | 17.5% | 51.1% | 21.1% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLF, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Comparison of ABR With Other Asset Classes (Last 10Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ABR | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | 12.7% | 13.2% | 14.8% | 15.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 69.2% |
| Annualized Volatility | 39.4% | 22.3% | 18.0% | 14.7% | 17.6% | 20.8% | 55.8% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.43 | 0.55 | 0.71 | 0.86 | 0.32 | 0.22 | 0.90 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 49.1% | 45.8% | 7.0% | 21.6% | 54.7% | 13.5% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLF, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/31/2025 | -12.6% | -18.4% | -20.1% |
| 8/1/2025 | 0.4% | 5.4% | 9.8% |
| 5/2/2025 | -3.1% | -6.2% | -12.3% |
| 2/21/2025 | -13.3% | -12.5% | -8.1% |
| 11/1/2024 | 0.7% | 2.7% | 1.6% |
| 5/3/2024 | -1.5% | -1.8% | 10.8% |
| 2/16/2024 | 6.6% | -0.8% | 0.7% |
| 10/27/2023 | -1.6% | 4.0% | -3.1% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 17 | 13 | 13 |
| # Negative | 6 | 10 | 10 |
| Median Positive | 3.6% | 4.2% | 10.8% |
| Median Negative | -2.6% | -4.3% | -8.0% |
| Max Positive | 10.0% | 13.4% | 58.5% |
| Max Negative | -13.3% | -18.4% | -50.8% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10312025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8012025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5022025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2212025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11012024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8062024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5032024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2202024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10272023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 7282023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5052023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2172023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11042022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 7292022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5062022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2182022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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